COVID-19 short-term forecasts England

Peak increase in estimated trend of Confirmed in England 2021-05-29

	Aberdeen City	Aberdeenshire	Adur	Allerdale	Amber Valley	Angus	Antrim and Newtownabbey	Ards and North Down	Argyll and Bute	Armagh City and Banbridge and Craigavon	Arun	Ashfield	Ashford	Aylesbury Vale	Babergh	Barking and Dagenham	Barnet	Barnsley	Barrow-in-Furness	Basildon	Basingstoke and Deane	Bassetlaw	Bath and North East Somerset	Bedford	Belfast	Bexley	Birmingham	Blaby	Blackburn with Darwen	Blackpool	Blaenau Gwent	Bolsover	Bolton	Boston	Bournemouth Christchurch and Poole	Bracknell Forest	Bradford	Braintree	Breckland	Brent	Brentwood	Bridgend	Brighton and Hove	Bristol	Broadland	Bromley	Bromsgrove	Broxbourne	Broxtowe	Burnley	Bury	Caerphilly	Calderdale	Cambridge	Camden	Cannock Chase	Canterbury	Cardiff	Carlisle	Carmarthenshire	Castle Point	Causeway Coast and Glens	Central Bedfordshire	Ceredigion	Charnwood	Chelmsford	Cheltenham	Cherwell	Cheshire East	Cheshire West and Chester	Chesterfield	Chichester	Chiltern	Chorley	City of Edinburgh	Clackmannanshire	Colchester	Comhairle nan Eilean Siar	Conwy	Copeland	Corby	Cornwall and Isles of Scilly	Cotswold	County Durham	Coventry	Craven	Crawley	Croydon	Dacorum	Darlington	Dartford	Daventry	Denbighshire	Derby	Derbyshire Dales	Derry City and Strabane	Doncaster	Dorset	Dover	Dudley	Dumfries and Galloway	Dundee City	Ealing	East Ayrshire	East Cambridgeshire	East Devon	East Dunbartonshire	East Hampshire	East Hertfordshire	East Lindsey	East Lothian	East Northamptonshire	East Renfrewshire	East Riding of Yorkshire	East Staffordshire	East Suffolk	Eastbourne	Eastleigh	Eden	Elmbridge	Enfield	Epping Forest	Epsom and Ewell	Erewash	Exeter	Falkirk	Fareham	Fenland	Fermanagh and Omagh	Fife	Flintshire	Folkestone and Hythe	Forest of Dean	Fylde	Gateshead	Gedling	Glasgow City	Gloucester	Gosport	Gravesham	Great Yarmouth	Greenwich	Guildford	Gwynedd	Hackney	Halton	Hambleton	Hammersmith and Fulham	Harborough	Haringey	Harlow	Harrogate	Harrow	Hart	Hartlepool	Hastings	Havant	Havering	Herefordshire	Hertsmere	High Peak	Highland	Hillingdon	Hinckley and Bosworth	Horsham	Hounslow	Huntingdonshire	Hyndburn	Inverclyde	Ipswich	Isle of Anglesey	Isle of Wight	Islington	Kensington and Chelsea	Kettering	King's Lynn and West Norfolk	Kingston upon Hull	Kingston upon Thames	Kirklees	Knowsley	Lambeth	Lancaster	Leeds	Leicester	Lewes	Lewisham	Lichfield	Lincoln	Lisburn and Castlereagh	Liverpool	Luton	Maidstone	Maldon	Malvern Hills	Manchester	Mansfield	Medway	Melton	Mendip	Merthyr Tydfil	Merton	Mid Devon	Mid Suffolk	Mid Sussex	Mid Ulster	Mid and East Antrim	Middlesbrough	Midlothian	Milton Keynes	Mole Valley	Monmouthshire	Moray	Neath Port Talbot	New Forest	Newark and Sherwood	Newcastle upon Tyne	Newcastle-under-Lyme	Newham	Newport	Newry and Mourne and Down	North Ayrshire	North Devon	North East Derbyshire	North East Lincolnshire	North Hertfordshire	North Kesteven	North Lanarkshire	North Lincolnshire	North Norfolk	North Somerset	North Tyneside	North Warwickshire	North West Leicestershire	Northampton	Northumberland	Norwich	Nottingham	Nuneaton and Bedworth	Oadby and Wigston	Oldham	Orkney Islands	Oxford	Pembrokeshire	Pendle	Perth and Kinross	Peterborough	Plymouth	Portsmouth	Powys	Preston	Reading	Redbridge	Redcar and Cleveland	Redditch	Reigate and Banstead	Renfrewshire	Rhondda Cynon Taf	Ribble Valley	Richmond upon Thames	Richmondshire	Rochdale	Rochford	Rossendale	Rother	Rotherham	Rugby	Runnymede	Rushcliffe	Rushmoor	Rutland	Ryedale	Salford	Sandwell	Scarborough	Scottish Borders	Sedgemoor	Sefton	Selby	Sevenoaks	Sheffield	Shetland Islands	Shropshire	Slough	Solihull	Somerset West and Taunton	South Ayrshire	South Bucks	South Cambridgeshire	South Derbyshire	South Gloucestershire	South Hams	South Holland	South Kesteven	South Lakeland	South Lanarkshire	South Norfolk	South Northamptonshire	South Oxfordshire	South Ribble	South Somerset	South Staffordshire	South Tyneside	Southampton	Southend-on-Sea	Southwark	Spelthorne	St Albans	St. Helens	Stafford	Staffordshire Moorlands	Stevenage	Stirling	Stockport	Stockton-on-Tees	Stoke-on-Trent	Stratford-on-Avon	Stroud	Sunderland	Surrey Heath	Sutton	Swale	Swansea	Swindon	Tameside	Tamworth	Tandridge	Teignbridge	Telford and Wrekin	Tendring	Test Valley	Tewkesbury	Thanet	Three Rivers	Thurrock	Tonbridge and Malling	Torbay	Torfaen	Torridge	Tower Hamlets	Trafford	Tunbridge Wells	Uttlesford	Vale of Glamorgan	Vale of White Horse	Wakefield	Walsall	Waltham Forest	Wandsworth	Warrington	Warwick	Watford	Waverley	Wealden	Wellingborough	Welwyn Hatfield	West Berkshire	West Devon	West Dunbartonshire	West Lancashire	West Lindsey	West Lothian	West Oxfordshire	West Suffolk	Westminster	Wigan	Wiltshire	Winchester	Windsor and Maidenhead	Wirral	Woking	Wokingham	Wolverhampton	Worcester	Worthing	Wrexham	Wychavon	Wycombe	Wyre	Wyre Forest	York
Peak date (mm-dd)	12-28	12-27	12-27	12-26	12-27	12-26	2021-03-25	12-27	07-21	2021-03-25	12-21	12-27	12-08	12-21	12-23	12-28	12-23	10-13	12-27	12-23	2021-01-02	2021-01-11	12-30	2021-05-09	12-26	12-22	12-29	12-27	12-27	12-29	12-07	2021-01-07	2021-05-16	11-13	2021-01-01	12-21	10-24	12-22	12-27	12-27	12-14	12-06	12-28	12-30	12-25	12-21	12-26	12-22	12-30	12-30	12-27	12-07	10-28	12-21	12-27	12-26	12-08	12-06	12-27	12-08	12-21	12-22	2021-05-17	10-28	12-30	12-22	12-28	12-25	12-22	12-21	2021-01-03	12-21	12-21	12-30	10-04	2021-01-04	12-26	2021-01-05	12-29	12-26	12-27	12-29	12-24	11-02	12-27	12-28	12-27	12-27	12-21	12-25	12-21	12-21	12-28	2021-01-02	2021-02-25	12-21	10-14	12-27	12-07	12-26	12-22	10-04	12-27	07-21	12-24	12-29	10-04	12-24	12-21	11-09	12-06	12-26	07-21	10-31	12-27	12-30	12-28	12-21	12-26	12-22	12-25	12-21	12-22	2021-01-06	09-27	12-27	12-23	12-27	12-22	12-28	12-25	12-18	12-25	2021-01-04	12-26	12-26	10-04	12-21	12-28	12-21	12-21	12-27	12-21	2021-01-05	12-22	12-27	12-28	12-21	12-21	12-21	12-28	12-27	12-28	12-21	12-23	12-13	12-27	12-13	12-29	12-22	12-29	12-28	12-28	12-30	12-22	12-26	12-21	2021-01-01	12-21	12-28	12-21	12-27	12-22	12-28	12-28	12-25	11-01	12-21	2021-05-18	12-27	12-29	2021-01-06	11-02	2021-01-03	12-21	12-27	12-27	11-02	12-21	12-26	2021-04-03	12-22	12-21	12-31	12-29	2021-01-02	12-22	11-01	2021-01-07	12-08	12-21	12-21	12-21	12-22	12-21	2021-03-25	12-31	07-21	12-22	12-27	12-06	07-21	2021-03-18	12-28	12-29	2021-01-03	11-03	12-27	12-06	12-27	07-21	12-08	12-27	10-26	12-26	12-21	10-04	11-01	12-21	12-29	11-04	12-21	2021-01-04	12-27	12-21	2021-01-01	12-29	12-29	11-02	12-28	07-21	12-27	12-28	12-26	12-27	2021-01-06	2021-01-06	2021-01-01	12-06	2021-01-04	12-29	12-21	12-31	2021-01-05	12-22	10-04	12-06	12-28	12-21	12-27	12-28	12-10	12-31	12-13	10-18	12-30	12-28	12-27	12-25	2021-01-26	2021-01-02	12-29	12-29	2021-01-03	12-23	12-21	12-31	12-29	12-22	11-02	07-21	12-30	12-25	12-25	12-21	12-29	12-21	12-21	12-28	12-26	12-25	2021-01-04	12-22	11-09	10-04	12-21	12-22	12-20	2021-01-03	12-28	12-27	12-22	12-21	12-14	12-28	12-26	12-21	12-25	12-25	10-27	12-22	11-07	12-28	12-27	11-01	12-21	12-23	12-22	12-27	12-21	12-07	12-02	12-25	12-29	2021-01-02	12-26	12-30	2021-01-04	12-27	12-21	12-26	12-21	12-19	12-22	12-23	12-27	12-06	11-13	12-21	12-27	12-22	12-26	12-08	12-21	11-01	12-27	12-27	12-15	12-25	11-02	12-21	12-22	12-21	12-27	12-26	12-20	12-13	10-04	11-02	12-07	10-04	12-22	12-23	12-22	12-27	12-29	12-22	12-22	12-28	12-27	12-22	12-27	2021-01-01	12-28	12-25	12-31	12-21	12-30	12-26	11-02
Peak daily increment	92	102	61	88	97	40	77	73	119	106	170	110	171	178	78	477	589	189	58	326	128	110	108	54	252	426	1250	75	157	65	95	58	204	50	484	142	434	228	107	524	155	233	307	320	107	508	94	186	62	122	123	211	137	99	256	87	148	354	172	194	175	107	20	40	90	268	52	197	249	283	59	91	71	65	266	20	243	5	35	53	94	285	34	553	288	38	181	598	151	69	189	72	58	246	27	170	248	187	118	322	119	87	536	308	60	52	71	76	160	106	25	51	235	204	102	163	147	107	56	146	593	273	97	74	80	69	90	73	94	119	150	125	54	38	122	82	597	92	56	180	92	451	119	34	377	219	59	201	57	401	172	103	338	101	106	136	120	476	101	159	52	76	442	57	116	452	143	83	74	134	18	237	275	148	70	100	283	198	85	311	428	107	1449	284	104	456	71	230	102	727	27	200	90	36	368	92	419	25	46	106	298	37	62	153	186	27	213	302	361	79	62	66	23	105	63	122	85	723	190	212	192	23	50	137	105	51	394	105	58	122	107	41	55	277	158	121	224	90	68	123	3	125	44	108	58	154	120	207	43	102	174	623	105	81	176	151	286	52	188	39	132	139	56	96	198	80	85	59	174	36	25	162	450	42	83	82	403	65	131	573	25	209	244	167	97	42	111	102	69	181	27	42	86	72	448	95	79	108	80	66	102	115	247	293	450	131	156	219	94	55	112	26	189	138	197	66	42	206	105	331	189	270	181	123	56	109	46	141	352	90	44	138	122	360	139	51	101	14	559	151	90	110	120	84	250	329	449	390	227	259	138	117	160	65	154	87	29	78	166	42	65	67	115	217	217	265	83	148	430	106	138	377	106	115	176	95	173	71	69	594
Days since peak	152	153	153	154	153	154	65	153	312	65	159	153	172	159	157	152	157	228	153	157	147	138	150	20	154	158	151	153	153	151	173	142	13	197	148	159	217	158	153	153	166	174	152	150	155	159	154	158	150	150	153	173	213	159	153	154	172	174	153	172	159	158	12	213	150	158	152	155	158	159	146	159	159	150	237	145	154	144	151	154	153	151	156	208	153	152	153	153	159	155	159	159	152	147	93	159	227	153	173	154	158	237	153	312	156	151	237	156	159	201	174	154	312	210	153	150	152	159	154	158	155	159	158	143	244	153	157	153	158	152	155	162	155	145	154	154	237	159	152	159	159	153	159	144	158	153	152	159	159	159	152	153	152	159	157	167	153	167	151	158	151	152	152	150	158	154	159	148	159	152	159	153	158	152	152	155	209	159	11	153	151	143	208	146	159	153	153	208	159	154	56	158	159	149	151	147	158	209	142	172	159	159	159	158	159	65	149	312	158	153	174	312	72	152	151	146	207	153	174	153	312	172	153	215	154	159	237	209	159	151	206	159	145	153	159	148	151	151	208	152	312	153	152	154	153	143	143	148	174	145	151	159	149	144	158	237	174	152	159	153	152	170	149	167	223	150	152	153	155	123	147	151	151	146	157	159	149	151	158	208	312	150	155	155	159	151	159	159	152	154	155	145	158	201	237	159	158	160	146	152	153	158	159	166	152	154	159	155	155	214	158	203	152	153	209	159	157	158	153	159	173	178	155	151	147	154	150	145	153	159	154	159	161	158	157	153	174	197	159	153	158	154	172	159	209	153	153	165	155	208	159	158	159	153	154	160	167	237	208	173	237	158	157	158	153	151	158	158	152	153	158	153	148	152	155	149	159	150	154	208
Last total	7334	5973	2929	5067	8593	3229	8572	5985	1476	15787	8340	9713	9841	11889	3878	23755	30721	19863	4299	17719	8277	8263	8319	14503	22853	22556	102540	7189	19703	9384	6181	5983	30096	5080	25486	7189	50621	10855	6864	29022	6927	12661	14738	31139	6081	24672	6276	9150	7233	10203	17749	13486	14931	5858	14261	7133	10227	26385	8237	10832	8374	7552	16372	1793	12705	12767	3784	9189	21312	21925	6193	4959	4333	8202	17987	2627	11413	297	3916	3179	5943	14315	2600	38347	24092	2856	8012	31440	8655	7588	10448	4314	4353	20279	3007	12742	24185	11954	7890	27098	4225	7198	31768	6557	3055	4232	5415	4913	8265	6519	2925	4909	5191	18567	9712	8959	6648	5905	2999	7428	30000	12490	5320	7373	5038	6933	5291	5645	6076	11974	9664	8106	3111	4896	13936	8299	44408	6475	3893	10327	5563	22735	7455	3436	21867	12013	4239	13213	5222	21040	7991	7765	21172	4436	8961	6243	7135	27024	7162	8305	5148	3722	27145	6236	5738	25522	7957	8271	3029	7741	2314	6856	15174	9212	6166	7772	20100	12574	35818	17444	24714	9607	64310	37575	4955	21907	6631	6982	7606	48725	21076	12770	3774	2832	54766	8370	26278	2757	3493	6742	16439	2271	3378	6875	12777	7852	12686	3432	20371	4448	4219	1787	11693	6227	7423	24176	8494	35881	11457	11793	6574	2011	6086	8757	6443	5601	22857	9755	3065	10163	12892	4396	6163	18387	17667	7500	31112	8692	5007	23543	74	9645	3502	9878	4734	15893	9322	14477	4208	14273	11204	33177	9398	6273	9451	11141	21395	4719	11005	2653	21887	6443	6462	4905	21708	6725	5544	6933	7853	1688	1894	23880	34525	5636	2914	5470	24271	5227	6956	44704	236	15177	15783	14808	6013	4385	4866	5862	7370	15345	1730	5521	7646	4544	19503	5603	4796	5976	8331	5488	8716	11471	15036	14859	22688	7503	7920	17170	8605	5420	6103	3558	21481	16081	20354	5239	3817	22242	5532	16084	13458	17674	11657	18733	5438	5598	3041	11098	10023	5452	2948	11532	6407	17969	8083	4278	6469	1010	29151	17084	5736	4929	7481	5241	26402	26049	25141	22493	17979	7213	8146	5889	7951	5121	8291	6569	1193	4503	8996	4746	8314	4145	6657	14505	29778	17457	4970	8594	24419	6934	8431	24978	6225	5368	11558	6476	10850	6740	5605	12416
Last daily increment	2	4	1	1	0	4	3	4	1	8	3	3	1	7	0	7	2	7	1	4	3	3	2	27	11	13	51	5	60	12	0	1	111	2	5	14	28	0	1	17	2	0	6	15	4	19	0	0	0	19	33	0	12	1	5	4	4	3	1	2	1	3	17	0	15	0	2	1	35	27	1	1	1	8	59	1	3	0	2	2	5	0	0	8	8	0	1	24	2	0	7	1	2	3	1	7	4	1	0	14	2	17	15	14	0	1	13	1	0	1	5	6	24	8	3	0	2	0	0	2	6	0	7	1	1	11	0	0	6	21	2	1	2	8	14	3	98	2	0	0	1	11	2	1	6	1	2	4	2	16	0	5	15	3	0	1	0	2	1	1	5	9	17	7	2	9	7	23	5	2	0	3	5	5	1	2	1	13	50	4	12	9	48	19	0	11	2	0	5	21	21	3	1	0	119	1	5	1	0	0	11	1	2	3	10	4	3	8	15	7	1	0	0	0	3	18	3	17	0	3	6	0	0	5	3	1	30	3	1	1	24	0	4	3	9	1	18	2	3	25	0	7	0	5	4	1	2	4	0	25	15	13	0	4	23	23	2	6	3	0	21	2	17	1	11	2	0	1	3	1	0	45	14	4	1	0	4	1	5	13	0	2	9	8	0	21	3	3	0	1	0	3	1	1	22	0	2	10	10	0	1	12	5	1	7	9	3	2	1	8	6	6	40	8	8	2	2	5	4	12	2	3	5	20	2	6	0	5	0	7	3	0	9	1	0	1	0	0	6	27	3	2	0	3	18	20	11	14	7	0	4	1	0	4	7	6	0	6	4	0	8	1	1	15	40	4	1	0	16	6	11	7	3	3	2	0	11	7	2	10
Last week	33	21	3	8	5	34	16	16	11	44	13	10	8	45	2	38	46	69	7	19	16	9	14	234	67	47	455	52	585	54	2	4	940	18	30	65	238	6	28	103	9	9	50	99	17	112	8	12	9	100	220	2	96	17	31	11	37	33	6	13	5	18	106	4	98	8	8	12	181	104	10	11	19	106	395	22	11	0	17	6	26	13	5	64	53	8	12	163	15	6	36	7	11	22	6	75	59	11	13	74	10	131	133	70	2	6	63	6	22	17	26	25	141	62	19	13	5	5	1	16	43	7	34	7	10	61	11	7	29	151	10	16	5	65	64	16	705	35	3	15	7	93	18	12	48	7	11	50	17	61	7	26	74	29	7	10	17	33	13	16	44	69	118	26	11	135	28	146	25	6	0	23	54	42	6	10	54	122	445	22	154	45	319	260	9	70	13	10	12	92	155	15	3	11	633	22	60	13	4	1	74	5	15	19	46	59	27	77	85	24	6	8	14	4	31	109	11	80	12	44	75	4	6	17	19	6	238	21	8	14	122	6	26	19	41	10	70	33	10	154	0	39	10	82	56	29	20	60	5	178	122	49	19	21	98	257	7	81	35	2	189	4	195	9	61	14	10	11	39	7	0	300	64	26	4	3	45	12	23	130	0	20	88	41	6	101	10	12	4	25	11	26	16	6	224	5	15	46	119	10	10	36	28	23	87	28	17	30	9	32	24	56	220	29	48	13	6	29	31	48	21	12	32	123	7	19	10	40	6	21	13	11	41	20	10	12	4	5	67	156	6	15	3	37	144	88	67	83	37	11	72	7	7	31	14	41	1	22	18	17	54	13	9	62	260	39	11	21	72	23	85	25	31	24	16	13	47	26	18	49
Previous peak date	07-21	07-21	--	--	10-27	07-21	12-21	10-07	--	12-21	--	10-21	--	10-25	--	--	--	--	10-20	--	--	10-26	11-02	12-21	10-07	--	11-02	--	10-13	10-13	--	10-25	10-15	--	11-02	--	05-03	10-26	--	--	--	--	10-16	11-02	--	--	--	--	10-12	09-27	10-27	09-02	--	--	10-01	--	--	--	10-25	--	--	10-10	12-21	--	11-02	--	--	10-27	10-18	--	10-20	--	--	10-13	07-21	07-21	10-14	--	--	--	--	10-29	--	04-20	10-31	10-31	--	10-29	10-17	--	--	--	10-21	10-27	12-28	10-01	--	10-12	--	--	07-21	07-21	--	--	--	11-01	07-21	10-27	--	--	07-21	10-27	--	--	--	10-30	--	10-20	--	10-06	--	--	--	10-18	--	07-21	--	--	--	07-21	--	--	--	10-15	10-29	10-11	07-21	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	09-28	10-27	10-14	--	10-12	--	10-27	10-30	--	--	--	10-29	--	--	10-17	10-27	07-21	--	11-01	--	--	--	10-13	07-21	--	06-11	--	--	--	--	--	--	10-13	10-27	09-29	--	10-08	04-14	11-02	--	--	10-31	--	10-12	09-28	12-27	--	--	--	11-02	10-25	--	--	--	--	10-15	--	--	--	10-12	12-21	11-03	--	09-30	--	--	--	12-07	--	--	11-02	--	--	--	09-24	--	--	10-14	--	--	--	07-21	--	--	10-31	--	--	11-03	08-02	--	--	11-02	11-01	--	10-22	--	--	--	--	07-21	--	11-02	11-02	--	11-02	--	--	11-03	10-26	--	07-21	--	10-11	10-10	--	10-19	--	10-11	--	--	--	--	10-13	--	--	--	11-02	11-02	10-31	07-21	--	09-30	10-25	--	--	--	10-28	--	--	--	07-21	--	--	10-25	--	--	--	--	--	07-21	--	--	--	10-13	--	10-24	--	--	--	--	--	10-17	10-08	10-29	--	--	07-21	10-18	10-12	--	--	--	10-06	10-31	--	--	--	--	10-18	11-04	--	--	10-29	10-11	10-18	--	--	--	--	--	10-26	--	--	--	10-17	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	10-22	--	--	10-22	--	--	--	--	--	07-21	--	--	07-21	--	10-15	--	10-16	10-24	--	--	09-30	10-30	10-11	--	11-03	--	10-19	10-28	--	10-17	--	--
Previous peak daily increment	616	365			80	295	134	40		260		61		40					31			75	271	233	262		1226		166	98		54	234		363		55	19					62	1197					57	72	160	31			54				39			60	303		294			35	120		54			62	1272	83	35					57		68	129	18		69	22				25	164	25	206		59			226	710				39	383	25			191	31				24		30		29				56		475				687				43	127	72	1766									70	33	54		60		69	57				38			22	44	144		49				59	248		45							46	349	153		81	75	479			56		71	480	273				2237	61					44				109	105	87		25				191			2429				91			53				1007			82			56	68			1343	64		257					230		139	354		150			88	41		459		41	46		194		65					67				406	233	81	152		189	33				104				226			66						876				66		75						20	118	77			149	184	120				129	18					172	46			89	27	17						45				144									135			23						307			376		24		319	68			141	22	25		38		54	32		67
Low between peaks	0	-1			28	0	8	18		13		26		-44					8			37	20	-12	48		303		55	29		19	17		23		27	-19					21	68					19	34	54	12			23				7			26	-1		28			-43	-38		17			31	-11	-4	-18					12		1	39	-9		28	-31				9	53	8	34		-47			-2	-3				-13	-3	-32			-1	10				-10		8		-67				19		-4				-5				-9	24	23	-7									22	-40	23		15		-120	-7				19			-66	-54	-1		15				21	-2		0							18	18	21		23	6	120			21		21	58	7				114	21					-25				39	6	35		8				7			18				23			-9				-7			35			16	7			50	28		58					1		20	37		38			22	13		-2		-20	-118		62		22					16				36	92	19	-4		26	14				31				-2			24						-7				28		24						-77	30	38			-1	43	43				58	-23					32	15			31	11	7						6				-31									-27			-71						-2			-2		-25		77	-103			19	-17	-8		8		27	12		-4

Confirmed count forecast England (bold red line in graphs) 2021-05-30 to 2021-06-05

Date	Aberdeen City	Aberdeenshire	Allerdale	Angus	Antrim and Newtownabbey	Ards and North Down	Argyll and Bute	Armagh City and Banbridge and Craigavon	Arun	Ashfield	Ashford	Aylesbury Vale	Barking and Dagenham	Barnet	Barnsley	Barrow-in-Furness	Basildon	Basingstoke and Deane	Bassetlaw	Bath and North East Somerset	Bedford	Belfast	Bexley	Birmingham	Blaby	Blackburn with Darwen	Blackpool	Bolton	Boston	Bournemouth Christchurch and Poole	Bracknell Forest	Bradford	Braintree	Breckland	Brent	Brentwood	Bridgend	Brighton and Hove	Bristol	Broadland	Bromley	Bromsgrove	Broxbourne	Broxtowe	Burnley	Bury	Calderdale	Cambridge	Camden	Cannock Chase	Canterbury	Cardiff	Carlisle	Carmarthenshire	Causeway Coast and Glens	Central Bedfordshire	Charnwood	Chelmsford	Cheltenham	Cherwell	Cheshire East	Cheshire West and Chester	Chesterfield	Chichester	Chiltern	Chorley	City of Edinburgh	Clackmannanshire	Colchester	Conwy	Copeland	Corby	Cornwall and Isles of Scilly	County Durham	Coventry	Craven	Crawley	Croydon	Dacorum	Darlington	Dartford	Daventry	Denbighshire	Derby	Derbyshire Dales	Derry City and Strabane	Doncaster	Dorset	Dover	Dudley	Dumfries and Galloway	Dundee City	Ealing	East Ayrshire	East Devon	East Dunbartonshire	East Hampshire	East Hertfordshire	East Lindsey	East Lothian	East Northamptonshire	East Renfrewshire	East Riding of Yorkshire	East Staffordshire	East Suffolk	Elmbridge	Enfield	Epping Forest	Epsom and Ewell	Erewash	Exeter	Falkirk	Fareham	Fenland	Fermanagh and Omagh	Fife	Flintshire	Folkestone and Hythe	Fylde	Gateshead	Gedling	Glasgow City	Gloucester	Gravesham	Great Yarmouth	Greenwich	Guildford	Gwynedd	Hackney	Halton	Hambleton	Hammersmith and Fulham	Harborough	Haringey	Harlow	Harrogate	Harrow	Hart	Hartlepool	Hastings	Havant	Havering	Herefordshire	Hertsmere	High Peak	Highland	Hillingdon	Hinckley and Bosworth	Horsham	Hounslow	Huntingdonshire	Hyndburn	Inverclyde	Ipswich	Isle of Wight	Islington	Kensington and Chelsea	Kettering	King's Lynn and West Norfolk	Kingston upon Hull	Kingston upon Thames	Kirklees	Knowsley	Lambeth	Lancaster	Leeds	Leicester	Lewes	Lewisham	Lichfield	Lincoln	Lisburn and Castlereagh	Liverpool	Luton	Maidstone	Malvern Hills	Manchester	Mansfield	Medway	Melton	Merton	Mid Suffolk	Mid Sussex	Mid Ulster	Mid and East Antrim	Middlesbrough	Midlothian	Milton Keynes	Mole Valley	Monmouthshire	Moray	Neath Port Talbot	Newark and Sherwood	Newcastle upon Tyne	Newcastle-under-Lyme	Newham	Newport	Newry and Mourne and Down	North Ayrshire	North East Derbyshire	North East Lincolnshire	North Hertfordshire	North Kesteven	North Lanarkshire	North Lincolnshire	North Norfolk	North Somerset	North Tyneside	North Warwickshire	North West Leicestershire	Northampton	Northumberland	Norwich	Nottingham	Nuneaton and Bedworth	Oadby and Wigston	Oldham	Oxford	Pembrokeshire	Pendle	Perth and Kinross	Peterborough	Plymouth	Portsmouth	Preston	Reading	Redbridge	Redcar and Cleveland	Redditch	Reigate and Banstead	Renfrewshire	Rhondda Cynon Taf	Ribble Valley	Richmond upon Thames	Rochdale	Rossendale	Rother	Rotherham	Rugby	Runnymede	Rushcliffe	Rushmoor	Rutland	Salford	Sandwell	Scarborough	Sefton	Selby	Sevenoaks	Sheffield	Shropshire	Slough	Solihull	Somerset West and Taunton	South Ayrshire	South Bucks	South Cambridgeshire	South Gloucestershire	South Hams	South Holland	South Kesteven	South Lakeland	South Lanarkshire	South Northamptonshire	South Oxfordshire	South Ribble	South Somerset	South Staffordshire	South Tyneside	Southampton	Southend-on-Sea	Southwark	Spelthorne	St Albans	St. Helens	Stafford	Staffordshire Moorlands	Stevenage	Stirling	Stockport	Stockton-on-Tees	Stoke-on-Trent	Stratford-on-Avon	Stroud	Sunderland	Surrey Heath	Sutton	Swale	Swansea	Swindon	Tameside	Tamworth	Tandridge	Teignbridge	Telford and Wrekin	Tendring	Test Valley	Tewkesbury	Thanet	Three Rivers	Thurrock	Tonbridge and Malling	Torbay	Tower Hamlets	Trafford	Tunbridge Wells	Uttlesford	Vale of White Horse	Wakefield	Walsall	Waltham Forest	Wandsworth	Warrington	Warwick	Watford	Waverley	Wealden	Wellingborough	Welwyn Hatfield	West Berkshire	West Dunbartonshire	West Lancashire	West Lindsey	West Lothian	West Oxfordshire	West Suffolk	Westminster	Wigan	Wiltshire	Winchester	Windsor and Maidenhead	Wirral	Woking	Wokingham	Wolverhampton	Worcester	Worthing	Wrexham	Wychavon	Wycombe	Wyre	Wyre Forest	York
2021-05-29	7334	5973	5067	3229	8572	5985	1476	15787	8340	9713	9841	11889	23755	30721	19863	4299	17719	8277	8263	8319	14503	22853	22556	102540	7189	19703	9384	30096	5080	25486	7189	50621	10855	6864	29022	6927	12661	14738	31139	6081	24672	6276	9150	7233	10203	17749	14931	5858	14261	7133	10227	26385	8237	10832	7552	16372	12705	12767	3784	9189	21312	21925	6193	4959	4333	8202	17987	2627	11413	3916	3179	5943	14315	38347	24092	2856	8012	31440	8655	7588	10448	4314	4353	20279	3007	12742	24185	11954	7890	27098	4225	7198	31768	6557	4232	5415	4913	8265	6519	2925	4909	5191	18567	9712	8959	7428	30000	12490	5320	7373	5038	6933	5291	5645	6076	11974	9664	8106	4896	13936	8299	44408	6475	10327	5563	22735	7455	3436	21867	12013	4239	13213	5222	21040	7991	7765	21172	4436	8961	6243	7135	27024	7162	8305	5148	3722	27145	6236	5738	25522	7957	8271	3029	7741	6856	15174	9212	6166	7772	20100	12574	35818	17444	24714	9607	64310	37575	4955	21907	6631	6982	7606	48725	21076	12770	2832	54766	8370	26278	2757	16439	3378	6875	12777	7852	12686	3432	20371	4448	4219	1787	11693	7423	24176	8494	35881	11457	11793	6574	6086	8757	6443	5601	22857	9755	3065	10163	12892	4396	6163	18387	17667	7500	31112	8692	5007	23543	9645	3502	9878	4734	15893	9322	14477	14273	11204	33177	9398	6273	9451	11141	21395	4719	11005	21887	6462	4905	21708	6725	5544	6933	7853	1688	23880	34525	5636	24271	5227	6956	44704	15177	15783	14808	6013	4385	4866	5862	15345	1730	5521	7646	4544	19503	4796	5976	8331	5488	8716	11471	15036	14859	22688	7503	7920	17170	8605	5420	6103	3558	21481	16081	20354	5239	3817	22242	5532	16084	13458	17674	11657	18733	5438	5598	3041	11098	10023	5452	2948	11532	6407	17969	8083	4278	29151	17084	5736	4929	5241	26402	26049	25141	22493	17979	7213	8146	5889	7951	5121	8291	6569	4503	8996	4746	8314	4145	6657	14505	29778	17457	4970	8594	24419	6934	8431	24978	6225	5368	11558	6476	10850	6740	5605	12416
2021-05-30	7338	5978	5067	3233	8577	5987	1477	15800	8341	9720	9843	11890	23760	30720	19870	4300	17720	8279	8269	8323	14570	22860	22560	102500	7201	19780	9390	30120	5086	25490	7202	50640	10860	6865	29020	6927	12660	14740	31140	6082	24700	6277	9152	7242	10200	17780	14940	5860	14270	7133	10240	26390	8238	10830	7554	16390	12720	12770	3785	9191	21330	21940	6193	4959	4335	8206	18040	2632	11410	3921	3180	5943	14320	38360	24100	2857	8014	31460	8658	7590	10450	4315	4354	20280	3008	12760	24210	11960	7891	27100	4226	7217	31790	6568	4233	5417	4914	8266	6522	2927	4909	5191	18580	9712	8959	7430	30010	12490	5326	7376	5041	6933	5292	5647	6081	11970	9665	8106	4905	13950	8302	44520	6475	10330	5564	22750	7457	3436	21870	12020	4240	13220	5224	21050	7992	7765	21180	4439	8962	6243	7137	27030	7165	8308	5148	3732	27160	6239	5738	25540	7957	8289	3031	7745	6856	15180	9217	6173	7776	20110	12590	35830	17450	24740	9607	64330	37580	4955	21910	6631	6989	7609	48730	21100	12770	2832	54870	8372	26290	2759	16450	3380	6877	12790	7859	12690	3442	20380	4450	4220	1789	11700	7429	24200	8494	35890	11470	11800	6584	6087	8760	6445	5602	22900	9760	3065	10160	12910	4397	6163	18390	17670	7502	31120	8693	5008	23570	9645	3503	9891	4741	15900	9322	14480	14300	11220	33180	9400	6275	9463	11180	21400	4727	11010	21920	6491	4905	21720	6727	5545	6937	7858	1688	23920	34530	5641	24280	5230	6959	44750	15180	15800	14810	6015	4401	4867	5863	15350	1732	5528	7649	4545	19540	4798	5980	8341	5488	8717	11480	15040	14860	22700	7506	7924	17170	8607	5420	6106	3565	21510	16090	20360	5240	3818	22250	5536	16090	13460	17680	11660	18750	5439	5603	3043	11100	10020	5454	2948	11530	6411	17970	8085	4279	29160	17080	5737	4931	5246	26400	26050	25150	22500	17980	7215	8153	5890	7952	5123	8292	6573	4503	8996	4748	8322	4147	6666	14510	29830	17460	4971	8594	24430	6936	8439	24980	6233	5368	11560	6478	10860	6742	5605	12420
2021-05-31	7348	5987	5068	3233	8586	5987	1477	15800	8342	9725	9844	11890	23760	30730	19880	4301	17720	8279	8272	8328	14660	22870	22560	102500	7214	19860	9390	30200	5092	25490	7215	50680	10860	6867	29030	6927	12670	14740	31160	6084	24720	6277	9155	7246	10210	17810	14950	5862	14270	7135	10240	26390	8239	10840	7558	16400	12730	12770	3785	9193	21360	21960	6193	4959	4335	8206	18090	2639	11410	3925	3181	5947	14330	38360	24110	2858	8016	31460	8661	7590	10450	4316	4354	20280	3009	12790	24220	11960	7891	27110	4226	7235	31800	6576	4234	5423	4915	8267	6526	2927	4910	5207	18590	9712	8962	7430	30010	12490	5332	7393	5042	6938	5292	5647	6086	11990	9666	8106	4914	13960	8309	44640	6475	10330	5564	22750	7457	3437	21870	12020	4240	13220	5227	21050	7992	7769	21190	4440	8963	6243	7138	27030	7173	8309	5152	3739	27180	6239	5738	25550	7958	8312	3031	7748	6857	15180	9217	6176	7778	20110	12590	35870	17450	24760	9612	64370	37580	4956	21910	6631	6995	7615	48730	21120	12770	2832	54970	8375	26290	2760	16450	3383	6877	12800	7868	12700	3443	20380	4450	4222	1805	11700	7437	24220	8494	35890	11480	11820	6584	6088	8763	6445	5604	22940	9772	3065	10160	12910	4398	6166	18400	17670	7506	31140	8693	5008	23590	9646	3503	9908	4743	15910	9323	14490	14330	11240	33190	9402	6275	9470	11220	21400	4736	11010	21940	6526	4906	21720	6729	5545	6940	7858	1689	23950	34540	5647	24280	5234	6959	44790	15180	15810	14810	6018	4413	4868	5863	15350	1735	5534	7652	4547	19580	4801	5980	8352	5491	8718	11480	15050	14860	22710	7506	7928	17180	8610	5420	6106	3565	21540	16090	20370	5240	3821	22250	5540	16090	13460	17680	11670	18770	5440	5607	3046	11100	10020	5454	2948	11540	6411	17970	8087	4279	29160	17100	5738	4932	5252	26420	26050	25150	22500	17980	7215	8153	5891	7952	5130	8292	6579	4504	8996	4748	8325	4147	6674	14510	29870	17460	4971	8597	24440	6936	8439	24990	6245	5368	11560	6478	10860	6742	5606	12420
2021-06-01	7356	5995	5068	3233	8592	5987	1477	15810	8345	9727	9844	11900	23760	30730	19890	4302	17730	8279	8273	8333	14740	22880	22560	102600	7228	19940	9390	30300	5094	25500	7227	50710	10860	6869	29040	6928	12670	14740	31170	6085	24740	6277	9157	7247	10210	17850	14960	5864	14270	7135	10250	26390	8240	10840	7561	16410	12750	12770	3785	9194	21380	21970	6194	4963	4336	8206	18140	2646	11410	3929	3181	5948	14330	38360	24120	2859	8019	31460	8663	7590	10450	4317	4354	20280	3009	12810	24240	11960	7892	27120	4228	7254	31810	6585	4235	5424	4916	8268	6530	2927	4911	5218	18600	9716	8962	7431	30020	12500	5338	7404	5043	6948	5292	5649	6091	12020	9668	8106	4922	13970	8314	44750	6475	10330	5566	22750	7458	3438	21880	12020	4240	13220	5229	21050	7992	7774	21190	4441	8963	6243	7140	27030	7178	8311	5159	3746	27190	6239	5738	25580	7960	8328	3031	7749	6857	15180	9218	6178	7781	20110	12590	35910	17450	24780	9617	64420	37580	4957	21910	6631	7000	7620	48730	21140	12780	2832	55060	8377	26290	2762	16450	3385	6877	12810	7876	12710	3447	20390	4450	4223	1814	11700	7441	24240	8496	35890	11480	11830	6587	6089	8766	6445	5605	22970	9780	3065	10170	12910	4400	6170	18400	17680	7509	31160	8693	5009	23620	9646	3504	9915	4748	15920	9327	14490	14350	11260	33190	9404	6275	9480	11270	21400	4744	11010	21970	6559	4907	21730	6731	5545	6942	7858	1690	23990	34550	5653	24280	5238	6959	44810	15190	15820	14820	6019	4425	4869	5864	15350	1738	5538	7656	4548	19620	4803	5980	8362	5491	8719	11480	15060	14870	22720	7506	7932	17180	8610	5420	6106	3565	21560	16090	20370	5240	3823	22260	5544	16090	13460	17690	11680	18790	5440	5611	3048	11100	10020	5454	2949	11540	6411	17970	8089	4279	29160	17120	5738	4934	5257	26440	26050	25150	22500	17980	7216	8153	5892	7953	5138	8292	6590	4508	8996	4749	8331	4149	6674	14510	29900	17460	4971	8600	24450	6936	8439	24990	6255	5370	11560	6478	10860	6742	5609	12430
2021-06-02	7363	6003	5069	3235	8598	5987	1477	15820	8346	9729	9846	11900	23760	30740	19900	4303	17730	8280	8274	8337	14810	22890	22560	102600	7243	20030	9390	30400	5099	25500	7238	50740	10860	6875	29050	6928	12670	14760	31200	6088	24760	6277	9159	7250	10220	17870	14970	5866	14270	7137	10260	26390	8241	10840	7563	16430	12760	12780	3786	9196	21410	21990	6196	4963	4337	8206	18210	2652	11420	3933	3182	5951	14330	38370	24120	2860	8019	31480	8666	7591	10450	4318	4354	20290	3010	12830	24250	11960	7892	27130	4229	7272	31830	6595	4235	5434	4916	8268	6533	2927	4912	5237	18610	9717	8964	7433	30020	12500	5344	7412	5045	6958	5292	5649	6095	12040	9669	8106	4931	13980	8318	44880	6475	10330	5566	22760	7460	3438	21880	12020	4240	13230	5231	21060	7992	7778	21200	4444	8964	6244	7142	27040	7182	8314	5164	3754	27210	6239	5741	25600	7965	8344	3031	7750	6857	15180	9221	6181	7783	20120	12590	35960	17450	24810	9622	64480	37600	4957	21930	6633	7004	7624	48730	21170	12780	2832	55130	8382	26290	2763	16450	3387	6877	12820	7884	12710	3454	20390	4450	4225	1820	11700	7447	24260	8497	35890	11490	11840	6594	6091	8769	6445	5607	23020	9786	3068	10170	12910	4401	6173	18400	17680	7511	31180	8693	5009	23640	9646	3504	9923	4754	15930	9329	14500	14380	11270	33200	9406	6275	9491	11310	21400	4752	11020	21990	6590	4909	21740	6733	5546	6945	7860	1691	24030	34560	5658	24290	5241	6959	44840	15190	15830	14820	6019	4438	4871	5865	15360	1741	5544	7659	4550	19650	4805	5980	8373	5492	8720	11480	15060	14870	22730	7506	7935	17190	8612	5420	6106	3567	21590	16100	20380	5241	3825	22260	5547	16090	13460	17690	11680	18810	5440	5615	3049	11110	10030	5454	2950	11540	6411	17970	8091	4280	29170	17140	5740	4935	5261	26460	26060	25150	22510	17990	7218	8156	5892	7954	5142	8292	6593	4509	8998	4750	8338	4150	6677	14520	29940	17470	4971	8604	24460	6936	8439	25000	6263	5372	11570	6478	10860	6742	5610	12430
2021-06-03	7367	6010	5071	3237	8603	5987	1478	15830	8348	9731	9848	11910	23770	30750	19910	4304	17730	8281	8277	8340	14870	22900	22570	102700	7252	20100	9394	30510	5101	25500	7249	50780	10860	6878	29070	6929	12670	14760	31220	6089	24780	6278	9161	7255	10230	17910	14980	5868	14270	7139	10260	26400	8241	10840	7565	16440	12770	12780	3786	9198	21430	22000	6198	4965	4338	8206	18260	2658	11420	3937	3183	5956	14330	38380	24130	2861	8020	31490	8669	7591	10450	4319	4354	20290	3011	12840	24260	11960	7893	27140	4231	7290	31850	6605	4236	5443	4916	8269	6536	2927	4916	5257	18620	9718	8967	7434	30030	12500	5349	7418	5047	6967	5293	5649	6100	12060	9670	8106	4939	13990	8322	45000	6475	10330	5569	22770	7461	3439	21890	12020	4240	13230	5233	21060	7993	7783	21210	4446	8965	6247	7144	27040	7186	8316	5169	3761	27220	6239	5743	25620	7968	8359	3032	7752	6860	15180	9225	6182	7785	20120	12590	36020	17450	24830	9625	64550	37610	4958	21940	6634	7009	7627	48740	21190	12780	2838	55230	8386	26290	2765	16450	3390	6877	12830	7891	12720	3461	20400	4450	4226	1826	11700	7451	24280	8498	35890	11490	11850	6602	6092	8771	6445	5608	23060	9792	3068	10170	12920	4402	6176	18400	17690	7514	31200	8693	5010	23660	9651	3505	9931	4760	15930	9331	14500	14400	11290	33200	9408	6276	9502	11350	21400	4761	11020	22010	6620	4910	21750	6735	5547	6947	7863	1693	24070	34570	5663	24290	5245	6959	44860	15190	15850	14820	6020	4451	4872	5867	15360	1744	5546	7662	4551	19690	4807	5980	8383	5492	8722	11480	15070	14870	22740	7507	7939	17190	8614	5420	6106	3571	21620	16100	20380	5243	3827	22270	5551	16090	13470	17690	11690	18820	5441	5619	3051	11110	10030	5454	2951	11540	6411	17980	8094	4281	29170	17150	5740	4937	5266	26480	26070	25150	22510	17990	7221	8161	5893	7955	5143	8292	6598	4511	9002	4751	8346	4152	6682	14530	29970	17480	4971	8606	24470	6936	8439	25000	6272	5376	11570	6479	10860	6742	5612	12440
2021-06-04	7375	6016	5071	3241	8608	5988	1479	15830	8350	9732	9850	11910	23770	30760	19920	4305	17730	8282	8278	8344	14930	22910	22570	102700	7264	20190	9398	30570	5104	25510	7261	50810	10860	6881	29080	6931	12670	14770	31240	6091	24810	6278	9163	7257	10240	17940	14990	5870	14280	7139	10270	26400	8242	10840	7568	16450	12780	12780	3787	9199	21460	22020	6198	4966	4340	8206	18310	2663	11420	3941	3184	5958	14340	38380	24140	2862	8023	31510	8671	7591	10450	4320	4354	20300	3012	12860	24270	11970	7894	27150	4234	7308	31860	6616	4237	5458	4917	8270	6538	2928	4920	5276	18630	9721	8968	7436	30040	12500	5355	7423	5049	6976	5293	5650	6105	12090	9671	8107	4948	14010	8326	45100	6477	10340	5570	22780	7463	3439	21890	12020	4240	13240	5235	21070	7993	7789	21220	4449	8966	6248	7146	27050	7189	8318	5179	3769	27240	6239	5744	25640	7971	8374	3034	7752	6863	15190	9229	6182	7786	20130	12590	36060	17450	24850	9631	64620	37630	4958	21950	6638	7013	7631	48750	21210	12780	2840	55320	8388	26300	2767	16450	3392	6877	12840	7898	12720	3470	20410	4450	4228	1831	11700	7453	24300	8501	35900	11490	11860	6612	6093	8774	6445	5609	23090	9797	3070	10180	12940	4403	6179	18410	17690	7516	31220	8693	5012	23680	9658	3506	9943	4768	15940	9335	14510	14430	11310	33210	9410	6278	9513	11380	21400	4769	11020	22040	6649	4911	21750	6737	5548	6950	7867	1694	24110	34580	5668	24290	5247	6961	44880	15190	15860	14830	6020	4463	4873	5868	15360	1746	5551	7665	4552	19730	4808	5980	8394	5494	8724	11480	15070	14870	22750	7510	7942	17200	8616	5429	6106	3577	21640	16100	20390	5247	3828	22280	5555	16100	13470	17700	11690	18830	5443	5623	3052	11120	10030	5454	2952	11540	6411	17980	8095	4282	29180	17180	5741	4938	5271	26490	26080	25160	22520	18000	7224	8167	5894	7955	5144	8292	6601	4518	9004	4753	8355	4154	6682	14540	30010	17480	4971	8609	24490	6937	8439	25000	6280	5379	11570	6480	10860	6744	5613	12450
2021-06-05	7381	6023	5072	3245	8612	5989	1480	15840	8352	9734	9852	11920	23770	30760	19930	4305	17730	8284	8281	8348	14990	22920	22580	102800	7265	20250	9403	30680	5106	25510	7272	50840	10860	6882	29090	6932	12670	14770	31270	6094	24830	6279	9165	7257	10260	17970	15000	5872	14280	7141	10270	26400	8243	10850	7570	16470	12800	12780	3788	9201	21480	22030	6199	4966	4342	8210	18360	2669	11420	3944	3185	5963	14340	38390	24140	2863	8023	31520	8674	7592	10450	4321	4354	20300	3013	12870	24280	11970	7896	27160	4236	7326	31880	6626	4238	5469	4918	8271	6541	2930	4925	5294	18640	9723	8968	7438	30040	12500	5360	7427	5051	6987	5294	5651	6109	12110	9673	8108	4956	14020	8329	45200	6481	10340	5570	22790	7465	3440	21900	12030	4241	13240	5237	21070	7994	7796	21230	4451	8967	6249	7148	27050	7191	8321	5184	3776	27260	6239	5745	25650	7976	8389	3036	7754	6865	15190	9234	6183	7787	20130	12600	36110	17450	24870	9637	64670	37650	4959	21950	6639	7016	7634	48770	21230	12780	2840	55420	8389	26300	2768	16450	3394	6877	12850	7905	12730	3479	20420	4450	4229	1834	11710	7454	24320	8503	35910	11490	11870	6622	6093	8777	6445	5610	23120	9801	3071	10180	12950	4404	6182	18410	17700	7518	31250	8693	5013	23710	9662	3507	9948	4775	15940	9336	14520	14450	11320	33210	9412	6280	9525	11420	21410	4777	11030	22060	6679	4911	21760	6739	5549	6952	7871	1695	24150	34590	5673	24300	5250	6963	44900	15190	15870	14840	6020	4477	4874	5869	15360	1749	5554	7668	4553	19760	4810	5980	8405	5494	8725	11480	15080	14880	22760	7512	7946	17200	8617	5433	6108	3583	21670	16110	20400	5248	3829	22280	5558	16100	13470	17700	11700	18850	5444	5627	3052	11120	10030	5456	2954	11550	6413	17980	8096	4284	29190	17200	5743	4940	5275	26500	26090	25170	22530	18000	7228	8173	5895	7956	5146	8292	6607	4523	9007	4754	8365	4155	6683	14550	30040	17490	4971	8609	24490	6939	8441	25010	6288	5381	11570	6481	10860	6745	5614	12460

Confirmed count average forecast England (bold black line in graphs) 2021-05-30 to 2021-06-05

Date	Aberdeen City	Aberdeenshire	Allerdale	Angus	Antrim and Newtownabbey	Ards and North Down	Argyll and Bute	Armagh City and Banbridge and Craigavon	Arun	Ashfield	Ashford	Aylesbury Vale	Barking and Dagenham	Barnet	Barnsley	Barrow-in-Furness	Basildon	Basingstoke and Deane	Bassetlaw	Bath and North East Somerset	Bedford	Belfast	Bexley	Birmingham	Blaby	Blackburn with Darwen	Blackpool	Bolton	Boston	Bournemouth Christchurch and Poole	Bracknell Forest	Bradford	Braintree	Breckland	Brent	Brentwood	Bridgend	Brighton and Hove	Bristol	Broadland	Bromley	Bromsgrove	Broxbourne	Broxtowe	Burnley	Bury	Calderdale	Cambridge	Camden	Cannock Chase	Canterbury	Cardiff	Carlisle	Carmarthenshire	Causeway Coast and Glens	Central Bedfordshire	Charnwood	Chelmsford	Cheltenham	Cherwell	Cheshire East	Cheshire West and Chester	Chesterfield	Chichester	Chiltern	Chorley	City of Edinburgh	Clackmannanshire	Colchester	Conwy	Copeland	Corby	Cornwall and Isles of Scilly	County Durham	Coventry	Craven	Crawley	Croydon	Dacorum	Darlington	Dartford	Daventry	Denbighshire	Derby	Derbyshire Dales	Derry City and Strabane	Doncaster	Dorset	Dover	Dudley	Dumfries and Galloway	Dundee City	Ealing	East Ayrshire	East Devon	East Dunbartonshire	East Hampshire	East Hertfordshire	East Lindsey	East Lothian	East Northamptonshire	East Renfrewshire	East Riding of Yorkshire	East Staffordshire	East Suffolk	Elmbridge	Enfield	Epping Forest	Epsom and Ewell	Erewash	Exeter	Falkirk	Fareham	Fenland	Fermanagh and Omagh	Fife	Flintshire	Folkestone and Hythe	Fylde	Gateshead	Gedling	Glasgow City	Gloucester	Gravesham	Great Yarmouth	Greenwich	Guildford	Gwynedd	Hackney	Halton	Hambleton	Hammersmith and Fulham	Harborough	Haringey	Harlow	Harrogate	Harrow	Hart	Hartlepool	Hastings	Havant	Havering	Herefordshire	Hertsmere	High Peak	Highland	Hillingdon	Hinckley and Bosworth	Horsham	Hounslow	Huntingdonshire	Hyndburn	Inverclyde	Ipswich	Isle of Wight	Islington	Kensington and Chelsea	Kettering	King's Lynn and West Norfolk	Kingston upon Hull	Kingston upon Thames	Kirklees	Knowsley	Lambeth	Lancaster	Leeds	Leicester	Lewes	Lewisham	Lichfield	Lincoln	Lisburn and Castlereagh	Liverpool	Luton	Maidstone	Malvern Hills	Manchester	Mansfield	Medway	Melton	Merton	Mid Suffolk	Mid Sussex	Mid Ulster	Mid and East Antrim	Middlesbrough	Midlothian	Milton Keynes	Mole Valley	Monmouthshire	Moray	Neath Port Talbot	Newark and Sherwood	Newcastle upon Tyne	Newcastle-under-Lyme	Newham	Newport	Newry and Mourne and Down	North Ayrshire	North East Derbyshire	North East Lincolnshire	North Hertfordshire	North Kesteven	North Lanarkshire	North Lincolnshire	North Norfolk	North Somerset	North Tyneside	North Warwickshire	North West Leicestershire	Northampton	Northumberland	Norwich	Nottingham	Nuneaton and Bedworth	Oadby and Wigston	Oldham	Oxford	Pembrokeshire	Pendle	Perth and Kinross	Peterborough	Plymouth	Portsmouth	Preston	Reading	Redbridge	Redcar and Cleveland	Redditch	Reigate and Banstead	Renfrewshire	Rhondda Cynon Taf	Ribble Valley	Richmond upon Thames	Rochdale	Rossendale	Rother	Rotherham	Rugby	Runnymede	Rushcliffe	Rushmoor	Rutland	Salford	Sandwell	Scarborough	Sefton	Selby	Sevenoaks	Sheffield	Shropshire	Slough	Solihull	Somerset West and Taunton	South Ayrshire	South Bucks	South Cambridgeshire	South Gloucestershire	South Hams	South Holland	South Kesteven	South Lakeland	South Lanarkshire	South Northamptonshire	South Oxfordshire	South Ribble	South Somerset	South Staffordshire	South Tyneside	Southampton	Southend-on-Sea	Southwark	Spelthorne	St Albans	St. Helens	Stafford	Staffordshire Moorlands	Stevenage	Stirling	Stockport	Stockton-on-Tees	Stoke-on-Trent	Stratford-on-Avon	Stroud	Sunderland	Surrey Heath	Sutton	Swale	Swansea	Swindon	Tameside	Tamworth	Tandridge	Teignbridge	Telford and Wrekin	Tendring	Test Valley	Tewkesbury	Thanet	Three Rivers	Thurrock	Tonbridge and Malling	Torbay	Tower Hamlets	Trafford	Tunbridge Wells	Uttlesford	Vale of White Horse	Wakefield	Walsall	Waltham Forest	Wandsworth	Warrington	Warwick	Watford	Waverley	Wealden	Wellingborough	Welwyn Hatfield	West Berkshire	West Dunbartonshire	West Lancashire	West Lindsey	West Lothian	West Oxfordshire	West Suffolk	Westminster	Wigan	Wiltshire	Winchester	Windsor and Maidenhead	Wirral	Woking	Wokingham	Wolverhampton	Worcester	Worthing	Wrexham	Wychavon	Wycombe	Wyre	Wyre Forest	York
2021-05-29	7334	5973	5067	3229	8572	5985	1476	15787	8340	9713	9841	11889	23755	30721	19863	4299	17719	8277	8263	8319	14503	22853	22556	102540	7189	19703	9384	30096	5080	25486	7189	50621	10855	6864	29022	6927	12661	14738	31139	6081	24672	6276	9150	7233	10203	17749	14931	5858	14261	7133	10227	26385	8237	10832	7552	16372	12705	12767	3784	9189	21312	21925	6193	4959	4333	8202	17987	2627	11413	3916	3179	5943	14315	38347	24092	2856	8012	31440	8655	7588	10448	4314	4353	20279	3007	12742	24185	11954	7890	27098	4225	7198	31768	6557	4232	5415	4913	8265	6519	2925	4909	5191	18567	9712	8959	7428	30000	12490	5320	7373	5038	6933	5291	5645	6076	11974	9664	8106	4896	13936	8299	44408	6475	10327	5563	22735	7455	3436	21867	12013	4239	13213	5222	21040	7991	7765	21172	4436	8961	6243	7135	27024	7162	8305	5148	3722	27145	6236	5738	25522	7957	8271	3029	7741	6856	15174	9212	6166	7772	20100	12574	35818	17444	24714	9607	64310	37575	4955	21907	6631	6982	7606	48725	21076	12770	2832	54766	8370	26278	2757	16439	3378	6875	12777	7852	12686	3432	20371	4448	4219	1787	11693	7423	24176	8494	35881	11457	11793	6574	6086	8757	6443	5601	22857	9755	3065	10163	12892	4396	6163	18387	17667	7500	31112	8692	5007	23543	9645	3502	9878	4734	15893	9322	14477	14273	11204	33177	9398	6273	9451	11141	21395	4719	11005	21887	6462	4905	21708	6725	5544	6933	7853	1688	23880	34525	5636	24271	5227	6956	44704	15177	15783	14808	6013	4385	4866	5862	15345	1730	5521	7646	4544	19503	4796	5976	8331	5488	8716	11471	15036	14859	22688	7503	7920	17170	8605	5420	6103	3558	21481	16081	20354	5239	3817	22242	5532	16084	13458	17674	11657	18733	5438	5598	3041	11098	10023	5452	2948	11532	6407	17969	8083	4278	29151	17084	5736	4929	5241	26402	26049	25141	22493	17979	7213	8146	5889	7951	5121	8291	6569	4503	8996	4746	8314	4145	6657	14505	29778	17457	4970	8594	24419	6934	8431	24978	6225	5368	11558	6476	10850	6740	5605	12416
2021-05-30	7339	5976	5068	3233	8575	5987	1478	15790	8342	9715	9842	11890	23760	30730	19870	4300	17720	8279	8266	8322	14540	22860	22560	102600	7194	19780	9391	30210	5083	25490	7200	50650	10860	6867	29030	6928	12660	14740	31150	6084	24690	6276	9151	7236	10220	17780	14940	5860	14270	7135	10230	26390	8238	10830	7554	16390	12720	12770	3785	9191	21330	21940	6194	4960	4334	8212	18040	2631	11420	3919	3181	5946	14320	38360	24100	2856	8014	31460	8658	7589	10450	4315	4354	20280	3008	12750	24190	11960	7890	27110	4227	7215	31790	6568	4233	5424	4915	8268	6521	2929	4913	5208	18570	9716	8960	7430	30010	12490	5324	7375	5040	6941	5292	5646	6081	11990	9666	8109	4904	13950	8302	44530	6479	10330	5564	22750	7456	3437	21870	12010	4240	13220	5225	21050	7992	7768	21180	4439	8962	6244	7136	27030	7163	8307	5154	3732	27160	6239	5739	25540	7960	8294	3031	7743	6858	15180	9218	6168	7774	20110	12590	35880	17450	24740	9612	64360	37600	4956	21910	6633	6985	7609	48730	21100	12770	2833	54850	8372	26290	2758	16450	3380	6877	12790	7858	12690	3440	20380	4451	4220	1791	11690	7427	24200	8496	35890	11460	11800	6582	6087	8760	6446	5602	22890	9761	3066	10160	12910	4397	6165	18390	17670	7502	31130	8697	5009	23570	9650	3503	9888	4740	15900	9327	14480	14300	11220	33190	9399	6276	9469	11170	21400	4729	11010	21910	6487	4905	21720	6727	5545	6935	7859	1689	23920	34530	5638	24280	5229	6959	44730	15180	15790	14810	6014	4398	4868	5864	15350	1731	5526	7650	4546	19540	4798	5980	8342	5489	8717	11480	15040	14860	22700	7507	7923	17170	8607	5424	6106	3565	21510	16090	20360	5241	3819	22250	5535	16090	13460	17680	11660	18750	5440	5601	3042	11100	10020	5455	2949	11530	6413	17970	8084	4280	29160	17100	5737	4930	5245	26420	26060	25150	22510	17980	7214	8151	5891	7951	5124	8294	6575	4507	8998	4747	8323	4146	6661	14510	29810	17460	4971	8595	24430	6936	8440	24980	6229	5370	11560	6477	10860	6743	5606	12420
2021-05-31	7349	5985	5069	3237	8578	5988	1479	15800	8344	9717	9844	11900	23760	30740	19880	4300	17720	8281	8269	8325	14590	22870	22560	102600	7197	19880	9393	30390	5087	25500	7206	50700	10860	6869	29050	6929	12660	14740	31170	6086	24700	6276	9152	7239	10230	17810	14960	5861	14270	7136	10240	26390	8239	10840	7556	16400	12720	12770	3786	9192	21350	21950	6195	4961	4335	8227	18090	2642	11420	3920	3182	5949	14320	38360	24110	2857	8015	31470	8661	7590	10450	4316	4355	20290	3009	12770	24200	11960	7891	27120	4230	7231	31810	6577	4233	5434	4916	8270	6525	2933	4915	5227	18580	9717	8962	7431	30010	12490	5327	7384	5041	6950	5293	5647	6086	12010	9667	8110	4912	13950	8305	44670	6484	10330	5565	22750	7457	3438	21880	12020	4240	13220	5227	21050	7992	7772	21180	4441	8963	6244	7137	27030	7167	8310	5159	3738	27180	6240	5740	25560	7962	8312	3033	7744	6858	15180	9221	6171	7776	20110	12600	35950	17450	24770	9616	64420	37640	4957	21920	6634	6990	7613	48740	21110	12770	2834	54940	8375	26290	2759	16450	3383	6878	12800	7862	12700	3448	20390	4451	4221	1796	11690	7431	24210	8497	35900	11460	11810	6590	6088	8762	6446	5603	22930	9770	3066	10170	12920	4398	6166	18400	17680	7505	31140	8700	5010	23590	9653	3503	9898	4747	15900	9331	14490	14320	11230	33190	9401	6276	9483	11210	21400	4739	11010	21940	6513	4906	21730	6729	5545	6938	7862	1690	23950	34540	5640	24280	5232	6961	44760	15180	15800	14820	6016	4405	4869	5865	15350	1734	5531	7653	4547	19580	4800	5981	8353	5491	8718	11480	15050	14860	22710	7508	7926	17180	8608	5425	6107	3571	21530	16090	20360	5242	3820	22250	5539	16100	13460	17680	11670	18760	5440	5602	3043	11100	10020	5456	2949	11540	6414	17970	8085	4280	29160	17110	5738	4931	5248	26430	26070	25150	22510	17990	7215	8154	5892	7952	5128	8296	6581	4510	8999	4747	8333	4147	6666	14520	29830	17460	4971	8597	24440	6936	8445	24980	6235	5370	11560	6478	10860	6745	5607	12430
2021-06-01	7357	5991	5070	3240	8580	5989	1481	15800	8345	9718	9844	11900	23770	30740	19890	4301	17730	8282	8271	8328	14640	22880	22570	102700	7202	19970	9396	30560	5090	25500	7212	50740	10860	6872	29050	6929	12670	14750	31190	6087	24710	6276	9153	7241	10240	17830	14970	5862	14270	7137	10240	26400	8240	10840	7559	16410	12730	12770	3786	9193	21370	21960	6196	4963	4336	8237	18130	2651	11420	3923	3182	5951	14320	38370	24120	2857	8017	31490	8663	7591	10450	4316	4355	20290	3010	12790	24210	11960	7891	27130	4233	7248	31830	6587	4234	5441	4917	8272	6527	2936	4916	5242	18590	9721	8963	7432	30020	12500	5331	7388	5043	6961	5294	5648	6089	12040	9668	8111	4918	13960	8307	44810	6489	10330	5565	22760	7458	3438	21880	12020	4241	13230	5228	21060	7993	7775	21190	4444	8964	6244	7138	27030	7169	8313	5165	3743	27200	6241	5740	25580	7964	8328	3035	7745	6859	15180	9223	6173	7778	20110	12610	36020	17450	24790	9618	64460	37670	4959	21920	6635	6994	7615	48750	21130	12780	2834	55020	8376	26300	2760	16450	3386	6878	12810	7865	12700	3458	20390	4451	4223	1801	11700	7433	24230	8498	35910	11460	11820	6599	6088	8763	6447	5605	22970	9776	3066	10170	12930	4399	6168	18400	17680	7507	31150	8701	5011	23600	9654	3504	9904	4755	15900	9336	14500	14330	11250	33200	9403	6278	9496	11240	21400	4748	11010	21970	6540	4906	21740	6730	5545	6941	7865	1690	23980	34540	5643	24280	5235	6962	44790	15190	15810	14820	6016	4414	4870	5865	15360	1737	5535	7654	4548	19620	4801	5983	8365	5491	8718	11480	15060	14870	22710	7508	7929	17180	8610	5425	6109	3577	21540	16090	20370	5243	3821	22250	5541	16100	13460	17680	11670	18780	5441	5604	3044	11110	10030	5457	2950	11540	6415	17970	8087	4280	29160	17120	5739	4932	5251	26440	26080	25160	22520	17990	7217	8157	5893	7952	5132	8298	6593	4515	8999	4748	8342	4148	6667	14530	29850	17470	4971	8599	24450	6937	8450	24990	6240	5371	11570	6479	10860	6746	5608	12430
2021-06-02	7365	5999	5070	3243	8583	5990	1483	15810	8346	9719	9845	11910	23770	30750	19900	4301	17730	8284	8273	8331	14690	22890	22570	102700	7208	20060	9399	30730	5094	25500	7218	50780	10860	6878	29070	6930	12670	14750	31210	6089	24720	6276	9154	7244	10250	17860	14980	5864	14270	7138	10250	26400	8240	10840	7561	16430	12730	12770	3787	9194	21390	21970	6197	4964	4338	8246	18190	2658	11420	3925	3183	5953	14320	38380	24120	2858	8019	31510	8665	7591	10460	4317	4355	20290	3011	12800	24220	11960	7892	27140	4236	7266	31860	6599	4234	5452	4918	8274	6530	2939	4918	5261	18590	9722	8965	7433	30030	12500	5334	7391	5045	6972	5294	5648	6092	12060	9669	8112	4924	13970	8309	44940	6494	10330	5566	22770	7459	3439	21890	12020	4241	13240	5230	21060	7994	7779	21190	4447	8965	6245	7139	27040	7174	8316	5171	3749	27220	6242	5742	25610	7968	8345	3038	7745	6860	15190	9228	6175	7779	20120	12620	36090	17450	24810	9621	64530	37710	4960	21930	6636	6997	7618	48750	21140	12780	2835	55080	8380	26300	2761	16460	3388	6879	12820	7869	12710	3469	20400	4452	4224	1804	11700	7436	24250	8499	35910	11470	11820	6610	6089	8765	6448	5606	23010	9782	3067	10170	12940	4400	6169	18410	17680	7509	31170	8705	5012	23620	9656	3505	9911	4764	15910	9339	14510	14360	11260	33200	9405	6279	9508	11280	21400	4758	11020	21990	6566	4907	21750	6732	5546	6943	7870	1692	24010	34550	5645	24280	5238	6964	44810	15190	15820	14820	6017	4424	4872	5868	15360	1739	5540	7657	4549	19660	4802	5984	8378	5491	8719	11480	15060	14870	22720	7509	7931	17190	8611	5426	6111	3582	21570	16100	20370	5245	3823	22260	5545	16100	13470	17690	11680	18790	5441	5605	3044	11110	10030	5459	2950	11540	6417	17980	8088	4281	29170	17130	5740	4933	5254	26450	26080	25170	22530	17990	7218	8162	5895	7953	5136	8300	6596	4518	9000	4749	8353	4149	6669	14540	29870	17470	4971	8601	24450	6938	8456	24990	6246	5373	11570	6480	10860	6748	5609	12440
2021-06-03	7371	6009	5072	3248	8586	5991	1485	15810	8348	9721	9847	11910	23780	30750	19910	4302	17730	8286	8276	8333	14730	22900	22570	102800	7213	20150	9403	30900	5097	25510	7225	50820	10860	6881	29080	6931	12670	14760	31230	6091	24730	6277	9156	7248	10260	17890	15000	5866	14270	7140	10260	26410	8241	10840	7563	16440	12740	12770	3787	9194	21410	21970	6198	4966	4339	8255	18230	2666	11420	3927	3183	5956	14330	38390	24130	2859	8020	31530	8668	7592	10460	4317	4356	20290	3011	12820	24230	11970	7893	27150	4239	7284	31870	6609	4235	5463	4919	8275	6533	2943	4921	5281	18600	9724	8967	7435	30030	12500	5336	7396	5046	6983	5295	5649	6095	12090	9671	8113	4931	13970	8311	45080	6499	10330	5567	22770	7459	3440	21890	12020	4242	13240	5231	21070	7995	7783	21200	4450	8966	6246	7140	27040	7176	8318	5177	3761	27240	6243	5744	25630	7970	8360	3041	7746	6862	15190	9232	6177	7781	20120	12630	36170	17450	24840	9622	64580	37750	4962	21940	6638	7001	7620	48760	21150	12780	2840	55160	8383	26300	2763	16460	3391	6880	12830	7873	12710	3478	20410	4453	4226	1808	11700	7438	24270	8500	35920	11470	11830	6622	6091	8766	6449	5607	23050	9788	3068	10170	12960	4400	6171	18410	17690	7511	31180	8711	5013	23640	9661	3506	9918	4773	15910	9342	14510	14380	11270	33210	9408	6280	9518	11320	21400	4767	11020	22010	6593	4908	21760	6733	5546	6946	7876	1692	24040	34550	5648	24290	5240	6966	44840	15190	15830	14830	6017	4433	4873	5868	15360	1741	5544	7661	4551	19690	4804	5985	8392	5492	8720	11490	15070	14870	22730	7509	7935	17190	8613	5428	6113	3589	21590	16100	20370	5246	3824	22260	5547	16110	13470	17690	11680	18800	5442	5607	3045	11110	10030	5461	2951	11540	6420	17980	8090	4282	29170	17140	5741	4934	5256	26460	26090	25170	22540	18000	7220	8168	5896	7954	5139	8302	6602	4521	9002	4751	8363	4150	6671	14540	29880	17480	4971	8603	24460	6938	8463	24990	6253	5375	11570	6481	10870	6750	5610	12450
2021-06-04	7380	6016	5073	3252	8588	5992	1487	15820	8350	9723	9849	11910	23780	30760	19910	4302	17730	8288	8278	8335	14780	22910	22580	102800	7218	20240	9408	31060	5101	25510	7231	50850	10860	6884	29090	6932	12670	14760	31240	6092	24740	6277	9157	7251	10270	17920	15010	5868	14280	7141	10260	26410	8241	10840	7565	16460	12740	12770	3788	9195	21430	21980	6199	4966	4341	8263	18280	2676	11420	3929	3184	5958	14330	38390	24140	2859	8021	31550	8670	7592	10460	4318	4356	20300	3012	12830	24240	11970	7894	27160	4242	7299	31890	6620	4235	5477	4919	8277	6536	2947	4923	5299	18600	9725	8968	7436	30040	12500	5339	7398	5048	6991	5296	5650	6098	12110	9672	8115	4937	13980	8312	45220	6503	10330	5567	22780	7460	3441	21900	12020	4243	13250	5233	21070	7995	7787	21200	4452	8967	6247	7141	27040	7180	8321	5184	3768	27260	6246	5744	25640	7972	8375	3043	7747	6863	15200	9235	6179	7783	20120	12650	36240	17450	24860	9624	64630	37770	4963	21940	6640	7004	7622	48770	21170	12780	2842	55250	8385	26310	2764	16470	3393	6881	12840	7876	12710	3490	20420	4454	4228	1812	11700	7439	24290	8502	35930	11470	11840	6634	6092	8768	6449	5608	23090	9793	3069	10170	12970	4401	6172	18420	17690	7513	31200	8712	5015	23660	9665	3506	9924	4782	15920	9347	14520	14400	11290	33220	9410	6282	9528	11350	21400	4777	11020	22030	6620	4909	21770	6735	5547	6948	7879	1693	24070	34550	5649	24290	5242	6968	44860	15190	15830	14830	6018	4443	4874	5869	15360	1744	5549	7664	4552	19730	4806	5988	8402	5493	8720	11490	15080	14870	22740	7510	7937	17190	8614	5431	6115	3596	21610	16100	20370	5249	3825	22270	5549	16110	13470	17690	11690	18820	5443	5609	3046	11120	10030	5462	2952	11540	6422	17980	8091	4282	29180	17150	5742	4935	5259	26460	26100	25180	22550	18000	7222	8174	5897	7955	5142	8303	6606	4527	9002	4752	8375	4152	6673	14550	29900	17480	4971	8605	24470	6939	8466	24990	6257	5377	11570	6482	10870	6752	5611	12450
2021-06-05	7387	6026	5074	3257	8591	5993	1488	15820	8351	9725	9851	11920	23780	30760	19920	4303	17730	8289	8280	8338	14820	22910	22580	102900	7220	20320	9412	31220	5104	25510	7236	50890	10860	6886	29100	6932	12680	14760	31260	6093	24760	6278	9158	7253	10280	17950	15020	5870	14280	7142	10270	26420	8242	10840	7567	16470	12750	12770	3788	9196	21450	21990	6201	4967	4342	8271	18320	2684	11420	3931	3185	5961	14330	38400	24150	2860	8022	31570	8673	7593	10460	4318	4357	20300	3013	12840	24240	11970	7895	27160	4246	7316	31900	6630	4235	5491	4920	8279	6539	2951	4925	5317	18610	9726	8969	7438	30050	12500	5341	7400	5050	7002	5297	5650	6101	12130	9673	8116	4942	13990	8315	45340	6509	10330	5568	22790	7461	3441	21900	12020	4244	13250	5234	21080	7996	7791	21210	4454	8968	6247	7142	27050	7183	8323	5189	3775	27280	6247	5745	25660	7975	8392	3046	7748	6865	15200	9239	6181	7785	20130	12660	36290	17460	24880	9626	64670	37800	4964	21950	6641	7008	7624	48780	21180	12780	2843	55320	8387	26310	2765	16470	3395	6881	12850	7880	12720	3499	20430	4455	4230	1815	11700	7440	24310	8503	35940	11470	11850	6645	6092	8769	6450	5608	23120	9798	3069	10170	12990	4402	6173	18420	17690	7515	31220	8714	5016	23680	9667	3507	9930	4790	15920	9350	14530	14420	11300	33220	9412	6284	9540	11390	21400	4787	11020	22050	6647	4909	21770	6736	5548	6951	7883	1694	24100	34560	5651	24290	5245	6970	44890	15190	15840	14840	6019	4451	4876	5870	15360	1746	5553	7667	4553	19770	4807	5990	8411	5493	8720	11490	15080	14870	22750	7512	7940	17200	8615	5432	6117	3603	21630	16100	20380	5251	3826	22270	5551	16120	13470	17690	11690	18830	5444	5610	3047	11120	10030	5463	2952	11540	6425	17980	8093	4283	29180	17150	5743	4936	5261	26470	26110	25180	22550	18000	7224	8180	5898	7955	5145	8305	6613	4531	9003	4754	8386	4153	6674	14560	29920	17480	4971	8607	24480	6939	8472	25000	6260	5377	11570	6483	10870	6754	5612	12460

Data issues

There is an issue with the reported local authority data: the last few (usually three) observations show no change.

The following graph illustrates the issue for two districts:

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Districts_of_England_(2019).svg

Further information

We believe these forecasts fill a useful gap in the short run. They give an indication of what is likely to happen in the next few days, removing some aspect of surprise. Moreover, a noticeable drop in comparison to the extrapolations could be an indication that the implemented policies are having some impact. It is difficult to understand exponential growth. We hope that these forecasts may help to convince viewers to adhere to the policies implemented by their respective governments, and keep all arguments factual and measured.
We use the data repository for the 2019 Novel Coronavirus Visual Dashboard operated by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering. This is updated daily, but we tend to update our forecasts only every other day.
US state data as of 2020-03-28 is courtesy of the New York Times.
We can only provide forecasts of what is measured. If confirmed cases are an underestimate of actual cases, then our forecasts will also be underestimates. No other epidemiological data is used. Data definition and collection differs between countries and may change over time.
We will update the methodology as we learn what is happening in the next few days or weeks. Once the number of cases levels off, there is no need to provide these forecasts anymore.
Countries where the counts are very low or stable have been omitted.
The graphs have dates on the horizontal axis (yyyy-mm-dd) and cumulative counts on the vertical axis. They show
1. bold dark grey line (with circles): observed counts (Johns Hopkins CSSE);
2. many light grey lines (with open circles): forecasts using different model settings and starting up to four periods back;
3. red line (with open circles): single forecasts path using default model settings;
4. black line (with crosses): average of all forecasts, recentered on the last observation;
5. thin green lines: some indication of uncertainty around the red forecasts, but we do not know how reliable that is.
Both the red line forecasts and the black lines are also given in the tables above. These forecasts differ, we are currently inclined to use the average forecasts.
The forecasts are constructed as follows:
1. An overall `trend' is extracted by taking a window of the data at a time. In each window we draw `straight lines' which are selected using an automatic econometric procedure (`machine learning'). All straight lines are collected and averaged, giving the trend.
2. Forecasts are made using the estimated trend, but we note that this must be done carefully, because simply extrapolating the flexible insample trend would lead to wildly fluctuating forecast. We use the `Cardt' method, which has been found to work well in other settings.
3. Residuals from the trend are also forecast, and combined with trend forecasts into an overall forecast.
Scenario forecasts are constructed very differently: smooth versions of the Chinese experience are matched at different lag lengths with the path of each country. This probably works best from the peak, or the slowdown just before (but we include it for the UK nonetheless).
The forecast evaluation shows past forecasts, together with the outcomes (in the grey line with circles).
EU-BS is Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania together.
This paper describes the methodology and gives further references. Also available as Nuffield Economics Discussion Paper 2020-W06. Still preliminary is the documentation of the medium term forecasts.

Recent changes and notes

[2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.
[2021-01-07]Slideshow of forecasts, errors, and actuals 2020-06-30 to 2021-01-02: how England lost the battle.
[2020-10-27]Statistical short-term forecasting of the COVID-19 Pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now published at the Journal of Clinical Immunology and Immunotherapy. open access
[2020-10-11]Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now in press at the International Journal of Forecasting. open access
[2020-10-10]Removed forecasts from the Chinese scenarios, while investigating possibility to use own history from the first wave.
Added information on the previous peak (if present) to the peak tables.
Local forecasts for England: now dropping last four observations.
[2020-07-01] Modified the short-term model to allow for (slowly changing) seasonality. Many countries show clear seasonality after the initial period, likely caused by institutional factors regarding data collection. This seasonality was also getting in the way of peak detection. As a consequence estimates of the peak date may have changed for countries with strong seasonality.
Added forecasts of cumulative confirmed cases for lower tier local authorities of England. The data is available from 2020-07-02 including all tests (pillar one and two). Only authorities with more than 5 cases in the previous week are included.
[2020-06-29] Tables in April included the world, but not the world as we know it (double counting China and the US). So removed the world from those old tables.
Why short-term forecasts can be better than models for predicting how pandemics evolve just appeared at The Conversation.
Thursday 2 July webinar at the FGV EESP - São Paolo School of Economics. This starts at 16:00 UK time (UTC+01:00) and streamed here.

COVID-19 short-term forecasts Confirmed 2021-05-29 lower tier local authorities of England (with more than 5 cases in the previous week).

General information

Forecasts for districts of England, one week ahead from 2021-05-29