COVID-19 short-term forecasts Confirmed 2021-06-06 lower tier local authorities of England (with more than 5 cases in the previous week).


General information

  • Forecasts produced by Jennie Castle, Jurgen Doornik, and David Hendry, researchers at the University of Oxford. These are our forecasts, and should not be considered official forecasts from, or endorsed by, any of: University of Oxford, Oxford Martin School, Nuffield College, or Magdalen College.
  • These forecasts are short term time-series extrapolations of the data. They are not based on epidemiological modelling or simulations. All forecasts are uncertain: their success can only be determined afterwards. Many mitigation strategies are in place, which, if successful, invalidate our forecasts. An explanation of our methods is provided below.
  • A list of notes is below. The most recent note:
    [2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.

Forecasts for districts of England, one week ahead from 2021-06-06

Peak increase in estimated trend of Confirmed in England 2021-06-06

Aberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterComhairle nan Eilean SiarConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
Peak date (mm-dd)12-2812-2712-2712-2612-272021-05-252021-03-2512-2607-212021-03-2512-2112-2712-0712-2112-2312-2812-2310-1312-2712-232021-01-022021-01-1112-312021-05-0912-2612-2212-292021-05-2412-2712-2912-072021-01-072021-05-0911-132021-01-0112-2110-2412-2212-2712-2712-1412-0612-2812-3012-2512-2112-2612-2212-3012-3012-2712-0710-2812-2112-2712-2612-0812-0612-2712-0812-2112-2212-2110-2812-3012-2212-2812-2512-2212-212021-01-0312-2112-2112-3010-042021-01-0412-262021-01-0512-2912-2612-2712-2112-2411-0212-2712-2812-2712-2712-2112-2512-2112-2112-282021-01-022021-02-2512-2110-1412-2712-0712-2612-2210-0412-2707-2112-2412-2910-0412-2412-2111-0912-0612-2607-2110-3112-2712-3012-2812-2112-2612-2212-2512-2112-222021-01-0609-2212-2712-2312-2712-2212-2812-2512-2512-252021-01-0412-2612-2610-0412-2112-2812-2112-2112-2712-212021-01-0512-2212-2712-2812-2112-2112-2112-2812-2712-2812-2112-2312-1312-2712-1312-2912-2212-2912-2812-2812-3012-2212-2612-212021-01-0112-2112-2812-2112-2712-2212-2812-2812-2511-0112-2212-2712-272021-05-252021-01-0611-022021-01-0312-2112-2712-2711-0212-2112-262021-04-0312-2212-2112-3112-292021-01-0212-2210-292021-01-0712-0812-2112-2112-2112-2212-212021-03-2512-3107-2112-2212-2712-0607-212021-03-1812-2812-292021-01-0311-0312-2712-0612-2707-2112-0812-2710-2612-2612-2110-0411-0112-2112-3011-0412-212021-01-0412-2712-212021-01-0112-2912-2911-0212-2807-2112-2712-2812-2612-272021-01-062021-01-062021-01-0112-062021-01-042021-05-2612-2112-312021-01-0512-2210-0412-0612-2712-2112-2712-2812-1312-3112-1310-1812-3012-2812-2712-252021-01-262021-01-0212-2912-292021-01-0312-2312-2112-2812-2912-2211-0207-2112-3012-2512-2512-2112-2912-2212-2112-2812-2612-252021-01-0412-2211-0910-0412-2112-2212-202021-01-0312-2812-2712-2212-2112-1412-2812-2612-2112-2512-252021-05-2512-2207-2112-2812-2711-0112-2112-2312-2212-2712-2112-0712-0212-2512-292021-01-0212-2612-302021-01-0412-2712-2112-2612-2112-2112-2212-2212-2712-0611-1312-2112-2712-2212-2612-0812-2111-0112-2712-2712-1512-2511-0212-2112-2212-2112-2712-2612-2012-1310-0411-0212-0710-0412-2212-282021-05-2512-2712-2912-2212-2212-2812-2712-2212-2712-3112-2812-2512-312021-05-2612-3012-2611-02
Peak daily increment 92 102 61 88 97 46 77 73 115 106 170 110 176 178 78 477 589 189 58 326 128 109 108 50 252 426 1249 11 157 65 95 58 200 50 484 142 434 228 107 524 155 233 307 319 107 508 94 186 62 122 122 211 137 99 256 87 148 354 172 194 175 107 303 41 91 268 52 197 249 283 59 91 71 65 267 19 243 5 35 53 94 288 34 551 288 38 181 598 151 69 189 72 58 246 27 170 248 187 118 322 119 87 536 296 60 52 71 76 160 106 25 51 226 206 102 163 146 107 56 146 593 273 97 74 81 69 90 74 94 119 150 125 54 38 122 82 631 92 56 180 92 451 119 34 377 218 59 201 57 401 172 103 338 103 106 136 120 476 101 159 52 76 442 57 115 452 143 83 74 134 18 237 275 148 70 100 283 198 189 311 49 107 1522 284 104 457 71 229 102 727 27 200 90 36 368 92 419 25 46 105 298 37 62 153 186 26 213 296 361 79 62 65 23 105 63 122 85 723 190 212 186 23 50 137 105 50 389 105 58 123 106 41 55 277 158 121 224 90 68 123 3 125 44 108 58 154 120 203 43 102 23 623 105 81 176 150 286 52 188 39 132 138 56 96 198 80 85 59 174 36 25 162 448 42 83 82 407 65 131 557 24 209 244 167 97 42 110 102 69 181 27 42 86 73 460 94 79 108 80 66 102 115 248 293 451 131 156 222 94 26 112 144 189 138 197 67 42 206 105 331 189 270 181 123 56 109 46 140 349 90 44 138 123 360 138 51 101 15 559 151 90 110 120 84 245 329 449 390 227 260 138 117 160 65 154 87 29 79 165 42 65 67 115 27 217 264 83 148 431 106 138 377 106 115 176 95 15 71 69 573
Days since peak 160 161 161 162 161 12 73 162 320 73 167 161 181 167 165 160 165 236 161 165 155 146 157 28 162 166 159 13 161 159 181 150 28 205 156 167 225 166 161 161 174 182 160 158 163 167 162 166 158 158 161 181 221 167 161 162 180 182 161 180 167 166 167 221 158 166 160 163 166 167 154 167 167 158 245 153 162 152 159 162 161 167 164 216 161 160 161 161 167 163 167 167 160 155 101 167 235 161 181 162 166 245 161 320 164 159 245 164 167 209 182 162 320 218 161 158 160 167 162 166 163 167 166 151 257 161 165 161 166 160 163 163 163 153 162 162 245 167 160 167 167 161 167 152 166 161 160 167 167 167 160 161 160 167 165 175 161 175 159 166 159 160 160 158 166 162 167 156 167 160 167 161 166 160 160 163 217 166 161 161 12 151 216 154 167 161 161 216 167 162 64 166 167 157 159 155 166 220 150 180 167 167 167 166 167 73 157 320 166 161 182 320 80 160 159 154 215 161 182 161 320 180 161 223 162 167 245 217 167 158 214 167 153 161 167 156 159 159 216 160 320 161 160 162 161 151 151 156 182 153 11 167 157 152 166 245 182 161 167 161 160 175 157 175 231 158 160 161 163 131 155 159 159 154 165 167 160 159 166 216 320 158 163 163 167 159 166 167 160 162 163 153 166 209 245 167 166 168 154 160 161 166 167 174 160 162 167 163 163 12 166 320 160 161 217 167 165 166 161 167 181 186 163 159 155 162 158 153 161 167 162 167 167 166 166 161 182 205 167 161 166 162 180 167 217 161 161 173 163 216 167 166 167 161 162 168 175 245 216 181 245 166 160 12 161 159 166 166 160 161 166 161 157 160 163 157 11 158 162 216
Last total 7428 6030 2939 5087 8601 3430 8602 6003 1494 15845 8368 9743 9862 12004 3884 23816 30855 20000 4312 17745 8331 8289 8364 14804 22954 22624 103415 7257 20709 9576 6188 5990 31144 5094 25579 7324 51266 10872 6895 29224 6945 12673 14844 31387 6105 24846 6302 9172 7261 10489 18193 13493 15103 5889 14423 7150 10298 26441 8249 10867 8391 7597 16568 1797 12848 12797 3860 9242 21816 22309 6204 4977 4366 8435 19012 2746 11448 299 3965 3195 5960 14369 2623 38511 24197 2873 8053 31705 8720 7597 10508 4357 4367 20326 3022 12830 24306 12005 7910 27195 4261 7537 32013 6733 3068 4242 5555 4951 8320 6545 3007 4945 5329 18653 9737 8988 6656 5928 3022 7527 30093 12517 5375 7398 5070 7026 5309 5665 6096 12188 9689 8123 3143 4976 14047 8351 45529 6561 3907 10362 5572 22887 7501 3460 22055 12073 4271 13334 5261 21202 8003 7832 21248 4468 8971 6251 7144 27100 7222 8336 5211 3793 27348 6279 5794 25663 7994 8539 3049 7752 2325 6869 15319 9319 6184 7791 20182 12691 36360 17520 25039 9696 65088 37994 4963 22065 6659 7000 7628 48995 21299 12799 3799 2841 56223 8381 26407 2779 3498 6745 16564 2285 3395 6969 12821 7882 12739 3578 20517 4480 4228 1803 11718 6251 7470 24418 8528 36021 11480 11870 6689 2022 6113 8836 6481 5620 23186 9800 3074 10213 13059 4419 6187 18472 17851 7516 31291 8766 5039 23842 76 9750 3522 10068 4906 15941 9386 14537 4217 14611 11364 33279 9418 6320 9600 11408 21413 4918 11118 2666 22282 6454 6722 4914 21787 6770 5568 6987 7906 1692 1898 24596 34672 5653 2954 5490 24432 5290 7005 44896 240 15229 15917 14914 6025 4617 4897 5890 7391 15417 1741 5556 7668 4557 19825 5626 4846 6086 8691 5497 8741 11550 15067 14906 22941 7588 7964 17253 8620 5526 6122 3643 22157 16132 20417 5265 3845 22368 5586 16184 13473 17739 11709 19016 5468 5629 3051 11196 10040 5492 3000 11545 6465 18004 8105 4290 6484 1015 29387 17524 5757 4945 7494 5316 26661 26215 25288 22781 18157 7243 8203 5906 7970 5146 8336 6609 1200 4582 9050 4765 8485 4192 6678 14695 30402 17547 4995 8628 24612 7008 8602 25076 6250 5402 11571 6483 10941 6815 5630 12488
Last daily increment 6 10 1 3 3 20 6 1 2 2 5 5 3 9 1 13 15 18 0 7 4 4 7 35 12 10 102 12 133 33 1 2 131 1 18 14 80 2 5 22 1 1 15 42 5 25 4 2 4 31 51 0 24 8 25 3 13 7 4 9 4 3 25 0 16 8 7 9 64 41 2 4 5 25 103 14 8 0 9 0 1 9 1 35 16 2 6 40 13 2 4 2 0 2 1 9 17 10 4 19 8 34 25 16 1 3 20 3 12 6 11 5 17 8 1 3 0 3 3 14 11 1 4 6 6 11 3 2 2 27 3 3 6 12 17 8 112 10 5 7 1 19 4 2 20 12 2 14 3 21 2 15 12 6 3 1 4 18 11 4 6 3 20 6 8 16 4 37 2 1 2 0 19 13 2 5 6 15 74 17 39 15 119 50 4 24 1 3 3 50 33 5 3 1 170 2 15 3 1 1 19 5 1 22 0 2 8 21 20 3 0 0 5 9 5 37 2 18 2 7 9 2 5 16 5 3 41 3 2 9 25 5 4 26 46 2 25 7 8 54 0 12 1 35 35 3 16 12 1 37 16 19 2 3 21 35 2 31 13 1 64 0 27 0 11 6 3 7 8 0 1 94 16 2 6 4 29 13 3 30 0 6 22 19 4 29 4 10 2 17 4 8 6 2 41 5 7 10 43 3 5 16 4 9 24 8 10 14 1 8 4 4 77 7 10 1 7 14 9 9 2 6 2 45 6 4 2 7 4 4 6 3 5 7 5 1 3 0 26 55 4 2 4 6 40 20 20 22 48 3 10 3 1 7 6 5 3 18 10 1 22 4 0 23 87 13 3 7 28 12 14 17 2 5 1 0 8 15 4 7
Last week 83 52 5 17 6 185 23 13 14 47 23 22 14 84 3 45 109 116 12 17 42 21 36 245 88 56 710 52 829 174 7 6 754 10 82 103 515 14 23 149 11 9 86 208 20 143 23 18 21 236 354 4 144 28 139 16 64 43 12 32 16 39 155 3 107 24 65 48 415 335 10 17 29 188 825 103 29 1 34 13 16 48 20 153 99 14 31 210 53 8 48 39 9 38 15 76 102 42 18 77 33 295 180 143 12 10 109 30 46 25 74 29 101 73 16 25 5 20 20 78 76 23 46 22 25 68 10 16 13 173 14 17 22 68 102 39 875 76 11 32 7 117 40 21 164 53 26 109 30 134 10 54 62 28 8 7 8 63 54 23 50 46 155 34 47 114 31 222 17 10 10 10 127 95 15 14 75 81 407 59 265 76 639 330 11 134 18 15 18 244 191 22 21 4 1182 5 104 15 4 3 104 12 14 76 40 23 41 130 121 29 5 13 19 20 42 198 25 118 20 63 81 7 25 72 32 17 249 37 7 43 133 20 19 76 171 14 151 58 28 250 2 84 15 168 157 42 52 44 7 282 112 74 16 35 120 214 14 171 98 13 334 8 200 7 60 38 20 51 39 1 4 620 123 13 34 19 143 55 37 159 4 42 109 78 11 185 27 28 20 63 10 26 21 12 255 22 40 86 314 9 22 69 22 42 221 74 36 71 10 95 13 67 565 41 58 24 26 107 41 71 11 59 41 240 26 29 8 79 16 31 47 13 49 27 20 7 14 3 201 359 20 15 12 60 213 128 125 249 159 24 44 12 15 21 39 36 5 68 46 17 145 41 18 159 547 77 18 27 164 63 132 84 14 27 12 7 74 68 21 61
Previous peak date07-2107-21 -- --10-2707-2112-2110-07 --12-21 --10-21 --10-25 -- -- -- --10-20 -- --10-2611-0212-2110-07 --11-0212-2710-1310-13 --10-2510-15 --11-02 --05-03 -- -- -- -- --10-1611-02 -- -- -- --10-1209-2710-2709-02 -- --10-01 -- -- --10-25 -- --10-10 -- --11-02 -- --10-2710-18 --10-20 -- --10-1307-2107-2110-14 -- -- -- --09-16 --04-2010-3110-31 --10-2910-17 -- -- --10-2110-2712-2810-01 --10-12 -- --07-2107-21 -- -- --11-0107-2110-27 -- --07-2110-27 -- -- --10-29 --10-25 --10-06 -- -- --10-18 --07-21 -- -- --07-21 -- -- --10-1710-2910-1107-21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --09-2810-2710-14 --10-12 --10-2710-28 -- -- --10-29 -- --10-1710-2707-21 --11-01 -- -- --10-1307-21 --06-11 -- -- -- -- -- --10-1310-2709-2912-2910-0804-1411-02 -- --10-31 --10-1209-2812-27 -- -- --11-0210-25 -- -- -- --10-15 -- -- --10-1212-2111-03 --09-30 -- -- --12-07 -- --11-02 -- -- --09-24 -- --10-14 -- -- --07-21 -- --10-30 -- --11-0308-02 -- --11-0211-01 --10-22 -- -- -- --07-21 --11-0211-02 --11-0212-29 --11-0310-26 --07-21 --10-1110-10 --10-19 --10-11 -- -- -- --10-13 -- -- --11-0211-0210-3107-21 --09-3010-25 -- -- --10-28 -- -- --07-21 -- --10-25 -- -- -- -- --07-21 -- -- --10-13 --10-24 -- -- -- -- --10-1710-08 --10-27 -- --10-1810-15 -- -- --10-0610-31 -- -- -- --10-1811-02 -- --10-2910-1110-18 -- -- -- -- --10-26 -- -- --10-22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --10-22 -- --10-22 -- -- -- -- --07-21 -- --07-21 -- --12-2210-1610-26 --10-2209-3010-3010-11 --11-03 --10-1910-2812-2110-17 -- --
Previous peak daily increment 605 366 80 285 134 40 260 61 40 31 75 277 233 262 1200 75 166 98 55 234 355 56 62 1167 57 72 160 31 54 39 60 292 35 121 54 62 1221 82 35 31 68 128 19 69 22 25 164 25 206 59 216 684 39 370 25 184 31 24 30 29 56 457 661 42 127 72 1697 70 33 54 60 68 57 38 22 44 139 49 59 239 44 46 349 153 428 81 75 469 56 71 480 274 2166 61 44 109 105 87 25 191 2512 91 53 969 82 56 68 1362 60 257 227 135 347 156 174 88 41 445 41 46 194 65 67 417 233 80 147 189 33 104 218 67 839 66 75 20 118 55 183 120 129 19 172 47 89 27 17 45 145 135 23 296 369 217 319 69 35 141 22 25 38 54 32 173 67
Low between peaks 0 -1 28 0 8 18 13 26 -40 8 37 20 -12 48 307 0 55 29 19 17 31 27 21 64 19 34 53 12 26 7 25 29 -43 -49 17 31 -11 -4 -19 12 1 42 -10 29 -33 9 53 8 34 -64 -2 -3 -15 -3 -35 -1 12 -10 8 -67 19 -4 -5 -8 24 23 -7 22 -41 23 15 -114 -4 18 -63 -57 -1 15 21 -2 0 18 89 20 2 23 6 120 21 21 58 7 112 21 -23 39 6 35 6 7 20 23 -12 -7 35 17 7 49 28 58 1 20 37 38 -8 22 13 -2 -20 -118 62 22 16 43 92 19 -4 26 14 33 -2 24 -7 28 24 -73 30 -2 43 43 58 -23 32 15 31 11 7 6 -49 -29 -68 -2 -2 7 77 -99 -19 20 -18 -8 8 27 12 0 -4

Confirmed count forecast England (bold red line in graphs) 2021-06-07 to 2021-06-13

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonManchesterMedwayMeltonMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-06-06 7428 6030 5087 8601 3430 8602 6003 1494 15845 8368 9743 9862 12004 23816 30855 20000 4312 17745 8331 8289 8364 14804 22954 22624 103415 7257 20709 9576 6188 5990 31144 5094 25579 7324 51266 10872 6895 29224 6945 12673 14844 31387 6105 24846 6302 9172 7261 10489 18193 15103 5889 14423 7150 10298 26441 8249 10867 8391 7597 16568 12848 12797 3860 9242 21816 22309 6204 4977 4366 8435 19012 2746 11448 3965 3195 5960 14369 2623 38511 24197 2873 8053 31705 8720 7597 10508 4357 4367 20326 3022 12830 24306 12005 7910 27195 4261 7537 32013 6733 3068 4242 5555 4951 8320 6545 3007 4945 5329 18653 9737 8988 5928 3022 7527 30093 12517 5375 7398 5070 7026 5309 5665 6096 12188 9689 8123 3143 4976 14047 8351 45529 6561 3907 10362 5572 22887 7501 3460 22055 12073 4271 13334 5261 21202 8003 7832 21248 4468 8971 6251 7144 27100 7222 8336 5211 3793 27348 6279 5794 25663 7994 8539 3049 7752 2325 6869 15319 9319 6184 7791 20182 12691 36360 17520 25039 9696 65088 37994 4963 22065 6659 7000 7628 48995 21299 12799 3799 56223 26407 2779 16564 2285 3395 6969 12821 7882 12739 3578 20517 4480 1803 11718 6251 7470 24418 8528 36021 11480 11870 6689 2022 6113 8836 6481 5620 23186 9800 3074 10213 13059 4419 6187 18472 17851 7516 31291 8766 5039 23842 9750 3522 10068 4906 15941 9386 14537 4217 14611 11364 33279 9418 6320 9600 11408 21413 4918 11118 2666 22282 6454 6722 4914 21787 6770 5568 6987 7906 24596 34672 5653 2954 5490 24432 5290 7005 44896 15229 15917 14914 6025 4617 4897 5890 7391 15417 1741 5556 7668 4557 19825 5626 4846 6086 8691 5497 8741 11550 15067 14906 22941 7588 7964 17253 8620 5526 6122 3643 22157 16132 20417 5265 3845 22368 5586 16184 13473 17739 11709 19016 5468 5629 3051 11196 10040 5492 3000 11545 6465 18004 8105 4290 6484 29387 17524 5757 4945 7494 5316 26661 26215 25288 22781 18157 7243 8203 5906 7970 5146 8336 6609 4582 9050 4765 8485 4192 6678 14695 30402 17547 4995 8628 24612 7008 8602 25076 6250 5402 11571 6483 10941 6815 5630 12488
2021-06-07 7440 6036 5087 8601 3450 8605 6005 1496 15850 8368 9745 9863 12010 23820 30880 20000 4313 17750 8333 8290 8364 14840 22970 22630 103500 7267 20850 9603 6189 5990 31270 5101 25580 7340 51350 10870 6900 29220 6946 12680 14840 31430 6105 24870 6305 9174 7263 10530 18230 15120 5892 14450 7150 10300 26440 8250 10870 8392 7601 16590 12870 12800 3869 9246 21880 22370 6204 4977 4369 8465 19160 2768 11450 3970 3196 5963 14370 2625 38530 24200 2874 8053 31730 8722 7597 10510 4358 4368 20330 3023 12840 24310 12010 7912 27200 4269 7573 32040 6755 3069 4243 5555 4951 8324 6548 3018 4946 5347 18660 9740 8988 5928 3024 7539 30100 12520 5377 7401 5073 7036 5311 5665 6099 12190 9691 8123 3153 4987 14060 8356 45590 6585 3907 10370 5572 22900 7505 3462 22080 12090 4272 13350 5264 21220 8004 7832 21260 4472 8972 6251 7145 27110 7227 8339 5213 3797 27370 6285 5803 25680 7994 8564 3052 7752 2326 6871 15340 9330 6185 7792 20190 12710 36430 17530 25080 9696 65190 37990 4964 22100 6660 7002 7631 49050 21320 12800 3802 56430 26420 2781 16580 2285 3397 6982 12830 7887 12750 3597 20520 4483 1805 11720 6251 7475 24460 8528 36040 11480 11880 6701 2023 6113 8854 6484 5622 23230 9804 3074 10210 13080 4421 6190 18470 17880 7518 31290 8773 5041 23870 9764 3524 10100 4931 15950 9386 14550 4218 14660 11380 33290 9420 6324 9618 11450 21410 4948 11140 2669 22340 6454 6753 4914 21800 6774 5570 6994 7912 24720 34670 5655 2959 5490 24460 5296 7009 44910 15230 15920 14910 6025 4642 4900 5892 7392 15420 1743 5561 7671 4558 19880 5626 4850 6101 8736 5497 8741 11560 15070 14910 22970 7600 7968 17250 8621 5536 6125 3651 22250 16140 20420 5265 3848 22390 5592 16190 13480 17750 11720 19060 5468 5632 3052 11200 10040 5493 3007 11550 6470 18000 8105 4291 6485 29420 17600 5757 4947 7495 5321 26660 26220 25310 22820 18200 7246 8211 5907 7971 5150 8340 6616 4594 9061 4767 8507 4198 6681 14730 30490 17550 4997 8628 24630 7020 8621 25080 6254 5402 11570 6485 10950 6833 5630 12500
2021-06-08 7453 6036 5087 8601 3471 8608 6005 1496 15860 8368 9749 9864 12010 23820 30910 20010 4313 17750 8333 8292 8365 14890 22970 22630 103500 7277 20970 9627 6189 5990 31450 5105 25580 7357 51430 10870 6903 29230 6946 12690 14840 31460 6105 24890 6309 9175 7265 10570 18280 15120 5892 14470 7150 10300 26440 8250 10880 8392 7603 16590 12890 12800 3881 9246 21950 22420 6206 4977 4369 8497 19300 2796 11450 3973 3196 5965 14370 2625 38530 24200 2874 8053 31730 8722 7597 10510 4358 4368 20330 3023 12860 24320 12010 7912 27200 4276 7611 32050 6782 3069 4243 5555 4952 8324 6549 3029 4947 5364 18670 9742 8988 5928 3026 7548 30100 12520 5377 7403 5073 7040 5311 5665 6108 12200 9691 8123 3159 4995 14060 8357 45710 6606 3907 10370 5572 22900 7505 3462 22110 12100 4272 13370 5264 21240 8004 7832 21270 4472 8972 6251 7147 27110 7227 8341 5216 3803 27390 6291 5809 25710 7997 8592 3052 7752 2326 6873 15360 9336 6187 7795 20190 12720 36490 17530 25120 9696 65280 38000 4964 22130 6660 7004 7633 49090 21320 12800 3806 56660 26420 2781 16580 2285 3401 6990 12840 7893 12750 3617 20520 4483 1807 11720 6251 7478 24490 8528 36040 11480 11890 6709 2023 6113 8872 6484 5622 23270 9808 3075 10210 13080 4421 6193 18470 17910 7521 31300 8773 5041 23910 9781 3524 10120 4952 15950 9386 14560 4218 14710 11400 33290 9424 6324 9632 11500 21410 4979 11170 2673 22390 6454 6785 4914 21800 6774 5570 7002 7915 24810 34680 5657 2963 5490 24490 5296 7009 44940 15230 15920 14910 6026 4661 4900 5892 7392 15420 1747 5567 7673 4558 19920 5626 4850 6121 8785 5497 8741 11560 15080 14910 23010 7615 7968 17250 8623 5550 6127 3651 22350 16140 20430 5265 3848 22410 5596 16190 13480 17750 11720 19100 5468 5632 3053 11200 10040 5493 3017 11550 6470 18000 8107 4293 6485 29450 17660 5760 4948 7495 5321 26670 26220 25330 22860 18240 7246 8217 5907 7971 5154 8340 6627 4605 9069 4767 8525 4206 6682 14750 30570 17550 4997 8630 24660 7034 8643 25080 6264 5402 11580 6488 10950 6846 5630 12500
2021-06-09 7468 6038 5087 8601 3490 8610 6005 1497 15870 8370 9750 9866 12010 23820 30940 20030 4313 17750 8333 8298 8370 14930 22980 22640 103700 7286 21100 9652 6189 5990 31600 5109 25580 7373 51510 10870 6906 29240 6946 12690 14860 31500 6107 24910 6312 9176 7269 10610 18330 15130 5892 14490 7150 10310 26450 8250 10880 8392 7606 16600 12900 12800 3892 9246 22020 22480 6207 4978 4369 8527 19440 2819 11450 3977 3197 5969 14370 2625 38530 24200 2874 8053 31740 8722 7598 10510 4358 4368 20330 3023 12870 24340 12010 7912 27210 4283 7647 32060 6807 3069 4243 5572 4953 8324 6551 3040 4950 5381 18680 9745 8988 5929 3028 7559 30110 12520 5377 7405 5073 7047 5312 5665 6115 12230 9692 8123 3165 5004 14060 8359 45850 6629 3907 10370 5574 22910 7505 3462 22130 12110 4272 13380 5264 21260 8004 7833 21280 4474 8972 6251 7149 27110 7227 8343 5222 3808 27400 6297 5818 25730 8000 8622 3053 7753 2326 6876 15380 9345 6191 7795 20190 12730 36560 17530 25160 9699 65380 38020 4964 22160 6663 7009 7635 49130 21320 12800 3810 56860 26420 2781 16590 2285 3404 7000 12850 7898 12750 3635 20520 4483 1810 11720 6252 7482 24520 8528 36040 11480 11900 6719 2024 6115 8890 6484 5622 23320 9812 3076 10210 13090 4421 6196 18470 17940 7524 31330 8773 5041 23950 9797 3524 10150 4973 15960 9386 14570 4218 14750 11410 33290 9426 6324 9647 11550 21420 5008 11200 2676 22440 6455 6816 4915 21810 6774 5570 7010 7919 24910 34690 5659 2968 5494 24520 5296 7009 44960 15230 15920 14920 6026 4682 4900 5892 7392 15420 1750 5572 7675 4559 19970 5626 4850 6139 8832 5498 8741 11560 15080 14910 23040 7628 7968 17250 8625 5562 6130 3656 22440 16140 20430 5267 3848 22430 5601 16190 13480 17760 11720 19150 5468 5632 3054 11200 10040 5493 3026 11550 6470 18010 8108 4294 6485 29480 17710 5760 4949 7495 5321 26690 26220 25350 22900 18280 7246 8224 5907 7971 5157 8340 6633 4616 9082 4768 8545 4212 6685 14780 30660 17550 4997 8631 24690 7046 8663 25080 6272 5404 11580 6490 10950 6859 5631 12500
2021-06-10 7478 6043 5091 8601 3508 8613 6006 1498 15870 8371 9753 9867 12010 23830 30960 20040 4314 17750 8333 8300 8374 14970 22980 22640 103700 7295 21220 9677 6189 5990 31740 5110 25580 7388 51590 10870 6910 29260 6946 12700 14860 31540 6111 24940 6315 9177 7275 10650 18390 15140 5892 14510 7153 10320 26460 8250 10890 8392 7609 16610 12920 12800 3901 9246 22070 22530 6208 4980 4369 8556 19560 2839 11450 3981 3198 5971 14370 2625 38530 24200 2874 8053 31760 8722 7600 10510 4358 4369 20340 3023 12880 24350 12010 7912 27220 4289 7683 32080 6831 3069 4243 5584 4956 8324 6554 3051 4953 5398 18680 9747 8989 5932 3030 7569 30110 12530 5377 7407 5073 7056 5314 5668 6120 12260 9694 8124 3172 5013 14060 8363 45990 6647 3909 10370 5575 22920 7505 3462 22150 12120 4272 13400 5264 21280 8004 7840 21280 4477 8972 6253 7151 27110 7227 8346 5228 3813 27420 6302 5827 25750 8003 8660 3055 7755 2326 6878 15400 9354 6193 7798 20190 12750 36620 17530 25200 9708 65460 38030 4964 22200 6664 7011 7638 49170 21330 12810 3813 57060 26420 2782 16600 2285 3407 7011 12860 7903 12760 3653 20520 4483 1813 11730 6254 7486 24550 8528 36040 11480 11910 6730 2025 6116 8906 6484 5622 23370 9817 3076 10210 13110 4421 6199 18470 17970 7527 31350 8773 5041 23980 9811 3524 10180 4993 15970 9386 14570 4218 14790 11430 33300 9429 6324 9662 11590 21420 5037 11220 2679 22490 6456 6846 4915 21810 6774 5570 7016 7924 25020 34700 5661 2973 5496 24550 5296 7009 44990 15230 15930 14920 6028 4704 4900 5892 7392 15420 1752 5575 7678 4560 20010 5628 4850 6155 8877 5499 8745 11560 15090 14910 23070 7640 7969 17260 8626 5573 6132 3662 22530 16140 20430 5272 3848 22450 5607 16190 13480 17770 11730 19180 5468 5632 3056 11210 10040 5493 3033 11550 6473 18010 8110 4295 6485 29510 17770 5762 4950 7495 5321 26720 26230 25370 22940 18310 7247 8231 5907 7971 5161 8340 6639 4626 9093 4770 8564 4218 6690 14810 30740 17550 4997 8633 24710 7058 8683 25080 6277 5408 11580 6492 10950 6873 5632 12510
2021-06-11 7492 6048 5092 8601 3527 8616 6007 1500 15880 8372 9755 9868 12010 23830 30990 20040 4315 17750 8333 8300 8381 15000 22990 22650 103800 7301 21330 9702 6190 5990 31880 5113 25600 7404 51670 10870 6915 29280 6946 12700 14870 31570 6111 24960 6319 9179 7276 10690 18440 15150 5892 14540 7155 10330 26460 8250 10900 8392 7613 16630 12940 12800 3911 9246 22140 22570 6210 4982 4370 8585 19690 2858 11450 3985 3199 5973 14370 2626 38530 24210 2874 8053 31780 8722 7600 10510 4358 4370 20340 3024 12890 24360 12010 7912 27230 4296 7719 32100 6854 3069 4243 5594 4956 8324 6556 3061 4958 5416 18690 9748 8993 5933 3032 7580 30120 12530 5377 7409 5074 7065 5315 5670 6124 12280 9695 8129 3179 5022 14060 8366 46110 6666 3909 10370 5575 22930 7505 3462 22180 12130 4272 13410 5264 21300 8005 7850 21290 4479 8973 6254 7152 27110 7227 8349 5238 3818 27440 6308 5830 25770 8006 8690 3058 7758 2327 6880 15420 9363 6195 7800 20200 12760 36680 17530 25240 9714 65570 38060 4964 22220 6666 7017 7640 49200 21350 12810 3816 57220 26420 2783 16610 2285 3409 7022 12870 7908 12760 3670 20520 4483 1815 11730 6254 7490 24580 8532 36050 11480 11910 6742 2026 6116 8922 6484 5623 23410 9821 3078 10220 13120 4421 6202 18470 18000 7529 31370 8775 5041 24010 9826 3524 10200 5014 15980 9386 14580 4218 14830 11450 33300 9432 6326 9678 11640 21420 5065 11240 2683 22550 6456 6876 4917 21820 6774 5570 7023 7929 25110 34710 5663 2977 5497 24580 5296 7011 45020 15230 15930 14930 6028 4726 4901 5892 7392 15420 1755 5579 7680 4561 20060 5629 4850 6171 8922 5500 8746 11560 15090 14910 23110 7652 7971 17270 8628 5584 6135 3668 22620 16140 20440 5275 3848 22460 5612 16190 13480 17780 11730 19230 5472 5632 3057 11220 10040 5493 3041 11550 6477 18010 8111 4297 6485 29540 17820 5762 4952 7496 5321 26740 26260 25390 22980 18350 7250 8238 5907 7971 5162 8340 6644 4635 9098 4771 8584 4224 6692 14830 30830 17550 4997 8639 24730 7069 8703 25100 6283 5409 11580 6494 10950 6887 5633 12520
2021-06-12 7505 6055 5093 8601 3544 8619 6009 1501 15890 8375 9756 9870 12010 23830 31010 20060 4316 17750 8333 8302 8386 15040 23000 22650 103900 7306 21410 9727 6190 5991 32000 5114 25610 7420 51740 10880 6918 29300 6947 12700 14880 31610 6114 24980 6322 9181 7278 10720 18480 15160 5894 14560 7157 10330 26470 8250 10900 8392 7616 16650 12960 12800 3920 9246 22190 22620 6210 4984 4372 8613 19780 2876 11450 3989 3200 5977 14370 2627 38530 24210 2874 8053 31800 8722 7600 10510 4358 4371 20350 3025 12910 24370 12020 7912 27240 4302 7755 32120 6876 3069 4244 5612 4956 8324 6559 3072 4962 5433 18700 9750 8996 5935 3034 7591 30130 12530 5377 7411 5076 7075 5317 5672 6128 12300 9697 8130 3185 5032 14070 8370 46220 6681 3909 10370 5576 22950 7505 3464 22200 12140 4272 13430 5266 21320 8006 7856 21300 4483 8974 6255 7154 27110 7231 8352 5246 3824 27460 6313 5835 25780 8008 8717 3061 7758 2328 6882 15440 9373 6196 7800 20210 12770 36730 17530 25280 9723 65660 38080 4965 22250 6670 7021 7642 49240 21370 12810 3819 57360 26430 2785 16620 2285 3411 7033 12880 7913 12770 3687 20520 4484 1818 11730 6255 7495 24610 8532 36060 11490 11920 6754 2027 6116 8938 6484 5625 23450 9826 3078 10220 13140 4422 6205 18470 18020 7531 31400 8779 5041 24050 9839 3525 10230 5035 15980 9386 14590 4218 14870 11460 33310 9434 6329 9695 11670 21420 5093 11260 2686 22580 6458 6906 4918 21830 6776 5570 7029 7934 25180 34730 5665 2982 5499 24610 5296 7014 45030 15230 15930 14940 6028 4749 4903 5892 7392 15420 1757 5580 7683 4562 20100 5632 4850 6187 8966 5500 8750 11560 15100 14920 23140 7664 7975 17270 8628 5595 6138 3676 22700 16150 20450 5277 3848 22470 5618 16190 13480 17780 11740 19260 5473 5633 3058 11230 10040 5493 3048 11550 6481 18020 8114 4298 6485 29570 17870 5764 4954 7497 5321 26770 26270 25410 23010 18380 7255 8245 5908 7971 5164 8343 6647 4642 9110 4773 8604 4230 6693 14850 30900 17560 4998 8640 24750 7080 8722 25110 6287 5411 11580 6496 10950 6901 5637 12530
2021-06-13 7513 6061 5095 8602 3562 8622 6011 1503 15900 8379 9760 9873 12010 23840 31020 20070 4317 17760 8333 8306 8393 15080 23010 22660 104000 7315 21530 9752 6191 5991 32130 5116 25620 7435 51810 10880 6923 29310 6949 12700 14890 31640 6119 25000 6325 9183 7282 10750 18520 15180 5896 14580 7159 10340 26470 8250 10910 8392 7620 16660 12970 12800 3929 9246 22250 22650 6212 4986 4375 8642 19870 2894 11450 3994 3201 5978 14380 2629 38530 24230 2875 8057 31820 8722 7602 10510 4358 4372 20350 3026 12920 24380 12020 7912 27250 4309 7790 32140 6898 3069 4245 5627 4957 8324 6561 3082 4965 5450 18710 9751 8999 5938 3036 7602 30130 12530 5377 7413 5078 7086 5318 5674 6131 12320 9699 8133 3188 5042 14080 8375 46330 6685 3913 10370 5577 22960 7506 3466 22220 12150 4272 13440 5268 21340 8007 7868 21310 4486 8974 6256 7155 27120 7235 8355 5252 3829 27480 6318 5843 25790 8011 8745 3064 7760 2330 6884 15450 9383 6198 7803 20210 12790 36800 17530 25320 9732 65770 38120 4966 22260 6671 7026 7644 49270 21390 12820 3822 57510 26440 2787 16640 2285 3413 7045 12880 7918 12770 3704 20520 4487 1820 11730 6261 7499 24640 8535 36080 11490 11930 6767 2027 6120 8954 6486 5626 23490 9830 3079 10220 13160 4423 6208 18490 18050 7533 31430 8785 5042 24090 9853 3527 10260 5055 15980 9398 14600 4219 14900 11480 33320 9437 6333 9711 11710 21420 5121 11280 2689 22630 6458 6936 4918 21840 6779 5570 7035 7939 25260 34740 5667 2987 5501 24640 5301 7018 45050 15240 15940 14950 6031 4773 4905 5892 7392 15430 1759 5587 7685 4563 20150 5636 4851 6202 9011 5502 8753 11560 15100 14920 23170 7675 7978 17280 8629 5605 6140 3684 22790 16150 20450 5278 3848 22480 5623 16190 13490 17790 11740 19290 5477 5636 3059 11230 10050 5493 3055 11550 6486 18020 8118 4300 6485 29600 17930 5766 4955 7498 5321 26800 26280 25420 23050 18410 7259 8253 5909 7972 5169 8347 6651 4654 9115 4774 8624 4235 6693 14870 30970 17570 5000 8645 24770 7090 8741 25120 6291 5414 11590 6498 10960 6915 5640 12540

Confirmed count average forecast England (bold black line in graphs) 2021-06-07 to 2021-06-13

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonManchesterMedwayMeltonMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-06-06 7428 6030 5087 8601 3430 8602 6003 1494 15845 8368 9743 9862 12004 23816 30855 20000 4312 17745 8331 8289 8364 14804 22954 22624 103415 7257 20709 9576 6188 5990 31144 5094 25579 7324 51266 10872 6895 29224 6945 12673 14844 31387 6105 24846 6302 9172 7261 10489 18193 15103 5889 14423 7150 10298 26441 8249 10867 8391 7597 16568 12848 12797 3860 9242 21816 22309 6204 4977 4366 8435 19012 2746 11448 3965 3195 5960 14369 2623 38511 24197 2873 8053 31705 8720 7597 10508 4357 4367 20326 3022 12830 24306 12005 7910 27195 4261 7537 32013 6733 3068 4242 5555 4951 8320 6545 3007 4945 5329 18653 9737 8988 5928 3022 7527 30093 12517 5375 7398 5070 7026 5309 5665 6096 12188 9689 8123 3143 4976 14047 8351 45529 6561 3907 10362 5572 22887 7501 3460 22055 12073 4271 13334 5261 21202 8003 7832 21248 4468 8971 6251 7144 27100 7222 8336 5211 3793 27348 6279 5794 25663 7994 8539 3049 7752 2325 6869 15319 9319 6184 7791 20182 12691 36360 17520 25039 9696 65088 37994 4963 22065 6659 7000 7628 48995 21299 12799 3799 56223 26407 2779 16564 2285 3395 6969 12821 7882 12739 3578 20517 4480 1803 11718 6251 7470 24418 8528 36021 11480 11870 6689 2022 6113 8836 6481 5620 23186 9800 3074 10213 13059 4419 6187 18472 17851 7516 31291 8766 5039 23842 9750 3522 10068 4906 15941 9386 14537 4217 14611 11364 33279 9418 6320 9600 11408 21413 4918 11118 2666 22282 6454 6722 4914 21787 6770 5568 6987 7906 24596 34672 5653 2954 5490 24432 5290 7005 44896 15229 15917 14914 6025 4617 4897 5890 7391 15417 1741 5556 7668 4557 19825 5626 4846 6086 8691 5497 8741 11550 15067 14906 22941 7588 7964 17253 8620 5526 6122 3643 22157 16132 20417 5265 3845 22368 5586 16184 13473 17739 11709 19016 5468 5629 3051 11196 10040 5492 3000 11545 6465 18004 8105 4290 6484 29387 17524 5757 4945 7494 5316 26661 26215 25288 22781 18157 7243 8203 5906 7970 5146 8336 6609 4582 9050 4765 8485 4192 6678 14695 30402 17547 4995 8628 24612 7008 8602 25076 6250 5402 11571 6483 10941 6815 5630 12488
2021-06-07 7441 6039 5088 8602 3449 8606 6005 1496 15850 8371 9746 9864 12020 23820 30870 20010 4313 17750 8336 8292 8368 14840 22970 22630 103500 7267 20840 9600 6189 5991 31270 5097 25590 7340 51340 10870 6900 29250 6946 12680 14850 31420 6107 24870 6304 9174 7264 10520 18250 15120 5893 14440 7152 10310 26450 8251 10870 8392 7600 16590 12860 12800 3868 9246 21870 22360 6205 4979 4370 8466 19130 2758 11450 3971 3196 5962 14380 2624 38530 24210 2874 8059 31740 8727 7598 10510 4361 4368 20330 3023 12840 24320 12010 7912 27210 4267 7574 32040 6754 3069 4243 5570 4956 8325 6549 3016 4948 5348 18660 9740 8990 5930 3024 7538 30100 12520 5379 7402 5073 7038 5311 5666 6099 12210 9691 8125 3148 4988 14060 8356 45660 6572 3909 10370 5573 22900 7504 3461 22080 12080 4273 13350 5264 21220 8004 7839 21260 4472 8973 6252 7146 27110 7228 8339 5218 3801 27370 6285 5799 25680 7996 8576 3051 7753 2326 6871 15340 9331 6185 7794 20190 12710 36430 17530 25080 9703 65190 38040 4965 22080 6661 7003 7631 49030 21320 12800 3801 56400 26420 2781 16580 2287 3397 6983 12830 7883 12740 3596 20530 4483 1804 11720 6254 7474 24450 8530 36040 11480 11880 6701 2024 6116 8845 6485 5622 23230 9805 3075 10220 13080 4421 6190 18480 17880 7518 31310 8773 5042 23890 9761 3524 10090 4928 15950 9393 14550 4218 14650 11380 33290 9420 6323 9618 11440 21420 4943 11130 2667 22330 6455 6753 4915 21800 6774 5570 6993 7913 24680 34680 5656 2959 5492 24450 5298 7009 44920 15240 15930 14930 6027 4642 4899 5894 7394 15430 1743 5560 7671 4558 19870 5628 4850 6099 8731 5498 8743 11560 15070 14910 22970 7597 7969 17260 8621 5537 6125 3650 22240 16140 20420 5266 3848 22380 5593 16190 13480 17750 11710 19050 5471 5632 3053 11200 10040 5496 3006 11550 6470 18010 8107 4291 6486 29410 17570 5759 4947 7496 5322 26680 26230 25310 22810 18190 7245 8212 5909 7971 5151 8341 6614 4593 9056 4767 8505 4196 6680 14720 30470 17560 4997 8632 24630 7017 8622 25090 6253 5405 11570 6484 10950 6825 5633 12500
2021-06-08 7453 6046 5089 8603 3463 8608 6006 1498 15860 8374 9749 9867 12030 23830 30880 20020 4313 17750 8340 8294 8370 14880 22970 22630 103600 7277 20970 9616 6189 5992 31410 5099 25590 7356 51410 10870 6905 29260 6948 12680 14850 31450 6108 24890 6306 9176 7265 10550 18300 15140 5894 14460 7153 10310 26450 8251 10870 8392 7602 16600 12880 12800 3876 9247 21930 22400 6207 4980 4371 8489 19240 2770 11450 3975 3196 5965 14380 2626 38540 24220 2876 8062 31750 8731 7600 10520 4362 4369 20340 3024 12850 24330 12010 7914 27220 4272 7609 32070 6774 3069 4243 5577 4962 8327 6551 3025 4951 5368 18670 9744 8991 5930 3025 7546 30110 12520 5383 7403 5075 7051 5313 5667 6102 12240 9693 8127 3150 4998 14070 8358 45800 6584 3910 10370 5573 22910 7504 3462 22090 12080 4276 13360 5265 21230 8005 7844 21260 4476 8973 6253 7147 27110 7229 8343 5224 3810 27390 6290 5803 25700 8001 8607 3054 7753 2326 6874 15350 9341 6187 7797 20190 12730 36490 17530 25110 9704 65270 38080 4965 22090 6662 7005 7632 49060 21330 12800 3804 56580 26430 2782 16590 2287 3400 6989 12830 7887 12750 3611 20540 4485 1807 11720 6255 7477 24460 8532 36050 11480 11880 6716 2025 6117 8848 6487 5623 23280 9809 3075 10220 13100 4421 6193 18490 17890 7520 31330 8778 5044 23920 9772 3525 10110 4945 15950 9397 14550 4218 14690 11410 33300 9424 6325 9634 11480 21420 4965 11140 2668 22380 6455 6789 4915 21810 6776 5571 6997 7919 24760 34690 5658 2964 5492 24460 5299 7013 44940 15240 15940 14930 6028 4666 4901 5895 7396 15430 1745 5565 7673 4559 19910 5629 4851 6112 8771 5499 8744 11560 15070 14910 23000 7605 7973 17270 8623 5549 6129 3658 22310 16140 20430 5268 3849 22390 5598 16210 13480 17750 11720 19080 5473 5634 3053 11210 10040 5500 3012 11550 6475 18010 8109 4291 6486 29420 17610 5762 4948 7496 5326 26690 26250 25320 22850 18200 7246 8220 5910 7971 5155 8343 6623 4603 9058 4769 8520 4201 6681 14740 30530 17560 4997 8634 24660 7022 8643 25090 6259 5407 11580 6485 10960 6829 5635 12500
2021-06-09 7465 6053 5090 8604 3483 8611 6008 1500 15860 8376 9750 9869 12040 23840 30900 20040 4313 17750 8344 8297 8375 14920 22980 22630 103700 7286 21110 9634 6189 5993 31540 5101 25600 7373 51470 10870 6908 29280 6949 12680 14860 31480 6109 24910 6308 9178 7268 10580 18350 15150 5896 14470 7154 10320 26460 8252 10870 8392 7604 16610 12890 12800 3884 9248 21990 22440 6209 4982 4373 8513 19360 2781 11460 3978 3198 5968 14380 2627 38550 24230 2877 8065 31780 8734 7601 10530 4364 4370 20340 3024 12860 24340 12020 7915 27230 4277 7644 32100 6798 3070 4244 5596 4966 8330 6553 3033 4954 5388 18670 9748 8992 5932 3026 7555 30120 12530 5388 7406 5076 7062 5315 5668 6105 12270 9695 8128 3153 5006 14070 8360 45950 6595 3911 10370 5574 22920 7505 3463 22110 12080 4279 13380 5266 21250 8007 7849 21270 4480 8974 6253 7148 27110 7238 8346 5231 3821 27410 6295 5809 25720 8005 8638 3057 7754 2326 6877 15370 9352 6189 7797 20200 12740 36570 17530 25160 9708 65360 38130 4966 22100 6664 7008 7633 49090 21350 12810 3806 56760 26440 2783 16610 2288 3402 6995 12840 7890 12760 3628 20560 4487 1809 11720 6256 7482 24480 8535 36060 11480 11890 6731 2026 6119 8851 6490 5623 23330 9813 3076 10230 13110 4422 6195 18490 17910 7522 31350 8784 5045 23950 9785 3526 10130 4964 15960 9403 14560 4218 14730 11430 33310 9426 6327 9653 11530 21420 4987 11160 2669 22430 6456 6822 4916 21820 6778 5572 7000 7926 24840 34700 5660 2968 5495 24480 5300 7017 44960 15240 15950 14940 6028 4689 4903 5896 7397 15440 1747 5570 7677 4561 19950 5631 4853 6125 8810 5500 8744 11570 15080 14910 23020 7611 7976 17280 8625 5565 6132 3666 22380 16140 20430 5270 3851 22410 5604 16220 13480 17760 11720 19120 5474 5636 3054 11220 10040 5503 3018 11550 6480 18010 8110 4292 6486 29440 17640 5764 4948 7496 5331 26710 26270 25340 22880 18220 7246 8227 5911 7973 5158 8347 6628 4613 9062 4771 8538 4207 6683 14760 30590 17570 4997 8637 24690 7029 8663 25100 6263 5410 11580 6487 10960 6834 5637 12510
2021-06-10 7475 6064 5093 8604 3503 8613 6010 1502 15860 8378 9752 9871 12050 23840 30910 20050 4313 17760 8347 8299 8378 14950 22990 22640 103800 7295 21240 9652 6190 5993 31680 5103 25610 7389 51540 10870 6911 29300 6950 12680 14860 31510 6112 24930 6310 9180 7272 10620 18400 15170 5898 14480 7157 10330 26460 8253 10880 8392 7607 16630 12900 12800 3891 9249 22040 22480 6211 4983 4374 8541 19470 2793 11460 3982 3200 5970 14390 2628 38570 24240 2878 8067 31800 8737 7603 10530 4365 4371 20350 3025 12870 24350 12020 7917 27240 4282 7679 32120 6821 3070 4244 5611 4970 8331 6555 3042 4956 5408 18680 9751 8994 5935 3028 7564 30120 12530 5391 7407 5078 7075 5316 5671 6108 12300 9697 8130 3156 5014 14080 8362 46090 6605 3912 10370 5575 22930 7506 3463 22130 12090 4282 13390 5268 21260 8008 7856 21270 4483 8975 6255 7149 27120 7242 8349 5238 3830 27430 6300 5816 25740 8009 8674 3061 7755 2327 6880 15380 9364 6190 7800 20210 12760 36630 17540 25200 9713 65440 38180 4966 22120 6666 7010 7635 49120 21360 12810 3809 56930 26450 2785 16620 2289 3404 7002 12850 7893 12760 3647 20570 4489 1812 11720 6258 7485 24510 8537 36070 11490 11900 6746 2027 6121 8855 6493 5624 23380 9817 3077 10230 13130 4423 6197 18500 17920 7523 31370 8789 5046 23980 9799 3527 10150 4983 15960 9408 14560 4218 14770 11450 33310 9429 6330 9671 11570 21420 5010 11160 2670 22470 6457 6854 4916 21830 6781 5572 7004 7933 24930 34710 5663 2973 5496 24500 5302 7021 44980 15250 15960 14950 6029 4713 4904 5897 7399 15440 1748 5573 7679 4562 20000 5632 4855 6139 8853 5501 8746 11570 15080 14920 23050 7617 7980 17280 8626 5576 6136 3677 22450 16150 20430 5275 3853 22420 5610 16230 13480 17760 11730 19150 5475 5638 3055 11230 10050 5507 3025 11550 6486 18020 8112 4293 6487 29450 17670 5766 4949 7497 5334 26720 26280 25360 22920 18230 7248 8235 5914 7974 5162 8352 6634 4622 9065 4773 8556 4211 6687 14780 30640 17580 4997 8639 24700 7034 8685 25100 6267 5413 11580 6488 10970 6838 5639 12520
2021-06-11 7488 6070 5094 8604 3522 8616 6012 1504 15870 8379 9752 9873 12060 23850 30920 20060 4314 17760 8350 8301 8383 14990 23000 22640 103900 7303 21350 9671 6190 5993 31800 5105 25620 7404 51610 10870 6916 29320 6951 12680 14870 31540 6113 24950 6311 9182 7274 10650 18440 15180 5900 14500 7159 10340 26470 8253 10880 8392 7610 16650 12910 12800 3900 9250 22100 22520 6212 4984 4376 8562 19580 2805 11460 3987 3201 5973 14390 2630 38580 24250 2879 8070 31830 8741 7604 10540 4368 4373 20350 3026 12880 24360 12030 7919 27250 4287 7715 32140 6841 3071 4244 5623 4971 8333 6558 3051 4960 5427 18680 9753 8997 5936 3030 7573 30130 12530 5394 7408 5080 7087 5318 5674 6110 12320 9699 8134 3159 5023 14090 8364 46230 6614 3912 10370 5575 22940 7507 3465 22150 12090 4285 13400 5269 21270 8009 7863 21280 4487 8976 6256 7149 27120 7246 8352 5246 3839 27460 6306 5818 25760 8013 8705 3064 7756 2327 6882 15400 9374 6192 7802 20210 12770 36700 17540 25230 9716 65530 38230 4967 22130 6668 7013 7636 49150 21370 12810 3811 57080 26450 2787 16640 2289 3406 7010 12860 7895 12760 3663 20590 4492 1815 11720 6258 7486 24530 8540 36080 11490 11900 6761 2028 6122 8857 6496 5626 23430 9821 3078 10230 13150 4425 6198 18510 17940 7525 31390 8794 5048 24010 9810 3528 10170 5001 15960 9413 14570 4219 14810 11470 33320 9432 6332 9688 11610 21420 5032 11170 2671 22520 6458 6886 4917 21830 6783 5573 7008 7938 25020 34710 5665 2977 5497 24510 5305 7024 45000 15250 15970 14960 6029 4736 4907 5899 7401 15450 1750 5577 7684 4563 20050 5634 4857 6152 8890 5502 8747 11580 15090 14920 23070 7624 7984 17290 8628 5585 6139 3686 22530 16150 20430 5278 3854 22430 5615 16240 13480 17770 11740 19180 5477 5640 3055 11240 10050 5510 3030 11550 6492 18020 8114 4294 6487 29460 17700 5767 4950 7498 5336 26730 26300 25380 22940 18250 7251 8241 5915 7975 5164 8355 6638 4631 9066 4775 8576 4214 6688 14800 30700 17580 4997 8642 24720 7039 8705 25110 6270 5415 11580 6489 10980 6844 5641 12530
2021-06-12 7498 6077 5095 8604 3535 8619 6014 1506 15870 8382 9753 9874 12070 23850 30930 20070 4314 17760 8354 8304 8385 15020 23010 22640 104000 7311 21460 9691 6191 5994 31920 5108 25620 7419 51680 10870 6921 29340 6953 12690 14870 31570 6115 24980 6313 9184 7275 10670 18490 15200 5903 14510 7160 10340 26470 8254 10880 8393 7614 16660 12920 12800 3907 9251 22140 22560 6213 4985 4378 8580 19660 2816 11460 3991 3203 5976 14400 2632 38600 24260 2881 8072 31850 8745 7605 10550 4370 4374 20350 3027 12890 24360 12030 7920 27260 4293 7750 32160 6859 3071 4245 5636 4973 8335 6559 3058 4962 5447 18690 9755 8999 5937 3031 7582 30140 12530 5398 7411 5082 7099 5319 5675 6112 12340 9701 8136 3162 5034 14100 8365 46330 6625 3913 10370 5576 22950 7508 3466 22170 12090 4288 13420 5271 21280 8010 7869 21280 4490 8977 6257 7150 27130 7249 8355 5254 3848 27480 6311 5822 25780 8016 8734 3068 7756 2328 6884 15410 9382 6193 7803 20210 12790 36760 17550 25270 9718 65600 38270 4968 22150 6671 7016 7638 49180 21390 12820 3813 57230 26460 2788 16650 2290 3408 7017 12860 7898 12770 3676 20600 4494 1818 11730 6259 7488 24550 8542 36100 11490 11910 6777 2028 6123 8860 6498 5627 23470 9825 3078 10240 13170 4426 6200 18510 17960 7527 31410 8798 5050 24040 9821 3530 10180 5015 15960 9417 14570 4219 14850 11490 33330 9434 6336 9705 11650 21420 5055 11180 2673 22550 6459 6918 4918 21840 6786 5574 7012 7943 25100 34720 5667 2981 5497 24520 5309 7028 45020 15250 15970 14970 6030 4757 4909 5901 7402 15450 1751 5581 7686 4564 20080 5636 4860 6164 8922 5503 8748 11590 15090 14920 23090 7630 7988 17290 8629 5596 6141 3695 22590 16160 20440 5280 3855 22440 5620 16250 13490 17770 11740 19210 5479 5643 3056 11250 10050 5514 3036 11550 6498 18020 8116 4294 6487 29480 17730 5768 4952 7499 5339 26740 26320 25390 22970 18260 7253 8248 5916 7975 5168 8358 6643 4638 9069 4777 8592 4218 6689 14820 30740 17590 4997 8645 24740 7044 8723 25110 6273 5417 11580 6490 10980 6850 5644 12540
2021-06-13 7505 6082 5096 8605 3549 8622 6016 1508 15880 8383 9755 9876 12090 23860 30940 20080 4314 17760 8358 8306 8388 15060 23020 22650 104100 7320 21570 9711 6191 5995 32050 5110 25630 7434 51750 10880 6924 29350 6954 12690 14880 31600 6117 25000 6315 9186 7278 10710 18540 15210 5905 14530 7161 10350 26480 8255 10880 8393 7618 16680 12930 12800 3914 9252 22190 22600 6215 4986 4380 8597 19750 2826 11460 3995 3204 5978 14400 2633 38610 24260 2882 8075 31880 8749 7606 10550 4371 4375 20360 3027 12900 24370 12030 7922 27270 4298 7783 32180 6877 3072 4245 5650 4976 8338 6562 3066 4965 5466 18700 9758 9000 5938 3033 7592 30150 12530 5401 7412 5085 7112 5321 5676 6113 12370 9703 8138 3164 5042 14110 8367 46450 6632 3914 10370 5577 22960 7509 3468 22190 12090 4291 13430 5273 21300 8011 7876 21290 4493 8978 6258 7151 27130 7251 8358 5260 3858 27500 6316 5827 25790 8019 8760 3071 7757 2329 6887 15430 9392 6195 7805 20220 12810 36820 17550 25300 9720 65680 38310 4968 22160 6673 7019 7639 49210 21410 12820 3816 57370 26470 2790 16670 2291 3410 7024 12870 7900 12780 3688 20610 4498 1820 11730 6261 7489 24570 8545 36110 11490 11910 6792 2029 6125 8863 6501 5629 23520 9829 3079 10240 13180 4427 6202 18520 17970 7528 31430 8803 5052 24070 9834 3532 10200 5031 15970 9425 14580 4219 14890 11510 33340 9437 6339 9722 11690 21420 5078 11190 2674 22600 6459 6950 4918 21850 6790 5575 7015 7950 25170 34720 5669 2985 5498 24530 5312 7033 45040 15260 15980 14970 6031 4781 4912 5902 7403 15460 1752 5586 7689 4566 20120 5637 4862 6177 8957 5504 8749 11590 15100 14920 23110 7636 7992 17300 8631 5609 6144 3704 22660 16160 20440 5282 3857 22460 5627 16260 13490 17780 11750 19230 5480 5646 3057 11250 10050 5518 3042 11550 6505 18030 8118 4295 6487 29490 17760 5769 4953 7499 5342 26750 26340 25410 23000 18280 7256 8255 5918 7975 5171 8361 6647 4646 9069 4780 8610 4222 6690 14840 30790 17600 4998 8648 24760 7048 8742 25110 6277 5420 11580 6491 10990 6856 5646 12550

Data issues

    There is an issue with the reported local authority data: the last few (usually three) observations show no change. To handle this, we remove the last two observations. This then reflect the reporting delay of the data, but also implies that we cannot precisely distinguish between a count of zero cases and a delayed count.
    The forecasts from 2020-10-11 use a four day delay (so ignoring the last four days of reported cases), to reflect delays in reporting data in many areas. Otherwise we use a two day delay.

    The following graph illustrates the issue for two districts:

Further information

  • We believe these forecasts fill a useful gap in the short run. They give an indication of what is likely to happen in the next few days, removing some aspect of surprise. Moreover, a noticeable drop in comparison to the extrapolations could be an indication that the implemented policies are having some impact. It is difficult to understand exponential growth. We hope that these forecasts may help to convince viewers to adhere to the policies implemented by their respective governments, and keep all arguments factual and measured.
  • We use the data repository for the 2019 Novel Coronavirus Visual Dashboard operated by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering. This is updated daily, but we tend to update our forecasts only every other day.
    US state data as of 2020-03-28 is courtesy of the New York Times.
  • We can only provide forecasts of what is measured. If confirmed cases are an underestimate of actual cases, then our forecasts will also be underestimates. No other epidemiological data is used. Data definition and collection differs between countries and may change over time.
  • We will update the methodology as we learn what is happening in the next few days or weeks. Once the number of cases levels off, there is no need to provide these forecasts anymore.
  • Countries where the counts are very low or stable have been omitted.
  • The graphs have dates on the horizontal axis (yyyy-mm-dd) and cumulative counts on the vertical axis. They show
    1. bold dark grey line (with circles): observed counts (Johns Hopkins CSSE);
    2. many light grey lines (with open circles): forecasts using different model settings and starting up to four periods back;
    3. red line (with open circles): single forecasts path using default model settings;
    4. black line (with crosses): average of all forecasts, recentered on the last observation;
    5. thin green lines: some indication of uncertainty around the red forecasts, but we do not know how reliable that is.
    Both the red line forecasts and the black lines are also given in the tables above. These forecasts differ, we are currently inclined to use the average forecasts.
  • The forecasts are constructed as follows:
    1. An overall `trend' is extracted by taking a window of the data at a time. In each window we draw `straight lines' which are selected using an automatic econometric procedure (`machine learning'). All straight lines are collected and averaged, giving the trend.
    2. Forecasts are made using the estimated trend, but we note that this must be done carefully, because simply extrapolating the flexible insample trend would lead to wildly fluctuating forecast. We use the `Cardt' method, which has been found to work well in other settings.
    3. Residuals from the trend are also forecast, and combined with trend forecasts into an overall forecast.
  • Scenario forecasts are constructed very differently: smooth versions of the Chinese experience are matched at different lag lengths with the path of each country. This probably works best from the peak, or the slowdown just before (but we include it for the UK nonetheless).
  • The forecast evaluation shows past forecasts, together with the outcomes (in the grey line with circles).
  • EU-BS is Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania together.
  • This paper describes the methodology and gives further references. Also available as Nuffield Economics Discussion Paper 2020-W06. Still preliminary is the documentation of the medium term forecasts.

Recent changes and notes

[2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.
[2021-01-07]Slideshow of forecasts, errors, and actuals 2020-06-30 to 2021-01-02: how England lost the battle.
[2020-10-27]Statistical short-term forecasting of the COVID-19 Pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now published at the Journal of Clinical Immunology and Immunotherapy. open access
[2020-10-11]Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now in press at the International Journal of Forecasting. open access
[2020-10-10]Removed forecasts from the Chinese scenarios, while investigating possibility to use own history from the first wave.
Added information on the previous peak (if present) to the peak tables.
Local forecasts for England: now dropping last four observations.
[2020-07-01] Modified the short-term model to allow for (slowly changing) seasonality. Many countries show clear seasonality after the initial period, likely caused by institutional factors regarding data collection. This seasonality was also getting in the way of peak detection. As a consequence estimates of the peak date may have changed for countries with strong seasonality.
Added forecasts of cumulative confirmed cases for lower tier local authorities of England. The data is available from 2020-07-02 including all tests (pillar one and two). Only authorities with more than 5 cases in the previous week are included.
[2020-06-29] Tables in April included the world, but not the world as we know it (double counting China and the US). So removed the world from those old tables.
Why short-term forecasts can be better than models for predicting how pandemics evolve just appeared at The Conversation.
Thursday 2 July webinar at the FGV EESP - São Paolo School of Economics. This starts at 16:00 UK time (UTC+01:00) and streamed here.