COVID-19 short-term forecasts Confirmed 2021-06-13 lower tier local authorities of England (with more than 5 cases in the previous week).


General information

  • Forecasts produced by Jennie Castle, Jurgen Doornik, and David Hendry, researchers at the University of Oxford. These are our forecasts, and should not be considered official forecasts from, or endorsed by, any of: University of Oxford, Oxford Martin School, Nuffield College, or Magdalen College.
  • These forecasts are short term time-series extrapolations of the data. They are not based on epidemiological modelling or simulations. All forecasts are uncertain: their success can only be determined afterwards. Many mitigation strategies are in place, which, if successful, invalidate our forecasts. An explanation of our methods is provided below.
  • A list of notes is below. The most recent note:
    [2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.

Forecasts for districts of England, one week ahead from 2021-06-13

Peak increase in estimated trend of Confirmed in England 2021-06-13

Aberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterComhairle nan Eilean SiarConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
Peak date (mm-dd)12-2812-2712-2712-2612-272021-05-252021-03-2512-2707-212021-03-2512-2112-2712-0812-2112-2312-2812-2310-1312-2712-232021-01-022021-01-1112-302021-05-0912-2612-2212-2912-2712-2712-2912-072021-01-072021-05-0911-132021-01-012021-05-3010-2412-2212-2712-2712-1412-0612-2812-3012-2512-2112-2612-2212-3012-3012-2712-0710-2812-2112-2712-2612-0812-0612-2712-0812-2112-222021-06-0110-2812-3012-2212-2812-2512-2212-212021-01-0312-2112-2112-3010-042021-01-0412-262021-01-0512-2912-2612-2712-2912-2411-0212-2712-2812-2712-2712-2112-2512-2112-2112-282021-01-022021-02-2512-2110-1412-2712-0712-2612-2210-0412-2707-2112-2412-2910-0412-2412-2111-0912-0612-2607-2110-3112-2712-3012-2812-2112-2612-2212-2512-2112-222021-01-0609-2712-2712-2312-2712-2212-282021-06-0212-1812-252021-01-0412-2612-2610-042021-05-2912-2812-2112-2112-2712-212021-01-0512-2212-2712-2812-2112-2112-2112-2812-2712-2812-2112-2312-1312-2712-1312-2912-2212-2912-2812-2812-3012-2212-2612-212021-01-0112-2112-2812-2112-2712-222021-06-0212-2812-2511-0112-212021-05-3112-272021-06-022021-01-0611-022021-01-0312-2112-2712-2711-0212-2112-262021-05-3112-2212-2112-3112-292021-01-0212-2211-012021-01-0712-0812-2112-2112-212021-05-2912-212021-03-2512-3107-2112-2212-2712-0607-212021-03-1812-2812-292021-01-0311-0312-2712-0612-2707-2112-0812-2710-2612-2612-2110-0411-0112-2112-2911-0412-212021-01-0412-2712-212021-01-0112-2912-2911-0212-2807-2112-2712-2812-2612-272021-01-062021-01-062021-01-0112-062021-01-0412-2912-2112-312021-01-052021-05-3010-0412-062021-06-0212-2112-2712-2812-1012-3112-1310-1812-3012-2812-2712-252021-01-262021-01-0212-2912-292021-01-0312-2312-2112-3112-2912-2211-0207-2112-302021-06-0112-2512-212021-06-0212-2112-2112-2812-2612-252021-01-0412-2211-0910-0412-2112-222021-05-252021-01-0312-2812-2712-2212-2112-1412-282021-05-3112-2112-2512-252021-05-2512-2211-0712-2812-2711-0112-2112-2312-2212-2712-2112-0712-0212-2512-292021-01-0212-2612-302021-01-0412-2712-2112-2612-2112-1912-222021-05-3112-2712-0611-1312-2112-2712-2212-2612-082021-05-312021-05-3012-2712-272021-06-0112-2511-0212-2112-2212-2112-272021-05-3112-2012-1310-0411-0212-0710-0412-2212-232021-06-0212-2712-2912-222021-06-0112-2812-2712-2212-272021-01-0112-2812-2512-312021-06-0112-3012-2611-02
Peak daily increment 92 102 61 88 97 54 77 73 119 106 170 110 171 178 78 477 589 189 58 326 128 110 108 50 252 426 1250 75 157 65 95 58 207 50 484 18 434 228 107 524 155 233 306 320 107 508 94 186 62 122 123 211 137 99 256 87 148 354 172 194 175 107 32 40 90 268 52 197 249 283 59 91 71 65 266 20 243 5 35 53 94 285 34 553 288 38 181 598 151 69 189 72 58 246 27 170 248 187 118 322 119 87 536 308 60 52 71 76 160 106 25 51 235 204 102 163 147 107 56 146 593 273 97 74 80 69 90 73 94 119 18 125 54 38 122 82 597 14 56 180 92 451 119 34 377 219 59 201 57 401 172 103 338 101 106 136 120 476 101 159 52 76 442 57 116 452 143 83 74 134 18 237 275 22 70 100 283 198 75 311 57 107 1449 284 104 456 71 230 102 727 37 200 90 36 368 92 419 25 46 106 298 37 62 16 186 27 213 302 361 79 62 66 23 105 63 122 85 723 190 212 192 23 50 137 105 51 394 105 58 122 107 41 55 277 158 121 224 90 68 123 3 125 44 108 58 154 120 207 43 102 174 623 105 81 20 151 286 49 188 39 132 139 56 96 198 80 85 59 174 36 25 162 450 42 83 82 403 65 131 573 25 209 19 167 97 43 111 102 69 181 27 42 86 72 448 95 79 14 80 66 102 115 247 293 450 11 156 219 94 32 112 26 189 138 197 66 42 206 105 331 189 270 181 123 56 109 46 141 352 90 44 138 122 360 11 51 101 14 559 151 90 110 120 10 43 329 449 76 227 259 138 117 160 65 8 87 29 78 166 42 65 67 115 40 217 265 83 12 430 106 138 377 106 115 176 95 16 71 69 594
Days since peak 167 168 168 169 168 19 80 168 327 80 174 168 187 174 172 167 172 243 168 172 162 153 165 35 169 173 166 168 168 166 188 157 35 212 163 14 232 173 168 168 181 189 167 165 170 174 169 173 165 165 168 188 228 174 168 169 187 189 168 187 174 173 12 228 165 173 167 170 173 174 161 174 174 165 252 160 169 159 166 169 168 166 171 223 168 167 168 168 174 170 174 174 167 162 108 174 242 168 188 169 173 252 168 327 171 166 252 171 174 216 189 169 327 225 168 165 167 174 169 173 170 174 173 158 259 168 172 168 173 167 11 177 170 160 169 169 252 15 167 174 174 168 174 159 173 168 167 174 174 174 167 168 167 174 172 182 168 182 166 173 166 167 167 165 173 169 174 163 174 167 174 168 173 11 167 170 224 174 13 168 11 158 223 161 174 168 168 223 174 169 13 173 174 164 166 162 173 224 157 187 174 174 174 15 174 80 164 327 173 168 189 327 87 167 166 161 222 168 189 168 327 187 168 230 169 174 252 224 174 166 221 174 160 168 174 163 166 166 223 167 327 168 167 169 168 158 158 163 189 160 166 174 164 159 14 252 189 11 174 168 167 185 164 182 238 165 167 168 170 138 162 166 166 161 172 174 164 166 173 223 327 165 12 170 174 11 174 174 167 169 170 160 173 216 252 174 173 19 161 167 168 173 174 181 167 13 174 170 170 19 173 218 167 168 224 174 172 173 168 174 188 193 170 166 162 169 165 160 168 174 169 174 176 173 13 168 189 212 174 168 173 169 187 13 14 168 168 12 170 223 174 173 174 168 13 175 182 252 223 188 252 173 172 11 168 166 173 12 167 168 173 168 163 167 170 164 12 165 169 223
Last total 7619 6094 2954 5116 8625 3591 8646 6031 1536 15911 8406 9807 9896 12090 3907 23883 31035 20170 4358 17781 8423 8312 8501 15040 23061 22720 104523 7334 21535 9903 6193 6010 31956 5125 25848 7413 52005 10911 6919 29476 6975 12698 15092 31867 6132 25015 6361 9197 7334 10833 18757 13520 15382 5923 14673 7198 10345 26512 8282 10887 8408 7636 16766 1807 13000 12839 3967 9301 22254 22715 6220 5037 4404 8735 20066 2840 11551 301 4059 3224 5978 14827 2653 39077 24401 2923 8101 31959 8769 7647 10556 4389 4437 20368 3046 12950 24455 12122 7934 27347 4320 8016 32301 6913 3082 4261 5709 4986 8406 6592 3174 4972 5481 18759 9761 9019 6673 5959 3076 7605 30236 12567 5417 7443 5149 7093 5325 5699 6158 12426 9750 8144 3174 5090 14191 8422 46535 6673 3935 10420 5581 23054 7569 3481 22284 12165 4297 13546 5315 21388 8037 7918 21354 4534 9035 6270 7183 27182 7281 8382 5293 3820 27529 6360 5823 25887 8042 8921 3088 7761 2341 6885 15545 9468 6204 7815 20260 12829 36870 17655 25440 9812 66358 38439 4989 22265 6702 7023 7653 49718 21532 12870 3818 2853 58031 8404 26517 2802 3507 6750 16747 2302 3411 7027 12864 7927 12801 3746 20689 4520 4240 1813 11751 6289 7509 24866 8631 36210 11503 11936 6874 2040 6144 8999 6529 5645 23593 9836 3084 10322 13397 4436 6220 18602 18230 7549 31593 8909 5078 24277 76 9853 3560 10378 5137 16001 9476 14614 4230 15046 11552 33425 9472 6348 9711 11652 21439 5196 11247 2686 22754 6472 6976 4933 21882 6813 5619 7110 7968 1703 1916 25460 34820 5671 3031 5522 24812 5347 7055 45160 240 15316 16029 15075 6060 4899 4947 5943 7425 15618 1756 5571 7717 4624 20148 5652 4888 6143 9000 5528 8782 11678 15278 14984 23261 7639 8019 17372 8667 5597 6147 3708 22784 16206 20581 5317 3892 22561 5661 16289 13500 17808 11802 19412 5490 5668 3091 11297 10064 5563 3075 11568 6519 18062 8158 4314 6497 1025 29728 18006 5787 4982 7526 5366 26950 26337 25502 23175 18489 7294 8266 5942 7999 5175 8391 6672 1214 4701 9182 4802 8699 4230 6709 14946 31223 17735 5027 8677 24895 7081 8731 25190 6276 5438 11620 6508 11042 6921 5642 12638
Last daily increment 33 9 3 6 1 9 5 4 7 6 7 9 6 17 2 10 21 15 8 1 9 9 24 35 10 13 129 13 91 66 0 7 98 9 58 11 101 6 4 20 3 1 30 85 3 20 6 6 11 38 88 6 37 6 28 6 7 10 5 3 4 4 22 1 8 6 20 10 41 66 4 9 4 55 129 12 16 0 20 4 1 60 7 98 16 4 8 24 7 10 7 2 12 7 1 11 30 21 2 21 5 63 41 22 1 4 29 5 11 5 26 5 23 8 4 6 3 5 10 6 14 9 7 4 13 18 0 5 13 30 6 2 5 19 27 8 120 21 5 8 1 20 9 0 20 17 2 25 14 15 8 8 10 2 8 3 2 15 16 10 14 2 19 11 7 21 6 52 7 2 0 1 21 14 3 5 8 20 61 22 48 16 148 34 2 23 5 3 5 108 25 15 0 2 197 5 11 5 1 0 29 1 3 9 6 7 11 15 16 5 1 1 2 4 5 75 26 23 2 10 15 3 10 28 7 4 71 9 1 14 53 3 7 10 44 2 33 17 6 54 0 11 1 43 32 8 17 8 3 42 27 13 12 4 11 32 1 26 14 2 47 2 22 3 12 3 8 16 7 4 4 97 22 5 3 2 50 8 6 34 0 10 16 29 7 38 6 7 2 37 6 3 10 21 48 4 3 17 34 7 9 21 35 10 37 6 5 21 8 5 1 10 65 8 23 7 6 26 6 16 3 5 15 62 1 7 12 12 5 14 16 8 8 13 8 3 2 4 39 63 2 9 12 8 28 10 22 40 44 13 4 7 5 2 9 15 4 15 18 5 28 6 6 24 100 29 2 3 44 10 13 22 4 10 8 2 10 25 1 16
Last week 176 54 11 21 19 135 34 25 34 58 37 58 28 73 20 53 155 140 44 30 84 21 127 201 92 84 957 63 656 278 4 19 663 26 236 68 609 30 19 205 23 21 227 431 26 145 51 22 63 273 481 26 222 30 215 44 38 62 29 18 15 37 160 7 115 34 101 48 347 352 16 57 31 242 896 79 91 2 78 25 15 434 28 512 162 43 42 201 47 46 39 28 63 37 17 112 133 100 22 122 52 403 248 152 12 18 131 31 74 40 141 24 130 93 18 27 16 28 51 68 123 46 35 41 71 57 10 29 59 214 53 15 29 96 123 63 840 86 23 47 8 142 55 17 183 83 21 171 49 153 32 75 90 48 57 19 29 72 49 44 68 24 142 65 26 196 39 305 33 8 15 17 206 121 21 22 65 111 404 116 331 90 1122 346 20 181 39 20 25 626 195 60 14 12 1499 21 100 20 7 4 154 15 16 52 38 43 59 148 135 35 12 8 28 36 37 390 95 158 18 54 156 15 26 145 39 22 341 27 8 99 307 15 31 110 341 25 242 114 27 359 0 85 36 248 192 52 78 65 12 368 162 119 47 17 81 212 22 214 115 19 393 14 192 16 86 30 44 114 55 7 15 726 129 18 73 24 333 47 42 214 0 74 91 139 31 241 41 48 30 171 15 13 45 63 271 25 32 48 260 28 34 101 196 61 268 41 45 101 38 56 20 62 500 70 147 47 42 163 70 86 25 54 83 333 17 33 34 91 20 64 66 20 47 49 49 18 11 10 292 417 24 31 28 44 224 89 179 331 287 44 54 36 27 23 48 56 13 101 115 32 186 33 27 202 708 154 27 41 255 64 96 92 22 32 46 25 77 88 9 130
Previous peak date07-2107-21 -- --10-2707-2112-2110-07 --12-21 --10-21 --10-25 -- -- -- --10-20 -- --10-2611-0212-2110-07 --11-02 --10-1310-13 --10-2510-15 --11-0212-2105-0310-26 -- -- -- --10-1611-02 -- -- -- --10-1209-2710-2709-02 -- --10-01 -- -- --10-25 -- --10-1012-21 --11-02 -- --10-2710-18 --10-20 -- --10-1307-2107-2110-14 -- -- -- --10-29 --04-2010-3110-31 --10-2910-17 -- -- --10-2110-2712-2810-01 --10-12 -- --07-2107-21 -- -- --11-0107-2110-27 -- --07-2110-27 -- -- --10-30 --10-20 --10-06 -- -- --10-18 --07-21 -- -- --07-2112-25 -- --10-1510-2910-1107-2112-21 -- -- -- -- -- -- --09-2810-2710-14 --10-12 --10-2710-30 -- -- --10-29 -- --10-1710-2707-21 --11-01 -- -- --10-1307-21 --06-11 -- --12-28 -- -- --10-1310-2709-2912-2910-0804-1411-02 -- --10-31 --10-1209-2812-27 -- -- --11-0210-25 -- -- -- --10-15 -- --12-2210-1212-2111-03 --09-30 -- -- --12-07 -- --11-02 -- -- --09-24 -- --10-14 -- -- --07-21 -- --10-31 -- --11-0308-02 -- --11-0211-01 --10-22 -- -- -- --07-21 --11-0211-02 --11-02 -- --11-0310-2612-2207-21 --12-2810-10 --10-19 --10-11 -- -- -- --10-13 -- -- --11-0211-0210-3107-21 --09-3010-25 -- -- --10-2812-25 -- --07-21 -- --10-25 -- -- -- -- --07-21 -- --12-2010-13 --10-24 -- -- -- --12-2610-1710-0810-2910-27 --07-2110-1810-12 -- -- --10-0610-31 -- -- -- --10-1811-04 -- --10-2910-1110-18 -- -- -- --12-2310-26 -- -- --10-17 -- -- --12-2111-01 -- --12-1510-22 -- --10-22 -- --12-26 -- --07-21 -- --07-21 --10-1512-2210-1610-24 --12-2209-3010-3010-11 --11-03 --10-1910-2812-2110-17 -- --
Previous peak daily increment 616 365 80 295 134 40 260 61 40 31 75 271 233 262 1226 166 98 54 234 363 142 55 19 62 1197 57 72 160 31 54 39 60 303 294 35 120 54 62 1272 83 35 57 68 129 18 69 22 25 164 25 206 59 226 710 39 383 25 191 31 24 30 29 56 475 687 150 43 127 72 1766 92 70 33 54 60 69 57 38 22 44 144 49 59 248 45 148 46 349 153 428 81 75 479 56 71 480 273 2237 61 44 153 109 105 87 25 191 2429 91 53 1007 82 56 68 1343 64 257 230 139 354 150 88 41 176 459 52 46 194 65 67 406 233 81 152 189 33 104 244 226 66 876 108 66 75 131 20 118 77 55 149 184 120 129 18 172 46 89 27 17 139 45 144 84 250 390 135 23 154 307 376 24 217 319 68 148 141 22 25 38 54 32 173 67
Low between peaks 0 -1 28 0 8 18 13 26 -44 8 37 20 -12 48 303 55 29 19 17 23 -8 27 -19 21 68 19 34 54 12 23 7 26 -1 28 -43 -38 17 31 -11 -4 -18 12 1 39 -9 28 -31 9 53 8 34 -47 -2 -3 -13 -3 -32 -1 10 -10 8 -67 19 -4 -5 1 -9 24 23 -7 -13 22 -40 23 15 -120 -7 19 -66 -54 -1 15 21 -2 0 -5 18 25 21 2 23 6 120 21 21 58 7 114 21 -25 -10 39 6 35 8 7 18 23 -9 -7 35 16 7 50 28 58 1 20 37 38 22 13 -13 -2 0 -118 62 22 16 36 92 19 -4 26 14 31 4 -2 24 -7 -1 28 24 -2 -77 30 38 -2 -1 43 43 58 -23 32 15 31 11 7 -11 6 -31 -19 15 -4 -27 -71 0 -2 -2 -25 7 77 -103 -5 19 -17 -8 8 27 12 0 -4

Confirmed count forecast England (bold red line in graphs) 2021-06-14 to 2021-06-20

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-06-13 7619 6094 2954 5116 8625 3591 8646 6031 1536 15911 8406 9807 9896 12090 3907 23883 31035 20170 4358 17781 8423 8312 8501 15040 23061 22720 104523 7334 21535 9903 6010 31956 5125 25848 7413 52005 10911 6919 29476 6975 12698 15092 31867 6132 25015 6361 9197 7334 10833 18757 13520 15382 5923 14673 7198 10345 26512 8282 10887 8408 7636 16766 1807 13000 12839 3967 9301 22254 22715 6220 5037 4404 8735 20066 2840 11551 4059 3224 5978 14827 2653 39077 24401 2923 8101 31959 8769 7647 10556 4389 4437 20368 3046 12950 24455 12122 7934 27347 4320 8016 32301 6913 3082 4261 5709 4986 8406 6592 3174 4972 5481 18759 9761 9019 6673 5959 3076 7605 30236 12567 5417 7443 5149 7093 5325 5699 6158 12426 9750 8144 3174 5090 14191 8422 46535 6673 3935 10420 5581 23054 7569 3481 22284 12165 4297 13546 5315 21388 8037 7918 21354 4534 9035 6270 7183 27182 7281 8382 5293 3820 27529 6360 5823 25887 8042 8921 3088 7761 2341 6885 15545 9468 6204 7815 20260 12829 36870 17655 25440 9812 66358 38439 4989 22265 6702 7023 7653 49718 21532 12870 3818 2853 58031 8404 26517 2802 3507 16747 2302 3411 7027 12864 7927 12801 3746 20689 4520 4240 1813 11751 6289 7509 24866 8631 36210 11503 11936 6874 2040 6144 8999 6529 5645 23593 9836 3084 10322 13397 4436 6220 18602 18230 7549 31593 8909 5078 24277 9853 3560 10378 5137 16001 9476 14614 4230 15046 11552 33425 9472 6348 9711 11652 21439 5196 11247 2686 22754 6472 6976 4933 21882 6813 5619 7110 7968 1703 1916 25460 34820 5671 3031 5522 24812 5347 7055 45160 15316 16029 15075 6060 4899 4947 5943 7425 15618 1756 5571 7717 4624 20148 5652 4888 6143 9000 5528 8782 11678 15278 14984 23261 7639 8019 17372 8667 5597 6147 3708 22784 16206 20581 5317 3892 22561 5661 16289 13500 17808 11802 19412 5490 5668 3091 11297 10064 5563 3075 11568 6519 18062 8158 4314 6497 1025 29728 18006 5787 4982 7526 5366 26950 26337 25502 23175 18489 7294 8266 5942 7999 5175 8391 6672 1214 4701 9182 4802 8699 4230 6709 14946 31223 17735 5027 8677 24895 7081 8731 25190 6276 5438 11620 6508 11042 6921 5642 12638
2021-06-14 7643 6105 2955 5122 8630 3605 8650 6035 1541 15920 8412 9809 9896 12100 3909 23890 31060 20190 4365 17780 8437 8312 8519 15090 23070 22730 104600 7345 21580 9940 6015 32170 5125 25890 7427 52080 10920 6926 29530 6976 12700 15130 31930 6132 25020 6368 9200 7343 10880 18840 13520 15430 5931 14700 7207 10350 26520 8286 10890 8410 7641 16790 1808 13020 12850 3984 9309 22360 22770 6222 5046 4408 8773 20200 2851 11560 4069 3227 5981 14890 2656 39160 24440 2928 8106 31970 8775 7654 10560 4393 4447 20370 3048 12960 24460 12140 7937 27380 4328 8071 32340 6941 3083 4266 5729 4991 8416 6594 3195 4975 5500 18770 9766 9019 6673 5962 3085 7617 30250 12570 5423 7447 5160 7104 5329 5699 6164 12450 9756 8147 3178 5102 14210 8431 46670 6689 3943 10430 5581 23070 7578 3483 22320 12180 4300 13570 5328 21410 8042 7930 21370 4536 9042 6270 7184 27180 7282 8387 5302 3822 27550 6372 5824 25890 8043 8963 3092 7762 2342 6887 15580 9486 6204 7815 20270 12850 36960 17670 25490 9833 66560 38480 4989 22290 6706 7023 7656 49820 21540 12890 3820 2854 58250 8404 26530 2805 3507 16770 2304 3413 7036 12870 7933 12810 3769 20700 4525 4241 1815 11750 6296 7511 24930 8641 36230 11510 11950 6898 2042 6144 9022 6529 5648 23660 9840 3086 10340 13440 4438 6224 18620 18280 7552 31630 8929 5082 24330 9876 3565 10420 5166 16000 9476 14620 4231 15100 11560 33430 9480 6352 9737 11690 21440 5230 11260 2689 22820 6472 7009 4933 21890 6818 5629 7128 7975 1703 1919 25580 34840 5673 3037 5522 24870 5354 7058 45160 15330 16040 15090 6064 4932 4952 5951 7428 15650 1758 5579 7722 4639 20170 5655 4894 6152 9044 5533 8786 11700 15300 15000 23300 7646 8025 17390 8674 5597 6150 3717 22870 16220 20600 5327 3897 22590 5672 16310 13500 17810 11810 19460 5492 5672 3097 11300 10060 5572 3085 11570 6526 18070 8165 4316 6499 1026 29760 18070 5787 4985 7533 5374 26950 26360 25530 23210 18540 7306 8274 5947 8002 5178 8396 6672 1215 4709 9200 4806 8727 4235 6709 14980 31320 17770 5030 8679 24940 7091 8741 25210 6279 5438 11630 6510 11050 6933 5644 12660
2021-06-15 7665 6115 2955 5124 8632 3619 8650 6040 1545 15920 8419 9814 9896 12120 3911 23890 31070 20210 4370 17780 8454 8314 8535 15130 23080 22730 104800 7352 21630 9960 6018 32320 5127 25930 7449 52140 10920 6932 29570 6976 12700 15160 31990 6136 25020 6377 9200 7351 10920 18930 13520 15460 5939 14710 7213 10360 26520 8290 10890 8410 7642 16820 1808 13030 12850 4004 9317 22430 22830 6222 5054 4408 8809 20350 2854 11580 4075 3227 5984 14950 2656 39250 24470 2934 8106 31980 8775 7662 10570 4393 4457 20380 3048 12970 24460 12150 7937 27400 4341 8120 32380 6970 3083 4269 5747 4996 8426 6594 3215 4978 5517 18780 9769 9019 6674 5965 3095 7632 30270 12580 5428 7447 5168 7113 5330 5699 6164 12460 9760 8148 3181 5102 14230 8440 46780 6699 3950 10430 5581 23080 7586 3486 22350 12190 4301 13600 5336 21440 8045 7944 21370 4536 9050 6270 7184 27180 7282 8387 5303 3828 27570 6385 5826 25890 8050 9002 3092 7763 2342 6891 15610 9504 6207 7818 20280 12860 37030 17690 25550 9847 66740 38510 4989 22310 6706 7024 7656 49920 21540 12900 3823 2856 58500 8405 26550 2805 3507 16780 2304 3415 7043 12880 7938 12810 3796 20700 4525 4242 1818 11750 6301 7517 24980 8654 36250 11510 11950 6929 2042 6145 9041 6529 5648 23720 9843 3086 10350 13490 4439 6224 18640 18340 7552 31680 8955 5082 24380 9892 3574 10460 5195 16010 9476 14620 4231 15140 11580 33430 9487 6358 9752 11720 21440 5274 11270 2693 22880 6472 7036 4934 21900 6818 5638 7146 7978 1704 1922 25700 34860 5676 3044 5522 24920 5354 7058 45170 15330 16060 15120 6069 4949 4952 5958 7431 15670 1758 5584 7722 4652 20190 5659 4902 6158 9109 5538 8789 11720 15330 15010 23340 7651 8025 17400 8681 5597 6154 3725 23000 16230 20620 5338 3901 22620 5687 16330 13500 17810 11810 19510 5494 5672 3099 11300 10060 5582 3093 11570 6530 18080 8172 4316 6502 1026 29800 18140 5787 4985 7534 5378 26950 26370 25550 23250 18580 7315 8283 5953 8002 5182 8398 6679 1215 4709 9218 4806 8757 4235 6709 15010 31420 17790 5030 8679 24980 7102 8748 25220 6285 5438 11640 6510 11060 6942 5647 12680
2021-06-16 7692 6123 2955 5127 8635 3634 8651 6044 1550 15930 8425 9823 9896 12130 3913 23900 31090 20230 4377 17790 8469 8316 8551 15170 23080 22730 104900 7360 21680 9990 6021 32470 5130 25960 7468 52200 10930 6936 29600 6976 12700 15200 32060 6140 25030 6385 9200 7362 10960 19010 13520 15510 5946 14730 7219 10360 26520 8294 10890 8410 7644 16840 1808 13050 12860 4022 9324 22500 22890 6222 5061 4410 8845 20490 2860 11590 4083 3227 5987 15010 2656 39330 24500 2940 8106 31990 8776 7669 10570 4394 4467 20380 3048 12970 24470 12170 7938 27410 4352 8170 32430 6997 3083 4272 5766 5002 8435 6594 3236 4981 5535 18780 9772 9019 6674 5970 3105 7645 30290 12590 5433 7447 5178 7123 5330 5700 6164 12480 9764 8148 3185 5102 14240 8450 46900 6710 3956 10440 5584 23090 7594 3488 22390 12200 4302 13620 5347 21460 8049 7957 21380 4536 9057 6271 7184 27180 7282 8387 5308 3832 27590 6398 5828 25910 8054 9040 3092 7763 2342 6893 15650 9523 6210 7818 20280 12880 37110 17700 25600 9864 66910 38550 4989 22330 6706 7027 7656 50010 21540 12900 3826 2857 58710 8409 26570 2806 3508 16800 2304 3416 7050 12890 7943 12810 3820 20700 4526 4243 1821 11760 6306 7526 25030 8670 36280 11510 11960 6957 2042 6147 9062 6529 5648 23790 9848 3088 10360 13530 4440 6226 18660 18390 7553 31730 8977 5082 24440 9911 3581 10490 5223 16010 9476 14630 4231 15210 11590 33430 9493 6362 9766 11750 21440 5314 11290 2696 22940 6472 7065 4935 21900 6820 5647 7163 7983 1705 1924 25820 34880 5678 3051 5524 24970 5354 7058 45200 15350 16080 15140 6073 4973 4952 5964 7434 15700 1759 5587 7722 4665 20240 5662 4908 6165 9165 5544 8794 11740 15360 15020 23380 7657 8026 17420 8687 5597 6157 3734 23100 16240 20650 5349 3906 22640 5699 16340 13500 17810 11810 19570 5495 5673 3103 11300 10070 5593 3102 11570 6535 18090 8176 4317 6504 1026 29830 18210 5790 4985 7538 5384 26950 26390 25570 23290 18630 7325 8291 5957 8002 5186 8400 6682 1215 4709 9234 4806 8785 4236 6711 15040 31540 17820 5030 8679 25030 7112 8757 25240 6290 5439 11640 6510 11080 6953 5650 12710
2021-06-17 7715 6133 2955 5130 8638 3650 8653 6048 1554 15940 8430 9828 9901 12150 3915 23900 31110 20250 4383 17790 8483 8317 8569 15200 23090 22740 105000 7369 21740 10020 6024 32600 5132 26000 7483 52270 10930 6938 29630 6976 12700 15240 32120 6145 25030 6393 9201 7371 11000 19090 13520 15540 5953 14750 7228 10370 26530 8298 10900 8410 7648 16870 1808 13070 12860 4038 9332 22570 22940 6223 5072 4413 8883 20620 2869 11600 4092 3227 5989 15070 2656 39410 24530 2946 8106 32000 8779 7677 10580 4396 4477 20380 3049 12980 24490 12190 7940 27430 4362 8221 32460 7022 3083 4276 5784 5008 8445 6594 3255 4983 5552 18790 9775 9022 6675 5974 3113 7657 30310 12590 5439 7447 5187 7133 5332 5702 6164 12500 9769 8152 3188 5108 14260 8458 47020 6722 3962 10450 5585 23100 7602 3491 22420 12210 4305 13640 5357 21490 8053 7969 21380 4536 9064 6274 7184 27180 7282 8387 5315 3836 27620 6410 5834 25920 8056 9081 3094 7764 2342 6896 15680 9540 6213 7822 20290 12900 37170 17710 25650 9878 67080 38610 4989 22360 6706 7030 7658 50120 21540 12910 3828 2858 58920 8412 26590 2808 3509 16820 2304 3418 7056 12890 7948 12820 3843 20700 4528 4244 1824 11760 6312 7529 25080 8681 36300 11510 11970 6982 2042 6148 9083 6531 5648 23850 9852 3089 10380 13580 4441 6229 18680 18450 7555 31780 8999 5082 24480 9925 3588 10530 5250 16010 9477 14640 4231 15260 11620 33430 9500 6367 9780 11790 21440 5351 11300 2700 23010 6474 7094 4937 21910 6823 5656 7180 7989 1706 1927 25940 34910 5681 3058 5527 25030 5354 7058 45230 15360 16090 15150 6077 5000 4952 5971 7437 15720 1760 5591 7722 4677 20280 5665 4914 6172 9215 5549 8800 11760 15390 15030 23420 7663 8029 17430 8694 5603 6160 3743 23200 16250 20670 5361 3910 22670 5711 16360 13510 17810 11810 19620 5496 5676 3107 11300 10070 5601 3110 11570 6541 18100 8182 4319 6506 1026 29870 18270 5795 4985 7543 5390 26960 26400 25590 23350 18680 7336 8299 5962 8002 5189 8404 6688 1215 4711 9251 4806 8813 4239 6714 15070 31650 17850 5031 8679 25060 7122 8767 25250 6293 5443 11650 6511 11090 6965 5652 12730
2021-06-18 7738 6139 2956 5134 8643 3666 8656 6052 1559 15940 8435 9832 9903 12160 3917 23910 31130 20270 4389 17790 8497 8318 8587 15230 23100 22740 105200 7378 21810 10050 6028 32700 5133 26040 7499 52340 10940 6943 29660 6976 12710 15270 32180 6145 25040 6401 9202 7378 11040 19170 13530 15570 5960 14770 7234 10380 26530 8302 10900 8412 7651 16890 1808 13090 12870 4055 9339 22630 23000 6224 5077 4416 8907 20750 2878 11610 4102 3228 5993 15130 2656 39490 24550 2951 8107 32010 8783 7684 10590 4399 4487 20390 3051 12990 24510 12200 7942 27450 4372 8272 32490 7048 3083 4279 5803 5010 8455 6594 3275 4986 5570 18800 9778 9023 6675 5977 3122 7669 30330 12600 5444 7447 5197 7143 5336 5711 6164 12520 9774 8154 3192 5115 14280 8467 47150 6728 3970 10460 5586 23120 7610 3493 22450 12220 4307 13670 5368 21510 8057 7982 21390 4538 9071 6277 7185 27180 7282 8387 5322 3840 27640 6422 5839 25930 8058 9135 3097 7766 2342 6898 15710 9558 6214 7825 20300 12910 37220 17730 25700 9893 67270 38660 4992 22380 6708 7037 7660 50220 21550 12920 3831 2860 59160 8413 26600 2810 3511 16830 2305 3420 7068 12900 7954 12820 3865 20700 4531 4245 1826 11760 6317 7535 25130 8693 36320 11510 11980 7008 2042 6151 9104 6534 5648 23910 9856 3091 10400 13620 4443 6232 18700 18500 7557 31820 9019 5084 24540 9936 3594 10570 5277 16030 9482 14650 4231 15320 11640 33430 9506 6371 9799 11820 21450 5388 11320 2703 23060 6475 7124 4938 21920 6827 5664 7197 7995 1707 1929 26040 34920 5683 3065 5530 25090 5357 7058 45260 15370 16100 15180 6081 5027 4952 5978 7440 15750 1761 5596 7722 4689 20320 5669 4920 6180 9263 5555 8804 11780 15420 15040 23460 7670 8033 17450 8700 5608 6163 3752 23290 16260 20690 5372 3915 22700 5722 16380 13510 17810 11810 19670 5501 5679 3112 11320 10070 5609 3119 11570 6547 18100 8187 4320 6508 1026 29900 18330 5796 4985 7548 5396 26980 26420 25610 23390 18730 7346 8307 5967 8002 5193 8408 6696 1215 4717 9273 4807 8841 4243 6718 15090 31770 17880 5033 8679 25110 7132 8777 25260 6297 5445 11660 6512 11100 6977 5655 12750
2021-06-19 7755 6146 2957 5136 8645 3682 8660 6056 1563 15950 8440 9840 9906 12170 3919 23910 31150 20290 4395 17800 8510 8321 8609 15250 23120 22750 105300 7388 21830 10080 6032 32760 5136 26080 7513 52420 10950 6945 29690 6976 12710 15300 32250 6148 25050 6408 9205 7386 11070 19230 13530 15600 5966 14790 7239 10380 26540 8305 10900 8413 7655 16920 1808 13100 12870 4071 9347 22670 23050 6226 5086 4419 8936 20880 2888 11620 4112 3230 5996 15190 2658 39560 24570 2957 8111 32030 8788 7691 10590 4402 4496 20390 3053 13010 24520 12210 7944 27470 4381 8323 32520 7072 3084 4283 5822 5014 8465 6594 3294 4994 5589 18810 9778 9031 6675 5981 3130 7680 30350 12610 5450 7448 5207 7153 5337 5712 6166 12550 9779 8157 3196 5125 14300 8473 47280 6742 3973 10460 5587 23130 7619 3496 22480 12230 4310 13690 5379 21530 8061 7994 21400 4540 9078 6279 7187 27180 7282 8391 5331 3844 27660 6434 5841 25940 8063 9171 3100 7767 2343 6901 15740 9576 6216 7825 20310 12930 37270 17750 25750 9903 67410 38700 4996 22400 6711 7042 7662 50310 21560 12930 3833 2861 59330 8416 26620 2812 3511 16850 2307 3422 7076 12900 7959 12830 3887 20700 4535 4246 1829 11760 6323 7537 25190 8709 36340 11520 11990 7032 2043 6152 9126 6534 5650 23970 9861 3091 10410 13670 4445 6235 18720 18550 7560 31870 9040 5087 24580 9947 3599 10610 5305 16030 9482 14660 4231 15370 11670 33430 9513 6376 9809 11850 21450 5423 11340 2707 23110 6477 7155 4940 21930 6831 5672 7214 8002 1709 1932 26140 34940 5685 3072 5532 25140 5362 7060 45280 15380 16110 15190 6086 5056 4953 5985 7444 15780 1763 5596 7725 4702 20350 5672 4926 6188 9309 5562 8808 11800 15450 15050 23500 7676 8038 17460 8706 5611 6166 3761 23380 16270 20710 5381 3920 22720 5733 16390 13510 17810 11820 19710 5502 5682 3117 11320 10070 5620 3129 11570 6553 18110 8193 4322 6510 1026 29940 18380 5798 4986 7554 5403 26980 26430 25640 23410 18770 7357 8315 5972 8003 5196 8413 6700 1215 4725 9289 4810 8868 4246 6720 15120 31860 17890 5036 8679 25150 7142 8787 25280 6300 5445 11660 6514 11110 6990 5657 12770
2021-06-20 7778 6155 2958 5140 8647 3698 8664 6060 1568 15960 8445 9847 9910 12180 3921 23920 31170 20310 4401 17800 8524 8327 8628 15280 23130 22760 105400 7398 21920 10120 6036 32850 5141 26120 7526 52490 10950 6948 29710 6976 12710 15330 32320 6151 25060 6415 9207 7395 11100 19300 13530 15630 5973 14810 7244 10390 26540 8309 10900 8415 7660 16940 1809 13120 12880 4086 9354 22720 23110 6228 5093 4423 8980 21010 2899 11630 4122 3232 5997 15240 2660 39640 24590 2962 8115 32050 8794 7698 10600 4406 4505 20400 3055 13020 24540 12230 7947 27490 4391 8375 32550 7097 3085 4286 5841 5017 8475 6594 3314 4998 5607 18820 9781 9035 6676 5985 3138 7691 30360 12610 5455 7452 5218 7164 5338 5715 6170 12570 9785 8158 3200 5135 14320 8481 47410 6755 3977 10470 5588 23150 7627 3498 22510 12240 4313 13720 5390 21560 8065 8007 21410 4542 9085 6281 7188 27180 7282 8395 5340 3848 27680 6445 5847 25960 8068 9213 3104 7768 2344 6903 15770 9593 6218 7829 20320 12940 37320 17760 25800 9915 67560 38730 4997 22430 6715 7047 7665 50410 21570 12940 3834 2862 59510 8419 26630 2814 3512 16870 2309 3424 7084 12910 7964 12830 3909 20700 4539 4247 1831 11770 6328 7541 25240 8730 36360 11520 12000 7056 2044 6159 9147 6539 5652 24030 9865 3092 10420 13710 4447 6238 18740 18600 7563 31910 9059 5091 24630 9959 3605 10640 5332 16040 9496 14660 4232 15410 11690 33430 9520 6380 9820 11880 21450 5458 11350 2710 23160 6478 7186 4942 21940 6836 5681 7231 8008 1710 1934 26230 34950 5688 3079 5533 25180 5368 7062 45310 15390 16120 15220 6091 5086 4956 5992 7447 15810 1765 5600 7729 4714 20390 5675 4932 6196 9354 5565 8815 11820 15470 15060 23540 7683 8043 17480 8712 5617 6169 3770 23470 16270 20730 5384 3925 22740 5744 16410 13520 17820 11820 19760 5503 5686 3122 11320 10080 5631 3138 11570 6559 18120 8200 4324 6512 1027 29970 18440 5799 4988 7560 5410 27010 26440 25660 23440 18810 7367 8323 5978 8005 5199 8418 6710 1216 4733 9305 4813 8896 4251 6724 15150 31960 17920 5039 8680 25180 7151 8797 25300 6303 5452 11670 6516 11120 7003 5659 12800

Confirmed count average forecast England (bold black line in graphs) 2021-06-14 to 2021-06-20

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-06-13 7619 6094 2954 5116 8625 3591 8646 6031 1536 15911 8406 9807 9896 12090 3907 23883 31035 20170 4358 17781 8423 8312 8501 15040 23061 22720 104523 7334 21535 9903 6010 31956 5125 25848 7413 52005 10911 6919 29476 6975 12698 15092 31867 6132 25015 6361 9197 7334 10833 18757 13520 15382 5923 14673 7198 10345 26512 8282 10887 8408 7636 16766 1807 13000 12839 3967 9301 22254 22715 6220 5037 4404 8735 20066 2840 11551 4059 3224 5978 14827 2653 39077 24401 2923 8101 31959 8769 7647 10556 4389 4437 20368 3046 12950 24455 12122 7934 27347 4320 8016 32301 6913 3082 4261 5709 4986 8406 6592 3174 4972 5481 18759 9761 9019 6673 5959 3076 7605 30236 12567 5417 7443 5149 7093 5325 5699 6158 12426 9750 8144 3174 5090 14191 8422 46535 6673 3935 10420 5581 23054 7569 3481 22284 12165 4297 13546 5315 21388 8037 7918 21354 4534 9035 6270 7183 27182 7281 8382 5293 3820 27529 6360 5823 25887 8042 8921 3088 7761 2341 6885 15545 9468 6204 7815 20260 12829 36870 17655 25440 9812 66358 38439 4989 22265 6702 7023 7653 49718 21532 12870 3818 2853 58031 8404 26517 2802 3507 16747 2302 3411 7027 12864 7927 12801 3746 20689 4520 4240 1813 11751 6289 7509 24866 8631 36210 11503 11936 6874 2040 6144 8999 6529 5645 23593 9836 3084 10322 13397 4436 6220 18602 18230 7549 31593 8909 5078 24277 9853 3560 10378 5137 16001 9476 14614 4230 15046 11552 33425 9472 6348 9711 11652 21439 5196 11247 2686 22754 6472 6976 4933 21882 6813 5619 7110 7968 1703 1916 25460 34820 5671 3031 5522 24812 5347 7055 45160 15316 16029 15075 6060 4899 4947 5943 7425 15618 1756 5571 7717 4624 20148 5652 4888 6143 9000 5528 8782 11678 15278 14984 23261 7639 8019 17372 8667 5597 6147 3708 22784 16206 20581 5317 3892 22561 5661 16289 13500 17808 11802 19412 5490 5668 3091 11297 10064 5563 3075 11568 6519 18062 8158 4314 6497 1025 29728 18006 5787 4982 7526 5366 26950 26337 25502 23175 18489 7294 8266 5942 7999 5175 8391 6672 1214 4701 9182 4802 8699 4230 6709 14946 31223 17735 5027 8677 24895 7081 8731 25190 6276 5438 11620 6508 11042 6921 5642 12638
2021-06-14 7645 6105 2956 5120 8628 3608 8650 6034 1542 15920 8411 9815 9900 12100 3908 23890 31060 20190 4363 17780 8433 8316 8519 15080 23070 22730 104700 7345 21640 9950 6013 32080 5130 25880 7428 52110 10920 6923 29510 6978 12700 15120 31930 6133 25040 6367 9201 7344 10890 18840 13520 15420 5927 14700 7204 10350 26520 8286 10890 8410 7640 16790 1808 13010 12840 3980 9308 22320 22780 6222 5044 4408 8786 20220 2850 11560 4072 3227 5980 14880 2657 39170 24430 2928 8109 31990 8776 7654 10560 4393 4446 20370 3048 12960 24470 12140 7936 27370 4327 8072 32350 6940 3084 4263 5731 4991 8417 6597 3197 4976 5502 18770 9765 9024 6674 5963 3084 7616 30250 12570 5422 7447 5160 7106 5328 5703 6165 12460 9755 8147 3179 5103 14210 8429 46690 6692 3939 10430 5582 23070 7576 3482 22310 12180 4300 13570 5323 21410 8042 7929 21360 4540 9043 6272 7185 27190 7289 8388 5303 3825 27550 6372 5826 25910 8049 8977 3093 7762 2342 6887 15570 9485 6205 7818 20270 12850 36950 17670 25500 9829 66540 38510 4991 22290 6707 7026 7655 49810 21560 12880 3820 2854 58290 8407 26530 2805 3508 16770 2303 3414 7035 12870 7932 12810 3767 20710 4524 4241 1815 11750 6293 7512 24920 8647 36230 11510 11940 6896 2042 6147 9020 6534 5648 23660 9842 3086 10340 13440 4438 6224 18620 18280 7551 31640 8928 5082 24340 9871 3564 10420 5169 16010 9487 14620 4231 15100 11570 33440 9479 6353 9729 11680 21440 5229 11260 2688 22820 6474 7004 4935 21890 6817 5627 7126 7976 1705 1919 25590 34830 5673 3038 5524 24860 5354 7061 45190 15330 16040 15100 6065 4933 4951 5949 7429 15640 1758 5574 7723 4636 20190 5654 4894 6154 9041 5532 8787 11700 15300 14990 23300 7645 8023 17390 8673 5605 6150 3716 22870 16210 20600 5323 3898 22590 5669 16300 13500 17820 11810 19470 5493 5672 3098 11310 10070 5573 3086 11570 6526 18070 8164 4316 6498 1026 29770 18070 5790 4987 7533 5372 26980 26360 25530 23220 18530 7301 8273 5947 8002 5178 8399 6680 1216 4713 9200 4806 8727 4233 6714 14980 31330 17760 5029 8682 24940 7090 8748 25210 6280 5443 11630 6510 11050 6937 5644 12660
2021-06-15 7665 6116 2957 5124 8629 3632 8653 6038 1546 15920 8416 9819 9902 12120 3909 23900 31080 20210 4366 17790 8444 8319 8533 15110 23080 22730 104800 7353 21770 9980 6014 32200 5132 25910 7448 52200 10920 6926 29550 6981 12700 15130 31990 6137 25060 6372 9202 7350 10940 18920 13520 15450 5930 14730 7209 10360 26530 8288 10890 8410 7645 16820 1808 13030 12850 3993 9311 22390 22840 6223 5050 4412 8821 20380 2860 11570 4081 3229 5983 14920 2659 39240 24450 2933 8111 32020 8781 7657 10570 4397 4452 20380 3050 12970 24480 12150 7938 27390 4337 8131 32390 6969 3084 4264 5749 4996 8427 6600 3216 4977 5522 18770 9769 9027 6676 5966 3091 7631 30270 12580 5428 7451 5166 7119 5329 5705 6166 12490 9761 8150 3183 5110 14230 8434 46840 6706 3942 10430 5582 23080 7582 3485 22350 12180 4304 13600 5327 21430 8044 7944 21370 4547 9050 6272 7187 27200 7295 8391 5310 3834 27580 6381 5830 25930 8056 9026 3096 7763 2342 6889 15600 9503 6208 7821 20280 12860 37030 17690 25550 9837 66720 38560 4991 22320 6710 7028 7656 49890 21590 12890 3824 2855 58560 8408 26550 2807 3508 16790 2305 3415 7043 12880 7934 12810 3791 20730 4527 4242 1819 11750 6296 7516 24970 8658 36260 11510 11950 6921 2042 6149 9037 6539 5649 23720 9846 3086 10350 13480 4440 6225 18630 18320 7552 31680 8946 5085 24390 9887 3569 10460 5200 16010 9495 14630 4231 15160 11600 33450 9483 6359 9745 11720 21440 5272 11270 2691 22890 6475 7037 4937 21900 6822 5631 7138 7983 1706 1920 25720 34840 5676 3047 5526 24900 5359 7067 45210 15340 16060 15120 6068 4968 4954 5955 7433 15660 1759 5577 7728 4644 20230 5658 4901 6166 9100 5534 8789 11710 15320 15000 23350 7653 8027 17400 8677 5615 6153 3727 22990 16220 20610 5329 3904 22610 5681 16320 13500 17830 11820 19520 5496 5676 3099 11320 10070 5581 3095 11570 6534 18080 8171 4316 6499 1027 29800 18130 5793 4988 7535 5376 27000 26380 25550 23270 18570 7304 8280 5950 8003 5181 8405 6690 1217 4725 9212 4807 8757 4238 6715 15020 31420 17780 5030 8687 24980 7098 8770 25210 6285 5446 11630 6510 11070 6949 5647 12680
2021-06-16 7690 6124 2958 5127 8631 3654 8657 6042 1549 15920 8421 9825 9905 12130 3910 23910 31100 20230 4368 17790 8454 8321 8546 15140 23090 22730 105000 7362 21900 10020 6016 32330 5134 25930 7466 52300 10920 6929 29580 6984 12700 15150 32040 6140 25080 6378 9204 7357 10990 19000 13520 15490 5934 14760 7214 10370 26530 8292 10890 8411 7650 16840 1808 13040 12850 4008 9315 22470 22900 6225 5055 4416 8854 20540 2872 11580 4090 3232 5985 14960 2661 39300 24480 2938 8115 32050 8785 7660 10580 4401 4459 20390 3052 12980 24500 12160 7940 27400 4347 8187 32430 6994 3085 4264 5769 5003 8436 6604 3234 4980 5542 18780 9772 9029 6678 5971 3098 7644 30280 12590 5433 7455 5173 7130 5331 5708 6167 12520 9766 8152 3186 5119 14250 8440 47000 6719 3944 10440 5584 23100 7588 3487 22380 12190 4308 13620 5330 21450 8047 7956 21370 4555 9057 6274 7189 27210 7305 8394 5319 3841 27600 6391 5833 25960 8062 9072 3100 7764 2343 6892 15620 9521 6211 7822 20290 12880 37110 17700 25610 9846 66880 38620 4992 22340 6714 7031 7657 49960 21610 12900 3827 2857 58800 8411 26570 2810 3509 16810 2306 3417 7050 12880 7937 12820 3814 20750 4531 4243 1822 11760 6300 7521 25010 8671 36280 11510 11960 6945 2043 6151 9053 6543 5650 23780 9851 3087 10360 13510 4442 6227 18650 18360 7554 31720 8962 5088 24450 9906 3575 10490 5230 16020 9506 14640 4231 15220 11620 33470 9488 6364 9761 11770 21450 5314 11290 2694 22960 6477 7068 4937 21910 6827 5636 7152 7991 1707 1922 25840 34850 5679 3056 5528 24950 5364 7073 45240 15350 16070 15130 6069 5000 4957 5962 7438 15680 1760 5579 7731 4652 20280 5661 4908 6175 9152 5537 8792 11730 15330 15010 23390 7660 8031 17420 8682 5625 6156 3738 23090 16230 20620 5335 3909 22640 5694 16330 13510 17830 11830 19580 5497 5679 3101 11330 10070 5590 3105 11570 6541 18080 8176 4317 6500 1027 29830 18180 5797 4989 7538 5381 27030 26400 25580 23320 18610 7308 8287 5953 8005 5184 8411 6694 1217 4739 9221 4809 8788 4242 6717 15060 31500 17800 5030 8692 25020 7106 8790 25220 6289 5450 11630 6512 11080 6962 5649 12690
2021-06-17 7711 6136 2958 5130 8633 3677 8661 6046 1553 15930 8426 9828 9909 12150 3911 23920 31130 20260 4371 17800 8463 8324 8561 15180 23110 22740 105100 7371 22010 10060 6017 32450 5136 25960 7482 52390 10930 6932 29610 6987 12700 15180 32100 6144 25110 6382 9207 7364 11040 19070 13530 15520 5938 14780 7220 10370 26540 8294 10890 8411 7654 16860 1809 13060 12850 4022 9319 22540 22960 6226 5061 4420 8888 20690 2885 11590 4099 3235 5988 15010 2663 39370 24500 2943 8119 32080 8789 7664 10590 4405 4466 20390 3054 12990 24510 12170 7942 27420 4357 8245 32470 7019 3086 4265 5788 5009 8444 6608 3251 4982 5562 18790 9776 9033 6680 5975 3105 7658 30290 12590 5437 7456 5181 7141 5333 5712 6169 12560 9772 8155 3190 5127 14270 8444 47150 6732 3946 10450 5585 23110 7594 3490 22410 12190 4311 13650 5334 21470 8050 7966 21370 4561 9064 6276 7191 27220 7308 8397 5328 3848 27630 6400 5838 25980 8066 9118 3105 7764 2344 6894 15650 9540 6213 7826 20290 12900 37170 17710 25670 9853 67040 38670 4993 22360 6717 7034 7659 50050 21630 12900 3830 2858 59030 8413 26590 2812 3510 16830 2307 3419 7056 12890 7940 12830 3836 20770 4535 4244 1824 11760 6305 7523 25060 8680 36310 11520 11970 6968 2044 6152 9068 6548 5652 23830 9856 3088 10370 13550 4444 6228 18670 18410 7556 31760 8977 5091 24500 9921 3580 10520 5262 16020 9516 14640 4231 15280 11640 33480 9493 6369 9776 11800 21450 5354 11300 2696 23030 6478 7100 4939 21920 6832 5641 7166 7998 1708 1923 25960 34860 5681 3066 5530 24990 5369 7078 45270 15360 16090 15150 6072 5035 4959 5970 7442 15700 1761 5582 7735 4660 20330 5666 4914 6185 9202 5540 8794 11740 15350 15020 23420 7666 8036 17430 8686 5635 6159 3750 23200 16240 20630 5342 3916 22660 5704 16340 13510 17840 11830 19620 5499 5684 3103 11350 10070 5597 3115 11570 6548 18090 8181 4318 6501 1028 29870 18230 5802 4990 7542 5385 27040 26410 25610 23380 18650 7311 8294 5957 8007 5187 8417 6701 1218 4753 9231 4812 8816 4245 6720 15090 31580 17810 5031 8697 25050 7113 8810 25230 6293 5455 11640 6514 11090 6975 5651 12710
2021-06-18 7731 6144 2959 5134 8635 3698 8665 6050 1557 15930 8431 9832 9912 12160 3912 23920 31140 20280 4374 17800 8473 8326 8575 15210 23120 22740 105200 7379 22140 10100 6018 32550 5137 25980 7497 52480 10930 6936 29640 6990 12710 15200 32150 6144 25130 6386 9209 7370 11080 19150 13530 15550 5942 14810 7225 10380 26550 8297 10900 8412 7659 16890 1809 13070 12860 4036 9322 22610 23020 6227 5066 4424 8912 20830 2897 11600 4109 3238 5991 15050 2666 39440 24530 2949 8122 32120 8794 7668 10590 4409 4473 20390 3056 13000 24520 12190 7945 27440 4365 8305 32500 7044 3087 4266 5807 5012 8451 6612 3268 4985 5582 18790 9778 9035 6681 5978 3111 7670 30300 12600 5441 7459 5188 7155 5336 5718 6170 12580 9778 8158 3195 5137 14280 8449 47280 6742 3950 10450 5585 23120 7598 3492 22440 12200 4315 13670 5339 21490 8053 7979 21380 4569 9071 6278 7193 27220 7316 8401 5336 3854 27650 6408 5842 26010 8071 9170 3109 7766 2345 6896 15680 9557 6214 7828 20300 12910 37220 17730 25710 9861 67190 38720 4995 22390 6721 7037 7660 50130 21650 12910 3833 2860 59280 8415 26610 2815 3511 16850 2308 3420 7064 12890 7942 12830 3858 20790 4540 4246 1828 11760 6309 7526 25110 8691 36330 11520 11970 6992 2045 6154 9082 6553 5653 23890 9860 3089 10380 13590 4446 6230 18690 18450 7559 31800 8995 5095 24550 9936 3585 10560 5288 16030 9525 14650 4231 15340 11660 33490 9498 6374 9794 11830 21450 5394 11310 2699 23080 6480 7131 4940 21930 6837 5646 7179 8005 1709 1925 26080 34870 5684 3075 5531 25040 5376 7083 45290 15370 16090 15170 6074 5068 4962 5976 7446 15720 1762 5586 7739 4667 20380 5669 4921 6197 9253 5542 8796 11760 15370 15030 23460 7671 8042 17450 8691 5648 6162 3761 23290 16250 20640 5348 3922 22680 5713 16350 13510 17850 11840 19670 5502 5688 3105 11360 10070 5605 3122 11570 6555 18090 8185 4319 6502 1028 29890 18270 5804 4991 7545 5390 27060 26430 25630 23420 18690 7315 8301 5960 8009 5190 8424 6708 1219 4764 9243 4814 8846 4249 6723 15120 31660 17830 5032 8702 25090 7119 8831 25240 6296 5458 11640 6516 11100 6987 5653 12730
2021-06-19 7749 6152 2961 5138 8636 3719 8669 6053 1561 15940 8435 9834 9915 12170 3914 23930 31160 20300 4376 17800 8483 8328 8589 15240 23130 22750 105400 7388 22240 10130 6020 32650 5139 26000 7512 52560 10930 6939 29670 6992 12710 15220 32200 6146 25150 6390 9211 7377 11120 19210 13530 15580 5946 14830 7230 10390 26560 8299 10900 8412 7665 16910 1810 13080 12860 4048 9326 22670 23080 6229 5072 4428 8938 20950 2909 11610 4119 3241 5994 15100 2668 39500 24550 2954 8126 32150 8799 7672 10600 4413 4480 20400 3058 13020 24530 12200 7948 27460 4374 8357 32530 7068 3089 4267 5827 5015 8459 6616 3285 4989 5601 18800 9780 9040 6682 5982 3118 7683 30320 12600 5445 7461 5197 7167 5337 5720 6172 12610 9783 8160 3199 5147 14300 8453 47410 6755 3952 10460 5586 23140 7603 3494 22470 12200 4318 13700 5343 21510 8056 7989 21380 4574 9078 6279 7195 27230 7320 8404 5345 3860 27670 6418 5845 26030 8076 9212 3113 7766 2346 6898 15710 9572 6216 7829 20310 12930 37280 17740 25760 9867 67320 38750 4997 22410 6724 7041 7661 50200 21670 12920 3836 2861 59470 8417 26620 2818 3511 16870 2310 3422 7071 12900 7945 12840 3878 20810 4544 4247 1830 11760 6313 7527 25150 8702 36350 11520 11980 7014 2046 6156 9098 6556 5656 23940 9865 3089 10390 13630 4448 6232 18710 18490 7561 31840 9008 5099 24610 9949 3591 10580 5314 16030 9534 14660 4232 15390 11680 33500 9503 6379 9808 11870 21450 5434 11330 2702 23130 6481 7163 4940 21950 6843 5651 7191 8011 1709 1927 26180 34880 5685 3084 5532 25080 5382 7089 45310 15380 16100 15190 6076 5100 4966 5981 7450 15730 1763 5588 7741 4674 20420 5672 4928 6207 9304 5545 8798 11780 15390 15040 23500 7677 8047 17460 8695 5658 6165 3771 23390 16260 20650 5353 3927 22710 5722 16370 13510 17850 11850 19710 5504 5693 3107 11370 10070 5613 3131 11580 6563 18100 8191 4320 6503 1029 29920 18310 5806 4992 7549 5395 27070 26450 25650 23470 18730 7319 8308 5964 8010 5193 8430 6711 1220 4776 9251 4817 8874 4253 6724 15150 31710 17850 5033 8706 25120 7126 8848 25250 6298 5461 11650 6517 11110 7000 5656 12750
2021-06-20 7765 6163 2962 5142 8638 3739 8674 6057 1564 15940 8440 9836 9917 12180 3915 23940 31170 20320 4379 17800 8492 8332 8600 15270 23140 22760 105500 7396 22370 10170 6022 32760 5141 26030 7529 52640 10930 6942 29710 6995 12710 15230 32260 6148 25170 6394 9214 7384 11160 19280 13530 15610 5950 14860 7235 10400 26560 8301 10900 8413 7670 16930 1810 13090 12860 4060 9330 22750 23130 6230 5077 4432 8967 21070 2922 11620 4130 3244 5996 15140 2671 39550 24570 2960 8131 32180 8804 7677 10610 4416 4488 20400 3060 13030 24540 12210 7951 27480 4383 8410 32560 7092 3090 4267 5848 5019 8466 6620 3301 4993 5620 18810 9782 9043 6683 5986 3125 7696 30330 12610 5449 7464 5205 7181 5339 5723 6174 12640 9789 8162 3203 5157 14320 8458 47530 6767 3954 10470 5587 23150 7608 3496 22500 12210 4322 13720 5347 21530 8059 8002 21390 4582 9086 6280 7197 27240 7327 8409 5354 3867 27690 6428 5849 26050 8080 9255 3117 7767 2348 6900 15730 9588 6217 7831 20310 12950 37340 17760 25810 9874 67470 38790 4998 22440 6728 7044 7663 50280 21690 12930 3839 2862 59670 8418 26640 2820 3512 16890 2312 3424 7078 12900 7947 12840 3897 20830 4549 4247 1833 11760 6318 7529 25200 8713 36370 11520 11980 7035 2047 6159 9112 6560 5658 23990 9869 3089 10400 13660 4450 6233 18730 18530 7564 31880 9022 5103 24660 9964 3596 10620 5343 16030 9547 14660 4232 15440 11700 33520 9508 6383 9824 11900 21450 5474 11340 2705 23190 6483 7194 4941 21960 6848 5656 7204 8017 1711 1928 26290 34890 5687 3092 5533 25130 5389 7095 45330 15390 16110 15210 6078 5134 4970 5989 7453 15750 1764 5592 7744 4681 20460 5676 4934 6216 9355 5547 8801 11790 15410 15050 23530 7682 8053 17470 8700 5667 6168 3781 23490 16270 20660 5357 3933 22730 5731 16380 13520 17860 11850 19760 5506 5697 3108 11380 10080 5622 3139 11580 6570 18100 8197 4321 6504 1029 29950 18350 5810 4994 7552 5399 27090 26470 25680 23520 18780 7324 8315 5968 8011 5196 8436 6716 1221 4789 9258 4821 8903 4256 6724 15170 31770 17870 5034 8712 25150 7133 8868 25260 6300 5465 11650 6518 11130 7013 5659 12770

Data issues

    There is an issue with the reported local authority data: the last few (usually three) observations show no change. To handle this, we remove the last two observations. This then reflect the reporting delay of the data, but also implies that we cannot precisely distinguish between a count of zero cases and a delayed count.
    The forecasts from 2020-10-11 use a four day delay (so ignoring the last four days of reported cases), to reflect delays in reporting data in many areas. Otherwise we use a two day delay.

    The following graph illustrates the issue for two districts:

Further information

  • We believe these forecasts fill a useful gap in the short run. They give an indication of what is likely to happen in the next few days, removing some aspect of surprise. Moreover, a noticeable drop in comparison to the extrapolations could be an indication that the implemented policies are having some impact. It is difficult to understand exponential growth. We hope that these forecasts may help to convince viewers to adhere to the policies implemented by their respective governments, and keep all arguments factual and measured.
  • We use the data repository for the 2019 Novel Coronavirus Visual Dashboard operated by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering. This is updated daily, but we tend to update our forecasts only every other day.
    US state data as of 2020-03-28 is courtesy of the New York Times.
  • We can only provide forecasts of what is measured. If confirmed cases are an underestimate of actual cases, then our forecasts will also be underestimates. No other epidemiological data is used. Data definition and collection differs between countries and may change over time.
  • We will update the methodology as we learn what is happening in the next few days or weeks. Once the number of cases levels off, there is no need to provide these forecasts anymore.
  • Countries where the counts are very low or stable have been omitted.
  • The graphs have dates on the horizontal axis (yyyy-mm-dd) and cumulative counts on the vertical axis. They show
    1. bold dark grey line (with circles): observed counts (Johns Hopkins CSSE);
    2. many light grey lines (with open circles): forecasts using different model settings and starting up to four periods back;
    3. red line (with open circles): single forecasts path using default model settings;
    4. black line (with crosses): average of all forecasts, recentered on the last observation;
    5. thin green lines: some indication of uncertainty around the red forecasts, but we do not know how reliable that is.
    Both the red line forecasts and the black lines are also given in the tables above. These forecasts differ, we are currently inclined to use the average forecasts.
  • The forecasts are constructed as follows:
    1. An overall `trend' is extracted by taking a window of the data at a time. In each window we draw `straight lines' which are selected using an automatic econometric procedure (`machine learning'). All straight lines are collected and averaged, giving the trend.
    2. Forecasts are made using the estimated trend, but we note that this must be done carefully, because simply extrapolating the flexible insample trend would lead to wildly fluctuating forecast. We use the `Cardt' method, which has been found to work well in other settings.
    3. Residuals from the trend are also forecast, and combined with trend forecasts into an overall forecast.
  • Scenario forecasts are constructed very differently: smooth versions of the Chinese experience are matched at different lag lengths with the path of each country. This probably works best from the peak, or the slowdown just before (but we include it for the UK nonetheless).
  • The forecast evaluation shows past forecasts, together with the outcomes (in the grey line with circles).
  • EU-BS is Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania together.
  • This paper describes the methodology and gives further references. Also available as Nuffield Economics Discussion Paper 2020-W06. Still preliminary is the documentation of the medium term forecasts.

Recent changes and notes

[2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.
[2021-01-07]Slideshow of forecasts, errors, and actuals 2020-06-30 to 2021-01-02: how England lost the battle.
[2020-10-27]Statistical short-term forecasting of the COVID-19 Pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now published at the Journal of Clinical Immunology and Immunotherapy. open access
[2020-10-11]Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now in press at the International Journal of Forecasting. open access
[2020-10-10]Removed forecasts from the Chinese scenarios, while investigating possibility to use own history from the first wave.
Added information on the previous peak (if present) to the peak tables.
Local forecasts for England: now dropping last four observations.
[2020-07-01] Modified the short-term model to allow for (slowly changing) seasonality. Many countries show clear seasonality after the initial period, likely caused by institutional factors regarding data collection. This seasonality was also getting in the way of peak detection. As a consequence estimates of the peak date may have changed for countries with strong seasonality.
Added forecasts of cumulative confirmed cases for lower tier local authorities of England. The data is available from 2020-07-02 including all tests (pillar one and two). Only authorities with more than 5 cases in the previous week are included.
[2020-06-29] Tables in April included the world, but not the world as we know it (double counting China and the US). So removed the world from those old tables.
Why short-term forecasts can be better than models for predicting how pandemics evolve just appeared at The Conversation.
Thursday 2 July webinar at the FGV EESP - São Paolo School of Economics. This starts at 16:00 UK time (UTC+01:00) and streamed here.