COVID-19 short-term forecasts Confirmed 2021-06-16 lower tier local authorities of England (with more than 5 cases in the previous week).


General information

  • Forecasts produced by Jennie Castle, Jurgen Doornik, and David Hendry, researchers at the University of Oxford. These are our forecasts, and should not be considered official forecasts from, or endorsed by, any of: University of Oxford, Oxford Martin School, Nuffield College, or Magdalen College.
  • These forecasts are short term time-series extrapolations of the data. They are not based on epidemiological modelling or simulations. All forecasts are uncertain: their success can only be determined afterwards. Many mitigation strategies are in place, which, if successful, invalidate our forecasts. An explanation of our methods is provided below.
  • A list of notes is below. The most recent note:
    [2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.

Forecasts for districts of England, one week ahead from 2021-06-16

Peak increase in estimated trend of Confirmed in England 2021-06-16

Aberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterComhairle nan Eilean SiarConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
Peak date (mm-dd)12-2812-2712-2712-2612-272021-05-252021-03-2512-2707-212021-03-2512-2112-2712-0812-2112-2312-2812-2310-1312-2712-232021-01-022021-01-1112-302021-05-0912-2612-2212-2912-2712-2712-2912-072021-01-072021-05-1011-132021-01-012021-06-0210-2412-2212-2712-2712-1412-0612-2812-3012-2512-2112-2612-2212-3012-3012-2712-0710-2812-2112-2712-2612-0812-0612-2712-0812-2112-222021-06-0110-2812-3012-222021-06-0312-2512-2212-212021-01-0312-2112-2112-3010-042021-01-0412-262021-01-0512-2912-2612-2712-2912-2411-0212-2712-2812-2712-2712-2112-2512-2112-2112-282021-01-022021-02-2512-2110-1412-2712-0712-2612-2210-0412-2707-2112-2412-2910-0412-2412-2111-0912-0612-2607-2110-3112-2712-3012-2812-2112-2612-2212-2512-2112-222021-01-0609-2712-2712-2312-2712-2212-282021-06-0212-1812-252021-01-0412-2612-2610-042021-06-0312-2812-2112-2112-2712-212021-01-0512-2212-2712-2812-2112-2112-2112-2812-2712-2812-2112-2312-1312-2712-1312-2912-2212-2912-2812-2812-3012-2212-2612-212021-01-0112-2112-2812-2112-272021-06-0312-2812-2812-2511-0112-212021-05-3012-2712-292021-01-0611-022021-01-0312-2112-2712-2711-0212-2112-262021-06-0412-2212-2112-3112-292021-01-0212-2211-012021-01-0712-0812-2112-2112-212021-06-0512-212021-03-2512-3107-2112-2212-2712-0607-212021-03-1812-2812-292021-01-032021-06-0512-2712-0612-2707-2112-0812-2710-2612-2612-2110-0411-0112-2112-2911-0412-212021-01-0412-2712-212021-01-0112-2912-2911-0212-2807-2112-2712-2812-2612-272021-01-062021-01-062021-01-0112-062021-01-0412-2912-2112-312021-01-052021-05-2710-0412-062021-06-0212-2112-2712-2812-1012-3112-1310-1812-3012-2812-2712-252021-01-262021-01-0212-2912-292021-01-0312-2312-2112-3112-2912-2211-0207-2112-3012-2512-2512-2112-2912-2112-2112-2812-2612-252021-01-0412-222021-06-0510-0412-2112-222021-05-252021-01-0312-2812-2712-2212-2112-1412-2812-2612-2112-2512-252021-05-2512-2211-0712-2812-2711-0112-2112-2312-2212-2712-2112-0712-0212-2512-292021-01-0212-2612-302021-01-0412-2712-2112-2612-2112-1912-222021-05-3112-2712-0611-1312-2112-2712-2212-2612-0812-212021-05-3012-2712-272021-06-0112-2511-0212-2112-2212-2112-2712-2612-2012-1310-0411-0212-0710-0412-2212-2312-2212-2712-2912-2212-2212-2812-2712-2212-272021-01-0112-2812-2512-312021-05-3012-3012-2611-02
Peak daily increment 92 102 61 88 97 51 77 73 119 106 170 110 171 178 78 477 589 189 58 326 128 110 108 53 252 426 1250 75 157 65 95 58 212 50 484 17 434 228 107 524 155 233 307 320 107 508 94 186 62 122 123 211 137 99 256 87 148 354 172 194 175 107 29 40 90 268 19 197 249 283 59 91 71 65 266 20 243 5 35 53 94 285 34 553 288 38 181 598 151 69 189 72 58 246 27 170 248 187 118 322 119 87 536 308 60 52 71 76 160 106 25 51 235 204 102 163 147 107 56 146 593 273 97 74 80 69 90 73 94 119 21 125 54 38 122 82 597 17 56 180 92 451 119 34 377 219 59 201 57 401 172 103 338 101 106 136 120 476 101 159 52 76 442 57 116 452 143 83 74 134 18 237 37 148 70 100 283 198 73 311 428 107 1449 284 104 456 71 230 102 727 35 200 90 36 368 92 419 25 46 106 298 37 62 17 186 27 213 302 361 79 62 66 23 105 63 122 23 723 190 212 192 23 50 137 105 51 394 105 58 122 107 41 55 277 158 121 224 90 68 123 3 125 44 108 58 154 120 207 43 102 174 623 105 81 19 151 286 43 188 39 132 139 56 96 198 80 85 59 174 36 25 162 450 42 83 82 403 65 131 573 25 209 244 167 97 42 111 102 69 181 27 42 86 24 448 95 79 13 80 66 102 115 247 293 450 131 156 219 94 30 112 26 189 138 197 66 42 206 105 331 189 270 181 123 56 109 46 141 352 90 44 138 122 360 11 51 101 14 559 151 90 110 120 84 42 329 449 65 227 259 138 117 160 65 154 87 29 78 166 42 65 67 115 217 217 265 83 148 430 106 138 377 106 115 176 95 14 71 69 594
Days since peak 170 171 171 172 171 22 83 171 330 83 177 171 190 177 175 170 175 246 171 175 165 156 168 38 172 176 169 171 171 169 191 160 37 215 166 14 235 176 171 171 184 192 170 168 173 177 172 176 168 168 171 191 231 177 171 172 190 192 171 190 177 176 15 231 168 176 13 173 176 177 164 177 177 168 255 163 172 162 169 172 171 169 174 226 171 170 171 171 177 173 177 177 170 165 111 177 245 171 191 172 176 255 171 330 174 169 255 174 177 219 192 172 330 228 171 168 170 177 172 176 173 177 176 161 262 171 175 171 176 170 14 180 173 163 172 172 255 13 170 177 177 171 177 162 176 171 170 177 177 177 170 171 170 177 175 185 171 185 169 176 169 170 170 168 176 172 177 166 177 170 177 171 13 170 170 173 227 177 17 171 169 161 226 164 177 171 171 226 177 172 12 176 177 167 169 165 176 227 160 190 177 177 177 11 177 83 167 330 176 171 192 330 90 170 169 164 11 171 192 171 330 190 171 233 172 177 255 227 177 169 224 177 163 171 177 166 169 169 226 170 330 171 170 172 171 161 161 166 192 163 169 177 167 162 20 255 192 14 177 171 170 188 167 185 241 168 170 171 173 141 165 169 169 164 175 177 167 169 176 226 330 168 173 173 177 169 177 177 170 172 173 163 176 11 255 177 176 22 164 170 171 176 177 184 170 172 177 173 173 22 176 221 170 171 227 177 175 176 171 177 191 196 173 169 165 172 168 163 171 177 172 177 179 176 16 171 192 215 177 171 176 172 190 177 17 171 171 15 173 226 177 176 177 171 172 178 185 255 226 191 255 176 175 176 171 169 176 176 170 171 176 171 166 170 173 167 17 168 172 226
Last total 7752 6152 2980 5150 8645 3631 8661 6041 1609 15954 8440 9834 9915 12134 3921 23925 31160 20242 4392 17791 8468 8334 8588 15129 23131 22769 105218 7379 21931 10060 6194 6025 32288 5151 26057 7468 52333 10926 6931 29600 6986 12712 15254 32211 6141 25120 6394 9219 7371 11027 19059 13526 15543 5971 14811 7221 10377 26565 8312 10896 8421 7648 16837 1816 13066 12870 4053 9331 22523 22960 6241 5074 4434 8901 20612 2885 11600 301 4097 3231 5994 15254 2683 39557 24514 2956 8131 32081 8793 7716 10596 4403 4465 20420 3066 13073 24559 12206 7946 27408 4343 8240 32463 7046 3097 4283 5806 5013 8458 6616 3259 4997 5564 18828 9792 9036 6680 5983 3099 7652 30308 12597 5465 7471 5206 7166 5344 5726 6186 12561 9810 8154 3199 5146 14331 8467 47033 6768 3949 10445 5584 23133 7618 3491 22411 12270 4315 13657 5389 21480 8050 7986 21418 4556 9058 6284 7201 27245 7315 8414 5331 3853 27617 6394 5848 25985 8065 9092 3111 7775 2347 6898 15674 9548 6212 7829 20298 12891 37089 17756 25656 9881 67197 38635 4999 22360 6734 7054 7680 50191 21613 12921 3822 2869 58961 8421 26571 2815 3526 6750 16856 2331 3419 7083 12888 7958 12850 3802 20774 4553 4245 1820 11759 6322 7535 25226 8691 36314 11510 12000 6982 2061 6162 9096 6565 5659 23877 9854 3097 10405 13630 4450 6249 18667 18427 7563 31765 8983 5107 24531 76 9892 3571 10512 5250 16036 9540 14722 4241 15264 11649 33507 9508 6353 9746 11768 21446 5321 11319 2715 23008 6487 7088 4943 21953 6846 5651 7202 7988 1713 1931 25849 34903 5685 3084 5549 25051 5412 7092 45341 240 15369 16074 15186 6099 5003 4977 5973 7437 15729 1765 5579 7744 4669 20333 5662 4913 6188 9169 5544 8811 11773 15420 15016 23430 7669 8068 17493 8688 5624 6163 3747 23050 16274 20679 5351 3930 22731 5684 16345 13514 17830 11867 19653 5505 5681 3108 11351 10085 5600 3130 11581 6553 18089 8183 4332 6498 1043 29900 18296 5812 4990 7547 5395 27099 26415 25587 23367 18676 7373 8307 5978 8018 5188 8455 6718 1221 4759 9253 4815 8804 4260 6726 15068 31703 17851 5051 8721 25114 7107 8795 25242 6294 5454 11646 6523 11101 7010 5654 12741
Last daily increment 47 30 8 8 10 11 7 3 15 18 12 14 4 15 5 6 42 18 6 3 16 7 28 21 27 14 190 22 106 47 0 5 101 11 57 18 114 3 2 29 3 3 44 127 3 34 10 6 14 60 91 0 57 23 32 7 10 3 10 1 4 3 17 1 23 6 36 7 84 78 8 9 13 58 163 9 16 0 5 0 7 153 8 147 33 9 10 30 7 29 12 3 4 21 3 41 39 34 5 19 10 66 43 42 6 10 25 6 16 5 18 9 20 30 9 6 3 10 7 13 18 13 19 7 23 24 7 8 16 31 9 5 5 11 52 11 182 38 3 8 1 25 8 2 34 32 5 32 24 23 5 21 25 12 6 4 7 16 9 6 6 14 30 10 9 27 6 54 10 5 1 2 34 18 2 5 8 14 71 37 68 26 271 49 1 28 8 12 10 147 22 12 2 10 262 6 20 5 6 0 27 15 1 17 1 11 13 15 25 14 0 4 0 11 14 113 12 25 0 25 35 3 5 26 15 4 96 14 2 21 74 2 9 10 61 6 53 20 9 101 0 14 0 44 31 11 22 50 1 63 26 31 17 2 8 38 1 41 20 9 73 3 36 3 27 10 7 31 7 4 8 98 20 5 24 9 70 29 11 61 0 21 15 36 19 34 10 8 7 43 1 2 11 19 65 5 5 9 49 6 11 30 55 5 45 17 21 47 5 9 6 12 83 22 34 7 15 64 9 17 5 0 18 83 8 5 7 12 4 17 17 5 9 6 5 6 0 3 41 90 5 1 4 12 50 22 26 56 54 32 18 11 3 4 17 14 5 15 20 4 33 14 9 38 152 49 10 12 73 2 17 15 8 7 2 4 16 32 2 36
Last week 225 85 33 47 30 86 31 18 94 70 53 62 33 80 22 66 193 136 54 18 79 38 158 174 106 89 1148 79 673 312 2 26 595 40 338 88 598 29 22 211 21 25 272 581 15 171 53 38 68 312 526 20 262 61 232 41 51 82 40 19 21 25 148 14 103 48 136 52 415 412 29 63 41 282 926 75 104 2 88 14 25 657 46 773 176 50 46 203 46 93 56 23 58 70 25 177 168 136 17 116 37 403 279 205 22 34 162 38 86 49 154 42 143 113 37 36 11 38 48 74 124 56 58 47 100 110 25 43 64 218 79 17 43 104 207 72 856 148 24 49 6 147 70 12 199 147 27 172 109 148 33 102 111 39 53 26 28 99 59 55 67 44 154 72 37 178 40 324 39 20 9 17 216 127 14 24 64 111 377 158 354 110 1357 344 23 183 49 44 41 784 161 84 7 24 1584 26 98 24 22 3 204 36 18 83 39 52 75 117 154 47 12 9 17 50 44 573 114 172 11 87 172 27 30 172 53 26 443 34 16 132 384 19 47 110 359 24 285 127 42 418 0 78 19 254 191 65 97 144 18 384 176 137 60 13 72 219 19 207 128 38 415 22 199 17 116 48 60 142 45 15 25 714 136 23 78 34 400 93 56 285 0 85 77 185 59 212 49 53 23 203 17 16 49 80 308 20 39 74 284 36 47 147 252 60 295 46 68 174 34 51 24 65 479 99 164 57 61 246 48 97 26 40 112 397 21 28 37 93 29 73 85 26 54 57 45 27 8 25 287 480 30 27 43 58 245 108 167 313 328 103 66 57 30 23 92 79 12 86 137 33 187 46 33 198 816 190 38 58 355 53 101 102 24 32 46 25 98 138 19 168
Previous peak date07-2107-21 -- --10-2707-2112-2110-07 --12-21 --10-21 --10-25 -- -- -- --10-20 -- --10-2611-0212-2110-07 --11-02 --10-1310-13 --10-2510-15 --11-0212-2105-0310-26 -- -- -- --10-1611-02 -- -- -- --10-1209-2710-2709-02 -- --10-01 -- -- --10-25 -- --10-1012-21 --11-02 --12-2810-2710-18 --10-20 -- --10-1307-2107-2110-14 -- -- -- --10-29 --04-2010-3110-31 --10-2910-17 -- -- --10-2110-2712-2810-01 --10-12 -- --07-2107-21 -- -- --11-0107-2110-27 -- --07-2110-27 -- -- --10-30 --10-20 --10-06 -- -- --10-18 --07-21 -- -- --07-2112-25 -- --10-1510-2910-1107-2112-21 -- -- -- -- -- -- --09-2810-2710-14 --10-12 --10-2710-30 -- -- --10-29 -- --10-1710-2707-21 --11-01 -- -- --10-1307-21 --06-11 --12-22 -- -- -- --10-1310-2709-29 --10-0804-1411-02 -- --10-31 --10-1209-2812-27 -- -- --11-0210-25 -- -- -- --10-15 -- --12-2210-1212-2111-03 --09-30 -- -- --12-07 -- --11-0211-03 -- --09-24 -- --10-14 -- -- --07-21 -- --10-31 -- --11-0308-02 -- --11-0211-01 --10-22 -- -- -- --07-21 --11-0211-02 --11-02 -- --11-0310-2612-2207-21 --12-2810-10 --10-19 --10-11 -- -- -- --10-13 -- -- --11-0211-0210-3107-21 --09-3010-25 -- -- --10-28 -- -- --07-21 -- --10-25 -- -- -- --11-0907-21 -- --12-2010-13 --10-24 -- -- -- -- --10-1710-0810-2910-27 --07-2110-1810-12 -- -- --10-0610-31 -- -- -- --10-1811-04 -- --10-2910-1110-18 -- -- -- --12-2310-26 -- -- --10-17 -- -- -- --11-01 -- --12-1510-22 -- --10-22 -- -- -- -- --07-21 -- --07-21 --10-15 --10-1610-24 -- --09-3010-3010-11 --11-03 --10-1910-2812-2110-17 -- --
Previous peak daily increment 616 365 80 295 134 40 260 61 40 31 75 271 233 262 1226 166 98 54 234 363 142 55 19 62 1197 57 72 160 31 54 39 60 303 294 52 35 120 54 62 1272 83 35 57 68 129 18 69 22 25 164 25 206 59 226 710 39 383 25 191 31 24 30 29 56 475 687 150 43 127 72 1766 92 70 33 54 60 69 57 38 22 44 144 49 59 248 45 275 46 349 153 81 75 479 56 71 480 273 2237 61 44 153 109 105 87 25 191 2429 85 91 53 1007 82 56 68 1343 64 257 230 139 354 150 88 41 176 459 52 46 194 65 67 406 233 81 152 189 33 104 226 66 72 876 108 66 75 20 118 77 55 149 184 120 129 18 172 46 89 27 17 139 45 144 250 390 135 23 307 376 24 319 68 141 22 25 38 54 32 173 67
Low between peaks 0 -1 28 0 8 18 13 26 -44 8 37 20 -12 48 303 55 29 19 17 23 -8 27 -19 21 68 19 34 54 12 23 7 26 -1 28 -12 -43 -38 17 31 -11 -4 -18 12 1 39 -9 28 -31 9 53 8 34 -47 -2 -3 -13 -3 -32 -1 10 -10 8 -67 19 -4 -5 1 -9 24 23 -7 -13 22 -40 23 15 -120 -7 19 -66 -54 -1 15 21 -2 0 -5 18 27 21 23 6 120 21 21 58 7 114 21 -25 -10 39 6 35 8 7 18 -15 23 -9 -7 35 16 7 50 28 58 1 20 37 38 22 13 -13 -2 0 -118 62 22 16 36 92 19 -4 26 14 31 -2 24 -4 -7 -1 28 24 -77 30 38 -2 -1 43 43 58 -23 32 15 31 11 7 -11 6 -31 15 -4 -27 -71 -2 -2 -25 77 -103 19 -17 -8 8 27 12 0 -4

Confirmed count forecast England (bold red line in graphs) 2021-06-17 to 2021-06-23

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-06-16 7752 6152 2980 5150 8645 3631 8661 6041 1609 15954 8440 9834 9915 12134 3921 23925 31160 20242 4392 17791 8468 8334 8588 15129 23131 22769 105218 7379 21931 10060 6025 32288 5151 26057 7468 52333 10926 6931 29600 6986 12712 15254 32211 6141 25120 6394 9219 7371 11027 19059 13526 15543 5971 14811 7221 10377 26565 8312 10896 8421 7648 16837 1816 13066 12870 4053 9331 22523 22960 6241 5074 4434 8901 20612 2885 11600 4097 3231 5994 15254 2683 39557 24514 2956 8131 32081 8793 7716 10596 4403 4465 20420 3066 13073 24559 12206 7946 27408 4343 8240 32463 7046 3097 4283 5806 5013 8458 6616 3259 4997 5564 18828 9792 9036 6680 5983 3099 7652 30308 12597 5465 7471 5206 7166 5344 5726 6186 12561 9810 8154 3199 5146 14331 8467 47033 6768 3949 10445 5584 23133 7618 3491 22411 12270 4315 13657 5389 21480 8050 7986 21418 4556 9058 6284 7201 27245 7315 8414 5331 3853 27617 6394 5848 25985 8065 9092 3111 7775 2347 6898 15674 9548 6212 7829 20298 12891 37089 17756 25656 9881 67197 38635 4999 22360 6734 7054 7680 50191 21613 12921 3822 2869 58961 8421 26571 2815 3526 16856 2331 3419 7083 12888 7958 12850 3802 20774 4553 4245 1820 11759 6322 7535 25226 8691 36314 11510 12000 6982 2061 6162 9096 6565 5659 23877 9854 3097 10405 13630 4450 6249 18667 18427 7563 31765 8983 5107 24531 9892 3571 10512 5250 16036 9540 14722 4241 15264 11649 33507 9508 6353 9746 11768 21446 5321 11319 2715 23008 6487 7088 4943 21953 6846 5651 7202 7988 1713 1931 25849 34903 5685 3084 5549 25051 5412 7092 45341 15369 16074 15186 6099 5003 4977 5973 7437 15729 1765 5579 7744 4669 20333 5662 4913 6188 9169 5544 8811 11773 15420 15016 23430 7669 8068 17493 8688 5624 6163 3747 23050 16274 20679 5351 3930 22731 5684 16345 13514 17830 11867 19653 5505 5681 3108 11351 10085 5600 3130 11581 6553 18089 8183 4332 6498 1043 29900 18296 5812 4990 7547 5395 27099 26415 25587 23367 18676 7373 8307 5978 8018 5188 8455 6718 1221 4759 9253 4815 8804 4260 6726 15068 31703 17851 5051 8721 25114 7107 8795 25242 6294 5454 11646 6523 11101 7010 5654 12741
2021-06-17 7783 6166 2987 5156 8649 3645 8666 6042 1622 15960 8448 9840 9915 12140 3925 23930 31190 20260 4402 17800 8482 8338 8605 15160 23160 22780 105400 7379 22100 10120 6030 32510 5159 26130 7486 52430 10930 6935 29650 6989 12720 15310 32280 6147 25150 6404 9225 7382 11060 19090 13530 15590 5984 14850 7233 10380 26570 8319 10900 8423 7653 16880 1818 13090 12880 4078 9339 22590 23030 6246 5088 4446 8923 20730 2897 11610 4112 3235 5994 15380 2691 39650 24550 2963 8135 32120 8800 7735 10600 4407 4474 20440 3067 13110 24600 12230 7949 27430 4349 8311 32510 7073 3103 4289 5806 5016 8474 6622 3282 4997 5585 18840 9792 9036 6681 5988 3108 7664 30330 12600 5481 7476 5223 7190 5344 5734 6193 12590 9820 8157 3199 5151 14370 8477 47160 6801 3956 10450 5586 23160 7622 3494 22440 12290 4321 13690 5410 21510 8055 7998 21430 4559 9066 6288 7206 27260 7322 8424 5341 3857 27640 6405 5854 26000 8067 9122 3116 7777 2349 6900 15710 9567 6214 7829 20310 12910 37180 17800 25710 9891 67500 38690 5002 22380 6740 7062 7689 50330 21640 12930 3824 2869 59100 8421 26590 2818 3531 16890 2339 3421 7087 12890 7965 12860 3822 20800 4560 4246 1822 11760 6331 7541 25320 8711 36340 11520 12020 7010 2062 6166 9120 6565 5665 23940 9855 3097 10420 13700 4453 6256 18700 18440 7566 31810 9009 5112 24590 9913 3574 10550 5280 16040 9553 14760 4242 15310 11660 33540 9518 6357 9761 11800 21450 5357 11340 2723 23060 6490 7121 4943 21970 6857 5661 7223 7996 1714 1935 25970 34930 5688 3113 5559 25100 5429 7102 45380 15390 16100 15210 6114 5037 4985 5980 7441 15750 1767 5584 7750 4685 20350 5666 4919 6200 9217 5551 8819 11800 15450 15020 23470 7678 8087 17520 8692 5647 6167 3757 23140 16290 20700 5351 3941 22790 5692 16350 13520 17830 11890 19710 5506 5685 3112 11350 10090 5609 3140 11580 6561 18090 8195 4335 6499 1047 29940 18390 5816 4993 7553 5403 27140 26440 25610 23420 18710 7397 8316 5989 8018 5192 8467 6733 1221 4785 9278 4819 8834 4266 6726 15100 31840 17880 5059 8732 25170 7117 8813 25250 6298 5457 11650 6523 11110 7032 5654 12780
2021-06-18 7817 6180 2993 5162 8654 3656 8666 6042 1633 15960 8455 9849 9915 12150 3928 23930 31220 20290 4408 17800 8499 8338 8624 15210 23190 22780 105600 7382 22230 10170 6033 32650 5165 26190 7500 52510 10940 6940 29690 6989 12720 15360 32370 6148 25180 6414 9230 7390 11100 19140 13530 15630 5992 14880 7239 10390 26570 8323 10900 8423 7657 16910 1820 13100 12880 4098 9345 22660 23070 6250 5096 4454 8945 20850 2901 11630 4128 3235 5997 15500 2698 39740 24590 2969 8135 32130 8801 7750 10610 4410 4488 20450 3067 13130 24640 12250 7949 27450 4356 8375 32560 7081 3108 4293 5809 5019 8487 6627 3306 4998 5597 18840 9792 9036 6681 5993 3120 7675 30350 12610 5495 7476 5237 7212 5345 5744 6193 12600 9825 8158 3199 5151 14400 8484 47260 6832 3963 10460 5587 23180 7622 3497 22460 12310 4327 13710 5426 21530 8061 8008 21430 4564 9074 6292 7211 27280 7330 8432 5343 3857 27660 6418 5854 26010 8069 9166 3116 7777 2349 6902 15720 9581 6214 7830 20320 12920 37240 17830 25750 9905 67760 38730 5002 22410 6740 7067 7695 50470 21660 12940 3827 2869 59270 8421 26610 2818 3535 16920 2343 3423 7097 12900 7966 12870 3850 20800 4560 4246 1824 11770 6339 7542 25390 8734 36350 11520 12040 7032 2062 6166 9138 6565 5669 24000 9859 3097 10440 13770 4453 6262 18720 18470 7566 31860 9035 5112 24660 9926 3575 10590 5305 16040 9564 14780 4242 15360 11660 33560 9525 6366 9787 11840 21450 5391 11350 2728 23110 6493 7151 4943 21980 6864 5672 7236 8000 1714 1939 26080 34940 5688 3138 5563 25150 5436 7108 45420 15400 16110 15240 6126 5074 4992 5986 7445 15770 1767 5590 7750 4699 20370 5670 4925 6205 9268 5557 8826 11810 15490 15030 23500 7684 8100 17560 8696 5660 6168 3765 23250 16320 20720 5351 3951 22840 5693 16350 13520 17830 11900 19770 5509 5687 3115 11360 10090 5619 3143 11580 6564 18090 8203 4335 6502 1050 29960 18470 5816 4993 7559 5408 27170 26450 25630 23460 18760 7417 8320 5999 8018 5194 8481 6749 1221 4811 9304 4819 8859 4266 6727 15120 31980 17910 5066 8741 25230 7129 8836 25260 6300 5458 11660 6523 11110 7052 5656 12810
2021-06-19 7843 6193 2998 5169 8658 3669 8669 6042 1644 15970 8463 9860 9916 12150 3932 23940 31240 20310 4416 17800 8514 8338 8648 15250 23210 22780 105700 7388 22310 10230 6037 32740 5174 26250 7513 52580 10940 6943 29720 6990 12720 15400 32440 6150 25200 6424 9235 7398 11130 19170 13530 15660 6002 14910 7245 10390 26570 8328 10910 8423 7662 16940 1822 13110 12890 4119 9353 22710 23120 6254 5106 4462 8973 20940 2910 11640 4142 3235 6001 15610 2704 39830 24610 2975 8135 32160 8805 7767 10610 4413 4499 20460 3067 13160 24670 12270 7951 27470 4363 8427 32590 7097 3113 4297 5816 5023 8501 6633 3328 5005 5613 18840 9792 9041 6681 5999 3130 7687 30370 12620 5509 7476 5251 7230 5346 5746 6193 12610 9832 8160 3200 5151 14440 8492 47360 6864 3966 10470 5588 23200 7622 3499 22490 12330 4332 13740 5443 21560 8067 8020 21430 4564 9082 6296 7216 27290 7333 8440 5349 3858 27680 6429 5857 26020 8073 9197 3116 7777 2349 6904 15750 9597 6215 7830 20320 12940 37290 17860 25790 9914 67990 38770 5002 22430 6740 7073 7702 50580 21690 12940 3830 2870 59410 8422 26620 2819 3537 16950 2348 3425 7106 12910 7969 12890 3875 20810 4560 4247 1826 11770 6347 7545 25470 8755 36360 11520 12060 7056 2062 6166 9158 6565 5673 24050 9863 3097 10460 13840 4453 6268 18740 18500 7566 31900 9048 5112 24720 9943 3576 10630 5332 16050 9573 14810 4242 15410 11660 33590 9532 6373 9808 11870 21450 5426 11370 2734 23150 6495 7182 4945 22000 6872 5681 7252 8006 1714 1942 26170 34950 5690 3161 5570 25200 5446 7115 45450 15410 16120 15260 6139 5109 4999 5992 7448 15800 1767 5592 7750 4711 20400 5673 4931 6213 9317 5563 8834 11830 15530 15040 23530 7690 8115 17580 8701 5671 6170 3773 23350 16330 20750 5351 3961 22880 5697 16350 13520 17840 11920 19820 5509 5690 3120 11360 10090 5631 3149 11580 6569 18090 8211 4335 6502 1053 29980 18550 5818 4994 7565 5414 27200 26460 25660 23490 18800 7438 8326 6009 8018 5197 8494 6763 1221 4835 9322 4819 8886 4266 6728 15140 32100 17940 5073 8751 25280 7140 8856 25270 6303 5459 11670 6524 11120 7074 5659 12840
2021-06-20 7872 6207 3003 5178 8660 3681 8672 6042 1654 15970 8469 9868 9918 12170 3935 23950 31260 20330 4423 17800 8528 8338 8669 15280 23240 22790 105900 7396 22410 10280 6041 32850 5183 26310 7526 52670 10950 6947 29750 6991 12720 15430 32530 6153 25230 6433 9240 7408 11160 19230 13530 15700 6012 14940 7251 10400 26570 8334 10910 8423 7666 16970 1824 13130 12900 4141 9360 22770 23180 6258 5115 4471 9019 21040 2919 11650 4156 3237 6002 15710 2710 39920 24630 2981 8135 32190 8810 7783 10620 4417 4510 20470 3067 13180 24700 12300 7953 27490 4369 8481 32630 7116 3118 4302 5837 5027 8515 6639 3350 5009 5631 18850 9795 9043 6681 6006 3139 7699 30390 12620 5523 7476 5266 7253 5346 5750 6193 12640 9839 8162 3200 5151 14470 8500 47460 6897 3972 10470 5589 23230 7622 3502 22510 12350 4338 13770 5460 21580 8072 8032 21440 4568 9090 6298 7221 27310 7348 8449 5357 3861 27700 6440 5861 26040 8078 9238 3117 7777 2350 6906 15770 9615 6217 7832 20330 12960 37350 17900 25840 9928 68200 38800 5002 22450 6740 7079 7709 50710 21710 12950 3832 2871 59560 8424 26640 2821 3540 16980 2354 3426 7115 12910 7973 12900 3897 20820 4560 4248 1829 11770 6354 7549 25540 8775 36380 11520 12080 7081 2062 6166 9180 6571 5678 24100 9868 3097 10470 13910 4455 6275 18750 18530 7567 31950 9066 5112 24780 9955 3579 10670 5360 16050 9589 14840 4242 15450 11660 33620 9541 6378 9826 11900 21450 5459 11380 2740 23200 6498 7213 4947 22010 6880 5691 7269 8013 1714 1946 26260 34970 5692 3181 5575 25240 5458 7124 45490 15430 16140 15280 6150 5142 5006 6000 7452 15820 1767 5596 7750 4725 20440 5677 4937 6221 9363 5568 8842 11850 15560 15050 23570 7697 8129 17620 8705 5681 6173 3782 23440 16350 20770 5351 3971 22930 5703 16360 13520 17840 11930 19880 5510 5694 3127 11370 10090 5644 3157 11580 6575 18090 8219 4335 6504 1058 30010 18630 5819 4996 7570 5421 27230 26470 25680 23530 18840 7457 8334 6019 8018 5201 8508 6778 1221 4857 9339 4821 8914 4268 6730 15170 32220 17970 5079 8760 25330 7150 8875 25290 6305 5466 11670 6525 11130 7094 5661 12870
2021-06-21 7905 6224 3009 5187 8666 3693 8675 6043 1664 15980 8480 9872 9921 12180 3939 23950 31290 20350 4433 17810 8542 8338 8690 15310 23270 22800 106000 7406 22520 10340 6045 32970 5191 26370 7542 52760 10960 6953 29790 6993 12720 15480 32630 6155 25260 6443 9245 7419 11220 19310 13530 15750 6023 14970 7259 10400 26570 8340 10910 8425 7671 16990 1826 13150 12900 4163 9368 22850 23230 6263 5128 4480 9059 21200 2929 11660 4169 3240 6004 15830 2717 40030 24660 2988 8135 32210 8815 7799 10620 4421 4520 20480 3067 13210 24740 12320 7955 27500 4376 8545 32680 7137 3122 4306 5866 5034 8529 6645 3371 5015 5649 18860 9801 9048 6681 6013 3149 7710 30410 12630 5536 7476 5281 7279 5350 5755 6193 12660 9847 8164 3202 5151 14500 8509 47590 6936 3981 10480 5589 23250 7622 3505 22540 12370 4343 13790 5477 21600 8078 8044 21450 4573 9097 6300 7225 27320 7353 8457 5365 3864 27720 6451 5865 26060 8084 9293 3120 7777 2352 6908 15800 9632 6218 7835 20340 12970 37420 17930 25890 9946 68440 38860 5002 22480 6740 7086 7717 50830 21740 12970 3834 2872 59780 8429 26660 2823 3544 17010 2359 3428 7129 12920 7978 12910 3918 20840 4560 4249 1831 11770 6365 7554 25620 8795 36400 11520 12090 7106 2062 6166 9201 6579 5683 24170 9872 3097 10490 13970 4456 6281 18780 18580 7569 32000 9090 5114 24840 9971 3581 10700 5387 16060 9604 14860 4242 15510 11670 33640 9549 6383 9844 11930 21450 5492 11400 2746 23280 6501 7244 4947 22030 6889 5700 7286 8019 1714 1950 26390 34990 5694 3201 5583 25290 5471 7132 45530 15440 16150 15310 6162 5175 5013 6007 7455 15850 1768 5600 7750 4737 20470 5681 4943 6230 9409 5574 8850 11870 15600 15050 23610 7704 8144 17650 8709 5685 6175 3792 23530 16370 20790 5351 3981 22970 5708 16360 13520 17840 11950 19940 5513 5698 3133 11390 10090 5655 3165 11580 6582 18090 8227 4335 6505 1062 30040 18710 5826 4999 7576 5428 27280 26490 25700 23580 18880 7476 8341 6030 8018 5203 8517 6794 1221 4878 9362 4823 8942 4272 6734 15200 32340 18000 5086 8770 25400 7160 8893 25310 6308 5470 11680 6527 11140 7114 5664 12900
2021-06-22 7943 6244 3014 5192 8670 3705 8679 6044 1673 15980 8489 9881 9928 12200 3942 23960 31330 20370 4442 17810 8556 8339 8712 15350 23290 22800 106200 7418 22640 10390 6048 33060 5201 26420 7557 52860 10960 6955 29830 6996 12720 15520 32720 6158 25290 6452 9250 7428 11270 19370 13530 15790 6034 15000 7265 10420 26570 8346 10910 8427 7675 17020 1827 13160 12910 4185 9376 22920 23290 6267 5137 4490 9115 21360 2941 11670 4183 3243 6008 15940 2724 40130 24700 2995 8135 32240 8821 7814 10630 4425 4529 20500 3067 13240 24780 12340 7958 27520 4383 8624 32730 7161 3128 4311 5894 5042 8543 6651 3393 5020 5668 18870 9809 9052 6684 6021 3158 7721 30430 12630 5550 7476 5297 7300 5355 5762 6194 12690 9855 8166 3206 5151 14530 8518 47750 6972 3988 10490 5590 23280 7622 3507 22570 12390 4348 13820 5494 21630 8083 8057 21460 4579 9104 6304 7230 27340 7363 8465 5374 3867 27750 6462 5869 26090 8093 9343 3124 7777 2354 6910 15830 9651 6222 7840 20350 12990 37490 17960 25940 9966 68670 38920 5003 22510 6743 7093 7724 50950 21760 12980 3836 2875 60030 8432 26670 2825 3546 17040 2366 3430 7140 12920 7984 12920 3939 20850 4565 4250 1833 11780 6371 7559 25690 8814 36420 11530 12110 7131 2062 6169 9224 6585 5687 24240 9877 3099 10510 14040 4459 6287 18790 18620 7572 32060 9112 5118 24910 9981 3584 10740 5416 16070 9619 14890 4242 15580 11680 33670 9558 6387 9859 11970 21460 5526 11420 2752 23350 6503 7276 4950 22040 6897 5710 7305 8026 1715 1953 26520 35030 5697 3220 5591 25360 5485 7141 45570 15450 16170 15340 6176 5208 5020 6014 7459 15880 1769 5602 7751 4750 20540 5684 4949 6240 9455 5577 8856 11890 15640 15060 23650 7712 8159 17680 8714 5690 6179 3802 23620 16390 20820 5358 3991 23020 5715 16370 13520 17840 11960 20010 5517 5702 3136 11410 10100 5664 3174 11590 6589 18100 8235 4337 6506 1064 30070 18780 5833 5002 7582 5435 27320 26520 25730 23640 18940 7494 8349 6040 8019 5208 8532 6814 1221 4899 9380 4826 8970 4276 6737 15240 32470 18030 5092 8779 25460 7169 8911 25320 6312 5474 11690 6531 11150 7135 5669 12930
2021-06-23 7981 6260 3019 5197 8677 3718 8684 6046 1683 15990 8498 9892 9931 12210 3946 23970 31370 20390 4448 17820 8569 8343 8736 15380 23320 22820 106400 7433 22760 10440 6052 33170 5207 26480 7573 52960 10970 6958 29860 6999 12720 15570 32820 6161 25320 6461 9255 7440 11320 19460 13530 15840 6045 15030 7271 10420 26570 8352 10920 8429 7680 17050 1829 13180 12910 4208 9383 23000 23350 6271 5144 4499 9161 21510 2952 11690 4196 3244 6013 16050 2730 40250 24730 3002 8135 32270 8828 7833 10640 4429 4539 20510 3067 13270 24800 12360 7960 27540 4390 8675 32770 7185 3133 4317 5913 5049 8557 6657 3414 5026 5687 18880 9815 9056 6686 6028 3166 7733 30450 12640 5563 7480 5312 7309 5359 5768 6199 12720 9863 8169 3210 5157 14570 8527 47920 6993 3989 10490 5592 23300 7622 3510 22590 12410 4354 13850 5511 21650 8088 8070 21470 4589 9112 6307 7234 27360 7372 8474 5384 3871 27770 6473 5874 26120 8098 9390 3128 7778 2356 6913 15850 9669 6224 7843 20360 13000 37560 17990 25990 9988 68870 38970 5005 22530 6747 7101 7732 51070 21790 12990 3838 2882 60280 8437 26690 2828 3550 17070 2372 3433 7153 12930 7989 12930 3959 20870 4570 4251 1836 11780 6380 7564 25770 8833 36440 11530 12130 7157 2062 6173 9247 6595 5692 24320 9882 3102 10530 14100 4461 6293 18810 18680 7575 32110 9132 5122 25000 9997 3587 10780 5444 16070 9639 14920 4242 15640 11690 33700 9568 6391 9875 12010 21460 5559 11430 2758 23420 6506 7307 4953 22060 6906 5719 7323 8034 1717 1957 26610 35040 5699 3239 5597 25420 5499 7150 45620 15470 16180 15370 6188 5240 5027 6021 7463 15910 1771 5604 7755 4764 20590 5687 4956 6250 9500 5582 8864 11910 15680 15070 23690 7720 8175 17710 8718 5699 6182 3812 23700 16410 20840 5365 4001 23070 5722 16380 13530 17840 11980 20080 5523 5706 3142 11420 10100 5678 3183 11590 6596 18100 8240 4340 6506 1066 30110 18860 5838 5005 7587 5442 27360 26540 25750 23690 18990 7513 8358 6048 8022 5212 8543 6823 1222 4920 9398 4830 8999 4282 6743 15280 32600 18070 5099 8789 25510 7178 8929 25340 6315 5479 11690 6534 11160 7155 5671 12950

Confirmed count average forecast England (bold black line in graphs) 2021-06-17 to 2021-06-23

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-06-16 7752 6152 2980 5150 8645 3631 8661 6041 1609 15954 8440 9834 9915 12134 3921 23925 31160 20242 4392 17791 8468 8334 8588 15129 23131 22769 105218 7379 21931 10060 6025 32288 5151 26057 7468 52333 10926 6931 29600 6986 12712 15254 32211 6141 25120 6394 9219 7371 11027 19059 13526 15543 5971 14811 7221 10377 26565 8312 10896 8421 7648 16837 1816 13066 12870 4053 9331 22523 22960 6241 5074 4434 8901 20612 2885 11600 4097 3231 5994 15254 2683 39557 24514 2956 8131 32081 8793 7716 10596 4403 4465 20420 3066 13073 24559 12206 7946 27408 4343 8240 32463 7046 3097 4283 5806 5013 8458 6616 3259 4997 5564 18828 9792 9036 6680 5983 3099 7652 30308 12597 5465 7471 5206 7166 5344 5726 6186 12561 9810 8154 3199 5146 14331 8467 47033 6768 3949 10445 5584 23133 7618 3491 22411 12270 4315 13657 5389 21480 8050 7986 21418 4556 9058 6284 7201 27245 7315 8414 5331 3853 27617 6394 5848 25985 8065 9092 3111 7775 2347 6898 15674 9548 6212 7829 20298 12891 37089 17756 25656 9881 67197 38635 4999 22360 6734 7054 7680 50191 21613 12921 3822 2869 58961 8421 26571 2815 3526 16856 2331 3419 7083 12888 7958 12850 3802 20774 4553 4245 1820 11759 6322 7535 25226 8691 36314 11510 12000 6982 2061 6162 9096 6565 5659 23877 9854 3097 10405 13630 4450 6249 18667 18427 7563 31765 8983 5107 24531 9892 3571 10512 5250 16036 9540 14722 4241 15264 11649 33507 9508 6353 9746 11768 21446 5321 11319 2715 23008 6487 7088 4943 21953 6846 5651 7202 7988 1713 1931 25849 34903 5685 3084 5549 25051 5412 7092 45341 15369 16074 15186 6099 5003 4977 5973 7437 15729 1765 5579 7744 4669 20333 5662 4913 6188 9169 5544 8811 11773 15420 15016 23430 7669 8068 17493 8688 5624 6163 3747 23050 16274 20679 5351 3930 22731 5684 16345 13514 17830 11867 19653 5505 5681 3108 11351 10085 5600 3130 11581 6553 18089 8183 4332 6498 1043 29900 18296 5812 4990 7547 5395 27099 26415 25587 23367 18676 7373 8307 5978 8018 5188 8455 6718 1221 4759 9253 4815 8804 4260 6726 15068 31703 17851 5051 8721 25114 7107 8795 25242 6294 5454 11646 6523 11101 7010 5654 12741
2021-06-17 7786 6169 2986 5157 8650 3646 8666 6044 1624 15970 8450 9840 9921 12140 3925 23930 31190 20270 4399 17790 8482 8339 8613 15160 23160 22780 105400 7391 22070 10110 6030 32410 5158 26110 7485 52440 10930 6933 29630 6989 12720 15300 32310 6145 25150 6403 9225 7382 11080 19140 13530 15590 5982 14850 7230 10390 26580 8320 10900 8423 7653 16860 1817 13080 12880 4079 9337 22600 23030 6246 5085 4442 8945 20780 2900 11620 4108 3233 5997 15370 2689 39690 24550 2964 8138 32120 8800 7733 10610 4407 4473 20430 3070 13110 24590 12230 7950 27430 4354 8311 32510 7079 3101 4288 5826 5020 8472 6622 3282 5001 5584 18840 9798 9040 6683 5989 3107 7666 30330 12610 5475 7475 5222 7182 5348 5732 6193 12600 9824 8158 3204 5157 14370 8478 47190 6793 3953 10450 5585 23150 7628 3493 22450 12290 4320 13690 5406 21510 8054 8004 21430 4563 9066 6288 7206 27260 7322 8422 5341 3863 27650 6405 5855 26010 8070 9143 3117 7777 2348 6900 15710 9572 6214 7834 20310 12910 37160 17790 25720 9896 67480 38690 5001 22390 6741 7062 7686 50330 21640 12930 3824 2873 59220 8425 26590 2818 3531 16890 2339 3421 7096 12890 7965 12860 3826 20800 4561 4246 1823 11760 6331 7540 25320 8704 36350 11510 12020 7013 2064 6166 9120 6572 5662 23950 9860 3100 10430 13690 4453 6255 18690 18480 7566 31820 9005 5113 24610 9906 3574 10550 5290 16040 9558 14750 4243 15330 11680 33530 9518 6357 9758 11800 21450 5363 11340 2722 23080 6491 7121 4945 21970 6854 5660 7229 7995 1715 1935 25990 34930 5689 3101 5557 25120 5429 7101 45390 15390 16090 15220 6110 5044 4985 5983 7442 15760 1767 5582 7751 4684 20380 5667 4920 6199 9224 5548 8818 11800 15460 15030 23480 7677 8082 17530 8694 5637 6167 3758 23160 16290 20700 5360 3942 22780 5692 16360 13520 17830 11880 19720 5508 5686 3112 11360 10090 5611 3145 11580 6562 18100 8191 4335 6498 1047 29950 18380 5819 4991 7552 5401 27140 26440 25620 23430 18730 7394 8317 5987 8022 5192 8470 6730 1223 4778 9273 4818 8838 4266 6731 15110 31840 17880 5056 8732 25160 7115 8817 25250 6300 5460 11650 6526 11120 7035 5656 12770
2021-06-18 7815 6178 2988 5161 8653 3665 8671 6048 1632 15970 8457 9846 9924 12160 3927 23940 31220 20290 4403 17800 8496 8340 8632 15190 23170 22780 105600 7399 22200 10150 6032 32510 5159 26150 7501 52550 10930 6937 29670 6991 12720 15330 32380 6147 25170 6409 9228 7390 11140 19220 13530 15630 5987 14880 7236 10400 26580 8323 10900 8423 7658 16890 1818 13100 12880 4097 9340 22680 23090 6249 5092 4446 8972 20920 2912 11630 4121 3235 6000 15440 2693 39800 24580 2972 8142 32150 8806 7740 10610 4412 4482 20440 3072 13130 24600 12250 7952 27450 4364 8372 32550 7102 3103 4289 5843 5023 8483 6628 3303 5003 5602 18850 9801 9043 6684 5993 3115 7680 30350 12610 5479 7479 5232 7194 5350 5739 6194 12630 9833 8161 3209 5169 14390 8485 47330 6805 3956 10460 5586 23170 7634 3496 22480 12310 4324 13720 5414 21530 8059 8021 21430 4569 9073 6291 7208 27270 7331 8429 5349 3871 27670 6416 5857 26040 8074 9196 3121 7779 2349 6902 15730 9592 6216 7836 20320 12920 37210 17810 25770 9906 67720 38750 5003 22420 6745 7066 7687 50440 21660 12950 3826 2874 59480 8426 26610 2821 3534 16910 2341 3422 7107 12900 7967 12870 3851 20810 4565 4248 1825 11760 6336 7543 25380 8719 36370 11520 12020 7037 2066 6167 9139 6575 5665 24010 9865 3101 10440 13750 4454 6258 18710 18530 7568 31860 9028 5117 24670 9921 3578 10590 5319 16050 9570 14760 4243 15390 11700 33540 9523 6363 9777 11840 21450 5406 11350 2725 23140 6494 7154 4946 21990 6860 5667 7246 8002 1715 1937 26110 34940 5691 3112 5559 25170 5436 7107 45430 15400 16100 15240 6115 5082 4992 5991 7447 15780 1767 5585 7755 4696 20420 5671 4927 6208 9276 5552 8821 11820 15490 15040 23520 7683 8088 17540 8700 5648 6170 3769 23270 16310 20710 5367 3950 22810 5696 16370 13520 17840 11900 19780 5512 5690 3114 11380 10090 5621 3154 11580 6568 18100 8197 4336 6499 1048 29990 18440 5821 4992 7558 5407 27160 26460 25640 23480 18780 7402 8323 5992 8025 5195 8480 6739 1225 4792 9293 4820 8871 4269 6734 15140 31950 17910 5058 8737 25220 7123 8838 25260 6301 5463 11660 6527 11130 7052 5658 12790
2021-06-19 7836 6187 2991 5167 8655 3680 8675 6051 1639 15970 8464 9852 9927 12170 3929 23950 31240 20310 4407 17800 8509 8342 8655 15230 23180 22790 105700 7407 22290 10200 6035 32600 5163 26190 7516 52640 10940 6939 29700 6994 12720 15360 32450 6148 25190 6413 9232 7399 11170 19290 13530 15670 5993 14910 7242 10400 26590 8326 10900 8424 7664 16910 1820 13110 12880 4112 9344 22730 23150 6251 5101 4451 9000 21040 2924 11640 4134 3238 6003 15510 2697 39890 24600 2979 8147 32180 8812 7748 10620 4415 4492 20450 3075 13140 24610 12260 7955 27470 4373 8427 32580 7127 3105 4291 5859 5027 8492 6633 3322 5009 5619 18850 9802 9049 6684 5998 3124 7694 30370 12620 5483 7482 5243 7206 5352 5741 6195 12660 9843 8163 3213 5181 14420 8491 47450 6820 3959 10470 5587 23180 7639 3498 22520 12320 4328 13750 5422 21550 8063 8037 21440 4574 9081 6293 7211 27280 7336 8436 5359 3877 27700 6428 5860 26060 8080 9243 3124 7779 2350 6904 15760 9609 6218 7837 20320 12940 37260 17830 25820 9911 67920 38790 5004 22440 6750 7071 7689 50540 21680 12950 3829 2875 59680 8428 26630 2823 3536 16940 2343 3424 7118 12900 7969 12880 3873 20830 4569 4249 1828 11760 6342 7544 25440 8735 36390 11520 12030 7061 2068 6169 9160 6577 5667 24060 9870 3102 10460 13800 4456 6261 18730 18570 7569 31910 9042 5120 24730 9937 3581 10630 5346 16050 9582 14770 4244 15450 11720 33550 9529 6368 9790 11870 21450 5446 11370 2728 23200 6497 7186 4948 22000 6867 5675 7263 8008 1716 1940 26220 34940 5692 3122 5562 25220 5445 7113 45460 15410 16110 15260 6120 5118 4999 5998 7451 15810 1768 5587 7758 4708 20460 5674 4934 6217 9322 5557 8825 11830 15510 15050 23550 7688 8095 17560 8705 5657 6173 3778 23360 16320 20730 5372 3957 22840 5703 16380 13520 17850 11910 19830 5514 5695 3117 11390 10090 5631 3165 11580 6575 18110 8205 4336 6500 1050 30010 18490 5825 4993 7564 5410 27180 26470 25670 23530 18830 7411 8330 5997 8027 5198 8490 6746 1226 4802 9304 4823 8899 4272 6735 15170 32030 17930 5060 8743 25260 7131 8856 25270 6303 5465 11670 6528 11140 7069 5661 12820
2021-06-20 7861 6198 2994 5172 8656 3694 8680 6054 1646 15980 8470 9857 9931 12180 3932 23960 31260 20340 4411 17800 8521 8346 8675 15260 23190 22790 105900 7417 22400 10240 6039 32700 5168 26230 7530 52740 10940 6943 29730 6996 12720 15380 32520 6151 25210 6418 9236 7408 11210 19360 13540 15700 5999 14940 7249 10410 26600 8330 10900 8424 7669 16930 1821 13120 12890 4129 9348 22790 23210 6254 5109 4455 9038 21160 2937 11650 4147 3241 6005 15590 2701 39990 24630 2987 8152 32210 8818 7758 10620 4417 4501 20450 3077 13160 24630 12280 7958 27490 4381 8483 32620 7150 3108 4292 5882 5031 8501 6639 3343 5012 5639 18860 9806 9052 6685 6003 3132 7707 30380 12630 5488 7484 5255 7220 5354 5746 6198 12690 9853 8166 3218 5194 14440 8497 47580 6836 3962 10480 5587 23200 7644 3500 22550 12340 4332 13780 5431 21570 8067 8052 21440 4580 9088 6295 7213 27290 7346 8443 5369 3884 27720 6439 5865 26080 8085 9293 3129 7780 2352 6906 15790 9626 6221 7841 20330 12960 37320 17850 25870 9918 68110 38830 5005 22460 6754 7076 7690 50650 21700 12970 3831 2876 59900 8430 26640 2826 3539 16970 2346 3426 7129 12910 7971 12890 3892 20850 4573 4250 1830 11760 6347 7546 25510 8750 36410 11520 12040 7084 2070 6171 9181 6582 5669 24120 9875 3103 10470 13850 4458 6264 18750 18620 7571 31950 9058 5124 24780 9950 3585 10660 5375 16060 9596 14780 4244 15500 11740 33570 9536 6372 9804 11900 21450 5486 11380 2732 23250 6499 7218 4949 22010 6873 5682 7281 8015 1717 1942 26320 34950 5695 3130 5564 25270 5454 7119 45500 15420 16120 15290 6125 5154 5006 6005 7455 15830 1770 5590 7763 4720 20510 5678 4940 6226 9365 5562 8829 11850 15540 15060 23590 7692 8102 17580 8711 5667 6176 3787 23460 16330 20740 5377 3964 22870 5709 16400 13530 17860 11920 19880 5515 5699 3122 11400 10100 5641 3176 11580 6582 18120 8212 4337 6501 1052 30040 18540 5828 4995 7569 5415 27200 26490 25690 23570 18870 7420 8336 6003 8029 5201 8500 6756 1228 4815 9314 4826 8929 4276 6737 15190 32110 17950 5062 8749 25300 7137 8874 25280 6306 5471 11670 6529 11150 7087 5663 12840
2021-06-21 7888 6210 2998 5179 8659 3712 8685 6057 1654 15980 8477 9859 9935 12190 3934 23970 31280 20360 4415 17810 8533 8348 8693 15290 23210 22800 106000 7427 22530 10290 6042 32820 5172 26260 7545 52840 10940 6947 29770 6999 12720 15410 32600 6152 25240 6422 9240 7418 11270 19450 13540 15750 6006 14970 7256 10420 26610 8334 10900 8425 7674 16960 1822 13130 12890 4147 9352 22870 23280 6257 5118 4459 9073 21330 2951 11670 4159 3244 6007 15670 2706 40090 24660 2995 8160 32240 8824 7767 10630 4421 4510 20460 3080 13180 24650 12300 7961 27510 4390 8544 32670 7181 3110 4294 5908 5038 8511 6645 3364 5017 5661 18870 9811 9057 6685 6008 3140 7719 30400 12630 5494 7489 5267 7237 5357 5750 6201 12720 9863 8168 3224 5208 14460 8502 47720 6857 3967 10480 5588 23210 7649 3502 22580 12350 4336 13810 5440 21590 8072 8067 21450 4586 9096 6298 7216 27300 7355 8450 5379 3890 27740 6450 5869 26110 8091 9345 3133 7781 2353 6908 15820 9645 6223 7843 20340 12970 37400 17870 25920 9929 68320 38890 5007 22490 6759 7081 7693 50770 21720 12980 3833 2877 60170 8433 26660 2828 3541 16990 2349 3428 7140 12910 7974 12900 3915 20870 4578 4251 1833 11770 6355 7548 25570 8765 36440 11520 12050 7109 2073 6173 9201 6586 5672 24200 9879 3104 10490 13900 4460 6267 18770 18670 7573 31990 9078 5129 24840 9967 3589 10700 5409 16060 9609 14800 4245 15560 11760 33580 9543 6376 9823 11940 21460 5525 11390 2735 23330 6502 7249 4950 22030 6880 5689 7300 8022 1718 1945 26460 34960 5697 3139 5566 25330 5464 7126 45530 15430 16130 15310 6130 5191 5013 6013 7458 15860 1771 5593 7768 4733 20550 5681 4947 6236 9413 5565 8833 11870 15570 15070 23630 7696 8109 17600 8717 5675 6179 3799 23550 16340 20750 5382 3971 22910 5716 16410 13530 17860 11940 19940 5518 5704 3125 11420 10100 5650 3187 11590 6590 18130 8220 4338 6501 1053 30070 18600 5834 4997 7575 5419 27220 26510 25720 23630 18920 7429 8343 6009 8032 5203 8510 6765 1229 4829 9329 4830 8961 4280 6740 15230 32200 17980 5064 8757 25350 7145 8894 25290 6309 5474 11680 6530 11160 7105 5665 12860
2021-06-22 7914 6224 3001 5183 8661 3731 8689 6060 1662 15990 8485 9865 9939 12210 3937 23980 31300 20380 4419 17810 8545 8351 8711 15330 23220 22800 106200 7436 22650 10340 6045 32930 5176 26310 7560 52930 10940 6950 29810 7002 12730 15440 32670 6155 25260 6427 9245 7426 11330 19530 13540 15780 6013 15000 7263 10420 26620 8339 10910 8426 7679 16980 1823 13140 12900 4164 9356 22950 23340 6260 5127 4464 9115 21490 2965 11680 4172 3247 6010 15750 2711 40200 24690 3002 8166 32270 8830 7777 10640 4426 4519 20470 3082 13200 24660 12310 7964 27530 4399 8611 32710 7212 3113 4296 5930 5045 8521 6650 3386 5019 5681 18870 9816 9061 6687 6013 3147 7732 30420 12640 5501 7493 5279 7251 5360 5755 6203 12750 9874 8171 3229 5220 14490 8508 47890 6875 3971 10490 5588 23230 7654 3505 22610 12360 4340 13840 5450 21610 8076 8086 21450 4592 9103 6300 7218 27310 7365 8458 5390 3898 27770 6461 5872 26130 8098 9395 3138 7782 2354 6910 15850 9664 6225 7847 20350 12990 37470 17890 25980 9939 68560 38950 5008 22520 6763 7084 7695 50870 21740 12990 3836 2879 60460 8435 26680 2831 3543 17020 2352 3430 7150 12920 7977 12910 3939 20890 4583 4252 1836 11770 6360 7551 25640 8781 36470 11530 12050 7137 2076 6177 9223 6590 5675 24260 9884 3106 10500 13960 4463 6270 18790 18720 7575 32040 9098 5134 24910 9981 3593 10730 5442 16070 9623 14810 4246 15620 11780 33600 9549 6380 9839 11970 21460 5563 11410 2739 23400 6505 7281 4951 22040 6886 5697 7320 8029 1719 1948 26590 34980 5700 3150 5568 25390 5475 7133 45560 15450 16150 15340 6136 5229 5020 6021 7462 15880 1773 5596 7772 4744 20600 5684 4954 6247 9466 5570 8835 11890 15600 15080 23670 7702 8117 17620 8723 5683 6182 3810 23640 16360 20760 5392 3979 22940 5724 16430 13530 17870 11950 20000 5520 5709 3128 11430 10100 5660 3199 11590 6597 18130 8228 4339 6502 1055 30100 18650 5839 4999 7581 5423 27240 26530 25750 23680 18970 7437 8350 6015 8036 5207 8521 6775 1230 4843 9340 4834 8993 4284 6741 15270 32280 18000 5066 8763 25400 7152 8915 25300 6311 5477 11690 6532 11170 7123 5668 12890
2021-06-23 7946 6236 3004 5188 8664 3749 8694 6063 1668 15990 8493 9871 9942 12220 3939 23990 31330 20400 4423 17810 8557 8354 8730 15360 23240 22810 106400 7446 22780 10380 6048 33060 5179 26340 7575 53030 10950 6953 29850 7005 12730 15470 32750 6158 25280 6431 9249 7437 11370 19620 13540 15830 6020 15030 7269 10430 26630 8343 10910 8427 7684 17000 1825 13150 12900 4179 9360 23030 23400 6263 5135 4468 9151 21640 2978 11690 4185 3249 6013 15840 2716 40290 24720 3010 8172 32310 8836 7786 10650 4428 4528 20480 3085 13220 24670 12330 7967 27550 4409 8669 32760 7239 3116 4298 5950 5051 8531 6656 3408 5022 5702 18880 9820 9064 6688 6018 3155 7745 30440 12650 5508 7500 5291 7264 5362 5759 6206 12790 9884 8173 3234 5234 14520 8513 48050 6888 3974 10500 5590 23240 7659 3507 22650 12370 4345 13870 5460 21630 8081 8101 21460 4600 9111 6302 7220 27320 7376 8465 5400 3905 27790 6472 5875 26150 8104 9445 3144 7782 2355 6912 15880 9681 6228 7848 20350 13000 37550 17910 26040 9949 68750 39020 5010 22550 6769 7089 7698 50980 21750 13000 3838 2881 60730 8438 26690 2834 3546 17050 2355 3432 7161 12930 7980 12920 3962 20910 4589 4253 1839 11770 6367 7555 25710 8796 36490 11530 12060 7162 2078 6179 9243 6595 5678 24320 9889 3108 10520 14010 4465 6272 18810 18770 7577 32090 9117 5139 24980 9997 3597 10770 5473 16070 9637 14820 4247 15680 11810 33610 9556 6384 9854 12010 21460 5602 11420 2743 23470 6507 7313 4952 22060 6893 5704 7338 8037 1721 1950 26710 34980 5702 3160 5571 25440 5485 7140 45600 15460 16160 15360 6142 5264 5029 6027 7467 15900 1774 5598 7777 4756 20660 5688 4961 6256 9516 5575 8838 11910 15630 15090 23710 7707 8125 17650 8729 5691 6185 3821 23730 16370 20770 5399 3986 22970 5734 16440 13530 17870 11960 20070 5523 5713 3131 11440 10100 5670 3211 11590 6604 18140 8234 4340 6502 1057 30130 18710 5844 5001 7586 5428 27250 26550 25770 23740 19020 7446 8358 6020 8039 5210 8531 6780 1232 4858 9350 4837 9025 4289 6744 15310 32380 18030 5069 8769 25450 7159 8934 25310 6314 5481 11690 6534 11180 7142 5671 12910

Data issues

    There is an issue with the reported local authority data: the last few (usually three) observations show no change. To handle this, we remove the last two observations. This then reflect the reporting delay of the data, but also implies that we cannot precisely distinguish between a count of zero cases and a delayed count.
    The forecasts from 2020-10-11 use a four day delay (so ignoring the last four days of reported cases), to reflect delays in reporting data in many areas. Otherwise we use a two day delay.

    The following graph illustrates the issue for two districts:

Further information

  • We believe these forecasts fill a useful gap in the short run. They give an indication of what is likely to happen in the next few days, removing some aspect of surprise. Moreover, a noticeable drop in comparison to the extrapolations could be an indication that the implemented policies are having some impact. It is difficult to understand exponential growth. We hope that these forecasts may help to convince viewers to adhere to the policies implemented by their respective governments, and keep all arguments factual and measured.
  • We use the data repository for the 2019 Novel Coronavirus Visual Dashboard operated by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering. This is updated daily, but we tend to update our forecasts only every other day.
    US state data as of 2020-03-28 is courtesy of the New York Times.
  • We can only provide forecasts of what is measured. If confirmed cases are an underestimate of actual cases, then our forecasts will also be underestimates. No other epidemiological data is used. Data definition and collection differs between countries and may change over time.
  • We will update the methodology as we learn what is happening in the next few days or weeks. Once the number of cases levels off, there is no need to provide these forecasts anymore.
  • Countries where the counts are very low or stable have been omitted.
  • The graphs have dates on the horizontal axis (yyyy-mm-dd) and cumulative counts on the vertical axis. They show
    1. bold dark grey line (with circles): observed counts (Johns Hopkins CSSE);
    2. many light grey lines (with open circles): forecasts using different model settings and starting up to four periods back;
    3. red line (with open circles): single forecasts path using default model settings;
    4. black line (with crosses): average of all forecasts, recentered on the last observation;
    5. thin green lines: some indication of uncertainty around the red forecasts, but we do not know how reliable that is.
    Both the red line forecasts and the black lines are also given in the tables above. These forecasts differ, we are currently inclined to use the average forecasts.
  • The forecasts are constructed as follows:
    1. An overall `trend' is extracted by taking a window of the data at a time. In each window we draw `straight lines' which are selected using an automatic econometric procedure (`machine learning'). All straight lines are collected and averaged, giving the trend.
    2. Forecasts are made using the estimated trend, but we note that this must be done carefully, because simply extrapolating the flexible insample trend would lead to wildly fluctuating forecast. We use the `Cardt' method, which has been found to work well in other settings.
    3. Residuals from the trend are also forecast, and combined with trend forecasts into an overall forecast.
  • Scenario forecasts are constructed very differently: smooth versions of the Chinese experience are matched at different lag lengths with the path of each country. This probably works best from the peak, or the slowdown just before (but we include it for the UK nonetheless).
  • The forecast evaluation shows past forecasts, together with the outcomes (in the grey line with circles).
  • EU-BS is Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania together.
  • This paper describes the methodology and gives further references. Also available as Nuffield Economics Discussion Paper 2020-W06. Still preliminary is the documentation of the medium term forecasts.

Recent changes and notes

[2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.
[2021-01-07]Slideshow of forecasts, errors, and actuals 2020-06-30 to 2021-01-02: how England lost the battle.
[2020-10-27]Statistical short-term forecasting of the COVID-19 Pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now published at the Journal of Clinical Immunology and Immunotherapy. open access
[2020-10-11]Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now in press at the International Journal of Forecasting. open access
[2020-10-10]Removed forecasts from the Chinese scenarios, while investigating possibility to use own history from the first wave.
Added information on the previous peak (if present) to the peak tables.
Local forecasts for England: now dropping last four observations.
[2020-07-01] Modified the short-term model to allow for (slowly changing) seasonality. Many countries show clear seasonality after the initial period, likely caused by institutional factors regarding data collection. This seasonality was also getting in the way of peak detection. As a consequence estimates of the peak date may have changed for countries with strong seasonality.
Added forecasts of cumulative confirmed cases for lower tier local authorities of England. The data is available from 2020-07-02 including all tests (pillar one and two). Only authorities with more than 5 cases in the previous week are included.
[2020-06-29] Tables in April included the world, but not the world as we know it (double counting China and the US). So removed the world from those old tables.
Why short-term forecasts can be better than models for predicting how pandemics evolve just appeared at The Conversation.
Thursday 2 July webinar at the FGV EESP - São Paolo School of Economics. This starts at 16:00 UK time (UTC+01:00) and streamed here.