COVID-19 short-term forecasts Confirmed 2021-06-20 lower tier local authorities of England (with more than 5 cases in the previous week).


General information

  • Forecasts produced by Jennie Castle, Jurgen Doornik, and David Hendry, researchers at the University of Oxford. These are our forecasts, and should not be considered official forecasts from, or endorsed by, any of: University of Oxford, Oxford Martin School, Nuffield College, or Magdalen College.
  • These forecasts are short term time-series extrapolations of the data. They are not based on epidemiological modelling or simulations. All forecasts are uncertain: their success can only be determined afterwards. Many mitigation strategies are in place, which, if successful, invalidate our forecasts. An explanation of our methods is provided below.
  • A list of notes is below. The most recent note:
    [2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.

Forecasts for districts of England, one week ahead from 2021-06-20

Peak increase in estimated trend of Confirmed in England 2021-06-20

Aberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterComhairle nan Eilean SiarConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
Peak date (mm-dd)12-2812-2712-2712-2612-272021-05-252021-03-2512-2707-212021-03-2512-2112-2712-0812-2112-2312-2812-2310-1312-2712-232021-01-022021-01-1112-302021-05-0912-2612-2212-2912-2712-2712-2912-072021-01-072021-05-1011-132021-01-012021-05-2810-2412-2212-2712-2712-1412-0612-2812-3012-2512-2112-2612-2212-3012-3012-2712-0710-2812-2112-2712-2612-0812-0612-2712-0812-2112-222021-06-0810-2812-3012-2212-2812-2512-2212-212021-01-0312-2112-2112-2910-042021-01-0412-262021-01-0512-2912-2612-2712-2912-242021-06-0912-2712-2812-2712-2712-2112-2512-2112-2112-282021-01-022021-02-2512-2110-1412-2712-0712-2612-2210-0412-2707-2112-2412-2910-0412-2412-212021-06-0612-0612-2607-2110-3112-2712-3012-2812-2112-2612-2212-2512-2112-222021-01-0609-2712-2712-2312-2712-2212-282021-06-0212-1812-252021-01-0412-2612-2610-042021-06-0812-2812-2112-2112-2712-212021-01-0512-2212-2712-2812-212021-06-0812-2112-2812-2712-2812-2112-2312-1312-2712-1312-2912-2212-2912-2812-2812-3012-222021-06-0912-212021-01-0112-2112-2812-2112-2712-222021-06-0912-2812-2511-0112-212021-05-3012-2712-292021-01-062021-06-082021-01-0312-2112-2712-2711-0212-2112-262021-05-3112-2212-2112-3112-292021-01-0212-2211-012021-01-0712-0812-2112-2112-212021-06-0612-212021-03-2512-3107-212021-06-0912-2712-0607-212021-03-1812-2812-292021-01-0311-0312-2712-0612-2707-2112-0812-2710-2612-2612-2110-0411-0112-2112-2911-0412-212021-01-0412-2712-212021-01-0112-2912-2911-0212-2807-2112-272021-06-082021-06-0912-272021-01-062021-01-062021-01-0112-062021-01-0412-2912-2112-312021-01-052021-05-2710-0412-062021-06-0812-2112-2712-2812-1012-3112-1310-1812-3012-2812-2712-252021-01-262021-01-0212-2912-292021-01-0312-2312-2112-3112-2912-2211-0207-2112-3012-2512-252021-06-0812-2912-2112-2112-2812-2612-252021-01-0412-2211-0910-0412-2112-222021-06-092021-01-0312-2812-2712-2212-2112-1412-2812-2612-2112-2512-252021-05-2512-2211-0712-2812-2711-0112-2112-2312-2212-2712-2112-0712-0212-2512-292021-01-0212-2612-302021-01-0412-2712-2112-2612-2112-1912-2212-2312-2712-0611-132021-06-0712-2712-2212-2612-0812-212021-05-3012-2712-272021-06-0912-2511-0212-2112-2212-2112-272021-06-0712-2012-1310-042021-06-0712-0710-0412-2212-232021-06-0912-2712-2912-2212-2212-2812-2712-2212-272021-01-0112-2812-2512-312021-05-3012-3012-2611-02
Peak daily increment 92 102 61 88 97 45 77 73 119 106 170 110 171 178 78 477 589 189 58 326 128 110 108 52 252 426 1250 75 157 65 95 58 211 50 484 16 434 228 107 524 155 233 307 320 107 508 94 186 62 122 123 211 137 99 256 87 148 354 172 194 175 107 28 40 90 268 52 197 249 283 59 91 71 65 266 20 243 5 35 53 94 285 34 195 288 38 181 598 151 69 189 72 58 246 27 170 248 187 118 322 119 87 536 308 60 52 71 76 160 7 25 51 235 204 102 163 147 107 56 146 593 273 97 74 80 69 90 73 94 119 20 125 54 38 122 82 597 33 56 180 92 451 119 34 377 219 59 201 23 401 172 103 338 101 106 136 120 476 101 159 52 76 442 57 116 40 143 83 74 134 18 237 275 24 70 100 283 198 73 311 428 107 317 284 104 456 71 230 102 727 32 200 90 36 368 92 419 25 46 106 298 37 62 14 186 27 213 302 32 79 62 66 23 105 63 122 85 723 190 212 192 23 50 137 105 51 394 105 58 122 107 41 55 277 158 121 224 90 68 123 3 125 11 49 58 154 120 207 43 102 174 623 105 81 18 151 286 42 188 39 132 139 56 96 198 80 85 59 174 36 25 162 450 42 83 82 403 65 131 573 25 209 244 167 15 42 111 102 69 181 27 42 86 72 448 95 79 13 80 66 102 115 247 293 450 131 156 219 94 28 112 26 189 138 197 66 42 206 105 331 189 270 181 123 56 109 46 141 352 90 44 138 122 360 139 51 101 14 59 151 90 110 120 84 42 329 449 63 227 259 138 117 160 65 20 87 29 78 23 42 65 67 115 40 217 265 83 148 430 106 138 377 106 115 176 95 14 71 69 594
Days since peak 174 175 175 176 175 26 87 175 334 87 181 175 194 181 179 174 179 250 175 179 169 160 172 42 176 180 173 175 175 173 195 164 41 219 170 23 239 180 175 175 188 196 174 172 177 181 176 180 172 172 175 195 235 181 175 176 194 196 175 194 181 180 12 235 172 180 174 177 180 181 168 181 181 173 259 167 176 166 173 176 175 173 178 11 175 174 175 175 181 177 181 181 174 169 115 181 249 175 195 176 180 259 175 334 178 173 259 178 181 14 196 176 334 232 175 172 174 181 176 180 177 181 180 165 266 175 179 175 180 174 18 184 177 167 176 176 259 12 174 181 181 175 181 166 180 175 174 181 12 181 174 175 174 181 179 189 175 189 173 180 173 174 174 172 180 11 181 170 181 174 181 175 180 11 174 177 231 181 21 175 173 165 12 168 181 175 175 230 181 176 20 180 181 171 173 169 180 231 164 194 181 181 181 14 181 87 171 334 11 175 196 334 94 174 173 168 229 175 196 175 334 194 175 237 176 181 259 231 181 173 228 181 167 175 181 170 173 173 230 174 334 175 12 11 175 165 165 170 196 167 173 181 171 166 24 259 196 12 181 175 174 192 171 189 245 172 174 175 177 145 169 173 173 168 179 181 171 173 180 230 334 172 177 177 12 173 181 181 174 176 177 167 180 223 259 181 180 11 168 174 175 180 181 188 174 176 181 177 177 26 180 225 174 175 231 181 179 180 175 181 195 200 177 173 169 176 172 167 175 181 176 181 183 180 179 175 196 219 13 175 180 176 194 181 21 175 175 11 177 230 181 180 181 175 13 182 189 259 13 195 259 180 179 11 175 173 180 180 174 175 180 175 170 174 177 171 21 172 176 230
Last total 7945 6284 3000 5186 8698 3695 8679 6057 1695 15978 8484 9874 9951 12204 3936 23985 31327 20390 4451 17819 8518 8373 8713 15216 23197 22865 106083 7458 22308 10305 6203 6056 32676 5175 26325 7506 52810 10965 6942 29738 7011 12727 15464 32685 6151 25227 6439 9264 7434 11188 19404 13552 15759 6051 14959 7248 10445 26680 8387 10923 8436 7702 16925 1831 13155 12912 4171 9382 22834 23300 6281 5128 4468 9132 21508 2912 11702 302 4156 3270 6003 15724 2729 40230 24709 3001 8183 32252 8845 7842 10626 4423 4510 20522 3081 13209 24725 12327 7964 27501 4404 8469 32607 7207 3112 4315 5943 5033 8561 6645 3453 5026 5656 18920 9821 9052 6700 6022 3134 7683 30406 12635 5512 7518 5308 7245 5380 5751 6214 12774 9921 8164 3222 5212 14529 8537 47704 6892 3958 10478 5587 23239 7663 3526 22584 12375 4338 13790 5467 21587 8080 8074 21501 4587 9096 6304 7225 27317 7355 8459 5387 3901 27745 6437 5883 26108 8108 9284 3173 7793 2359 6907 15831 9626 6223 7846 20338 12952 37405 17959 25891 10010 68248 38886 5029 22497 6766 7089 7711 50940 21726 13003 3838 2887 60170 8444 26643 2836 3557 6755 16941 2378 3431 7139 12918 8004 12910 3943 20878 4598 4262 1831 11788 6354 7565 25779 8759 36467 11527 12107 7130 2082 6190 9271 6616 5679 24141 9892 3104 10499 13953 4474 6285 18707 18657 7588 32079 9056 5135 24844 80 9968 3613 10654 5433 16085 9665 14855 4263 15489 11773 33629 9561 6375 9795 11922 21475 5435 11402 2754 23324 6509 7228 4952 22050 6897 5679 7301 8022 1727 1941 26318 35036 5702 3189 5605 25363 5487 7120 45627 252 15454 16137 15324 6144 5102 5000 6021 7459 15905 1783 5598 7774 4732 20616 5683 4944 6241 9323 5563 8851 11906 15565 15052 23652 7696 8130 17663 8717 5671 6173 3792 23385 16348 20850 5398 3985 23016 5709 16421 13535 17912 11936 19937 5553 5695 3128 11468 10095 5651 3237 11602 6597 18131 8228 4354 6512 1094 30166 18638 5847 5005 7585 5427 27365 26481 25718 23589 18921 7520 8337 6016 8048 5199 8525 6774 1224 4886 9334 4836 8948 4300 6750 15207 32265 18010 5078 8779 25428 7141 8866 25340 6318 5493 11692 6547 11160 7122 5683 12936
Last daily increment 54 26 3 14 7 24 4 2 24 3 14 8 10 17 6 17 38 36 24 13 7 13 23 14 22 29 186 16 86 51 1 8 88 4 60 9 107 10 3 26 6 2 49 111 4 18 13 8 17 42 75 4 44 23 27 5 16 19 30 2 4 25 18 1 25 9 39 15 76 89 12 15 10 37 296 11 26 0 14 8 1 93 14 160 41 9 14 35 13 29 10 3 12 25 4 32 54 27 5 24 18 72 30 38 6 9 35 6 18 10 76 5 24 33 4 3 6 9 7 9 23 7 15 15 26 26 11 6 3 76 22 1 4 16 54 22 171 27 2 9 1 19 16 9 35 35 3 25 15 21 8 15 22 6 7 6 4 19 8 13 11 17 25 8 13 18 11 38 22 9 3 2 40 12 0 3 10 11 73 59 50 27 225 45 9 31 4 11 4 179 24 22 2 10 238 7 15 4 2 1 26 13 2 10 7 6 22 52 23 13 3 5 6 2 6 127 11 26 1 24 44 5 10 39 13 6 64 13 2 16 86 5 9 11 60 5 72 16 6 77 0 11 2 21 72 17 29 29 6 55 23 37 14 7 15 46 9 16 20 8 71 2 36 5 23 16 14 16 3 2 1 92 30 4 47 17 73 21 8 72 4 25 16 39 9 16 9 15 8 51 7 5 7 19 97 4 2 16 38 5 10 30 26 7 40 5 18 43 4 11 2 11 82 17 35 12 9 70 4 21 6 12 9 85 9 3 4 25 5 10 31 7 8 12 10 4 3 15 57 78 6 6 7 7 79 18 35 42 56 36 3 9 9 0 25 12 1 35 20 6 36 5 3 26 140 34 6 10 88 4 18 27 4 7 10 5 14 24 7 56
Last week 285 178 39 53 68 95 31 22 130 58 64 63 50 104 24 82 253 186 77 35 81 54 181 142 119 125 1291 114 625 346 10 42 594 44 399 73 702 48 16 205 34 23 304 692 15 182 66 59 87 278 528 31 316 118 233 42 93 147 97 34 20 62 127 18 136 66 184 70 488 505 52 72 58 355 1248 57 131 0 79 41 21 757 63 979 268 61 71 252 65 173 59 25 57 140 29 239 239 180 25 136 75 379 235 252 23 45 197 36 139 42 249 44 141 135 50 27 26 56 50 57 143 56 80 60 140 123 50 41 50 304 150 18 37 95 295 104 1037 167 16 44 6 161 79 39 254 161 33 203 128 161 39 126 131 47 52 30 35 106 59 63 78 71 183 65 50 184 56 301 80 24 13 13 249 125 15 27 61 98 461 270 383 177 1596 371 37 197 47 58 48 1056 172 114 18 32 1796 32 108 31 41 5 147 70 15 86 42 67 87 175 160 68 20 16 33 49 49 797 102 217 21 158 230 30 42 230 74 28 463 53 19 147 467 33 54 67 348 36 442 118 46 496 4 103 46 230 254 70 167 213 31 367 187 185 77 27 69 237 33 198 160 64 467 32 207 18 147 73 50 167 48 21 19 709 189 26 152 79 466 122 51 404 12 123 92 214 74 158 40 66 34 248 23 23 47 96 427 29 46 86 259 28 55 197 247 55 340 52 100 264 46 62 22 64 500 118 226 73 83 412 39 103 30 93 112 452 60 21 31 143 21 76 144 32 66 57 57 34 15 60 367 528 50 20 50 52 363 119 183 341 373 214 57 60 39 19 115 85 8 164 119 28 207 58 36 214 889 237 43 85 451 45 111 132 36 51 61 34 105 175 36 267
Previous peak date07-2107-21 -- --10-2707-2112-2110-07 --12-21 --10-21 --10-25 -- -- -- --10-20 -- --10-2611-0212-2110-07 --11-02 --10-1310-13 --10-2510-15 --11-0212-2105-0310-26 -- -- -- --10-1611-02 -- -- -- --10-1209-2710-2709-02 -- --10-01 -- -- --10-25 -- --10-1012-21 --11-02 -- --10-2710-18 --10-20 -- --10-1207-2107-2110-14 -- -- -- --10-29 --11-0210-3110-31 --10-2910-17 -- -- --10-2110-2712-2810-01 --10-12 -- --07-2107-21 -- -- --11-0107-2110-27 --11-0907-2110-27 -- -- --10-30 --10-20 --10-06 -- -- --10-18 --07-21 -- -- --07-2112-25 -- --10-1510-2910-1107-2112-21 -- -- -- -- -- -- --09-2810-2710-1412-2110-12 --10-2710-30 -- -- --10-29 -- --10-1710-2707-21 --11-01 --12-26 --10-1307-21 --06-11 -- --12-28 -- -- --10-1310-2709-29 --10-0811-0211-02 -- --10-31 --10-1209-2812-27 -- -- --11-0210-25 -- -- -- --10-15 -- --12-2210-1212-2111-03 --12-22 -- -- --12-07 -- --11-02 -- -- --09-24 -- --10-14 -- -- --07-21 -- --10-31 -- --11-0308-02 -- --11-0211-01 --10-22 -- --12-2812-2607-21 --11-0211-02 --11-02 -- --11-0310-2612-2207-21 --12-2810-10 --10-19 --10-11 -- -- -- --10-13 -- -- --11-0211-0210-3107-21 --09-3010-25 -- -- --10-28 -- --12-2107-21 -- --10-25 -- -- -- -- --07-21 -- --12-2010-13 --10-24 -- -- -- -- --10-1710-0810-2910-27 --07-2110-1810-12 -- -- --10-0610-31 -- -- -- --10-1811-04 -- --10-2910-1110-18 -- -- -- -- --10-26 -- --12-2110-17 -- -- -- --11-01 -- --12-1510-22 -- --10-22 -- --12-26 -- --07-2111-02 --07-21 --10-1512-2210-1610-24 -- --09-3010-3010-11 --11-03 --10-1910-2812-2110-17 -- --
Previous peak daily increment 616 365 80 295 134 40 260 61 40 31 75 271 233 262 1226 166 98 54 234 363 142 55 19 62 1197 57 72 160 31 54 39 60 303 294 35 120 54 62 1272 83 35 57 553 129 18 69 22 25 164 25 206 59 226 710 39 383 25 106 191 31 24 30 29 56 475 687 150 43 127 72 1766 92 70 33 54 57 60 69 57 38 22 44 144 49 452 59 248 45 148 46 349 153 81 1449 479 56 71 480 273 2237 61 44 153 109 105 87 361 191 2429 91 53 1007 82 56 68 1343 64 257 44 108 230 139 354 150 88 41 176 459 52 46 194 65 67 406 233 81 152 189 33 104 97 226 66 876 108 66 75 20 118 77 55 149 184 120 129 18 172 46 89 27 17 45 559 144 250 390 135 23 154 307 166 376 24 217 319 68 141 22 25 38 54 32 173 67
Low between peaks 0 -1 28 0 8 18 13 26 -44 8 37 20 -12 48 303 55 29 19 17 23 -8 27 -19 21 68 19 34 54 12 23 7 26 -1 28 -43 -38 17 31 -11 -4 -18 12 -13 39 -9 28 -31 9 53 8 34 -47 -2 -3 -13 -3 -32 -2 -1 10 -10 8 -67 19 -4 -5 1 -9 24 23 -7 -13 22 -40 23 1 15 -120 -7 19 -66 -54 -1 15 12 21 -2 0 -5 18 27 21 23 38 120 21 21 58 7 114 21 -25 -10 39 6 35 0 7 18 23 -9 -7 35 16 7 50 28 58 0 3 1 20 37 38 22 13 -13 -2 0 -118 62 22 16 36 92 19 -4 26 14 31 -10 -2 24 -7 -1 28 24 -77 30 38 -2 -1 43 43 58 -23 32 15 31 11 7 6 5 -31 15 -4 -27 -71 1 -2 1 -2 -25 7 77 -103 19 -17 -8 8 27 12 0 -4

Confirmed count forecast England (bold red line in graphs) 2021-06-21 to 2021-06-27

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-06-20 7945 6284 3000 5186 8698 3695 8679 6057 1695 15978 8484 9874 9951 12204 3936 23985 31327 20390 4451 17819 8518 8373 8713 15216 23197 22865 106083 7458 22308 10305 6203 6056 32676 5175 26325 7506 52810 10965 6942 29738 7011 12727 15464 32685 6151 25227 6439 9264 7434 11188 19404 13552 15759 6051 14959 7248 10445 26680 8387 10923 8436 7702 16925 1831 13155 12912 4171 9382 22834 23300 6281 5128 4468 9132 21508 2912 11702 4156 3270 6003 15724 2729 40230 24709 3001 8183 32252 8845 7842 10626 4423 4510 20522 3081 13209 24725 12327 7964 27501 4404 8469 32607 7207 3112 4315 5943 5033 8561 6645 3453 5026 5656 18920 9821 9052 6700 6022 3134 7683 30406 12635 5512 7518 5308 7245 5380 5751 6214 12774 9921 8164 3222 5212 14529 8537 47704 6892 3958 10478 5587 23239 7663 3526 22584 12375 4338 13790 5467 21587 8080 8074 21501 4587 9096 6304 7225 27317 7355 8459 5387 3901 27745 6437 5883 26108 8108 9284 3173 7793 2359 6907 15831 9626 6223 7846 20338 12952 37405 17959 25891 10010 68248 38886 5029 22497 6766 7089 7711 50940 21726 13003 3838 2887 60170 8444 26643 2836 3557 16941 2378 3431 7139 12918 8004 12910 3943 20878 4598 4262 1831 11788 6354 7565 25779 8759 36467 11527 12107 7130 2082 6190 9271 6616 5679 24141 9892 3104 10499 13953 4474 6285 18707 18657 7588 32079 9056 5135 24844 9968 3613 10654 5433 16085 9665 14855 4263 15489 11773 33629 9561 6375 9795 11922 21475 5435 11402 2754 23324 6509 7228 4952 22050 6897 5679 7301 8022 1727 1941 26318 35036 5702 3189 5605 25363 5487 7120 45627 252 15454 16137 15324 6144 5102 5000 6021 7459 15905 1783 5598 7774 4732 20616 5683 4944 6241 9323 5563 8851 11906 15565 15052 23652 7696 8130 17663 8717 5671 6173 3792 23385 16348 20850 5398 3985 23016 5709 16421 13535 17912 11936 19937 5553 5695 3128 11468 10095 5651 3237 11602 6597 18131 8228 4354 6512 1094 30166 18638 5847 5005 7585 5427 27365 26481 25718 23589 18921 7520 8337 6016 8048 5199 8525 6774 1224 4886 9334 4836 8948 4300 6750 15207 32265 18010 5078 8779 25428 7141 8866 25340 6318 5493 11692 6547 11160 7122 5683 12936
2021-06-21 7993 6315 3003 5197 8709 3703 8684 6060 1716 15990 8498 9883 9951 12210 3942 24000 31380 20420 4469 17820 8533 8381 8731 15240 23210 22890 106200 7475 22480 10360 6204 6064 32850 5175 26370 7527 52900 10970 6948 29790 7015 12730 15510 32750 6156 25250 6449 9273 7445 11260 19510 13560 15800 6070 14990 7257 10460 26700 8412 10930 8439 7721 16950 1832 13180 12920 4197 9391 22900 23370 6290 5140 4475 9164 21700 2924 11730 4171 3281 6004 15820 2740 40410 24720 3010 8193 32290 8854 7869 10630 4428 4521 20540 3085 13240 24760 12350 7967 27530 4414 8520 32610 7247 3115 4323 5986 5038 8585 6651 3501 5026 5677 18950 9821 9056 6700 6030 3143 7694 30430 12650 5525 7532 5333 7245 5387 5751 6221 12840 9950 8167 3227 5227 14580 8555 47770 6938 3968 10480 5588 23250 7673 3530 22620 12410 4342 13820 5488 21610 8085 8099 21520 4592 9105 6305 7230 27350 7364 8468 5398 3911 27770 6447 5889 26120 8108 9360 3187 7796 2361 6909 15870 9637 6225 7846 20350 12970 37470 18000 25950 10040 68440 38940 5033 22540 6773 7099 7716 51000 21750 13010 3841 2887 60450 8444 26660 2840 3561 16960 2389 3433 7151 12920 8011 12920 3961 20900 4609 4264 1833 11790 6360 7571 25900 8777 36500 11530 12130 7162 2086 6195 9309 6633 5683 24230 9897 3106 10520 14030 4478 6293 18730 18740 7592 32150 9083 5141 24880 9970 3618 10690 5482 16090 9692 14890 4268 15540 11800 33660 9571 6379 9808 11940 21480 5465 11420 2763 23370 6514 7262 4954 22070 6906 5690 7326 8029 1728 1943 26480 35040 5705 3218 5622 25430 5506 7128 45700 254 15470 16160 15370 6154 5124 5006 6030 7463 15940 1786 5600 7783 4748 20680 5689 4949 6252 9388 5576 8866 11940 15600 15070 23700 7704 8146 17710 8722 5681 6176 3802 23470 16360 20880 5413 3996 23100 5716 16440 13540 17920 11950 19990 5566 5699 3128 11470 10100 5663 3260 11610 6606 18140 8237 4358 6512 1105 30230 18710 5860 5008 7594 5435 27420 26510 25750 23640 18960 7550 8345 6024 8052 5204 8550 6784 1226 4908 9351 4840 8979 4307 6750 15240 32350 18030 5083 8793 25520 7147 8884 25370 6322 5502 11700 6552 11170 7150 5683 12960
2021-06-22 8038 6344 3007 5207 8718 3710 8688 6062 1736 16000 8507 9895 9952 12220 3947 24000 31420 20450 4482 17820 8555 8388 8752 15300 23220 22910 106400 7491 22620 10420 6204 6071 32980 5175 26420 7545 53000 10980 6952 29830 7015 12730 15550 32820 6159 25270 6457 9280 7456 11310 19610 13560 15830 6088 15030 7263 10480 26730 8435 10930 8439 7739 16980 1832 13190 12930 4213 9397 22960 23400 6296 5149 4475 9192 21900 2942 11750 4188 3287 6007 15920 2750 40570 24750 3016 8200 32310 8854 7893 10640 4433 4533 20560 3085 13260 24790 12380 7967 27560 4418 8583 32630 7295 3115 4330 6019 5044 8609 6651 3536 5027 5690 18980 9822 9057 6700 6038 3153 7711 30450 12650 5540 7542 5362 7245 5394 5752 6221 12880 9970 8169 3227 5230 14630 8574 47910 6968 3973 10480 5590 23250 7673 3530 22640 12450 4343 13850 5514 21630 8089 8120 21520 4596 9113 6309 7235 27380 7374 8477 5402 3915 27790 6461 5889 26140 8113 9417 3194 7796 2362 6911 15900 9639 6228 7849 20360 12990 37530 18040 25990 10060 68650 39000 5033 22570 6773 7111 7719 51110 21790 13020 3843 2887 60760 8444 26670 2840 3563 16970 2401 3434 7153 12930 8011 12930 3961 20910 4618 4264 1833 11790 6362 7573 26010 8797 36530 11530 12160 7180 2089 6195 9349 6643 5683 24320 9897 3108 10540 14110 4478 6300 18740 18800 7592 32230 9106 5141 24930 9970 3618 10740 5518 16090 9713 14920 4272 15600 11830 33680 9576 6385 9834 11980 21480 5491 11420 2775 23420 6519 7294 4954 22100 6906 5701 7355 8035 1728 1943 26620 35050 5705 3241 5635 25510 5528 7130 45750 255 15480 16170 15410 6165 5154 5007 6032 7463 15970 1786 5605 7792 4763 20760 5692 4951 6260 9443 5583 8874 11970 15640 15080 23720 7716 8165 17750 8722 5695 6179 3810 23580 16380 20910 5428 4008 23160 5726 16440 13540 17920 11970 20060 5578 5705 3128 11470 10100 5674 3280 11610 6609 18150 8245 4360 6512 1115 30290 18790 5869 5010 7605 5443 27480 26530 25790 23690 19010 7577 8352 6031 8057 5209 8574 6796 1226 4914 9366 4840 9001 4307 6750 15270 32470 18050 5083 8808 25590 7155 8908 25390 6322 5509 11710 6557 11180 7182 5685 12990
2021-06-23 8090 6366 3011 5217 8728 3720 8692 6064 1756 16000 8518 9908 9952 12240 3953 24000 31470 20470 4497 17830 8573 8394 8776 15340 23230 22930 106600 7507 22740 10470 6204 6077 33120 5177 26470 7561 53110 10980 6954 29860 7015 12730 15600 32920 6162 25290 6466 9287 7470 11370 19710 13560 15880 6105 15060 7271 10490 26750 8458 10930 8439 7756 17000 1832 13210 12940 4232 9404 23020 23450 6303 5160 4475 9223 22110 2957 11770 4204 3294 6012 16020 2760 40720 24790 3024 8209 32340 8857 7920 10650 4438 4544 20580 3085 13290 24830 12410 7969 27590 4425 8639 32650 7338 3115 4337 6049 5049 8632 6651 3572 5031 5707 19010 9824 9061 6701 6046 3162 7725 30470 12670 5554 7554 5388 7250 5402 5754 6221 12930 9990 8173 3229 5239 14680 8591 48070 7002 3976 10480 5592 23260 7674 3530 22670 12480 4346 13890 5537 21650 8094 8141 21520 4607 9121 6313 7240 27400 7386 8487 5409 3922 27810 6473 5892 26160 8118 9473 3203 7796 2363 6913 15940 9645 6231 7851 20370 13010 37610 18080 26040 10090 68860 39050 5033 22610 6773 7121 7724 51230 21820 13040 3845 2892 61060 8445 26680 2840 3566 16980 2412 3436 7159 12930 8011 12940 3962 20930 4628 4264 1835 11800 6371 7577 26120 8816 36560 11540 12190 7203 2093 6195 9387 6656 5683 24400 9898 3110 10560 14190 4478 6307 18750 18870 7592 32300 9127 5142 24990 9980 3618 10780 5556 16100 9742 14950 4277 15660 11860 33710 9583 6390 9854 12020 21480 5520 11420 2786 23490 6524 7325 4954 22120 6906 5711 7381 8044 1728 1943 26740 35070 5706 3264 5646 25580 5548 7135 45820 257 15500 16190 15450 6175 5181 5010 6037 7463 16020 1786 5606 7801 4781 20830 5696 4955 6270 9492 5591 8887 12000 15690 15090 23760 7726 8182 17800 8722 5707 6182 3819 23670 16390 20930 5437 4019 23220 5734 16450 13540 17920 11980 20150 5587 5710 3128 11490 10100 5685 3300 11620 6615 18150 8251 4363 6513 1126 30350 18860 5879 5012 7616 5451 27540 26550 25830 23750 19060 7605 8360 6038 8061 5213 8596 6809 1228 4927 9382 4841 9027 4309 6755 15310 32610 18090 5083 8822 25660 7162 8929 25420 6324 5519 11720 6565 11190 7212 5688 13030
2021-06-24 8124 6386 3014 5227 8738 3731 8696 6067 1775 16010 8530 9917 9957 12250 3958 24010 31510 20500 4512 17830 8589 8401 8804 15380 23240 22960 106700 7522 22860 10520 6204 6084 33240 5179 26520 7573 53210 10990 6957 29890 7017 12730 15640 33010 6166 25310 6474 9295 7485 11420 19800 13570 15920 6123 15100 7280 10510 26770 8480 10930 8441 7772 17030 1832 13220 12950 4253 9412 23080 23500 6311 5174 4476 9255 22300 2971 11790 4218 3303 6014 16120 2770 40870 24820 3032 8218 32370 8863 7947 10650 4443 4555 20600 3087 13310 24870 12440 7971 27620 4433 8691 32660 7378 3115 4345 6068 5055 8654 6653 3607 5036 5724 19040 9826 9064 6704 6055 3171 7737 30500 12680 5567 7567 5413 7255 5409 5759 6225 12980 10020 8176 3232 5250 14720 8609 48210 7030 3977 10480 5592 23270 7680 3530 22700 12510 4349 13920 5559 21680 8099 8161 21530 4613 9129 6317 7245 27430 7395 8496 5418 3929 27840 6484 5896 26190 8126 9518 3212 7796 2365 6915 15970 9654 6235 7854 20390 13020 37680 18130 26100 10110 69080 39100 5033 22650 6775 7132 7728 51350 21850 13040 3848 2892 61380 8450 26700 2842 3569 17000 2422 3438 7168 12940 8014 12950 3974 20950 4638 4264 1837 11800 6377 7582 26230 8834 36590 11540 12220 7228 2097 6195 9424 6667 5684 24480 9902 3112 10580 14260 4478 6315 18760 18930 7594 32350 9144 5146 25050 10000 3620 10820 5593 16100 9766 14980 4282 15710 11890 33730 9591 6394 9870 12050 21480 5549 11430 2796 23550 6529 7357 4956 22140 6906 5721 7407 8053 1728 1943 26880 35090 5707 3286 5659 25650 5568 7141 45890 258 15510 16210 15490 6184 5206 5014 6044 7465 16050 1786 5608 7809 4796 20900 5701 4960 6280 9547 5601 8895 12020 15720 15110 23800 7735 8198 17840 8724 5717 6185 3829 23760 16410 20960 5451 4030 23300 5742 16460 13540 17930 12000 20210 5595 5715 3129 11510 10100 5696 3321 11620 6621 18160 8264 4367 6516 1136 30410 18930 5891 5015 7625 5459 27600 26570 25860 23810 19120 7632 8367 6046 8065 5216 8615 6820 1229 4942 9402 4843 9055 4313 6759 15340 32710 18120 5084 8836 25730 7168 8948 25440 6327 5526 11720 6569 11200 7240 5688 13060
2021-06-25 8171 6414 3018 5237 8748 3742 8701 6069 1794 16020 8539 9923 9964 12260 3963 24010 31550 20530 4527 17830 8606 8409 8828 15410 23250 22980 106900 7538 22950 10570 6205 6091 33340 5182 26560 7584 53320 10990 6961 29930 7019 12740 15700 33100 6168 25330 6483 9303 7497 11480 19900 13570 15980 6141 15130 7287 10520 26800 8501 10940 8443 7789 17050 1832 13240 12960 4275 9420 23150 23550 6319 5184 4480 9288 22480 2984 11810 4232 3310 6017 16220 2780 41020 24860 3040 8227 32400 8869 7979 10660 4448 4565 20620 3089 13340 24910 12460 7974 27650 4442 8744 32680 7417 3115 4352 6091 5058 8676 6657 3642 5043 5743 19070 9829 9068 6706 6063 3180 7749 30520 12690 5580 7579 5438 7272 5417 5764 6230 13030 10040 8179 3236 5261 14770 8626 48340 7060 3979 10480 5593 23290 7686 3532 22730 12540 4352 13950 5581 21700 8104 8181 21540 4619 9137 6322 7250 27460 7403 8505 5427 3937 27860 6495 5901 26220 8132 9567 3221 7796 2367 6918 16010 9663 6235 7857 20390 13040 37740 18170 26150 10140 69320 39160 5033 22680 6779 7143 7733 51490 21880 13070 3850 2894 61660 8452 26710 2844 3575 17020 2433 3440 7177 12950 8018 12970 3987 20970 4647 4264 1839 11800 6383 7587 26340 8851 36620 11540 12240 7254 2100 6198 9460 6677 5687 24540 9906 3113 10600 14340 4480 6322 18770 18990 7597 32420 9165 5150 25100 10010 3623 10850 5630 16110 9792 15010 4286 15760 11920 33760 9599 6399 9886 12080 21480 5578 11450 2805 23620 6534 7389 4957 22170 6910 5731 7432 8060 1728 1943 26990 35120 5710 3308 5671 25730 5587 7147 45960 259 15530 16220 15530 6193 5230 5018 6051 7468 16100 1786 5612 7817 4807 20940 5706 4965 6290 9579 5611 8906 12050 15770 15120 23840 7744 8214 17870 8727 5728 6188 3838 23840 16420 20990 5460 4041 23370 5750 16470 13540 17940 12010 20280 5604 5720 3129 11530 10110 5707 3342 11620 6628 18170 8272 4370 6518 1146 30470 19010 5897 5018 7634 5466 27650 26580 25900 23850 19170 7659 8375 6052 8068 5219 8632 6830 1231 4958 9419 4846 9083 4318 6763 15360 32860 18150 5087 8849 25810 7175 8967 25470 6330 5532 11730 6576 11210 7268 5693 13100
2021-06-26 8197 6435 3021 5246 8756 3753 8705 6072 1813 16030 8548 9933 9969 12270 3968 24020 31580 20560 4542 17840 8621 8416 8850 15440 23270 23000 107100 7553 23010 10630 6206 6098 33390 5183 26610 7590 53390 11000 6962 29950 7023 12740 15730 33170 6169 25350 6493 9311 7505 11510 19960 13570 16010 6159 15160 7291 10530 26820 8523 10940 8445 7805 17070 1832 13260 12970 4299 9429 23210 23620 6327 5195 4485 9321 22650 2996 11830 4246 3315 6020 16300 2790 41170 24900 3048 8236 32440 8876 8002 10670 4453 4575 20640 3092 13370 24940 12480 7977 27670 4452 8776 32690 7455 3116 4359 6114 5062 8698 6662 3678 5049 5762 19090 9830 9072 6709 6069 3188 7760 30540 12690 5593 7591 5462 7274 5424 5769 6235 13080 10060 8181 3240 5274 14820 8643 48470 7077 3980 10490 5594 23300 7695 3535 22760 12570 4356 13980 5601 21720 8109 8201 21550 4622 9146 6325 7255 27480 7406 8515 5438 3945 27880 6506 5906 26240 8135 9601 3231 7796 2369 6920 16040 9674 6237 7859 20400 13060 37800 18210 26200 10160 69500 39210 5033 22710 6785 7154 7738 51610 21900 13070 3853 2896 61900 8454 26730 2847 3579 17040 2443 3442 7187 12950 8024 12980 4004 20990 4657 4265 1841 11800 6387 7593 26450 8869 36650 11550 12270 7282 2104 6202 9497 6685 5690 24600 9912 3115 10620 14410 4483 6330 18780 19050 7600 32490 9177 5155 25140 10020 3628 10890 5669 16120 9817 15040 4291 15800 11940 33790 9608 6403 9900 12110 21490 5608 11460 2814 23670 6539 7421 4959 22190 6916 5741 7457 8065 1728 1944 27080 35140 5712 3331 5678 25790 5606 7154 46010 260 15550 16230 15560 6202 5254 5023 6059 7471 16130 1786 5615 7825 4819 20990 5711 4970 6301 9600 5617 8913 12080 15790 15130 23880 7752 8230 17910 8732 5738 6191 3848 23930 16440 21020 5469 4052 23420 5758 16490 13540 17950 12030 20340 5611 5724 3131 11540 10110 5718 3364 11630 6636 18180 8278 4373 6520 1156 30530 19070 5902 5021 7643 5474 27710 26590 25930 23890 19220 7686 8383 6060 8072 5221 8643 6842 1232 4975 9435 4850 9112 4324 6768 15380 32950 18180 5091 8863 25870 7181 8985 25490 6333 5536 11740 6579 11230 7295 5697 13130
2021-06-27 8238 6454 3024 5256 8762 3764 8710 6075 1832 16040 8560 9941 9976 12280 3974 24030 31620 20590 4557 17840 8636 8423 8872 15470 23280 23030 107200 7568 23090 10680 6206 6105 33480 5188 26660 7601 53480 11000 6965 29980 7026 12740 15780 33270 6173 25380 6502 9319 7518 11540 20030 13580 16050 6177 15190 7296 10540 26840 8545 10940 8448 7821 17100 1833 13280 12980 4322 9438 23270 23680 6335 5207 4491 9355 22830 3008 11850 4259 3319 6020 16390 2800 41310 24930 3057 8246 32470 8884 8028 10670 4457 4585 20670 3095 13390 24980 12510 7980 27690 4462 8832 32720 7493 3119 4367 6143 5067 8719 6667 3715 5053 5782 19120 9834 9075 6713 6077 3196 7771 30560 12700 5605 7604 5486 7300 5432 5772 6241 13130 10080 8182 3245 5288 14870 8660 48610 7106 3983 10490 5595 23310 7703 3538 22800 12610 4360 14010 5622 21740 8114 8221 21570 4627 9154 6330 7260 27510 7415 8524 5448 3954 27910 6516 5912 26260 8143 9640 3241 7796 2371 6922 16080 9685 6238 7863 20410 13070 37860 18250 26250 10190 69710 39250 5034 22740 6790 7164 7743 51770 21930 13090 3855 2902 62070 8459 26740 2850 3583 17060 2453 3444 7198 12960 8031 12990 4021 21010 4666 4267 1844 11810 6390 7599 26560 8886 36680 11550 12290 7310 2108 6206 9533 6696 5693 24660 9917 3116 10640 14490 4486 6338 18790 19100 7604 32550 9192 5160 25210 10030 3632 10930 5708 16130 9842 15070 4295 15840 11970 33820 9618 6407 9914 12150 21490 5638 11480 2823 23730 6543 7453 4961 22210 6923 5751 7482 8069 1729 1946 27160 35170 5715 3353 5691 25850 5624 7160 46070 262 15560 16240 15590 6211 5277 5029 6067 7474 16170 1787 5619 7833 4838 21060 5716 4975 6311 9633 5620 8922 12110 15820 15150 23920 7760 8246 17950 8736 5748 6194 3859 24010 16450 21050 5479 4063 23480 5765 16500 13550 17950 12040 20400 5618 5728 3136 11550 10110 5729 3386 11630 6644 18190 8287 4377 6523 1166 30590 19140 5908 5024 7652 5482 27770 26610 25970 23920 19270 7713 8391 6068 8079 5222 8665 6854 1234 4994 9451 4853 9141 4330 6770 15410 33060 18210 5095 8876 25950 7187 9003 25510 6337 5543 11750 6581 11240 7323 5702 13170

Confirmed count average forecast England (bold black line in graphs) 2021-06-21 to 2021-06-27

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-06-20 7945 6284 3000 5186 8698 3695 8679 6057 1695 15978 8484 9874 9951 12204 3936 23985 31327 20390 4451 17819 8518 8373 8713 15216 23197 22865 106083 7458 22308 10305 6203 6056 32676 5175 26325 7506 52810 10965 6942 29738 7011 12727 15464 32685 6151 25227 6439 9264 7434 11188 19404 13552 15759 6051 14959 7248 10445 26680 8387 10923 8436 7702 16925 1831 13155 12912 4171 9382 22834 23300 6281 5128 4468 9132 21508 2912 11702 4156 3270 6003 15724 2729 40230 24709 3001 8183 32252 8845 7842 10626 4423 4510 20522 3081 13209 24725 12327 7964 27501 4404 8469 32607 7207 3112 4315 5943 5033 8561 6645 3453 5026 5656 18920 9821 9052 6700 6022 3134 7683 30406 12635 5512 7518 5308 7245 5380 5751 6214 12774 9921 8164 3222 5212 14529 8537 47704 6892 3958 10478 5587 23239 7663 3526 22584 12375 4338 13790 5467 21587 8080 8074 21501 4587 9096 6304 7225 27317 7355 8459 5387 3901 27745 6437 5883 26108 8108 9284 3173 7793 2359 6907 15831 9626 6223 7846 20338 12952 37405 17959 25891 10010 68248 38886 5029 22497 6766 7089 7711 50940 21726 13003 3838 2887 60170 8444 26643 2836 3557 16941 2378 3431 7139 12918 8004 12910 3943 20878 4598 4262 1831 11788 6354 7565 25779 8759 36467 11527 12107 7130 2082 6190 9271 6616 5679 24141 9892 3104 10499 13953 4474 6285 18707 18657 7588 32079 9056 5135 24844 9968 3613 10654 5433 16085 9665 14855 4263 15489 11773 33629 9561 6375 9795 11922 21475 5435 11402 2754 23324 6509 7228 4952 22050 6897 5679 7301 8022 1727 1941 26318 35036 5702 3189 5605 25363 5487 7120 45627 252 15454 16137 15324 6144 5102 5000 6021 7459 15905 1783 5598 7774 4732 20616 5683 4944 6241 9323 5563 8851 11906 15565 15052 23652 7696 8130 17663 8717 5671 6173 3792 23385 16348 20850 5398 3985 23016 5709 16421 13535 17912 11936 19937 5553 5695 3128 11468 10095 5651 3237 11602 6597 18131 8228 4354 6512 1094 30166 18638 5847 5005 7585 5427 27365 26481 25718 23589 18921 7520 8337 6016 8048 5199 8525 6774 1224 4886 9334 4836 8948 4300 6750 15207 32265 18010 5078 8779 25428 7141 8866 25340 6318 5493 11692 6547 11160 7122 5683 12936
2021-06-21 7990 6308 3004 5196 8707 3718 8684 6060 1713 15980 8496 9880 9958 12220 3940 24000 31370 20420 4465 17820 8529 8382 8739 15240 23220 22880 106300 7475 22440 10360 6204 6061 32790 5179 26390 7519 52920 10970 6947 29780 7015 12730 15510 32800 6154 25250 6449 9272 7448 11240 19500 13550 15810 6066 14990 7255 10460 26700 8408 10930 8439 7715 16950 1833 13170 12920 4199 9390 22920 23380 6289 5141 4475 9179 21730 2927 11720 4170 3278 6005 15830 2740 40370 24750 3010 8196 32290 8854 7866 10630 4427 4521 20540 3084 13240 24760 12350 7968 27520 4416 8539 32650 7246 3116 4322 5980 5041 8579 6652 3501 5032 5679 18940 9827 9057 6703 6030 3143 7694 30430 12640 5526 7530 5328 7263 5387 5758 6218 12830 9940 8167 3229 5230 14570 8551 47850 6917 3963 10490 5588 23260 7671 3530 22620 12400 4341 13820 5485 21610 8086 8099 21510 4593 9105 6308 7229 27340 7364 8469 5397 3910 27770 6448 5891 26130 8116 9340 3184 7798 2361 6910 15870 9646 6225 7848 20350 12970 37480 18000 25950 10040 68490 38960 5034 22530 6774 7096 7716 51100 21750 13020 3841 2890 60470 8449 26660 2839 3562 16960 2388 3433 7151 12930 8008 12930 3972 20900 4608 4264 1834 11790 6363 7571 25900 8775 36500 11530 12130 7162 2087 6196 9309 6628 5683 24220 9900 3106 10520 14030 4477 6292 18730 18720 7592 32150 9080 5141 24920 9980 3618 10690 5482 16090 9692 14880 4267 15550 11800 33650 9573 6380 9810 11960 21480 5461 11420 2762 23410 6513 7261 4954 22070 6906 5689 7322 8028 1730 1943 26460 35060 5705 3212 5616 25440 5504 7127 45690 254 15470 16150 15360 6152 5135 5006 6033 7464 15950 1786 5602 7782 4747 20690 5686 4950 6253 9370 5569 8860 11940 15600 15060 23700 7701 8144 17710 8722 5680 6176 3804 23480 16370 20880 5408 3996 23070 5715 16440 13540 17920 11950 20010 5562 5699 3133 11490 10100 5663 3258 11610 6605 18140 8238 4358 6513 1104 30220 18720 5855 5008 7592 5434 27420 26500 25750 23640 18980 7550 8344 6025 8054 5202 8544 6789 1225 4912 9358 4841 8984 4307 6754 15250 32390 18040 5082 8793 25510 7149 8885 25360 6322 5500 11700 6551 11170 7148 5688 12980
2021-06-22 8027 6327 3009 5203 8713 3738 8689 6063 1729 15990 8505 9887 9962 12230 3943 24010 31410 20450 4471 17830 8545 8387 8766 15280 23230 22890 106500 7488 22570 10420 6204 6066 32900 5185 26450 7534 53040 10970 6950 29820 7018 12730 15550 32890 6156 25270 6456 9278 7460 11300 19600 13560 15850 6077 15040 7263 10470 26720 8420 10930 8439 7721 16970 1835 13190 12920 4221 9394 23000 23450 6294 5152 4479 9233 21900 2943 11740 4185 3282 6008 15940 2747 40510 24790 3019 8204 32320 8861 7883 10640 4431 4533 20560 3086 13270 24780 12380 7971 27540 4425 8616 32700 7287 3118 4326 6009 5048 8597 6657 3532 5036 5699 18950 9834 9061 6704 6037 3153 7708 30450 12650 5536 7537 5345 7278 5391 5764 6221 12870 9960 8169 3234 5242 14610 8563 48020 6944 3968 10490 5589 23280 7677 3532 22660 12420 4345 13860 5502 21630 8091 8117 21520 4600 9115 6311 7233 27350 7374 8479 5410 3915 27800 6461 5894 26160 8123 9401 3190 7799 2362 6912 15910 9667 6229 7852 20360 12990 37550 18030 26010 10060 68740 39020 5037 22560 6779 7102 7720 51240 21780 13040 3843 2892 60780 8452 26680 2842 3565 16990 2396 3435 7161 12930 8009 12940 3992 20920 4615 4265 1836 11790 6370 7574 25990 8795 36540 11530 12140 7190 2091 6200 9342 6637 5685 24300 9904 3108 10540 14100 4479 6296 18750 18780 7594 32210 9103 5145 24990 9990 3623 10730 5518 16100 9710 14900 4269 15620 11830 33670 9581 6384 9826 11990 21480 5502 11430 2770 23480 6517 7294 4956 22090 6911 5697 7349 8036 1732 1946 26610 35070 5708 3227 5623 25510 5522 7133 45740 255 15490 16160 15390 6157 5171 5012 6041 7467 15980 1788 5605 7788 4760 20750 5689 4956 6264 9424 5573 8863 11960 15640 15070 23750 7709 8159 17740 8728 5690 6180 3813 23580 16380 20900 5420 4008 23120 5724 16450 13540 17930 11970 20080 5568 5705 3137 11500 10100 5674 3275 11610 6612 18150 8248 4360 6514 1110 30270 18790 5862 5011 7599 5440 27450 26520 25780 23710 19040 7568 8351 6034 8057 5206 8564 6802 1226 4930 9373 4844 9016 4309 6756 15290 32520 18070 5083 8804 25580 7157 8905 25370 6324 5506 11710 6554 11190 7173 5690 13010
2021-06-23 8072 6348 3014 5211 8718 3756 8694 6066 1743 16000 8514 9896 9966 12250 3946 24020 31440 20470 4477 17830 8560 8393 8793 15310 23250 22900 106700 7504 22690 10470 6205 6071 33010 5191 26500 7548 53150 10980 6952 29850 7022 12740 15590 33000 6159 25300 6464 9285 7474 11350 19690 13560 15900 6090 15080 7271 10480 26750 8431 10930 8440 7727 17000 1837 13200 12930 4244 9398 23080 23520 6299 5163 4483 9284 22070 2958 11760 4200 3286 6012 16060 2755 40640 24820 3028 8213 32360 8867 7902 10650 4435 4544 20570 3088 13300 24810 12400 7974 27560 4436 8682 32740 7325 3120 4330 6034 5054 8616 6663 3560 5040 5719 18960 9840 9066 6706 6045 3162 7721 30480 12670 5547 7544 5362 7295 5396 5769 6225 12910 9980 8173 3239 5253 14650 8573 48190 6974 3971 10500 5590 23290 7682 3533 22690 12440 4348 13890 5519 21660 8096 8136 21520 4609 9124 6315 7236 27370 7386 8488 5421 3922 27820 6473 5899 26190 8130 9459 3196 7800 2363 6915 15950 9686 6232 7855 20360 13000 37620 18070 26080 10080 68970 39080 5039 22590 6785 7108 7724 51390 21800 13060 3845 2897 61080 8455 26690 2844 3569 17020 2405 3437 7170 12940 8011 12950 4012 20940 4622 4267 1839 11790 6380 7582 26090 8811 36570 11540 12160 7219 2096 6203 9375 6648 5688 24380 9909 3110 10560 14170 4481 6300 18760 18850 7597 32280 9123 5150 25070 10010 3629 10770 5551 16110 9733 14920 4271 15690 11860 33680 9590 6387 9839 12040 21490 5540 11450 2777 23570 6521 7327 4957 22120 6916 5705 7376 8044 1734 1949 26730 35080 5711 3242 5629 25580 5539 7140 45790 256 15510 16180 15420 6163 5205 5019 6049 7471 16010 1789 5607 7796 4775 20810 5693 4963 6275 9474 5578 8870 11990 15680 15080 23790 7716 8173 17780 8733 5699 6183 3824 23670 16400 20910 5428 4019 23170 5733 16470 13550 17940 11990 20160 5574 5709 3141 11520 10100 5687 3294 11610 6620 18160 8255 4363 6514 1116 30310 18850 5870 5013 7607 5448 27490 26540 25810 23770 19100 7587 8358 6041 8060 5210 8584 6814 1227 4948 9387 4848 9051 4315 6761 15330 32650 18110 5085 8815 25650 7162 8925 25380 6329 5513 11720 6559 11200 7199 5693 13040
2021-06-24 8104 6367 3019 5217 8724 3774 8699 6070 1758 16000 8524 9902 9972 12260 3950 24030 31480 20500 4484 17840 8573 8399 8825 15340 23260 22910 106900 7519 22810 10530 6205 6077 33120 5196 26560 7560 53270 10980 6955 29890 7025 12740 15620 33110 6161 25320 6469 9292 7488 11400 19780 13570 15950 6102 15110 7280 10500 26760 8443 10930 8441 7734 17020 1840 13210 12930 4267 9402 23150 23600 6305 5174 4488 9340 22240 2972 11780 4214 3291 6015 16180 2763 40770 24860 3037 8223 32390 8875 7922 10660 4439 4554 20580 3091 13330 24840 12430 7977 27590 4446 8744 32780 7364 3123 4334 6056 5061 8633 6668 3591 5044 5739 18970 9846 9070 6709 6053 3171 7733 30500 12680 5556 7553 5380 7310 5401 5773 6230 12950 10000 8176 3244 5266 14680 8582 48350 7001 3973 10510 5590 23310 7688 3536 22730 12460 4352 13920 5535 21680 8102 8153 21530 4616 9133 6319 7238 27380 7394 8497 5433 3931 27850 6485 5906 26220 8138 9513 3203 7800 2364 6917 15990 9706 6235 7858 20370 13020 37700 18100 26140 10090 69220 39140 5042 22620 6791 7115 7729 51530 21820 13070 3847 2899 61380 8460 26710 2848 3572 17040 2413 3440 7180 12940 8015 12960 4036 20970 4630 4268 1842 11800 6388 7585 26190 8827 36610 11540 12170 7247 2100 6204 9407 6657 5691 24460 9914 3111 10580 14240 4483 6305 18780 18900 7600 32330 9140 5156 25140 10030 3634 10810 5588 16110 9754 14950 4273 15760 11890 33700 9599 6390 9850 12070 21490 5577 11460 2785 23640 6526 7359 4958 22140 6922 5712 7401 8052 1737 1951 26860 35090 5713 3257 5635 25660 5556 7146 45850 257 15530 16190 15450 6169 5238 5025 6057 7474 16050 1791 5609 7802 4789 20880 5697 4970 6286 9526 5584 8873 12020 15720 15090 23830 7721 8187 17810 8738 5711 6186 3835 23760 16420 20930 5439 4033 23220 5741 16480 13550 17940 12010 20220 5580 5714 3144 11540 10110 5698 3314 11610 6627 18170 8266 4366 6516 1122 30350 18910 5880 5016 7616 5452 27520 26560 25840 23830 19160 7606 8366 6049 8064 5213 8602 6825 1228 4969 9401 4852 9083 4320 6764 15380 32740 18140 5087 8825 25700 7168 8942 25390 6335 5519 11730 6563 11210 7224 5696 13070
2021-06-25 8143 6387 3023 5225 8731 3789 8704 6073 1772 16010 8533 9907 9978 12270 3953 24040 31510 20520 4490 17840 8586 8404 8850 15370 23270 22920 107100 7532 22910 10580 6206 6082 33220 5202 26610 7572 53380 10980 6958 29930 7029 12740 15670 33200 6163 25350 6474 9299 7501 11450 19870 13570 15990 6116 15150 7287 10510 26780 8453 10930 8442 7740 17040 1842 13220 12940 4290 9406 23220 23660 6311 5184 4492 9375 22400 2985 11800 4229 3297 6018 16290 2771 40940 24900 3046 8232 32430 8882 7943 10660 4444 4565 20600 3094 13360 24860 12450 7980 27610 4457 8803 32810 7397 3125 4338 6084 5065 8650 6674 3622 5048 5760 18980 9852 9075 6710 6061 3179 7745 30520 12680 5563 7560 5398 7328 5406 5778 6234 12990 10010 8179 3249 5280 14720 8591 48500 7028 3976 10520 5591 23330 7694 3538 22770 12470 4356 13950 5550 21690 8108 8170 21530 4623 9142 6323 7241 27390 7402 8506 5446 3938 27880 6496 5909 26260 8144 9572 3211 7801 2365 6920 16020 9725 6237 7861 20380 13040 37760 18130 26200 10110 69460 39200 5045 22650 6796 7121 7733 51680 21840 13080 3850 2901 61650 8463 26730 2851 3578 17070 2421 3442 7190 12950 8018 12970 4061 20990 4639 4270 1844 11800 6396 7588 26300 8843 36640 11540 12190 7276 2105 6207 9437 6666 5694 24520 9919 3112 10600 14310 4486 6309 18790 18960 7604 32400 9162 5162 25210 10040 3640 10850 5623 16110 9775 14970 4275 15810 11910 33720 9609 6393 9868 12110 21490 5613 11480 2792 23710 6530 7391 4959 22160 6928 5720 7426 8060 1739 1954 26990 35100 5716 3272 5642 25730 5574 7153 45910 258 15540 16200 15480 6175 5271 5032 6067 7478 16080 1793 5613 7809 4802 20920 5702 4977 6297 9565 5589 8878 12040 15760 15100 23870 7725 8199 17830 8743 5722 6190 3846 23850 16430 20940 5446 4043 23280 5750 16500 13550 17950 12030 20290 5586 5718 3147 11560 10110 5709 3332 11620 6635 18180 8275 4368 6517 1128 30380 18980 5886 5019 7624 5456 27550 26580 25870 23880 19220 7626 8374 6057 8068 5216 8619 6836 1229 4989 9413 4856 9116 4326 6768 15400 32850 18170 5088 8836 25770 7174 8960 25410 6338 5524 11740 6567 11220 7250 5700 13110
2021-06-26 8170 6404 3027 5233 8736 3808 8709 6076 1785 16010 8541 9912 9982 12280 3956 24050 31530 20550 4496 17840 8598 8410 8876 15400 23280 22930 107200 7545 22990 10640 6207 6086 33310 5207 26660 7583 53470 10990 6960 29960 7032 12750 15700 33290 6165 25370 6478 9307 7513 11490 19940 13580 16040 6129 15180 7294 10520 26800 8464 10940 8443 7747 17060 1844 13230 12940 4311 9410 23280 23730 6316 5194 4497 9403 22550 2997 11820 4243 3301 6020 16400 2780 41090 24930 3055 8240 32460 8889 7963 10670 4447 4575 20610 3096 13380 24880 12480 7984 27630 4468 8861 32840 7430 3128 4341 6107 5069 8664 6680 3649 5053 5780 18990 9857 9079 6712 6067 3188 7757 30540 12690 5570 7567 5416 7340 5411 5782 6239 13020 10030 8181 3255 5295 14760 8599 48630 7055 3979 10520 5592 23340 7700 3541 22800 12490 4361 13990 5564 21710 8113 8187 21540 4629 9150 6326 7243 27400 7407 8515 5457 3944 27900 6508 5911 26290 8149 9618 3218 7802 2366 6922 16060 9741 6239 7862 20390 13050 37820 18170 26250 10120 69700 39250 5048 22680 6804 7128 7737 51820 21860 13100 3852 2902 61890 8466 26740 2855 3582 17100 2428 3444 7201 12960 8021 12980 4083 21010 4647 4272 1847 11800 6403 7589 26400 8861 36670 11550 12200 7304 2109 6210 9467 6673 5697 24580 9924 3113 10620 14370 4489 6314 18810 19010 7607 32460 9175 5168 25280 10060 3646 10880 5657 16120 9794 15000 4277 15870 11940 33740 9619 6397 9879 12140 21500 5649 11490 2800 23770 6534 7423 4960 22170 6936 5727 7449 8067 1741 1957 27090 35110 5718 3287 5647 25800 5591 7160 45960 259 15560 16210 15510 6181 5304 5038 6076 7481 16110 1795 5615 7815 4816 20970 5706 4983 6306 9605 5594 8881 12070 15800 15110 23920 7729 8212 17860 8748 5733 6193 3856 23930 16450 20960 5453 4053 23320 5758 16510 13560 17960 12040 20340 5592 5723 3150 11570 10110 5721 3351 11620 6644 18190 8283 4370 6517 1133 30420 19030 5891 5021 7632 5460 27570 26590 25900 23930 19270 7645 8381 6064 8071 5219 8635 6847 1231 5006 9423 4860 9149 4330 6770 15430 32940 18190 5090 8846 25830 7179 8976 25420 6340 5529 11740 6570 11240 7275 5703 13140
2021-06-27 8204 6421 3031 5241 8740 3821 8714 6080 1799 16020 8551 9918 9987 12300 3960 24060 31560 20570 4501 17850 8610 8417 8903 15430 23290 22940 107400 7561 23090 10690 6208 6091 33400 5214 26720 7595 53570 10990 6964 29990 7036 12750 15730 33390 6168 25400 6483 9314 7526 11530 20020 13580 16080 6142 15210 7300 10530 26820 8473 10940 8444 7754 17080 1847 13250 12950 4335 9415 23340 23790 6322 5205 4502 9450 22690 3010 11840 4257 3306 6022 16520 2788 41250 24960 3065 8249 32500 8896 7984 10680 4450 4585 20630 3099 13410 24900 12500 7987 27650 4478 8921 32880 7463 3131 4345 6136 5073 8680 6685 3676 5057 5801 19010 9861 9083 6713 6074 3197 7768 30560 12700 5577 7575 5434 7359 5417 5787 6244 13060 10050 8184 3260 5308 14800 8608 48770 7086 3983 10530 5593 23360 7705 3543 22840 12500 4365 14020 5580 21730 8119 8202 21540 4637 9159 6329 7246 27420 7419 8525 5468 3951 27930 6520 5916 26310 8155 9673 3226 7803 2368 6924 16100 9757 6242 7865 20390 13070 37880 18200 26310 10130 69920 39290 5051 22710 6811 7135 7741 51970 21880 13120 3855 2904 62110 8468 26760 2858 3586 17120 2436 3447 7211 12960 8025 12990 4105 21040 4656 4273 1850 11800 6410 7591 26500 8877 36700 11550 12220 7334 2114 6214 9498 6682 5700 24650 9930 3114 10640 14440 4492 6318 18830 19060 7611 32520 9192 5174 25360 10070 3652 10920 5693 16120 9816 15020 4279 15920 11970 33750 9628 6400 9891 12180 21500 5686 11500 2807 23830 6539 7455 4962 22190 6943 5735 7474 8073 1743 1960 27190 35120 5721 3303 5654 25860 5609 7167 46010 260 15570 16220 15540 6187 5335 5045 6084 7485 16140 1798 5618 7822 4830 21020 5709 4990 6318 9648 5599 8885 12100 15830 15120 23960 7734 8225 17900 8754 5741 6196 3866 24010 16460 20970 5461 4063 23380 5766 16520 13560 17960 12060 20400 5598 5727 3155 11580 10110 5733 3370 11620 6652 18190 8292 4372 6518 1139 30450 19080 5897 5024 7641 5464 27590 26610 25930 23980 19330 7663 8389 6073 8075 5222 8654 6857 1232 5024 9433 4865 9181 4335 6772 15460 33020 18220 5091 8856 25890 7186 8993 25430 6343 5536 11750 6573 11250 7301 5706 13170

Data issues

    There is an issue with the reported local authority data: the last few (usually three) observations show no change. To handle this, we remove the last two observations. This then reflect the reporting delay of the data, but also implies that we cannot precisely distinguish between a count of zero cases and a delayed count.
    The forecasts from 2020-10-11 use a four day delay (so ignoring the last four days of reported cases), to reflect delays in reporting data in many areas. Otherwise we use a two day delay.

    The following graph illustrates the issue for two districts:

Further information

  • We believe these forecasts fill a useful gap in the short run. They give an indication of what is likely to happen in the next few days, removing some aspect of surprise. Moreover, a noticeable drop in comparison to the extrapolations could be an indication that the implemented policies are having some impact. It is difficult to understand exponential growth. We hope that these forecasts may help to convince viewers to adhere to the policies implemented by their respective governments, and keep all arguments factual and measured.
  • We use the data repository for the 2019 Novel Coronavirus Visual Dashboard operated by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering. This is updated daily, but we tend to update our forecasts only every other day.
    US state data as of 2020-03-28 is courtesy of the New York Times.
  • We can only provide forecasts of what is measured. If confirmed cases are an underestimate of actual cases, then our forecasts will also be underestimates. No other epidemiological data is used. Data definition and collection differs between countries and may change over time.
  • We will update the methodology as we learn what is happening in the next few days or weeks. Once the number of cases levels off, there is no need to provide these forecasts anymore.
  • Countries where the counts are very low or stable have been omitted.
  • The graphs have dates on the horizontal axis (yyyy-mm-dd) and cumulative counts on the vertical axis. They show
    1. bold dark grey line (with circles): observed counts (Johns Hopkins CSSE);
    2. many light grey lines (with open circles): forecasts using different model settings and starting up to four periods back;
    3. red line (with open circles): single forecasts path using default model settings;
    4. black line (with crosses): average of all forecasts, recentered on the last observation;
    5. thin green lines: some indication of uncertainty around the red forecasts, but we do not know how reliable that is.
    Both the red line forecasts and the black lines are also given in the tables above. These forecasts differ, we are currently inclined to use the average forecasts.
  • The forecasts are constructed as follows:
    1. An overall `trend' is extracted by taking a window of the data at a time. In each window we draw `straight lines' which are selected using an automatic econometric procedure (`machine learning'). All straight lines are collected and averaged, giving the trend.
    2. Forecasts are made using the estimated trend, but we note that this must be done carefully, because simply extrapolating the flexible insample trend would lead to wildly fluctuating forecast. We use the `Cardt' method, which has been found to work well in other settings.
    3. Residuals from the trend are also forecast, and combined with trend forecasts into an overall forecast.
  • Scenario forecasts are constructed very differently: smooth versions of the Chinese experience are matched at different lag lengths with the path of each country. This probably works best from the peak, or the slowdown just before (but we include it for the UK nonetheless).
  • The forecast evaluation shows past forecasts, together with the outcomes (in the grey line with circles).
  • EU-BS is Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania together.
  • This paper describes the methodology and gives further references. Also available as Nuffield Economics Discussion Paper 2020-W06. Still preliminary is the documentation of the medium term forecasts.

Recent changes and notes

[2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.
[2021-01-07]Slideshow of forecasts, errors, and actuals 2020-06-30 to 2021-01-02: how England lost the battle.
[2020-10-27]Statistical short-term forecasting of the COVID-19 Pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now published at the Journal of Clinical Immunology and Immunotherapy. open access
[2020-10-11]Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now in press at the International Journal of Forecasting. open access
[2020-10-10]Removed forecasts from the Chinese scenarios, while investigating possibility to use own history from the first wave.
Added information on the previous peak (if present) to the peak tables.
Local forecasts for England: now dropping last four observations.
[2020-07-01] Modified the short-term model to allow for (slowly changing) seasonality. Many countries show clear seasonality after the initial period, likely caused by institutional factors regarding data collection. This seasonality was also getting in the way of peak detection. As a consequence estimates of the peak date may have changed for countries with strong seasonality.
Added forecasts of cumulative confirmed cases for lower tier local authorities of England. The data is available from 2020-07-02 including all tests (pillar one and two). Only authorities with more than 5 cases in the previous week are included.
[2020-06-29] Tables in April included the world, but not the world as we know it (double counting China and the US). So removed the world from those old tables.
Why short-term forecasts can be better than models for predicting how pandemics evolve just appeared at The Conversation.
Thursday 2 July webinar at the FGV EESP - São Paolo School of Economics. This starts at 16:00 UK time (UTC+01:00) and streamed here.