COVID-19 short-term forecasts Confirmed 2021-06-25 lower tier local authorities of England (with more than 5 cases in the previous week).


General information

  • Forecasts produced by Jennie Castle, Jurgen Doornik, and David Hendry, researchers at the University of Oxford. These are our forecasts, and should not be considered official forecasts from, or endorsed by, any of: University of Oxford, Oxford Martin School, Nuffield College, or Magdalen College.
  • These forecasts are short term time-series extrapolations of the data. They are not based on epidemiological modelling or simulations. All forecasts are uncertain: their success can only be determined afterwards. Many mitigation strategies are in place, which, if successful, invalidate our forecasts. An explanation of our methods is provided below.
  • A list of notes is below. The most recent note:
    [2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.

Forecasts for districts of England, one week ahead from 2021-06-25

Peak increase in estimated trend of Confirmed in England 2021-06-25

Aberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterComhairle nan Eilean SiarConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
Peak date (mm-dd)12-2812-2712-2712-2612-272021-05-252021-03-2512-2707-212021-03-2512-2112-2712-0812-2112-2312-2812-2310-1312-2712-232021-01-022021-01-1112-302021-05-0912-2612-2212-2912-2712-2712-2912-072021-01-072021-05-1011-132021-01-012021-05-2810-2412-2212-2712-2712-1412-0612-2812-3012-2512-2112-2612-2212-3012-3012-2712-0710-2812-2112-2712-2612-0812-0612-2712-0812-2112-222021-06-0110-2812-3012-2212-2812-2512-2212-212021-01-0312-2112-212021-06-1410-042021-01-0412-262021-01-0512-2912-2612-272021-06-1412-2411-0212-2712-2812-2712-2712-2112-2512-2112-2112-282021-01-022021-02-2512-2110-1412-2712-0712-2612-2210-042021-06-0607-2112-2412-2910-0412-2412-212021-06-062021-06-1312-2607-2110-3112-2712-3012-2812-2112-2612-2212-2512-2112-222021-01-0609-272021-06-1412-2312-2712-2212-2812-2512-1812-252021-01-04 --12-2610-0412-2112-2812-2112-2112-2712-212021-01-0512-2212-2712-282021-06-1412-2112-2112-2812-2712-2812-2112-2312-1312-2712-1312-2912-2212-2912-2812-2812-3012-222021-06-1412-212021-06-1412-2112-2812-2112-2712-2212-2812-2812-2511-0112-212021-05-3012-2712-292021-01-062021-06-082021-01-0312-2112-2712-2711-0212-2112-262021-05-3112-2212-2112-3112-292021-01-0212-2211-012021-01-0712-0812-2112-2112-212021-06-1412-212021-03-2512-312021-06-1412-2212-2712-0607-212021-03-1812-2812-292021-01-0311-0312-2712-0612-2707-2112-0812-272021-06-1412-2612-2110-0411-0112-2112-29 --12-212021-01-0412-2712-212021-01-0112-2912-2911-0212-28 --12-2712-282021-06-1312-272021-01-062021-01-062021-01-0112-062021-01-042021-06-1012-2112-312021-01-052021-05-2410-0412-0612-2812-2112-2712-2812-1012-3112-1310-1812-3012-2812-2712-252021-01-262021-01-0212-2912-292021-01-0312-232021-06-1412-3112-2912-2211-0207-2112-3012-2512-2512-2112-2912-2112-2112-2812-2612-252021-01-0412-2211-0910-0412-2112-222021-05-252021-01-0312-2812-2712-2212-212021-06-1412-2812-262021-06-1312-2512-252021-05-2512-2211-0712-2812-2711-0112-2112-2312-2212-2712-2112-0712-0212-2512-2912-2812-2612-302021-01-0412-2712-2112-2612-2112-1912-2212-2312-2712-06 --12-2112-2712-2212-2612-0812-2111-0112-272021-06-132021-06-0112-2511-0212-2112-2212-2112-272021-06-0712-2012-1310-042021-06-1412-0710-0412-2212-2312-2212-2712-2912-2212-2212-2812-2712-2212-272021-01-0112-2812-2512-312021-05-3012-3012-2611-02
Peak daily increment 92 102 61 88 97 40 77 73 119 106 170 110 171 178 78 477 589 189 58 326 128 110 108 52 252 426 1250 75 157 65 95 58 208 50 484 16 434 228 107 524 155 233 307 320 107 508 94 186 62 122 123 211 137 99 256 87 148 354 172 194 175 107 27 40 90 268 52 197 249 283 59 91 71 66 266 20 243 5 35 53 94 151 34 553 288 38 181 598 151 69 189 72 58 246 27 170 248 187 118 322 119 87 43 308 60 52 71 76 160 7 152 51 235 204 102 163 147 107 56 146 593 273 97 74 80 88 90 73 94 119 150 125 54 38 82 597 92 56 180 92 451 119 34 377 219 59 56 57 401 172 103 338 101 106 136 120 476 101 159 52 76 442 57 116 41 143 81 74 134 18 237 275 148 70 100 283 198 73 311 428 107 277 284 104 456 71 230 102 727 32 200 90 36 368 92 419 25 46 106 298 37 62 33 186 27 213 107 361 79 62 66 23 105 63 122 85 723 190 212 192 23 50 86 105 51 394 105 58 122 41 55 277 158 121 224 90 68 123 125 44 53 58 154 120 207 43 102 31 623 105 81 18 151 286 52 188 39 132 139 56 96 198 80 85 59 174 36 25 162 450 42 83 17 403 65 131 573 25 209 244 167 97 42 111 102 69 181 27 42 86 72 448 95 79 13 80 66 102 115 247 23 450 131 41 219 94 26 112 26 189 138 197 66 42 206 105 331 189 270 181 123 55 109 46 141 352 90 44 138 122 360 139 51 101 559 151 90 110 120 84 250 329 65 58 227 259 138 117 160 65 18 87 29 78 24 42 65 67 115 217 217 265 83 148 430 106 138 377 106 115 176 95 14 71 69 594
Days since peak 179 180 180 181 180 31 92 180 339 92 186 180 199 186 184 179 184 255 180 184 174 165 177 47 181 185 178 180 180 178 200 169 46 224 175 28 244 185 180 180 193 201 179 177 182 186 181 185 177 177 180 200 240 186 180 181 199 201 180 199 186 185 24 240 177 185 179 182 185 186 173 186 186 11 264 172 181 171 178 181 180 11 183 235 180 179 180 180 186 182 186 186 179 174 120 186 254 180 200 181 185 264 19 339 183 178 264 183 186 19 12 181 339 237 180 177 179 186 181 185 182 186 185 170 271 11 184 180 185 179 182 189 182 172 181 264 186 179 186 186 180 186 171 185 180 179 11 186 186 179 180 179 186 184 194 180 194 178 185 178 179 179 177 185 11 186 11 186 179 186 180 185 179 179 182 236 186 26 180 178 170 17 173 186 180 180 235 186 181 25 185 186 176 178 174 185 236 169 199 186 186 186 11 186 92 176 11 185 180 201 339 99 179 178 173 234 180 201 180 339 199 180 11 181 186 264 236 186 178 186 172 180 186 175 178 178 235 179 180 179 12 180 170 170 175 201 172 15 186 176 171 32 264 201 179 186 180 179 197 176 194 250 177 179 180 182 150 174 178 178 173 184 11 176 178 185 235 339 177 182 182 186 178 186 186 179 181 182 172 185 228 264 186 185 31 173 179 180 185 186 11 179 181 12 182 182 31 185 230 179 180 236 186 184 185 180 186 200 205 182 178 179 181 177 172 180 186 181 186 188 185 184 180 201 186 180 185 181 199 186 236 180 12 24 182 235 186 185 186 180 18 187 194 264 11 200 264 185 184 185 180 178 185 185 179 180 185 180 175 179 182 176 26 177 181 235
Last total 8514 6631 3048 5255 8795 4036 8736 6100 1868 16052 8567 9978 9995 12339 3966 24125 31680 20847 4544 17919 8624 8454 8921 15366 23339 23022 107883 7573 22878 10629 6221 6125 33297 5243 26749 7618 53656 11038 6967 30002 7091 12764 15898 33544 6171 25393 6541 9342 7559 11504 19924 13605 16193 6254 15309 7311 10620 26974 8600 10971 8465 7811 17139 1853 13313 13025 4393 9499 23296 23908 6376 5206 4541 9425 23889 3013 11916 302 4245 3329 6015 16422 2802 41857 25170 3074 8283 32524 8986 8048 10694 4467 4605 20789 3115 13463 25048 12512 8008 27765 4584 9341 32982 7604 3137 4419 6274 5088 8747 6725 4021 5093 5943 19158 9916 9088 6723 6109 3189 7802 30595 12718 5631 7607 5540 7610 5445 5777 6263 13641 10109 8205 3264 5350 15069 8682 49464 7135 3995 10556 5605 23490 7758 3627 22995 12560 4413 14094 5563 21868 8136 8275 21687 4634 9240 6387 7298 27495 7414 8543 5493 4231 28014 6501 5966 26318 8174 9666 3327 7815 2405 6926 16182 9844 6244 7872 20481 13110 37957 18373 26442 10313 70300 39272 5088 22803 6867 7181 7780 52353 21947 13170 3868 2949 62163 8498 26781 2883 3606 6767 17126 2435 3464 7283 12969 8075 13062 4396 21077 4718 4289 1879 11828 6448 7632 26855 8871 36761 11552 12279 7379 2120 6283 9678 6786 5748 24999 9984 3118 10708 14666 4566 6369 18798 19188 7649 32689 9151 5214 25468 87 10224 3668 10923 5802 16192 9821 15084 4291 15862 11991 33881 9744 6409 9893 12511 21574 5617 11628 2841 23913 6552 7490 4985 22264 7007 5747 7498 8093 1763 1978 27259 35385 5827 3429 5681 26008 5596 7191 46296 261 15721 16241 15672 6234 5280 5044 6140 7559 16250 1817 5639 7832 4832 21372 5720 4999 6361 9627 5622 8920 12278 15799 15162 24121 7759 8283 17972 8832 5759 6244 3965 23936 16528 21171 5518 4062 23699 5757 16595 13568 18048 12047 20497 5777 5733 3180 11657 10135 5752 3431 11640 6668 18192 8333 4437 6549 1159 30609 19211 5929 5082 7648 5490 28119 26668 26029 24088 19369 7902 8396 6107 8125 5230 8637 6862 1239 5179 9486 4886 9425 4353 6806 15537 33361 18379 5168 8907 25991 7194 9025 25561 6388 5560 11851 6620 11334 7331 5725 13403
Last daily increment 118 71 12 8 18 73 14 16 28 10 13 20 11 35 11 24 78 91 25 23 38 16 29 36 37 43 335 25 85 50 3 13 112 18 81 16 158 19 1 52 11 4 92 161 4 35 17 16 13 43 97 8 82 34 54 12 55 63 44 11 6 20 44 2 31 25 37 25 91 95 17 15 18 44 420 20 38 0 15 6 5 122 15 370 98 10 17 57 20 40 19 23 13 51 7 61 80 44 11 40 26 156 82 57 9 24 62 13 35 19 74 15 59 57 28 9 6 26 8 28 32 16 20 25 67 62 15 7 10 165 36 14 8 31 134 33 312 47 6 16 8 52 22 14 102 27 20 60 14 58 18 33 42 7 32 16 21 42 13 31 17 66 55 16 9 42 12 60 42 3 9 3 79 53 6 6 36 28 99 80 111 57 418 75 9 74 21 17 23 221 46 31 7 15 379 22 31 13 12 2 38 9 7 28 15 13 36 75 40 15 6 8 2 23 10 255 23 54 2 46 31 8 16 80 30 10 165 16 6 42 141 14 16 23 120 9 144 27 15 121 1 86 12 51 56 23 25 53 9 62 51 56 41 12 21 116 29 27 54 21 127 16 47 9 57 28 15 50 17 4 10 167 51 39 28 8 143 18 18 144 5 47 11 58 11 26 14 32 24 59 10 7 12 18 116 6 13 26 52 19 11 102 55 17 108 12 33 50 28 11 10 37 78 47 51 18 10 161 7 30 8 24 18 106 56 8 9 28 6 17 20 4 18 9 25 22 12 12 83 116 16 15 12 12 164 34 63 96 92 94 9 23 18 6 22 19 3 49 54 16 87 6 14 66 205 64 19 23 105 12 27 41 20 10 34 10 32 40 10 117
Last week 622 373 51 83 104 364 61 45 198 77 98 112 54 153 36 156 393 491 117 114 113 93 231 166 164 184 1982 132 656 373 19 77 707 73 484 121 951 83 28 286 86 39 479 973 23 187 115 84 140 358 596 57 477 223 371 68 191 313 243 50 33 134 232 23 184 122 259 131 536 695 106 93 82 330 2676 112 239 0 101 68 13 790 86 1790 501 82 113 309 155 234 78 47 107 291 37 291 374 211 49 284 198 942 405 435 31 112 366 63 203 89 644 71 311 270 98 40 28 97 62 127 211 92 134 104 254 391 77 32 52 943 209 41 46 154 593 167 1927 270 39 87 18 267 109 109 445 219 78 324 111 303 64 217 208 54 151 89 78 194 68 98 117 347 297 73 97 231 77 421 176 32 49 21 392 226 21 29 152 167 625 473 601 331 2275 432 69 336 106 102 73 1586 245 189 32 71 2228 61 153 51 51 13 210 70 35 153 58 79 174 505 217 134 30 53 46 96 73 1201 120 319 26 199 291 44 102 447 181 75 921 103 17 224 797 97 93 102 587 66 685 111 84 699 7 270 57 290 440 124 184 258 34 430 238 292 197 40 111 635 108 198 246 94 657 45 295 38 236 126 83 211 75 38 38 1036 373 130 287 94 716 129 79 741 13 290 117 387 100 193 54 131 108 397 41 45 65 120 852 40 56 137 341 64 79 401 256 116 511 68 171 350 119 99 73 184 626 197 353 135 87 753 51 193 39 148 121 640 233 41 56 214 46 111 224 45 79 72 115 88 40 78 498 651 87 82 70 69 832 204 344 539 505 420 62 100 86 30 139 102 15 328 174 55 512 57 57 352 1234 399 96 139 649 57 174 247 74 75 169 79 186 233 49 523
Previous peak date07-2107-21 -- --10-2707-2112-2110-07 --12-21 --10-21 --10-25 -- -- -- --10-20 -- --10-2611-0212-2110-07 --11-02 --10-1310-13 --10-2510-15 --11-0212-2105-0310-26 -- -- -- --10-1611-02 -- -- -- --10-1209-2710-2709-02 -- --10-01 -- -- --10-25 -- --10-1012-21 --11-02 -- --10-2710-18 --10-20 -- --12-3007-2107-2110-14 -- -- -- --12-29 --04-2010-3110-31 --10-2910-17 -- -- --10-2110-2712-2810-01 --10-12 -- --07-2107-2112-27 -- --11-0107-2110-27 --11-0907-2110-27 -- -- --10-30 --10-20 --10-06 -- -- --10-18 --07-21 -- -- --07-21 -- -- --10-1510-2810-1107-21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --09-2810-2712-21 --10-12 --10-2710-30 -- -- --10-29 -- --10-1710-2707-21 --11-01 --12-26 --2021-01-0107-21 --06-11 -- -- -- -- -- --10-1310-2709-29 --10-0811-0211-02 -- --10-31 --10-1209-2812-27 -- -- --11-0210-25 -- -- -- --10-15 -- --12-2210-1212-2111-0307-2109-30 -- -- --12-07 -- --11-02 -- -- --09-24 -- --10-1410-26 -- --07-21 -- --10-3111-04 --11-0308-02 -- --11-0211-01 --10-22 -- -- --12-2607-21 --11-0211-02 --11-0212-29 --11-0310-2612-2207-21 --10-1110-10 --10-19 --10-11 -- -- -- --10-13 -- -- --11-0211-0210-3107-2112-2109-3010-25 -- -- --10-28 -- -- --07-21 -- --10-25 -- -- -- -- --07-21 -- --12-2010-13 --10-24 -- --12-14 -- --12-2110-0810-2910-27 --07-2110-1810-12 -- -- --10-0610-31 -- -- -- --10-18 -- -- --10-2910-1110-18 -- -- -- -- --10-26 -- -- --10-17 -- -- -- -- -- --12-2712-1510-22 -- --10-22 -- --12-26 -- --07-2111-02 --07-21 --10-15 --10-1610-24 -- --09-3010-3010-11 --11-03 --10-1910-2812-2110-17 -- --
Previous peak daily increment 616 365 80 295 134 40 260 61 40 31 75 271 233 262 1226 166 98 54 234 363 142 55 19 62 1197 57 72 160 31 54 39 60 303 294 35 120 54 65 1272 83 35 285 68 129 18 69 22 25 164 25 206 59 226 710 536 39 383 25 106 191 31 24 30 29 56 475 687 43 126 72 1766 70 33 201 60 69 57 38 22 44 144 49 452 83 248 45 46 349 153 81 1449 479 56 71 480 273 2237 61 44 153 109 105 87 302 25 191 2429 91 53 137 1007 82 113 56 68 1343 64 257 108 230 139 354 150 174 88 41 176 459 41 46 194 65 67 406 233 81 152 82 189 33 104 226 66 876 108 66 75 293 156 118 77 55 149 184 120 129 18 172 89 27 17 45 144 449 390 135 23 154 307 166 376 24 319 68 141 22 25 38 54 32 173 67
Low between peaks 0 -1 28 0 8 18 13 26 -44 8 37 20 -12 48 303 55 29 19 17 23 -8 27 -19 21 68 19 34 54 12 23 7 26 -1 28 -43 -38 17 4 -11 -4 -18 -33 1 39 -9 28 -31 9 53 8 34 -47 -2 -3 -6 -13 -3 -32 -2 -5 10 -10 8 -67 19 -4 -5 -9 23 -7 22 -40 -5 15 -120 -7 19 -66 -54 -1 15 12 3 -2 0 18 27 21 23 41 120 21 21 58 7 114 21 -25 -10 39 6 35 -15 8 7 18 23 -9 -3 -7 35 16 7 50 28 58 3 1 20 37 38 -8 22 13 -13 -2 -20 -118 62 22 16 36 92 19 -4 -20 26 14 31 -2 24 -7 -1 28 24 -3 -6 30 38 -2 -1 43 43 58 -23 32 31 11 7 6 -31 -23 -4 -27 -71 1 -2 1 -2 -25 77 -103 19 -17 -8 8 27 12 0 -4

Confirmed count forecast England (bold red line in graphs) 2021-06-26 to 2021-07-02

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-06-25 8514 6631 3048 5255 8795 4036 8736 6100 1868 16052 8567 9978 9995 12339 3966 24125 31680 20847 4544 17919 8624 8454 8921 15366 23339 23022 107883 7573 22878 10629 6221 6125 33297 5243 26749 7618 53656 11038 6967 30002 7091 12764 15898 33544 6171 25393 6541 9342 7559 11504 19924 13605 16193 6254 15309 7311 10620 26974 8600 10971 8465 7811 17139 1853 13313 13025 4393 9499 23296 23908 6376 5206 4541 9425 23889 3013 11916 4245 3329 6015 16422 2802 41857 25170 3074 8283 32524 8986 8048 10694 4467 4605 20789 3115 13463 25048 12512 8008 27765 4584 9341 32982 7604 3137 4419 6274 5088 8747 6725 4021 5093 5943 19158 9916 9088 6723 6109 3189 7802 30595 12718 5631 7607 5540 7610 5445 5777 6263 13641 10109 8205 3264 5350 15069 8682 49464 7135 3995 10556 5605 23490 7758 3627 22995 12560 4413 14094 5563 21868 8136 8275 21687 4634 9240 6387 7298 27495 7414 8543 5493 4231 28014 6501 5966 26318 8174 9666 3327 7815 2405 6926 16182 9844 6244 7872 20481 13110 37957 18373 26442 10313 70300 39272 5088 22803 6867 7181 7780 52353 21947 13170 3868 2949 62163 8498 26781 2883 3606 6767 17126 2435 3464 7283 12969 8075 13062 4396 21077 4718 4289 1879 11828 6448 7632 26855 8871 36761 11552 12279 7379 2120 6283 9678 6786 5748 24999 9984 3118 10708 14666 4566 6369 18798 19188 7649 32689 9151 5214 25468 87 10224 3668 10923 5802 16192 9821 15084 4291 15862 11991 33881 9744 6409 9893 12511 21574 5617 11628 2841 23913 6552 7490 4985 22264 7007 5747 7498 8093 1763 1978 27259 35385 5827 3429 5681 26008 5596 7191 46296 261 15721 16241 15672 6234 5280 5044 6140 7559 16250 1817 5639 7832 4832 21372 5720 4999 6361 9627 5622 8920 12278 15799 15162 24121 7759 8283 17972 8832 5759 6244 3965 23936 16528 21171 5518 4062 23699 5757 16595 13568 18048 12047 20497 5777 5733 3180 11657 10135 5752 3431 11640 6668 18192 8333 4437 6549 1159 30609 19211 5929 5082 7648 5490 28119 26668 26029 24088 19369 7902 8396 6107 8125 5230 8637 6862 1239 5179 9486 4886 9425 4353 6806 15537 33361 18379 5168 8907 25991 7194 9025 25561 6388 5560 11851 6620 11334 7331 5725 13403
2021-06-26 8589 6694 3057 5270 8819 4084 8748 6111 1887 16060 8579 10000 10000 12360 3971 24150 31750 20930 4565 17930 8654 8464 8927 15400 23340 23050 108200 7595 23000 10700 6224 6139 33380 5254 26760 7618 53880 11050 6967 30000 7105 12760 15940 33610 6173 25420 6561 9357 7586 11510 20000 13620 16280 6296 15370 7326 10650 27030 8636 10980 8469 7830 17180 1854 13340 13050 4433 9520 23320 23960 6393 5211 4559 9504 23890 3028 11950 4267 3340 6019 16540 2813 42220 25250 3087 8301 32570 9010 8065 10700 4483 4621 20840 3120 13510 25100 12550 8020 27810 4613 9470 33060 7669 3141 4435 6325 5095 8790 6739 4027 5112 5991 19200 9930 9088 6723 6123 3198 7823 30630 12740 5651 7634 5585 7661 5455 5782 6271 13790 10140 8216 3264 5379 15160 8704 49750 7144 3995 10580 5608 23540 7772 3641 23080 12590 4430 14140 5584 21920 8139 8308 21720 4642 9272 6400 7320 27530 7424 8562 5493 4288 28060 6512 5979 26340 8174 9668 3353 7815 2413 6929 16250 9890 6245 7872 20510 13130 38050 18450 26540 10360 70690 39310 5100 22860 6886 7199 7798 52620 21980 13200 3872 2961 62530 8504 26820 2892 3619 6769 17160 2446 3471 7313 12980 8094 13090 4461 21120 4737 4295 1887 11830 6473 7632 27040 8886 36810 11550 12320 7417 2127 6301 9750 6819 5760 25150 10000 3118 10730 14800 4582 6386 18820 19290 7659 32830 9170 5228 25540 87 10270 3676 10970 5862 16220 9850 15110 4296 15880 12040 33930 9777 6414 9897 12610 21600 5651 11670 2860 24030 6565 7530 4992 22310 7029 5757 7539 8103 1769 1983 27380 35450 5855 3472 5685 26120 5616 7206 46410 262 15780 16250 15700 6246 5312 5052 6163 7577 16320 1828 5639 7841 4850 21510 5725 5007 6377 9646 5632 8928 12350 15830 15180 24220 7768 8312 18040 8853 5759 6256 3994 24030 16570 21230 5529 4078 23820 5765 16620 13570 18080 12060 20540 5818 5738 3193 11690 10140 5763 3465 11650 6679 18200 8345 4454 6557 1174 30700 19290 5946 5095 7658 5499 28260 26670 26090 24180 19470 7987 8406 6123 8140 5234 8660 6863 1241 5223 9486 4893 9506 4361 6806 15620 33480 18450 5184 8931 26020 7204 9047 25600 6400 5566 11880 6634 11360 7375 5733 13490
2021-06-27 8672 6744 3064 5285 8835 4131 8758 6117 1904 16070 8591 10020 10000 12360 3971 24160 31810 21000 4587 17950 8684 8477 8939 15440 23350 23070 108500 7615 23120 10760 6227 6153 33490 5264 26790 7620 54080 11060 6968 30010 7120 12760 15990 33710 6176 25430 6585 9370 7604 11550 20080 13630 16350 6336 15440 7337 10680 27080 8666 10990 8469 7850 17220 1854 13340 13070 4473 9538 23360 24030 6409 5220 4572 9560 24260 3036 11990 4286 3352 6021 16640 2817 42540 25320 3095 8318 32580 9034 8090 10700 4499 4639 20880 3120 13550 25170 12580 8032 27860 4643 9610 33130 7733 3141 4447 6368 5104 8833 6747 4099 5125 6033 19240 9940 9088 6723 6137 3205 7839 30660 12750 5665 7655 5625 7711 5468 5786 6273 13930 10160 8224 3264 5407 15250 8729 50000 7168 3995 10600 5611 23580 7772 3649 23160 12620 4445 14160 5612 21960 8139 8338 21750 4647 9299 6413 7341 27570 7429 8585 5497 4336 28110 6522 5992 26360 8176 9686 3374 7816 2421 6929 16290 9940 6245 7874 20530 13130 38140 18520 26640 10400 71020 39340 5110 22920 6903 7216 7814 52870 22000 13240 3872 2972 62840 8514 26840 2899 3624 6771 17190 2457 3475 7335 12980 8109 13110 4532 21150 4756 4298 1892 11830 6486 7632 27210 8899 36870 11550 12360 7452 2132 6319 9820 6848 5771 25280 10020 3121 10750 14920 4594 6401 18830 19400 7671 32940 9191 5241 25640 87 10310 3676 10990 5920 16240 9880 15140 4302 15920 12070 33970 9802 6414 9910 12700 21610 5691 11700 2877 24140 6574 7543 4999 22340 7048 5760 7573 8103 1774 1983 27510 35510 5878 3521 5695 26240 5638 7216 46530 262 15830 16260 15740 6254 5349 5052 6185 7594 16390 1836 5639 7841 4865 21630 5725 5008 6377 9679 5642 8938 12420 15860 15200 24300 7773 8336 18090 8870 5765 6266 4018 24090 16600 21280 5542 4094 23940 5774 16650 13580 18100 12080 20630 5855 5739 3202 11720 10140 5774 3502 11650 6679 18200 8359 4469 6564 1189 30760 19380 5960 5108 7666 5501 28390 26670 26150 24250 19560 8063 8412 6137 8151 5236 8684 6869 1241 5266 9486 4893 9589 4362 6806 15690 33620 18510 5200 8951 26080 7214 9051 25640 6403 5575 11910 6643 11390 7421 5739 13570
2021-06-28 8756 6797 3071 5300 8858 4177 8769 6125 1924 16070 8602 10040 10000 12360 3971 24180 31880 21080 4608 17960 8712 8494 8966 15460 23370 23090 108900 7635 23250 10820 6230 6167 33610 5278 26840 7633 54280 11070 6971 30040 7133 12770 16060 33840 6178 25450 6607 9384 7630 11610 20190 13630 16440 6375 15500 7347 10710 27130 8699 11000 8469 7869 17250 1854 13350 13100 4512 9557 23440 24130 6425 5231 4586 9625 24620 3046 12030 4306 3363 6022 16760 2825 42840 25400 3106 8336 32600 9057 8130 10710 4514 4656 20920 3120 13590 25220 12610 8044 27900 4672 9740 33200 7795 3141 4461 6413 5116 8874 6757 4168 5142 6075 19280 9960 9093 6725 6155 3213 7857 30690 12770 5682 7677 5666 7759 5483 5790 6277 14060 10190 8236 3270 5433 15350 8749 50260 7202 4000 10620 5617 23630 7772 3660 23230 12660 4460 14200 5637 22010 8139 8369 21780 4654 9326 6427 7361 27600 7437 8606 5507 4384 28150 6532 6005 26390 8181 9747 3396 7817 2429 6931 16350 9980 6248 7877 20560 13140 38260 18600 26730 10450 71420 39400 5124 22970 6919 7233 7830 53150 22020 13270 3872 2983 63260 8527 26870 2907 3633 6773 17220 2468 3480 7364 12980 8125 13140 4599 21190 4774 4302 1898 11840 6508 7640 27380 8922 36920 11560 12400 7488 2137 6335 9890 6875 5782 25420 10030 3123 10780 15050 4606 6417 18850 19500 7682 33060 9210 5253 25750 88 10360 3676 11010 5978 16260 9910 15180 4307 15980 12120 34020 9831 6416 9927 12790 21630 5728 11750 2894 24270 6584 7567 5007 22380 7068 5766 7609 8106 1780 1983 27690 35560 5902 3565 5703 26350 5659 7227 46660 262 15880 16280 15780 6269 5383 5056 6206 7611 16470 1845 5644 7841 4881 21760 5725 5013 6377 9739 5656 8950 12490 15900 15220 24390 7780 8362 18150 8888 5773 6277 4043 24170 16640 21340 5560 4109 24080 5783 16680 13580 18130 12090 20730 5893 5742 3212 11750 10140 5792 3539 11660 6679 18200 8380 4485 6571 1201 30840 19490 5974 5121 7675 5506 28510 26690 26210 24350 19670 8137 8419 6160 8164 5239 8706 6878 1242 5310 9494 4893 9667 4366 6806 15770 33800 18580 5215 8972 26140 7224 9063 25670 6410 5588 11940 6654 11420 7465 5745 13640
2021-06-29 8832 6845 3078 5317 8878 4220 8778 6134 1945 16080 8614 10050 10000 12360 3971 24200 31940 21150 4627 17980 8738 8506 8992 15500 23380 23120 109200 7655 23380 10880 6232 6180 33730 5289 26900 7639 54470 11080 6971 30070 7146 12770 16130 33950 6182 25480 6627 9398 7654 11680 20300 13640 16520 6412 15560 7361 10750 27180 8731 11010 8470 7888 17290 1854 13370 13120 4551 9575 23500 24210 6441 5243 4600 9683 24960 3058 12060 4324 3374 6024 16880 2833 43150 25470 3117 8353 32640 9079 8157 10710 4528 4671 20970 3123 13640 25270 12650 8055 27950 4699 9860 33270 7854 3141 4474 6458 5128 8912 6767 4234 5162 6115 19320 9970 9098 6729 6170 3221 7874 30720 12790 5699 7699 5705 7804 5495 5795 6283 14190 10220 8246 3276 5457 15430 8774 50510 7244 4005 10640 5620 23670 7774 3671 23310 12690 4475 14230 5659 22050 8139 8398 21810 4660 9351 6442 7380 27630 7445 8623 5522 4428 28200 6542 6015 26420 8189 9803 3418 7818 2436 6933 16400 10020 6250 7881 20580 13150 38350 18670 26820 10500 71780 39480 5136 23020 6935 7245 7845 53360 22040 13300 3872 2993 63680 8544 26900 2915 3645 6775 17240 2478 3486 7390 12990 8140 13160 4661 21230 4791 4307 1904 11840 6518 7652 27540 8937 36970 11560 12440 7524 2143 6347 9960 6903 5793 25540 10050 3126 10810 15170 4619 6431 18860 19600 7692 33170 9229 5265 25850 88 10410 3678 11050 6034 16280 9930 15210 4312 16040 12170 34060 9858 6418 9942 12870 21650 5763 11800 2910 24370 6597 7597 5013 22420 7087 5773 7645 8112 1785 1983 27850 35610 5925 3605 5720 26460 5679 7239 46780 262 15930 16300 15830 6282 5414 5061 6227 7627 16540 1853 5649 7843 4897 21870 5728 5018 6378 9794 5669 8961 12550 15940 15240 24470 7787 8387 18210 8905 5787 6287 4066 24250 16670 21390 5581 4124 24200 5791 16710 13580 18150 12110 20820 5931 5746 3222 11790 10150 5803 3574 11660 6685 18210 8399 4501 6577 1213 30910 19580 5994 5132 7684 5513 28620 26720 26260 24450 19770 8206 8428 6177 8176 5242 8727 6887 1243 5352 9508 4893 9739 4371 6811 15840 33980 18650 5230 8992 26200 7234 9079 25700 6418 5598 11960 6665 11450 7507 5752 13710
2021-06-30 8910 6895 3086 5331 8898 4263 8788 6143 1967 16090 8630 10060 10010 12370 3971 24220 32000 21220 4647 17990 8764 8519 9018 15530 23400 23140 109500 7675 23500 10940 6235 6192 33850 5300 26960 7651 54660 11100 6972 30100 7158 12780 16200 34060 6185 25500 6647 9412 7678 11730 20410 13650 16610 6449 15610 7369 10780 27230 8763 11020 8473 7906 17320 1854 13390 13140 4589 9594 23580 24290 6456 5258 4615 9744 25300 3070 12090 4343 3384 6027 17020 2842 43450 25550 3128 8370 32670 9101 8193 10720 4542 4687 21010 3126 13680 25330 12680 8066 27990 4727 9980 33320 7912 3142 4489 6503 5137 8950 6778 4301 5176 6156 19360 9990 9101 6733 6188 3229 7892 30750 12800 5717 7721 5745 7850 5506 5799 6289 14320 10240 8253 3282 5482 15520 8805 50750 7290 4008 10660 5625 23710 7782 3682 23380 12720 4489 14270 5680 22100 8139 8427 21850 4667 9377 6456 7399 27660 7453 8643 5541 4472 28240 6553 6027 26460 8197 9874 3440 7818 2443 6935 16450 10060 6255 7886 20600 13170 38440 18730 26910 10540 72100 39540 5146 23070 6951 7262 7860 53620 22070 13330 3874 3004 64030 8554 26930 2923 3655 6777 17270 2489 3491 7410 12990 8156 13190 4722 21260 4809 4312 1910 11840 6534 7661 27710 8956 37020 11570 12470 7560 2149 6361 10020 6938 5804 25670 10060 3128 10850 15300 4631 6446 18880 19690 7703 33280 9247 5277 25970 89 10450 3682 11080 6090 16300 9960 15260 4317 16120 12220 34110 9886 6422 9960 12950 21670 5797 11850 2925 24480 6607 7629 5017 22450 7106 5781 7681 8118 1791 1983 27980 35670 5948 3645 5730 26570 5699 7250 46880 262 15970 16320 15880 6297 5446 5067 6248 7643 16620 1862 5654 7849 4914 21960 5731 5024 6387 9849 5682 8971 12610 15980 15260 24550 7795 8412 18260 8923 5798 6298 4090 24330 16700 21440 5593 4139 24310 5799 16730 13590 18160 12130 20890 5964 5750 3232 11820 10150 5822 3610 11670 6692 18220 8416 4515 6584 1225 30980 19670 6009 5144 7693 5520 28760 26740 26310 24530 19870 8274 8436 6192 8189 5246 8748 6896 1245 5394 9520 4893 9810 4377 6817 15910 34110 18720 5244 9013 26270 7243 9096 25740 6427 5610 11980 6676 11480 7548 5759 13790
2021-07-01 8986 6949 3094 5345 8914 4305 8798 6153 1989 16100 8640 10080 10020 12390 3973 24240 32060 21290 4666 18010 8789 8530 9043 15560 23420 23170 109800 7695 23600 11000 6238 6205 33960 5309 27030 7660 54850 11110 6975 30140 7171 12780 16290 34210 6190 25520 6666 9425 7696 11780 20500 13660 16690 6486 15670 7377 10810 27280 8797 11030 8476 7925 17360 1854 13410 13160 4628 9613 23670 24390 6472 5272 4630 9814 25650 3083 12130 4362 3395 6029 17180 2851 43740 25620 3140 8387 32710 9123 8230 10730 4555 4702 21060 3130 13720 25390 12720 8077 28030 4753 10100 33400 7970 3145 4503 6549 5145 8987 6790 4367 5193 6197 19400 10010 9110 6736 6201 3238 7910 30780 12810 5735 7744 5784 7896 5523 5803 6296 14440 10270 8263 3289 5507 15620 8836 51000 7329 4016 10680 5630 23750 7793 3693 23460 12750 4503 14310 5701 22140 8139 8457 21880 4675 9403 6466 7417 27700 7462 8665 5560 4516 28290 6564 6046 26500 8215 9933 3463 7821 2450 6937 16510 10100 6259 7890 20630 13190 38540 18800 27000 10600 72450 39610 5154 23120 6967 7277 7875 53880 22100 13360 3876 3015 64410 8568 26960 2931 3664 6778 17300 2500 3497 7427 13000 8173 13210 4783 21300 4827 4316 1916 11850 6550 7671 27870 8977 37070 11570 12510 7597 2155 6374 10090 6961 5814 25800 10080 3130 10890 15430 4644 6460 18890 19790 7713 33390 9265 5290 26090 90 10500 3688 11120 6147 16310 9990 15290 4322 16190 12280 34160 9915 6426 9976 13030 21680 5831 11900 2940 24610 6620 7664 5023 22490 7125 5789 7717 8126 1796 1983 28130 35720 5970 3684 5735 26690 5718 7262 47010 262 16030 16340 15930 6308 5477 5073 6269 7659 16690 1870 5659 7855 4930 22070 5735 5031 6399 9902 5693 8986 12680 16020 15280 24630 7803 8438 18310 8940 5819 6308 4114 24420 16740 21490 5614 4153 24430 5807 16760 13590 18180 12140 20990 6003 5755 3242 11850 10160 5836 3645 11670 6701 18230 8435 4530 6590 1236 31060 19780 6026 5156 7702 5528 28880 26780 26370 24610 19960 8341 8445 6209 8202 5249 8769 6909 1246 5436 9541 4897 9880 4385 6828 15980 34270 18800 5259 9034 26360 7252 9115 25770 6436 5624 12010 6687 11510 7589 5765 13860
2021-07-02 9067 7003 3101 5352 8930 4347 8807 6162 2012 16110 8652 10100 10030 12400 3976 24260 32120 21370 4686 18030 8815 8542 9071 15590 23450 23190 110100 7716 23680 11060 6241 6218 34060 5322 27100 7674 55040 11120 6978 30180 7183 12790 16360 34340 6193 25550 6685 9439 7710 11830 20590 13670 16760 6523 15730 7386 10840 27330 8830 11030 8479 7944 17390 1854 13430 13180 4667 9632 23750 24470 6487 5284 4645 9855 25990 3096 12160 4381 3405 6034 17290 2861 44020 25700 3152 8404 32740 9144 8265 10730 4569 4717 21100 3134 13770 25450 12750 8088 28060 4780 10220 33460 8028 3148 4518 6596 5153 9024 6802 4434 5201 6238 19440 10020 9116 6740 6220 3246 7928 30810 12830 5753 7767 5824 7941 5534 5809 6303 14560 10300 8271 3296 5531 15720 8863 51260 7367 4021 10700 5634 23800 7804 3705 23530 12780 4517 14350 5721 22190 8139 8486 21910 4682 9429 6477 7436 27730 7472 8684 5574 4559 28330 6575 6055 26530 8224 9984 3486 7824 2456 6940 16560 10140 6262 7894 20650 13210 38620 18870 27090 10640 72800 39670 5164 23180 6983 7291 7891 54080 22130 13390 3879 3025 64650 8579 26990 2939 3674 6780 17330 2510 3502 7449 13000 8189 13240 4843 21340 4844 4322 1922 11850 6567 7678 28040 8996 37120 11570 12550 7634 2161 6387 10160 6985 5825 25920 10090 3134 10920 15560 4657 6475 18910 19880 7723 33500 9283 5302 26200 91 10550 3695 11160 6203 16330 10010 15340 4327 16250 12310 34200 9944 6430 9995 13120 21700 5865 11930 2955 24700 6630 7700 5029 22530 7145 5798 7754 8135 1801 1983 28280 35760 5993 3722 5745 26800 5737 7275 47120 262 16060 16350 15980 6320 5508 5080 6290 7675 16740 1878 5664 7863 4947 22160 5740 5038 6412 9945 5704 8997 12740 16070 15300 24720 7811 8463 18360 8958 5829 6318 4138 24500 16770 21540 5628 4168 24550 5815 16790 13600 18210 12160 21070 6043 5760 3252 11870 10160 5850 3680 11680 6710 18230 8451 4545 6597 1244 31140 19880 6037 5168 7712 5536 29010 26810 26420 24690 20030 8408 8454 6225 8215 5253 8790 6926 1248 5479 9580 4903 9950 4392 6837 16050 34450 18850 5274 9055 26450 7261 9135 25810 6446 5633 12040 6699 11540 7630 5772 13940

Confirmed count average forecast England (bold black line in graphs) 2021-06-26 to 2021-07-02

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-06-25 8514 6631 3048 5255 8795 4036 8736 6100 1868 16052 8567 9978 9995 12339 3966 24125 31680 20847 4544 17919 8624 8454 8921 15366 23339 23022 107883 7573 22878 10629 6221 6125 33297 5243 26749 7618 53656 11038 6967 30002 7091 12764 15898 33544 6171 25393 6541 9342 7559 11504 19924 13605 16193 6254 15309 7311 10620 26974 8600 10971 8465 7811 17139 1853 13313 13025 4393 9499 23296 23908 6376 5206 4541 9425 23889 3013 11916 4245 3329 6015 16422 2802 41857 25170 3074 8283 32524 8986 8048 10694 4467 4605 20789 3115 13463 25048 12512 8008 27765 4584 9341 32982 7604 3137 4419 6274 5088 8747 6725 4021 5093 5943 19158 9916 9088 6723 6109 3189 7802 30595 12718 5631 7607 5540 7610 5445 5777 6263 13641 10109 8205 3264 5350 15069 8682 49464 7135 3995 10556 5605 23490 7758 3627 22995 12560 4413 14094 5563 21868 8136 8275 21687 4634 9240 6387 7298 27495 7414 8543 5493 4231 28014 6501 5966 26318 8174 9666 3327 7815 2405 6926 16182 9844 6244 7872 20481 13110 37957 18373 26442 10313 70300 39272 5088 22803 6867 7181 7780 52353 21947 13170 3868 2949 62163 8498 26781 2883 3606 6767 17126 2435 3464 7283 12969 8075 13062 4396 21077 4718 4289 1879 11828 6448 7632 26855 8871 36761 11552 12279 7379 2120 6283 9678 6786 5748 24999 9984 3118 10708 14666 4566 6369 18798 19188 7649 32689 9151 5214 25468 87 10224 3668 10923 5802 16192 9821 15084 4291 15862 11991 33881 9744 6409 9893 12511 21574 5617 11628 2841 23913 6552 7490 4985 22264 7007 5747 7498 8093 1763 1978 27259 35385 5827 3429 5681 26008 5596 7191 46296 261 15721 16241 15672 6234 5280 5044 6140 7559 16250 1817 5639 7832 4832 21372 5720 4999 6361 9627 5622 8920 12278 15799 15162 24121 7759 8283 17972 8832 5759 6244 3965 23936 16528 21171 5518 4062 23699 5757 16595 13568 18048 12047 20497 5777 5733 3180 11657 10135 5752 3431 11640 6668 18192 8333 4437 6549 1159 30609 19211 5929 5082 7648 5490 28119 26668 26029 24088 19369 7902 8396 6107 8125 5230 8637 6862 1239 5179 9486 4886 9425 4353 6806 15537 33361 18379 5168 8907 25991 7194 9025 25561 6388 5560 11851 6620 11334 7331 5725 13403
2021-06-26 8589 6694 3055 5267 8813 4081 8747 6108 1895 16060 8580 10000 10000 12360 3972 24150 31730 20920 4561 17930 8647 8467 8950 15400 23360 23050 108200 7594 22950 10690 6224 6137 33380 5254 26820 7633 53800 11050 6970 30040 7103 12770 15960 33680 6174 25420 6556 9355 7577 11540 20000 13610 16270 6286 15360 7322 10650 27030 8634 10980 8468 7827 17180 1856 13330 13040 4427 9517 23370 24010 6391 5220 4553 9473 24210 3028 11950 4260 3338 6018 16550 2816 42140 25250 3085 8298 32570 9004 8080 10710 4477 4621 20830 3120 13510 25100 12550 8016 27800 4608 9470 33050 7658 3141 4434 6321 5095 8780 6740 4096 5105 5992 19200 9930 9093 6726 6124 3198 7823 30630 12730 5648 7622 5588 7660 5457 5782 6270 13770 10140 8213 3270 5376 15180 8706 49730 7168 3999 10570 5609 23530 7772 3645 23070 12590 4427 14140 5582 21920 8145 8310 21710 4641 9266 6403 7308 27520 7420 8562 5506 4287 28060 6514 5977 26350 8183 9720 3353 7817 2411 6929 16250 9890 6247 7875 20500 13130 38060 18440 26530 10360 70660 39330 5097 22860 6886 7195 7793 52600 21980 13200 3872 2958 62490 8509 26800 2892 3615 6769 17160 2446 3470 7306 12980 8084 13090 4462 21120 4736 4293 1886 11830 6466 7636 27060 8893 36810 11560 12320 7418 2127 6298 9740 6809 5757 25130 10000 3120 10750 14790 4580 6382 18820 19280 7658 32810 9168 5227 25570 88 10270 3676 10960 5854 16210 9850 15120 4296 15910 12030 33920 9777 6415 9906 12590 21590 5650 11660 2857 24010 6562 7531 4991 22300 7026 5758 7532 8104 1768 1984 27390 35440 5850 3466 5688 26130 5616 7205 46410 263 15760 16250 15720 6248 5309 5053 6160 7577 16310 1823 5644 7841 4851 21480 5726 5006 6378 9662 5632 8929 12340 15840 15180 24200 7767 8313 18020 8853 5769 6255 3993 24020 16560 21220 5535 4075 23810 5763 16620 13570 18070 12070 20580 5817 5739 3188 11680 10140 5770 3460 11650 6681 18200 8351 4452 6556 1170 30680 19290 5941 5094 7659 5497 28230 26690 26070 24170 19450 7974 8405 6126 8137 5234 8657 6877 1241 5222 9509 4894 9499 4360 6814 15590 33510 18440 5181 8929 26080 7201 9048 25600 6399 5568 11880 6629 11360 7367 5733 13490
2021-06-27 8658 6737 3061 5278 8824 4103 8753 6112 1915 16070 8594 10010 10010 12370 3975 24170 31770 20960 4575 17940 8661 8478 8978 15420 23370 23060 108400 7613 23040 10750 6225 6148 33480 5263 26880 7647 53920 11060 6973 30070 7113 12770 16000 33810 6176 25450 6568 9366 7595 11580 20090 13620 16330 6311 15400 7334 10670 27070 8660 10980 8469 7839 17200 1858 13340 13050 4463 9525 23440 24090 6403 5233 4560 9522 24510 3038 11980 4274 3346 6020 16680 2827 42370 25300 3096 8313 32600 9020 8110 10710 4481 4636 20860 3122 13540 25140 12580 8021 27840 4626 9570 33090 7703 3143 4442 6357 5102 8804 6748 4155 5109 6026 19220 9940 9097 6727 6135 3208 7835 30650 12740 5659 7631 5621 7703 5464 5787 6276 13860 10160 8215 3274 5394 15260 8721 49950 7200 4001 10580 5610 23560 7778 3657 23110 12610 4433 14190 5604 21940 8152 8335 21730 4647 9280 6413 7314 27540 7429 8574 5516 4315 28090 6525 5987 26380 8189 9760 3367 7820 2414 6931 16290 9910 6249 7878 20520 13150 38130 18500 26600 10380 70940 39370 5106 22890 6897 7207 7799 52830 22000 13220 3873 2966 62760 8517 26820 2897 3621 6770 17190 2458 3473 7324 12980 8088 13110 4512 21150 4751 4297 1890 11830 6476 7638 27200 8911 36850 11560 12340 7456 2132 6308 9790 6826 5765 25240 10010 3121 10770 14900 4586 6389 18830 19360 7666 32890 9185 5235 25660 88 10290 3680 10990 5907 16220 9880 15150 4300 15970 12060 33950 9795 6417 9918 12650 21600 5687 11680 2868 24090 6567 7558 4994 22330 7040 5767 7559 8110 1772 1986 27520 35470 5860 3497 5699 26220 5637 7213 46490 264 15790 16260 15770 6259 5339 5059 6176 7586 16350 1827 5647 7846 4869 21580 5729 5011 6387 9696 5637 8936 12380 15880 15200 24250 7770 8334 18070 8863 5777 6261 4006 24100 16580 21250 5546 4087 23900 5770 16650 13580 18090 12080 20670 5842 5742 3193 11710 10140 5785 3486 11650 6687 18210 8362 4459 6559 1182 30720 19360 5950 5101 7668 5502 28300 26710 26120 24230 19520 8014 8412 6140 8145 5237 8677 6890 1243 5254 9520 4897 9552 4364 6814 15630 33640 18490 5187 8942 26160 7207 9062 25620 6403 5576 11890 6635 11380 7400 5739 13540
2021-06-28 8754 6782 3068 5289 8837 4141 8759 6116 1939 16070 8607 10020 10020 12390 3978 24190 31820 21010 4589 17950 8675 8490 9018 15450 23390 23080 108700 7632 23160 10810 6227 6159 33580 5273 26950 7664 54050 11060 6977 30110 7123 12780 16060 33950 6178 25470 6582 9377 7616 11640 20190 13630 16390 6338 15450 7344 10690 27110 8686 10990 8470 7852 17220 1861 13360 13060 4499 9534 23510 24190 6416 5246 4568 9576 24890 3051 12010 4288 3355 6022 16820 2837 42620 25370 3107 8329 32640 9037 8145 10720 4485 4651 20890 3125 13580 25170 12610 8026 27870 4647 9670 33140 7762 3146 4452 6403 5111 8830 6757 4220 5116 6062 19240 9950 9102 6730 6149 3218 7847 30680 12760 5674 7639 5656 7745 5473 5793 6282 13960 10190 8220 3281 5411 15350 8735 50170 7235 4006 10590 5612 23590 7783 3669 23150 12640 4441 14230 5625 21970 8159 8367 21740 4656 9294 6424 7321 27570 7441 8586 5528 4349 28130 6536 5999 26420 8197 9830 3385 7822 2417 6934 16340 9930 6252 7881 20530 13160 38230 18560 26690 10410 71300 39430 5115 22940 6910 7220 7805 53060 22020 13250 3875 2974 63100 8526 26840 2903 3628 6771 17220 2468 3476 7344 12990 8092 13130 4564 21180 4767 4301 1894 11830 6491 7643 27350 8931 36900 11560 12360 7496 2138 6319 9850 6846 5773 25350 10020 3123 10800 15010 4595 6398 18850 19440 7674 32980 9202 5243 25760 89 10320 3686 11030 5963 16230 9910 15190 4303 16030 12090 33990 9815 6420 9932 12710 21610 5721 11710 2880 24190 6572 7589 4999 22360 7054 5775 7588 8119 1777 1988 27690 35500 5873 3530 5709 26320 5658 7222 46580 264 15830 16280 15820 6273 5370 5065 6194 7598 16410 1832 5652 7853 4887 21690 5731 5017 6397 9751 5645 8945 12430 15930 15210 24300 7775 8354 18130 8875 5785 6268 4026 24180 16610 21290 5560 4099 23990 5777 16670 13580 18110 12100 20760 5868 5746 3199 11740 10150 5801 3512 11650 6695 18220 8376 4468 6561 1192 30770 19450 5960 5109 7678 5507 28390 26730 26170 24310 19590 8054 8420 6155 8154 5240 8697 6905 1244 5291 9538 4901 9607 4370 6818 15680 33790 18540 5195 8958 26260 7212 9080 25640 6409 5586 11910 6644 11400 7433 5744 13600
2021-06-29 8807 6825 3075 5302 8851 4182 8766 6121 1960 16080 8620 10030 10020 12400 3981 24210 31880 21060 4600 17960 8689 8501 9056 15470 23400 23090 109000 7651 23280 10870 6229 6170 33690 5283 27020 7678 54190 11070 6980 30150 7133 12780 16110 34090 6180 25500 6595 9389 7636 11700 20290 13630 16460 6366 15490 7357 10720 27140 8713 10990 8471 7866 17250 1863 13370 13070 4538 9542 23590 24280 6429 5259 4575 9629 25130 3064 12040 4302 3364 6025 16950 2848 42850 25430 3118 8348 32670 9054 8176 10730 4489 4665 20930 3129 13630 25210 12650 8032 27910 4668 9790 33210 7820 3149 4462 6445 5122 8857 6767 4291 5127 6099 19260 9960 9107 6733 6161 3227 7860 30710 12770 5690 7648 5690 7784 5482 5798 6288 14060 10220 8225 3287 5431 15430 8749 50420 7273 4011 10600 5612 23620 7790 3681 23200 12660 4449 14270 5644 22010 8165 8399 21750 4663 9309 6435 7327 27590 7448 8598 5542 4381 28170 6546 6008 26450 8206 9890 3403 7824 2420 6937 16380 9960 6255 7886 20540 13180 38310 18620 26780 10450 71650 39510 5125 22980 6924 7232 7811 53280 22040 13280 3878 2983 63460 8537 26860 2909 3636 6772 17250 2479 3480 7364 13000 8098 13150 4615 21200 4784 4304 1900 11840 6502 7650 27500 8948 36950 11570 12390 7535 2144 6329 9910 6867 5781 25480 10030 3125 10830 15130 4603 6407 18860 19520 7682 33070 9218 5253 25850 90 10350 3692 11060 6019 16240 9940 15220 4305 16090 12120 34020 9836 6423 9946 12790 21620 5755 11730 2892 24290 6579 7622 5002 22390 7068 5784 7618 8127 1782 1990 27850 35530 5886 3561 5723 26420 5678 7231 46680 265 15860 16290 15870 6287 5403 5071 6212 7611 16460 1836 5656 7860 4905 21790 5737 5025 6410 9801 5652 8951 12480 15970 15230 24370 7780 8376 18180 8889 5797 6276 4044 24270 16630 21320 5577 4113 24100 5785 16700 13590 18120 12130 20850 5896 5750 3204 11770 10150 5816 3541 11660 6703 18230 8390 4477 6563 1206 30820 19530 5973 5117 7688 5513 28460 26750 26210 24390 19670 8098 8428 6168 8162 5244 8718 6920 1245 5328 9553 4906 9670 4376 6824 15730 33950 18590 5203 8976 26340 7218 9099 25660 6417 5594 11930 6651 11430 7465 5750 13660
2021-06-30 8874 6863 3082 5313 8863 4213 8773 6125 1982 16080 8634 10040 10030 12420 3984 24220 31930 21110 4610 17970 8703 8512 9090 15500 23420 23110 109300 7671 23400 10930 6231 6179 33800 5293 27090 7695 54310 11070 6984 30190 7143 12790 16160 34220 6183 25520 6605 9400 7654 11760 20400 13640 16520 6394 15530 7367 10740 27190 8742 11000 8472 7880 17270 1866 13380 13080 4575 9551 23660 24380 6442 5273 4583 9685 25360 3077 12070 4316 3373 6028 17110 2860 43140 25490 3130 8363 32710 9072 8209 10740 4493 4680 20970 3132 13670 25250 12670 8037 27940 4691 9890 33270 7869 3152 4471 6485 5131 8882 6778 4347 5133 6131 19280 9980 9111 6735 6176 3237 7874 30730 12780 5704 7661 5725 7825 5491 5803 6295 14140 10240 8229 3293 5451 15510 8764 50660 7311 4014 10610 5614 23650 7798 3693 23250 12680 4457 14310 5662 22040 8172 8429 21770 4670 9325 6445 7333 27610 7462 8611 5557 4413 28200 6559 6018 26490 8214 9960 3419 7826 2423 6939 16430 9990 6258 7891 20560 13200 38400 18690 26870 10480 71950 39580 5134 23020 6935 7245 7817 53520 22060 13300 3880 2990 63770 8544 26880 2915 3644 6773 17280 2490 3484 7383 13000 8104 13170 4667 21230 4800 4308 1905 11840 6516 7656 27650 8967 36990 11570 12410 7576 2149 6339 9970 6891 5789 25590 10040 3127 10870 15240 4611 6415 18880 19590 7690 33160 9236 5263 25960 90 10370 3699 11090 6067 16250 9970 15260 4308 16160 12150 34050 9858 6427 9960 12850 21630 5788 11760 2903 24390 6585 7656 5005 22430 7083 5794 7647 8136 1787 1994 27980 35550 5900 3592 5733 26510 5699 7241 46760 266 15900 16300 15920 6299 5437 5078 6228 7623 16520 1840 5661 7869 4923 21870 5741 5031 6422 9853 5661 8957 12530 16020 15250 24430 7785 8398 18230 8901 5808 6283 4061 24350 16660 21360 5594 4128 24200 5796 16720 13590 18140 12150 20930 5925 5754 3210 11800 10150 5833 3576 11660 6712 18240 8401 4484 6566 1214 30880 19600 5985 5125 7698 5519 28550 26770 26260 24470 19740 8138 8436 6181 8172 5247 8737 6935 1246 5358 9565 4911 9724 4384 6829 15780 34080 18640 5212 8991 26440 7223 9118 25680 6426 5605 11950 6660 11450 7499 5756 13720
2021-07-01 8950 6906 3088 5324 8873 4246 8780 6130 2005 16090 8648 10050 10030 12440 3987 24240 31980 21170 4621 17980 8717 8523 9128 15520 23440 23120 109600 7691 23510 10990 6233 6189 33910 5303 27160 7710 54440 11080 6988 30230 7154 12790 16220 34360 6186 25550 6616 9412 7674 11810 20490 13650 16590 6422 15580 7377 10760 27240 8766 11000 8474 7895 17300 1868 13390 13090 4610 9560 23740 24480 6455 5286 4591 9747 25630 3090 12100 4331 3384 6030 17270 2871 43370 25560 3141 8377 32750 9090 8244 10740 4498 4695 21010 3136 13710 25290 12710 8043 27980 4712 9990 33320 7924 3156 4481 6527 5137 8909 6787 4405 5140 6165 19300 9990 9117 6738 6187 3247 7888 30760 12790 5718 7673 5760 7865 5500 5807 6301 14230 10270 8233 3298 5471 15590 8779 50880 7351 4018 10620 5615 23680 7806 3705 23310 12700 4466 14360 5680 22070 8178 8455 21780 4678 9342 6455 7338 27630 7471 8623 5572 4447 28240 6569 6031 26520 8225 10030 3434 7829 2426 6942 16480 10020 6262 7895 20570 13220 38480 18750 26950 10520 72290 39640 5143 23060 6947 7259 7823 53760 22080 13320 3883 2998 64110 8551 26900 2922 3652 6774 17310 2501 3488 7402 13010 8111 13190 4719 21260 4818 4311 1910 11840 6528 7659 27800 8983 37050 11570 12430 7616 2155 6349 10020 6911 5798 25690 10060 3128 10900 15350 4620 6424 18890 19670 7698 33250 9255 5273 26050 91 10400 3706 11130 6121 16260 9990 15290 4311 16230 12180 34080 9881 6430 9972 12920 21640 5822 11780 2916 24480 6592 7691 5007 22460 7099 5803 7679 8146 1792 1997 28140 35580 5914 3625 5741 26620 5719 7251 46860 267 15940 16310 15970 6311 5468 5085 6242 7634 16560 1845 5664 7879 4941 21960 5746 5039 6437 9900 5669 8964 12580 16060 15260 24490 7789 8419 18280 8913 5821 6291 4079 24440 16690 21390 5612 4145 24300 5804 16750 13600 18150 12170 21020 5954 5759 3216 11820 10160 5849 3605 11670 6722 18250 8416 4492 6567 1223 30930 19680 5996 5133 7708 5524 28620 26800 26310 24550 19820 8178 8444 6194 8180 5251 8757 6953 1248 5393 9583 4916 9777 4391 6835 15830 34200 18690 5219 9007 26520 7229 9138 25700 6436 5615 11970 6670 11470 7533 5761 13780
2021-07-02 9004 6953 3095 5333 8884 4276 8787 6136 2027 16090 8661 10060 10040 12450 3991 24260 32020 21220 4632 17990 8732 8535 9164 15540 23450 23140 109800 7711 23610 11050 6235 6198 34000 5313 27230 7726 54560 11090 6992 30270 7165 12800 16270 34490 6188 25580 6627 9424 7692 11850 20580 13660 16650 6448 15620 7388 10780 27270 8794 11000 8475 7910 17320 1870 13410 13100 4647 9569 23800 24570 6468 5297 4598 9793 25940 3102 12130 4346 3393 6034 17400 2883 43630 25620 3153 8391 32790 9107 8277 10750 4503 4710 21040 3140 13750 25330 12740 8048 28010 4732 10080 33370 7968 3159 4491 6566 5142 8933 6796 4470 5144 6199 19320 10000 9122 6740 6200 3256 7902 30790 12800 5729 7683 5796 7907 5508 5815 6306 14320 10300 8237 3304 5489 15680 8794 51110 7384 4020 10630 5616 23710 7813 3717 23360 12720 4475 14400 5698 22100 8185 8484 21800 4686 9360 6466 7344 27660 7480 8636 5586 4473 28280 6580 6039 26560 8233 10090 3450 7831 2430 6945 16530 10040 6264 7899 20580 13240 38560 18810 27030 10550 72620 39700 5152 23100 6959 7271 7830 53990 22110 13340 3886 3006 64390 8557 26920 2928 3660 6775 17340 2511 3492 7422 13020 8116 13210 4771 21300 4835 4315 1915 11840 6541 7662 27960 9000 37090 11580 12460 7654 2161 6357 10070 6927 5806 25800 10070 3130 10920 15460 4630 6432 18910 19750 7706 33330 9276 5284 26140 92 10430 3713 11170 6164 16270 10020 15330 4313 16290 12210 34120 9904 6434 9985 12970 21650 5855 11800 2928 24560 6598 7726 5009 22490 7114 5811 7708 8154 1796 2000 28280 35600 5927 3652 5752 26720 5739 7260 46950 268 15970 16320 16020 6323 5499 5092 6260 7644 16610 1850 5668 7887 4958 22050 5750 5047 6449 9935 5676 8969 12630 16110 15280 24550 7794 8441 18330 8926 5831 6299 4095 24520 16710 21420 5627 4159 24400 5812 16770 13600 18170 12190 21100 5979 5763 3220 11850 10160 5864 3630 11670 6731 18260 8428 4500 6569 1232 30970 19760 6004 5139 7718 5528 28680 26810 26350 24620 19880 8222 8453 6206 8188 5254 8776 6968 1249 5424 9599 4922 9831 4398 6840 15870 34340 18730 5227 9023 26610 7234 9155 25720 6444 5624 11990 6676 11500 7566 5768 13840

Data issues

    There is an issue with the reported local authority data: the last few (usually three) observations show no change. To handle this, we remove the last two observations. This then reflect the reporting delay of the data, but also implies that we cannot precisely distinguish between a count of zero cases and a delayed count.
    The forecasts from 2020-10-11 use a four day delay (so ignoring the last four days of reported cases), to reflect delays in reporting data in many areas. Otherwise we use a two day delay.

    The following graph illustrates the issue for two districts:

Further information

  • We believe these forecasts fill a useful gap in the short run. They give an indication of what is likely to happen in the next few days, removing some aspect of surprise. Moreover, a noticeable drop in comparison to the extrapolations could be an indication that the implemented policies are having some impact. It is difficult to understand exponential growth. We hope that these forecasts may help to convince viewers to adhere to the policies implemented by their respective governments, and keep all arguments factual and measured.
  • We use the data repository for the 2019 Novel Coronavirus Visual Dashboard operated by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering. This is updated daily, but we tend to update our forecasts only every other day.
    US state data as of 2020-03-28 is courtesy of the New York Times.
  • We can only provide forecasts of what is measured. If confirmed cases are an underestimate of actual cases, then our forecasts will also be underestimates. No other epidemiological data is used. Data definition and collection differs between countries and may change over time.
  • We will update the methodology as we learn what is happening in the next few days or weeks. Once the number of cases levels off, there is no need to provide these forecasts anymore.
  • Countries where the counts are very low or stable have been omitted.
  • The graphs have dates on the horizontal axis (yyyy-mm-dd) and cumulative counts on the vertical axis. They show
    1. bold dark grey line (with circles): observed counts (Johns Hopkins CSSE);
    2. many light grey lines (with open circles): forecasts using different model settings and starting up to four periods back;
    3. red line (with open circles): single forecasts path using default model settings;
    4. black line (with crosses): average of all forecasts, recentered on the last observation;
    5. thin green lines: some indication of uncertainty around the red forecasts, but we do not know how reliable that is.
    Both the red line forecasts and the black lines are also given in the tables above. These forecasts differ, we are currently inclined to use the average forecasts.
  • The forecasts are constructed as follows:
    1. An overall `trend' is extracted by taking a window of the data at a time. In each window we draw `straight lines' which are selected using an automatic econometric procedure (`machine learning'). All straight lines are collected and averaged, giving the trend.
    2. Forecasts are made using the estimated trend, but we note that this must be done carefully, because simply extrapolating the flexible insample trend would lead to wildly fluctuating forecast. We use the `Cardt' method, which has been found to work well in other settings.
    3. Residuals from the trend are also forecast, and combined with trend forecasts into an overall forecast.
  • Scenario forecasts are constructed very differently: smooth versions of the Chinese experience are matched at different lag lengths with the path of each country. This probably works best from the peak, or the slowdown just before (but we include it for the UK nonetheless).
  • The forecast evaluation shows past forecasts, together with the outcomes (in the grey line with circles).
  • EU-BS is Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania together.
  • This paper describes the methodology and gives further references. Also available as Nuffield Economics Discussion Paper 2020-W06. Still preliminary is the documentation of the medium term forecasts.

Recent changes and notes

[2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.
[2021-01-07]Slideshow of forecasts, errors, and actuals 2020-06-30 to 2021-01-02: how England lost the battle.
[2020-10-27]Statistical short-term forecasting of the COVID-19 Pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now published at the Journal of Clinical Immunology and Immunotherapy. open access
[2020-10-11]Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now in press at the International Journal of Forecasting. open access
[2020-10-10]Removed forecasts from the Chinese scenarios, while investigating possibility to use own history from the first wave.
Added information on the previous peak (if present) to the peak tables.
Local forecasts for England: now dropping last four observations.
[2020-07-01] Modified the short-term model to allow for (slowly changing) seasonality. Many countries show clear seasonality after the initial period, likely caused by institutional factors regarding data collection. This seasonality was also getting in the way of peak detection. As a consequence estimates of the peak date may have changed for countries with strong seasonality.
Added forecasts of cumulative confirmed cases for lower tier local authorities of England. The data is available from 2020-07-02 including all tests (pillar one and two). Only authorities with more than 5 cases in the previous week are included.
[2020-06-29] Tables in April included the world, but not the world as we know it (double counting China and the US). So removed the world from those old tables.
Why short-term forecasts can be better than models for predicting how pandemics evolve just appeared at The Conversation.
Thursday 2 July webinar at the FGV EESP - São Paolo School of Economics. This starts at 16:00 UK time (UTC+01:00) and streamed here.