COVID-19 short-term forecasts Confirmed 2021-06-30 lower tier local authorities of England (with more than 5 cases in the previous week).


General information

  • Forecasts produced by Jennie Castle, Jurgen Doornik, and David Hendry, researchers at the University of Oxford. These are our forecasts, and should not be considered official forecasts from, or endorsed by, any of: University of Oxford, Oxford Martin School, Nuffield College, or Magdalen College.
  • These forecasts are short term time-series extrapolations of the data. They are not based on epidemiological modelling or simulations. All forecasts are uncertain: their success can only be determined afterwards. Many mitigation strategies are in place, which, if successful, invalidate our forecasts. An explanation of our methods is provided below.
  • A list of notes is below. The most recent note:
    [2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.

Forecasts for districts of England, one week ahead from 2021-06-30

Peak increase in estimated trend of Confirmed in England 2021-06-30

Aberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterComhairle nan Eilean SiarConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
Peak date (mm-dd)12-2812-2712-2712-2612-272021-05-252021-03-2512-2707-212021-03-2512-2112-2712-0812-2112-232021-06-1512-2310-1312-2712-232021-01-022021-01-1112-302021-05-0912-2612-2212-292021-06-1712-2712-2912-072021-01-072021-05-1011-132021-01-012021-06-1510-2412-2212-2712-2712-1412-0612-2812-3012-2512-2112-2612-2212-3012-3012-2712-0710-2812-2112-272021-06-1412-0812-0612-2712-0812-2112-222021-06-0110-2812-3012-22 --12-2512-2212-212021-01-0312-2112-21 -- --2021-01-0412-262021-01-0512-2912-2612-2712-2912-24 --12-2712-2812-2712-2712-21 --12-2112-2112-282021-01-022021-02-2512-2110-1412-2712-0712-2612-222021-06-1512-2707-2112-2412-2910-0412-2412-2111-092021-06-1312-2607-2110-3112-2712-3012-2812-2112-2612-2212-2512-2112-222021-01-0609-272021-06-1412-2312-2712-22 --12-2512-1812-252021-01-04 --12-2610-0412-2112-2812-2112-2112-2712-212021-06-1512-2212-2712-2812-212021-06-1612-2112-2812-2712-2812-2112-232021-06-1512-2712-1312-2912-22 -- --2021-05-2512-3012-2212-2612-212021-01-0112-2112-2812-2112-2712-2212-2812-2812-2511-0112-212021-05-2312-2712-29 --11-022021-01-0312-2112-2712-2711-0212-2112-262021-05-3112-2212-2112-3112-292021-01-0212-2211-012021-01-0712-0812-2112-2112-2112-2212-212021-03-2512-312021-06-1312-2212-2712-0607-212021-03-1812-2812-292021-01-0311-0312-2712-0612-2707-2112-0812-27 --12-2612-2110-0411-0112-2112-29 -- --2021-01-0412-27 --2021-01-0112-2912-2911-0212-2807-21 --12-282021-06-1312-272021-01-062021-01-062021-01-0112-062021-01-0412-2912-2112-312021-01-052021-05-2310-0412-0612-282021-06-1712-2712-2812-10 --12-1310-1812-3012-2812-2712-252021-01-262021-01-0212-2912-292021-01-0312-232021-06-1712-3112-2912-2211-0207-2112-3012-2512-2512-2112-2912-2112-2112-2812-2612-252021-01-0412-2211-0910-0412-2112-222021-05-252021-01-0312-2812-27 --12-212021-06-1412-2812-262021-06-1312-2512-252021-05-2512-2211-0712-2812-2711-0112-2112-23 --12-2712-2112-0712-0212-2512-29 --12-2612-302021-01-0412-2712-21 --12-2112-1912-2212-2312-2812-06 --12-21 --12-2212-2612-0812-21 --12-2712-272021-06-0112-2511-0212-212021-06-1612-2112-2712-2612-2012-1310-0411-0212-072021-06-1512-2212-2312-2212-2712-2912-2212-2212-2812-2712-2212-272021-01-0112-2812-2512-3112-2112-3012-2611-02
Peak daily increment 92 102 61 88 97 43 77 73 119 106 170 110 171 178 78 29 589 189 58 326 128 110 108 52 252 426 1250 22 157 65 95 58 208 50 484 19 434 228 107 524 155 233 307 320 107 508 94 186 62 122 123 211 137 99 256 15 148 354 172 194 175 107 27 40 90 268 197 249 283 59 91 71 20 243 5 35 53 94 285 34 288 38 181 598 151 189 72 58 246 27 170 248 187 118 322 119 161 536 308 60 52 71 76 160 106 148 51 235 204 102 163 147 107 56 146 593 273 97 74 80 72 90 73 94 150 125 54 38 82 597 92 56 180 92 451 119 27 377 219 59 201 23 401 172 103 338 101 106 25 120 476 101 159 25 57 116 452 143 83 74 134 18 237 275 148 70 100 283 198 72 311 428 1449 284 104 456 71 230 102 727 32 200 90 36 368 92 419 25 46 106 298 37 62 153 186 27 213 94 361 79 62 66 23 105 63 122 85 723 190 212 192 23 50 105 51 394 105 58 122 55 277 121 224 90 68 123 3 44 48 58 154 120 207 43 102 174 623 105 81 19 151 286 52 53 39 132 139 96 198 80 85 59 174 36 25 162 450 42 83 17 403 65 131 573 25 209 244 167 97 42 111 102 69 181 27 42 86 72 448 95 79 13 80 66 102 247 21 450 131 32 219 94 23 112 26 189 138 197 66 42 105 331 189 270 181 123 109 46 141 352 90 138 122 360 139 50 101 559 90 110 120 84 329 449 57 227 259 138 29 160 65 154 87 29 78 166 42 90 67 115 217 217 265 83 148 430 106 138 377 106 115 176 95 173 71 69 594
Days since peak 184 185 185 186 185 36 97 185 344 97 191 185 204 191 189 15 189 260 185 189 179 170 182 52 186 190 183 13 185 183 205 174 51 229 180 15 249 190 185 185 198 206 184 182 187 191 186 190 182 182 185 205 245 191 185 16 204 206 185 204 191 190 29 245 182 190 187 190 191 178 191 191 177 186 176 183 186 185 183 188 185 184 185 185 191 191 191 184 179 125 191 259 185 205 186 190 15 185 344 188 183 269 188 191 233 17 186 344 242 185 182 184 191 186 190 187 191 190 175 276 16 189 185 190 187 194 187 177 186 269 191 184 191 191 185 191 15 190 185 184 191 14 191 184 185 184 191 189 15 185 199 183 190 36 182 190 186 191 180 191 184 191 185 190 184 184 187 241 191 38 185 183 240 178 191 185 185 240 191 186 30 190 191 181 183 179 190 241 174 204 191 191 191 190 191 97 181 17 190 185 206 344 104 184 183 178 239 185 206 185 344 204 185 186 191 269 241 191 183 177 185 180 183 183 240 184 344 184 17 185 175 175 180 206 177 183 191 181 176 38 269 206 184 13 185 184 202 199 255 182 184 185 187 155 179 183 183 178 189 13 181 183 190 240 344 182 187 187 191 183 191 191 184 186 187 177 190 233 269 191 190 36 178 184 185 191 16 184 186 17 187 187 36 190 235 184 185 241 191 189 185 191 205 210 187 183 186 182 177 185 191 191 193 190 189 184 206 191 190 186 204 191 185 185 29 187 240 191 14 191 185 186 192 199 269 240 205 15 190 189 190 185 183 190 190 184 185 190 185 180 184 187 181 191 182 186 240
Last total 9199 7042 3154 5354 8927 4425 8819 6203 1998 16140 8704 10138 10073 12634 4019 24312 32201 21662 4663 18115 8843 8592 9230 15575 23575 23279 110225 7704 23389 10981 6258 6201 33901 5354 27410 7739 54769 11193 7008 30324 7228 12828 16753 34864 6215 25691 6665 9447 7752 11849 20488 13742 16726 6602 15746 7399 10983 27326 8847 11065 8526 7969 17589 1870 13668 13242 4644 9677 23942 24581 6508 5323 4683 9783 26164 3123 12178 305 4349 3402 6071 17172 2897 44088 25776 3175 8447 32966 9261 8401 10817 4566 4721 21152 3210 13812 25666 12759 8092 28214 4744 10320 33459 8015 3181 4543 6676 5188 8962 6864 4518 5163 6289 19611 10141 9165 6772 6261 3264 7992 30854 12893 5801 7804 5784 8021 5535 5820 6324 14934 10358 8261 3311 5523 15964 8933 51733 7451 4055 10687 5640 23895 7935 3730 23460 12829 4565 14487 5685 22261 8267 8602 21924 4732 9520 6554 7402 27766 7532 8667 5710 4665 28330 6627 6127 26600 8300 10012 3534 7860 2460 6961 16657 10136 6292 7912 20711 13294 38731 18843 27109 10796 72807 39719 5188 23301 7065 7320 7883 54092 22241 13395 3913 3040 64281 8604 26997 2941 3664 6786 17402 2500 3502 7482 13060 8134 13403 4893 21497 4820 4352 1929 11883 6579 7785 28380 9093 37177 11609 12529 7646 2180 6390 10350 6957 5840 25893 10146 3139 11060 15520 4732 6504 18930 20014 7747 33650 9351 5291 26403 93 10990 3706 11200 6359 16373 10107 15383 4349 16234 12319 34237 10139 6486 10081 13220 21736 5779 11899 2950 24698 6648 7805 5066 22623 7172 5819 7789 8192 1820 2048 28197 35924 5987 3653 5772 26854 5760 7335 47354 269 16062 16384 16280 6340 5494 5124 6298 7692 16777 1916 5683 7936 5038 22085 5778 5092 6572 9901 5720 9019 13007 16196 15311 24756 7886 8510 18481 9038 5912 6342 4164 24667 16959 21663 5724 4237 24909 5836 16881 13677 18157 12229 21149 6170 5821 3295 11971 10240 5863 3628 11689 6759 18294 8460 4627 6610 1193 31174 20019 6070 5221 7743 5630 29117 26988 26412 24762 19902 8339 8509 6228 8238 5349 8779 6974 1262 5502 9792 4979 9924 4443 6895 15928 34565 18953 5298 9066 26952 7287 9177 25937 6539 5628 12058 6714 11612 7613 5818 14036
Last daily increment 173 117 27 26 36 87 24 22 39 26 43 37 20 75 11 55 104 212 26 45 49 39 92 54 79 55 531 28 93 76 10 20 146 17 136 21 280 43 14 88 33 24 187 330 16 64 44 25 31 79 115 34 117 75 89 22 71 95 62 19 12 49 95 1 82 51 62 46 157 147 29 30 40 78 509 15 62 0 25 23 13 161 28 534 152 12 40 104 67 88 33 18 11 69 20 85 152 43 14 82 51 252 109 84 13 34 99 19 57 33 125 21 78 100 55 21 9 41 22 43 56 50 43 44 49 80 22 11 17 312 51 13 10 28 210 57 520 66 12 27 9 79 22 14 127 74 45 96 28 79 33 89 45 18 78 38 21 76 30 22 63 93 76 38 46 63 34 59 58 19 9 7 117 82 11 11 63 48 170 117 167 128 560 110 22 126 48 42 30 393 77 57 6 21 466 28 53 14 12 5 81 18 10 57 24 17 83 105 113 20 19 11 9 26 29 365 61 101 19 56 64 11 31 193 31 23 214 50 9 95 223 44 45 28 202 18 183 76 13 221 0 164 8 36 167 58 67 59 9 72 68 93 94 17 47 147 38 33 64 21 176 22 59 12 80 39 25 76 26 10 21 222 161 26 55 12 202 34 29 242 0 70 31 152 28 34 16 34 29 137 35 8 30 50 187 16 20 50 64 22 21 189 86 45 158 39 58 111 50 41 31 45 174 110 114 51 35 322 22 59 29 18 66 138 93 22 25 73 26 20 42 13 22 21 28 46 12 9 144 192 30 35 22 45 244 86 85 166 115 104 29 26 21 24 30 40 9 67 97 25 121 26 14 90 273 137 35 28 200 24 28 85 33 20 48 28 55 63 26 128
Last week 802 481 118 107 150 462 98 119 158 98 150 178 89 329 64 210 597 907 144 219 257 152 338 245 274 302 2665 156 596 398 40 89 718 129 741 136 1270 174 41 372 148 69 942 1477 48 334 139 121 206 388 659 145 609 381 494 99 418 415 291 105 67 178 496 18 387 243 288 203 736 766 149 132 160 400 2694 130 300 3 119 79 61 872 110 2604 702 110 178 501 294 394 143 122 129 413 101 412 696 292 94 489 186 1135 558 468 52 148 464 113 250 155 571 85 404 511 252 84 55 178 83 217 291 190 189 221 313 473 105 51 71 1457 285 70 54 204 1028 282 2578 361 66 147 43 457 198 117 564 297 171 455 136 449 148 360 278 105 313 182 124 314 130 154 234 500 370 142 168 324 138 406 249 48 64 38 553 341 53 46 267 213 869 553 777 540 2925 521 109 573 221 156 126 1957 339 260 52 106 2489 130 247 71 72 21 313 75 45 226 106 72 376 572 461 116 69 58 57 153 162 1782 243 473 58 298 297 68 122 753 201 101 1059 178 27 391 995 180 151 153 945 107 1109 227 90 1059 7 848 50 330 612 204 310 351 67 431 377 411 435 88 207 825 191 188 321 130 911 112 364 91 419 195 88 342 115 60 80 1107 587 199 252 97 989 182 160 1201 13 388 154 664 117 240 93 186 158 584 108 51 116 224 828 64 107 235 327 116 109 832 450 166 737 138 260 558 234 164 108 236 810 478 540 222 185 1370 85 316 118 133 201 757 449 96 123 339 111 128 216 52 110 111 152 212 73 46 649 923 157 154 107 153 1163 352 444 769 622 530 122 143 128 125 164 132 26 371 360 110 587 95 105 464 1410 638 147 182 1063 104 178 416 171 79 240 103 307 321 105 752
Previous peak date07-2107-21 -- --10-2707-2112-2110-07 --12-21 --10-21 --10-25 --12-28 -- --10-20 -- --10-2611-0212-2110-07 --11-0212-2710-1310-13 --10-2510-15 --11-0212-2105-0310-26 -- -- -- --10-1611-02 -- -- -- --10-1209-2710-2709-02 -- --10-0112-26 -- --10-25 -- --10-1012-21 --11-02 --12-2810-2710-18 --10-20 -- --12-31 --07-2110-14 -- -- -- --10-29 --11-0210-3110-31 --10-2910-1712-27 -- --10-2110-2712-2810-01 --10-12 -- --07-2107-21 -- -- --11-0107-2110-27 -- --07-2110-27 -- -- --10-30 --10-20 --10-06 -- -- --10-18 --07-21 -- -- -- -- -- -- --10-1510-2810-1107-21 -- -- -- -- -- --2021-01-05 --09-2810-2710-1412-2110-12 --10-2710-30 -- --12-1310-29 -- --10-1712-2912-2712-2811-01 -- -- --10-1307-21 --06-11 -- -- -- -- -- --10-1310-2709-29 --2021-01-0304-1411-02 -- --10-31 --10-1209-2812-27 -- -- --11-0210-25 -- -- -- --10-15 -- -- --10-1212-2111-0307-2109-30 -- -- --12-07 -- --11-02 -- -- --09-24 -- --10-1410-26 -- --07-21 -- --10-3111-042021-01-0711-0308-0212-21 --11-0211-01 --10-24 --12-28 --12-2607-21 --11-0211-02 --11-02 -- --11-0310-2612-2207-21 --10-1112-21 --10-19 --10-11 -- -- -- --10-13 -- -- --11-0211-0210-3107-2112-2109-3010-25 -- -- --10-28 -- -- --07-21 -- --10-25 -- -- -- -- --07-21 -- --12-2010-13 --10-2412-22 --12-14 -- --12-2110-0810-2910-27 --07-2110-1810-12 -- -- --12-2210-31 -- -- -- --10-182021-01-03 -- --10-2910-1110-1812-27 -- -- -- --10-26 -- -- --12-27 -- -- -- --10-27 -- --12-1510-22 -- --12-22 -- -- -- -- --07-21 -- --07-21 --10-15 --10-1610-24 -- --09-3010-3010-11 --11-03 --10-1910-28 --10-17 -- --
Previous peak daily increment 616 365 80 295 134 40 260 61 40 477 31 75 271 233 262 1226 75 166 98 54 234 363 142 55 19 62 1197 57 72 160 31 54 87 39 60 303 294 52 35 120 54 67 83 35 57 497 129 18 69 22 77 25 164 25 206 59 226 710 39 383 25 191 31 24 30 29 56 475 43 131 72 1766 34 70 33 54 57 60 69 57 136 38 22 57 76 442 49 59 248 45 46 349 153 121 75 479 56 71 480 273 2237 61 44 109 105 87 302 25 191 2429 91 53 139 1007 82 113 40 56 68 168 1343 64 256 125 108 230 139 354 150 88 41 176 459 41 188 194 65 67 406 233 81 152 82 189 33 104 226 66 876 108 66 75 110 293 156 118 77 55 149 184 120 217 18 172 60 89 27 17 48 45 171 245 390 135 117 307 376 24 319 68 141 22 25 38 54 32 67
Low between peaks 0 -1 28 0 8 18 13 26 -44 3 8 37 20 -12 48 303 -1 55 29 19 17 23 -8 27 -19 21 68 19 34 54 12 23 -6 7 26 -1 28 -43 -38 17 -4 -18 12 39 -9 28 -31 9 53 8 34 -47 -2 -3 -13 -3 -32 -5 10 -10 8 -67 19 -4 -9 23 -7 1 22 -40 23 1 15 -120 -7 -8 19 -66 -27 15 21 -2 0 18 27 21 6 120 21 21 58 7 114 21 -25 39 6 35 -15 8 7 18 23 -9 -7 35 16 7 50 28 58 3 1 20 37 38 22 13 -13 -2 -20 -3 62 16 36 92 19 -4 -20 26 14 31 -2 24 -7 -1 28 24 -3 -6 30 38 -2 -1 43 43 -23 32 31 11 7 6 -4 -27 -12 -2 -2 -25 77 -103 19 -17 -8 8 27 12 -4

Confirmed count forecast England (bold red line in graphs) 2021-07-01 to 2021-07-07

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-06-30 9199 7042 3154 5354 8927 4425 8819 6203 1998 16140 8704 10138 10073 12634 4019 24312 32201 21662 4663 18115 8843 8592 9230 15575 23575 23279 110225 7704 23389 10981 6258 6201 33901 5354 27410 7739 54769 11193 7008 30324 7228 12828 16753 34864 6215 25691 6665 9447 7752 11849 20488 13742 16726 6602 15746 7399 10983 27326 8847 11065 8526 7969 17589 1870 13668 13242 4644 9677 23942 24581 6508 5323 4683 9783 26164 3123 12178 4349 3402 6071 17172 2897 44088 25776 3175 8447 32966 9261 8401 10817 4566 4721 21152 3210 13812 25666 12759 8092 28214 4744 10320 33459 8015 3181 4543 6676 5188 8962 6864 4518 5163 6289 19611 10141 9165 6772 6261 3264 7992 30854 12893 5801 7804 5784 8021 5535 5820 6324 14934 10358 8261 3311 5523 15964 8933 51733 7451 4055 10687 5640 23895 7935 3730 23460 12829 4565 14487 5685 22261 8267 8602 21924 4732 9520 6554 7402 27766 7532 8667 5710 4665 28330 6627 6127 26600 8300 10012 3534 7860 2460 6961 16657 10136 6292 7912 20711 13294 38731 18843 27109 10796 72807 39719 5188 23301 7065 7320 7883 54092 22241 13395 3913 3040 64281 8604 26997 2941 3664 6786 17402 2500 3502 7482 13060 8134 13403 4893 21497 4820 4352 1929 11883 6579 7785 28380 9093 37177 11609 12529 7646 2180 6390 10350 6957 5840 25893 10146 3139 11060 15520 4732 6504 18930 20014 7747 33650 9351 5291 26403 93 10990 3706 11200 6359 16373 10107 15383 4349 16234 12319 34237 10139 6486 10081 13220 21736 5779 11899 2950 24698 6648 7805 5066 22623 7172 5819 7789 8192 1820 2048 28197 35924 5987 3653 5772 26854 5760 7335 47354 269 16062 16384 16280 6340 5494 5124 6298 7692 16777 1916 5683 7936 5038 22085 5778 5092 6572 9901 5720 9019 13007 16196 15311 24756 7886 8510 18481 9038 5912 6342 4164 24667 16959 21663 5724 4237 24909 5836 16881 13677 18157 12229 21149 6170 5821 3295 11971 10240 5863 3628 11689 6759 18294 8460 4627 6610 1193 31174 20019 6070 5221 7743 5630 29117 26988 26412 24762 19902 8339 8509 6228 8238 5349 8779 6974 1262 5502 9792 4979 9924 4443 6895 15928 34565 18953 5298 9066 26952 7287 9177 25937 6539 5628 12058 6714 11612 7613 5818 14036
2021-07-01 9224 7060 3174 5364 8947 4494 8835 6221 2024 16160 8743 10180 10100 12670 4030 24350 32310 21820 4685 18160 8889 8609 9269 15610 23630 23330 110700 7727 23530 11040 6267 6217 33990 5360 27530 7768 55000 11220 7008 30380 7246 12850 16930 35040 6219 25750 6698 9464 7770 11870 20530 13770 16820 6678 15820 7422 11050 27460 8896 11090 8538 8008 17670 1873 13740 13290 4692 9714 24070 24730 6541 5348 4715 9850 26910 3139 12240 4366 3420 6079 17350 2913 44550 25920 3188 8482 33060 9320 8470 10840 4585 4740 21250 3229 13880 25800 12810 8104 28300 4780 10330 33570 8090 3194 4570 6765 5199 9005 6890 4534 5178 6368 19700 10200 9175 6784 6288 3274 8027 30900 12940 5841 7846 5835 8095 5551 5820 6334 15360 10410 8270 3312 5555 16180 8987 52170 7507 4068 10710 5649 23970 7959 3750 23560 12890 4600 14550 5707 22350 8296 8676 21970 4736 9585 6598 7420 27820 7562 8698 5742 4845 28390 6652 6166 26650 8328 10050 3578 7875 2469 6966 16750 10190 6301 7912 20760 13340 38860 18930 27240 10900 73410 39810 5208 23410 7110 7356 7906 54530 22300 13420 3920 3059 64640 8628 27040 2951 3664 6791 17460 2510 3511 7515 13080 8146 13470 4900 21590 4842 4368 1936 11890 6596 7814 28640 9118 37250 11620 12580 7693 2190 6408 10520 6991 5857 26030 10190 3139 11160 15690 4765 6524 18930 20170 7765 33840 9401 5307 26590 94 11080 3714 11220 6359 16390 10160 15430 4361 16290 12380 34310 10220 6501 10120 13360 21760 5812 11950 2970 24810 6675 7869 5082 22680 7207 5832 7850 8211 1830 2066 28360 35970 6019 3698 5784 26990 5793 7361 47600 270 16120 16380 16340 6370 5529 5140 6329 7719 16910 1916 5683 7959 5078 22230 5786 5109 6610 9950 5735 9038 13170 16270 15350 24900 7911 8550 18570 9064 5949 6365 4212 24820 17050 21760 5786 4271 25160 5847 16940 13700 18160 12280 21230 6231 5837 3315 12050 10260 5885 3705 11700 6778 18320 8489 4669 6620 1200 31280 20150 6085 5249 7764 5660 29340 27050 26480 24900 20000 8412 8532 6252 8259 5363 8802 6989 1265 5555 9880 4997 10020 4464 6908 16000 34760 19050 5330 9092 27070 7307 9201 26020 6571 5653 12110 6733 11650 7665 5836 14160
2021-07-02 9375 7105 3191 5372 8974 4536 8849 6239 2044 16180 8773 10210 10110 12710 4041 24380 32420 21970 4702 18200 8936 8629 9305 15610 23650 23390 111100 7753 23630 11070 6274 6233 34080 5373 27630 7794 55210 11240 7008 30430 7260 12860 17080 35230 6225 25790 6731 9470 7782 11900 20600 13800 16900 6748 15870 7440 11100 27550 8932 11100 8549 8043 17740 1874 13780 13330 4735 9750 24180 24830 6568 5370 4744 9890 27490 3139 12300 4367 3437 6090 17490 2924 45000 26050 3188 8516 33120 9371 8536 10860 4599 4762 21320 3245 13920 25920 12860 8111 28370 4809 10500 33680 8157 3204 4594 6837 5214 9045 6909 4635 5193 6445 19790 10250 9185 6793 6317 3274 8054 30940 12970 5875 7888 5889 8159 5567 5825 6336 15670 10460 8280 3315 5584 16390 9045 52540 7565 4076 10730 5658 24030 7981 3775 23650 12940 4629 14600 5726 22440 8324 8737 22010 4736 9646 6633 7432 27860 7585 8722 5782 4971 28430 6674 6193 26700 8347 10090 3617 7887 2478 6966 16820 10210 6308 7914 20810 13380 38960 19000 27320 10980 73950 39900 5226 23520 7151 7381 7930 54870 22360 13450 3926 3080 64990 8650 27080 2959 3673 6794 17500 2516 3520 7530 13090 8147 13530 4970 21680 4868 4381 1938 11890 6618 7837 28870 9148 37300 11630 12620 7720 2198 6425 10660 7026 5869 26180 10230 3140 11230 15850 4790 6544 18940 20260 7781 34010 9445 5324 26750 94 11210 3718 11260 6454 16420 10200 15490 4370 16330 12440 34350 10310 6511 10150 13500 21790 5851 12000 2985 24930 6698 7917 5095 22730 7238 5832 7901 8226 1836 2083 28520 36030 6050 3749 5793 27090 5824 7387 47810 270 16160 16390 16410 6392 5552 5154 6359 7744 17030 1936 5683 7975 5111 22340 5793 5121 6631 9980 5755 9053 13310 16340 15380 25020 7919 8573 18650 9096 5969 6385 4259 24940 17140 21860 5823 4303 25360 5847 16990 13720 18160 12300 21330 6270 5850 3332 12110 10270 5909 3746 11710 6795 18340 8514 4709 6626 1212 31340 20290 6099 5274 7777 5679 29550 27100 26540 25010 20090 8490 8551 6276 8279 5377 8811 7004 1265 5601 9960 5011 10100 4481 6925 16070 34980 19120 5359 9118 27200 7319 9201 26090 6602 5674 12170 6748 11680 7707 5855 14280
2021-07-03 9484 7145 3208 5385 8993 4587 8863 6257 2066 16200 8802 10250 10130 12750 4052 24410 32520 22130 4721 18230 8980 8653 9346 15630 23680 23440 111500 7775 23710 11110 6281 6248 34150 5387 27750 7820 55390 11270 7008 30480 7281 12870 17240 35400 6236 25840 6762 9480 7803 11930 20660 13820 16990 6817 15930 7456 11150 27620 8973 11120 8559 8079 17810 1876 13830 13370 4779 9786 24290 24930 6593 5394 4773 9920 27910 3142 12360 4375 3453 6101 17630 2938 45380 26170 3188 8548 33190 9424 8596 10880 4615 4783 21400 3261 13970 26030 12900 8120 28450 4838 10630 33790 8225 3214 4618 6893 5228 9086 6931 4728 5205 6516 19870 10290 9196 6800 6344 3274 8083 30990 13000 5911 7928 5940 8225 5582 5829 6341 15930 10510 8286 3318 5614 16590 9099 52900 7619 4087 10750 5665 24100 8004 3798 23730 13000 4660 14660 5746 22520 8351 8794 22060 4736 9707 6665 7446 27910 7609 8739 5821 5088 28480 6696 6223 26750 8367 10130 3654 7899 2487 6966 16900 10250 6317 7916 20860 13420 39060 19080 27420 11040 74420 39980 5243 23610 7189 7405 7952 55190 22420 13480 3933 3096 65280 8665 27120 2968 3678 6798 17550 2524 3529 7552 13110 8152 13580 5046 21760 4892 4394 1941 11890 6639 7862 29120 9182 37350 11640 12660 7754 2207 6443 10790 7059 5883 26290 10270 3140 11310 16010 4817 6563 18950 20380 7797 34190 9489 5340 26900 94 11320 3724 11280 6547 16440 10250 15550 4379 16380 12500 34410 10390 6522 10180 13630 21820 5886 12040 3001 25030 6714 7969 5109 22780 7269 5832 7954 8242 1844 2100 28650 36080 6081 3796 5806 27200 5855 7412 48010 270 16200 16400 16490 6414 5580 5168 6389 7769 17130 1956 5683 7993 5145 22460 5803 5135 6659 10020 5769 9073 13460 16410 15410 25150 7933 8602 18730 9131 5996 6405 4302 25060 17220 21950 5862 4333 25580 5847 17050 13740 18160 12330 21410 6317 5863 3349 12170 10290 5931 3781 11720 6813 18350 8538 4750 6634 1221 31420 20410 6112 5301 7793 5701 29740 27150 26600 25130 20170 8566 8571 6299 8299 5396 8826 7021 1265 5636 10020 5026 10180 4499 6939 16130 35160 19200 5388 9139 27320 7334 9212 26160 6633 5688 12220 6764 11710 7752 5872 14390
2021-07-04 9604 7196 3226 5396 9018 4642 8878 6274 2087 16220 8830 10280 10140 12800 4062 24440 32620 22290 4740 18270 9021 8676 9386 15650 23720 23490 111900 7801 23800 11150 6288 6262 34240 5403 27860 7846 55600 11290 7012 30530 7302 12880 17390 35570 6242 25890 6792 9493 7826 11970 20730 13840 17080 6884 16000 7472 11220 27710 9015 11140 8568 8113 17890 1879 13880 13410 4822 9819 24400 25040 6618 5416 4800 9960 28360 3152 12410 4387 3470 6110 17750 2953 45750 26280 3193 8582 33270 9474 8659 10900 4631 4803 21460 3277 14020 26160 12940 8130 28530 4868 10780 33890 8291 3224 4642 6959 5238 9126 6953 4816 5216 6582 19950 10330 9207 6808 6369 3274 8113 31030 13040 5945 7965 5989 8291 5598 5833 6348 16190 10560 8294 3322 5644 16760 9149 53260 7669 4099 10770 5671 24160 8027 3820 23820 13050 4689 14710 5766 22590 8376 8853 22100 4736 9765 6697 7461 27950 7633 8759 5854 5131 28530 6718 6250 26780 8390 10170 3690 7913 2496 6966 16980 10290 6324 7920 20910 13460 39190 19160 27520 11110 74880 40050 5260 23700 7225 7429 7974 55510 22470 13500 3939 3115 65530 8680 27160 2977 3683 6801 17590 2533 3538 7577 13120 8160 13640 5122 21840 4914 4406 1947 11890 6660 7885 29350 9219 37410 11650 12700 7791 2215 6461 10900 7092 5897 26420 10300 3140 11380 16160 4845 6585 18970 20500 7813 34340 9530 5355 27070 94 11420 3730 11310 6632 16460 10300 15590 4388 16430 12560 34470 10460 6533 10210 13750 21850 5919 12090 3017 25150 6730 8022 5121 22840 7300 5834 8006 8259 1852 2116 28780 36160 6111 3838 5814 27320 5884 7436 48230 270 16250 16410 16570 6431 5610 5182 6418 7793 17230 1975 5683 8010 5179 22580 5809 5149 6689 10060 5783 9090 13610 16470 15440 25280 7950 8634 18820 9161 6023 6425 4342 25190 17300 22040 5898 4362 25790 5853 17100 13750 18160 12370 21500 6368 5877 3366 12240 10310 5952 3825 11730 6830 18370 8561 4787 6643 1228 31500 20550 6130 5327 7809 5723 29930 27210 26660 25240 20250 8641 8590 6322 8318 5411 8844 7042 1265 5687 10090 5041 10260 4516 6952 16180 35330 19290 5416 9163 27460 7350 9228 26230 6662 5711 12270 6781 11750 7798 5890 14500
2021-07-05 9732 7249 3243 5414 9045 4699 8893 6291 2110 16240 8860 10310 10150 12840 4072 24470 32730 22430 4760 18310 9063 8701 9435 15680 23760 23530 112300 7832 23940 11200 6295 6277 34370 5416 27980 7873 55810 11310 7017 30580 7327 12890 17540 35760 6252 25930 6821 9506 7849 12040 20850 13870 17170 6951 16060 7490 11290 27810 9058 11160 8579 8147 17960 1881 13930 13450 4866 9852 24520 25180 6643 5442 4827 10010 29000 3163 12470 4399 3486 6118 17920 2967 46230 26400 3201 8616 33340 9525 8738 10920 4646 4823 21540 3293 14080 26260 12990 8140 28600 4898 10950 33990 8358 3234 4667 7022 5251 9167 6976 4903 5226 6647 20030 10380 9217 6816 6406 3276 8144 31070 13080 5979 8002 6038 8358 5615 5842 6355 16370 10610 8304 3331 5673 16920 9198 53600 7737 4107 10790 5678 24230 8050 3841 23910 13100 4718 14770 5787 22670 8401 8908 22140 4736 9822 6730 7477 28000 7657 8784 5894 5194 28590 6740 6282 26820 8406 10240 3724 7928 2504 6966 17060 10340 6333 7926 20950 13500 39350 19240 27630 11180 75390 40150 5277 23790 7263 7455 7995 55840 22530 13540 3946 3129 65970 8695 27190 2987 3692 6805 17640 2542 3546 7603 13140 8168 13690 5199 21920 4936 4419 1952 11900 6684 7909 29590 9263 37470 11660 12750 7829 2224 6481 11010 7124 5912 26580 10340 3141 11460 16320 4874 6611 19000 20630 7829 34510 9571 5370 27240 94 11550 3737 11380 6715 16490 10340 15640 4397 16500 12620 34520 10530 6545 10240 13870 21880 5951 12140 3032 25310 6748 8076 5133 22890 7331 5840 8058 8276 1860 2131 28970 36240 6141 3880 5838 27440 5913 7461 48440 271 16300 16430 16660 6451 5640 5195 6447 7817 17350 1995 5685 8028 5213 22700 5815 5162 6719 10110 5801 9109 13750 16530 15470 25400 7967 8668 18910 9197 6051 6446 4381 25310 17380 22130 5937 4390 26010 5860 17150 13770 18160 12410 21640 6420 5891 3383 12300 10330 5974 3864 11740 6847 18380 8580 4825 6651 1236 31580 20690 6147 5352 7825 5746 30130 27280 26730 25360 20360 8715 8609 6345 8338 5428 8862 7065 1265 5742 10150 5057 10340 4533 6971 16260 35580 19410 5443 9195 27600 7366 9246 26300 6691 5730 12310 6798 11790 7845 5910 14610
2021-07-06 9840 7315 3261 5432 9076 4759 8908 6307 2132 16260 8890 10350 10160 12890 4082 24500 32830 22570 4780 18350 9103 8723 9480 15700 23800 23580 112700 7874 24030 11250 6302 6292 34480 5430 28080 7899 56020 11340 7022 30640 7353 12910 17700 35950 6263 25980 6851 9521 7875 12120 20960 13890 17260 7019 16130 7513 11350 27900 9103 11180 8588 8181 18030 1884 13980 13490 4911 9885 24630 25310 6668 5466 4853 10070 29610 3176 12520 4413 3502 6125 18110 2983 46720 26510 3213 8648 33420 9576 8805 10940 4663 4842 21610 3308 14140 26370 13030 8150 28680 4928 11130 34090 8425 3245 4691 7093 5270 9208 6999 4989 5240 6712 20110 10410 9229 6822 6431 3283 8176 31120 13120 6014 8038 6086 8426 5630 5850 6364 16590 10660 8318 3341 5704 17080 9247 54010 7793 4117 10810 5686 24300 8074 3862 24000 13150 4748 14830 5807 22750 8425 8958 22190 4736 9879 6760 7493 28050 7682 8807 5931 5238 28640 6762 6308 26870 8429 10320 3759 7942 2512 6968 17140 10380 6339 7932 21000 13540 39500 19320 27740 11260 75960 40260 5293 23880 7297 7479 8017 56170 22580 13580 3952 3146 66420 8720 27230 2996 3707 6809 17690 2552 3555 7631 13160 8178 13750 5279 22000 4957 4431 1959 11900 6706 7934 29830 9305 37530 11670 12790 7869 2233 6500 11120 7156 5927 26760 10380 3145 11530 16480 4903 6632 19020 20770 7845 34710 9612 5385 27390 94 11670 3744 11440 6798 16520 10390 15700 4406 16580 12680 34580 10610 6557 10270 13990 21910 5983 12190 3048 25410 6765 8131 5149 22940 7362 5849 8111 8293 1869 2147 29170 36320 6171 3921 5859 27560 5942 7485 48670 272 16350 16460 16750 6475 5671 5209 6475 7841 17460 2014 5688 8046 5247 22820 5826 5177 6753 10150 5823 9127 13900 16590 15500 25530 7986 8704 18990 9242 6081 6466 4419 25440 17460 22220 5975 4419 26230 5868 17200 13790 18160 12450 21770 6476 5905 3401 12370 10350 5995 3908 11740 6864 18400 8606 4863 6660 1242 31670 20870 6173 5374 7843 5769 30300 27340 26790 25480 20460 8790 8628 6368 8357 5444 8883 7091 1266 5808 10220 5073 10420 4550 6986 16350 35830 19530 5470 9222 27750 7382 9267 26360 6719 5748 12360 6815 11820 7893 5924 14720
2021-07-07 9964 7403 3279 5453 9102 4820 8923 6324 2155 16280 8921 10380 10180 12950 4093 24530 32920 22720 4800 18390 9144 8751 9541 15730 23840 23630 113200 7894 24130 11300 6309 6306 34610 5446 28180 7925 56240 11360 7032 30700 7381 12920 17840 36210 6272 26030 6880 9536 7905 12190 21070 13910 17350 7087 16200 7531 11410 27980 9148 11190 8596 8214 18100 1887 14040 13530 4955 9918 24740 25430 6692 5488 4880 10110 29880 3190 12570 4427 3519 6134 18250 2998 47180 26630 3225 8679 33500 9628 8879 10960 4679 4861 21660 3324 14190 26480 13070 8161 28750 4958 11300 34190 8492 3255 4716 7164 5287 9249 7023 5074 5255 6776 20180 10450 9245 6830 6462 3291 8208 31160 13160 6049 8075 6134 8494 5649 5858 6372 16760 10710 8328 3348 5734 17230 9295 54390 7854 4128 10830 5692 24360 8097 3883 24090 13200 4777 14890 5828 22820 8450 9015 22230 4736 9936 6787 7509 28100 7707 8828 5982 5315 28700 6784 6339 26920 8450 10380 3794 7953 2520 6972 17220 10430 6348 7941 21050 13580 39650 19410 27860 11320 76400 40350 5310 23970 7330 7506 8039 56500 22640 13630 3959 3161 66800 8740 27270 3006 3716 6812 17740 2562 3563 7660 13170 8188 13800 5360 22080 4978 4444 1965 11910 6729 7958 30070 9347 37600 11680 12840 7910 2242 6524 11230 7188 5943 26940 10410 3152 11600 16640 4933 6665 19040 20910 7861 34840 9653 5400 27580 94 11750 3751 11470 6881 16560 10430 15740 4414 16650 12750 34650 10680 6569 10300 14110 21940 6014 12230 3064 25550 6781 8187 5159 23000 7393 5859 8164 8311 1877 2162 29350 36450 6202 3961 5871 27690 5970 7509 48860 273 16410 16490 16890 6499 5702 5223 6504 7865 17570 2034 5694 8064 5282 22940 5837 5191 6786 10200 5841 9144 14050 16660 15540 25660 8006 8740 19080 9282 6111 6486 4458 25570 17540 22300 6013 4447 26460 5878 17250 13810 18180 12490 21890 6533 5919 3418 12430 10360 6016 3955 11750 6881 18420 8630 4900 6669 1249 31760 21020 6201 5398 7860 5793 30500 27400 26860 25590 20570 8864 8647 6390 8377 5459 8904 7116 1268 5866 10290 5089 10510 4567 6996 16430 36080 19640 5497 9249 27930 7399 9289 26430 6748 5761 12410 6832 11860 7941 5940 14830

Confirmed count average forecast England (bold black line in graphs) 2021-07-01 to 2021-07-07

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-06-30 9199 7042 3154 5354 8927 4425 8819 6203 1998 16140 8704 10138 10073 12634 4019 24312 32201 21662 4663 18115 8843 8592 9230 15575 23575 23279 110225 7704 23389 10981 6258 6201 33901 5354 27410 7739 54769 11193 7008 30324 7228 12828 16753 34864 6215 25691 6665 9447 7752 11849 20488 13742 16726 6602 15746 7399 10983 27326 8847 11065 8526 7969 17589 1870 13668 13242 4644 9677 23942 24581 6508 5323 4683 9783 26164 3123 12178 4349 3402 6071 17172 2897 44088 25776 3175 8447 32966 9261 8401 10817 4566 4721 21152 3210 13812 25666 12759 8092 28214 4744 10320 33459 8015 3181 4543 6676 5188 8962 6864 4518 5163 6289 19611 10141 9165 6772 6261 3264 7992 30854 12893 5801 7804 5784 8021 5535 5820 6324 14934 10358 8261 3311 5523 15964 8933 51733 7451 4055 10687 5640 23895 7935 3730 23460 12829 4565 14487 5685 22261 8267 8602 21924 4732 9520 6554 7402 27766 7532 8667 5710 4665 28330 6627 6127 26600 8300 10012 3534 7860 2460 6961 16657 10136 6292 7912 20711 13294 38731 18843 27109 10796 72807 39719 5188 23301 7065 7320 7883 54092 22241 13395 3913 3040 64281 8604 26997 2941 3664 6786 17402 2500 3502 7482 13060 8134 13403 4893 21497 4820 4352 1929 11883 6579 7785 28380 9093 37177 11609 12529 7646 2180 6390 10350 6957 5840 25893 10146 3139 11060 15520 4732 6504 18930 20014 7747 33650 9351 5291 26403 93 10990 3706 11200 6359 16373 10107 15383 4349 16234 12319 34237 10139 6486 10081 13220 21736 5779 11899 2950 24698 6648 7805 5066 22623 7172 5819 7789 8192 1820 2048 28197 35924 5987 3653 5772 26854 5760 7335 47354 269 16062 16384 16280 6340 5494 5124 6298 7692 16777 1916 5683 7936 5038 22085 5778 5092 6572 9901 5720 9019 13007 16196 15311 24756 7886 8510 18481 9038 5912 6342 4164 24667 16959 21663 5724 4237 24909 5836 16881 13677 18157 12229 21149 6170 5821 3295 11971 10240 5863 3628 11689 6759 18294 8460 4627 6610 1193 31174 20019 6070 5221 7743 5630 29117 26988 26412 24762 19902 8339 8509 6228 8238 5349 8779 6974 1262 5502 9792 4979 9924 4443 6895 15928 34565 18953 5298 9066 26952 7287 9177 25937 6539 5628 12058 6714 11612 7613 5818 14036
2021-07-01 9323 7120 3171 5372 8950 4491 8835 6219 2034 16160 8732 10170 10090 12690 4028 24350 32300 21820 4685 18150 8887 8616 9290 15610 23620 23330 110700 7729 23480 11050 6267 6216 34020 5370 27540 7760 54990 11220 7017 30400 7251 12840 16920 35130 6224 25740 6695 9466 7784 11910 20590 13770 16830 6666 15820 7417 11050 27420 8897 11080 8536 8008 17670 1873 13720 13280 4696 9712 24070 24720 6535 5347 4711 9850 26660 3139 12240 4367 3418 6080 17350 2916 44530 25900 3190 8477 33040 9312 8470 10840 4583 4739 21230 3225 13880 25780 12810 8106 28290 4781 10490 33560 8097 3189 4567 6762 5205 9006 6889 4627 5178 6352 19690 10190 9180 6779 6286 3278 8024 30900 12930 5834 7841 5835 8093 5552 5826 6334 15210 10410 8272 3319 5556 16160 8981 52170 7509 4066 10710 5647 23970 7959 3749 23560 12880 4598 14570 5709 22340 8294 8666 21960 4746 9580 6590 7418 27810 7551 8690 5755 4755 28400 6649 6163 26650 8329 10070 3573 7870 2471 6966 16750 10200 6299 7918 20750 13330 38880 18940 27240 10900 73330 39810 5207 23410 7103 7349 7903 54470 22300 13440 3919 3058 64700 8623 27040 2952 3675 6790 17460 2514 3510 7523 13080 8146 13470 4984 21580 4842 4363 1939 11890 6600 7808 28670 9134 37260 11620 12580 7698 2191 6411 10490 6987 5858 26070 10180 3143 11140 15700 4768 6531 18950 20180 7764 33820 9399 5306 26590 94 11120 3714 11240 6456 16400 10160 15440 4361 16310 12380 34300 10220 6498 10120 13360 21760 5813 11940 2973 24850 6668 7862 5079 22690 7202 5833 7846 8210 1830 2061 28390 36010 6019 3702 5785 27020 5792 7360 47560 270 16130 16410 16390 6362 5527 5139 6324 7718 16880 1933 5690 7958 5074 22240 5788 5107 6606 9950 5738 9038 13170 16270 15340 24880 7905 8555 18590 9073 5941 6362 4200 24810 17050 21750 5776 4270 25170 5849 16940 13700 18180 12270 21280 6248 5834 3312 12030 10260 5885 3675 11700 6777 18320 8485 4660 6621 1204 31290 20160 6095 5245 7764 5654 29320 27050 26480 24900 20000 8427 8529 6253 8258 5373 8805 7003 1266 5565 9850 4996 10020 4460 6911 16020 34780 19060 5321 9095 27140 7301 9203 26010 6571 5643 12100 6734 11660 7667 5835 14160
2021-07-02 9434 7180 3184 5385 8968 4536 8844 6230 2063 16160 8750 10190 10110 12720 4035 24380 32370 21910 4701 18170 8918 8633 9329 15630 23650 23350 111000 7749 23570 11110 6273 6230 34120 5385 27650 7775 55150 11230 7019 30440 7267 12850 17020 35330 6226 25780 6714 9479 7807 11950 20680 13790 16910 6711 15880 7429 11110 27490 8936 11090 8541 8033 17710 1875 13750 13300 4742 9732 24160 24830 6556 5362 4728 9900 27030 3149 12280 4379 3430 6085 17500 2932 44890 25990 3202 8500 33090 9340 8521 10850 4596 4759 21300 3232 13930 25860 12850 8115 28350 4808 10630 33640 8161 3193 4586 6822 5220 9041 6904 4713 5190 6401 19740 10230 9187 6787 6307 3285 8045 30940 12950 5854 7868 5883 8153 5566 5832 6340 15390 10450 8278 3325 5584 16300 9019 52470 7559 4072 10720 5651 24010 7979 3767 23630 12920 4619 14620 5730 22400 8313 8708 21990 4755 9615 6616 7429 27850 7563 8709 5785 4818 28440 6664 6179 26700 8341 10130 3602 7873 2478 6968 16820 10240 6304 7922 20780 13350 38970 19020 27340 10960 73760 39880 5220 23480 7127 7368 7915 54760 22330 13480 3924 3072 65070 8637 27070 2961 3685 6792 17490 2525 3516 7547 13090 8151 13520 5055 21620 4866 4371 1946 11890 6619 7820 28900 9156 37320 11620 12610 7740 2198 6425 10590 7016 5869 26210 10200 3146 11180 15860 4787 6548 18960 20290 7778 33950 9423 5320 26750 94 11210 3721 11280 6519 16420 10200 15500 4368 16360 12420 34350 10270 6504 10140 13460 21780 5845 11990 2989 24980 6681 7902 5088 22740 7224 5840 7885 8224 1837 2070 28550 36050 6048 3747 5797 27150 5817 7377 47700 272 16180 16420 16460 6379 5553 5148 6351 7738 16960 1942 5696 7972 5098 22360 5794 5117 6628 10000 5753 9047 13290 16330 15360 24970 7911 8585 18670 9095 5953 6375 4231 24910 17100 21810 5801 4290 25350 5855 16970 13710 18200 12290 21380 6309 5843 3321 12070 10270 5905 3713 11700 6789 18330 8506 4680 6626 1215 31350 20250 6110 5261 7777 5663 29490 27080 26540 25000 20090 8498 8540 6273 8273 5387 8826 7019 1267 5611 9900 5006 10090 4469 6925 16070 34970 19130 5336 9121 27280 7306 9221 26060 6593 5654 12130 6744 11690 7709 5845 14250
2021-07-03 9509 7232 3197 5399 8981 4579 8855 6242 2089 16170 8767 10210 10120 12750 4043 24400 32440 22020 4716 18190 8948 8651 9366 15650 23670 23380 111400 7769 23640 11170 6279 6241 34200 5401 27750 7791 55300 11250 7022 30490 7284 12850 17140 35510 6230 25820 6732 9493 7834 11990 20770 13810 16990 6759 15940 7440 11160 27550 8972 11100 8546 8058 17760 1877 13770 13320 4782 9751 24250 24940 6577 5378 4746 9940 27390 3159 12330 4393 3442 6091 17630 2947 45210 26080 3214 8522 33150 9372 8569 10860 4607 4778 21360 3240 13980 25930 12890 8125 28400 4835 10750 33700 8221 3198 4601 6867 5235 9074 6921 4792 5199 6452 19780 10260 9196 6792 6327 3294 8067 30970 12970 5876 7894 5931 8210 5580 5838 6347 15560 10480 8282 3331 5611 16450 9055 52770 7609 4079 10740 5653 24060 8000 3785 23700 12950 4641 14680 5750 22460 8333 8752 22010 4765 9651 6639 7439 27880 7573 8727 5813 4884 28490 6680 6197 26740 8355 10190 3628 7875 2485 6970 16890 10270 6310 7925 20800 13380 39070 19100 27430 11000 74130 39930 5233 23540 7152 7386 7927 55040 22360 13500 3930 3085 65380 8648 27100 2970 3693 6793 17520 2537 3523 7572 13100 8156 13560 5124 21680 4889 4379 1953 11890 6638 7833 29120 9180 37370 11630 12640 7783 2206 6440 10690 7043 5882 26330 10220 3147 11230 16000 4807 6563 18970 20410 7793 34100 9442 5335 26900 95 11300 3729 11310 6581 16430 10240 15550 4375 16420 12470 34390 10330 6511 10150 13550 21810 5875 12030 3006 25080 6692 7945 5097 22790 7247 5847 7925 8237 1845 2079 28690 36090 6073 3790 5808 27280 5842 7395 47840 273 16230 16430 16530 6396 5585 5157 6377 7759 17030 1952 5701 7983 5124 22470 5802 5127 6653 10040 5764 9060 13400 16390 15380 25060 7919 8616 18750 9120 5969 6388 4260 25010 17150 21860 5827 4309 25540 5860 17010 13720 18210 12310 21470 6366 5852 3332 12110 10270 5925 3751 11710 6803 18340 8527 4698 6631 1222 31420 20330 6124 5278 7791 5673 29640 27120 26600 25080 20170 8568 8552 6291 8287 5402 8847 7033 1268 5651 9930 5017 10170 4479 6935 16130 35110 19200 5352 9145 27410 7314 9239 26100 6614 5663 12170 6753 11730 7751 5856 14350
2021-07-04 9598 7290 3211 5413 8996 4625 8866 6254 2114 16180 8786 10220 10130 12790 4050 24430 32520 22130 4731 18210 8977 8669 9406 15670 23700 23400 111800 7789 23730 11230 6284 6254 34290 5419 27850 7808 55480 11260 7026 30530 7302 12860 17240 35700 6233 25860 6749 9507 7862 12040 20850 13830 17070 6811 16000 7452 11210 27610 9007 11110 8552 8082 17810 1880 13800 13350 4824 9768 24340 25060 6598 5394 4763 9970 27770 3171 12370 4407 3453 6097 17750 2962 45540 26180 3227 8546 33210 9404 8616 10880 4616 4797 21410 3250 14030 26010 12930 8135 28470 4859 10880 33770 8287 3203 4616 6922 5247 9107 6939 4873 5208 6499 19830 10290 9205 6799 6346 3302 8092 31010 12990 5896 7923 5978 8273 5594 5843 6353 15750 10520 8289 3337 5637 16590 9090 53090 7658 4089 10760 5656 24100 8022 3803 23780 12980 4663 14740 5769 22520 8352 8797 22030 4777 9689 6664 7450 27910 7589 8746 5837 4941 28540 6696 6214 26780 8372 10240 3652 7879 2492 6973 16960 10310 6316 7930 20820 13410 39190 19170 27530 11060 74500 39980 5247 23610 7178 7404 7939 55320 22400 13530 3935 3099 65670 8660 27130 2980 3701 6795 17550 2548 3529 7598 13110 8161 13610 5196 21730 4910 4386 1959 11890 6658 7851 29360 9205 37430 11640 12680 7825 2214 6455 10790 7072 5894 26470 10240 3147 11280 16150 4827 6580 18990 20520 7807 34230 9461 5349 27050 95 11390 3737 11350 6653 16450 10280 15600 4381 16480 12520 34440 10380 6519 10180 13650 21820 5905 12060 3023 25190 6703 7990 5108 22840 7270 5856 7966 8252 1852 2088 28830 36140 6097 3831 5817 27410 5867 7414 47990 274 16290 16440 16620 6409 5616 5167 6403 7779 17110 1962 5708 7996 5152 22570 5808 5138 6679 10080 5775 9070 13520 16440 15400 25150 7929 8646 18830 9145 5986 6402 4287 25120 17210 21910 5855 4331 25730 5868 17050 13730 18220 12330 21570 6418 5862 3342 12150 10280 5945 3791 11710 6817 18360 8547 4718 6636 1229 31470 20410 6143 5294 7804 5685 29800 27150 26660 25180 20250 8635 8564 6311 8303 5416 8869 7050 1270 5700 9960 5028 10240 4488 6943 16180 35240 19280 5366 9170 27550 7322 9261 26140 6635 5677 12200 6765 11760 7795 5867 14450
2021-07-05 9724 7347 3225 5429 9013 4679 8877 6267 2142 16180 8808 10250 10140 12820 4058 24460 32600 22240 4748 18230 9009 8688 9458 15700 23720 23430 112200 7811 23850 11290 6290 6267 34410 5435 27950 7826 55660 11280 7031 30570 7320 12870 17350 35920 6236 25900 6767 9522 7892 12110 20960 13850 17160 6863 16060 7466 11270 27680 9042 11120 8558 8107 17860 1883 13830 13370 4867 9785 24450 25180 6619 5412 4781 10020 28190 3185 12420 4422 3466 6102 17900 2978 45930 26280 3241 8568 33260 9441 8667 10900 4628 4817 21480 3260 14090 26090 12970 8146 28530 4884 11050 33850 8363 3208 4635 6988 5262 9141 6957 4967 5217 6555 19880 10320 9213 6805 6373 3312 8117 31050 13010 5917 7952 6026 8342 5609 5852 6359 15940 10560 8296 3344 5669 16730 9124 53430 7716 4095 10780 5660 24150 8044 3821 23850 13010 4685 14800 5788 22570 8372 8846 22050 4786 9727 6689 7462 27950 7605 8766 5858 5000 28590 6713 6238 26820 8386 10310 3681 7883 2498 6976 17030 10350 6322 7936 20850 13430 39320 19260 27630 11110 74960 40060 5262 23690 7206 7425 7950 55640 22430 13580 3942 3113 66100 8673 27160 2989 3710 6797 17590 2559 3536 7626 13120 8166 13660 5273 21780 4932 4397 1967 11900 6679 7864 29590 9233 37500 11640 12710 7870 2222 6470 10880 7104 5907 26630 10260 3149 11330 16320 4850 6598 19010 20650 7821 34380 9489 5363 27200 96 11480 3745 11390 6735 16470 10320 15650 4387 16550 12570 34480 10440 6527 10200 13770 21840 5935 12100 3041 25380 6715 8036 5117 22890 7294 5865 8008 8266 1861 2098 29010 36190 6121 3873 5833 27550 5892 7434 48150 275 16340 16460 16700 6425 5648 5178 6426 7798 17190 1973 5715 8011 5180 22700 5815 5149 6706 10130 5790 9081 13640 16500 15420 25240 7937 8680 18920 9172 6005 6416 4316 25230 17270 21970 5885 4358 25920 5877 17100 13740 18240 12360 21700 6476 5873 3354 12210 10290 5965 3830 11720 6831 18370 8567 4741 6641 1237 31550 20500 6162 5312 7817 5697 29900 27200 26720 25290 20350 8705 8576 6330 8318 5431 8891 7068 1271 5753 10000 5041 10320 4500 6958 16250 35440 19370 5380 9197 27690 7328 9285 26190 6655 5687 12230 6780 11800 7839 5880 14540
2021-07-06 9823 7407 3239 5445 9030 4727 8889 6280 2172 16190 8830 10260 10150 12860 4065 24490 32670 22350 4762 18260 9040 8707 9503 15730 23750 23460 112500 7837 23950 11350 6296 6281 34510 5451 28060 7842 55830 11290 7034 30620 7340 12880 17460 36110 6239 25950 6783 9537 7920 12170 21050 13880 17250 6912 16120 7481 11330 27740 9078 11130 8563 8133 17910 1885 13860 13390 4914 9801 24540 25300 6640 5427 4799 10060 28610 3200 12460 4438 3478 6107 18050 2994 46330 26370 3255 8595 33330 9476 8715 10910 4641 4837 21550 3269 14150 26170 13010 8157 28590 4913 11200 33930 8432 3214 4652 7049 5275 9174 6976 5058 5227 6606 19930 10350 9221 6810 6393 3322 8143 31090 13040 5943 7980 6074 8405 5623 5858 6366 16100 10600 8305 3352 5695 16870 9157 53780 7768 4103 10790 5664 24200 8066 3838 23930 13040 4707 14860 5806 22630 8392 8893 22070 4797 9766 6715 7472 27980 7617 8786 5883 5069 28640 6730 6257 26860 8400 10380 3709 7887 2505 6979 17110 10390 6328 7941 20870 13460 39430 19340 27740 11140 75410 40150 5276 23770 7233 7446 7962 55930 22460 13610 3949 3128 66520 8691 27190 2999 3720 6799 17630 2571 3542 7653 13130 8173 13710 5355 21840 4954 4406 1975 11900 6698 7882 29830 9260 37560 11650 12750 7916 2230 6484 10980 7131 5920 26790 10280 3152 11380 16480 4871 6612 19020 20770 7835 34530 9508 5378 27360 96 11570 3753 11440 6811 16490 10360 15700 4395 16610 12620 34530 10500 6536 10220 13870 21860 5965 12140 3058 25490 6728 8084 5126 22950 7319 5875 8051 8280 1870 2108 29190 36240 6149 3917 5848 27680 5917 7454 48320 276 16400 16470 16790 6441 5679 5189 6452 7818 17270 1984 5720 8024 5208 22840 5824 5162 6737 10170 5806 9089 13750 16550 15450 25340 7948 8715 19010 9201 6023 6431 4348 25330 17330 22030 5918 4382 26110 5886 17140 13750 18250 12380 21810 6530 5883 3365 12250 10300 5985 3870 11720 6846 18390 8590 4762 6646 1248 31620 20590 6183 5327 7831 5709 30030 27250 26780 25390 20450 8772 8589 6349 8331 5445 8913 7086 1273 5808 10030 5053 10400 4511 6967 16310 35630 19460 5396 9223 27840 7335 9307 26230 6673 5698 12270 6791 11840 7884 5891 14640
2021-07-07 9933 7471 3254 5460 9045 4779 8900 6293 2200 16200 8852 10280 10160 12900 4073 24520 32740 22470 4777 18280 9067 8726 9555 15750 23780 23480 112900 7856 24050 11410 6301 6295 34620 5468 28160 7861 56010 11310 7039 30680 7359 12890 17560 36320 6242 25990 6800 9553 7952 12230 21150 13900 17350 6965 16180 7495 11380 27800 9116 11140 8568 8158 17970 1888 13890 13410 4965 9817 24640 25420 6662 5443 4817 10110 29010 3215 12500 4453 3490 6113 18190 3009 46720 26480 3270 8619 33390 9507 8762 10930 4649 4857 21600 3278 14200 26230 13050 8168 28660 4943 11360 34010 8504 3220 4669 7110 5292 9209 6995 5141 5239 6659 19980 10390 9231 6816 6418 3332 8169 31130 13060 5965 8006 6122 8469 5639 5863 6373 16260 10640 8312 3360 5721 17010 9192 54110 7824 4111 10810 5667 24250 8086 3856 24010 13070 4729 14920 5825 22690 8411 8943 22090 4808 9806 6741 7482 28020 7631 8805 5913 5136 28680 6747 6275 26910 8415 10440 3737 7889 2511 6983 17180 10430 6334 7947 20900 13490 39560 19420 27860 11190 75850 40210 5291 23830 7260 7468 7973 56250 22490 13650 3955 3141 66890 8705 27220 3009 3728 6801 17670 2583 3549 7682 13140 8179 13750 5433 21890 4975 4415 1984 11900 6719 7895 30060 9286 37620 11650 12780 7963 2238 6501 11080 7164 5933 26940 10300 3154 11430 16640 4890 6630 19040 20880 7849 34670 9529 5392 27530 97 11660 3761 11470 6884 16510 10410 15750 4400 16680 12680 34580 10560 6545 10240 13970 21880 5994 12180 3075 25610 6742 8131 5133 23000 7344 5885 8094 8296 1878 2118 29370 36290 6174 3958 5859 27820 5943 7474 48470 278 16460 16480 16880 6459 5713 5199 6477 7840 17350 1994 5726 8037 5237 22970 5832 5174 6766 10220 5818 9096 13870 16620 15470 25440 7960 8748 19090 9229 6039 6445 4379 25450 17380 22080 5947 4404 26310 5896 17180 13760 18270 12410 21920 6589 5894 3376 12300 10310 6006 3913 11730 6861 18400 8612 4785 6651 1258 31690 20680 6204 5343 7847 5721 30200 27290 26840 25500 20550 8839 8602 6367 8347 5459 8936 7103 1275 5859 10060 5065 10480 4524 6976 16370 35810 19540 5411 9249 27990 7342 9331 26270 6696 5706 12300 6805 11880 7929 5904 14740

Data issues

    There is an issue with the reported local authority data: the last few (usually three) observations show no change. To handle this, we remove the last two observations. This then reflect the reporting delay of the data, but also implies that we cannot precisely distinguish between a count of zero cases and a delayed count.
    The forecasts from 2020-10-11 use a four day delay (so ignoring the last four days of reported cases), to reflect delays in reporting data in many areas. Otherwise we use a two day delay.

    The following graph illustrates the issue for two districts:

Further information

  • We believe these forecasts fill a useful gap in the short run. They give an indication of what is likely to happen in the next few days, removing some aspect of surprise. Moreover, a noticeable drop in comparison to the extrapolations could be an indication that the implemented policies are having some impact. It is difficult to understand exponential growth. We hope that these forecasts may help to convince viewers to adhere to the policies implemented by their respective governments, and keep all arguments factual and measured.
  • We use the data repository for the 2019 Novel Coronavirus Visual Dashboard operated by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering. This is updated daily, but we tend to update our forecasts only every other day.
    US state data as of 2020-03-28 is courtesy of the New York Times.
  • We can only provide forecasts of what is measured. If confirmed cases are an underestimate of actual cases, then our forecasts will also be underestimates. No other epidemiological data is used. Data definition and collection differs between countries and may change over time.
  • We will update the methodology as we learn what is happening in the next few days or weeks. Once the number of cases levels off, there is no need to provide these forecasts anymore.
  • Countries where the counts are very low or stable have been omitted.
  • The graphs have dates on the horizontal axis (yyyy-mm-dd) and cumulative counts on the vertical axis. They show
    1. bold dark grey line (with circles): observed counts (Johns Hopkins CSSE);
    2. many light grey lines (with open circles): forecasts using different model settings and starting up to four periods back;
    3. red line (with open circles): single forecasts path using default model settings;
    4. black line (with crosses): average of all forecasts, recentered on the last observation;
    5. thin green lines: some indication of uncertainty around the red forecasts, but we do not know how reliable that is.
    Both the red line forecasts and the black lines are also given in the tables above. These forecasts differ, we are currently inclined to use the average forecasts.
  • The forecasts are constructed as follows:
    1. An overall `trend' is extracted by taking a window of the data at a time. In each window we draw `straight lines' which are selected using an automatic econometric procedure (`machine learning'). All straight lines are collected and averaged, giving the trend.
    2. Forecasts are made using the estimated trend, but we note that this must be done carefully, because simply extrapolating the flexible insample trend would lead to wildly fluctuating forecast. We use the `Cardt' method, which has been found to work well in other settings.
    3. Residuals from the trend are also forecast, and combined with trend forecasts into an overall forecast.
  • Scenario forecasts are constructed very differently: smooth versions of the Chinese experience are matched at different lag lengths with the path of each country. This probably works best from the peak, or the slowdown just before (but we include it for the UK nonetheless).
  • The forecast evaluation shows past forecasts, together with the outcomes (in the grey line with circles).
  • EU-BS is Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania together.
  • This paper describes the methodology and gives further references. Also available as Nuffield Economics Discussion Paper 2020-W06. Still preliminary is the documentation of the medium term forecasts.

Recent changes and notes

[2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.
[2021-01-07]Slideshow of forecasts, errors, and actuals 2020-06-30 to 2021-01-02: how England lost the battle.
[2020-10-27]Statistical short-term forecasting of the COVID-19 Pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now published at the Journal of Clinical Immunology and Immunotherapy. open access
[2020-10-11]Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now in press at the International Journal of Forecasting. open access
[2020-10-10]Removed forecasts from the Chinese scenarios, while investigating possibility to use own history from the first wave.
Added information on the previous peak (if present) to the peak tables.
Local forecasts for England: now dropping last four observations.
[2020-07-01] Modified the short-term model to allow for (slowly changing) seasonality. Many countries show clear seasonality after the initial period, likely caused by institutional factors regarding data collection. This seasonality was also getting in the way of peak detection. As a consequence estimates of the peak date may have changed for countries with strong seasonality.
Added forecasts of cumulative confirmed cases for lower tier local authorities of England. The data is available from 2020-07-02 including all tests (pillar one and two). Only authorities with more than 5 cases in the previous week are included.
[2020-06-29] Tables in April included the world, but not the world as we know it (double counting China and the US). So removed the world from those old tables.
Why short-term forecasts can be better than models for predicting how pandemics evolve just appeared at The Conversation.
Thursday 2 July webinar at the FGV EESP - São Paolo School of Economics. This starts at 16:00 UK time (UTC+01:00) and streamed here.