COVID-19 short-term forecasts Confirmed 2021-07-03 lower tier local authorities of England (with more than 5 cases in the previous week).


General information

  • Forecasts produced by Jennie Castle, Jurgen Doornik, and David Hendry, researchers at the University of Oxford. These are our forecasts, and should not be considered official forecasts from, or endorsed by, any of: University of Oxford, Oxford Martin School, Nuffield College, or Magdalen College.
  • These forecasts are short term time-series extrapolations of the data. They are not based on epidemiological modelling or simulations. All forecasts are uncertain: their success can only be determined afterwards. Many mitigation strategies are in place, which, if successful, invalidate our forecasts. An explanation of our methods is provided below.
  • A list of notes is below. The most recent note:
    [2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.

Forecasts for districts of England, one week ahead from 2021-07-03

Peak increase in estimated trend of Confirmed in England 2021-07-03

Aberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterComhairle nan Eilean SiarConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
Peak date (mm-dd)12-2812-2712-2712-2612-272021-05-252021-03-2512-2707-212021-03-2512-2112-2712-0812-2112-2312-282021-06-22 --12-2712-232021-01-022021-01-1112-302021-05-0912-2612-2212-2912-2712-2712-2912-072021-01-072021-05-102021-06-212021-01-012021-06-222021-06-2212-2212-2712-2712-1412-062021-06-2212-3012-2512-212021-06-2212-2212-3012-3012-272021-06-212021-06-222021-06-2212-272021-06-142021-06-212021-06-2212-272021-06-2112-2112-222021-05-2610-2812-3012-2212-2812-2512-2212-212021-01-0312-212021-06-22 --2021-06-142021-06-2012-262021-01-0512-2912-2612-2712-2912-2411-0212-2712-2812-2712-2712-21 --2021-06-222021-06-2212-282021-01-022021-02-2512-2110-1412-2712-072021-06-2112-2210-042021-06-2207-212021-06-2212-2910-0412-2412-2111-092021-06-1312-262021-06-2210-312021-06-2212-3012-2812-2112-2612-2212-2512-212021-06-222021-01-0609-272021-06-1412-2312-2712-2212-282021-06-2112-1812-252021-01-04 --12-2610-0412-2112-2812-2112-2112-272021-06-202021-06-2212-2212-2712-2812-212021-06-222021-06-2012-2812-2712-2812-2112-232021-06-1512-2712-1312-292021-06-222021-06-22 --2021-05-2612-3012-2212-2612-212021-06-2212-2112-282021-06-2112-2712-2212-2812-2812-2511-0112-212021-05-2412-2712-29 --11-022021-01-0312-2112-2712-2711-0212-2112-262021-05-3112-2212-212021-06-202021-06-212021-01-0212-2211-012021-01-0712-082021-06-2212-2112-2112-2212-212021-03-2512-312021-06-2012-2212-2712-0607-212021-03-1812-2812-292021-01-0311-0312-2712-0612-2707-2112-0812-27 --12-2612-2110-0411-0112-2112-29 --12-212021-01-0412-27 --2021-01-0112-2912-2911-022021-06-2207-212021-06-2212-282021-06-1312-272021-01-062021-01-062021-01-012021-06-202021-01-0412-2912-212021-06-222021-01-052021-05-2510-0412-0612-2812-212021-06-212021-06-2112-102021-06-2112-1310-1812-3012-28 --12-252021-01-262021-06-2212-2912-292021-01-0312-232021-06-2012-3112-2912-222021-06-2207-2112-3012-2512-252021-06-2212-2912-2112-2112-2812-262021-06-222021-01-0412-222021-06-2210-0412-2112-222021-05-252021-01-0312-2812-27 --12-2112-1412-282021-05-2512-212021-06-2012-252021-05-252021-06-222021-06-2012-2812-2711-0112-2112-23 --12-2712-2112-0712-022021-06-2212-29 --12-2612-302021-01-0412-2712-212021-06-2212-2112-1912-2212-23 --12-062021-06-192021-06-22 --12-2212-262021-06-2112-212021-06-2012-2712-272021-06-0112-2511-0212-212021-06-1612-212021-06-2112-2612-2012-1310-0411-0212-0710-0412-2212-232021-06-2212-2712-2912-2212-2212-2812-2712-222021-06-222021-06-2112-2812-2512-3112-2112-3012-2611-02
Peak daily increment 92 102 61 88 97 46 77 73 119 106 170 110 171 178 78 477 107 58 326 128 110 108 52 252 426 1250 75 157 65 95 58 208 21 484 30 240 228 107 524 155 233 201 320 107 508 43 186 62 122 123 35 105 75 256 14 75 88 172 29 175 107 27 40 90 268 52 197 249 283 59 91 32 444 23 243 5 35 53 94 285 34 553 288 38 181 598 151 26 25 58 246 27 170 248 187 118 93 119 87 109 308 12 52 71 76 160 106 124 51 81 204 64 163 147 107 56 146 593 273 41 74 80 70 90 73 94 119 55 125 54 38 82 597 92 56 180 92 451 35 24 377 219 59 201 24 109 172 103 338 101 106 23 120 476 101 26 65 26 57 116 452 143 68 74 134 18 237 275 148 70 100 283 198 73 311 428 1449 284 104 456 71 230 102 727 31 200 90 20 456 92 419 25 46 106 68 37 62 153 186 27 213 100 361 79 62 66 23 105 63 122 85 723 190 212 192 23 50 105 51 394 105 58 122 41 55 277 121 224 90 68 234 3 149 44 48 58 154 120 207 17 102 174 623 103 81 19 151 286 52 188 25 197 139 71 96 198 80 85 174 36 16 162 450 42 83 17 403 65 131 246 25 209 244 167 24 42 111 102 69 181 26 42 86 42 448 95 79 14 80 66 102 247 293 450 11 156 132 94 25 23 51 189 138 197 66 42 105 331 189 270 58 123 109 46 141 352 90 44 138 122 360 139 101 11 129 90 110 31 84 307 329 449 57 227 259 138 26 160 46 154 87 29 78 166 42 65 67 115 79 217 265 83 148 430 106 138 102 39 115 176 95 173 71 69 594
Days since peak 187 188 188 189 188 39 100 188 347 100 194 188 207 194 192 187 11 188 192 182 173 185 55 189 193 186 188 188 186 208 177 54 12 183 11 11 193 188 188 201 209 11 185 190 194 11 193 185 185 188 12 11 11 188 19 12 11 188 12 194 193 38 248 185 193 187 190 193 194 181 194 11 19 13 189 179 186 189 188 186 191 243 188 187 188 188 194 11 11 187 182 128 194 262 188 208 12 193 272 11 347 11 186 272 191 194 236 20 189 11 245 11 185 187 194 189 193 190 194 11 178 279 19 192 188 193 187 12 197 190 180 189 272 194 187 194 194 188 13 11 193 188 187 194 11 13 187 188 187 194 192 18 188 202 186 11 11 38 185 193 189 194 11 194 187 12 188 193 187 187 190 244 194 40 188 186 243 181 194 188 188 243 194 189 33 193 194 13 12 182 193 244 177 207 11 194 194 193 194 100 184 13 193 188 209 347 107 187 186 181 242 188 209 188 347 207 188 189 194 272 244 194 186 194 180 188 183 186 186 243 11 347 11 187 20 188 178 178 183 13 180 186 194 11 179 39 272 209 187 194 12 12 205 12 202 258 185 187 190 158 11 186 186 181 192 13 184 186 193 11 347 185 190 190 11 186 194 194 187 189 11 180 193 11 272 194 193 39 181 187 188 194 201 187 39 194 13 190 39 11 13 187 188 244 194 192 188 194 208 213 11 186 189 185 180 188 194 11 194 196 193 192 209 14 11 193 189 12 194 13 188 188 32 190 243 194 17 194 12 189 195 202 272 243 208 272 193 192 11 188 186 193 193 187 188 193 11 12 187 190 184 194 185 189 243
Last total 9614 7290 3203 5416 9025 4673 8877 6269 2066 16220 8854 10223 10140 12823 4059 24431 32449 22191 4722 18242 8983 8682 9421 15704 23770 23456 111569 7792 23596 11201 6281 6243 34219 5391 27752 7835 55372 11313 7040 30552 7317 12876 17240 35737 6257 25890 6773 9505 7904 12021 20761 13822 16964 6733 15955 7475 11102 27491 9045 11126 8568 8087 17839 1882 13905 13409 4736 9783 24294 24949 6590 5405 4759 9933 27324 3158 12343 312 4417 3461 6097 17562 2954 45411 26183 3241 8541 33239 9429 8623 10869 4640 4757 21354 3255 14023 26095 12914 8122 28449 4803 10846 33743 8182 3213 4612 6872 5253 9087 6975 4734 5199 6453 19891 10264 9203 6802 6417 3311 8088 31002 13024 5892 7917 5951 8237 5606 5853 6365 15555 10461 8308 3364 5640 16603 9099 52902 7624 4083 10764 5678 24122 8023 3769 23736 12977 4648 14706 5747 22487 8360 8825 22089 4793 9763 6693 7487 27910 7614 8720 5845 4920 28607 6691 6249 26764 8412 10165 3711 7901 2496 6992 16886 10285 6322 7946 20911 13390 39212 19092 27522 11037 74327 39995 5294 23579 7203 7429 7961 55026 22416 13508 3952 3076 65306 8676 27110 2976 3714 6793 17527 2547 3523 7635 13135 8162 13679 5170 21729 4870 4396 1963 11911 6698 7890 29337 9218 37379 11667 12727 7790 2215 6472 10834 7063 5908 26432 10300 3157 11295 16099 4831 6666 19029 20563 7812 34139 9495 5342 26906 100 11258 3735 11311 6695 16496 10351 15545 4396 16395 12465 34465 10387 6558 10177 13553 21824 5869 12050 2999 25100 6709 7977 5127 22862 7290 5878 7976 8253 1853 2076 28657 36256 6063 3788 5819 27354 5878 7404 47998 272 16281 16453 16633 6386 5620 5192 6403 7782 17118 1979 5700 7997 5135 22476 5821 5184 6683 10031 5771 9094 13622 16467 15454 25061 7945 8698 18751 9166 6055 6393 4255 25036 17328 22013 5854 4327 25783 5890 17049 13737 18217 12380 21504 6420 5873 3415 12160 10316 5982 3719 11724 6848 18391 8542 4779 6647 1206 31480 20409 6154 5293 7785 5706 29779 27226 26624 25132 20178 8586 8578 6316 8311 5402 8858 7049 1288 5691 9985 5049 10212 4527 6958 16121 35209 19237 5397 9159 27548 7336 9249 26142 6653 5699 12180 6777 11770 7739 5908 14364
Last daily increment 128 64 13 13 34 54 19 21 10 25 49 24 17 54 10 38 67 164 19 49 41 30 58 24 68 58 369 20 61 49 4 17 75 7 79 29 152 39 7 52 19 0 121 257 15 63 38 14 42 49 72 11 64 37 39 24 36 10 59 12 10 30 59 0 69 56 26 18 104 93 31 20 19 29 323 7 43 2 7 17 6 111 17 383 117 11 23 68 44 50 15 13 2 49 10 62 157 20 7 81 20 155 71 47 7 24 57 18 34 32 59 5 43 79 34 13 14 55 18 20 55 50 19 31 54 56 14 5 19 158 18 14 15 32 169 53 299 51 4 19 15 67 27 4 72 48 31 51 10 60 35 62 34 20 86 39 32 37 30 15 42 60 88 15 32 47 32 32 58 15 6 9 54 34 5 8 50 19 142 59 107 60 418 57 35 80 44 23 21 252 33 28 14 8 270 21 32 11 16 2 29 15 3 52 22 7 74 75 47 21 6 11 1 35 31 281 43 40 9 69 39 11 30 124 26 24 151 49 3 80 179 30 63 20 176 24 132 46 13 139 0 53 2 24 83 34 78 35 5 34 42 68 81 16 32 62 9 26 28 16 117 23 48 14 70 30 24 55 19 9 8 131 114 20 37 15 135 37 8 173 1 62 28 101 14 44 23 35 25 123 15 3 15 31 114 15 33 28 26 29 24 188 82 39 70 22 42 72 28 50 10 19 105 127 131 41 27 296 13 43 21 8 45 85 69 12 60 65 24 37 31 7 28 23 17 53 2 0 74 133 12 22 5 13 212 67 55 78 78 62 30 16 20 5 18 15 8 51 58 15 66 19 16 41 177 80 34 37 177 11 19 58 38 24 7 17 35 34 18 110
Last week 926 528 121 131 191 520 117 126 157 152 254 199 129 389 71 253 592 1099 149 263 298 180 418 285 366 366 2972 183 532 466 57 94 732 101 812 178 1394 228 60 451 182 102 1080 1810 74 407 194 134 284 411 650 177 607 359 506 143 351 443 361 124 83 246 561 25 494 329 252 236 817 813 177 167 186 411 2757 120 364 9 139 110 64 902 123 2913 839 129 200 576 357 471 134 151 107 464 111 474 889 308 89 538 173 1230 620 439 62 161 493 136 266 207 581 85 414 607 300 90 55 261 102 223 320 263 211 256 327 497 125 66 84 1558 286 88 88 236 1285 354 2763 378 58 170 65 506 201 112 602 358 195 500 136 504 190 466 322 115 448 272 154 333 164 139 310 568 500 152 245 347 209 388 330 80 75 57 552 360 56 63 370 218 997 574 897 585 3279 602 178 648 284 220 147 2170 369 286 70 102 2513 144 257 66 93 24 322 90 45 303 147 72 522 618 547 112 96 73 68 199 205 1984 288 488 102 371 320 77 153 977 214 132 1163 287 37 492 1169 226 258 192 1122 130 1144 309 102 1189 13 749 51 304 756 258 447 373 95 403 343 481 535 128 227 820 191 201 327 131 988 137 398 114 489 228 114 391 125 73 82 1093 717 185 278 111 1093 237 161 1378 9 460 169 766 113 247 128 199 182 720 135 43 141 238 907 83 161 263 305 122 137 1143 535 248 756 154 352 651 267 250 119 240 898 673 693 286 217 1756 114 362 143 139 288 818 525 104 198 399 156 194 218 68 153 168 159 281 83 40 716 949 190 174 116 176 1378 466 469 868 647 537 151 163 143 151 173 157 45 417 401 139 621 156 131 482 1476 686 187 197 1267 108 166 486 224 110 285 132 344 324 166 742
Previous peak date07-2107-21 -- --10-2707-2112-2110-07 --12-21 --10-21 --10-25 -- --12-2310-1310-20 -- --10-2611-0212-2110-07 --11-02 --10-1310-13 --10-2510-1511-1311-0212-2110-2410-26 -- -- -- --12-2811-02 -- --12-26 --10-1209-2710-2712-0710-2812-2110-0112-2612-0812-0610-2512-08 --10-1012-21 --11-02 -- --10-2710-18 --10-20 --12-2112-3107-2107-2110-14 -- -- -- --10-29 --04-2010-3110-31 --10-2910-1712-2512-2112-2110-2110-2712-2810-01 --10-12 --12-2607-2107-2112-27 --12-2411-0107-2110-27 -- --07-2110-2707-21 --12-2710-30 --10-20 --10-06 -- --12-2210-18 --07-21 -- -- --07-2112-25 -- --10-1510-2810-1107-21 -- -- -- -- --12-212021-01-05 --09-2810-2710-1412-2112-21 --10-2710-30 -- --12-1310-29 -- --12-2212-2912-2712-2811-01 -- -- --2021-01-0107-21 --06-11 -- -- -- -- -- --10-1310-2709-29 --12-3104-1411-02 -- --10-31 --10-1209-2812-27 -- --12-3111-0210-25 -- -- -- --12-21 -- -- --10-1212-2111-0307-2109-30 -- -- --12-07 -- --11-02 -- -- --09-24 -- --10-1410-26 -- --07-21 -- --10-3111-04 --11-0308-0212-21 --11-0211-01 --10-22 --12-27 --12-2607-21 --11-0211-0212-0611-02 -- --12-3110-2612-2207-21 --10-1110-1012-2710-19 --10-11 -- -- -- --10-13 -- --2021-01-0211-0211-0210-3107-2112-2109-3010-25 --11-02 --10-28 -- --12-2107-21 -- --10-25 --12-25 -- --11-0907-21 -- --12-2010-13 --10-2412-22 -- -- --12-2610-1712-2510-2910-2712-2207-2110-1810-12 -- -- --12-2210-31 -- -- --12-2510-182021-01-03 -- --10-2910-1110-1812-26 -- -- -- --12-28 --11-1312-2112-27 -- --12-08 --11-01 -- --12-1510-22 -- --12-22 --12-27 -- -- --07-21 -- --07-21 --10-1512-2210-1610-24 -- --09-3010-3010-1112-272021-01-01 --10-1910-28 --10-17 -- --
Previous peak daily increment 616 365 80 295 134 40 260 61 40 589 189 31 75 271 233 262 1226 166 98 54 234 50 363 142 434 19 307 1197 94 57 72 160 211 137 99 54 87 148 354 39 194 60 303 294 35 120 54 71 67 1272 83 35 57 68 129 18 69 22 69 189 72 25 164 25 206 59 322 226 710 536 60 39 383 25 191 31 235 102 24 30 29 97 56 475 687 150 43 131 72 1766 119 34 70 33 54 57 401 69 57 136 38 159 52 76 442 49 83 248 45 46 349 153 107 75 479 56 71 480 273 36 2237 61 298 109 105 87 302 25 191 2429 91 53 139 1007 82 113 56 68 168 1343 64 257 125 108 230 139 354 43 150 105 41 176 459 41 46 39 194 65 67 25 406 233 81 152 82 189 33 573 104 97 226 66 27 72 876 108 66 75 110 131 20 219 77 55 112 149 184 120 217 18 181 172 60 89 27 17 44 50 14 559 151 120 250 390 135 117 65 307 376 24 217 319 68 141 22 25 377 106 54 32 67
Low between peaks 0 -1 28 0 8 18 13 26 -44 -2 8 37 20 -12 48 303 55 29 19 17 2 23 -8 31 -19 -1 68 -10 19 34 54 1 8 1 23 -6 -64 5 7 2 26 -1 28 -43 -38 17 0 -11 -4 -18 12 1 39 -9 28 -31 1 -7 9 53 8 34 -47 -4 -2 -3 -6 -3 -13 -3 -32 -5 10 -1 1 -10 8 -67 1 19 -4 -5 1 -9 23 -7 -21 1 22 -40 23 1 -12 -120 -7 -8 19 -1 2 -27 15 3 -2 0 18 27 21 6 120 21 21 58 7 0 27 21 2 39 6 35 -15 8 7 18 23 -9 -7 35 16 7 50 28 6 1 3 1 20 37 0 38 -1 13 -13 -2 -20 -118 0 3 1 -8 36 92 19 -4 -20 26 14 23 31 -10 -2 24 1 -4 -7 -1 28 24 -2 -77 -40 38 -2 1 -1 43 43 -23 -9 32 31 11 7 -4 -8 5 -1 16 -4 -27 -12 -5 -2 -2 -25 7 77 -103 19 -17 -8 -20 -2 27 12 -4

Confirmed count forecast England (bold red line in graphs) 2021-07-04 to 2021-07-10

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterComhairle nan Eilean SiarConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-07-03 9614 7290 3203 5416 9025 4673 8877 6269 2066 16220 8854 10223 10140 12823 4059 24431 32449 22191 4722 18242 8983 8682 9421 15704 23770 23456 111569 7792 23596 11201 6281 6243 34219 5391 27752 7835 55372 11313 7040 30552 7317 12876 17240 35737 6257 25890 6773 9505 7904 12021 20761 13822 16964 6733 15955 7475 11102 27491 9045 11126 8568 8087 17839 1882 13905 13409 4736 9783 24294 24949 6590 5405 4759 9933 27324 3158 12343 312 4417 3461 6097 17562 2954 45411 26183 3241 8541 33239 9429 8623 10869 4640 4757 21354 3255 14023 26095 12914 8122 28449 4803 10846 33743 8182 3213 4612 6872 5253 9087 6975 4734 5199 6453 19891 10264 9203 6802 6417 3311 8088 31002 13024 5892 7917 5951 8237 5606 5853 6365 15555 10461 8308 3364 5640 16603 9099 52902 7624 4083 10764 5678 24122 8023 3769 23736 12977 4648 14706 5747 22487 8360 8825 22089 4793 9763 6693 7487 27910 7614 8720 5845 4920 28607 6691 6249 26764 8412 10165 3711 7901 2496 6992 16886 10285 6322 7946 20911 13390 39212 19092 27522 11037 74327 39995 5294 23579 7203 7429 7961 55026 22416 13508 3952 3076 65306 8676 27110 2976 3714 6793 17527 2547 3523 7635 13135 8162 13679 5170 21729 4870 4396 1963 11911 6698 7890 29337 9218 37379 11667 12727 7790 2215 6472 10834 7063 5908 26432 10300 3157 11295 16099 4831 6666 19029 20563 7812 34139 9495 5342 26906 100 11258 3735 11311 6695 16496 10351 15545 4396 16395 12465 34465 10387 6558 10177 13553 21824 5869 12050 2999 25100 6709 7977 5127 22862 7290 5878 7976 8253 1853 2076 28657 36256 6063 3788 5819 27354 5878 7404 47998 272 16281 16453 16633 6386 5620 5192 6403 7782 17118 1979 5700 7997 5135 22476 5821 5184 6683 10031 5771 9094 13622 16467 15454 25061 7945 8698 18751 9166 6055 6393 4255 25036 17328 22013 5854 4327 25783 5890 17049 13737 18217 12380 21504 6420 5873 3415 12160 10316 5982 3719 11724 6848 18391 8542 4779 6647 1206 31480 20409 6154 5293 7785 5706 29779 27226 26624 25132 20178 8586 8578 6316 8311 5402 8858 7049 1288 5691 9985 5049 10212 4527 6958 16121 35209 19237 5397 9159 27548 7336 9249 26142 6653 5699 12180 6777 11770 7739 5908 14364
2021-07-04 9630 7362 3222 5416 9060 4673 8893 6291 2089 16240 8895 10260 10170 12880 4068 24470 32530 22360 4728 18280 9029 8717 9501 15700 23830 23510 112100 7799 23730 11220 6289 6252 34290 5411 27850 7858 55600 11350 7043 30620 7345 12880 17440 36000 6264 25950 6805 9525 7951 12040 20820 13840 17060 6785 16030 7491 11140 27560 9098 11150 8581 8125 17920 1886 13980 13460 4770 9804 24440 25070 6614 5437 4787 9980 27730 3172 12400 313 4434 3483 6109 17650 2974 45970 26330 3247 8565 33330 9485 8702 10890 4663 4762 21400 3272 14100 26260 12980 8134 28520 4832 10870 33790 8250 3215 4635 6936 5274 9127 7007 4735 5199 6514 19980 10320 9213 6814 6451 3323 8114 31050 13070 5915 7958 6001 8306 5622 5853 6376 15850 10490 8319 3379 5674 16770 9170 53290 7672 4096 10790 5685 24190 8057 3787 23820 13030 4680 14760 5769 22560 8392 8894 22150 4810 9830 6741 7512 27960 7639 8742 5901 5003 28680 6714 6291 26810 8449 10210 3757 7916 2505 7000 16970 10330 6327 7955 20970 13420 39310 19190 27650 11100 74580 40080 5322 23670 7246 7466 7981 55490 22470 13560 3963 3089 65560 8694 27150 2988 3714 6796 17570 2560 3530 7680 13160 8173 13760 5172 21810 4890 4411 1974 11920 6728 7931 29640 9266 37430 11680 12790 7820 2228 6501 11040 7096 5932 26550 10340 3157 11380 16280 4867 6713 19050 20680 7838 34310 9540 5359 27120 101 11320 3744 11360 6785 16540 10420 15610 4412 16460 12520 34540 10470 6577 10210 13640 21830 5900 12090 3017 25270 6732 7995 5148 22940 7328 5892 8040 8270 1863 2088 28810 36380 6091 3831 5819 27440 5916 7420 48250 273 16310 16450 16760 6410 5656 5211 6429 7801 17240 1999 5700 8017 5171 22600 5835 5209 6726 10080 5791 9113 13800 16550 15490 25140 7970 8757 18890 9214 6099 6413 4287 25170 17440 22130 5907 4362 26070 5905 17100 13760 18220 12430 21580 6628 5890 3415 12230 10340 6005 3754 11730 6874 18410 8567 4826 6658 1209 31590 20550 6186 5319 7801 5732 30010 27300 26680 25260 20250 8692 8602 6341 8329 5411 8882 7069 1294 5747 10040 5071 10300 4550 6985 16150 35370 19360 5425 9189 27780 7351 9263 26210 6687 5720 12230 6795 11820 7784 5933 14480
2021-07-05 9800 7436 3246 5426 9096 4755 8906 6311 2117 16270 8929 10290 10190 12940 4073 24500 32600 22540 4728 18320 9078 8752 9564 15720 23890 23580 112600 7799 23890 11270 6300 6258 34400 5429 27980 7872 55840 11380 7049 30680 7376 12880 17620 36260 6274 26010 6838 9549 7998 12100 20930 13860 17180 6845 16130 7512 11190 27660 9132 11160 8596 8165 18010 1888 14050 13520 4802 9825 24570 25200 6635 5463 4819 10060 28220 3181 12460 314 4440 3501 6121 17790 2992 46500 26470 3247 8592 33410 9543 8788 10920 4687 4762 21450 3294 14180 26410 13040 8149 28580 4876 11070 33870 8345 3215 4658 6995 5295 9169 7035 4859 5199 6584 20090 10380 9227 6822 6493 3323 8134 31100 13110 5937 8003 6059 8378 5640 5858 6377 16120 10520 8331 3393 5702 16880 9236 53720 7742 4103 10820 5694 24260 8096 3820 23900 13090 4714 14830 5789 22630 8425 8972 22210 4826 9900 6783 7533 28010 7661 8771 5948 5118 28750 6740 6331 26880 8474 10290 3797 7928 2515 7009 17070 10380 6333 7966 21020 13440 39470 19300 27800 11170 75020 40170 5350 23790 7292 7496 7996 55930 22510 13620 3972 3101 66000 8712 27190 3000 3720 6801 17620 2567 3541 7733 13180 8182 13840 5249 21900 4919 4429 1984 11920 6752 7959 29960 9315 37490 11690 12830 7820 2241 6530 11290 7135 5956 26730 10380 3158 11460 16430 4906 6757 19050 20830 7863 34520 9580 5374 27330 101 11390 3749 11400 6876 16580 10480 15670 4429 16530 12580 34620 10570 6594 10240 13730 21840 5938 12140 3035 25450 6755 7995 5165 23030 7363 5892 8104 8283 1871 2103 28990 36500 6127 3879 5831 27560 5956 7437 48470 274 16370 16460 16890 6431 5674 5229 6448 7814 17370 2019 5702 8040 5210 22740 5847 5228 6777 10130 5815 9136 13940 16630 15520 25240 7998 8814 19010 9255 6135 6433 4320 25320 17540 22250 5955 4405 26340 5920 17160 13790 18220 12470 21720 6762 5906 3451 12300 10360 6033 3791 11730 6895 18440 8587 4873 6670 1215 31710 20720 6215 5350 7823 5761 30230 27370 26720 25380 20380 8780 8624 6367 8343 5417 8896 7090 1299 5801 10100 5093 10390 4574 7008 16230 35620 19490 5450 9218 28010 7366 9264 26280 6722 5734 12270 6806 11880 7835 5960 14590
2021-07-06 9940 7519 3267 5437 9133 4832 8920 6331 2142 16290 8964 10320 10200 13000 4080 24530 32680 22710 4728 18360 9124 8781 9625 15760 23940 23630 113100 7799 23990 11330 6310 6266 34510 5447 28090 7890 56050 11420 7055 30750 7405 12890 17790 36500 6286 26070 6871 9570 8042 12160 21030 13880 17280 6902 16220 7535 11240 27740 9174 11190 8609 8202 18090 1891 14120 13570 4835 9846 24690 25320 6657 5484 4850 10130 28660 3193 12520 315 4451 3520 6130 17940 3010 47020 26610 3247 8616 33500 9598 8859 10940 4710 4764 21500 3314 14260 26560 13090 8162 28660 4912 11260 33940 8426 3215 4681 7057 5320 9209 7065 4960 5200 6648 20180 10420 9239 6830 6524 3324 8157 31150 13150 5959 8045 6111 8449 5657 5865 6383 16390 10540 8346 3406 5732 17000 9284 54120 7796 4113 10850 5704 24320 8132 3846 23990 13140 4746 14890 5810 22700 8457 9045 22260 4842 9970 6822 7555 28070 7684 8797 5993 5220 28820 6764 6363 26930 8503 10360 3839 7940 2524 7017 17170 10430 6336 7975 21080 13470 39620 19400 27940 11240 75500 40270 5374 23890 7336 7526 8013 56330 22560 13660 3982 3113 66430 8739 27230 3011 3732 6805 17660 2576 3549 7786 13200 8192 13910 5326 21980 4943 4445 1995 11920 6778 7999 30260 9364 37550 11700 12880 7830 2254 6556 11560 7164 5978 26910 10420 3161 11540 16590 4943 6801 19050 21010 7887 34710 9620 5389 27500 101 11460 3756 11440 6966 16620 10540 15730 4445 16610 12640 34690 10660 6612 10280 13820 21850 5973 12190 3053 25580 6777 7995 5186 23110 7398 5892 8167 8298 1880 2116 29190 36620 6159 3923 5848 27670 5995 7455 48710 275 16420 16490 17020 6453 5700 5247 6471 7830 17470 2039 5703 8061 5247 22900 5860 5249 6824 10180 5838 9155 14100 16710 15560 25320 8025 8869 19110 9295 6171 6452 4351 25460 17640 22360 6002 4444 26620 5934 17220 13810 18220 12510 21840 6900 5922 3488 12360 10390 6058 3826 11730 6917 18460 8614 4918 6682 1221 31830 20900 6251 5378 7842 5789 30420 27450 26770 25520 20470 8865 8647 6392 8358 5425 8914 7112 1304 5856 10160 5115 10480 4597 7028 16310 35860 19610 5476 9247 28230 7381 9270 26330 6755 5748 12310 6819 11940 7883 5986 14690
2021-07-07 10090 7611 3287 5447 9167 4904 8934 6351 2166 16310 9002 10350 10220 13060 4087 24560 32760 22880 4728 18400 9168 8817 9697 15800 24000 23690 113600 7799 24090 11400 6319 6275 34640 5463 28200 7909 56290 11450 7063 30810 7432 12900 17940 36780 6296 26130 6901 9591 8080 12220 21130 13900 17390 6956 16310 7555 11280 27820 9219 11200 8623 8237 18180 1894 14200 13620 4869 9868 24820 25440 6679 5511 4878 10190 29060 3206 12580 316 4465 3538 6142 18080 3028 47540 26760 3247 8640 33580 9651 8936 10960 4732 4768 21550 3332 14340 26710 13130 8175 28720 4944 11460 34020 8498 3215 4703 7119 5338 9248 7094 5049 5209 6709 20280 10460 9255 6838 6560 3330 8181 31200 13190 5983 8084 6161 8517 5677 5872 6390 16650 10570 8358 3419 5762 17120 9343 54510 7853 4122 10880 5712 24390 8165 3869 24070 13190 4777 14940 5830 22770 8487 9115 22310 4857 10030 6858 7577 28110 7707 8820 6046 5315 28890 6787 6401 26990 8530 10410 3880 7951 2532 7024 17260 10470 6345 7984 21130 13500 39770 19520 28070 11320 75920 40360 5398 23990 7378 7556 8031 56730 22610 13720 3991 3126 66820 8762 27270 3023 3738 6809 17710 2587 3557 7837 13230 8202 13990 5402 22060 4965 4460 2005 11930 6804 8029 30540 9410 37610 11700 12930 7851 2267 6587 11820 7196 6000 27090 10460 3166 11620 16750 4978 6843 19060 21180 7910 34880 9675 5404 27690 101 11540 3763 11480 7054 16670 10600 15790 4459 16680 12690 34760 10750 6630 10310 13910 21860 6005 12240 3070 25730 6797 7995 5201 23190 7433 5894 8228 8314 1889 2129 29380 36750 6189 3964 5858 27810 6032 7471 48920 276 16470 16510 17160 6477 5728 5265 6494 7848 17590 2059 5706 8081 5284 23060 5872 5271 6868 10220 5861 9175 14270 16790 15590 25400 8049 8922 19210 9335 6198 6471 4382 25600 17740 22470 6047 4481 26890 5948 17270 13840 18220 12550 21960 7041 5938 3524 12430 10410 6082 3861 11730 6940 18480 8638 4962 6693 1225 31940 21080 6281 5405 7859 5816 30640 27520 26820 25650 20570 8947 8669 6415 8374 5434 8934 7136 1309 5911 10220 5136 10560 4619 7043 16380 36100 19720 5502 9275 28430 7395 9280 26390 6788 5764 12350 6834 11990 7929 6010 14800
2021-07-08 10240 7682 3307 5458 9201 4976 8949 6371 2190 16330 9050 10380 10240 13120 4095 24590 32840 23040 4728 18440 9212 8847 9755 15840 24050 23740 114100 7799 24170 11470 6327 6284 34760 5475 28330 7930 56500 11490 7069 30880 7459 12900 18100 37020 6304 26190 6932 9611 8120 12260 21210 13920 17490 7010 16390 7574 11310 27890 9265 11230 8636 8271 18260 1897 14270 13670 4902 9890 24950 25560 6702 5535 4907 10250 29460 3220 12630 317 4479 3557 6150 18200 3046 47960 26900 3247 8664 33670 9704 9013 10990 4755 4772 21610 3350 14420 26850 13200 8187 28780 4975 11630 34100 8568 3215 4726 7181 5356 9287 7123 5133 5216 6769 20370 10500 9266 6846 6599 3338 8205 31250 13240 6006 8124 6211 8585 5702 5877 6398 16810 10600 8371 3432 5794 17240 9402 54890 7906 4132 10900 5723 24450 8199 3891 24150 13250 4808 15000 5851 22840 8518 9185 22370 4873 10100 6905 7599 28160 7730 8843 6090 5409 28960 6810 6440 27050 8565 10470 3922 7961 2541 7032 17350 10520 6352 7988 21190 13530 39920 19630 28200 11380 76460 40450 5426 24080 7421 7591 8049 57140 22660 13760 4001 3139 67170 8781 27310 3034 3744 6812 17750 2597 3565 7876 13250 8212 14060 5478 22140 4986 4475 2015 11930 6830 8063 30830 9449 37660 11720 12980 7874 2279 6614 12220 7232 6022 27250 10500 3169 11690 16920 5013 6885 19080 21370 7933 35060 9719 5419 27860 101 11610 3770 11530 7143 16710 10670 15850 4472 16740 12750 34830 10840 6648 10340 14000 21880 6036 12280 3087 25870 6817 7995 5222 23270 7468 5902 8290 8330 1898 2141 29540 36850 6218 4004 5875 27930 6069 7488 49150 277 16530 16520 17270 6497 5757 5283 6519 7866 17700 2079 5706 8102 5320 23190 5885 5294 6912 10270 5878 9200 14430 16870 15630 25490 8074 8975 19300 9374 6234 6489 4413 25740 17850 22580 6093 4517 27160 5961 17330 13850 18220 12600 22070 7180 5953 3559 12480 10430 6114 3895 11730 6962 18500 8667 5006 6704 1229 32050 21220 6311 5431 7877 5842 30850 27600 26870 25790 20660 9029 8692 6443 8391 5443 8955 7157 1314 5966 10270 5158 10650 4642 7063 16460 36320 19810 5529 9303 28610 7410 9291 26440 6821 5786 12400 6850 12050 7975 6035 14900
2021-07-09 10370 7755 3326 5466 9233 5047 8964 6392 2213 16350 9083 10400 10260 13180 4104 24620 32920 23210 4728 18470 9256 8877 9800 15880 24110 23800 114500 7799 24230 11530 6336 6294 34850 5490 28430 7951 56700 11520 7075 30940 7486 12910 18260 37240 6315 26250 6962 9630 8157 12320 21300 13940 17570 7063 16470 7593 11340 27960 9313 11240 8649 8306 18340 1900 14340 13720 4936 9912 25040 25680 6726 5559 4934 10280 29840 3234 12690 318 4495 3575 6161 18320 3064 48400 27030 3247 8688 33750 9757 9088 11010 4776 4778 21640 3368 14490 26990 13260 8199 28840 5004 11790 34180 8635 3215 4748 7245 5376 9326 7153 5211 5220 6828 20460 10540 9275 6856 6634 3348 8230 31300 13270 6030 8162 6259 8652 5724 5891 6407 16990 10630 8387 3445 5826 17370 9451 55270 7957 4141 10930 5734 24520 8231 3911 24240 13300 4838 15060 5871 22900 8548 9254 22420 4889 10160 6939 7621 28210 7754 8865 6127 5501 29030 6833 6476 27100 8594 10520 3965 7971 2550 7040 17430 10570 6360 8000 21240 13550 40050 19720 28330 11430 76870 40540 5457 24180 7463 7614 8068 57460 22710 13790 4011 3152 67460 8807 27350 3045 3759 6816 17790 2609 3572 7915 13270 8222 14140 5554 22220 5006 4489 2025 11940 6857 8095 31110 9480 37720 11720 13040 7902 2291 6638 12520 7262 6044 27410 10540 3175 11750 17100 5047 6927 19090 21530 7956 35220 9760 5433 28000 101 11650 3778 11570 7232 16740 10740 15910 4486 16790 12780 34900 10920 6666 10360 14090 21890 6066 12340 3104 25990 6837 8009 5238 23350 7503 5913 8351 8346 1907 2153 29670 36940 6247 4043 5886 28040 6106 7505 49340 279 16570 16540 17370 6512 5789 5301 6544 7886 17790 2099 5708 8122 5355 23290 5897 5317 6954 10320 5900 9219 14600 16950 15660 25570 8098 9029 19370 9414 6273 6508 4443 25880 17950 22690 6131 4552 27430 5976 17380 13880 18230 12640 22180 7269 5969 3595 12540 10450 6135 3929 11730 6985 18520 8690 5050 6714 1233 32160 21350 6337 5457 7893 5868 31040 27670 26930 25880 20740 9111 8715 6473 8408 5452 8977 7179 1320 6022 10330 5179 10730 4664 7080 16520 36520 19900 5555 9332 28800 7425 9304 26500 6854 5809 12430 6866 12100 8021 6059 15010
2021-07-10 10450 7809 3345 5479 9258 5118 8979 6412 2235 16370 9122 10430 10280 13240 4112 24660 32990 23370 4728 18520 9300 8900 9849 15890 24160 23850 114900 7805 24290 11570 6344 6303 34920 5499 28510 7973 56850 11560 7080 30990 7512 12920 18390 37460 6326 26310 6992 9650 8194 12360 21370 13950 17630 7116 16550 7612 11380 28030 9363 11260 8661 8340 18420 1903 14410 13770 4969 9934 25140 25800 6749 5579 4962 10290 30210 3248 12740 319 4512 3594 6169 18430 3082 48790 27140 3247 8711 33830 9811 9145 11030 4798 4783 21700 3385 14560 27120 13280 8211 28910 5032 11900 34250 8700 3215 4771 7308 5393 9365 7183 5287 5227 6886 20550 10570 9286 6867 6677 3359 8255 31340 13310 6054 8201 6307 8719 5738 5895 6417 17150 10660 8398 3458 5858 17490 9497 55650 8004 4146 10950 5745 24580 8263 3931 24320 13350 4869 15110 5891 22970 8578 9322 22470 4905 10230 6974 7644 28260 7777 8887 6165 5592 29100 6856 6506 27140 8620 10550 4008 7982 2558 7047 17520 10610 6366 8006 21300 13580 40170 19780 28450 11490 77260 40600 5485 24270 7504 7635 8087 57700 22760 13820 4022 3164 67720 8825 27390 3057 3770 6819 17840 2621 3580 7958 13290 8233 14210 5630 22290 5026 4503 2035 11950 6884 8125 31400 9521 37770 11730 13090 7931 2304 6661 12520 7287 6065 27540 10580 3177 11820 17280 5082 6969 19110 21680 7979 35380 9799 5448 28140 102 11730 3785 11610 7322 16770 10810 15950 4500 16820 12830 34970 11010 6684 10390 14170 21910 6096 12370 3121 26100 6857 8029 5253 23420 7538 5924 8412 8363 1916 2165 29800 37040 6275 4081 5897 28160 6143 7521 49520 280 16630 16560 17470 6526 5821 5319 6569 7905 17900 2120 5711 8142 5391 23390 5910 5340 6996 10370 5919 9239 14780 17030 15700 25650 8122 9082 19450 9453 6310 6526 4473 26010 18060 22800 6169 4587 27710 5990 17430 13900 18240 12680 22260 7271 5985 3632 12600 10470 6165 3963 11730 7009 18540 8708 5095 6725 1236 32270 21480 6354 5482 7909 5894 31240 27730 26980 25970 20810 9192 8737 6490 8425 5461 8999 7193 1325 6078 10380 5200 10820 4686 7097 16560 36690 19980 5581 9360 28970 7439 9318 26550 6887 5825 12450 6883 12150 8066 6083 15110

Confirmed count average forecast England (bold black line in graphs) 2021-07-04 to 2021-07-10

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterComhairle nan Eilean SiarConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-07-03 9614 7290 3203 5416 9025 4673 8877 6269 2066 16220 8854 10223 10140 12823 4059 24431 32449 22191 4722 18242 8983 8682 9421 15704 23770 23456 111569 7792 23596 11201 6281 6243 34219 5391 27752 7835 55372 11313 7040 30552 7317 12876 17240 35737 6257 25890 6773 9505 7904 12021 20761 13822 16964 6733 15955 7475 11102 27491 9045 11126 8568 8087 17839 1882 13905 13409 4736 9783 24294 24949 6590 5405 4759 9933 27324 3158 12343 312 4417 3461 6097 17562 2954 45411 26183 3241 8541 33239 9429 8623 10869 4640 4757 21354 3255 14023 26095 12914 8122 28449 4803 10846 33743 8182 3213 4612 6872 5253 9087 6975 4734 5199 6453 19891 10264 9203 6802 6417 3311 8088 31002 13024 5892 7917 5951 8237 5606 5853 6365 15555 10461 8308 3364 5640 16603 9099 52902 7624 4083 10764 5678 24122 8023 3769 23736 12977 4648 14706 5747 22487 8360 8825 22089 4793 9763 6693 7487 27910 7614 8720 5845 4920 28607 6691 6249 26764 8412 10165 3711 7901 2496 6992 16886 10285 6322 7946 20911 13390 39212 19092 27522 11037 74327 39995 5294 23579 7203 7429 7961 55026 22416 13508 3952 3076 65306 8676 27110 2976 3714 6793 17527 2547 3523 7635 13135 8162 13679 5170 21729 4870 4396 1963 11911 6698 7890 29337 9218 37379 11667 12727 7790 2215 6472 10834 7063 5908 26432 10300 3157 11295 16099 4831 6666 19029 20563 7812 34139 9495 5342 26906 100 11258 3735 11311 6695 16496 10351 15545 4396 16395 12465 34465 10387 6558 10177 13553 21824 5869 12050 2999 25100 6709 7977 5127 22862 7290 5878 7976 8253 1853 2076 28657 36256 6063 3788 5819 27354 5878 7404 47998 272 16281 16453 16633 6386 5620 5192 6403 7782 17118 1979 5700 7997 5135 22476 5821 5184 6683 10031 5771 9094 13622 16467 15454 25061 7945 8698 18751 9166 6055 6393 4255 25036 17328 22013 5854 4327 25783 5890 17049 13737 18217 12380 21504 6420 5873 3415 12160 10316 5982 3719 11724 6848 18391 8542 4779 6647 1206 31480 20409 6154 5293 7785 5706 29779 27226 26624 25132 20178 8586 8578 6316 8311 5402 8858 7049 1288 5691 9985 5049 10212 4527 6958 16121 35209 19237 5397 9159 27548 7336 9249 26142 6653 5699 12180 6777 11770 7739 5908 14364
2021-07-04 9730 7372 3220 5432 9053 4733 8894 6289 2085 16240 8888 10250 10160 12880 4070 24470 32540 22350 4740 18280 9019 8709 9481 15730 23830 23510 112000 7817 23680 11260 6288 6258 34320 5408 27840 7862 55570 11350 7049 30610 7342 12890 17380 35980 6267 25950 6799 9524 7948 12080 20850 13840 17050 6783 16020 7495 11150 27530 9101 11140 8580 8121 17910 1885 13970 13460 4775 9806 24410 25070 6613 5429 4782 9980 27720 3169 12390 313 4430 3479 6105 17680 2973 45870 26310 3257 8571 33320 9476 8689 10890 4653 4770 21410 3268 14090 26220 12960 8133 28530 4825 11000 33820 8250 3220 4633 6938 5270 9125 7006 4814 5208 6503 19970 10300 9215 6813 6460 3323 8117 31050 13060 5919 7955 6005 8310 5624 5860 6375 15790 10500 8321 3376 5672 16790 9149 53260 7680 4094 10790 5687 24190 8052 3785 23820 13020 4670 14770 5765 22550 8387 8895 22120 4812 9830 6728 7509 27960 7638 8740 5889 4982 28680 6709 6282 26810 8442 10210 3758 7911 2504 7000 16960 10330 6330 7957 20960 13420 39380 19170 27650 11120 74750 40060 5321 23660 7243 7456 7980 55340 22460 13550 3963 3090 65590 8694 27150 2987 3727 6795 17570 2561 3530 7679 13160 8169 13750 5247 21790 4892 4407 1972 11920 6732 7924 29640 9260 37440 11680 12780 7832 2226 6496 10960 7097 5928 26590 10340 3159 11360 16280 4863 6708 19050 20720 7830 34290 9531 5357 27070 101 11330 3742 11350 6801 16530 10420 15590 4405 16450 12520 34530 10460 6574 10210 13660 21840 5901 12090 3017 25220 6727 8025 5145 22940 7324 5893 8033 8272 1863 2086 28800 36360 6093 3831 5830 27500 5913 7421 48200 273 16350 16470 16750 6401 5657 5208 6437 7808 17220 1996 5706 8016 5170 22600 5832 5208 6719 10070 5789 9113 13800 16550 15490 25160 7965 8746 18840 9203 6094 6408 4281 25150 17420 22110 5892 4359 26050 5905 17100 13750 18230 12420 21610 6500 5888 3441 12230 10340 6015 3754 11730 6871 18420 8565 4818 6655 1215 31560 20530 6179 5316 7798 5728 29990 27290 26690 25250 20270 8668 8600 6339 8334 5416 8884 7073 1294 5749 10040 5067 10300 4549 6973 16170 35390 19340 5422 9190 27750 7351 9276 26200 6685 5720 12210 6796 11820 7784 5930 14480
2021-07-05 9870 7443 3239 5450 9077 4808 8908 6305 2117 16250 8913 10280 10170 12920 4078 24500 32630 22500 4759 18310 9058 8733 9540 15750 23870 23550 112400 7842 23800 11320 6295 6272 34430 5427 27950 7886 55780 11370 7056 30670 7368 12890 17510 36230 6273 26000 6826 9544 7985 12150 20960 13860 17160 6846 16100 7511 11210 27600 9147 11150 8590 8151 17980 1888 14020 13490 4819 9826 24520 25210 6636 5451 4806 10030 28230 3185 12450 314 4444 3494 6112 17840 2991 46350 26430 3271 8599 33390 9524 8759 10910 4668 4790 21490 3283 14150 26310 13000 8146 28600 4859 11190 33920 8338 3227 4656 7011 5288 9167 7029 4940 5218 6569 20040 10350 9226 6820 6495 3331 8146 31100 13090 5948 7994 6063 8394 5639 5868 6381 16020 10540 8331 3387 5705 16960 9195 53650 7746 4102 10810 5692 24250 8080 3810 23900 13070 4695 14850 5786 22610 8413 8963 22150 4826 9880 6759 7524 28010 7661 8765 5932 5063 28740 6729 6316 26860 8461 10290 3796 7918 2511 7005 17050 10380 6337 7965 20990 13450 39530 19260 27780 11190 75250 40160 5339 23750 7277 7480 7995 55700 22500 13600 3971 3106 66040 8711 27190 2998 3738 6798 17610 2573 3538 7716 13170 8175 13820 5330 21860 4918 4422 1982 11920 6755 7945 29930 9297 37520 11690 12830 7875 2237 6516 11090 7135 5943 26770 10370 3162 11430 16460 4893 6737 19070 20870 7846 34480 9566 5374 27250 102 11430 3750 11400 6899 16560 10470 15650 4413 16520 12580 34600 10530 6587 10240 13790 21870 5934 12140 3037 25410 6743 8072 5156 23010 7354 5902 8088 8287 1872 2098 28980 36450 6127 3881 5845 27660 5944 7441 48400 275 16410 16490 16860 6421 5686 5222 6464 7832 17320 2012 5714 8037 5205 22750 5842 5222 6754 10130 5806 9130 13960 16610 15520 25270 7981 8790 18940 9238 6121 6426 4318 25260 17490 22190 5932 4396 26300 5918 17150 13770 18250 12460 21760 6571 5900 3458 12280 10350 6044 3797 11740 6888 18440 8588 4848 6662 1226 31650 20670 6204 5341 7815 5748 30130 27350 26760 25370 20380 8758 8615 6360 8353 5430 8908 7096 1296 5813 10090 5083 10390 4567 6994 16250 35620 19450 5442 9221 27950 7362 9303 26260 6711 5733 12250 6812 11870 7836 5948 14600
2021-07-06 10000 7519 3258 5469 9101 4879 8922 6322 2145 16260 8940 10310 10190 12980 4087 24540 32720 22640 4774 18340 9095 8756 9602 15780 23910 23590 112900 7869 23890 11380 6301 6287 34540 5445 28060 7907 55980 11400 7063 30740 7393 12910 17640 36470 6279 26050 6850 9564 8022 12210 21070 13890 17260 6908 16170 7530 11270 27650 9191 11160 8597 8181 18050 1891 14060 13520 4866 9846 24640 25340 6660 5471 4830 10090 28730 3200 12510 315 4460 3508 6119 18000 3009 46840 26550 3286 8632 33470 9571 8825 10930 4683 4809 21560 3297 14230 26430 13040 8159 28680 4894 11380 34020 8416 3234 4676 7087 5308 9206 7053 5047 5229 6633 20110 10390 9238 6825 6522 3340 8176 31140 13120 5980 8032 6119 8470 5653 5876 6387 16260 10580 8342 3398 5737 17140 9237 54080 7805 4112 10830 5697 24310 8106 3833 23990 13110 4719 14920 5806 22680 8438 9028 22180 4840 9930 6789 7539 28060 7683 8788 5974 5138 28800 6750 6345 26910 8483 10360 3835 7925 2517 7011 17140 10430 6343 7973 21020 13480 39680 19350 27930 11270 75760 40260 5358 23840 7312 7504 8009 56050 22540 13650 3979 3123 66450 8732 27230 3009 3751 6801 17660 2585 3546 7754 13190 8183 13890 5417 21930 4941 4434 1992 11920 6780 7975 30220 9334 37600 11700 12870 7919 2247 6534 11220 7166 5959 26960 10400 3165 11490 16640 4923 6764 19090 21030 7862 34680 9598 5390 27420 102 11540 3758 11440 6997 16580 10520 15710 4422 16590 12630 34660 10610 6601 10270 13920 21890 5966 12180 3057 25530 6759 8120 5173 23090 7385 5912 8143 8305 1883 2110 29170 36520 6163 3928 5861 27810 5975 7461 48600 277 16480 16510 16970 6440 5719 5236 6494 7857 17420 2029 5721 8056 5241 22900 5853 5239 6793 10170 5823 9143 14120 16680 15540 25390 7997 8835 19040 9275 6150 6443 4352 25380 17570 22270 5973 4432 26550 5933 17210 13790 18270 12490 21880 6641 5914 3475 12340 10360 6072 3842 11740 6906 18460 8614 4881 6670 1237 31760 20820 6233 5363 7832 5770 30280 27410 26830 25500 20480 8841 8632 6381 8371 5445 8934 7120 1300 5878 10140 5099 10480 4585 7013 16340 35840 19560 5465 9250 28150 7374 9327 26300 6740 5745 12280 6826 11920 7886 5965 14720
2021-07-07 10130 7609 3277 5486 9126 4943 8936 6339 2175 16270 8971 10330 10200 13030 4096 24570 32800 22790 4789 18370 9132 8781 9673 15810 23950 23620 113300 7890 23980 11440 6308 6303 34660 5463 28160 7929 56200 11420 7071 30800 7419 12920 17750 36730 6286 26100 6873 9584 8057 12280 21170 13910 17360 6968 16240 7548 11330 27720 9239 11170 8604 8212 18120 1894 14110 13550 4914 9865 24750 25470 6683 5494 4853 10140 29170 3215 12560 315 4477 3523 6128 18160 3027 47320 26670 3301 8663 33540 9619 8894 10950 4695 4827 21620 3311 14290 26530 13080 8172 28750 4928 11570 34110 8491 3242 4698 7161 5326 9247 7079 5145 5244 6693 20180 10420 9251 6831 6556 3350 8206 31190 13160 6010 8069 6174 8541 5670 5884 6395 16500 10630 8353 3408 5766 17310 9279 54480 7866 4121 10860 5702 24370 8129 3854 24080 13140 4744 14990 5826 22740 8464 9096 22200 4855 9980 6820 7553 28110 7706 8811 6018 5226 28870 6773 6377 26960 8506 10420 3873 7933 2524 7017 17220 10480 6351 7982 21060 13510 39830 19440 28070 11370 76210 40340 5377 23930 7347 7530 8024 56390 22590 13700 3987 3139 66860 8752 27270 3020 3761 6804 17710 2598 3554 7792 13200 8191 13960 5501 22000 4964 4448 2002 11920 6806 7996 30510 9370 37670 11710 12910 7965 2257 6556 11360 7198 5976 27140 10440 3171 11560 16830 4953 6791 19110 21180 7879 34840 9645 5406 27590 103 11650 3766 11480 7097 16620 10570 15760 4429 16660 12690 34720 10680 6615 10310 14040 21910 5997 12230 3076 25680 6774 8169 5184 23160 7416 5923 8199 8324 1892 2122 29370 36620 6189 3973 5872 27980 6006 7481 48800 278 16540 16530 17090 6461 5751 5251 6523 7881 17520 2047 5729 8077 5277 23050 5866 5255 6830 10220 5840 9156 14290 16750 15580 25500 8015 8881 19130 9313 6179 6460 4385 25490 17650 22340 6014 4464 26800 5949 17260 13800 18280 12530 22010 6719 5928 3493 12400 10380 6100 3884 11750 6925 18480 8638 4916 6676 1246 31850 20960 6259 5385 7848 5796 30460 27470 26900 25630 20590 8924 8649 6402 8388 5459 8959 7146 1303 5936 10200 5116 10570 4604 7025 16410 36050 19660 5487 9278 28330 7386 9352 26350 6771 5759 12320 6845 11960 7936 5983 14830
2021-07-08 10250 7679 3292 5504 9147 5014 8951 6356 2208 16290 9005 10350 10220 13080 4105 24610 32870 22940 4803 18410 9170 8804 9728 15840 23990 23660 113700 7913 24070 11510 6314 6316 34770 5477 28270 7953 56400 11440 7078 30870 7444 12930 17880 36960 6292 26150 6898 9603 8093 12330 21260 13930 17450 7027 16310 7565 11380 27780 9287 11180 8612 8243 18190 1897 14160 13580 4955 9883 24860 25600 6707 5515 4877 10190 29600 3230 12610 316 4495 3540 6135 18310 3045 47730 26790 3317 8692 33620 9666 8961 10970 4711 4846 21690 3325 14360 26610 13130 8184 28820 4959 11740 34200 8564 3249 4718 7225 5341 9286 7105 5248 5255 6750 20240 10460 9263 6837 6600 3361 8237 31230 13190 6037 8100 6229 8609 5690 5889 6401 16660 10670 8364 3419 5797 17500 9320 54830 7925 4131 10880 5709 24430 8151 3875 24160 13180 4768 15060 5845 22800 8489 9156 22230 4871 10030 6856 7567 28150 7728 8835 6060 5314 28930 6791 6406 27010 8533 10480 3910 7939 2531 7024 17310 10530 6359 7987 21090 13550 39970 19530 28200 11440 76710 40430 5398 24020 7384 7554 8039 56740 22630 13730 3995 3151 67230 8771 27310 3031 3771 6807 17750 2611 3561 7829 13220 8197 14030 5581 22070 4986 4461 2012 11920 6831 8016 30800 9403 37740 11720 12960 8010 2267 6575 11520 7232 5992 27300 10470 3173 11630 17000 4980 6820 19130 21340 7895 35010 9681 5421 27760 103 11730 3775 11520 7186 16650 10630 15810 4436 16730 12750 34780 10750 6631 10330 14150 21930 6028 12270 3095 25790 6791 8218 5196 23220 7448 5934 8256 8340 1901 2133 29540 36670 6218 4018 5885 28130 6038 7502 49000 280 16610 16540 17190 6479 5782 5265 6551 7906 17610 2064 5735 8094 5308 23180 5876 5271 6864 10270 5853 9172 14460 16820 15610 25610 8029 8927 19220 9348 6208 6478 4417 25610 17730 22410 6056 4494 27050 5962 17310 13810 18300 12570 22120 6801 5942 3509 12460 10390 6129 3924 11750 6943 18500 8665 4946 6683 1255 31940 21070 6285 5403 7864 5815 30630 27530 26970 25760 20680 9006 8665 6425 8404 5473 8985 7168 1307 5997 10240 5134 10660 4621 7039 16490 36230 19750 5506 9306 28490 7396 9378 26390 6799 5776 12360 6861 12010 7987 6002 14950
2021-07-09 10380 7744 3310 5520 9167 5083 8966 6373 2234 16300 9033 10370 10230 13130 4115 24640 32950 23090 4816 18440 9209 8829 9775 15870 24030 23690 114200 7938 24150 11580 6321 6329 34870 5494 28370 7976 56600 11460 7084 30920 7468 12940 18000 37180 6298 26200 6917 9623 8128 12380 21350 13950 17540 7084 16380 7582 11440 27850 9333 11190 8620 8275 18260 1900 14210 13610 5001 9902 24980 25730 6730 5537 4901 10220 30000 3245 12660 317 4513 3554 6144 18430 3063 48160 26920 3333 8719 33700 9713 9030 10990 4729 4864 21760 3340 14430 26720 13180 8197 28890 4987 11890 34290 8624 3257 4738 7287 5357 9323 7131 5341 5266 6807 20310 10510 9273 6845 6627 3372 8269 31280 13220 6062 8131 6283 8680 5706 5898 6408 16840 10710 8375 3428 5828 17670 9360 55170 7982 4140 10900 5715 24490 8175 3895 24250 13220 4793 15130 5865 22860 8516 9212 22250 4883 10090 6888 7582 28190 7744 8857 6101 5384 29000 6811 6432 27060 8557 10530 3950 7946 2538 7030 17390 10580 6367 7995 21130 13580 40080 19620 28320 11490 77190 40510 5419 24110 7421 7579 8054 57060 22670 13770 4004 3167 67590 8793 27340 3042 3782 6809 17800 2623 3569 7866 13240 8204 14100 5659 22150 5007 4471 2021 11930 6856 8034 31090 9436 37800 11720 13000 8054 2278 6592 11680 7262 6008 27450 10500 3176 11690 17180 5010 6846 19150 21500 7912 35170 9715 5437 27930 104 11840 3783 11560 7273 16670 10690 15870 4445 16780 12800 34840 10830 6646 10360 14260 21960 6058 12320 3114 25930 6809 8270 5207 23280 7480 5945 8309 8357 1910 2145 29690 36720 6251 4061 5894 28290 6069 7524 49200 282 16670 16550 17290 6496 5815 5281 6579 7929 17710 2082 5742 8112 5342 23300 5885 5289 6901 10320 5871 9183 14630 16900 15630 25700 8042 8976 19300 9385 6235 6495 4450 25740 17810 22480 6091 4519 27310 5974 17360 13830 18310 12600 22250 6866 5956 3525 12510 10410 6156 3962 11750 6963 18520 8689 4974 6690 1263 32010 21160 6306 5423 7880 5831 30800 27590 27030 25860 20780 9088 8682 6449 8423 5488 9007 7189 1311 6050 10280 5152 10750 4636 7055 16550 36400 19850 5526 9334 28660 7405 9403 26440 6823 5792 12400 6874 12060 8037 6022 15060
2021-07-10 10480 7805 3326 5538 9182 5145 8981 6391 2264 16310 9061 10390 10250 13180 4125 24670 33010 23240 4829 18470 9245 8853 9824 15910 24070 23720 114600 7963 24240 11630 6327 6342 34950 5510 28450 7998 56780 11480 7089 30980 7494 12950 18140 37420 6304 26260 6939 9642 8165 12410 21440 13980 17630 7144 16450 7599 11490 27900 9373 11200 8626 8307 18330 1903 14250 13640 5041 9919 25080 25850 6754 5558 4924 10260 30390 3260 12720 318 4532 3567 6152 18560 3081 48560 27020 3349 8745 33780 9758 9098 11010 4744 4882 21830 3354 14490 26810 13220 8210 28960 5020 12040 34360 8691 3265 4757 7341 5373 9361 7157 5446 5275 6866 20370 10550 9285 6851 6653 3384 8300 31320 13250 6087 8161 6338 8747 5720 5902 6416 17020 10760 8384 3437 5858 17840 9399 55490 8039 4149 10920 5720 24550 8198 3915 24340 13260 4819 15210 5884 22920 8542 9268 22280 4899 10150 6921 7596 28230 7761 8879 6143 5463 29060 6831 6455 27110 8582 10590 3987 7953 2545 7037 17480 10620 6374 8000 21160 13610 40190 19710 28430 11550 77550 40570 5440 24200 7458 7602 8068 57360 22710 13800 4012 3179 67910 8812 27370 3053 3792 6811 17850 2635 3577 7905 13260 8210 14170 5745 22220 5029 4481 2031 11930 6881 8051 31380 9472 37860 11730 13050 8101 2288 6610 11770 7292 6025 27580 10540 3176 11740 17350 5039 6872 19160 21640 7928 35350 9743 5453 28100 105 11950 3791 11590 7349 16680 10740 15920 4453 16840 12860 34900 10900 6661 10380 14370 21980 6089 12360 3133 26060 6825 8322 5216 23340 7512 5955 8365 8372 1920 2156 29820 36770 6280 4108 5902 28450 6101 7546 49390 284 16740 16560 17400 6514 5848 5296 6608 7954 17810 2098 5749 8126 5377 23420 5896 5307 6938 10370 5886 9195 14800 16970 15660 25800 8056 9021 19390 9423 6266 6513 4483 25850 17890 22550 6128 4545 27570 5983 17410 13840 18330 12640 22350 6907 5971 3539 12560 10420 6185 4001 11760 6982 18540 8714 5004 6696 1270 32090 21250 6329 5445 7896 5844 30970 27640 27090 25970 20870 9168 8699 6469 8438 5503 9029 7206 1315 6103 10320 5170 10840 4651 7068 16600 36530 19940 5547 9360 28810 7414 9427 26480 6847 5804 12430 6883 12100 8088 6042 15170

Data issues

    There is an issue with the reported local authority data: the last few (usually three) observations show no change. To handle this, we remove the last two observations. This then reflect the reporting delay of the data, but also implies that we cannot precisely distinguish between a count of zero cases and a delayed count.
    The forecasts from 2020-10-11 use a four day delay (so ignoring the last four days of reported cases), to reflect delays in reporting data in many areas. Otherwise we use a two day delay.

    The following graph illustrates the issue for two districts:

Further information

  • We believe these forecasts fill a useful gap in the short run. They give an indication of what is likely to happen in the next few days, removing some aspect of surprise. Moreover, a noticeable drop in comparison to the extrapolations could be an indication that the implemented policies are having some impact. It is difficult to understand exponential growth. We hope that these forecasts may help to convince viewers to adhere to the policies implemented by their respective governments, and keep all arguments factual and measured.
  • We use the data repository for the 2019 Novel Coronavirus Visual Dashboard operated by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering. This is updated daily, but we tend to update our forecasts only every other day.
    US state data as of 2020-03-28 is courtesy of the New York Times.
  • We can only provide forecasts of what is measured. If confirmed cases are an underestimate of actual cases, then our forecasts will also be underestimates. No other epidemiological data is used. Data definition and collection differs between countries and may change over time.
  • We will update the methodology as we learn what is happening in the next few days or weeks. Once the number of cases levels off, there is no need to provide these forecasts anymore.
  • Countries where the counts are very low or stable have been omitted.
  • The graphs have dates on the horizontal axis (yyyy-mm-dd) and cumulative counts on the vertical axis. They show
    1. bold dark grey line (with circles): observed counts (Johns Hopkins CSSE);
    2. many light grey lines (with open circles): forecasts using different model settings and starting up to four periods back;
    3. red line (with open circles): single forecasts path using default model settings;
    4. black line (with crosses): average of all forecasts, recentered on the last observation;
    5. thin green lines: some indication of uncertainty around the red forecasts, but we do not know how reliable that is.
    Both the red line forecasts and the black lines are also given in the tables above. These forecasts differ, we are currently inclined to use the average forecasts.
  • The forecasts are constructed as follows:
    1. An overall `trend' is extracted by taking a window of the data at a time. In each window we draw `straight lines' which are selected using an automatic econometric procedure (`machine learning'). All straight lines are collected and averaged, giving the trend.
    2. Forecasts are made using the estimated trend, but we note that this must be done carefully, because simply extrapolating the flexible insample trend would lead to wildly fluctuating forecast. We use the `Cardt' method, which has been found to work well in other settings.
    3. Residuals from the trend are also forecast, and combined with trend forecasts into an overall forecast.
  • Scenario forecasts are constructed very differently: smooth versions of the Chinese experience are matched at different lag lengths with the path of each country. This probably works best from the peak, or the slowdown just before (but we include it for the UK nonetheless).
  • The forecast evaluation shows past forecasts, together with the outcomes (in the grey line with circles).
  • EU-BS is Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania together.
  • This paper describes the methodology and gives further references. Also available as Nuffield Economics Discussion Paper 2020-W06. Still preliminary is the documentation of the medium term forecasts.

Recent changes and notes

[2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.
[2021-01-07]Slideshow of forecasts, errors, and actuals 2020-06-30 to 2021-01-02: how England lost the battle.
[2020-10-27]Statistical short-term forecasting of the COVID-19 Pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now published at the Journal of Clinical Immunology and Immunotherapy. open access
[2020-10-11]Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now in press at the International Journal of Forecasting. open access
[2020-10-10]Removed forecasts from the Chinese scenarios, while investigating possibility to use own history from the first wave.
Added information on the previous peak (if present) to the peak tables.
Local forecasts for England: now dropping last four observations.
[2020-07-01] Modified the short-term model to allow for (slowly changing) seasonality. Many countries show clear seasonality after the initial period, likely caused by institutional factors regarding data collection. This seasonality was also getting in the way of peak detection. As a consequence estimates of the peak date may have changed for countries with strong seasonality.
Added forecasts of cumulative confirmed cases for lower tier local authorities of England. The data is available from 2020-07-02 including all tests (pillar one and two). Only authorities with more than 5 cases in the previous week are included.
[2020-06-29] Tables in April included the world, but not the world as we know it (double counting China and the US). So removed the world from those old tables.
Why short-term forecasts can be better than models for predicting how pandemics evolve just appeared at The Conversation.
Thursday 2 July webinar at the FGV EESP - São Paolo School of Economics. This starts at 16:00 UK time (UTC+01:00) and streamed here.