COVID-19 short-term forecasts Confirmed 2021-07-06 lower tier local authorities of England (with more than 5 cases in the previous week).


General information

  • Forecasts produced by Jennie Castle, Jurgen Doornik, and David Hendry, researchers at the University of Oxford. These are our forecasts, and should not be considered official forecasts from, or endorsed by, any of: University of Oxford, Oxford Martin School, Nuffield College, or Magdalen College.
  • These forecasts are short term time-series extrapolations of the data. They are not based on epidemiological modelling or simulations. All forecasts are uncertain: their success can only be determined afterwards. Many mitigation strategies are in place, which, if successful, invalidate our forecasts. An explanation of our methods is provided below.
  • A list of notes is below. The most recent note:
    [2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.

Forecasts for districts of England, one week ahead from 2021-07-06

Peak increase in estimated trend of Confirmed in England 2021-07-06

Aberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterComhairle nan Eilean SiarConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
Peak date (mm-dd)12-2812-2712-2712-2612-272021-05-252021-03-2512-2707-212021-03-2512-2112-2712-0812-2112-2312-2812-23 --12-2712-232021-01-022021-01-1112-302021-05-0912-2612-2212-292021-06-2312-27 --12-072021-01-072021-05-1011-132021-01-012021-05-2610-2412-2212-2712-2712-1412-062021-06-2212-3012-2512-2112-2612-22 --12-3012-272021-06-2110-282021-06-222021-06-232021-06-142021-06-2112-0612-272021-06-2112-2112-222021-05-2810-2812-3012-222021-06-252021-06-2312-2212-212021-01-0312-2112-212021-06-232021-06-232021-06-2012-262021-01-052021-06-2312-2712-272021-06-2312-24 --12-272021-06-242021-06-2312-2712-21 --2021-06-2312-2112-282021-01-022021-02-2512-21 --12-2712-0712-2612-222021-06-2512-2707-2112-2412-292021-06-2412-2412-2111-09 --12-262021-06-2210-312021-06-2012-3012-2812-212021-06-2512-2212-2512-212021-06-232021-01-0609-2712-2712-2312-2712-222021-06-242021-06-2212-1812-25 -- --12-2610-0412-2112-2812-2112-2112-272021-06-192021-06-1512-2212-2712-2812-212021-06-222021-06-2012-2812-272021-06-2512-21 --2021-06-1512-2712-1312-2912-22 -- --2021-05-2812-3012-2212-2612-212021-01-0112-2112-2812-2112-2712-222021-05-2912-2812-2511-0112-212021-05-2812-272021-06-23 --11-022021-01-0312-2112-2712-2711-0212-2112-262021-05-3112-2212-212021-06-222021-06-212021-01-0212-22 --2021-01-0712-082021-06-2212-2112-2112-2212-212021-03-2512-31 --12-2212-2712-0607-212021-03-1812-2812-292021-01-0311-0312-2712-0612-2707-2112-0812-27 --12-2612-2110-0411-0112-2112-29 -- -- --12-27 --2021-01-0112-2912-2911-022021-06-20 -- --12-282021-06-23 --2021-01-06 --2021-01-0112-062021-01-042021-06-2312-21 --2021-01-052021-05-2810-0412-0612-2812-212021-06-21 --12-10 --12-1310-1812-3012-28 --12-252021-01-262021-01-0212-2912-292021-01-0312-2312-212021-06-2312-2912-2211-0207-2112-3012-2512-252021-06-2212-2912-2112-2112-2812-26 --2021-01-0412-222021-06-2310-0412-2112-222021-06-232021-01-0312-2812-27 --12-2112-142021-06-2312-2612-212021-06-2012-252021-05-2512-222021-06-2012-28 --11-0112-2112-23 --12-2712-2112-0712-0212-252021-06-22 --12-26 --2021-01-0412-272021-06-232021-06-2212-2112-1912-2212-23 --12-0611-1312-21 --12-2212-262021-06-2112-21 --12-2712-272021-05-3012-252021-06-2512-212021-06-2412-212021-06-212021-06-242021-06-2312-1310-0411-0212-0710-0412-2212-2312-222021-06-232021-06-2312-2212-2212-2812-2712-222021-06-202021-01-0112-2812-2512-312021-06-23 --12-2611-02
Peak daily increment 92 102 61 88 97 44 77 73 119 106 170 110 171 178 78 477 589 58 326 128 110 108 52 252 426 1250 33 157 95 58 208 50 484 17 434 228 107 524 155 233 189 320 107 508 94 186 122 123 33 137 68 98 14 67 354 172 22 175 107 28 40 90 268 49 48 249 283 59 91 71 70 491 20 243 5 31 52 94 151 34 288 23 37 598 151 24 72 58 246 27 170 187 118 322 119 208 536 308 60 52 82 76 160 106 51 71 204 59 163 147 107 19 146 593 273 41 74 80 69 90 73 94 282 51 125 54 82 597 92 56 180 92 451 33 22 377 219 59 201 23 102 172 103 61 101 22 120 476 101 159 27 57 116 452 143 83 74 134 18 237 275 20 70 100 283 198 74 311 164 1449 284 104 456 71 230 102 727 33 200 90 19 424 92 419 46 106 59 37 62 153 186 27 213 361 79 62 66 23 105 63 122 85 723 190 212 192 23 50 105 51 394 105 58 122 277 121 224 90 68 226 44 51 154 207 43 102 62 623 81 19 151 286 52 188 22 139 96 198 80 85 174 36 25 162 450 42 83 82 199 65 131 573 25 209 244 167 22 42 111 102 69 181 42 86 39 448 95 79 46 80 66 102 247 293 142 131 156 127 94 25 112 49 189 197 66 42 105 331 189 270 181 145 109 141 352 43 41 138 122 360 139 101 14 559 90 110 27 84 329 449 56 227 101 138 31 160 39 33 30 29 78 166 42 65 67 115 217 257 124 83 148 430 106 138 94 106 115 176 95 62 69 594
Days since peak 190 191 191 192 191 42 103 191 350 103 197 191 210 197 195 190 195 191 195 185 176 188 58 192 196 189 13 191 211 180 57 235 186 41 255 196 191 191 204 212 14 188 193 197 192 196 188 191 15 251 14 13 22 15 212 191 15 197 196 39 251 188 196 11 13 196 197 184 197 197 13 13 16 192 182 13 191 191 13 194 191 12 13 191 197 13 197 190 185 131 197 191 211 192 196 11 191 350 194 189 12 194 197 239 192 14 248 16 188 190 197 11 196 193 197 13 181 282 191 195 191 196 12 14 200 193 192 275 197 190 197 197 191 17 21 196 191 190 197 14 16 190 191 11 197 21 191 205 189 196 39 188 196 192 197 186 197 190 197 191 196 38 190 193 247 197 39 191 13 246 184 197 191 191 246 197 192 36 196 197 14 15 185 196 180 210 14 197 197 196 197 103 187 196 191 212 350 110 190 189 184 245 191 212 191 350 210 191 192 197 275 247 197 189 191 186 189 189 246 16 190 13 181 186 212 183 13 197 182 39 275 212 190 197 15 208 205 261 188 190 193 161 185 189 189 184 195 197 13 189 196 246 350 188 193 193 14 189 197 197 190 192 183 196 13 275 197 196 13 184 190 191 197 204 13 192 197 16 193 42 196 16 190 247 197 195 191 197 211 216 193 14 192 183 191 13 14 197 199 196 195 212 235 197 196 192 15 197 191 191 37 193 11 197 12 197 15 12 13 205 275 246 211 275 196 195 196 13 13 196 196 190 191 196 16 186 190 193 187 13 192 246
Last total 9994 7547 3310 5619 9205 4931 8942 6379 2143 16297 9050 10414 10218 13032 4123 24627 32854 23010 4799 18445 9166 8902 9719 15937 24045 23766 113709 7888 23852 11581 6304 6334 34674 5483 28142 7971 56282 11479 7091 30861 7488 13000 17758 36792 6348 26266 6958 9650 8160 12223 21101 13923 17321 6932 16327 7571 11261 27835 9279 11192 8676 8221 18347 1916 14265 13717 4850 9964 24794 25506 6718 5537 4904 10116 28473 3212 12658 318 4532 3608 6147 17987 3054 47255 26777 3300 8644 33633 9674 8907 10998 4762 4864 21607 3342 14268 26924 13163 8207 28814 4886 11286 34077 8348 3279 4750 7066 5358 9332 7179 4998 5273 6654 20376 10442 9300 6884 6609 3367 8241 31278 13251 6032 8145 6144 8479 5694 5900 6405 16254 10653 8410 3425 5799 17426 9378 54180 7814 4127 10900 5762 24466 8151 3872 24252 13180 4814 15038 5846 22847 8510 9122 22293 4874 10135 6829 7570 28160 7691 8871 6068 5158 28959 6817 6375 27018 8566 10446 3872 8022 2545 7042 17311 10505 6377 8054 21278 13572 39909 19461 28108 11379 76331 40436 5429 24009 7367 7606 8051 56235 22737 13738 4035 3155 66671 8794 27349 3054 3789 6824 17730 2595 3620 7826 13223 8211 14155 5445 22065 4952 4458 2004 11985 6838 8075 30478 9448 37771 11781 12963 7982 2285 6588 11582 7216 6038 26978 10548 3184 11562 16767 5002 6903 19179 21324 7921 34859 9707 5410 27638 108 11627 3776 11498 6974 16641 10781 15769 4494 16632 12622 34804 10807 6655 10355 13903 21987 5993 12272 3078 25701 6827 8203 5206 23261 7451 5977 8250 8338 1872 2116 29327 36843 6197 3941 5880 27995 6040 7561 48975 275 16560 16547 17140 6461 5719 5274 6549 7960 17576 2073 5734 8125 5249 22863 5906 5328 6839 10195 5868 9188 14633 16860 15668 25568 8037 8960 19205 9339 6207 6491 4359 25575 17871 22520 6012 4439 26918 5958 17294 13889 18301 12595 22034 6684 5955 3617 12402 10447 6116 3823 11774 7003 18556 8686 5006 6730 1237 32080 21037 6293 5424 7875 5868 30745 27619 26935 25710 20571 8862 8722 6414 8478 5486 9010 7149 1316 5858 10207 5178 10514 4694 7046 16425 36076 19687 5544 9287 28314 7432 9388 26492 6843 5813 12420 6881 11992 7978 6014 14766
Last daily increment 132 107 27 92 61 86 27 43 32 31 70 78 32 53 20 66 108 267 25 64 58 86 104 65 120 104 711 32 73 149 9 28 135 33 128 51 347 47 20 98 48 37 142 343 35 133 86 51 85 58 117 28 123 43 111 29 60 103 74 21 33 53 140 18 125 105 42 51 187 189 32 45 45 58 393 22 109 4 33 56 14 168 36 652 209 20 31 140 85 117 43 32 29 79 33 94 307 89 36 124 28 140 95 49 28 46 71 38 96 65 81 26 69 194 56 29 23 73 23 39 102 77 37 76 71 85 27 20 14 232 47 37 28 52 304 89 425 49 24 60 36 101 39 27 174 68 70 110 39 112 48 106 70 28 151 46 22 84 23 48 68 77 113 39 35 73 59 81 59 28 11 15 125 64 16 46 132 54 247 130 209 104 737 155 52 141 64 66 47 378 111 64 29 26 426 47 77 33 29 11 49 20 58 50 27 26 182 107 109 31 24 15 24 52 66 414 91 140 33 72 55 28 39 252 62 37 179 81 12 95 249 55 102 57 311 38 254 69 17 257 6 104 8 71 104 45 182 81 34 77 52 115 155 33 51 119 61 42 72 35 213 40 72 17 140 52 21 91 24 5 13 256 210 48 57 20 216 53 57 331 1 114 29 173 31 22 31 45 61 166 46 16 40 38 110 40 43 55 56 38 21 362 146 58 151 26 81 150 59 53 28 44 175 198 181 47 31 410 20 84 44 34 72 180 73 24 75 67 33 60 34 17 62 58 49 85 13 11 181 217 42 48 30 38 366 127 99 186 137 103 46 33 51 22 64 33 8 63 61 37 103 56 22 108 286 146 61 46 262 28 53 117 62 38 36 39 82 88 32 152
Last week 795 505 156 262 277 506 129 180 144 161 346 273 147 398 105 315 651 1346 135 332 321 312 487 365 486 488 3451 184 461 595 46 131 767 129 733 233 1509 286 82 530 259 170 1000 1937 133 576 291 202 405 371 610 180 596 327 574 173 280 503 432 126 150 257 755 46 601 476 203 287 850 924 209 214 220 332 2307 89 481 13 167 206 76 813 156 3173 988 126 197 655 413 504 179 197 139 450 133 467 1251 402 116 601 142 966 616 333 98 206 389 171 369 315 480 108 365 767 300 135 113 347 103 247 424 359 230 339 320 458 159 81 79 1320 288 149 114 274 1461 442 2444 362 73 214 121 566 219 139 793 351 248 544 160 580 243 519 366 142 614 275 167 394 158 205 357 493 624 189 247 416 265 429 338 163 83 80 656 366 83 142 565 275 1175 617 990 582 3522 717 239 705 304 286 174 2133 498 340 121 115 2372 190 347 113 125 38 333 94 118 344 163 79 749 552 567 133 104 75 102 258 289 2097 355 590 169 436 336 104 197 1229 258 197 1085 398 44 502 1246 271 398 246 1308 173 1201 355 118 1226 15 636 68 297 615 267 674 388 144 395 303 564 668 168 274 683 249 213 368 127 1001 179 395 140 633 279 158 459 145 56 69 1125 911 209 288 107 1137 281 226 1613 6 496 165 858 123 225 149 250 270 797 157 51 188 211 778 127 235 269 295 153 169 1626 662 357 807 151 449 724 297 294 149 195 905 911 853 287 202 2006 121 414 213 142 366 879 514 134 323 432 207 253 196 85 244 261 224 380 120 43 908 1020 222 203 131 236 1628 629 522 950 666 521 214 188 241 136 232 174 54 356 414 199 591 252 147 491 1501 734 247 220 1360 145 210 551 302 184 348 167 380 367 195 729
Previous peak date07-2107-21 -- --10-2707-2112-2110-07 --12-21 --10-21 --10-25 -- -- --10-1110-20 -- -- --11-0212-2110-07 --11-0212-2710-1310-12 --10-2510-15 --11-0212-2105-0310-26 -- -- -- --12-2811-02 -- -- -- --2021-01-0409-2710-2712-07 --12-2112-2712-2612-08 --10-2512-08 --10-1012-21 --11-02 --12-2812-2510-18 --10-20 -- --12-3007-2107-2110-14 --12-29 -- --12-29 --11-0210-3112-2812-2710-2910-1712-2712-21 --10-2110-2712-2810-0110-1410-12 -- --07-2107-21 -- -- --11-0107-2110-27 -- -- --10-2707-21 --12-2710-30 --10-2012-2610-06 -- --12-2210-18 --07-21 -- -- --07-2112-25 -- --10-1510-2810-1107-21 -- -- -- -- --12-212021-01-05 --09-2810-2710-1412-2112-21 --10-2712-28 --12-2712-1310-29 -- --10-1712-2912-2712-2811-01 -- -- --10-1307-21 --06-11 -- --12-28 -- -- --10-1310-2709-2912-292021-01-0304-1411-02 -- --10-31 --10-1209-2812-27 -- --12-3111-0210-25 -- -- -- --12-21 -- -- --10-1212-2111-03 --09-30 -- -- --12-07 -- --11-02 -- -- --09-24 -- --10-1410-26 -- --07-21 -- --10-3111-042021-01-072021-01-0408-0212-21 --11-0211-01 --10-22 --12-28 --12-26 -- --2021-01-0511-02 --11-0212-29 --12-3110-2612-2207-21 --10-1110-1012-2710-19 --10-11 -- -- -- --10-11 -- -- --11-0211-0210-3107-21 --12-3110-25 -- -- --10-28 -- --12-2107-21 -- --10-25 -- -- -- --11-0907-21 -- --12-2010-13 --10-2412-22 -- --12-28 --10-1712-2510-2910-26 --07-2110-182021-01-02 -- -- --12-2210-31 -- -- -- --10-182021-01-03 --2021-01-0410-2910-1112-2112-26 -- -- -- --2021-01-03 -- -- --12-27 -- --12-08 --10-26 -- --12-1510-2211-02 --12-22 --12-2712-2612-20 --07-21 -- --07-21 --10-15 --10-1612-29 -- --09-3010-3010-1112-2711-03 --10-1910-2812-2112-30 -- --
Previous peak daily increment 616 365 80 295 134 40 260 61 40 205 31 271 233 262 1226 75 166 107 54 234 363 142 55 19 307 1197 64 72 160 211 99 256 87 148 39 194 60 303 294 52 197 120 54 65 1272 83 35 35 285 497 129 38 181 69 22 77 189 25 164 25 206 248 59 226 710 39 383 25 31 235 102 24 30 56 29 97 56 475 687 150 49 131 72 1766 119 34 70 33 54 57 401 69 338 120 136 38 22 57 76 442 49 59 248 45 148 46 349 153 428 121 75 479 56 71 480 273 36 2237 61 298 109 105 87 25 191 2429 91 53 139 1007 82 113 40 60 68 168 1343 64 257 124 108 132 354 150 174 107 41 176 459 41 46 39 194 70 70 406 233 81 152 403 33 104 97 226 66 72 876 108 66 75 110 450 20 219 77 54 149 184 153 217 18 172 60 54 89 27 90 44 56 171 120 255 390 135 259 117 65 154 87 307 376 24 319 265 141 22 25 377 38 54 32 173 71
Low between peaks 0 -1 28 0 8 18 13 26 -44 8 20 -12 48 303 -1 55 19 17 23 -8 27 -19 -1 68 34 54 1 2 -18 -6 -64 7 2 26 -1 28 -12 -3 -38 17 4 -11 -4 -18 1 -33 39 -5 -8 28 -31 1 9 53 8 34 -47 -2 -3 -13 -3 -32 10 -1 1 -10 8 0 -67 1 19 -4 -5 1 23 -7 -21 1 22 -40 23 1 -12 -120 5 -8 19 -66 -27 15 21 -2 0 -5 18 27 21 2 6 120 21 21 58 7 0 27 21 2 39 6 35 8 7 18 23 -9 -7 35 7 50 28 6 3 37 38 -8 13 -13 -2 -20 -118 0 36 92 19 -4 -44 14 31 -10 -2 24 -4 -7 -1 28 24 -17 -77 -40 38 -2 -1 43 -23 7 31 11 -7 -4 1 -4 -27 -4 -12 -5 1 -7 -2 -2 -25 5 -37 19 -17 -8 -20 8 27 12 0

Confirmed count forecast England (bold red line in graphs) 2021-07-07 to 2021-07-13

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterComhairle nan Eilean SiarConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-07-06 9994 7547 3310 5619 9205 4931 8942 6379 2143 16297 9050 10414 10218 13032 4123 24627 32854 23010 4799 18445 9166 8902 9719 15937 24045 23766 113709 7888 23852 11581 6304 6334 34674 5483 28142 7971 56282 11479 7091 30861 7488 13000 17758 36792 6348 26266 6958 9650 8160 12223 21101 13923 17321 6932 16327 7571 11261 27835 9279 11192 8676 8221 18347 1916 14265 13717 4850 9964 24794 25506 6718 5537 4904 10116 28473 3212 12658 318 4532 3608 6147 17987 3054 47255 26777 3300 8644 33633 9674 8907 10998 4762 4864 21607 3342 14268 26924 13163 8207 28814 4886 11286 34077 8348 3279 4750 7066 5358 9332 7179 4998 5273 6654 20376 10442 9300 6884 6609 3367 8241 31278 13251 6032 8145 6144 8479 5694 5900 6405 16254 10653 8410 3425 5799 17426 9378 54180 7814 4127 10900 5762 24466 8151 3872 24252 13180 4814 15038 5846 22847 8510 9122 22293 4874 10135 6829 7570 28160 7691 8871 6068 5158 28959 6817 6375 27018 8566 10446 3872 8022 2545 7042 17311 10505 6377 8054 21278 13572 39909 19461 28108 11379 76331 40436 5429 24009 7367 7606 8051 56235 22737 13738 4035 3155 66671 8794 27349 3054 3789 6824 17730 2595 3620 7826 13223 8211 14155 5445 22065 4952 4458 2004 11985 6838 8075 30478 9448 37771 11781 12963 7982 2285 6588 11582 7216 6038 26978 10548 3184 11562 16767 5002 6903 19179 21324 7921 34859 9707 5410 27638 108 11627 3776 11498 6974 16641 10781 15769 4494 16632 12622 34804 10807 6655 10355 13903 21987 5993 12272 3078 25701 6827 8203 5206 23261 7451 5977 8250 8338 1872 2116 29327 36843 6197 3941 5880 27995 6040 7561 48975 275 16560 16547 17140 6461 5719 5274 6549 7960 17576 2073 5734 8125 5249 22863 5906 5328 6839 10195 5868 9188 14633 16860 15668 25568 8037 8960 19205 9339 6207 6491 4359 25575 17871 22520 6012 4439 26918 5958 17294 13889 18301 12595 22034 6684 5955 3617 12402 10447 6116 3823 11774 7003 18556 8686 5006 6730 1237 32080 21037 6293 5424 7875 5868 30745 27619 26935 25710 20571 8862 8722 6414 8478 5486 9010 7149 1316 5858 10207 5178 10514 4694 7046 16425 36076 19687 5544 9287 28314 7432 9388 26492 6843 5813 12420 6881 11992 7978 6014 14766
2021-07-07 10110 7616 3332 5619 9239 5005 8965 6414 2172 16320 9100 10480 10230 13100 4141 24680 32960 23260 4820 18500 9223 8970 9810 15990 24130 23850 114400 7933 24020 11670 6313 6355 34760 5503 28270 8003 56570 11530 7106 30960 7525 13030 17940 37100 6377 26360 7029 9689 8226 12280 21200 13960 17410 7006 16430 7595 11370 27900 9344 11210 8703 8264 18480 1928 14360 13800 4889 10010 24940 25650 6758 5581 4942 10180 29080 3229 12740 321 4561 3608 6157 18110 3083 47280 26980 3317 8682 33740 9740 9020 11040 4792 4886 21700 3365 14360 27170 13190 8227 28890 4914 11480 34160 8412 3295 4792 7148 5377 9400 7226 5089 5282 6710 20530 10510 9333 6903 6668 3381 8271 31360 13300 6071 8197 6197 8548 5719 5911 6416 16430 10690 8437 3444 5848 17760 9451 54440 7875 4138 10950 5791 24550 8192 3895 24400 13260 4868 15130 5870 22940 8549 9207 22340 4889 10240 6872 7595 28230 7718 8909 6143 5286 29060 6850 6411 27070 8624 10490 3924 8048 2559 7052 17400 10550 6393 8085 21400 13610 40070 19560 28270 11520 76930 40550 5470 24130 7418 7652 8079 56700 22820 13800 4059 3155 67190 8801 27420 3083 3806 6834 17790 2610 3620 7881 13250 8224 14300 5697 22160 4974 4476 2015 12010 6876 8124 30800 9497 37880 11800 13030 8032 2308 6632 11850 7234 6073 27150 10610 3195 11660 17020 5022 6983 19200 21640 7947 35070 9740 5426 27890 111 11800 3786 11550 7153 16690 10900 15840 4520 16710 12680 34900 10970 6682 10400 14020 22010 6026 12330 3097 25920 6857 8274 5215 23380 7492 6001 8340 8364 1881 2128 29480 36880 6234 3985 5887 28240 6086 7610 49320 276 16650 16550 17270 6486 5754 5297 6589 8003 17700 2073 5746 8166 5302 23040 5939 5366 6888 10250 5890 9203 15020 16960 15730 25720 8065 9038 19360 9386 6257 6515 4373 25730 18030 22660 6073 4474 27290 5978 17360 13930 18320 12660 22210 6801 5975 3688 12470 10460 6158 3880 11790 7057 18600 8720 5065 6742 1246 32240 21210 6327 5466 7903 5908 31250 27690 27020 25880 20650 8938 8763 6433 8521 5511 9052 7190 1325 5915 10260 5210 10610 4743 7072 16510 36280 19840 5594 9318 28540 7453 9432 26620 6895 5841 12480 6905 12060 8051 6041 14910
2021-07-08 10220 7690 3345 5676 9272 5055 8981 6445 2202 16340 9159 10530 10260 13160 4158 24720 33050 23510 4837 18550 9276 9036 9880 16030 24190 23920 115100 7976 24140 11730 6325 6365 34870 5520 28430 8038 56820 11570 7120 31050 7550 13060 18090 37420 6400 26420 7095 9721 8272 12320 21290 13990 17490 7097 16520 7622 11430 27930 9407 11220 8722 8304 18610 1937 14440 13860 4941 10060 25090 25730 6796 5621 4976 10230 29530 3238 12800 323 4590 3644 6165 18240 3108 47670 27150 3317 8722 33840 9790 9132 11070 4818 4900 21790 3383 14450 27380 13250 8235 28970 4950 11630 34260 8516 3305 4834 7206 5401 9458 7258 5144 5295 6748 20670 10560 9357 6920 6727 3381 8283 31430 13350 6115 8229 6249 8610 5753 5923 6418 16550 10720 8462 3461 5900 18060 9509 54710 7931 4150 11000 5816 24630 8231 3916 24510 13310 4915 15230 5875 23020 8578 9281 22350 4912 10340 6926 7613 28290 7747 8945 6209 5371 29140 6873 6447 27140 8682 10550 3974 8075 2576 7053 17430 10580 6406 8112 21510 13620 40250 19630 28420 11630 77550 40660 5504 24240 7468 7685 8094 57120 22880 13860 4079 3159 67650 8816 27490 3114 3823 6844 17850 2617 3653 7936 13270 8229 14440 5826 22260 4994 4493 2023 12030 6911 8157 31060 9549 37980 11830 13110 8071 2329 6673 12110 7267 6100 27320 10660 3204 11750 17280 5022 7039 19230 21900 7961 35260 9780 5438 28120 113 11930 3789 11580 7292 16740 10980 15900 4545 16780 12740 34990 11080 6709 10440 14130 22050 6052 12360 3107 26090 6878 8376 5234 23480 7519 6022 8431 8386 1892 2138 29630 36940 6268 4023 5898 28470 6124 7656 49620 279 16730 16560 17390 6504 5781 5314 6624 8033 17810 2104 5756 8205 5336 23190 5967 5397 6934 10290 5907 9230 15370 17050 15780 25870 8095 9115 19490 9422 6300 6537 4373 25880 18160 22770 6124 4515 27700 5994 17410 13960 18330 12720 22370 6923 5989 3743 12530 10480 6201 3919 11800 7105 18630 8760 5130 6756 1257 32380 21380 6366 5507 7931 5943 31650 27780 27090 26050 20730 9008 8800 6463 8561 5527 9097 7223 1333 5973 10310 5237 10710 4789 7097 16580 36500 19960 5628 9338 28760 7464 9474 26720 6941 5868 12540 6929 12120 8118 6072 15030
2021-07-09 10330 7758 3362 5728 9309 5115 8999 6478 2230 16360 9203 10590 10280 13210 4174 24770 33150 23760 4855 18590 9331 9099 9950 16070 24260 23990 115700 8017 24230 11810 6335 6380 34970 5541 28580 8076 57050 11610 7131 31130 7581 13090 18250 37700 6427 26490 7159 9756 8327 12380 21380 14020 17570 7179 16620 7649 11480 27970 9471 11230 8743 8345 18740 1946 14530 13920 4987 10100 25230 25840 6834 5659 5011 10290 29900 3251 12870 325 4618 3683 6177 18360 3134 48020 27340 3325 8760 33930 9850 9235 11110 4845 4917 21860 3403 14540 27610 13310 8248 29050 4982 11770 34360 8600 3317 4876 7270 5426 9519 7296 5200 5307 6792 20810 10610 9381 6939 6777 3381 8303 31500 13390 6156 8268 6300 8682 5779 5944 6424 16680 10750 8494 3479 5949 18330 9572 54970 7989 4162 11040 5840 24710 8270 3937 24640 13360 4964 15320 5888 23110 8611 9359 22380 4930 10430 6964 7634 28350 7764 8981 6268 5456 29220 6900 6482 27200 8732 10600 4021 8099 2592 7058 17480 10620 6421 8143 21630 13650 40410 19710 28570 11710 78070 40770 5540 24350 7517 7722 8113 57480 22950 13910 4101 3166 68050 8843 27560 3144 3845 6853 17910 2627 3686 7990 13300 8236 14570 5950 22360 5014 4510 2033 12050 6953 8195 31330 9593 38070 11850 13170 8114 2350 6713 12330 7300 6130 27470 10720 3216 11820 17540 5022 7102 19270 22110 7981 35430 9830 5453 28300 116 12030 3794 11610 7392 16770 11070 15970 4569 16830 12800 35080 11180 6735 10490 14210 22080 6081 12400 3121 26250 6901 8448 5249 23580 7552 6045 8504 8408 1902 2149 29790 37020 6304 4062 5906 28660 6165 7702 49910 281 16810 16570 17510 6521 5811 5333 6660 8068 17920 2132 5765 8243 5369 23300 5996 5430 6980 10340 5931 9250 15710 17160 15830 26020 8123 9190 19610 9462 6345 6560 4373 26030 18310 22890 6170 4553 28090 6012 17460 13990 18350 12770 22510 7019 6007 3800 12600 10500 6235 3948 11810 7154 18670 8794 5182 6770 1267 32520 21530 6401 5547 7959 5980 32000 27870 27170 26200 20810 9080 8838 6493 8605 5551 9149 7251 1341 6028 10360 5265 10810 4836 7122 16650 36710 20070 5667 9362 29000 7479 9515 26820 6988 5896 12590 6955 12180 8186 6105 15140
2021-07-10 10420 7812 3381 5777 9346 5177 9018 6509 2256 16390 9254 10640 10300 13270 4190 24810 33230 24000 4873 18640 9384 9159 10010 16120 24340 24070 116200 8056 24300 11890 6344 6396 35030 5559 28720 8104 57240 11650 7141 31210 7613 13120 18390 37950 6456 26560 7221 9790 8384 12410 21450 14050 17630 7255 16710 7672 11530 28020 9535 11250 8765 8385 18860 1956 14610 13990 5028 10150 25370 25960 6870 5694 5045 10340 30200 3264 12940 327 4646 3714 6188 18450 3161 48300 27500 3337 8796 34030 9920 9327 11150 4873 4936 21930 3422 14620 27840 13350 8262 29130 5010 11890 34440 8673 3329 4914 7317 5452 9580 7335 5224 5319 6839 20940 10660 9405 6954 6833 3388 8327 31570 13440 6195 8310 6349 8730 5798 5958 6432 16780 10780 8517 3496 5997 18550 9637 55190 8037 4169 11090 5866 24790 8307 3958 24770 13410 5011 15410 5905 23200 8645 9437 22410 4951 10530 7000 7656 28410 7789 9015 6286 5541 29310 6928 6517 27250 8779 10630 4068 8122 2606 7064 17540 10660 6434 8169 21720 13670 40550 19800 28720 11760 78510 40860 5577 24440 7566 7759 8134 57770 23020 13950 4122 3170 68390 8864 27630 3170 3863 6861 17960 2639 3717 8042 13320 8245 14710 6038 22450 5034 4526 2042 12060 6991 8236 31610 9641 38170 11870 13240 8159 2370 6750 12550 7328 6159 27600 10780 3225 11900 17790 5022 7161 19290 22310 8002 35590 9870 5467 28470 118 12130 3801 11650 7474 16800 11170 16030 4593 16870 12860 35160 11290 6760 10530 14290 22110 6111 12450 3136 26400 6926 8504 5262 23680 7588 6067 8573 8430 1911 2160 29910 37100 6339 4100 5918 28840 6206 7745 50170 282 16890 16590 17620 6538 5841 5353 6697 8103 18040 2160 5775 8279 5399 23400 6023 5463 7025 10390 5957 9271 16010 17250 15880 26160 8150 9263 19710 9504 6390 6583 4373 26180 18440 23020 6216 4588 28460 6029 17520 14020 18360 12830 22630 7102 6024 3847 12670 10520 6274 3978 11830 7200 18700 8828 5226 6778 1275 32660 21670 6429 5585 7985 6016 32380 27940 27250 26330 20890 9152 8874 6513 8646 5567 9190 7273 1349 6080 10420 5294 10900 4879 7142 16720 36880 20180 5707 9389 29200 7495 9555 26910 7036 5923 12650 6973 12240 8252 6128 15250
2021-07-11 10500 7862 3400 5828 9379 5241 9037 6540 2282 16410 9299 10700 10320 13330 4206 24860 33330 24240 4892 18690 9437 9219 10090 16170 24410 24140 116800 8095 24380 11970 6353 6413 35130 5576 28850 8135 57460 11700 7152 31290 7645 13150 18530 38210 6478 26640 7283 9824 8442 12460 21510 14070 17720 7329 16800 7700 11590 28070 9599 11260 8788 8425 18980 1966 14700 14060 5069 10190 25510 26080 6906 5732 5080 10400 30500 3278 13010 329 4674 3753 6202 18540 3187 48610 27670 3349 8831 34130 9980 9416 11180 4901 4955 22000 3443 14710 28080 13410 8277 29210 5038 12010 34530 8744 3343 4952 7364 5476 9641 7376 5276 5330 6886 21080 10700 9427 6969 6883 3396 8352 31640 13500 6234 8353 6399 8788 5823 5969 6440 16950 10810 8543 3514 6044 18770 9702 55480 8087 4181 11130 5886 24880 8344 3979 24900 13460 5058 15500 5923 23280 8680 9516 22440 4970 10620 7038 7678 28480 7812 9049 6311 5598 29400 6957 6552 27300 8826 10680 4114 8144 2619 7071 17610 10700 6448 8197 21820 13700 40710 19890 28870 11800 79010 40940 5613 24550 7614 7797 8156 58090 23090 14010 4143 3181 68770 8888 27690 3197 3878 6870 18020 2651 3747 8095 13350 8255 14840 6099 22550 5053 4543 2052 12080 7027 8277 31890 9695 38270 11890 13310 8204 2391 6788 12730 7363 6190 27740 10840 3234 11980 18050 5030 7220 19320 22490 8024 35750 9920 5483 28650 119 12230 3809 11690 7555 16840 11270 16090 4617 16920 12910 35250 11410 6785 10570 14380 22140 6141 12490 3152 26550 6952 8558 5281 23790 7624 6090 8640 8453 1920 2171 30030 37200 6374 4138 5925 29020 6248 7788 50450 284 16970 16610 17730 6553 5872 5374 6733 8139 18160 2187 5781 8315 5428 23510 6051 5497 7070 10440 5977 9292 16300 17360 15940 26300 8177 9336 19850 9546 6436 6606 4373 26330 18600 23140 6262 4622 28830 6047 17570 14050 18380 12890 22760 7166 6042 3877 12740 10540 6308 4005 11840 7246 18740 8863 5259 6792 1284 32800 21810 6457 5623 8011 6053 32540 28020 27320 26470 20970 9225 8911 6539 8686 5582 9239 7300 1357 6132 10460 5323 10990 4923 7166 16770 37080 20300 5747 9417 29420 7513 9594 27010 7083 5948 12700 6993 12300 8319 6153 15350
2021-07-12 10630 7945 3421 5874 9426 5308 9057 6571 2307 16430 9364 10760 10340 13380 4221 24910 33440 24470 4911 18750 9491 9278 10180 16220 24490 24220 117500 8134 24470 12050 6362 6431 35260 5598 28980 8182 57740 11740 7168 31380 7679 13180 18680 38500 6503 26720 7345 9860 8504 12530 21630 14100 17840 7401 16900 7723 11640 28120 9664 11280 8811 8465 19110 1976 14790 14130 5108 10240 25650 26210 6942 5774 5116 10450 30880 3292 13090 331 4702 3787 6215 18680 3214 49100 27850 3363 8866 34230 10040 9501 11220 4929 4975 22070 3463 14790 28290 13470 8294 29310 5064 12170 34640 8808 3357 4989 7422 5504 9704 7418 5362 5348 6936 21220 10760 9450 6992 6946 3407 8380 31710 13550 6273 8398 6448 8868 5852 5987 6450 17150 10850 8568 3531 6091 19040 9769 55840 8151 4192 11170 5908 24960 8382 4000 25030 13530 5105 15590 5943 23370 8716 9597 22480 4993 10710 7082 7700 28540 7840 9083 6356 5669 29490 6987 6587 27380 8878 10780 4160 8167 2633 7079 17690 10740 6465 8227 21930 13740 40930 19980 29020 11870 79600 41070 5651 24670 7663 7836 8180 58460 23170 14080 4164 3198 69220 8916 27760 3223 3901 6878 18070 2663 3778 8148 13380 8266 14970 6199 22640 5073 4560 2062 12110 7067 8320 32180 9762 38370 11920 13370 8251 2411 6826 12970 7402 6221 27900 10890 3244 12050 18300 5046 7282 19360 22720 8047 35960 9980 5498 28880 121 12340 3817 11740 7647 16880 11370 16150 4641 17000 12960 35350 11550 6811 10620 14480 22180 6171 12540 3169 26740 6978 8651 5301 23890 7662 6113 8730 8477 1929 2182 30220 37330 6410 4176 5948 29240 6290 7831 50770 285 17060 16640 17880 6573 5904 5395 6771 8176 18300 2213 5794 8351 5470 23650 6078 5532 7115 10490 6009 9322 16580 17470 15990 26440 8204 9408 19980 9590 6482 6629 4375 26480 18770 23270 6308 4656 29200 6065 17630 14090 18400 12950 22910 7237 6061 3922 12810 10580 6348 4039 11850 7292 18790 8901 5318 6811 1292 32950 21950 6496 5661 8036 6090 32850 28120 27400 26630 21100 9299 8948 6565 8730 5602 9294 7331 1365 6184 10520 5353 11080 4967 7192 16850 37330 20440 5789 9446 29640 7531 9634 27120 7131 5983 12760 7022 12360 8386 6190 15470
2021-07-13 10740 8030 3442 5926 9475 5376 9077 6603 2332 16460 9423 10810 10370 13430 4237 24950 33540 24710 4931 18810 9544 9337 10260 16270 24560 24300 118100 8172 24540 12140 6370 6450 35380 5627 29110 8221 58030 11780 7184 31460 7713 13200 18830 38790 6528 26800 7407 9895 8566 12580 21740 14130 17950 7472 16990 7750 11700 28180 9729 11290 8835 8506 19230 1986 14880 14210 5147 10280 25790 26340 6979 5808 5151 10510 31240 3307 13160 333 4730 3822 6226 18830 3241 49830 28010 3379 8901 34330 10100 9584 11250 4958 4995 22140 3484 14880 28520 13540 8311 29420 5090 12310 34740 8871 3371 5026 7486 5536 9766 7461 5482 5367 6986 21350 10810 9471 7009 7005 3419 8409 31780 13620 6311 8444 6498 8945 5873 6000 6460 17370 10880 8594 3549 6139 19320 9838 56240 8198 4210 11210 5931 25050 8419 4022 25160 13590 5152 15690 5964 23460 8752 9678 22520 5016 10830 7123 7724 28600 7860 9116 6403 5759 29580 7017 6622 27440 8921 10860 4207 8189 2646 7087 17760 10790 6476 8255 22020 13770 41120 20070 29170 11940 80250 41200 5688 24790 7712 7876 8204 58820 23240 14130 4185 3220 69530 8953 27820 3249 3925 6887 18130 2677 3808 8201 13400 8277 15100 6282 22740 5094 4576 2073 12130 7109 8364 32470 9836 38470 11950 13440 8298 2432 6863 13210 7450 6252 28060 10960 3251 12140 18560 5065 7344 19400 22990 8071 36170 10040 5514 29110 124 12440 3825 11780 7757 16930 11480 16220 4664 17070 13020 35440 11680 6836 10660 14590 22230 6202 12600 3186 26930 7005 8695 5319 24000 7701 6136 8812 8499 1938 2193 30440 37500 6447 4215 5968 29420 6333 7875 51040 287 17140 16660 18030 6598 5937 5416 6809 8214 18440 2240 5803 8386 5506 23760 6106 5568 7161 10530 6038 9341 16900 17590 16040 26580 8231 9481 20110 9634 6529 6653 4388 26630 18930 23400 6354 4689 29570 6084 17690 14120 18420 13010 23060 7317 6080 3958 12880 10610 6394 4075 11860 7339 18830 8938 5374 6825 1300 33090 22080 6535 5699 8062 6128 32930 28230 27480 26800 21220 9374 8985 6593 8766 5625 9335 7361 1373 6235 10580 5383 11170 5011 7214 16950 37590 20570 5831 9475 29870 7550 9673 27210 7180 6015 12810 7052 12420 8453 6218 15600

Confirmed count average forecast England (bold black line in graphs) 2021-07-07 to 2021-07-13

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterComhairle nan Eilean SiarConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-07-06 9994 7547 3310 5619 9205 4931 8942 6379 2143 16297 9050 10414 10218 13032 4123 24627 32854 23010 4799 18445 9166 8902 9719 15937 24045 23766 113709 7888 23852 11581 6304 6334 34674 5483 28142 7971 56282 11479 7091 30861 7488 13000 17758 36792 6348 26266 6958 9650 8160 12223 21101 13923 17321 6932 16327 7571 11261 27835 9279 11192 8676 8221 18347 1916 14265 13717 4850 9964 24794 25506 6718 5537 4904 10116 28473 3212 12658 318 4532 3608 6147 17987 3054 47255 26777 3300 8644 33633 9674 8907 10998 4762 4864 21607 3342 14268 26924 13163 8207 28814 4886 11286 34077 8348 3279 4750 7066 5358 9332 7179 4998 5273 6654 20376 10442 9300 6884 6609 3367 8241 31278 13251 6032 8145 6144 8479 5694 5900 6405 16254 10653 8410 3425 5799 17426 9378 54180 7814 4127 10900 5762 24466 8151 3872 24252 13180 4814 15038 5846 22847 8510 9122 22293 4874 10135 6829 7570 28160 7691 8871 6068 5158 28959 6817 6375 27018 8566 10446 3872 8022 2545 7042 17311 10505 6377 8054 21278 13572 39909 19461 28108 11379 76331 40436 5429 24009 7367 7606 8051 56235 22737 13738 4035 3155 66671 8794 27349 3054 3789 6824 17730 2595 3620 7826 13223 8211 14155 5445 22065 4952 4458 2004 11985 6838 8075 30478 9448 37771 11781 12963 7982 2285 6588 11582 7216 6038 26978 10548 3184 11562 16767 5002 6903 19179 21324 7921 34859 9707 5410 27638 108 11627 3776 11498 6974 16641 10781 15769 4494 16632 12622 34804 10807 6655 10355 13903 21987 5993 12272 3078 25701 6827 8203 5206 23261 7451 5977 8250 8338 1872 2116 29327 36843 6197 3941 5880 27995 6040 7561 48975 275 16560 16547 17140 6461 5719 5274 6549 7960 17576 2073 5734 8125 5249 22863 5906 5328 6839 10195 5868 9188 14633 16860 15668 25568 8037 8960 19205 9339 6207 6491 4359 25575 17871 22520 6012 4439 26918 5958 17294 13889 18301 12595 22034 6684 5955 3617 12402 10447 6116 3823 11774 7003 18556 8686 5006 6730 1237 32080 21037 6293 5424 7875 5868 30745 27619 26935 25710 20571 8862 8722 6414 8478 5486 9010 7149 1316 5858 10207 5178 10514 4694 7046 16425 36076 19687 5544 9287 28314 7432 9388 26492 6843 5813 12420 6881 11992 7978 6014 14766
2021-07-07 10160 7651 3336 5677 9255 5022 8964 6412 2173 16320 9109 10470 10240 13100 4140 24680 32960 23260 4820 18500 9218 8968 9810 16000 24130 23850 114300 7917 23940 11690 6312 6357 34800 5507 28260 8009 56570 11530 7105 30950 7537 13030 17920 37130 6371 26360 7013 9685 8232 12290 21210 13960 17440 6997 16420 7597 11330 27930 9351 11210 8698 8265 18470 1924 14370 13790 4893 10010 24950 25670 6755 5574 4943 10180 28960 3233 12740 320 4560 3647 6159 18140 3082 47800 26960 3316 8679 33740 9750 8997 11040 4790 4889 21690 3366 14350 27160 13220 8230 28920 4923 11470 34180 8424 3297 4791 7151 5384 9395 7230 5098 5294 6725 20520 10500 9327 6902 6665 3381 8282 31360 13310 6072 8208 6206 8566 5718 5913 6417 16530 10700 8437 3443 5839 17690 9450 54640 7877 4141 10940 5787 24560 8185 3898 24390 13240 4863 15140 5873 22950 8549 9216 22340 4896 10250 6871 7593 28230 7718 8908 6142 5257 29060 6854 6418 27090 8611 10520 3927 8050 2557 7055 17420 10570 6392 8084 21380 13620 40120 19570 28290 11500 76960 40560 5467 24140 7417 7656 8082 56620 22820 13800 4059 3175 67080 8824 27420 3080 3808 6831 17790 2611 3645 7881 13250 8225 14300 5568 22160 4978 4479 2017 12000 6878 8120 30840 9510 37880 11810 13030 8039 2304 6623 11800 7259 6070 27180 10610 3192 11650 16990 5046 6972 19220 21570 7949 35080 9770 5428 27870 110 11760 3785 11550 7091 16690 10910 15840 4516 16710 12680 34900 10930 6681 10410 14040 22030 6026 12340 3104 25900 6857 8263 5223 23370 7499 6002 8331 8363 1880 2129 29550 37000 6234 3997 5896 28200 6087 7603 49260 277 16650 16570 17300 6487 5752 5298 6591 8006 17720 2100 5745 8161 5291 23020 5937 5363 6886 10250 5896 9210 14970 16970 15730 25710 8065 9034 19330 9389 6256 6517 4398 25740 18030 22660 6062 4475 27280 5980 17360 13930 18320 12660 22190 6775 5976 3676 12480 10480 6155 3869 11790 7045 18590 8723 5067 6748 1246 32240 21210 6328 5463 7899 5911 31080 27730 27030 25880 20690 8955 8756 6442 8516 5509 9051 7184 1323 5925 10280 5210 10630 4737 7066 16520 36330 19830 5588 9323 28550 7455 9429 26590 6892 5841 12470 6910 12060 8047 6043 14900
2021-07-08 10300 7737 3355 5715 9284 5105 8980 6434 2203 16330 9155 10500 10260 13160 4152 24720 33060 23470 4838 18540 9264 9014 9890 16040 24180 23900 114900 7945 24030 11770 6321 6372 34920 5526 28420 8036 56800 11560 7115 31030 7571 13050 18080 37450 6382 26420 7053 9705 8284 12340 21310 13980 17540 7064 16510 7619 11390 28010 9410 11230 8710 8303 18560 1928 14430 13830 4939 10040 25090 25800 6789 5600 4973 10240 29430 3250 12800 322 4585 3671 6168 18280 3104 48310 27100 3331 8714 33830 9800 9069 11070 4815 4910 21770 3384 14430 27300 13280 8243 29000 4955 11630 34280 8509 3306 4818 7221 5405 9444 7263 5186 5309 6787 20610 10540 9342 6911 6713 3392 8315 31410 13350 6108 8250 6269 8642 5735 5919 6423 16750 10750 8452 3455 5876 17910 9502 55050 7942 4151 10970 5803 24640 8215 3922 24490 13290 4894 15220 5890 23030 8578 9291 22370 4916 10340 6916 7610 28290 7745 8936 6203 5358 29140 6875 6458 27150 8646 10580 3976 8068 2569 7063 17510 10630 6401 8094 21440 13640 40290 19670 28450 11590 77570 40660 5493 24240 7462 7692 8102 57020 22880 13850 4072 3190 67480 8843 27460 3097 3822 6835 17840 2623 3659 7927 13270 8232 14390 5658 22250 5001 4496 2029 12000 6910 8148 31160 9551 37970 11830 13090 8089 2316 6647 11980 7296 6091 27370 10650 3196 11730 17200 5076 7010 19250 21760 7969 35270 9810 5444 28070 112 11900 3793 11590 7192 16730 10990 15900 4530 16780 12740 34970 11010 6701 10440 14170 22060 6055 12380 3125 26060 6876 8337 5243 23450 7536 6021 8395 8384 1891 2141 29730 37090 6266 4046 5910 28390 6122 7633 49500 278 16720 16590 17430 6506 5784 5315 6626 8040 17820 2121 5752 8186 5328 23170 5957 5387 6929 10300 5912 9233 15230 17050 15770 25840 8085 9095 19440 9432 6295 6538 4431 25890 18160 22750 6111 4514 27580 5996 17420 13950 18330 12700 22340 6868 5992 3713 12540 10500 6188 3911 11790 7069 18620 8756 5112 6765 1255 32360 21340 6363 5491 7919 5940 31320 27820 27100 26030 20790 9052 8778 6470 8542 5529 9078 7212 1329 5995 10340 5232 10730 4766 7087 16600 36550 19930 5612 9354 28750 7469 9463 26660 6934 5861 12530 6929 12110 8101 6068 15030
2021-07-09 10420 7812 3373 5751 9315 5179 8997 6456 2229 16350 9192 10530 10280 13220 4164 24770 33160 23680 4854 18580 9309 9061 9950 16080 24230 23950 115400 7973 24110 11850 6329 6387 35020 5547 28550 8065 57030 11590 7124 31100 7605 13070 18240 37770 6396 26490 7091 9726 8337 12390 21410 14010 17630 7127 16590 7642 11450 28080 9472 11240 8723 8341 18660 1933 14490 13880 4985 10070 25210 25940 6821 5627 5003 10280 29840 3266 12870 323 4610 3695 6178 18420 3126 48800 27250 3347 8745 33920 9860 9140 11100 4840 4931 21850 3401 14500 27450 13340 8257 29090 4983 11790 34380 8576 3317 4845 7289 5428 9488 7299 5269 5320 6843 20700 10590 9359 6925 6752 3403 8349 31460 13390 6141 8296 6329 8720 5753 5935 6430 16950 10800 8470 3468 5910 18130 9553 55410 8006 4162 11000 5818 24710 8244 3944 24590 13330 4927 15310 5908 23110 8608 9363 22410 4934 10430 6955 7629 28340 7763 8963 6252 5443 29220 6899 6493 27210 8679 10640 4024 8085 2580 7071 17600 10680 6411 8110 21500 13680 40440 19760 28600 11670 78090 40770 5521 24350 7508 7725 8122 57390 22940 13890 4086 3207 67830 8868 27510 3115 3838 6839 17890 2636 3673 7974 13290 8238 14480 5756 22340 5023 4510 2039 12010 6943 8177 31470 9591 38050 11840 13150 8138 2329 6670 12140 7331 6114 27540 10700 3202 11800 17390 5106 7045 19270 21940 7989 35440 9860 5460 28250 114 12030 3801 11620 7291 16760 11080 15960 4546 16840 12800 35040 11100 6722 10480 14290 22090 6085 12440 3145 26230 6898 8394 5260 23550 7575 6039 8452 8405 1901 2154 29900 37160 6298 4092 5923 28570 6159 7663 49740 280 16800 16610 17550 6522 5818 5334 6659 8073 17930 2142 5760 8210 5365 23300 5974 5413 6970 10340 5932 9248 15490 17140 15810 25960 8104 9159 19540 9476 6334 6560 4462 26030 18290 22840 6156 4545 27890 6013 17480 13970 18350 12740 22470 6947 6009 3752 12600 10520 6219 3948 11800 7096 18650 8784 5150 6781 1262 32470 21460 6395 5519 7937 5967 31530 27900 27180 26180 20890 9142 8802 6498 8573 5551 9108 7236 1335 6053 10400 5256 10830 4794 7109 16680 36750 20040 5640 9383 28970 7482 9496 26730 6974 5879 12580 6949 12170 8155 6095 15160
2021-07-10 10530 7875 3393 5787 9346 5248 9015 6479 2251 16360 9235 10560 10300 13290 4177 24810 33240 23870 4870 18620 9353 9106 10010 16120 24280 24000 115800 7998 24180 11920 6336 6403 35110 5567 28650 8091 57230 11620 7132 31180 7640 13090 18390 38080 6412 26560 7123 9748 8385 12440 21500 14030 17720 7190 16670 7664 11500 28140 9527 11250 8736 8378 18760 1937 14560 13930 5026 10090 25330 26070 6854 5654 5033 10320 30170 3283 12930 324 4635 3719 6188 18530 3148 49260 27400 3363 8772 34020 9920 9203 11120 4862 4952 21920 3418 14570 27600 13380 8272 29170 5010 11930 34460 8640 3328 4869 7345 5452 9533 7336 5345 5331 6896 20790 10630 9376 6936 6796 3415 8384 31520 13440 6170 8336 6388 8783 5768 5943 6438 17120 10850 8486 3481 5940 18340 9605 55720 8066 4169 11030 5834 24780 8272 3966 24700 13380 4960 15400 5925 23180 8639 9432 22430 4953 10520 6992 7647 28390 7787 8991 6283 5528 29310 6921 6526 27260 8711 10690 4071 8102 2591 7080 17690 10730 6421 8124 21560 13710 40580 19850 28730 11720 78550 40840 5550 24440 7552 7757 8142 57710 22990 13930 4101 3218 68150 8890 27550 3131 3853 6843 17950 2649 3687 8023 13310 8243 14580 5841 22430 5045 4523 2049 12010 6976 8205 31790 9633 38120 11860 13210 8187 2342 6696 12310 7362 6137 27680 10750 3205 11870 17570 5135 7086 19300 22110 8010 35620 9900 5476 28430 116 12140 3810 11660 7381 16780 11160 16010 4559 16900 12860 35120 11180 6743 10520 14370 22120 6116 12480 3165 26390 6921 8440 5275 23620 7614 6059 8508 8426 1911 2166 30040 37240 6326 4137 5934 28740 6197 7693 49960 282 16870 16630 17680 6539 5853 5353 6698 8107 18040 2162 5767 8232 5400 23410 5993 5441 7010 10390 5953 9265 15740 17220 15850 26070 8124 9220 19640 9518 6374 6581 4488 26170 18410 22930 6200 4578 28210 6028 17540 14000 18360 12790 22590 7027 6027 3795 12670 10540 6252 3984 11810 7123 18680 8814 5188 6793 1269 32560 21570 6424 5544 7957 5991 31750 27990 27250 26300 20980 9224 8826 6522 8601 5570 9136 7255 1340 6106 10450 5280 10910 4820 7125 16740 36900 20150 5668 9413 29150 7496 9519 26790 7010 5900 12640 6965 12220 8209 6118 15280
2021-07-11 10630 7943 3414 5821 9374 5319 9032 6502 2275 16380 9271 10590 10310 13340 4190 24850 33340 24060 4885 18670 9393 9149 10070 16160 24340 24050 116400 8025 24260 12000 6343 6420 35210 5586 28770 8120 57460 11650 7142 31240 7676 13110 18530 38290 6423 26630 7144 9770 8436 12480 21580 14060 17820 7253 16750 7687 11560 28210 9581 11270 8749 8416 18860 1942 14630 13980 5070 10110 25460 26200 6886 5682 5063 10360 30550 3298 12990 326 4660 3745 6199 18640 3171 49710 27540 3380 8800 34110 9980 9266 11150 4882 4973 21990 3435 14640 27750 13440 8286 29260 5035 12060 34550 8713 3339 4895 7406 5472 9578 7374 5418 5342 6951 20880 10670 9393 6948 6838 3428 8420 31570 13490 6201 8379 6446 8851 5787 5948 6446 17330 10900 8503 3493 5971 18540 9657 56080 8125 4180 11060 5847 24860 8299 3987 24800 13420 4993 15480 5944 23260 8671 9506 22460 4972 10610 7032 7664 28430 7807 9019 6317 5616 29380 6945 6553 27310 8745 10750 4115 8119 2601 7088 17790 10780 6431 8140 21620 13740 40740 19950 28850 11770 79040 40920 5579 24550 7596 7793 8161 58050 23040 13980 4116 3236 68480 8913 27600 3147 3867 6847 18000 2661 3701 8070 13330 8248 14670 5929 22520 5066 4535 2060 12020 7009 8235 32110 9679 38200 11880 13260 8236 2355 6717 12460 7397 6161 27830 10800 3208 11940 17760 5165 7124 19330 22290 8031 35760 9930 5492 28610 117 12240 3819 11690 7477 16800 11250 16060 4572 16960 12910 35190 11270 6765 10550 14490 22140 6146 12520 3186 26480 6944 8486 5293 23710 7653 6080 8561 8447 1920 2177 30190 37330 6358 4181 5943 28920 6235 7724 50200 283 16940 16640 17800 6555 5886 5370 6730 8143 18160 2181 5773 8258 5435 23540 6009 5470 7051 10430 5971 9280 16000 17310 15900 26180 8145 9277 19760 9562 6410 6602 4512 26310 18530 23020 6243 4609 28520 6040 17590 14020 18380 12830 22720 7086 6044 3822 12730 10560 6283 4019 11810 7151 18710 8843 5219 6807 1277 32650 21680 6454 5570 7977 6018 31870 28070 27330 26440 21080 9305 8852 6547 8628 5589 9166 7280 1346 6160 10490 5305 11000 4848 7144 16800 37060 20260 5691 9443 29350 7510 9551 26850 7051 5920 12690 6982 12270 8264 6142 15400
2021-07-12 10790 8028 3436 5858 9406 5402 9050 6526 2304 16390 9312 10620 10340 13410 4203 24890 33430 24280 4901 18710 9440 9194 10150 16210 24390 24100 116900 8053 24360 12080 6350 6439 35320 5608 28910 8151 57700 11680 7153 31320 7712 13140 18690 38560 6436 26690 7168 9793 8489 12550 21690 14090 17930 7316 16830 7709 11620 28290 9638 11280 8764 8453 18960 1947 14690 14030 5117 10140 25600 26340 6918 5712 5093 10420 31070 3316 13060 327 4685 3770 6210 18790 3194 50250 27690 3397 8832 34210 10040 9336 11180 4905 4994 22070 3454 14710 27900 13500 8302 29350 5067 12260 34660 8796 3351 4923 7481 5495 9625 7413 5509 5356 7017 20970 10730 9412 6962 6889 3442 8456 31630 13530 6231 8431 6504 8940 5807 5958 6453 17590 10940 8519 3507 6005 18760 9710 56500 8191 4189 11090 5860 24930 8328 4008 24910 13470 5028 15570 5963 23340 8703 9582 22490 4992 10700 7075 7682 28490 7831 9047 6367 5702 29470 6970 6592 27370 8781 10820 4161 8136 2612 7098 17880 10830 6442 8155 21690 13780 40920 20040 29010 11840 79640 41030 5609 24660 7642 7828 8180 58450 23100 14040 4131 3257 68870 8936 27650 3163 3884 6851 18050 2674 3715 8118 13360 8254 14770 6013 22610 5087 4552 2071 12020 7044 8264 32430 9730 38290 11900 13320 8288 2369 6742 12630 7433 6185 28020 10850 3212 12020 17970 5199 7167 19360 22480 8053 35960 9980 5508 28830 118 12390 3828 11740 7565 16840 11330 16130 4585 17030 12970 35260 11360 6786 10590 14620 22180 6178 12570 3206 26660 6969 8558 5308 23800 7693 6101 8621 8468 1931 2190 30380 37420 6395 4225 5956 29100 6274 7756 50460 285 17020 16660 17940 6572 5921 5391 6767 8180 18280 2202 5782 8285 5474 23690 6027 5495 7093 10480 5993 9298 16270 17400 15940 26300 8163 9341 19880 9606 6450 6624 4549 26450 18680 23110 6292 4646 28850 6057 17660 14050 18390 12880 22870 7143 6062 3851 12800 10590 6316 4056 11820 7180 18740 8871 5258 6818 1283 32760 21800 6488 5599 7997 6045 32090 28160 27410 26590 21190 9397 8877 6573 8659 5610 9198 7305 1352 6222 10540 5331 11100 4877 7166 16880 37280 20370 5716 9475 29570 7524 9588 26920 7092 5943 12750 7003 12330 8319 6172 15530
2021-07-13 10920 8112 3458 5895 9439 5482 9068 6550 2329 16410 9354 10660 10350 13470 4217 24930 33540 24480 4918 18750 9486 9238 10220 16260 24450 24140 117400 8082 24460 12160 6357 6456 35430 5631 29050 8180 57940 11710 7164 31400 7748 13150 18840 38830 6451 26760 7203 9816 8540 12610 21800 14120 18030 7378 16910 7733 11690 28360 9699 11290 8777 8491 19060 1952 14760 14070 5170 10160 25740 26470 6951 5739 5123 10490 31570 3334 13130 329 4711 3796 6220 18950 3217 50840 27830 3415 8868 34300 10100 9404 11210 4929 5016 22150 3472 14790 28060 13560 8317 29450 5096 12460 34760 8867 3363 4950 7562 5523 9672 7453 5602 5369 7081 21060 10780 9429 6971 6929 3456 8492 31690 13580 6267 8479 6562 9018 5824 5966 6461 17850 10990 8538 3521 6040 19000 9762 56960 8252 4201 11120 5875 25000 8357 4029 25020 13510 5063 15660 5982 23410 8736 9660 22520 5012 10790 7116 7700 28540 7855 9076 6417 5794 29550 6996 6625 27430 8815 10900 4209 8153 2622 7107 17980 10890 6451 8167 21750 13810 41090 20140 29170 11920 80270 41140 5639 24770 7689 7865 8198 58840 23160 14100 4147 3277 69280 8961 27700 3179 3902 6855 18110 2687 3729 8168 13380 8261 14870 6099 22700 5109 4566 2082 12030 7079 8296 32760 9779 38380 11920 13380 8339 2382 6764 12810 7470 6210 28200 10900 3216 12100 18190 5233 7198 19390 22680 8074 36160 10030 5525 29030 120 12530 3837 11790 7663 16860 11420 16190 4600 17100 13030 35340 11450 6808 10640 14760 22200 6209 12620 3227 26820 6993 8621 5326 23890 7733 6120 8681 8490 1942 2203 30590 37510 6433 4271 5969 29280 6313 7787 50690 286 17090 16680 18080 6590 5956 5411 6802 8215 18390 2223 5789 8310 5513 23840 6044 5525 7138 10530 6014 9311 16540 17490 15980 26430 8183 9406 19990 9652 6488 6646 4582 26600 18810 23210 6344 4685 29170 6074 17720 14070 18410 12930 23010 7218 6080 3881 12870 10610 6349 4098 11830 7209 18770 8902 5300 6833 1290 32880 21940 6525 5626 8018 6069 32210 28250 27490 26740 21300 9479 8903 6598 8684 5631 9225 7331 1358 6288 10590 5357 11200 4903 7187 16980 37490 20490 5745 9506 29800 7536 9621 26980 7134 5965 12800 7023 12380 8375 6197 15660

Data issues

    There is an issue with the reported local authority data: the last few (usually three) observations show no change. To handle this, we remove the last two observations. This then reflect the reporting delay of the data, but also implies that we cannot precisely distinguish between a count of zero cases and a delayed count.
    The forecasts from 2020-10-11 use a four day delay (so ignoring the last four days of reported cases), to reflect delays in reporting data in many areas. Otherwise we use a two day delay.

    The following graph illustrates the issue for two districts:

Further information

  • We believe these forecasts fill a useful gap in the short run. They give an indication of what is likely to happen in the next few days, removing some aspect of surprise. Moreover, a noticeable drop in comparison to the extrapolations could be an indication that the implemented policies are having some impact. It is difficult to understand exponential growth. We hope that these forecasts may help to convince viewers to adhere to the policies implemented by their respective governments, and keep all arguments factual and measured.
  • We use the data repository for the 2019 Novel Coronavirus Visual Dashboard operated by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering. This is updated daily, but we tend to update our forecasts only every other day.
    US state data as of 2020-03-28 is courtesy of the New York Times.
  • We can only provide forecasts of what is measured. If confirmed cases are an underestimate of actual cases, then our forecasts will also be underestimates. No other epidemiological data is used. Data definition and collection differs between countries and may change over time.
  • We will update the methodology as we learn what is happening in the next few days or weeks. Once the number of cases levels off, there is no need to provide these forecasts anymore.
  • Countries where the counts are very low or stable have been omitted.
  • The graphs have dates on the horizontal axis (yyyy-mm-dd) and cumulative counts on the vertical axis. They show
    1. bold dark grey line (with circles): observed counts (Johns Hopkins CSSE);
    2. many light grey lines (with open circles): forecasts using different model settings and starting up to four periods back;
    3. red line (with open circles): single forecasts path using default model settings;
    4. black line (with crosses): average of all forecasts, recentered on the last observation;
    5. thin green lines: some indication of uncertainty around the red forecasts, but we do not know how reliable that is.
    Both the red line forecasts and the black lines are also given in the tables above. These forecasts differ, we are currently inclined to use the average forecasts.
  • The forecasts are constructed as follows:
    1. An overall `trend' is extracted by taking a window of the data at a time. In each window we draw `straight lines' which are selected using an automatic econometric procedure (`machine learning'). All straight lines are collected and averaged, giving the trend.
    2. Forecasts are made using the estimated trend, but we note that this must be done carefully, because simply extrapolating the flexible insample trend would lead to wildly fluctuating forecast. We use the `Cardt' method, which has been found to work well in other settings.
    3. Residuals from the trend are also forecast, and combined with trend forecasts into an overall forecast.
  • Scenario forecasts are constructed very differently: smooth versions of the Chinese experience are matched at different lag lengths with the path of each country. This probably works best from the peak, or the slowdown just before (but we include it for the UK nonetheless).
  • The forecast evaluation shows past forecasts, together with the outcomes (in the grey line with circles).
  • EU-BS is Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania together.
  • This paper describes the methodology and gives further references. Also available as Nuffield Economics Discussion Paper 2020-W06. Still preliminary is the documentation of the medium term forecasts.

Recent changes and notes

[2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.
[2021-01-07]Slideshow of forecasts, errors, and actuals 2020-06-30 to 2021-01-02: how England lost the battle.
[2020-10-27]Statistical short-term forecasting of the COVID-19 Pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now published at the Journal of Clinical Immunology and Immunotherapy. open access
[2020-10-11]Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now in press at the International Journal of Forecasting. open access
[2020-10-10]Removed forecasts from the Chinese scenarios, while investigating possibility to use own history from the first wave.
Added information on the previous peak (if present) to the peak tables.
Local forecasts for England: now dropping last four observations.
[2020-07-01] Modified the short-term model to allow for (slowly changing) seasonality. Many countries show clear seasonality after the initial period, likely caused by institutional factors regarding data collection. This seasonality was also getting in the way of peak detection. As a consequence estimates of the peak date may have changed for countries with strong seasonality.
Added forecasts of cumulative confirmed cases for lower tier local authorities of England. The data is available from 2020-07-02 including all tests (pillar one and two). Only authorities with more than 5 cases in the previous week are included.
[2020-06-29] Tables in April included the world, but not the world as we know it (double counting China and the US). So removed the world from those old tables.
Why short-term forecasts can be better than models for predicting how pandemics evolve just appeared at The Conversation.
Thursday 2 July webinar at the FGV EESP - São Paolo School of Economics. This starts at 16:00 UK time (UTC+01:00) and streamed here.