COVID-19 short-term forecasts Confirmed 2021-07-14 lower tier local authorities of England (with more than 5 cases in the previous week).


General information

  • Forecasts produced by Jennie Castle, Jurgen Doornik, and David Hendry, researchers at the University of Oxford. These are our forecasts, and should not be considered official forecasts from, or endorsed by, any of: University of Oxford, Oxford Martin School, Nuffield College, or Magdalen College.
  • These forecasts are short term time-series extrapolations of the data. They are not based on epidemiological modelling or simulations. All forecasts are uncertain: their success can only be determined afterwards. Many mitigation strategies are in place, which, if successful, invalidate our forecasts. An explanation of our methods is provided below.
  • A list of notes is below. The most recent note:
    [2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.

Forecasts for districts of England, one week ahead from 2021-07-14

Peak increase in estimated trend of Confirmed in England 2021-07-14

Aberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterComhairle nan Eilean SiarConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
Peak date (mm-dd)2021-06-3012-2712-27 -- --2021-06-302021-03-2512-2607-212021-03-2512-2112-2712-0712-2112-232021-06-3012-23 --2021-07-0312-232021-01-03 --12-312021-05-0912-2612-2212-29 --12-27 --12-072021-01-072021-05-1011-132021-01-012021-05-2610-2412-2212-2712-272021-06-2712-062021-07-0212-3012-2512-212021-06-2812-22 --12-3012-272021-07-0310-282021-06-2212-2712-262021-06-302021-07-0112-272021-07-0112-2112-222021-05-3010-282021-06-2912-222021-06-212021-06-3012-2212-21 --12-2112-21 --2021-06-212021-01-0412-262021-01-05 -- --12-2712-21 -- --12-27 --12-272021-06-2912-21 --2021-06-272021-06-3012-282021-01-02 --12-21 --12-2712-0712-2612-222021-06-2112-2707-2112-24 --2021-06-2112-2412-2111-092021-06-13 --2021-06-30 --12-2712-3012-2812-212021-07-0212-2212-2512-2112-22 --09-222021-06-3012-2312-2712-222021-06-302021-06-2912-25 -- -- -- --10-042021-06-3012-2812-2112-2212-2712-212021-06-302021-06-0212-27 --12-212021-06-082021-06-3012-28 --12-2812-21 --2021-06-3012-2712-1312-2912-22 --2021-06-3012-28 --12-222021-06-0312-212021-06-2612-212021-06-2612-212021-06-302021-06-032021-07-0112-282021-06-2811-0112-222021-06-3012-2712-29 --11-022021-01-0312-2112-27 --11-0212-2112-262021-05-3112-222021-06-27 --2021-06-282021-01-0212-222021-06-29 --12-0812-21 --12-2112-2212-212021-03-25 --2021-06-2712-2212-2712-06 --2021-03-1812-28 --2021-01-03 --12-272021-07-0312-2707-21 -- -- --12-2612-2110-04 --12-21 -- -- -- --12-27 --2021-01-0112-29 --2021-06-2712-282021-06-292021-06-2212-282021-06-292021-06-222021-01-06 --2021-01-01 --2021-01-042021-06-3012-21 --2021-01-052021-05-2510-042021-07-0112-2712-21 -- --12-13 --12-1310-1812-3012-28 --12-252021-01-262021-01-0212-2912-29 --12-2312-212021-07-0312-2812-2211-0207-2112-3012-25 --12-2112-2912-2212-21 -- -- --2021-01-0412-22 --10-042021-06-2812-222021-05-252021-01-03 --12-272021-07-0312-2112-1412-2812-2612-212021-07-0112-25 --12-222021-06-20 -- -- -- -- -- --12-2712-2112-0712-022021-06-06 --2021-06-3012-26 --2021-01-0412-27 --2021-06-2112-2112-2112-2212-22 --12-06 --12-212021-07-0312-2212-262021-06-2112-21 --12-272021-06-292021-06-0112-252021-06-3012-2112-222021-06-292021-06-2112-2612-2012-1310-042021-06-30 --2021-06-30 --12-282021-07-0212-2712-2912-222021-06-302021-07-0112-2712-222021-06-2212-3112-282021-06-3012-312021-05-30 --12-262021-06-30
Peak daily increment 136 102 61 87 77 73 115 106 170 110 176 178 78 72 589 49 326 128 108 52 252 426 1249 157 95 58 208 50 484 16 434 228 107 524 55 233 210 319 107 508 75 186 122 122 35 137 61 256 87 61 98 172 26 175 107 27 41 110 268 45 49 249 283 91 71 431 19 243 5 94 288 288 181 157 151 48 31 58 246 170 187 118 322 119 175 536 296 60 72 76 160 106 106 66 102 163 146 107 22 146 593 273 97 81 84 90 74 94 245 55 125 631 67 56 180 88 451 119 24 34 218 201 21 119 172 338 103 49 120 476 101 159 91 442 115 31 143 71 74 43 18 25 35 76 70 31 283 198 232 311 428 1522 284 104 457 229 102 727 33 200 30 417 92 419 46 105 298 62 153 186 26 102 361 79 62 23 105 122 723 36 212 186 105 50 389 58 277 121 224 20 123 4 125 44 52 108 154 203 102 60 623 81 19 150 54 52 188 138 96 198 80 85 174 36 25 162 448 83 82 210 64 131 557 24 209 244 97 42 110 102 42 86 460 34 79 13 80 102 345 248 293 451 131 156 135 94 112 42 105 331 189 270 18 88 109 140 349 37 138 123 360 138 101 559 187 90 110 23 84 329 107 57 227 95 138 117 50 27 154 87 29 79 74 105 115 99 217 264 83 52 253 106 138 86 106 115 68 95 14 69 134
Days since peak 14 199 199 14 111 200 358 111 205 199 219 205 203 14 203 11 203 192 195 66 200 204 197 199 219 188 65 243 194 49 263 204 199 199 17 220 12 196 201 205 16 204 196 199 11 259 22 199 200 14 13 199 13 205 204 45 259 15 204 23 14 204 205 205 205 23 191 200 190 199 205 199 199 15 205 17 14 198 193 205 199 219 200 204 23 199 358 202 23 202 205 247 31 14 199 196 198 205 12 204 201 205 204 295 14 203 199 204 14 15 201 283 14 198 205 204 199 205 14 42 199 205 36 14 198 198 205 14 199 213 197 204 14 198 204 41 205 18 205 18 205 14 41 13 198 16 255 204 14 199 197 254 192 205 199 254 205 200 44 204 17 16 193 204 15 218 205 205 204 205 111 17 204 199 220 118 198 192 199 11 199 358 200 205 283 205 199 194 197 17 198 15 22 198 15 22 189 194 191 14 205 190 50 283 13 199 205 213 213 269 196 198 201 169 193 197 197 203 205 11 198 204 254 358 196 201 205 197 204 205 191 204 283 16 204 50 192 199 11 205 212 198 200 205 13 201 204 24 199 205 219 224 38 14 200 191 199 23 205 205 204 204 220 205 11 204 200 23 205 199 15 43 201 14 205 204 15 23 200 206 213 283 14 14 198 12 199 197 204 14 13 199 204 22 195 198 14 195 45 200 14
Last total 10754 8124 3624 6387 9925 5477 9382 6792 2278 16701 9770 11007 10581 13577 4430 25247 34273 25104 5132 19255 10023 9687 10878 16540 25347 24640 119841 8323 24508 12644 6391 6641 35926 5769 29768 8533 59290 12082 7258 31962 7885 13378 19381 40295 6691 27702 7507 10055 8891 12744 22144 14158 18367 7291 17359 7915 11639 28557 10042 11360 9164 8594 19635 1999 15089 14781 5287 10375 26483 27127 7176 6008 5266 10735 30882 3313 13518 330 4855 4171 6343 19721 3318 51898 28769 3586 9079 35107 10409 9881 11485 5028 5182 22515 3645 14970 29432 13951 8457 30245 5118 12113 35316 8588 3557 5278 7395 5737 10123 7703 5477 5618 7033 22328 10987 9748 7252 7250 3537 8748 32013 13911 6456 8889 6597 8998 6042 6055 6563 17647 11048 8769 3822 6374 19579 10178 56731 8396 4431 11331 6244 25457 8590 4025 25508 13748 5392 16071 6178 23813 8931 9906 23118 5170 11242 7133 7994 29049 8068 9302 6643 5704 30161 7262 6900 27857 9090 10935 4221 8311 2640 7271 18351 11106 6643 8363 22725 14136 41798 20330 29896 12130 81672 41589 5848 25381 7860 8026 8435 59014 23501 14447 4263 3429 69928 9206 28194 3386 4173 6887 18503 2904 3722 8533 13447 8437 16003 6053 23123 5282 4609 2173 12106 7377 8826 33403 10158 38676 12033 13595 8272 2656 7105 13287 7704 6341 28374 11222 3311 12705 18529 5584 7553 19746 23780 8350 36703 10426 5611 29514 135 12251 3852 11921 7507 17112 12662 16633 4785 17318 13160 35643 12675 6970 11052 14608 22396 6277 13068 3395 27357 7269 8742 5463 24627 7979 6320 9041 8654 1978 2266 30976 38522 6793 4221 6190 29490 6460 8060 51946 321 17534 16878 18838 6768 5964 5587 7009 8465 19501 2376 5926 8536 5718 23790 6183 5672 7302 10694 6441 9573 16774 17963 16488 27079 8430 9718 20216 9933 6733 6807 4598 27213 19881 24099 6439 4768 30115 6201 18213 14422 18600 13427 23439 7274 6313 4152 13126 11004 6751 4108 11944 7419 19079 9220 5788 6957 1363 33394 22411 6632 5827 8072 6288 33373 28788 27888 27615 21820 9605 9100 6836 8922 5665 9452 7568 1414 6174 10769 5519 11167 5134 7305 17223 38424 21261 5944 9777 30215 7762 9858 27534 7564 6228 12887 7328 12654 8800 6430 15818
Last daily increment 77 58 61 138 91 49 93 74 15 93 112 84 78 86 71 86 254 272 42 163 148 144 191 84 287 177 753 77 102 154 2 56 172 48 274 108 453 125 24 158 73 28 264 516 59 290 92 69 92 87 154 13 139 59 153 62 64 50 127 1 101 77 221 1 116 182 61 79 272 256 76 61 72 128 272 21 155 0 8 139 45 274 50 574 322 45 70 233 122 126 100 69 4 149 44 112 396 123 53 234 43 82 191 19 43 65 44 62 142 57 44 74 35 323 83 91 75 75 35 88 120 108 55 93 72 41 52 29 42 184 11 79 51 88 233 132 285 97 45 64 112 154 77 4 233 89 91 153 47 136 64 103 135 64 143 39 65 144 53 82 66 69 193 79 113 133 98 62 32 53 1 42 151 72 68 77 280 94 263 89 311 101 651 170 64 206 83 55 79 333 97 130 35 47 452 64 167 43 61 7 127 22 28 108 43 49 282 65 171 51 8 16 5 62 124 325 105 151 22 146 25 30 84 214 74 29 135 91 35 175 217 97 100 114 307 73 260 125 29 281 0 70 1 54 55 85 266 132 3 85 87 122 334 47 117 91 22 40 151 65 194 72 64 53 188 96 48 93 68 23 22 234 238 119 41 58 160 78 98 484 13 180 57 293 47 33 48 79 59 294 41 38 80 69 122 42 70 77 112 95 57 223 147 156 213 95 123 140 91 76 68 23 224 326 225 71 67 367 64 185 106 27 146 227 95 64 50 136 106 94 42 29 77 103 122 97 15 16 198 185 61 65 11 91 328 177 142 361 208 116 48 78 94 35 82 78 12 20 92 45 66 70 59 104 329 273 39 86 246 60 74 141 87 70 11 57 114 128 62 135
Last week 518 425 238 557 544 385 349 318 94 336 557 453 285 416 269 447 1060 1496 246 644 674 643 895 475 996 675 4615 340 469 791 61 244 927 213 1316 434 2261 486 126 788 304 292 1118 2554 271 1088 413 331 551 387 781 183 797 269 732 272 261 529 583 116 419 284 992 51 598 821 311 328 1290 1243 361 356 290 510 1679 70 666 9 244 452 153 1364 202 3412 1539 241 348 1060 556 751 409 224 245 750 249 508 1887 599 202 1117 190 558 923 179 213 411 229 299 603 387 325 275 256 1485 398 373 292 489 127 375 593 507 335 574 355 330 285 120 126 989 305 294 318 458 1562 632 1740 417 243 328 375 774 319 109 922 403 428 718 256 709 326 582 655 241 816 205 351 696 303 337 434 375 910 353 410 600 381 332 235 239 65 178 766 418 227 249 1122 429 1351 622 1315 550 3902 865 294 1008 379 325 310 2018 554 559 181 212 2377 319 661 222 306 49 585 231 108 520 170 166 1383 406 830 252 118 137 85 416 595 2135 537 694 191 485 204 309 419 1223 394 219 1013 523 107 873 1290 433 475 462 1817 311 1379 551 157 1395 15 430 54 315 382 382 1464 663 210 519 414 636 1509 250 570 528 304 220 635 250 1213 341 377 199 1058 389 238 614 259 69 122 1206 1282 482 202 256 1076 333 389 2313 39 788 279 1385 240 171 233 347 388 1423 224 154 328 378 667 214 262 354 391 448 300 1498 842 663 1076 303 599 732 457 407 263 166 1243 1606 1211 333 257 2403 201 727 429 227 637 1052 458 270 384 573 452 508 196 126 307 433 444 596 163 106 957 987 262 305 147 348 1908 876 705 1475 970 547 292 336 339 145 328 338 80 221 418 261 433 343 200 577 1797 1235 291 348 1343 255 374 796 548 305 304 348 519 615 308 792
Previous peak date07-2107-21 --12-2712-2707-2112-2110-07 --12-21 --10-21 --10-25 --12-28 --10-1912-27 -- --10-2611-0212-2110-07 --11-0212-2710-1310-12 --10-2510-15 --11-0212-2105-03 -- -- --12-14 --12-2811-02 -- --12-26 --2021-01-0409-2710-2712-07 --12-2110-01 --12-0812-0610-2512-08 --10-1012-21 --11-02 --12-2812-2510-18 --2021-01-04 -- --12-3007-2107-2110-14 --12-2812-27 --09-1612-2111-02 --12-26 --12-2710-1712-2712-2112-2110-2110-2712-2710-0110-1810-12 -- --07-2107-21 -- -- --2021-01-0307-2110-27 -- --07-2112-2707-2110-31 --10-29 --10-2512-2610-06 -- -- --2021-01-04 --07-21 -- -- --07-2112-25 --12-2710-1510-2812-2707-2112-21 -- -- -- -- --2021-01-0512-2209-2812-2710-1412-2112-21 --12-2710-28 --12-2712-1310-29 -- --10-1712-2907-21 --12-30 --12-26 --2021-01-0107-2112-2806-1112-2712-2212-28 --12-25 --10-1310-2709-29 --2021-01-0304-1411-02 -- --12-27 --10-1209-2812-27 --12-212021-01-0411-0210-25 -- --2021-01-06 --10-1512-28 -- --10-1212-2112-3107-2109-30 -- -- --12-07 --12-2711-0211-01 --12-0609-24 --12-1310-1910-26 -- --07-2111-01 --12-2811-032021-01-072021-01-0408-0212-21 --11-0212-2711-0210-22 --12-27 --12-2607-21 --2021-01-0511-0212-2811-0212-29 --12-3110-2612-2207-2112-0610-1110-1012-2710-19 --10-11 -- -- -- --10-11 -- -- --11-0211-0211-0107-21 --12-2810-25 -- -- --10-28 --12-27 --07-21 -- --12-2812-2712-27 -- --12-2707-2112-21 --12-2010-1312-2710-2412-22 -- -- -- --10-1712-25 --10-26 --07-2112-292021-01-0211-0212-2712-2212-2210-31 -- -- --12-2510-192021-01-02 --2021-01-0410-2910-1112-2112-26 -- -- -- --2021-01-03 -- -- --12-27 -- --12-08 --10-26 --12-2712-1510-2211-02 --10-2212-2112-27 -- -- --07-2111-0212-0707-2112-26 --12-2210-1610-26 --12-2212-2810-3010-1112-2711-03 --12-2510-2812-2112-31 --11-02
Previous peak daily increment 605 366 107 97 285 134 40 260 61 40 477 190 58 85 277 233 262 1200 68 166 106 55 234 355 142 56 155 307 1167 94 64 72 160 211 99 54 148 354 39 194 60 303 292 52 197 121 68 68 1221 82 35 37 61 31 37 492 37 598 22 77 189 72 25 164 27 206 276 59 216 684 60 370 25 184 53 226 213 24 30 56 29 75 457 661 150 64 47 127 84 1697 92 34 377 70 68 54 57 401 119 57 120 136 38 22 56 139 57 452 83 239 134 44 237 275 148 100 46 349 153 121 75 469 71 71 480 274 90 42 2166 61 49 44 36 109 105 205 296 25 191 68 2512 86 190 91 26 55 139 969 105 134 104 40 60 68 168 1362 103 68 257 125 108 227 132 347 42 156 174 107 41 176 445 286 41 46 47 203 69 70 417 233 87 147 407 33 104 171 218 69 206 29 52 839 94 108 66 73 75 115 20 222 56 144 203 153 212 73 43 217 19 181 183 56 53 89 27 101 44 58 151 120 257 449 390 135 260 23 160 65 296 165 43 369 68 217 319 69 148 431 22 25 377 38 176 32 173 76 573
Low between peaks 0 -1 0 8 18 13 26 -40 3 -1 20 -12 48 307 55 19 17 31 -8 27 -11 -1 64 -10 34 53 0 2 26 -64 5 7 2 25 -1 -7 -11 -3 -49 -11 -4 -19 12 -4 -33 1 -7 9 53 34 -64 -2 -3 -3 -35 -5 -1 -10 8 0 -67 -4 -5 1 -7 -13 1 -27 22 23 1 -12 -4 -8 18 -63 -1 12 3 -2 -7 0 -5 -5 -5 -3 18 27 20 6 120 21 58 7 0 27 21 -23 39 6 -15 6 7 20 2 23 -7 7 49 1 58 1 3 1 37 38 -8 13 -13 -2 1 -20 -118 43 92 -4 -45 14 33 -2 -7 -11 -1 28 24 2 -73 -39 -1 -23 -9 -8 31 11 -4 0 1 -22 -4 -29 -4 -68 -13 -5 -2 1 -2 7 77 -99 -5 -68 -18 -8 -19 8 2 12 0 -48

Confirmed count forecast England (bold red line in graphs) 2021-07-15 to 2021-07-21

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterComhairle nan Eilean SiarConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-07-14 10754 8124 3624 6387 9925 5477 9382 6792 2278 16701 9770 11007 10581 13577 4430 25247 34273 25104 5132 19255 10023 9687 10878 16540 25347 24640 119841 8323 24508 12644 6391 6641 35926 5769 29768 8533 59290 12082 7258 31962 7885 13378 19381 40295 6691 27702 7507 10055 8891 12744 22144 14158 18367 7291 17359 7915 11639 28557 10042 11360 9164 8594 19635 1999 15089 14781 5287 10375 26483 27127 7176 6008 5266 10735 30882 3313 13518 330 4855 4171 6343 19721 3318 51898 28769 3586 9079 35107 10409 9881 11485 5028 5182 22515 3645 14970 29432 13951 8457 30245 5118 12113 35316 8588 3557 5278 7395 5737 10123 7703 5477 5618 7033 22328 10987 9748 7252 7250 3537 8748 32013 13911 6456 8889 6597 8998 6042 6055 6563 17647 11048 8769 3822 6374 19579 10178 56731 8396 4431 11331 6244 25457 8590 4025 25508 13748 5392 16071 6178 23813 8931 9906 23118 5170 11242 7133 7994 29049 8068 9302 6643 5704 30161 7262 6900 27857 9090 10935 4221 8311 2640 7271 18351 11106 6643 8363 22725 14136 41798 20330 29896 12130 81672 41589 5848 25381 7860 8026 8435 59014 23501 14447 4263 3429 69928 9206 28194 3386 4173 6887 18503 2904 3722 8533 13447 8437 16003 6053 23123 5282 4609 2173 12106 7377 8826 33403 10158 38676 12033 13595 8272 2656 7105 13287 7704 6341 28374 11222 3311 12705 18529 5584 7553 19746 23780 8350 36703 10426 5611 29514 135 12251 3852 11921 7507 17112 12662 16633 4785 17318 13160 35643 12675 6970 11052 14608 22396 6277 13068 3395 27357 7269 8742 5463 24627 7979 6320 9041 8654 1978 2266 30976 38522 6793 4221 6190 29490 6460 8060 51946 321 17534 16878 18838 6768 5964 5587 7009 8465 19501 2376 5926 8536 5718 23790 6183 5672 7302 10694 6441 9573 16774 17963 16488 27079 8430 9718 20216 9933 6733 6807 4598 27213 19881 24099 6439 4768 30115 6201 18213 14422 18600 13427 23439 7274 6313 4152 13126 11004 6751 4108 11944 7419 19079 9220 5788 6957 1363 33394 22411 6632 5827 8072 6288 33373 28788 27888 27615 21820 9605 9100 6836 8922 5665 9452 7568 1414 6174 10769 5519 11167 5134 7305 17223 38424 21261 5944 9777 30215 7762 9858 27534 7564 6228 12887 7328 12654 8800 6430 15818
2021-07-15 10970 8207 3663 6512 10030 5544 9447 6845 2298 16780 9840 11080 10640 13650 4430 25320 34440 25360 5190 19430 10140 9780 10880 16620 25580 24780 120400 8384 24620 12790 6400 6686 35980 5808 30000 8634 59650 12170 7279 32090 7932 13420 19580 40840 6718 27950 7575 10110 8984 12810 22200 14190 18370 7342 17470 7969 11730 28620 10100 11370 9244 8640 19840 2002 15190 14960 5334 10450 26630 27260 7234 6058 5266 10760 31590 3329 13620 331 4874 4260 6373 19940 3356 52840 28930 3622 9141 35300 10520 10050 11560 5083 5195 22630 3679 15050 29910 14030 8493 30440 5147 12240 35500 8630 3590 5345 7528 5801 10230 7765 5546 5664 7084 22570 11030 9820 7301 7313 3546 8827 32130 13990 6510 8984 6646 9130 6089 6071 6598 17830 11080 8810 3871 6446 19820 10300 57380 8431 4455 11390 6244 25600 8656 4039 25680 13800 5473 16180 6226 23920 9004 10030 23240 5214 11380 7201 8053 29190 8115 9376 6759 5816 30350 7333 6900 27970 9154 11050 4308 8350 2645 7310 18470 11170 6697 8443 23020 14210 42100 20430 30000 12260 82180 41720 5900 25470 7947 8077 8491 59440 23590 14580 4288 3478 70340 9273 28320 3424 4224 6895 18600 2936 3741 8620 13490 8473 16300 6192 23270 5323 4627 2192 12120 7445 8933 33740 10270 38780 12050 13720 8313 2676 7169 13580 7763 6381 28580 11320 3328 12850 18740 5664 7696 19800 24090 8408 36900 10560 5649 29690 135 12360 3865 11970 7589 17190 12920 16770 4798 17360 13240 35740 12900 7016 11140 14770 22420 6311 13200 3439 27680 7325 8865 5509 24770 8060 6361 9145 8689 1990 2292 31150 38680 6851 4261 6224 29640 6515 8125 52170 321 17680 16930 19060 6805 5997 5630 7053 8525 19760 2413 5959 8602 5783 23970 6226 5708 7328 10710 6542 9621 17030 18080 16610 27240 8492 9830 20340 10030 6813 6861 4629 27420 20260 24360 6498 4814 30430 6242 18350 14500 18630 13550 23630 7358 6360 4183 13240 11100 6845 4153 11980 7481 19160 9263 5898 6994 1373 33550 22600 6651 5877 8093 6338 33820 28980 27990 27900 21980 9690 9143 6883 8994 5686 9518 7636 1432 6219 10850 5564 11220 5230 7356 17300 38430 21470 5995 9850 30470 7816 9920 27660 7657 6304 12950 7388 12730 8916 6480 15960
2021-07-16 11100 8266 3687 6646 10110 5631 9500 6892 2340 16840 9910 11140 10690 13710 4474 25400 34610 25650 5225 19550 10240 9860 11000 16700 25810 24900 121000 8434 24720 12940 6410 6720 36070 5839 30210 8711 59980 12240 7297 32210 7950 13470 19740 41290 6750 28180 7631 10170 9072 12860 22270 14230 18400 7400 17530 8020 11810 28670 10180 11370 9311 8668 20030 2002 15260 15120 5360 10540 26790 27420 7279 6099 5323 10810 32030 3352 13670 331 4894 4319 6397 20150 3393 53280 29150 3641 9200 35460 10630 10170 11630 5134 5205 22750 3715 15120 30250 14110 8521 30620 5166 12510 35680 8756 3608 5391 7614 5854 10320 7828 5690 5689 7164 22760 11060 9890 7353 7381 3546 8897 32250 14060 6566 9077 6669 9216 6137 6089 6623 18100 11100 8851 3907 6500 20030 10410 57760 8474 4478 11430 6310 25730 8714 4059 25820 13850 5553 16240 6272 24000 9070 10120 23330 5256 11520 7242 8107 29320 8158 9451 6828 5900 30520 7408 6953 28060 9207 11110 4364 8375 2651 7352 18540 11240 6743 8502 23250 14280 42340 20530 30130 12350 82680 41840 5948 25590 8025 8110 8533 59810 23650 14690 4304 3506 70690 9330 28450 3461 4261 6903 18680 2967 3755 8701 13530 8502 16520 6284 23410 5356 4643 2204 12120 7505 9028 34070 10350 38830 12070 13850 8387 2679 7215 13960 7824 6430 28760 11420 3345 12980 18920 5745 7785 19860 24340 8462 37070 10640 5681 29870 135 12440 3873 12010 7722 17250 13150 16910 4815 17410 13310 35810 13130 7053 11220 14880 22460 6336 13310 3467 27840 7366 8913 5551 24870 8128 6396 9242 8730 1990 2318 31330 38850 6919 4314 6260 29780 6542 8169 52470 323 17820 16970 19260 6845 6045 5668 7106 8581 20010 2453 5985 8661 5842 24090 6268 5720 7364 10740 6617 9663 17220 18210 16690 27330 8531 9930 20450 10110 6879 6905 4670 27620 20540 24610 6541 4855 30730 6273 18460 14580 18630 13640 23800 7436 6400 4212 13340 11190 6934 4187 12000 7534 19230 9320 5972 7022 1373 33670 22770 6677 5922 8114 6361 34020 29140 28050 28180 22140 9760 9181 6931 9061 5706 9569 7695 1445 6311 10920 5613 11270 5312 7397 17380 38540 21670 6062 9910 30690 7867 9970 27770 7731 6358 13020 7447 12760 9030 6528 16070
2021-07-17 11180 8309 3717 6775 10190 5707 9555 6940 2370 16910 9990 11200 10750 13760 4519 25470 34780 25930 5266 19670 10340 9940 11120 16770 26040 25030 121600 8488 24780 13090 6419 6757 36150 5868 30420 8791 60280 12320 7314 32330 7980 13510 19890 41690 6790 28410 7692 10230 9162 12900 22350 14260 18430 7453 17610 8063 11860 28720 10240 11370 9380 8702 20220 2002 15350 15280 5394 10620 26940 27550 7330 6157 5381 10870 32340 3371 13740 332 4913 4385 6419 20340 3430 53860 29360 3668 9258 35620 10730 10260 11700 5185 5218 22870 3747 15190 30540 14180 8552 30790 5188 12700 35840 8843 3633 5442 7660 5916 10410 7890 5797 5717 7230 22900 11100 9940 7400 7460 3546 8968 32370 14130 6620 9143 6703 9265 6178 6107 6652 18320 11120 8892 3948 6561 20250 10520 58020 8510 4503 11480 6370 25870 8773 4078 25970 13900 5633 16320 6319 24080 9137 10190 23440 5296 11660 7277 8161 29440 8212 9522 6871 5949 30690 7479 7015 28140 9260 11150 4407 8405 2657 7391 18630 11300 6792 8550 23440 14350 42560 20630 30280 12400 83130 41950 5997 25700 8089 8150 8580 60090 23730 14800 4324 3527 71000 9379 28580 3497 4301 6911 18760 2992 3771 8772 13570 8533 16730 6348 23540 5391 4659 2221 12130 7564 9119 34390 10420 38910 12080 13970 8445 2689 7268 14310 7882 6474 28890 11510 3365 13110 19100 5820 7862 19910 24590 8516 37230 10730 5713 30040 136 12490 3882 12050 7829 17310 13390 17040 4829 17450 13390 35890 13330 7093 11300 14950 22490 6365 13420 3501 28010 7413 8954 5589 24990 8200 6433 9318 8767 1995 2342 31480 39020 6988 4358 6294 29900 6580 8221 52740 326 17950 17010 19480 6885 6084 5706 7145 8637 20260 2492 6011 8721 5903 24180 6309 5741 7399 10780 6705 9706 17380 18330 16790 27440 8577 10030 20530 10200 6937 6952 4705 27820 20800 24860 6584 4887 31030 6307 18580 14650 18640 13750 23970 7505 6443 4243 13450 11260 7024 4213 12030 7589 19300 9377 6045 7049 1373 33810 22900 6710 5968 8135 6395 34180 29280 28120 28420 22260 9840 9222 6978 9125 5725 9610 7747 1459 6380 10970 5659 11290 5367 7437 17460 38640 21850 6120 9980 30870 7917 10020 27860 7814 6412 13090 7495 12810 9143 6573 16180
2021-07-18 11270 8358 3749 6898 10270 5776 9611 6988 2395 16970 10070 11270 10800 13820 4561 25540 34940 26190 5292 19810 10440 10000 11250 16840 26250 25150 122200 8542 24840 13240 6429 6795 36250 5894 30620 8874 60590 12390 7327 32440 8015 13560 20040 42090 6827 28630 7752 10280 9251 12940 22430 14290 18500 7503 17700 8110 11910 28780 10320 11380 9446 8739 20400 2004 15440 15430 5433 10690 27090 27720 7382 6213 5436 10930 32630 3387 13820 333 4930 4450 6442 20510 3466 54330 29550 3697 9313 35790 10830 10350 11770 5233 5233 23000 3779 15260 30840 14260 8582 30950 5212 12860 35990 8909 3660 5493 7697 5967 10500 7950 5885 5746 7287 23080 11150 10000 7447 7537 3548 9037 32480 14200 6671 9217 6743 9320 6220 6122 6680 18520 11150 8942 3991 6624 20470 10610 58300 8558 4531 11530 6432 25990 8830 4095 26130 13950 5711 16400 6363 24180 9201 10240 23540 5335 11800 7314 8214 29570 8258 9588 6919 6001 30850 7545 7080 28220 9320 11190 4440 8437 2663 7427 18730 11370 6842 8606 23640 14420 42810 20720 30420 12460 83610 42050 6045 25830 8148 8192 8628 60360 23800 14900 4345 3565 71280 9426 28690 3532 4341 6919 18840 3014 3787 8854 13610 8563 16950 6409 23670 5427 4676 2237 12140 7623 9203 34710 10490 38990 12110 14080 8494 2701 7324 14630 7948 6514 29020 11600 3382 13250 19300 5890 7932 19960 24840 8569 37380 10810 5744 30200 137 12550 3891 12100 7922 17380 13630 17160 4840 17510 13460 35980 13590 7133 11380 15040 22510 6395 13530 3537 28170 7461 8980 5628 25110 8271 6470 9402 8810 2003 2365 31630 39160 7053 4398 6322 29980 6623 8276 53030 329 18080 17050 19690 6918 6119 5744 7179 8695 20500 2529 6037 8778 5963 24280 6348 5767 7438 10820 6775 9750 17540 18430 16890 27570 8625 10120 20640 10280 6991 6999 4737 28020 21090 25150 6618 4908 31330 6340 18690 14720 18660 13850 24140 7580 6485 4276 13550 11340 7111 4236 12050 7644 19380 9434 6103 7072 1373 33950 23030 6742 6015 8155 6433 34280 29420 28200 28640 22440 9910 9263 7010 9188 5750 9662 7811 1471 6436 11030 5704 11320 5430 7474 17530 38770 22070 6174 10040 31040 7965 10070 27960 7899 6464 13140 7548 12870 9252 6614 16310
2021-07-19 11380 8429 3782 7023 10360 5843 9668 7037 2419 17030 10160 11350 10850 13890 4604 25610 35110 26450 5337 19930 10550 10110 11370 16910 26460 25270 122900 8597 24940 13380 6438 6834 36390 5930 30820 8962 60980 12470 7347 32560 8052 13600 20240 42530 6876 28840 7813 10330 9341 13010 22560 14310 18600 7552 17790 8156 11980 28840 10400 11380 9512 8777 20580 2007 15520 15590 5472 10760 27280 27890 7435 6276 5491 11010 33010 3403 13910 334 4946 4516 6460 20680 3503 55030 29790 3727 9368 35960 10930 10490 11840 5280 5248 23110 3814 15340 31200 14360 8613 31150 5236 13010 36170 8970 3688 5544 7746 6026 10590 8011 5967 5774 7342 23250 11220 10060 7491 7615 3555 9106 32580 14270 6722 9310 6784 9383 6263 6138 6708 18710 11180 8982 4035 6690 20700 10720 58680 8621 4560 11580 6506 26120 8888 4112 26280 14010 5790 16500 6407 24270 9266 10320 23640 5375 11940 7360 8267 29690 8299 9654 6992 6075 31020 7610 7146 28330 9375 11270 4484 8470 2669 7463 18830 11430 6889 8667 23850 14490 43100 20820 30610 12500 84240 42180 6093 25980 8216 8235 8676 60730 23880 15000 4367 3617 71660 9489 28810 3568 4380 6926 18930 3038 3803 8931 13650 8594 17200 6497 23810 5464 4692 2255 12150 7680 9286 35020 10560 39080 12130 14200 8542 2713 7380 14950 8015 6554 29200 11680 3401 13390 19510 5958 8013 20020 25190 8622 37630 10910 5775 30460 138 12640 3899 12150 8012 17440 13880 17280 4850 17610 13530 36060 13900 7172 11460 15120 22550 6426 13640 3574 28360 7510 9072 5669 25230 8342 6508 9499 8855 2010 2388 31820 39370 7132 4437 6356 30160 6667 8332 53330 332 18210 17090 19920 6958 6153 5782 7227 8752 20750 2568 6062 8835 6025 24420 6386 5795 7480 10880 6856 9792 17790 18570 16990 27710 8674 10220 20760 10360 7056 7046 4768 28210 21340 25230 6650 4958 31630 6373 18810 14790 18680 13950 24320 7678 6527 4322 13640 11410 7199 4275 12080 7699 19450 9487 6184 7102 1375 34090 23190 6777 6061 8176 6473 34460 29560 28290 28870 22590 10000 9304 7040 9258 5779 9718 7879 1483 6490 11100 5748 11370 5494 7518 17620 38970 22260 6227 10100 31270 8012 10130 28080 7985 6522 13200 7614 12930 9362 6664 16460
2021-07-20 11470 8507 3816 7148 10440 5907 9725 7087 2439 17100 10250 11420 10910 13960 4647 25680 35300 26710 5383 20080 10660 10220 11510 16990 26670 25390 123700 8653 25020 13530 6447 6874 36570 5968 31030 9054 61390 12550 7371 32680 8093 13650 20430 42970 6914 29060 7895 10380 9433 13090 22700 14340 18700 7599 17890 8197 12040 28900 10510 11390 9579 8816 20770 2010 15620 15740 5515 10830 27480 28090 7490 6345 5547 11110 33280 3418 14000 335 4962 4584 6487 20950 3539 55710 30090 3760 9422 36130 11030 10600 11900 5328 5263 23220 3857 15410 31570 14460 8645 31360 5262 13150 36340 9020 3718 5596 7788 6087 10690 8071 6039 5804 7393 23440 11290 10130 7535 7705 3565 9176 32690 14350 6773 9399 6828 9438 6304 6161 6737 18880 11210 9035 4082 6758 20930 10790 58990 8699 4601 11630 6578 26240 8947 4128 26440 14080 5870 16590 6451 24370 9330 10390 23740 5413 12080 7392 8321 29810 8350 9719 7039 6146 31180 7674 7215 28430 9432 11340 4520 8504 2675 7498 18940 11490 6938 8732 24030 14560 43390 20910 30870 12570 84940 42330 6142 26160 8278 8279 8726 61070 23960 15120 4390 3652 72080 9533 28920 3604 4420 6934 19010 3067 3820 9030 13680 8625 17470 6557 23940 5502 4709 2274 12170 7748 9368 35330 10630 39170 12170 14310 8585 2727 7439 15260 8085 6593 29360 11770 3422 13530 19740 6024 8079 20090 25530 8676 37850 11010 5806 30730 139 12710 3908 12190 8095 17500 14130 17400 4860 17700 13600 36150 14190 7213 11540 15210 22600 6458 13760 3612 28530 7560 9150 5706 25370 8415 6546 9596 8885 2019 2411 32060 39630 7224 4474 6406 30310 6715 8390 53710 335 18340 17140 20180 6994 6185 5821 7287 8810 21000 2606 6088 8893 6087 24540 6425 5826 7548 10950 6928 9838 18020 18720 17100 27850 8725 10320 20890 10440 7135 7094 4798 28420 21570 25420 6696 5013 31940 6407 18920 14860 18710 14060 24490 7758 6570 4358 13740 11490 7288 4312 12100 7756 19530 9559 6283 7128 1382 34230 23360 6824 6108 8197 6516 34610 29700 28380 29130 22770 10110 9347 7097 9334 5801 9780 7937 1496 6537 11160 5792 11420 5560 7560 17710 39260 22460 6278 10160 31500 8059 10180 28200 8073 6576 13260 7673 12990 9473 6718 16590
2021-07-21 11550 8565 3852 7274 10520 5970 9783 7136 2459 17160 10350 11490 10960 14040 4690 25750 35500 26970 5421 20190 10770 10310 11660 17060 26890 25510 124400 8710 25120 13680 6456 6914 36730 6007 31230 9134 61790 12630 7393 32820 8134 13690 20650 43400 6963 29280 7976 10430 9525 13160 22830 14360 18830 7647 18000 8242 12090 28960 10620 11400 9647 8857 20950 2014 15710 15900 5559 10900 27720 28310 7546 6399 5602 11210 33550 3433 14090 336 4979 4652 6520 21200 3576 56200 30370 3794 9476 36300 11130 10680 11970 5376 5279 23330 3896 15490 31940 14560 8677 31530 5287 13270 36490 9065 3748 5648 7834 6132 10790 8131 6107 5834 7443 23660 11360 10200 7591 7776 3575 9247 32790 14430 6824 9488 6873 9488 6345 6185 6766 19060 11240 9094 4130 6827 21160 10890 59270 8780 4642 11680 6642 26370 9005 4144 26600 14160 5951 16700 6494 24470 9395 10480 23840 5456 12220 7431 8376 29930 8390 9784 7083 6217 31340 7738 7285 28550 9513 11400 4555 8539 2681 7533 19050 11560 6983 8782 24240 14630 43630 21010 31130 12640 85580 42480 6191 26330 8344 8324 8776 61410 24040 15220 4413 3679 72500 9580 29040 3640 4461 6942 19100 3090 3837 9121 13720 8656 17750 6627 24070 5540 4726 2291 12180 7806 9449 35650 10710 39260 12190 14420 8627 2742 7499 15570 8146 6631 29500 11860 3443 13670 19950 6090 8165 20180 25860 8730 38060 11110 5838 30980 141 12790 3918 12240 8175 17560 14390 17520 4868 17780 13670 36240 14510 7253 11620 15300 22620 6490 13870 3652 28730 7611 9210 5743 25500 8487 6584 9694 8932 2029 2433 32280 39850 7320 4511 6451 30490 6764 8450 54120 338 18470 17180 20450 7036 6216 5860 7353 8869 21260 2645 6115 8950 6150 24650 6464 5858 7614 11040 7006 9882 18260 18850 17200 28000 8778 10410 21020 10530 7207 7142 4827 28620 21880 25590 6744 5072 32250 6441 19040 14930 18730 14160 24670 7843 6614 4410 13840 11560 7378 4349 12130 7812 19600 9656 6366 7147 1389 34380 23540 6873 6156 8218 6560 34870 29850 28480 29400 22930 10220 9389 7158 9405 5829 9848 7995 1508 6583 11240 5836 11500 5622 7598 17820 39570 22660 6328 10230 31730 8107 10240 28320 8163 6630 13310 7726 13060 9586 6770 16700

Confirmed count average forecast England (bold black line in graphs) 2021-07-15 to 2021-07-21

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterComhairle nan Eilean SiarConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-07-14 10754 8124 3624 6387 9925 5477 9382 6792 2278 16701 9770 11007 10581 13577 4430 25247 34273 25104 5132 19255 10023 9687 10878 16540 25347 24640 119841 8323 24508 12644 6391 6641 35926 5769 29768 8533 59290 12082 7258 31962 7885 13378 19381 40295 6691 27702 7507 10055 8891 12744 22144 14158 18367 7291 17359 7915 11639 28557 10042 11360 9164 8594 19635 1999 15089 14781 5287 10375 26483 27127 7176 6008 5266 10735 30882 3313 13518 330 4855 4171 6343 19721 3318 51898 28769 3586 9079 35107 10409 9881 11485 5028 5182 22515 3645 14970 29432 13951 8457 30245 5118 12113 35316 8588 3557 5278 7395 5737 10123 7703 5477 5618 7033 22328 10987 9748 7252 7250 3537 8748 32013 13911 6456 8889 6597 8998 6042 6055 6563 17647 11048 8769 3822 6374 19579 10178 56731 8396 4431 11331 6244 25457 8590 4025 25508 13748 5392 16071 6178 23813 8931 9906 23118 5170 11242 7133 7994 29049 8068 9302 6643 5704 30161 7262 6900 27857 9090 10935 4221 8311 2640 7271 18351 11106 6643 8363 22725 14136 41798 20330 29896 12130 81672 41589 5848 25381 7860 8026 8435 59014 23501 14447 4263 3429 69928 9206 28194 3386 4173 6887 18503 2904 3722 8533 13447 8437 16003 6053 23123 5282 4609 2173 12106 7377 8826 33403 10158 38676 12033 13595 8272 2656 7105 13287 7704 6341 28374 11222 3311 12705 18529 5584 7553 19746 23780 8350 36703 10426 5611 29514 135 12251 3852 11921 7507 17112 12662 16633 4785 17318 13160 35643 12675 6970 11052 14608 22396 6277 13068 3395 27357 7269 8742 5463 24627 7979 6320 9041 8654 1978 2266 30976 38522 6793 4221 6190 29490 6460 8060 51946 321 17534 16878 18838 6768 5964 5587 7009 8465 19501 2376 5926 8536 5718 23790 6183 5672 7302 10694 6441 9573 16774 17963 16488 27079 8430 9718 20216 9933 6733 6807 4598 27213 19881 24099 6439 4768 30115 6201 18213 14422 18600 13427 23439 7274 6313 4152 13126 11004 6751 4108 11944 7419 19079 9220 5788 6957 1363 33394 22411 6632 5827 8072 6288 33373 28788 27888 27615 21820 9605 9100 6836 8922 5665 9452 7568 1414 6174 10769 5519 11167 5134 7305 17223 38424 21261 5944 9777 30215 7762 9858 27534 7564 6228 12887 7328 12654 8800 6430 15818
2021-07-15 10870 8201 3670 6499 10020 5552 9447 6850 2297 16760 9870 11090 10640 13650 4472 25330 34450 25380 5174 19390 10140 9800 11030 16630 25590 24760 120600 8383 24580 12790 6399 6684 36080 5810 30000 8617 59680 12160 7281 32100 7941 13440 19600 40770 6730 27910 7580 10110 8989 12820 22280 14180 18480 7348 17490 7966 11690 28640 10140 11380 9237 8651 19820 2006 15190 14920 5337 10430 26700 27330 7248 6068 5313 10810 31310 3331 13640 330 4892 4267 6373 19970 3354 52570 29030 3624 9146 35300 10510 10020 11560 5071 5207 22640 3687 15070 29770 14060 8494 30450 5147 12240 35470 8619 3591 5339 7446 5792 10230 7775 5576 5670 7088 22580 11060 9810 7299 7329 3559 8815 32120 14010 6508 8982 6657 9076 6091 6072 6587 17840 11090 8820 3874 6446 19850 10280 57140 8469 4474 11390 6317 25600 8646 4041 25680 13820 5473 16200 6223 23930 8989 10010 23220 5216 11400 7175 8046 29170 8118 9366 6719 5793 30320 7327 6965 27970 9163 11000 4280 8349 2649 7304 18490 11180 6686 8419 22950 14210 42040 20430 30120 12220 82350 41750 5905 25540 7936 8082 8490 59370 23590 14550 4294 3467 70350 9273 28310 3427 4226 6893 18610 2937 3743 8627 13480 8466 16280 6146 23270 5324 4626 2194 12120 7445 8928 33780 10250 38790 12060 13710 8319 2702 7183 13490 7762 6379 28540 11320 3331 12870 18770 5667 7642 19830 24090 8408 36940 10540 5637 29770 136 12320 3861 11970 7585 17180 12930 16750 4811 17400 13230 35750 12940 7012 11140 14730 22440 6312 13160 3440 27580 7327 8825 5499 24800 8050 6363 9142 8696 1993 2284 31190 38720 6882 4264 6231 29670 6520 8129 52350 326 17680 16930 19080 6803 5999 5628 7070 8528 19760 2418 5953 8590 5784 23920 6222 5723 7360 10750 6538 9625 17090 18100 16600 27260 8488 9830 20340 10010 6810 6852 4631 27430 20180 24290 6506 4819 30570 6239 18340 14510 18630 13550 23630 7353 6361 4208 13230 11100 6840 4145 11960 7479 19160 9297 5892 6982 1376 33550 22580 6677 5881 8093 6345 33700 28960 28000 27880 21990 9700 9148 6898 8987 5693 9514 7626 1426 6207 10840 5566 11250 5195 7348 17310 38680 21490 5987 9840 30470 7804 9920 27670 7663 6288 12940 7383 12740 8911 6488 15950
2021-07-16 10990 8273 3701 6581 10090 5633 9487 6897 2322 16790 9940 11140 10670 13720 4499 25400 34590 25620 5206 19470 10220 9890 11130 16690 25740 24840 121300 8423 24660 12910 6409 6717 36190 5838 30160 8668 60010 12220 7298 32210 7983 13490 19770 41170 6761 28050 7624 10160 9081 12870 22370 14220 18590 7401 17590 8007 11740 28730 10220 11400 9281 8695 19970 2016 15280 15020 5377 10470 26880 27510 7302 6111 5353 10850 31750 3348 13730 331 4931 4327 6392 20140 3388 53130 29240 3649 9201 35450 10590 10130 11610 5102 5236 22730 3720 15160 30020 14140 8519 30610 5170 12410 35610 8678 3616 5385 7512 5828 10310 7842 5680 5695 7148 22750 11120 9860 7336 7403 3575 8867 32210 14090 6554 9078 6706 9158 6129 6088 6598 18060 11130 8856 3916 6503 20140 10370 57520 8531 4500 11430 6361 25700 8686 4065 25830 13880 5539 16310 6257 24030 9038 10110 23290 5245 11550 7222 8086 29270 8151 9413 6803 5880 30450 7377 7013 28050 9219 11070 4338 8367 2662 7328 18610 11260 6707 8452 23090 14270 42230 20540 30280 12290 82960 41870 5958 25670 8001 8131 8525 59750 23670 14630 4319 3494 70740 9331 28410 3462 4260 6900 18680 2967 3759 8702 13510 8482 16480 6239 23390 5354 4644 2211 12120 7499 8995 34170 10330 38890 12100 13800 8373 2739 7239 13730 7811 6421 28720 11410 3340 13000 18980 5737 7706 19880 24390 8454 37160 10610 5655 29980 139 12430 3870 12010 7678 17220 13170 16830 4834 17460 13300 35850 13150 7046 11220 14830 22480 6344 13240 3467 27780 7375 8891 5525 24960 8105 6397 9238 8731 2000 2299 31380 38870 6946 4305 6255 29880 6564 8180 52680 327 17780 16950 19270 6831 6037 5660 7122 8586 19970 2459 5969 8633 5841 24030 6256 5763 7410 10790 6602 9657 17420 18240 16680 27400 8520 9920 20460 10080 6870 6881 4668 27610 20430 24440 6555 4856 31020 6264 18440 14570 18640 13630 23800 7436 6397 4268 13310 11170 6912 4176 11980 7527 19230 9346 5972 7006 1383 33670 22740 6714 5928 8118 6384 33970 29100 28100 28100 22120 9780 9190 6940 9032 5718 9561 7671 1436 6265 10910 5608 11350 5248 7374 17410 38890 21650 6038 9890 30710 7833 9970 27780 7733 6330 13010 7430 12810 9006 6533 16070
2021-07-17 11080 8329 3733 6663 10160 5703 9530 6945 2339 16830 10010 11190 10710 13790 4528 25460 34730 25850 5238 19550 10300 9970 11240 16760 25880 24920 122000 8463 24710 13030 6419 6744 36300 5867 30320 8722 60320 12260 7315 32330 8026 13540 19920 41520 6796 28200 7675 10210 9158 12920 22470 14250 18680 7450 17690 8044 11780 28800 10290 11410 9324 8739 20120 2026 15370 15120 5417 10500 27050 27660 7357 6161 5394 10890 32090 3363 13820 332 4969 4385 6411 20310 3414 53690 29450 3674 9251 35610 10670 10230 11660 5131 5267 22830 3753 15240 30260 14220 8546 30770 5193 12540 35730 8722 3643 5425 7554 5874 10390 7907 5760 5718 7201 22910 11170 9900 7367 7481 3592 8920 32290 14160 6597 9155 6755 9220 6165 6104 6610 18240 11180 8891 3958 6552 20420 10450 57790 8585 4527 11480 6402 25810 8725 4086 25970 13930 5602 16420 6291 24130 9086 10200 23360 5276 11690 7264 8127 29350 8191 9460 6855 5944 30580 7425 7058 28140 9275 11120 4388 8388 2674 7352 18720 11330 6731 8477 23230 14330 42410 20640 30450 12340 83490 41980 6009 25800 8060 8179 8562 60070 23740 14700 4345 3517 71070 9384 28490 3498 4295 6906 18760 2997 3775 8773 13540 8496 16670 6316 23510 5386 4660 2228 12130 7554 9059 34550 10410 38980 12120 13890 8421 2777 7294 13930 7860 6460 28870 11500 3350 13120 19190 5805 7770 19930 24690 8499 37350 10690 5675 30190 140 12510 3880 12040 7752 17260 13410 16910 4858 17520 13360 35940 13360 7082 11290 14920 22520 6375 13310 3495 27970 7421 8943 5549 25090 8162 6431 9327 8764 2008 2314 31540 39010 7008 4342 6279 30060 6609 8232 52990 329 17880 16980 19470 6862 6073 5693 7166 8643 20170 2494 5986 8676 5895 24120 6287 5801 7460 10830 6671 9690 17730 18370 16750 27530 8552 10010 20560 10140 6923 6912 4700 27800 20680 24580 6607 4890 31460 6286 18530 14630 18660 13720 23950 7504 6432 4325 13400 11230 6984 4203 11990 7575 19290 9395 6050 7028 1389 33780 22870 6753 5970 8140 6420 34210 29230 28190 28290 22230 9850 9233 6982 9078 5741 9605 7709 1446 6308 10960 5649 11420 5283 7396 17500 39070 21800 6089 9940 30900 7864 10010 27860 7808 6372 13080 7471 12870 9094 6576 16180
2021-07-18 11160 8389 3766 6747 10240 5773 9573 6992 2355 16860 10090 11250 10740 13850 4558 25520 34850 26080 5267 19640 10380 10040 11350 16830 26010 24990 122600 8502 24760 13150 6428 6773 36420 5895 30490 8779 60640 12320 7331 32440 8070 13580 20070 41870 6829 28350 7725 10260 9246 12960 22560 14290 18790 7496 17800 8084 11820 28890 10360 11420 9369 8782 20260 2035 15460 15220 5459 10530 27220 27840 7411 6210 5434 10930 32410 3377 13910 333 5009 4444 6430 20480 3440 54260 29650 3703 9299 35760 10750 10330 11710 5158 5299 22940 3784 15310 30470 14300 8573 30930 5214 12660 35850 8765 3670 5469 7592 5911 10470 7972 5830 5742 7250 23080 11230 9940 7399 7559 3608 8974 32380 14240 6646 9230 6804 9285 6203 6117 6622 18400 11230 8932 4003 6602 20700 10530 58060 8644 4556 11530 6446 25910 8763 4107 26120 13980 5666 16520 6325 24230 9134 10270 23430 5307 11820 7305 8167 29440 8228 9508 6908 6004 30700 7474 7102 28220 9335 11180 4434 8410 2685 7376 18840 11390 6758 8507 23370 14390 42600 20750 30600 12390 84030 42090 6058 25930 8118 8229 8599 60380 23820 14770 4371 3543 71390 9435 28580 3533 4330 6912 18840 3025 3791 8848 13570 8513 16870 6388 23630 5419 4680 2245 12130 7613 9123 34920 10480 39070 12150 13970 8467 2816 7347 14130 7915 6499 29010 11580 3359 13250 19390 5871 7827 19990 24980 8545 37530 10760 5695 30390 142 12590 3889 12080 7821 17300 13650 16990 4879 17580 13410 36030 13570 7117 11360 15000 22550 6408 13380 3524 28150 7467 8985 5574 25230 8218 6465 9414 8798 2016 2330 31710 39140 7066 4377 6303 30230 6656 8286 53320 330 17990 17010 19670 6890 6104 5725 7208 8701 20380 2527 6004 8715 5950 24220 6316 5840 7509 10880 6733 9722 18020 18490 16830 27650 8585 10100 20680 10210 6971 6943 4728 27980 20930 24730 6649 4920 31890 6309 18630 14690 18680 13810 24100 7576 6469 4377 13480 11300 7055 4229 11990 7623 19350 9447 6123 7049 1396 33880 22990 6792 6013 8164 6462 34410 29360 28280 28480 22380 9920 9276 7019 9123 5764 9654 7755 1455 6350 11010 5688 11490 5324 7417 17590 39260 21980 6128 9990 31080 7889 10060 27940 7890 6413 13140 7516 12930 9184 6617 16300
2021-07-19 11300 8475 3802 6832 10320 5851 9616 7039 2376 16890 10180 11320 10780 13930 4589 25590 35000 26330 5301 19740 10480 10140 11480 16900 26160 25070 123400 8540 24850 13280 6437 6806 36560 5926 30660 8840 61000 12380 7351 32560 8114 13630 20290 42310 6867 28500 7778 10300 9343 13040 22680 14310 18900 7543 17910 8122 11880 28980 10450 11440 9413 8825 20410 2044 15540 15320 5501 10570 27420 28030 7466 6263 5473 10980 32850 3392 14010 335 5048 4510 6447 20640 3472 54790 29880 3733 9354 35920 10840 10450 11770 5192 5332 23040 3816 15400 30740 14390 8599 31100 5240 12830 36000 8850 3698 5520 7652 5958 10550 8039 5922 5766 7306 23240 11300 9990 7436 7634 3626 9029 32460 14310 6693 9315 6853 9358 6242 6133 6634 18620 11270 8969 4048 6667 20980 10610 58510 8710 4587 11580 6495 26010 8802 4127 26260 14040 5732 16630 6360 24330 9185 10360 23500 5340 11970 7353 8205 29550 8269 9555 6989 6090 30840 7529 7158 28320 9391 11250 4483 8431 2696 7400 18960 11460 6782 8547 23520 14450 42850 20850 30800 12450 84710 42220 6109 26080 8182 8280 8636 60760 23900 14850 4397 3574 71800 9490 28670 3569 4365 6917 18920 3051 3807 8921 13600 8528 17100 6492 23750 5452 4701 2263 12140 7673 9188 35290 10570 39180 12190 14040 8514 2855 7404 14390 7966 6537 29200 11670 3369 13380 19630 5939 7894 20050 25290 8590 37770 10850 5716 30630 145 12680 3899 12140 7928 17360 13890 17080 4899 17670 13480 36120 13790 7153 11440 15120 22590 6440 13460 3554 28370 7515 9067 5604 25390 8276 6501 9506 8835 2026 2348 31910 39320 7139 4416 6329 30430 6703 8340 53660 333 18100 17030 19880 6921 6138 5760 7263 8761 20590 2561 6024 8762 6011 24370 6350 5881 7560 10930 6806 9759 18340 18630 16920 27810 8618 10190 20820 10270 7035 6975 4761 28170 21180 24850 6696 4952 32330 6341 18730 14750 18700 13900 24280 7674 6507 4441 13570 11360 7126 4267 12000 7672 19420 9502 6207 7071 1405 34010 23140 6830 6058 8189 6506 34700 29500 28390 28690 22510 10000 9318 7055 9169 5787 9706 7801 1465 6406 11080 5727 11580 5370 7446 17680 39510 22140 6177 10040 31350 7922 10110 28060 7980 6462 13210 7563 13000 9278 6666 16430
2021-07-20 11430 8564 3840 6919 10400 5933 9661 7087 2401 16920 10260 11380 10820 14000 4621 25660 35140 26580 5333 19820 10570 10230 11620 16970 26300 25150 124100 8580 24930 13410 6446 6841 36700 5957 30830 8903 61350 12440 7369 32680 8159 13690 20500 42710 6902 28650 7842 10350 9441 13100 22790 14340 19020 7589 18020 8162 11940 29070 10540 11450 9457 8869 20560 2054 15630 15420 5547 10600 27620 28220 7521 6314 5513 11030 33310 3408 14110 336 5088 4580 6466 20840 3503 55490 30110 3762 9411 36080 10920 10560 11820 5226 5365 23130 3851 15480 31020 14480 8627 31280 5268 13020 36140 8903 3727 5565 7721 6007 10630 8105 6014 5791 7371 23400 11360 10040 7466 7716 3643 9084 32550 14390 6741 9414 6903 9436 6276 6154 6647 18900 11320 9010 4094 6728 21260 10690 58950 8778 4618 11620 6544 26120 8840 4147 26410 14090 5799 16750 6394 24430 9237 10470 23570 5373 12110 7397 8243 29650 8311 9604 7062 6184 30970 7579 7207 28420 9447 11320 4538 8453 2706 7425 19080 11520 6807 8584 23650 14520 43080 20960 31030 12520 85420 42370 6160 26230 8240 8334 8673 61150 23980 14930 4424 3603 72220 9540 28770 3605 4401 6924 19000 3081 3823 9002 13630 8545 17340 6581 23870 5487 4721 2282 12150 7734 9256 35650 10650 39300 12220 14120 8558 2896 7460 14660 8022 6575 29390 11760 3383 13520 19860 6007 7967 20110 25610 8636 38000 10950 5738 30870 147 12790 3908 12180 8024 17400 14150 17170 4920 17740 13540 36210 14020 7190 11520 15240 22630 6473 13540 3584 28580 7562 9144 5630 25560 8334 6536 9601 8871 2036 2366 32120 39520 7210 4453 6357 30630 6751 8395 53980 336 18210 17060 20110 6950 6173 5795 7318 8822 20810 2602 6043 8811 6068 24500 6387 5926 7619 10980 6865 9791 18670 18770 17000 27960 8651 10290 20960 10340 7103 7008 4796 28360 21430 24970 6752 4995 32770 6370 18830 14810 18720 13990 24470 7752 6545 4509 13650 11420 7198 4305 12010 7721 19490 9555 6293 7092 1415 34150 23290 6873 6102 8215 6550 34980 29630 28490 28920 22620 10080 9360 7099 9216 5810 9758 7854 1475 6464 11140 5767 11670 5427 7474 17780 39780 22300 6226 10090 31620 7953 10160 28170 8064 6507 13270 7607 13070 9383 6710 16560
2021-07-21 11530 8635 3876 7006 10480 6005 9705 7135 2420 16950 10350 11440 10850 14070 4653 25740 35300 26830 5363 19910 10660 10320 11770 17050 26440 25220 124900 8620 25020 13540 6455 6874 36840 5991 31000 8962 61710 12500 7388 32810 8204 13730 20670 43150 6941 28810 7904 10400 9538 13170 22900 14370 19140 7636 18130 8203 11990 29160 10630 11470 9505 8913 20700 2063 15720 15530 5593 10630 27840 28410 7576 6360 5553 11070 33690 3423 14200 338 5128 4650 6486 21050 3536 56080 30340 3788 9458 36240 11010 10670 11870 5253 5399 23230 3882 15570 31310 14570 8654 31440 5294 13180 36280 8942 3757 5618 7783 6046 10710 8170 6101 5817 7422 23580 11430 10090 7506 7794 3661 9140 32640 14470 6787 9509 6954 9509 6312 6176 6659 19130 11370 9049 4141 6787 21550 10770 59330 8847 4651 11670 6592 26220 8878 4167 26560 14140 5866 16860 6429 24530 9283 10580 23630 5404 12250 7443 8283 29740 8349 9652 7136 6262 31100 7635 7262 28520 9514 11390 4585 8474 2716 7449 19200 11590 6835 8615 23810 14580 43340 21060 31260 12620 86130 42520 6213 26390 8303 8380 8711 61520 24050 15010 4451 3628 72640 9592 28870 3641 4437 6930 19080 3113 3839 9084 13650 8564 17580 6667 23990 5521 4740 2300 12150 7797 9321 36030 10740 39400 12250 14200 8603 2936 7517 14890 8075 6612 29560 11840 3395 13650 20090 6076 8053 20170 25940 8682 38230 11050 5759 31100 150 12890 3918 12230 8103 17440 14400 17260 4942 17810 13600 36300 14240 7226 11600 15330 22670 6507 13620 3615 28830 7610 9217 5661 25720 8393 6574 9697 8908 2047 2384 32330 39700 7280 4491 6386 30840 6799 8451 54340 339 18330 17080 20340 6983 6206 5830 7376 8881 21030 2644 6063 8861 6125 24630 6419 5970 7675 11040 6931 9828 19000 18910 17090 28140 8684 10380 21100 10400 7165 7041 4827 28550 21710 25090 6811 5036 33210 6400 18930 14870 18740 14080 24660 7823 6583 4579 13750 11490 7271 4340 12020 7771 19550 9616 6380 7113 1423 34290 23470 6916 6148 8240 6595 35360 29780 28600 29160 22750 10170 9403 7145 9263 5833 9813 7904 1484 6517 11210 5806 11770 5485 7499 17880 40030 22470 6279 10140 31890 7983 10210 28270 8142 6553 13330 7655 13130 9489 6757 16680

Data issues

    There is an issue with the reported local authority data: the last few (usually three) observations show no change. To handle this, we remove the last two observations. This then reflect the reporting delay of the data, but also implies that we cannot precisely distinguish between a count of zero cases and a delayed count.
    The forecasts from 2020-10-11 use a four day delay (so ignoring the last four days of reported cases), to reflect delays in reporting data in many areas. Otherwise we use a two day delay.

    The following graph illustrates the issue for two districts:

Further information

  • We believe these forecasts fill a useful gap in the short run. They give an indication of what is likely to happen in the next few days, removing some aspect of surprise. Moreover, a noticeable drop in comparison to the extrapolations could be an indication that the implemented policies are having some impact. It is difficult to understand exponential growth. We hope that these forecasts may help to convince viewers to adhere to the policies implemented by their respective governments, and keep all arguments factual and measured.
  • We use the data repository for the 2019 Novel Coronavirus Visual Dashboard operated by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering. This is updated daily, but we tend to update our forecasts only every other day.
    US state data as of 2020-03-28 is courtesy of the New York Times.
  • We can only provide forecasts of what is measured. If confirmed cases are an underestimate of actual cases, then our forecasts will also be underestimates. No other epidemiological data is used. Data definition and collection differs between countries and may change over time.
  • We will update the methodology as we learn what is happening in the next few days or weeks. Once the number of cases levels off, there is no need to provide these forecasts anymore.
  • Countries where the counts are very low or stable have been omitted.
  • The graphs have dates on the horizontal axis (yyyy-mm-dd) and cumulative counts on the vertical axis. They show
    1. bold dark grey line (with circles): observed counts (Johns Hopkins CSSE);
    2. many light grey lines (with open circles): forecasts using different model settings and starting up to four periods back;
    3. red line (with open circles): single forecasts path using default model settings;
    4. black line (with crosses): average of all forecasts, recentered on the last observation;
    5. thin green lines: some indication of uncertainty around the red forecasts, but we do not know how reliable that is.
    Both the red line forecasts and the black lines are also given in the tables above. These forecasts differ, we are currently inclined to use the average forecasts.
  • The forecasts are constructed as follows:
    1. An overall `trend' is extracted by taking a window of the data at a time. In each window we draw `straight lines' which are selected using an automatic econometric procedure (`machine learning'). All straight lines are collected and averaged, giving the trend.
    2. Forecasts are made using the estimated trend, but we note that this must be done carefully, because simply extrapolating the flexible insample trend would lead to wildly fluctuating forecast. We use the `Cardt' method, which has been found to work well in other settings.
    3. Residuals from the trend are also forecast, and combined with trend forecasts into an overall forecast.
  • Scenario forecasts are constructed very differently: smooth versions of the Chinese experience are matched at different lag lengths with the path of each country. This probably works best from the peak, or the slowdown just before (but we include it for the UK nonetheless).
  • The forecast evaluation shows past forecasts, together with the outcomes (in the grey line with circles).
  • EU-BS is Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania together.
  • This paper describes the methodology and gives further references. Also available as Nuffield Economics Discussion Paper 2020-W06. Still preliminary is the documentation of the medium term forecasts.

Recent changes and notes

[2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.
[2021-01-07]Slideshow of forecasts, errors, and actuals 2020-06-30 to 2021-01-02: how England lost the battle.
[2020-10-27]Statistical short-term forecasting of the COVID-19 Pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now published at the Journal of Clinical Immunology and Immunotherapy. open access
[2020-10-11]Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now in press at the International Journal of Forecasting. open access
[2020-10-10]Removed forecasts from the Chinese scenarios, while investigating possibility to use own history from the first wave.
Added information on the previous peak (if present) to the peak tables.
Local forecasts for England: now dropping last four observations.
[2020-07-01] Modified the short-term model to allow for (slowly changing) seasonality. Many countries show clear seasonality after the initial period, likely caused by institutional factors regarding data collection. This seasonality was also getting in the way of peak detection. As a consequence estimates of the peak date may have changed for countries with strong seasonality.
Added forecasts of cumulative confirmed cases for lower tier local authorities of England. The data is available from 2020-07-02 including all tests (pillar one and two). Only authorities with more than 5 cases in the previous week are included.
[2020-06-29] Tables in April included the world, but not the world as we know it (double counting China and the US). So removed the world from those old tables.
Why short-term forecasts can be better than models for predicting how pandemics evolve just appeared at The Conversation.
Thursday 2 July webinar at the FGV EESP - São Paolo School of Economics. This starts at 16:00 UK time (UTC+01:00) and streamed here.