COVID-19 short-term forecasts England

Peak increase in estimated trend of Confirmed in England 2021-08-25

	Aberdeen City	Aberdeenshire	Adur	Allerdale	Amber Valley	Angus	Antrim and Newtownabbey	Ards and North Down	Argyll and Bute	Armagh City and Banbridge and Craigavon	Arun	Ashfield	Ashford	Aylesbury Vale	Babergh	Barking and Dagenham	Barnet	Barnsley	Barrow-in-Furness	Basildon	Basingstoke and Deane	Bassetlaw	Bath and North East Somerset	Bedford	Belfast	Bexley	Birmingham	Blaby	Blackburn with Darwen	Blackpool	Blaenau Gwent	Bolsover	Bolton	Boston	Bournemouth Christchurch and Poole	Bracknell Forest	Bradford	Braintree	Breckland	Brent	Brentwood	Bridgend	Brighton and Hove	Bristol	Broadland	Bromley	Bromsgrove	Broxbourne	Broxtowe	Burnley	Bury	Caerphilly	Calderdale	Cambridge	Camden	Cannock Chase	Canterbury	Cardiff	Carlisle	Carmarthenshire	Castle Point	Causeway Coast and Glens	Central Bedfordshire	Ceredigion	Charnwood	Chelmsford	Cheltenham	Cherwell	Cheshire East	Cheshire West and Chester	Chesterfield	Chichester	Chiltern	Chorley	City of Edinburgh	Clackmannanshire	Colchester	Comhairle nan Eilean Siar	Conwy	Copeland	Corby	Cornwall and Isles of Scilly	Cotswold	County Durham	Coventry	Craven	Crawley	Croydon	Dacorum	Darlington	Dartford	Daventry	Denbighshire	Derby	Derbyshire Dales	Derry City and Strabane	Doncaster	Dorset	Dover	Dudley	Dumfries and Galloway	Dundee City	Ealing	East Ayrshire	East Cambridgeshire	East Devon	East Dunbartonshire	East Hampshire	East Hertfordshire	East Lindsey	East Lothian	East Northamptonshire	East Renfrewshire	East Riding of Yorkshire	East Staffordshire	East Suffolk	Eastbourne	Eastleigh	Eden	Elmbridge	Enfield	Epping Forest	Epsom and Ewell	Erewash	Exeter	Falkirk	Fareham	Fenland	Fermanagh and Omagh	Fife	Flintshire	Folkestone and Hythe	Forest of Dean	Fylde	Gateshead	Gedling	Glasgow City	Gloucester	Gosport	Gravesham	Great Yarmouth	Greenwich	Guildford	Gwynedd	Hackney	Halton	Hambleton	Hammersmith and Fulham	Harborough	Haringey	Harlow	Harrogate	Harrow	Hart	Hartlepool	Hastings	Havant	Havering	Herefordshire	Hertsmere	High Peak	Highland	Hillingdon	Hinckley and Bosworth	Horsham	Hounslow	Huntingdonshire	Hyndburn	Inverclyde	Ipswich	Isle of Anglesey	Isle of Wight	Islington	Kensington and Chelsea	Kettering	King's Lynn and West Norfolk	Kingston upon Hull	Kingston upon Thames	Kirklees	Knowsley	Lambeth	Lancaster	Leeds	Leicester	Lewes	Lewisham	Lichfield	Lincoln	Lisburn and Castlereagh	Liverpool	Luton	Maidstone	Maldon	Malvern Hills	Manchester	Mansfield	Medway	Melton	Mendip	Merthyr Tydfil	Merton	Mid Devon	Mid Suffolk	Mid Sussex	Mid Ulster	Mid and East Antrim	Middlesbrough	Midlothian	Milton Keynes	Mole Valley	Monmouthshire	Moray	Neath Port Talbot	New Forest	Newark and Sherwood	Newcastle upon Tyne	Newcastle-under-Lyme	Newham	Newport	Newry and Mourne and Down	North Ayrshire	North Devon	North East Derbyshire	North East Lincolnshire	North Hertfordshire	North Kesteven	North Lanarkshire	North Lincolnshire	North Norfolk	North Somerset	North Tyneside	North Warwickshire	North West Leicestershire	Northampton	Northumberland	Norwich	Nottingham	Nuneaton and Bedworth	Oadby and Wigston	Oldham	Orkney Islands	Oxford	Pembrokeshire	Pendle	Perth and Kinross	Peterborough	Plymouth	Portsmouth	Powys	Preston	Reading	Redbridge	Redcar and Cleveland	Redditch	Reigate and Banstead	Renfrewshire	Rhondda Cynon Taf	Ribble Valley	Richmond upon Thames	Richmondshire	Rochdale	Rochford	Rossendale	Rother	Rotherham	Rugby	Runnymede	Rushcliffe	Rushmoor	Rutland	Ryedale	Salford	Sandwell	Scarborough	Scottish Borders	Sedgemoor	Sefton	Selby	Sevenoaks	Sheffield	Shetland Islands	Shropshire	Slough	Solihull	Somerset West and Taunton	South Ayrshire	South Bucks	South Cambridgeshire	South Derbyshire	South Gloucestershire	South Hams	South Holland	South Kesteven	South Lakeland	South Lanarkshire	South Norfolk	South Northamptonshire	South Oxfordshire	South Ribble	South Somerset	South Staffordshire	South Tyneside	Southampton	Southend-on-Sea	Southwark	Spelthorne	St Albans	St. Helens	Stafford	Staffordshire Moorlands	Stevenage	Stirling	Stockport	Stockton-on-Tees	Stoke-on-Trent	Stratford-on-Avon	Stroud	Sunderland	Surrey Heath	Sutton	Swale	Swansea	Swindon	Tameside	Tamworth	Tandridge	Teignbridge	Telford and Wrekin	Tendring	Test Valley	Tewkesbury	Thanet	Three Rivers	Thurrock	Tonbridge and Malling	Torbay	Torfaen	Torridge	Tower Hamlets	Trafford	Tunbridge Wells	Uttlesford	Vale of Glamorgan	Vale of White Horse	Wakefield	Walsall	Waltham Forest	Wandsworth	Warrington	Warwick	Watford	Waverley	Wealden	Wellingborough	Welwyn Hatfield	West Berkshire	West Devon	West Dunbartonshire	West Lancashire	West Lindsey	West Lothian	West Oxfordshire	West Suffolk	Westminster	Wigan	Wiltshire	Winchester	Windsor and Maidenhead	Wirral	Woking	Wokingham	Wolverhampton	Worcester	Worthing	Wrexham	Wychavon	Wycombe	Wyre	Wyre Forest	York
Peak date (mm-dd)	2021-06-21	12-27	2021-07-08	2021-07-06	2021-07-06	2021-06-23	2021-07-11	--	--	2021-03-25	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-08	2021-07-08	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-12	2021-07-07	12-29	2021-07-07	12-27	2021-07-08	12-07	2021-07-07	2021-05-10	2021-07-06	2021-01-01	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	12-27	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-08-12	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-05	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-06-27	2021-07-07	2021-07-30	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-08-13	2021-07-04	2021-07-07	2021-07-09	2021-07-07	2021-07-15	2021-07-07	--	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-08-10	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-08-11	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-06-22	2021-06-20	2021-07-07	2021-07-27	2021-07-06	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-08-10	--	2021-07-02	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-05	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-01-02	2021-07-07	--	2021-07-07	2021-08-11	2021-08-12	2021-07-07	--	2021-06-21	2021-07-08	07-21	2021-07-06	2021-08-10	--	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-06-13	2021-07-06	2021-06-22	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-08-12	2021-07-07	2021-07-09	2021-07-07	2021-07-05	2021-07-06	2021-08-10	2021-06-25	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	--	2021-06-20	2021-07-05	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-06	2021-07-04	2021-07-06	10-04	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-08-11	--	2021-07-07	2021-07-09	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	--	2021-07-09	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-05	2021-08-10	2021-07-08	2021-07-08	--	2021-07-07	2021-07-04	--	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-10	2021-07-07	2021-06-23	--	2021-07-08	12-21	2021-08-12	2021-07-07	2021-07-10	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	12-27	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-01-03	2021-07-03	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-20	2021-07-15	12-26	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	--	2021-07-10	2021-07-05	2021-07-07	12-08	2021-07-08	2021-08-11	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	12-21	--	2021-07-07	2021-06-27	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-08-09	2021-07-04	2021-07-17	2021-07-08	2021-07-06	2021-07-03	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-14	--	--	2021-07-07	2021-07-03	2021-07-08	2021-07-20	--	2021-07-05	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-04	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-07-06	2021-07-25	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-08-08	2021-07-07	2021-06-29	2021-06-22	--	2021-07-07	2021-06-22	2021-08-08	2021-07-07	2021-01-01	--	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	10-04	2021-08-12	12-27	2021-07-08	2021-07-06	2021-07-05	2021-07-07	2021-07-04	2021-07-08	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-08-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-06	12-23	2021-08-11	2021-06-28	2021-07-06	2021-07-08	2021-07-08	07-21	2021-08-12	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	--	12-29	2021-07-07	2021-08-13	2021-07-05	2021-07-07	2021-08-09	2021-07-07	2021-08-13	2021-07-06	10-04	2021-07-20	2021-07-08	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-06-27	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-06-20	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-05	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-07-05	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-08-12	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-06-22	2021-07-08	2021-08-10	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-28	2021-08-12	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	12-06	2021-08-09	2021-07-07	2021-07-05	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-08-11	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-09	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-13	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-08-09	10-04	2021-07-07	--	--	2021-08-09	2021-08-10	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-08-10	2021-07-07	2021-06-29	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-08-12	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-08	2021-06-30
Peak daily increment	137	102	51	115	105	84	99			106	127	93	63	100	57	93	260	276	49	139	152	144	210	103	379	176	1249	72	157	159	95	61	208	42	484	107	478	103	107	176	68	65	218	621	60	258	94	72	97	74	161	32	158	70	159	69	61	96	115	24	101	94	227		118	170	66	72	269	243	82	77	69	121	446	20	142	13	66	114	45	780		607	376	53	101	229	122	140	92	53	86	246	48		400	184	49	269		184	189	296	46	137		62	122	88	112	65	66	295	73	85	61	90	33	82	145	105	58	110	126	81	66	37		237	60	67	56	82	274	123	631	95	58	63	113	163	70		229	78	84	156		152	61	113	143	65	146	52	65	151		82	73		197	80	84	130	101	71		56	18	96	189	84	65	71	247	93	271	311	301	117	707	284	51	213	80	100	85	727	108	120	41	47	442		169	40	71	105	124	75	37	101	186		274	97	196	49	40	31	24	94	116	384	105	152	35	139			94	256	78	70		95	35	203	228	77	96	126	322	85	264	158	35	255	4	131		56	113	145	343	203		104	83	120	297	57	114	150	154	52	140	67	213	75	69	49	207	81	47	116	70	19	32	253	255	94	83	138	195	65	96	482	24	181	59	277		42	49	73	68	345	97	40	78	68	460	58	68	77	92	106	75	303	200	152	243	70	131	141	87	77	56	43	243	339	240	74	69	428	57	145	101	212	151	219	83	60	151	137	116	92	39	101	78	100	105	131	101	63	226	184	59	64	66	79	352	191	157	313	195	111	73	70	84	37	102	88	82	79	94			78	68	138	380	351	62	81	243	59	92	185	99	63	68	76	117	120	74	138
Days since peak	65	241	48	50	50	63	45			153	49	50	50	49	50	48	48	50	49	50	49	50	49	50	44	49	239	49	241	48	261	49	107	50	236	49	49	49	241	49	49	13	49	49	50	50	49	49	51	49	50	59	49	26	48	49	12	52	49	47	49	41	49		49	50	15	48	49	49	50	14	49	49	64	66	49	29	50	50	49	15		54	49	49	49	49	49	51	48	49	50	235	49		49	14	13	49		65	48	400	50	15		49	49	49	73	50	64	50	49	49	49	49	13	49	47	49	51	50	15	61	48	49		66	51	49	50	50	52	50	325	49	48	48	49	49	14		49	47	49	49		47	50	49	49	49	51	15	48	48		49	52		49	49	50	46	49	63		48	247	13	49	46	48	49	49	48	49	241	49	48	49	234	53	48	49	36	41	242	49	49	49	49	49		46	51	49	260	48	14	48	49	247		49	59	49	49	16	52	39	48	50	53	49	50	49	42			49	53	48	36		51	50	49	52	50	49	48	50	31	49	48	17	49	57	64		49	64	17	49	236		50	49	48	49	48	49	325	13	241	48	50	51	49	52	48	48	49	49	49	49	49	17	49	50	50	245	14	58	50	48	48	400	13	49	50		239	49	12	51	49	16	49	12	50	325	36	48	50	49	49	48	59	49	49	49	49	49	49	50	49	49	66	49	50	51	49	48	51	49	49	49	13	49	49	64	48	15	49	50	49	28	13	49	50	49	49	262	16	49	51	48	49	14	49	50	49	47	50	49	48	49	49	49	43	49	49	16	325	49			16	15	49	49	48	15	49	57	49	49	49	50	49	13	48	49	50	48	56
Last total	13117	10381	4846	8396	12443	6574	13298	10428	3583	22406	12737	14403	12564	16866	5624	28596	41172	31181	6652	22416	13220	12778	15447	20040	37925	29161	144357	10941	26684	17044	6995	8575	40572	7080	40543	10860	71267	14394	9213	38065	9288	15233	26922	53772	8786	33569	9788	12096	11329	14571	25998	15891	23722	9923	21558	10051	13898	32437	11779	13137	10772	12569	25207	2702	18947	17953	7778	12887	33424	33453	9071	8475	6945	13089	39472	4167	16975	540	6972	5957	7903	34771	4648	63247	36814	4748	11580	42596	13354	12624	13765	6575	7546	28020	4937	20989	38149	20892	10170	37132	7624	14198	41911	10130	5064	8711	9510	7630	13277	10676	7240	7400	8816	30685	13213	13010	9030	10121	4246	11189	36784	16383	7861	11644	10656	11082	8183	7645	10821	22973	13421	10407	5120	8220	24170	13124	68400	11303	6158	13398	8488	30448	11051	5433	30848	16298	7085	20294	8235	28491	10749	13052	27548	6910	13715	8762	10293	33545	10945	11481	8440	8357	35557	9875	9137	32606	12302	12308	5695	10218	3214	9766	23125	13605	9018	10439	31789	17122	51082	24052	37257	14866	101567	49981	7389	31232	9869	10938	11988	70158	27505	17427	5298	4496	82209	12686	33250	4248	6235	7517	22260	4791	5129	11320	18058	11884	20722	7467	28304	6658	5607	2776	14027	10287	11901	40336	12520	44675	14161	18899	10417	5085	9273	18362	10124	8814	35747	14872	4434	16934	23294	6977	9888	24399	30322	11562	44944	13480	6880	35145	191	15174	5321	13545	8967	22126	20979	21702	6433	20318	16350	40394	17086	8623	13869	17839	25502	7328	16606	4416	31988	8659	9951	6774	31377	10484	7794	11988	10145	2660	3178	37762	45726	9007	5493	9383	35028	8360	10161	66875	437	22972	19338	24432	9429	7423	6875	9776	10478	26955	4248	7283	11189	7251	30117	8452	7334	9545	13053	9439	11848	20623	24162	19761	33522	10247	12697	24373	12273	8762	8601	5833	33689	25624	29318	8577	7180	36766	7749	22023	16552	22044	18429	28768	8932	7815	7526	16850	13281	9079	5730	14364	9306	22012	11579	10159	8092	2849	39404	27457	8665	7457	9481	8439	42187	34616	32725	34967	26553	12337	11051	8893	11318	7146	11862	10227	2495	8199	13156	7305	14021	6987	9851	21260	45354	30936	8064	12482	36455	9525	12891	33327	9515	8275	15028	9351	15882	11435	8224	19806
Last daily increment	154	133	9	37	48	70	129	92	95	198	58	100	54	93	25	65	106	136	35	67	52	56	110	73	309	50	458	74	49	89	23	53	89	13	135	53	185	39	62	119	29	6	77	286	44	94	40	39	66	38	83	41	79	44	69	66	48	72	25	90	17	119	145	31	119	58	54	58	171	147	25	43	31	37	564	44	67	9	31	27	66	373	34	252	171	22	31	156	60	66	38	27	24	125	26	235	174	146	46	157	106	147	146	101	26	77	220	57	43	88	76	39	161	160	59	85	50	52	16	47	113	51	18	60	58	154	64	64	211	323	36	39	29	30	104	64	909	52	52	39	28	80	51	46	92	68	24	61	49	80	32	65	106	29	48	31	45	107	75	47	47	191	126	70	40	112	85	20	153	47	14	60	78	36	67	70	193	51	145	75	130	87	358	206	16	99	41	41	99	198	94	69	12	25	258	101	77	26	54	34	63	39	40	49	119	133	63	119	116	21	15	22	45	43	61	134	77	105	52	167	132	52	38	109	50	68	678	75	27	94	102	40	62	96	133	70	172	61	36	107	2	51	69	36	72	135	219	168	20	50	60	97	80	30	46	279	64	25	80	16	82	21	23	30	168	70	34	66	38	17	20	150	149	46	72	109	146	44	30	238	4	131	62	96	89	112	34	87	41	178	47	40	67	39	477	39	36	69	37	64	62	74	106	55	84	45	57	79	61	48	40	82	148	91	138	37	56	128	48	88	54	138	108	137	39	21	69	123	40	42	44	102	34	76	44	74	23	28	87	101	41	24	8	57	176	142	106	103	118	63	31	46	49	46	52	62	23	134	56	54	176	46	67	54	118	191	39	76	133	33	76	154	37	29	13	36	62	52	38	58
Last week	628	632	125	267	317	303	620	509	503	1188	341	502	310	506	154	421	722	780	245	371	368	365	593	521	1727	461	2940	374	342	524	144	275	575	151	1035	297	1365	277	331	703	155	289	829	1660	260	660	302	224	359	194	456	427	713	278	407	305	298	802	216	548	153	596	728	187	563	353	358	351	938	841	204	347	227	256	2746	275	411	40	334	206	288	2921	206	1359	1072	159	308	974	420	320	222	230	350	879	179	1251	1028	945	253	936	747	697	782	452	192	511	939	322	340	477	417	239	635	1111	355	522	299	384	139	312	583	245	165	387	473	681	342	339	1066	1423	376	204	209	216	546	397	3937	340	257	236	251	524	336	340	507	352	191	437	308	464	196	393	508	236	258	274	399	561	499	238	277	801	710	411	289	652	527	162	530	303	133	454	463	244	340	433	1173	364	1195	551	684	379	2238	1249	206	639	304	307	538	1371	538	379	114	139	1409	562	501	124	316	149	448	343	209	359	759	690	456	421	627	163	186	136	513	325	387	686	355	689	446	872	617	334	256	515	319	341	2755	436	154	636	577	189	368	575	872	356	1048	379	210	628	10	394	407	228	367	829	1173	888	295	360	484	592	418	193	362	1260	802	156	460	126	535	138	123	222	907	400	176	347	219	115	159	778	923	292	399	633	804	277	218	1566	26	932	391	630	498	443	194	383	298	915	306	229	430	190	2149	252	200	365	282	509	341	447	682	317	566	234	390	472	385	272	241	392	835	587	779	303	356	736	237	533	303	1013	667	793	218	193	573	561	252	302	248	532	179	338	262	557	250	268	567	662	292	189	296	331	960	821	532	704	536	325	209	306	331	218	296	415	209	742	350	277	858	276	360	381	768	1365	307	400	783	221	426	903	228	228	320	246	421	295	219	448
Previous peak date	07-21	07-21	12-27	12-26	12-27	07-21	12-21	12-26	--	12-21	12-21	12-27	12-07	12-21	12-23	12-28	12-23	10-13	12-27	12-23	2021-01-02	2021-01-11	11-02	12-21	10-07	12-22	11-02	12-27	10-13	10-13	--	2021-01-07	10-15	11-13	11-02	12-21	10-24	12-22	--	12-27	12-14	12-06	12-28	11-02	12-25	12-21	12-26	12-22	12-30	12-30	10-27	12-07	10-28	12-21	12-27	12-26	12-08	12-06	12-27	12-08	12-21	12-22	12-21	--	11-02	12-22	12-28	12-25	12-22	12-21	2021-01-03	12-21	12-21	12-30	07-21	07-21	12-26	--	12-29	12-26	12-27	12-21	12-21	11-02	12-27	12-28	12-27	12-27	12-21	12-25	12-21	12-21	12-28	10-27	2021-02-25	10-03	10-14	12-27	12-07	12-26	12-22	07-21	12-27	--	12-24	12-29	--	12-24	12-21	11-09	07-21	12-26	07-21	10-31	12-27	12-30	12-28	12-21	12-26	12-22	12-25	12-21	12-22	2021-01-06	--	07-21	12-23	12-27	12-21	07-21	12-25	12-25	12-25	10-17	10-29	12-26	07-21	12-21	12-28	12-21	12-21	12-27	12-21	2021-01-04	12-22	12-27	12-28	12-21	12-22	12-21	12-28	12-27	12-28	12-21	12-23	12-13	12-27	12-13	12-27	12-22	12-29	12-27	12-28	12-30	12-22	12-26	12-21	2021-01-01	--	12-28	06-11	12-27	12-22	12-28	12-28	12-25	11-01	12-22	10-27	09-29	12-29	12-30	11-02	11-02	12-21	12-27	12-27	11-02	12-21	09-28	12-27	12-22	12-21	12-31	11-02	2021-01-03	12-22	--	12-30	--	12-21	12-21	12-21	12-22	10-12	12-26	12-31	07-21	12-22	12-27	12-06	07-21	12-07	12-28	12-29	11-02	11-03	12-27	12-06	12-27	--	12-08	10-14	10-26	12-26	12-21	--	11-01	12-21	12-30	11-04	12-21	11-03	12-27	12-21	2021-01-01	11-02	12-29	11-02	10-22	--	12-27	12-06	12-26	07-21	2021-01-06	11-02	11-02	12-28	11-02	12-29	12-21	12-31	2021-01-05	12-22	07-21	12-06	10-11	12-21	12-27	10-19	12-13	10-11	12-13	10-18	12-30	12-28	10-13	12-25	2021-01-26	2021-01-02	11-02	12-29	10-31	07-21	12-21	12-28	12-29	12-22	11-02	--	12-30	12-25	12-25	12-21	07-21	12-22	12-21	12-28	12-26	--	2021-01-04	12-22	11-09	07-21	12-21	12-22	12-20	2021-01-03	12-28	12-27	12-22	12-21	12-14	12-28	12-26	12-21	12-25	12-25	10-27	12-22	07-21	12-28	12-27	11-01	12-21	12-23	12-22	12-27	12-21	12-07	12-02	12-25	10-18	2021-01-02	12-26	12-29	2021-01-04	12-27	12-21	12-26	12-21	12-21	12-22	12-22	12-27	--	--	12-21	12-27	12-22	12-26	12-08	12-21	11-01	12-27	12-27	12-15	12-25	11-02	12-21	12-22	12-21	12-27	12-26	12-21	--	07-21	11-02	12-07	--	12-22	12-28	12-22	10-16	12-29	12-22	12-22	12-28	12-27	12-22	12-27	12-31	12-28	12-25	12-31	12-21	12-30	12-26	11-02
Previous peak daily increment	605	360	61	88	97	285	134	73		260	170	110	176	178	78	477	589	189	58	326	128	109	277	233	262	426	1200	75	166	98		58	234	50	355	142	434	228		524	155	233	307	1167	107	508	94	186	62	122	160	211	137	99	256	87	148	354	172	194	175	107	303		292	268	52	197	249	283	59	91	71	65	1221	82	243		35	53	94	288	37	551	288	38	181	598	151	69	189	72	58	164	27	211	248	187	118	322	150	697	536		60	52		76	160	106	184	51	231	206	102	163	146	107	56	146	593	273	97	74		457	90	74	110	661	150	125	54	42	127	82	1697	92	56	180	92	451	119	39	377	218	59	201	56	401	172	103	338	103	106	136	120	476	111	159	52	81	442	57	115	452	143	83		134	44	237	275	148	70	100	283	198	349	153	428	107	1522	469	104	457	71	229	102	480	274	200	90	36	2166	102	419		46		298	37	62	153	109	110	213	296	361	79	62	65	191	105	63	2512	85	723	190	212		23	53	137	105	50		105	58	123	106	41	56	277	158	121	1362	90	68	257		125	48	108	227	154	135	347	42	156	174	623	105	81	176	445	286	41	188	39	194	138	65	96	198	80	85	67	174	36	25	417	448	80	147	82	407	65	131	557		209	244	167	104	218	110	102	69	181		42	86	73	839	94	79	108	80	66	102	115	248	293	451	131	156	222	94	55	112	144	189	138	197	67	42	206	105	331	189	270	181	172	56	109	44	140	349	90	44	138	123	360	138	51			559	151	90	110	120	84	245	329	449	390	227	260	138	117	160	65	154	86		296	165	43		67	115	217	319	264	83	148	431	106	138	377	106	115	176	95	173	71	69	573
Low between peaks	0	-1	-3	-2	-7	0	3			13	-11	2	-7	-17	-8	3	-2	9	-1	-30	-13	2	-14	-12	9	3	307	-1	55	-9		-14	17	2	31	-8	31	-4		-39	-11	1	-1	-18	-8	-8	-10	-16	-1	3	3	0	8	2	-17	-6	-64	5	-9	2	-2	3	-1		-7	-11	-11	-3	-9	-14	-3	-6	0	4	-11	-4	-9		1	1	2	-30		-13	-19	-5	-8	-4	-11	-5	1	-7	0	53	-3		1	-28	-14	-4		-3	-6		-3	-7		-6	-12	-2	-5	2	-1	-5	1	-17	-6	-5	0	-4	-80	-12	1	0		-4	0	0		-5	1	-7	-5	-8	-7	2	-7	-13	-8	-2	-8	-25	-21		-27	-25	-2	-5		-12	-2	-17	5	2	-1	-8	-12	-19		-1	2		-27	1	-1	12	-5	3		-7	0	-5	-5	-5	-3	-3	-12	-3	27	20	2	-5	40	120	1	-18	0	-9	2	58	7	-22	0	0	27		-45		-13		2	-10	-3	-10	39		5	-15	0	-3	0	0	1	-10	1	15	-14	4	2	8			-12	-3	-7	-6		5	-6	-16	5	1	-7	-3	-7	-4	6	-5	1	6		1		3	1	5	-74	37		0	-8	1	-1	-51	-13	-2	1	-20	-4	0	3	0	1	-6	0	-2	0	1	-14	-6	-8	2	-1	-4	-4	-20	-45	3	-6	23		-28	4	-3		-2	-3	-4	-12	-23		3	-5	-4	-7	-11	-5	-1	2	-5	-10	2	-2	-3	-16	-2	-6	-39	-13	-2	1	-1	-4	4	-5	-7	-12	1	-4	-13	-40	3	-9	7	-8	-5	-6	-12	-3	-7	-4	-9	2	-6	-11	-1			5	0	-18	-3	1	-18	16	-9	-22	-4	-6	-4	4	-12	-13	-5	1	-7		-2	1			-1	-12	7	6	-36	-9	-5	-68	0	-11	-19	-2	-6	2	1	0	-3	-6	-48

Confirmed count forecast England (bold red line in graphs) 2021-08-26 to 2021-09-01

Date	Aberdeen City	Aberdeenshire	Adur	Allerdale	Amber Valley	Angus	Antrim and Newtownabbey	Ards and North Down	Argyll and Bute	Armagh City and Banbridge and Craigavon	Arun	Ashfield	Ashford	Aylesbury Vale	Babergh	Barking and Dagenham	Barnet	Barnsley	Barrow-in-Furness	Basildon	Basingstoke and Deane	Bassetlaw	Bath and North East Somerset	Bedford	Belfast	Bexley	Birmingham	Blaby	Blackburn with Darwen	Blackpool	Blaenau Gwent	Bolsover	Bolton	Boston	Bournemouth Christchurch and Poole	Bracknell Forest	Bradford	Braintree	Breckland	Brent	Brentwood	Bridgend	Brighton and Hove	Bristol	Broadland	Bromley	Bromsgrove	Broxbourne	Broxtowe	Burnley	Bury	Caerphilly	Calderdale	Cambridge	Camden	Cannock Chase	Canterbury	Cardiff	Carlisle	Carmarthenshire	Castle Point	Causeway Coast and Glens	Central Bedfordshire	Ceredigion	Charnwood	Chelmsford	Cheltenham	Cherwell	Cheshire East	Cheshire West and Chester	Chesterfield	Chichester	Chiltern	Chorley	City of Edinburgh	Clackmannanshire	Colchester	Comhairle nan Eilean Siar	Conwy	Copeland	Corby	Cornwall and Isles of Scilly	Cotswold	County Durham	Coventry	Craven	Crawley	Croydon	Dacorum	Darlington	Dartford	Daventry	Denbighshire	Derby	Derbyshire Dales	Derry City and Strabane	Doncaster	Dorset	Dover	Dudley	Dumfries and Galloway	Dundee City	Ealing	East Ayrshire	East Cambridgeshire	East Devon	East Dunbartonshire	East Hampshire	East Hertfordshire	East Lindsey	East Lothian	East Northamptonshire	East Renfrewshire	East Riding of Yorkshire	East Staffordshire	East Suffolk	Eastbourne	Eastleigh	Eden	Elmbridge	Enfield	Epping Forest	Epsom and Ewell	Erewash	Exeter	Falkirk	Fareham	Fenland	Fermanagh and Omagh	Fife	Flintshire	Folkestone and Hythe	Forest of Dean	Fylde	Gateshead	Gedling	Glasgow City	Gloucester	Gosport	Gravesham	Great Yarmouth	Greenwich	Guildford	Gwynedd	Hackney	Halton	Hambleton	Hammersmith and Fulham	Harborough	Haringey	Harlow	Harrogate	Harrow	Hart	Hartlepool	Hastings	Havant	Havering	Herefordshire	Hertsmere	High Peak	Highland	Hillingdon	Hinckley and Bosworth	Horsham	Hounslow	Huntingdonshire	Hyndburn	Inverclyde	Ipswich	Isle of Anglesey	Isle of Wight	Islington	Kensington and Chelsea	Kettering	King's Lynn and West Norfolk	Kingston upon Hull	Kingston upon Thames	Kirklees	Knowsley	Lambeth	Lancaster	Leeds	Leicester	Lewes	Lewisham	Lichfield	Lincoln	Lisburn and Castlereagh	Liverpool	Luton	Maidstone	Maldon	Malvern Hills	Manchester	Mansfield	Medway	Melton	Mendip	Merthyr Tydfil	Merton	Mid Devon	Mid Suffolk	Mid Sussex	Mid Ulster	Mid and East Antrim	Middlesbrough	Midlothian	Milton Keynes	Mole Valley	Monmouthshire	Moray	Neath Port Talbot	New Forest	Newark and Sherwood	Newcastle upon Tyne	Newcastle-under-Lyme	Newham	Newport	Newry and Mourne and Down	North Ayrshire	North Devon	North East Derbyshire	North East Lincolnshire	North Hertfordshire	North Kesteven	North Lanarkshire	North Lincolnshire	North Norfolk	North Somerset	North Tyneside	North Warwickshire	North West Leicestershire	Northampton	Northumberland	Norwich	Nottingham	Nuneaton and Bedworth	Oadby and Wigston	Oldham	Orkney Islands	Oxford	Pembrokeshire	Pendle	Perth and Kinross	Peterborough	Plymouth	Portsmouth	Powys	Preston	Reading	Redbridge	Redcar and Cleveland	Redditch	Reigate and Banstead	Renfrewshire	Rhondda Cynon Taf	Ribble Valley	Richmond upon Thames	Richmondshire	Rochdale	Rochford	Rossendale	Rother	Rotherham	Rugby	Runnymede	Rushcliffe	Rushmoor	Rutland	Ryedale	Salford	Sandwell	Scarborough	Scottish Borders	Sedgemoor	Sefton	Selby	Sevenoaks	Sheffield	Shetland Islands	Shropshire	Slough	Solihull	Somerset West and Taunton	South Ayrshire	South Bucks	South Cambridgeshire	South Derbyshire	South Gloucestershire	South Hams	South Holland	South Kesteven	South Lakeland	South Lanarkshire	South Norfolk	South Northamptonshire	South Oxfordshire	South Ribble	South Somerset	South Staffordshire	South Tyneside	Southampton	Southend-on-Sea	Southwark	Spelthorne	St Albans	St. Helens	Stafford	Staffordshire Moorlands	Stevenage	Stirling	Stockport	Stockton-on-Tees	Stoke-on-Trent	Stratford-on-Avon	Stroud	Sunderland	Surrey Heath	Sutton	Swale	Swansea	Swindon	Tameside	Tamworth	Tandridge	Teignbridge	Telford and Wrekin	Tendring	Test Valley	Tewkesbury	Thanet	Three Rivers	Thurrock	Tonbridge and Malling	Torbay	Torfaen	Torridge	Tower Hamlets	Trafford	Tunbridge Wells	Uttlesford	Vale of Glamorgan	Vale of White Horse	Wakefield	Walsall	Waltham Forest	Wandsworth	Warrington	Warwick	Watford	Waverley	Wealden	Wellingborough	Welwyn Hatfield	West Berkshire	West Devon	West Dunbartonshire	West Lancashire	West Lindsey	West Lothian	West Oxfordshire	West Suffolk	Westminster	Wigan	Wiltshire	Winchester	Windsor and Maidenhead	Wirral	Woking	Wokingham	Wolverhampton	Worcester	Worthing	Wrexham	Wychavon	Wycombe	Wyre	Wyre Forest	York
2021-08-25	13117	10381	4846	8396	12443	6574	13298	10428	3583	22406	12737	14403	12564	16866	5624	28596	41172	31181	6652	22416	13220	12778	15447	20040	37925	29161	144357	10941	26684	17044	6995	8575	40572	7080	40543	10860	71267	14394	9213	38065	9288	15233	26922	53772	8786	33569	9788	12096	11329	14571	25998	15891	23722	9923	21558	10051	13898	32437	11779	13137	10772	12569	25207	2702	18947	17953	7778	12887	33424	33453	9071	8475	6945	13089	39472	4167	16975	540	6972	5957	7903	34771	4648	63247	36814	4748	11580	42596	13354	12624	13765	6575	7546	28020	4937	20989	38149	20892	10170	37132	7624	14198	41911	10130	5064	8711	9510	7630	13277	10676	7240	7400	8816	30685	13213	13010	9030	10121	4246	11189	36784	16383	7861	11644	10656	11082	8183	7645	10821	22973	13421	10407	5120	8220	24170	13124	68400	11303	6158	13398	8488	30448	11051	5433	30848	16298	7085	20294	8235	28491	10749	13052	27548	6910	13715	8762	10293	33545	10945	11481	8440	8357	35557	9875	9137	32606	12302	12308	5695	10218	3214	9766	23125	13605	9018	10439	31789	17122	51082	24052	37257	14866	101567	49981	7389	31232	9869	10938	11988	70158	27505	17427	5298	4496	82209	12686	33250	4248	6235	7517	22260	4791	5129	11320	18058	11884	20722	7467	28304	6658	5607	2776	14027	10287	11901	40336	12520	44675	14161	18899	10417	5085	9273	18362	10124	8814	35747	14872	4434	16934	23294	6977	9888	24399	30322	11562	44944	13480	6880	35145	191	15174	5321	13545	8967	22126	20979	21702	6433	20318	16350	40394	17086	8623	13869	17839	25502	7328	16606	4416	31988	8659	9951	6774	31377	10484	7794	11988	10145	2660	3178	37762	45726	9007	5493	9383	35028	8360	10161	66875	437	22972	19338	24432	9429	7423	6875	9776	10478	26955	4248	7283	11189	7251	30117	8452	7334	9545	13053	9439	11848	20623	24162	19761	33522	10247	12697	24373	12273	8762	8601	5833	33689	25624	29318	8577	7180	36766	7749	22023	16552	22044	18429	28768	8932	7815	7526	16850	13281	9079	5730	14364	9306	22012	11579	10159	8092	2849	39404	27457	8665	7457	9481	8439	42187	34616	32725	34967	26553	12337	11051	8893	11318	7146	11862	10227	2495	8199	13156	7305	14021	6987	9851	21260	45354	30936	8064	12482	36455	9525	12891	33327	9515	8275	15028	9351	15882	11435	8224	19806
2021-08-26	13160	10490	4869	8436	12510	6629	13410	10520	3664	22610	12790	14490	12590	16970	5647	28670	41360	31280	6688	22470	13280	12840	15560	20120	38150	29240	145000	11010	26680	17130	7016	8619	40650	7126	40950	10910	71490	14440	9259	38240	9313	15250	27230	54040	8832	33680	9840	12140	11360	14610	26090	15930	23840	9980	21630	10100	13970	32610	11810	13220	10800	12670	25340	2735	19040	18010	7838	12950	33530	33590	9105	8522	6983	13130	39950	4215	17040	546	7021	5988	7903	35350	4679	63390	36980	4771	11630	42760	13420	12640	13810	6610	7600	28140	4964	21300	38320	21130	10210	37240	7746	14320	42110	10210	5102	8842	9610	7687	13330	10750	7308	7447	8945	30870	13240	13090	9097	10190	4257	11240	36890	16450	7891	11710	10730	11170	8236	7645	11090	23240	13490	10460	5171	8254	24260	13190	69160	11420	6201	13440	8530	30540	11110	5455	30970	16350	7115	20370	8286	28580	10790	13120	27630	6946	13760	8866	10360	33630	10950	11520	8467	8462	35670	9940	9185	32710	12380	12340	5783	10230	3221	9850	23210	13650	9074	10490	31990	17190	51280	24140	37330	14900	102200	50190	7423	31430	9910	10990	12080	70490	27600	17480	5319	4521	82560	12760	33340	4269	6304	7558	22340	4835	5163	11380	18180	12050	20790	7562	28410	6688	5640	2798	14080	10390	11960	40460	12570	44800	14230	19090	10530	5142	9311	18490	10180	8871	35990	14950	4442	17030	23380	7006	9940	24540	30450	11630	45140	13550	6913	35260	193	15240	5398	13570	9035	22270	21200	21830	6484	20380	16430	40500	17150	8656	13930	18070	25580	7354	16680	4436	32070	8678	9970	6817	31530	10550	7829	12040	10180	2675	3205	37910	45890	9052	5564	9500	35110	8402	10200	67270	439	23170	19400	24560	9530	7503	6904	9840	10530	27110	4300	7318	11260	7282	30510	8497	7367	9610	13090	9530	11920	20690	24340	19820	33630	10290	12760	24500	12330	8810	8643	5876	33830	25710	29440	8626	7238	36810	7791	22110	16610	22250	18540	28830	8973	7845	7619	16920	13320	9130	5770	14440	9339	22080	11620	10260	8125	2851	39510	27570	8711	7487	9531	8496	42410	34730	32820	35100	26680	12400	11090	8944	11390	7181	11910	10310	2497	8276	13210	7351	14200	7027	9930	21390	45480	31200	8113	12550	36610	9566	12960	33420	9550	8353	15060	9392	15950	11490	8259	19890
2021-08-27	13240	10600	4906	8460	12560	6673	13500	10590	3746	22820	12840	14560	12630	17060	5657	28760	41520	31400	6704	22530	13360	12890	15650	20180	38270	29350	145500	11060	26690	17200	7027	8656	40720	7155	41240	10950	71740	14480	9294	38370	9345	15250	27440	54280	8876	33790	9870	12190	11390	14640	26160	15960	23950	10080	21740	10140	14030	32740	11830	13300	10830	12740	25450	2771	19100	18050	7899	13000	33650	33690	9138	8571	7028	13170	40370	4268	17100	546	7043	6016	7913	35860	4711	63560	37110	4778	11690	42940	13450	12670	13870	6646	7626	28250	4984	21530	38450	21310	10260	37360	7847	14430	42260	10290	5156	8937	9770	7754	13410	10810	7359	7492	9053	31030	13280	13120	9149	10240	4269	11300	36990	16490	7923	11760	10820	11260	8260	7662	11310	23460	13560	10500	5210	8281	24300	13230	69810	11490	6244	13500	8582	30670	11170	5455	31140	16400	7136	20480	8320	28700	10840	13180	27730	6979	13790	8932	10420	33730	10950	11580	8499	8565	35770	9990	9247	32810	12420	12380	5855	10270	3221	9960	23350	13720	9121	10560	32240	17270	51500	24200	37390	14940	102600	50370	7458	31580	9940	11070	12140	70750	27690	17530	5341	4535	82820	12800	33480	4275	6360	7588	22440	4887	5181	11450	18270	12240	20860	7642	28530	6720	5690	2815	14110	10470	12010	40590	12590	45000	14300	19270	10630	5213	9347	18610	10220	8942	36320	15070	4460	17140	23460	7016	9960	24640	30530	11730	45310	13600	6939	35390	195	15290	5498	13590	9106	22390	21390	21970	6553	20450	16500	40610	17200	8696	13990	18270	25680	7372	16720	4455	32150	8697	10000	6853	31660	10620	7863	12090	10210	2680	3235	38040	46020	9083	5640	9630	35220	8426	10230	67570	439	23340	19450	24660	9660	7557	6919	9920	10570	27240	4351	7339	11310	7304	30840	8559	7399	9700	13120	9650	11980	20710	24490	19890	33840	10320	12820	24590	12390	8860	8687	5924	33950	25770	29500	8666	7275	36880	7836	22180	16670	22450	18660	28900	9004	7876	7726	16920	13350	9168	5801	14500	9378	22140	11660	10370	8155	2897	39710	27680	8733	7521	9608	8559	42590	34850	32930	35310	26770	12450	11140	8976	11470	7203	11960	10380	2542	8361	13220	7390	14350	7069	9990	21480	45590	31430	8144	12590	36710	9612	13010	33520	9581	8400	15080	9428	16010	11530	8296	20020
2021-08-28	13300	10700	4935	8490	12600	6718	13600	10670	3808	23020	12890	14630	12660	17160	5673	28840	41620	31500	6729	22580	13440	12940	15730	20250	38440	29440	145900	11120	26710	17280	7042	8696	40780	7186	41430	10990	71980	14530	9338	38480	9374	15260	27570	54530	8920	33900	9910	12240	11440	14660	26230	16000	24070	10160	21830	10180	14070	32850	11850	13380	10860	12830	25570	2804	19180	18090	7959	13050	33750	33790	9171	8612	7069	13220	40770	4317	17170	549	7078	6044	7937	36240	4743	63710	37250	4792	11750	43110	13500	12710	13920	6681	7665	28360	5007	21730	38590	21430	10310	37480	7927	14540	42370	10370	5202	9014	9890	7815	13480	10870	7416	7537	9152	31200	13310	13170	9193	10300	4281	11350	37100	16530	7954	11820	10900	11330	8297	7692	11490	23660	13630	10530	5239	8312	24360	13280	70360	11540	6287	13550	8629	30780	11230	5467	31290	16450	7161	20580	8361	28810	10880	13250	27830	7013	13820	8987	10490	33820	10950	11630	8525	8659	35870	10040	9301	32890	12470	12400	5915	10300	3221	10050	23460	13780	9170	10620	32460	17340	51710	24270	37450	14970	102900	50520	7494	31670	9970	11130	12210	70920	27780	17570	5362	4553	83030	12860	33590	4287	6400	7620	22530	4935	5206	11520	18370	12410	20920	7719	28640	6752	5732	2834	14150	10510	12060	40720	12630	45170	14370	19450	10700	5277	9383	18680	10270	9005	36650	15170	4473	17240	23530	7034	9990	24730	30630	11810	45450	13650	6967	35470	197	15350	5588	13610	9172	22500	21560	22100	6612	20500	16570	40720	17260	8732	14050	18470	25750	7394	16770	4474	32230	8720	10020	6873	31800	10680	7897	12150	10240	2689	3264	38140	46150	9119	5711	9750	35300	8458	10270	67840	439	23470	19500	24770	9770	7617	6940	9980	10620	27370	4401	7365	11370	7331	31160	8613	7430	9770	13150	9760	12030	20760	24600	19950	34000	10350	12890	24660	12450	8908	8730	5966	34070	25840	29590	8710	7322	36960	7878	22260	16720	22590	18770	28980	9029	7907	7826	16950	13380	9212	5835	14570	9414	22180	11680	10470	8186	2939	39860	27770	8767	7553	9673	8618	42720	34940	33030	35490	26860	12500	11180	9017	11540	7230	12010	10440	2582	8447	13250	7431	14480	7110	10020	21540	45680	31610	8183	12650	36820	9655	13070	33630	9613	8440	15110	9466	16080	11580	8331	20120
2021-08-29	13380	10790	4962	8523	12650	6764	13700	10750	3862	23220	12940	14700	12690	17250	5691	28910	41730	31600	6757	22620	13500	13000	15810	20320	38620	29530	146300	11180	26730	17360	7059	8736	40840	7206	41600	11040	72200	14570	9374	38570	9400	15270	27700	54780	8964	34010	9960	12280	11490	14690	26290	16040	24180	10230	21910	10220	14110	32970	11880	13440	10890	12910	25690	2835	19260	18140	8018	13110	33860	33920	9204	8654	7108	13260	41170	4363	17230	553	7118	6073	7964	36630	4774	63860	37400	4810	11800	43280	13560	12750	13970	6716	7710	28450	5031	21920	38740	21540	10350	37590	7995	14640	42480	10430	5243	9079	10010	7873	13540	10940	7473	7581	9251	31370	13350	13220	9232	10360	4293	11410	37190	16570	7983	11880	10970	11430	8339	7736	11660	23850	13690	10550	5267	8343	24430	13340	70960	11580	6328	13590	8673	30880	11290	5485	31410	16500	7187	20660	8406	28910	10920	13310	27910	7048	13860	9059	10550	33900	10950	11670	8550	8758	35970	10100	9352	32970	12540	12420	5984	10330	3221	10140	23550	13830	9220	10670	32670	17410	51910	24350	37510	15020	103300	50660	7529	31760	10010	11190	12280	71110	27870	17620	5383	4574	83220	12910	33690	4302	6445	7650	22610	4982	5234	11580	18480	12570	20990	7791	28750	6782	5770	2851	14190	10550	12110	40840	12670	45310	14440	19620	10780	5336	9419	18750	10320	9063	36960	15260	4487	17340	23600	7056	10030	24820	30740	11890	45580	13710	6997	35550	198	15410	5671	13630	9233	22620	21740	22200	6663	20540	16650	40820	17310	8766	14110	18660	25810	7416	16840	4494	32300	8738	10050	6895	31940	10740	7931	12200	10270	2700	3291	38250	46280	9158	5775	9870	35390	8493	10300	68050	441	23590	19560	24850	9880	7677	6963	10050	10660	27510	4450	7394	11430	7358	31510	8661	7462	9840	13180	9860	12100	20810	24690	20010	34130	10390	12950	24730	12510	8955	8771	6016	34200	25920	29690	8755	7372	37060	7919	22340	16770	22750	18870	29070	9069	7936	7920	17000	13410	9259	5870	14640	9447	22220	11720	10580	8219	2979	40000	27870	8805	7583	9731	8674	42850	35050	33120	35640	26930	12560	11220	9062	11610	7260	12060	10500	2618	8540	13290	7473	14590	7151	10070	21580	45790	31800	8225	12700	36910	9697	13130	33720	9646	8476	15130	9503	16140	11630	8365	20220
2021-08-30	13450	10880	4987	8558	12720	6810	13800	10830	3955	23420	12990	14780	12750	17350	5711	28990	41870	31730	6787	22690	13570	13050	15900	20390	38810	29610	146900	11240	26760	17430	7077	8776	40960	7236	41800	11080	72430	14610	9430	38710	9426	15280	27890	55030	9008	34120	10000	12320	11550	14720	26380	16080	24300	10290	21990	10270	14160	33100	11900	13520	10920	13000	25810	2865	19330	18190	8077	13160	34030	34050	9236	8708	7147	13300	41560	4409	17290	556	7160	6102	8007	37080	4806	64080	37550	4829	11850	43440	13610	12800	14010	6750	7756	28600	5056	22130	38900	21730	10390	37760	8105	14740	42620	10500	5283	9194	10170	7931	13600	11010	7532	7625	9350	31550	13410	13290	9278	10420	4305	11460	37290	16620	8013	11940	11050	11530	8383	7788	11830	24050	13750	10590	5311	8375	24500	13390	71500	11660	6369	13640	8716	30980	11350	5505	31540	16550	7214	20740	8452	29000	10960	13380	28000	7084	13900	9150	10610	33990	10980	11720	8603	8880	36070	10160	9402	33090	12600	12450	6048	10370	3221	10220	23650	13880	9271	10730	32870	17470	52110	24430	37570	15080	103800	50890	7564	31900	10050	11240	12360	71400	27960	17680	5403	4595	83480	12970	33790	4318	6494	7682	22700	5028	5263	11650	18580	12710	21050	7862	28860	6813	5807	2868	14240	10620	12170	40960	12710	45450	14500	19790	10860	5395	9455	18850	10370	9120	37270	15350	4507	17440	23690	7078	10080	24930	30860	11960	45780	13770	7027	35660	200	15470	5755	13680	9292	22780	21880	22340	6712	20620	16720	40920	17370	8800	14170	18840	25950	7439	16900	4513	32390	8759	10070	6913	32080	10810	7964	12250	10300	2712	3318	38400	46440	9197	5839	9980	35550	8530	10340	68380	442	23760	19610	24970	9990	7738	6987	10120	10710	27650	4499	7424	11500	7386	31810	8709	7493	9910	13210	9960	12160	20860	24830	20070	34270	10430	13010	24830	12570	9002	8813	6078	34330	25990	29790	8801	7424	37170	7960	22420	16820	22920	18980	29190	9103	7966	8014	17050	13460	9306	5907	14710	9480	22280	11770	10680	8251	3019	40120	27980	8844	7613	9788	8730	43030	35200	33220	35790	27020	12610	11260	9107	11680	7290	12110	10560	2654	8631	13330	7516	14720	7191	10140	21670	45920	32050	8268	12760	37060	9738	13190	33860	9679	8527	15160	9541	16200	11680	8399	20310
2021-08-31	13530	10970	5011	8594	12770	6857	13910	10910	4047	23620	13050	14860	12800	17440	5732	29060	42000	31860	6819	22760	13640	13110	16000	20460	39010	29700	147300	11310	26800	17510	7096	8817	41060	7265	41990	11130	72650	14660	9481	38830	9451	15300	28050	55290	9052	34220	10050	12360	11590	14760	26450	16150	24410	10350	22070	10310	14200	33250	11930	13610	10940	13090	25940	2894	19420	18240	8137	13220	34190	34190	9269	8766	7185	13340	41960	4454	17360	561	7206	6131	8050	37530	4838	64330	37700	4849	11900	43600	13670	12860	14060	6785	7806	28740	5081	22330	39050	21900	10440	37920	8189	14840	42750	10570	5321	9285	10310	7987	13650	11080	7593	7670	9467	31720	13470	13350	9332	10480	4317	11510	37390	16660	8042	12000	11120	11640	8430	7841	12010	24280	13820	10630	5354	8408	24580	13450	72070	11720	6410	13680	8758	31080	11410	5529	31650	16610	7241	20820	8501	29090	11000	13440	28080	7119	13940	9214	10680	34070	11030	11760	8653	9020	36180	10220	9450	33200	12670	12490	6151	10420	3221	10310	23740	13930	9323	10800	33070	17540	52300	24500	37630	15150	104200	51120	7599	32010	10090	11300	12440	71630	28050	17750	5423	4618	83730	13020	33880	4336	6556	7714	22770	5074	5294	11710	18700	12850	21120	7932	28960	6843	5841	2885	14290	10680	12230	41070	12750	45580	14570	19970	10990	5452	9491	18930	10420	9175	37670	15430	4536	17540	23800	7104	10120	25020	30980	12030	45940	13830	7058	35770	202	15530	5836	13720	9350	22920	22070	22480	6757	20670	16800	41020	17430	8832	14230	19020	26070	7463	16960	4532	32480	8777	10090	6953	32220	10870	7998	12300	10340	2725	3345	38530	46600	9238	5901	10090	35680	8568	10380	68660	445	23910	19670	25080	10090	7801	7013	10180	10750	27790	4548	7456	11560	7415	32110	8754	7525	9980	13250	10050	12230	20920	24940	20120	34390	10460	13070	24910	12630	9049	8854	6144	34450	26070	29900	8847	7479	37300	8001	22500	16880	23040	19090	29330	9137	7996	8105	17110	13510	9355	5945	14790	9512	22330	11820	10780	8284	3058	40230	28110	8887	7643	9841	8785	43200	35330	33310	35930	27100	12670	11290	9155	11750	7321	12160	10620	2689	8734	13370	7559	14860	7231	10200	21740	46050	32280	8313	12820	37200	9778	13260	34020	9713	8565	15190	9580	16270	11730	8432	20400
2021-09-01	13620	11060	5034	8632	12810	6904	14010	11000	4132	23820	13100	14930	12850	17540	5754	29130	42110	31980	6853	22830	13700	13160	16110	20540	39220	29780	147800	11370	26840	17590	7115	8859	41150	7282	42150	11170	72870	14700	9535	38950	9476	15320	28160	55550	9095	34330	10100	12400	11650	14790	26530	16200	24520	10410	22140	10360	14260	33330	11960	13690	10970	13190	26060	2923	19500	18290	8196	13280	34350	34340	9302	8811	7222	13380	42380	4499	17420	566	7252	6161	8103	37960	4869	64550	37860	4871	11950	43760	13730	12910	14100	6820	7857	28860	5107	22560	39210	22060	10480	38070	8347	14950	42890	10630	5358	9363	10460	8043	13710	11160	7654	7714	9569	31900	13520	13420	9381	10550	4329	11570	37480	16710	8071	12060	11200	11750	8479	7889	12190	24510	13880	10660	5385	8442	24660	13510	72690	11780	6451	13730	8799	31170	11470	5554	31770	16660	7269	20890	8550	29170	11030	13510	28160	7155	13980	9241	10740	34160	11110	11800	8696	9158	36290	10280	9497	33310	12750	12510	6250	10460	3229	10390	23830	13970	9375	10860	33270	17600	52490	24580	37690	15220	104500	51320	7634	32110	10130	11350	12520	71840	28140	17810	5442	4642	83980	13080	33960	4355	6614	7746	22850	5119	5326	11770	18810	12990	21190	8002	29070	6872	5876	2902	14340	10720	12280	41190	12800	45700	14640	20140	11100	5509	9528	19030	10470	9230	38140	15510	4560	17640	23900	7130	10170	25120	31100	12090	46110	13890	7089	35880	203	15600	5917	13760	9407	23050	22290	22620	6801	20730	16870	41120	17490	8864	14290	19210	26150	7487	17030	4551	32560	8799	10110	6985	32360	10940	8031	12350	10370	2738	3371	38670	46740	9280	5963	10200	35810	8608	10410	68910	447	24050	19730	25170	10190	7864	7040	10250	10800	27930	4597	7488	11630	7444	32430	8798	7557	10050	13280	10140	12290	20980	25050	20180	34500	10500	13140	24980	12680	9096	8895	6211	34580	26150	30010	8894	7535	37420	8041	22580	16930	23190	19190	29440	9176	8025	8196	17170	13550	9404	5983	14860	9544	22400	11870	10890	8317	3096	40340	28210	8931	7673	9893	8840	43380	35460	33400	36060	27200	12720	11330	9204	11820	7353	12210	10690	2723	8842	13420	7604	14970	7271	10270	21800	46160	32490	8359	12880	37330	9819	13320	34160	9746	8599	15220	9618	16340	11780	8466	20480

Confirmed count average forecast England (bold black line in graphs) 2021-08-26 to 2021-09-01

Date	Aberdeen City	Aberdeenshire	Adur	Allerdale	Amber Valley	Angus	Antrim and Newtownabbey	Ards and North Down	Argyll and Bute	Armagh City and Banbridge and Craigavon	Arun	Ashfield	Ashford	Aylesbury Vale	Babergh	Barking and Dagenham	Barnet	Barnsley	Barrow-in-Furness	Basildon	Basingstoke and Deane	Bassetlaw	Bath and North East Somerset	Bedford	Belfast	Bexley	Birmingham	Blaby	Blackburn with Darwen	Blackpool	Blaenau Gwent	Bolsover	Bolton	Boston	Bournemouth Christchurch and Poole	Bracknell Forest	Bradford	Braintree	Breckland	Brent	Brentwood	Bridgend	Brighton and Hove	Bristol	Broadland	Bromley	Bromsgrove	Broxbourne	Broxtowe	Burnley	Bury	Caerphilly	Calderdale	Cambridge	Camden	Cannock Chase	Canterbury	Cardiff	Carlisle	Carmarthenshire	Castle Point	Causeway Coast and Glens	Central Bedfordshire	Ceredigion	Charnwood	Chelmsford	Cheltenham	Cherwell	Cheshire East	Cheshire West and Chester	Chesterfield	Chichester	Chiltern	Chorley	City of Edinburgh	Clackmannanshire	Colchester	Comhairle nan Eilean Siar	Conwy	Copeland	Corby	Cornwall and Isles of Scilly	Cotswold	County Durham	Coventry	Craven	Crawley	Croydon	Dacorum	Darlington	Dartford	Daventry	Denbighshire	Derby	Derbyshire Dales	Derry City and Strabane	Doncaster	Dorset	Dover	Dudley	Dumfries and Galloway	Dundee City	Ealing	East Ayrshire	East Cambridgeshire	East Devon	East Dunbartonshire	East Hampshire	East Hertfordshire	East Lindsey	East Lothian	East Northamptonshire	East Renfrewshire	East Riding of Yorkshire	East Staffordshire	East Suffolk	Eastbourne	Eastleigh	Eden	Elmbridge	Enfield	Epping Forest	Epsom and Ewell	Erewash	Exeter	Falkirk	Fareham	Fenland	Fermanagh and Omagh	Fife	Flintshire	Folkestone and Hythe	Forest of Dean	Fylde	Gateshead	Gedling	Glasgow City	Gloucester	Gosport	Gravesham	Great Yarmouth	Greenwich	Guildford	Gwynedd	Hackney	Halton	Hambleton	Hammersmith and Fulham	Harborough	Haringey	Harlow	Harrogate	Harrow	Hart	Hartlepool	Hastings	Havant	Havering	Herefordshire	Hertsmere	High Peak	Highland	Hillingdon	Hinckley and Bosworth	Horsham	Hounslow	Huntingdonshire	Hyndburn	Inverclyde	Ipswich	Isle of Anglesey	Isle of Wight	Islington	Kensington and Chelsea	Kettering	King's Lynn and West Norfolk	Kingston upon Hull	Kingston upon Thames	Kirklees	Knowsley	Lambeth	Lancaster	Leeds	Leicester	Lewes	Lewisham	Lichfield	Lincoln	Lisburn and Castlereagh	Liverpool	Luton	Maidstone	Maldon	Malvern Hills	Manchester	Mansfield	Medway	Melton	Mendip	Merthyr Tydfil	Merton	Mid Devon	Mid Suffolk	Mid Sussex	Mid Ulster	Mid and East Antrim	Middlesbrough	Midlothian	Milton Keynes	Mole Valley	Monmouthshire	Moray	Neath Port Talbot	New Forest	Newark and Sherwood	Newcastle upon Tyne	Newcastle-under-Lyme	Newham	Newport	Newry and Mourne and Down	North Ayrshire	North Devon	North East Derbyshire	North East Lincolnshire	North Hertfordshire	North Kesteven	North Lanarkshire	North Lincolnshire	North Norfolk	North Somerset	North Tyneside	North Warwickshire	North West Leicestershire	Northampton	Northumberland	Norwich	Nottingham	Nuneaton and Bedworth	Oadby and Wigston	Oldham	Orkney Islands	Oxford	Pembrokeshire	Pendle	Perth and Kinross	Peterborough	Plymouth	Portsmouth	Powys	Preston	Reading	Redbridge	Redcar and Cleveland	Redditch	Reigate and Banstead	Renfrewshire	Rhondda Cynon Taf	Ribble Valley	Richmond upon Thames	Richmondshire	Rochdale	Rochford	Rossendale	Rother	Rotherham	Rugby	Runnymede	Rushcliffe	Rushmoor	Rutland	Ryedale	Salford	Sandwell	Scarborough	Scottish Borders	Sedgemoor	Sefton	Selby	Sevenoaks	Sheffield	Shetland Islands	Shropshire	Slough	Solihull	Somerset West and Taunton	South Ayrshire	South Bucks	South Cambridgeshire	South Derbyshire	South Gloucestershire	South Hams	South Holland	South Kesteven	South Lakeland	South Lanarkshire	South Norfolk	South Northamptonshire	South Oxfordshire	South Ribble	South Somerset	South Staffordshire	South Tyneside	Southampton	Southend-on-Sea	Southwark	Spelthorne	St Albans	St. Helens	Stafford	Staffordshire Moorlands	Stevenage	Stirling	Stockport	Stockton-on-Tees	Stoke-on-Trent	Stratford-on-Avon	Stroud	Sunderland	Surrey Heath	Sutton	Swale	Swansea	Swindon	Tameside	Tamworth	Tandridge	Teignbridge	Telford and Wrekin	Tendring	Test Valley	Tewkesbury	Thanet	Three Rivers	Thurrock	Tonbridge and Malling	Torbay	Torfaen	Torridge	Tower Hamlets	Trafford	Tunbridge Wells	Uttlesford	Vale of Glamorgan	Vale of White Horse	Wakefield	Walsall	Waltham Forest	Wandsworth	Warrington	Warwick	Watford	Waverley	Wealden	Wellingborough	Welwyn Hatfield	West Berkshire	West Devon	West Dunbartonshire	West Lancashire	West Lindsey	West Lothian	West Oxfordshire	West Suffolk	Westminster	Wigan	Wiltshire	Winchester	Windsor and Maidenhead	Wirral	Woking	Wokingham	Wolverhampton	Worcester	Worthing	Wrexham	Wychavon	Wycombe	Wyre	Wyre Forest	York
2021-08-25	13117	10381	4846	8396	12443	6574	13298	10428	3583	22406	12737	14403	12564	16866	5624	28596	41172	31181	6652	22416	13220	12778	15447	20040	37925	29161	144357	10941	26684	17044	6995	8575	40572	7080	40543	10860	71267	14394	9213	38065	9288	15233	26922	53772	8786	33569	9788	12096	11329	14571	25998	15891	23722	9923	21558	10051	13898	32437	11779	13137	10772	12569	25207	2702	18947	17953	7778	12887	33424	33453	9071	8475	6945	13089	39472	4167	16975	540	6972	5957	7903	34771	4648	63247	36814	4748	11580	42596	13354	12624	13765	6575	7546	28020	4937	20989	38149	20892	10170	37132	7624	14198	41911	10130	5064	8711	9510	7630	13277	10676	7240	7400	8816	30685	13213	13010	9030	10121	4246	11189	36784	16383	7861	11644	10656	11082	8183	7645	10821	22973	13421	10407	5120	8220	24170	13124	68400	11303	6158	13398	8488	30448	11051	5433	30848	16298	7085	20294	8235	28491	10749	13052	27548	6910	13715	8762	10293	33545	10945	11481	8440	8357	35557	9875	9137	32606	12302	12308	5695	10218	3214	9766	23125	13605	9018	10439	31789	17122	51082	24052	37257	14866	101567	49981	7389	31232	9869	10938	11988	70158	27505	17427	5298	4496	82209	12686	33250	4248	6235	7517	22260	4791	5129	11320	18058	11884	20722	7467	28304	6658	5607	2776	14027	10287	11901	40336	12520	44675	14161	18899	10417	5085	9273	18362	10124	8814	35747	14872	4434	16934	23294	6977	9888	24399	30322	11562	44944	13480	6880	35145	191	15174	5321	13545	8967	22126	20979	21702	6433	20318	16350	40394	17086	8623	13869	17839	25502	7328	16606	4416	31988	8659	9951	6774	31377	10484	7794	11988	10145	2660	3178	37762	45726	9007	5493	9383	35028	8360	10161	66875	437	22972	19338	24432	9429	7423	6875	9776	10478	26955	4248	7283	11189	7251	30117	8452	7334	9545	13053	9439	11848	20623	24162	19761	33522	10247	12697	24373	12273	8762	8601	5833	33689	25624	29318	8577	7180	36766	7749	22023	16552	22044	18429	28768	8932	7815	7526	16850	13281	9079	5730	14364	9306	22012	11579	10159	8092	2849	39404	27457	8665	7457	9481	8439	42187	34616	32725	34967	26553	12337	11051	8893	11318	7146	11862	10227	2495	8199	13156	7305	14021	6987	9851	21260	45354	30936	8064	12482	36455	9525	12891	33327	9515	8275	15028	9351	15882	11435	8224	19806
2021-08-26	13220	10500	4868	8434	12500	6627	13400	10520	3659	22610	12800	14490	12620	16960	5648	28670	41300	31300	6684	22470	13280	12830	15560	20120	38240	29240	144800	11010	26730	17130	7017	8618	40670	7108	40740	10910	71490	14440	9271	38190	9313	15280	27070	54040	8832	33680	9830	12140	11390	14600	26080	15950	23840	9970	21640	10110	13950	32590	11810	13230	10800	12670	25330	2737	19040	18000	7837	12940	33570	33600	9103	8526	6981	13130	39950	4212	17040	547	7017	5989	7942	35390	4680	63470	36990	4771	11630	42760	13420	12670	13810	6607	7594	28160	4962	21230	38320	21060	10220	37280	7765	14300	42060	10210	5100	8803	9650	7685	13330	10750	7309	7435	8928	30860	13260	13090	9087	10190	4271	11240	36890	16430	7887	11710	10740	11190	8237	7693	11030	23220	13480	10450	5153	8255	24260	13180	69100	11370	6205	13440	8526	30540	11110	5487	30940	16350	7113	20370	8285	28580	10790	13130	27640	6945	13760	8807	10350	33630	11040	11530	8482	8484	35680	9940	9180	32710	12390	12330	5787	10260	3232	9850	23220	13650	9075	10510	31990	17180	51280	24130	37370	14930	102000	50190	7420	31350	9910	10980	12080	70400	27600	17490	5318	4522	82480	12780	33340	4270	6297	7543	22340	4859	5165	11380	18170	12000	20790	7538	28420	6687	5643	2795	14100	10350	11960	40460	12580	44790	14240	19040	10520	5155	9310	18450	10180	8872	36200	14950	4461	17030	23390	7009	9940	24500	30450	11630	45120	13540	6913	35240	193	15240	5398	13580	9034	22260	21190	21840	6481	20370	16420	40490	17150	8656	13930	18040	25650	7353	16680	4435	32070	8679	9970	6808	31520	10550	7833	12040	10180	2674	3206	37880	45870	9057	5569	9530	35150	8401	10200	67140	440	23140	19400	24540	9522	7496	6903	9850	10520	27110	4310	7318	11260	7284	30480	8499	7369	9620	13100	9530	11910	20690	24270	19820	33630	10290	12760	24470	12340	8810	8644	5891	33830	25710	29430	8622	7245	36870	7801	22110	16610	22220	18540	28910	8967	7843	7631	16950	13320	9132	5771	14460	9341	22080	11620	10260	8128	2886	39490	27550	8710	7490	9526	8502	42350	34750	32830	35090	26660	12400	11090	8941	11380	7182	11910	10300	2532	8308	13210	7349	14170	7034	9920	21340	45470	31140	8110	12550	36620	9564	12960	33470	9550	8318	15070	9394	15950	11490	8260	19890
2021-08-27	13280	10570	4893	8470	12560	6664	13490	10600	3721	22790	12850	14560	12660	17040	5669	28750	41430	31420	6710	22520	13350	12890	15650	20190	38480	29310	145300	11080	26770	17200	7033	8658	40740	7133	40950	10960	71720	14470	9316	38300	9339	15330	27230	54300	8879	33790	9870	12180	11430	14630	26150	16000	23950	10040	21720	10160	14010	32710	11840	13300	10820	12770	25430	2765	19110	18040	7899	12980	33710	33730	9137	8583	7020	13170	40270	4253	17100	551	7060	6018	7965	35970	4714	63660	37140	4790	11690	42930	13480	12710	13860	6641	7642	28300	4984	21440	38460	21230	10260	37410	7878	14380	42190	10260	5145	8908	9760	7742	13380	10830	7364	7472	9004	31020	13310	13150	9132	10250	4304	11300	36990	16480	7915	11760	10830	11260	8283	7726	11210	23380	13550	10490	5183	8288	24330	13240	69520	11440	6251	13490	8566	30630	11170	5537	31040	16400	7139	20460	8331	28670	10830	13200	27710	6982	13800	8853	10410	33700	11120	11570	8521	8562	35780	10000	9230	32810	12450	12360	5838	10290	3247	9960	23320	13700	9126	10570	32180	17260	51470	24210	37490	14970	102300	50370	7456	31470	9950	11030	12150	70640	27680	17540	5339	4543	82710	12870	33430	4289	6350	7554	22420	4932	5198	11440	18280	12090	20850	7582	28530	6722	5681	2810	14180	10410	12010	40580	12620	44930	14320	19150	10590	5224	9344	18530	10230	8928	36480	15050	4483	17130	23480	7031	9980	24600	30560	11700	45290	13600	6943	35350	195	15300	5477	13610	9083	22380	21370	21960	6531	20430	16500	40590	17200	8689	13980	18180	25780	7378	16740	4456	32150	8700	9990	6844	31660	10620	7869	12090	10210	2689	3235	38000	45980	9098	5623	9660	35260	8436	10240	67360	441	23310	19450	24640	9605	7546	6929	9920	10570	27240	4366	7348	11320	7314	30690	8546	7402	9700	13150	9630	11940	20740	24400	19880	33750	10320	12830	24550	12390	8865	8689	5932	33960	25780	29520	8669	7299	36950	7845	22190	16650	22400	18650	29010	9000	7873	7718	17030	13350	9184	5807	14540	9375	22130	11670	10350	8170	2925	39600	27640	8751	7517	9585	8561	42490	34870	32920	35240	26750	12450	11130	8987	11440	7211	11960	10370	2573	8388	13240	7386	14260	7084	9980	21410	45560	31360	8154	12610	36720	9603	13030	33580	9587	8364	15130	9425	16020	11540	8295	19980
2021-08-28	13330	10640	4915	8508	12600	6700	13580	10690	3781	22960	12900	14620	12700	17120	5691	28810	41520	31530	6736	22570	13410	12940	15740	20260	38710	29370	145700	11140	26810	17280	7050	8694	40810	7160	41110	11010	71930	14510	9365	38410	9363	15390	27360	54510	8924	33890	9910	12220	11480	14660	26220	16050	24060	10100	21790	10210	14060	32830	11860	13370	10840	12860	25530	2794	19180	18080	7959	13010	33830	33860	9171	8637	7057	13210	40600	4291	17170	555	7107	6045	7994	36500	4745	63820	37290	4810	11730	43090	13530	12750	13900	6670	7694	28440	5007	21640	38570	21380	10300	37540	7989	14450	42290	10310	5186	8999	9860	7795	13430	10900	7411	7507	9077	31180	13350	13220	9171	10310	4334	11350	37090	16520	7940	11820	10910	11320	8332	7765	11380	23550	13620	10520	5210	8313	24400	13290	69940	11500	6295	13540	8606	30720	11230	5583	31130	16440	7166	20530	8378	28740	10870	13250	27770	7020	13840	8896	10470	33780	11190	11620	8559	8644	35890	10060	9271	32900	12520	12380	5888	10330	3262	10060	23410	13750	9176	10630	32340	17320	51650	24290	37580	14990	102600	50520	7492	31570	9990	11070	12220	70820	27760	17580	5359	4563	82910	12960	33520	4308	6399	7566	22500	5002	5232	11500	18390	12170	20910	7624	28640	6755	5717	2825	14250	10470	12050	40680	12660	45050	14390	19270	10660	5290	9379	18600	10270	8982	36750	15130	4496	17220	23550	7054	10030	24700	30670	11760	45440	13660	6974	35430	196	15370	5554	13630	9131	22470	21540	22070	6575	20480	16570	40680	17260	8721	14040	18330	25880	7402	16790	4477	32220	8722	10010	6871	31780	10690	7900	12140	10240	2702	3261	38100	46080	9134	5676	9790	35360	8473	10270	67590	443	23480	19510	24740	9684	7595	6956	9980	10610	27370	4418	7379	11380	7344	30920	8590	7435	9760	13200	9730	11980	20800	24500	19930	33840	10360	12900	24600	12450	8917	8732	5970	34090	25850	29610	8717	7348	37040	7882	22270	16690	22560	18760	29110	9030	7902	7823	17120	13390	9236	5841	14620	9408	22180	11700	10440	8208	2963	39680	27710	8795	7542	9640	8612	42580	34980	33000	35360	26840	12500	11160	9034	11490	7240	12010	10430	2611	8469	13270	7423	14350	7131	10020	21480	45630	31560	8195	12670	36830	9633	13090	33680	9615	8406	15190	9461	16080	11590	8328	20070
2021-08-29	13400	10720	4935	8547	12650	6737	13680	10770	3840	23120	12950	14680	12740	17200	5715	28880	41620	31640	6764	22620	13470	12990	15820	20330	38940	29430	146200	11200	26850	17360	7067	8732	40880	7182	41270	11060	72140	14540	9411	38500	9386	15440	27480	54740	8968	34000	9950	12260	11530	14680	26280	16110	24170	10150	21860	10260	14100	32960	11890	13420	10860	12960	25640	2821	19250	18120	8019	13040	33950	33990	9205	8690	7094	13240	40950	4332	17230	559	7155	6075	8025	37010	4772	63980	37450	4832	11780	43250	13590	12790	13940	6700	7747	28570	5031	21830	38700	21510	10350	37670	8094	14510	42400	10370	5226	9080	9960	7843	13480	10970	7463	7538	9152	31330	13400	13290	9206	10370	4363	11410	37190	16560	7965	11880	10990	11400	8382	7813	11540	23710	13690	10550	5237	8335	24470	13340	70410	11560	6338	13580	8644	30800	11280	5626	31210	16480	7194	20610	8425	28810	10910	13310	27830	7056	13880	8944	10520	33850	11250	11660	8597	8732	36000	10120	9309	33000	12600	12410	5942	10360	3277	10150	23500	13790	9227	10680	32510	17390	51840	24370	37670	15030	102900	50660	7528	31670	10040	11120	12290	71030	27830	17640	5379	4584	83100	13050	33610	4327	6449	7580	22580	5070	5266	11560	18500	12260	20970	7672	28750	6788	5749	2839	14330	10530	12100	40800	12710	45160	14470	19390	10730	5354	9413	18670	10320	9035	37040	15210	4509	17310	23630	7078	10070	24790	30780	11830	45580	13710	7005	35520	198	15440	5629	13650	9178	22580	21720	22180	6615	20530	16650	40780	17310	8752	14090	18480	25980	7427	16840	4497	32290	8742	10030	6897	31920	10760	7931	12190	10270	2714	3289	38210	46180	9170	5731	9910	35460	8512	10310	67800	445	23640	19550	24830	9758	7646	6982	10040	10660	27500	4469	7411	11440	7374	31180	8630	7465	9830	13240	9820	12030	20860	24600	19990	33920	10390	12960	24670	12510	8967	8775	6014	34220	25920	29690	8764	7390	37140	7919	22350	16730	22720	18870	29220	9066	7932	7909	17200	13420	9288	5877	14690	9441	22230	11750	10530	8244	3003	39750	27790	8839	7567	9693	8665	42670	35100	33090	35480	26920	12550	11200	9082	11530	7271	12060	10500	2648	8558	13310	7461	14450	7175	10060	21530	45720	31780	8235	12730	36920	9667	13150	33760	9647	8447	15250	9491	16140	11640	8360	20150
2021-08-30	13470	10810	4960	8586	12710	6776	13770	10860	3930	23300	13000	14770	12790	17280	5738	28960	41750	31760	6793	22670	13540	13050	15920	20410	39190	29500	146700	11260	26910	17440	7085	8775	40980	7210	41440	11100	72380	14580	9462	38630	9410	15490	27650	55010	9012	34110	9990	12300	11580	14710	26360	16170	24300	10210	21930	10310	14150	33090	11920	13500	10880	13060	25740	2849	19320	18160	8080	13090	34100	34120	9239	8749	7129	13280	41320	4373	17290	564	7205	6105	8061	37570	4807	64200	37620	4854	11830	43420	13650	12840	13990	6735	7803	28710	5055	22030	38860	21690	10390	37820	8203	14580	42540	10430	5264	9192	10080	7895	13520	11040	7525	7578	9230	31490	13450	13360	9254	10440	4391	11460	37280	16600	7994	11950	11080	11480	8433	7867	11700	23900	13750	10590	5274	8373	24560	13390	70910	11630	6380	13620	8682	30880	11330	5674	31300	16520	7222	20680	8473	28900	10950	13380	27900	7093	13920	9001	10580	33930	11330	11700	8643	8830	36110	10180	9362	33110	12670	12430	6000	10390	3292	10240	23590	13840	9278	10750	32700	17450	52050	24450	37800	15080	103400	50880	7566	31790	10080	11160	12370	71290	27910	17690	5400	4614	83350	13130	33690	4347	6499	7595	22660	5137	5301	11620	18620	12330	21040	7721	28860	6820	5787	2857	14400	10590	12150	40910	12750	45300	14540	19510	10810	5417	9450	18750	10370	9087	37330	15290	4525	17410	23720	7103	10110	24890	30900	11890	45770	13770	7037	35620	200	15500	5704	13690	9236	22720	21890	22300	6661	20590	16730	40870	17370	8783	14160	18640	26130	7452	16900	4518	32370	8761	10050	6933	32090	10830	7967	12240	10300	2729	3322	38350	46310	9216	5788	10030	35590	8551	10350	68040	447	23800	19600	24940	9834	7700	7011	10120	10710	27630	4518	7444	11520	7404	31450	8677	7500	9900	13300	9920	12070	20920	24730	20040	34030	10420	13030	24770	12570	9023	8818	6064	34350	26000	29780	8813	7452	37230	7965	22430	16770	22880	18970	29340	9099	7960	7976	17290	13460	9341	5915	14770	9473	22280	11790	10640	8278	3050	39840	27880	8880	7593	9749	8719	42820	35240	33180	35620	27010	12600	11240	9130	11580	7301	12110	10570	2685	8646	13340	7499	14570	7227	10140	21610	45810	32020	8281	12790	37060	9705	13220	33880	9685	8493	15310	9531	16200	11690	8394	20240
2021-08-31	13530	10890	4982	8626	12760	6815	13870	10940	3993	23470	13060	14840	12830	17370	5762	29030	41880	31880	6821	22720	13610	13100	16030	20490	39460	29550	147200	11330	26950	17520	7103	8818	41070	7238	41650	11150	72600	14620	9511	38760	9433	15550	27810	55270	9056	34210	10030	12340	11630	14750	26430	16230	24410	10260	22000	10360	14210	33230	11950	13570	10910	13150	25850	2877	19390	18200	8144	13120	34250	34270	9274	8806	7165	13320	41660	4411	17360	568	7257	6135	8093	38150	4845	64410	37780	4878	11890	43580	13710	12890	14030	6766	7859	28860	5080	22240	39000	21880	10430	37960	8324	14670	42690	10490	5303	9298	10180	7953	13570	11120	7581	7622	9310	31650	13500	13430	9304	10510	4419	11520	37380	16650	8022	12010	11170	11560	8485	7906	11870	24080	13820	10630	5314	8408	24640	13440	71380	11700	6422	13660	8720	30960	11380	5726	31380	16560	7251	20760	8521	28970	10990	13450	27960	7132	13960	9046	10640	34010	11440	11740	8687	8934	36220	10240	9405	33210	12750	12460	6068	10420	3307	10330	23670	13890	9329	10800	32880	17520	52260	24530	37950	15130	103900	51100	7604	31910	10120	11210	12440	71530	27990	17760	5421	4643	83600	13220	33780	4368	6552	7613	22740	5204	5336	11680	18740	12420	21110	7768	28970	6853	5828	2872	14470	10650	12200	41020	12800	45420	14620	19640	10900	5481	9483	18830	10420	9138	37630	15370	4544	17510	23820	7130	10160	25000	31010	11950	45930	13830	7069	35720	201	15570	5781	13710	9290	22840	22070	22420	6705	20650	16800	40950	17420	8815	14230	18770	26260	7477	16960	4538	32460	8781	10070	6971	32230	10890	7999	12290	10340	2744	3353	38470	46420	9260	5841	10150	35710	8592	10390	68280	449	23970	19650	25040	9915	7751	7039	10180	10760	27760	4569	7477	11590	7435	31690	8719	7533	9970	13350	10010	12110	20980	24850	20100	34150	10460	13100	24860	12620	9075	8860	6109	34480	26070	29870	8864	7524	37340	8013	22510	16820	23020	19080	29460	9131	7991	8101	17380	13500	9394	5954	14850	9505	22340	11840	10760	8313	3089	39920	27970	8935	7618	9805	8771	42960	35360	33270	35770	27110	12650	11270	9179	11630	7332	12160	10640	2722	8731	13370	7537	14660	7279	10200	21690	45900	32270	8328	12850	37190	9742	13290	34000	9718	8536	15360	9571	16270	11750	8428	20330
2021-09-01	13600	10960	5004	8666	12810	6855	13970	11030	4057	23650	13120	14910	12880	17460	5786	29100	42000	31990	6850	22780	13670	13160	16160	20560	39720	29610	147700	11390	27000	17600	7121	8861	41160	7262	41860	11200	72830	14660	9567	38890	9457	15610	27970	55560	9099	34320	10080	12380	11680	14770	26510	16290	24540	10320	22070	10410	14270	33350	11980	13640	10930	13250	25960	2906	19460	18240	8210	13160	34400	34410	9308	8862	7200	13350	42010	4454	17430	573	7308	6161	8129	38770	4885	64610	37940	4901	11930	43740	13780	12930	14070	6797	7916	29010	5105	22460	39150	22070	10470	38100	8451	14770	42850	10540	5341	9411	10300	8015	13620	11200	7640	7670	9397	31810	13560	13510	9356	10570	4447	11570	37470	16700	8051	12080	11280	11640	8538	7941	12050	24280	13890	10670	5351	8442	24720	13490	71860	11780	6464	13710	8758	31040	11440	5783	31460	16600	7280	20830	8569	29050	11030	13520	28020	7171	14000	9088	10690	34090	11560	11780	8731	9039	36340	10300	9455	33310	12830	12490	6130	10460	3323	10430	23760	13940	9381	10860	33060	17580	52450	24610	38110	15170	104300	51330	7641	32020	10170	11250	12520	71770	28070	17820	5441	4673	83860	13310	33870	4388	6604	7627	22810	5271	5371	11740	18850	12520	21170	7814	29080	6885	5868	2888	14550	10710	12260	41140	12850	45550	14690	19760	10990	5545	9518	18920	10470	9191	37950	15450	4564	17600	23910	7156	10210	25100	31130	12010	46100	13890	7101	35830	203	15640	5858	13740	9339	22960	22260	22540	6746	20710	16880	41040	17480	8846	14300	18910	26370	7503	17030	4559	32540	8803	10090	7014	32400	10960	8032	12340	10370	2758	3386	38610	46540	9298	5900	10270	35830	8633	10430	68510	451	24130	19710	25150	9999	7810	7069	10250	10810	27900	4618	7510	11670	7465	31940	8770	7566	10040	13400	10110	12160	21040	24990	20150	34260	10490	13170	24940	12680	9126	8903	6161	34610	26140	29960	8914	7588	37440	8060	22590	16860	23180	19190	29560	9168	8022	8234	17480	13530	9446	5996	14940	9537	22410	11880	10870	8348	3144	40000	28050	8988	7643	9863	8825	43100	35480	33360	35900	27220	12700	11300	9228	11690	7363	12200	10710	2759	8824	13410	7575	14760	7330	10260	21770	45990	32520	8378	12910	37340	9777	13370	34110	9753	8582	15420	9608	16330	11800	8461	20420

Data issues

There is an issue with the reported local authority data: the last few (usually three) observations show no change.

The following graph illustrates the issue for two districts:

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Districts_of_England_(2019).svg

Further information

We believe these forecasts fill a useful gap in the short run. They give an indication of what is likely to happen in the next few days, removing some aspect of surprise. Moreover, a noticeable drop in comparison to the extrapolations could be an indication that the implemented policies are having some impact. It is difficult to understand exponential growth. We hope that these forecasts may help to convince viewers to adhere to the policies implemented by their respective governments, and keep all arguments factual and measured.
We use the data repository for the 2019 Novel Coronavirus Visual Dashboard operated by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering. This is updated daily, but we tend to update our forecasts only every other day.
US state data as of 2020-03-28 is courtesy of the New York Times.
We can only provide forecasts of what is measured. If confirmed cases are an underestimate of actual cases, then our forecasts will also be underestimates. No other epidemiological data is used. Data definition and collection differs between countries and may change over time.
We will update the methodology as we learn what is happening in the next few days or weeks. Once the number of cases levels off, there is no need to provide these forecasts anymore.
Countries where the counts are very low or stable have been omitted.
The graphs have dates on the horizontal axis (yyyy-mm-dd) and cumulative counts on the vertical axis. They show
1. bold dark grey line (with circles): observed counts (Johns Hopkins CSSE);
2. many light grey lines (with open circles): forecasts using different model settings and starting up to four periods back;
3. red line (with open circles): single forecasts path using default model settings;
4. black line (with crosses): average of all forecasts, recentered on the last observation;
5. thin green lines: some indication of uncertainty around the red forecasts, but we do not know how reliable that is.
Both the red line forecasts and the black lines are also given in the tables above. These forecasts differ, we are currently inclined to use the average forecasts.
The forecasts are constructed as follows:
1. An overall `trend' is extracted by taking a window of the data at a time. In each window we draw `straight lines' which are selected using an automatic econometric procedure (`machine learning'). All straight lines are collected and averaged, giving the trend.
2. Forecasts are made using the estimated trend, but we note that this must be done carefully, because simply extrapolating the flexible insample trend would lead to wildly fluctuating forecast. We use the `Cardt' method, which has been found to work well in other settings.
3. Residuals from the trend are also forecast, and combined with trend forecasts into an overall forecast.
Scenario forecasts are constructed very differently: smooth versions of the Chinese experience are matched at different lag lengths with the path of each country. This probably works best from the peak, or the slowdown just before (but we include it for the UK nonetheless).
The forecast evaluation shows past forecasts, together with the outcomes (in the grey line with circles).
EU-BS is Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania together.
This paper describes the methodology and gives further references. Also available as Nuffield Economics Discussion Paper 2020-W06. Still preliminary is the documentation of the medium term forecasts.

Recent changes and notes

[2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.
[2021-01-07]Slideshow of forecasts, errors, and actuals 2020-06-30 to 2021-01-02: how England lost the battle.
[2020-10-27]Statistical short-term forecasting of the COVID-19 Pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now published at the Journal of Clinical Immunology and Immunotherapy. open access
[2020-10-11]Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now in press at the International Journal of Forecasting. open access
[2020-10-10]Removed forecasts from the Chinese scenarios, while investigating possibility to use own history from the first wave.
Added information on the previous peak (if present) to the peak tables.
Local forecasts for England: now dropping last four observations.
[2020-07-01] Modified the short-term model to allow for (slowly changing) seasonality. Many countries show clear seasonality after the initial period, likely caused by institutional factors regarding data collection. This seasonality was also getting in the way of peak detection. As a consequence estimates of the peak date may have changed for countries with strong seasonality.
Added forecasts of cumulative confirmed cases for lower tier local authorities of England. The data is available from 2020-07-02 including all tests (pillar one and two). Only authorities with more than 5 cases in the previous week are included.
[2020-06-29] Tables in April included the world, but not the world as we know it (double counting China and the US). So removed the world from those old tables.
Why short-term forecasts can be better than models for predicting how pandemics evolve just appeared at The Conversation.
Thursday 2 July webinar at the FGV EESP - São Paolo School of Economics. This starts at 16:00 UK time (UTC+01:00) and streamed here.

COVID-19 short-term forecasts Confirmed 2021-08-25 lower tier local authorities of England (with more than 5 cases in the previous week).

General information

Forecasts for districts of England, one week ahead from 2021-08-25