COVID-19 short-term forecasts England

Peak increase in estimated trend of Confirmed in England 2021-09-07

	Aberdeen City	Aberdeenshire	Adur	Allerdale	Amber Valley	Angus	Antrim and Newtownabbey	Ards and North Down	Argyll and Bute	Armagh City and Banbridge and Craigavon	Arun	Ashfield	Ashford	Aylesbury Vale	Babergh	Barking and Dagenham	Barnet	Barnsley	Barrow-in-Furness	Basildon	Basingstoke and Deane	Bassetlaw	Bath and North East Somerset	Bedford	Belfast	Bexley	Birmingham	Blaby	Blackburn with Darwen	Blackpool	Blaenau Gwent	Bolsover	Bolton	Boston	Bournemouth Christchurch and Poole	Bracknell Forest	Bradford	Braintree	Breckland	Brent	Brentwood	Bridgend	Brighton and Hove	Bristol	Broadland	Bromley	Bromsgrove	Broxbourne	Broxtowe	Burnley	Bury	Caerphilly	Calderdale	Cambridge	Camden	Cannock Chase	Canterbury	Cardiff	Carlisle	Carmarthenshire	Castle Point	Causeway Coast and Glens	Central Bedfordshire	Ceredigion	Charnwood	Chelmsford	Cheltenham	Cherwell	Cheshire East	Cheshire West and Chester	Chesterfield	Chichester	Chiltern	Chorley	City of Edinburgh	Clackmannanshire	Colchester	Comhairle nan Eilean Siar	Conwy	Copeland	Corby	Cornwall and Isles of Scilly	Cotswold	County Durham	Coventry	Craven	Crawley	Croydon	Dacorum	Darlington	Dartford	Daventry	Denbighshire	Derby	Derbyshire Dales	Derry City and Strabane	Doncaster	Dorset	Dover	Dudley	Dumfries and Galloway	Dundee City	Ealing	East Ayrshire	East Cambridgeshire	East Devon	East Dunbartonshire	East Hampshire	East Hertfordshire	East Lindsey	East Lothian	East Northamptonshire	East Renfrewshire	East Riding of Yorkshire	East Staffordshire	East Suffolk	Eastbourne	Eastleigh	Eden	Elmbridge	Enfield	Epping Forest	Epsom and Ewell	Erewash	Exeter	Falkirk	Fareham	Fenland	Fermanagh and Omagh	Fife	Flintshire	Folkestone and Hythe	Forest of Dean	Fylde	Gateshead	Gedling	Glasgow City	Gloucester	Gosport	Gravesham	Great Yarmouth	Greenwich	Guildford	Gwynedd	Hackney	Halton	Hambleton	Hammersmith and Fulham	Harborough	Haringey	Harlow	Harrogate	Harrow	Hart	Hartlepool	Hastings	Havant	Havering	Herefordshire	Hertsmere	High Peak	Highland	Hillingdon	Hinckley and Bosworth	Horsham	Hounslow	Huntingdonshire	Hyndburn	Inverclyde	Ipswich	Isle of Anglesey	Isle of Wight	Islington	Kensington and Chelsea	Kettering	King's Lynn and West Norfolk	Kingston upon Hull	Kingston upon Thames	Kirklees	Knowsley	Lambeth	Lancaster	Leeds	Leicester	Lewes	Lewisham	Lichfield	Lincoln	Lisburn and Castlereagh	Liverpool	Luton	Maidstone	Maldon	Malvern Hills	Manchester	Mansfield	Medway	Melton	Mendip	Merthyr Tydfil	Merton	Mid Devon	Mid Suffolk	Mid Sussex	Mid Ulster	Mid and East Antrim	Middlesbrough	Midlothian	Milton Keynes	Mole Valley	Monmouthshire	Moray	Neath Port Talbot	New Forest	Newark and Sherwood	Newcastle upon Tyne	Newcastle-under-Lyme	Newham	Newport	Newry and Mourne and Down	North Ayrshire	North Devon	North East Derbyshire	North East Lincolnshire	North Hertfordshire	North Kesteven	North Lanarkshire	North Lincolnshire	North Norfolk	North Somerset	North Tyneside	North Warwickshire	North West Leicestershire	Northampton	Northumberland	Norwich	Nottingham	Nuneaton and Bedworth	Oadby and Wigston	Oldham	Orkney Islands	Oxford	Pembrokeshire	Pendle	Perth and Kinross	Peterborough	Plymouth	Portsmouth	Powys	Preston	Reading	Redbridge	Redcar and Cleveland	Redditch	Reigate and Banstead	Renfrewshire	Rhondda Cynon Taf	Ribble Valley	Richmond upon Thames	Richmondshire	Rochdale	Rochford	Rossendale	Rother	Rotherham	Rugby	Runnymede	Rushcliffe	Rushmoor	Rutland	Ryedale	Salford	Sandwell	Scarborough	Scottish Borders	Sedgemoor	Sefton	Selby	Sevenoaks	Sheffield	Shetland Islands	Shropshire	Slough	Solihull	Somerset West and Taunton	South Ayrshire	South Bucks	South Cambridgeshire	South Derbyshire	South Gloucestershire	South Hams	South Holland	South Kesteven	South Lakeland	South Lanarkshire	South Norfolk	South Northamptonshire	South Oxfordshire	South Ribble	South Somerset	South Staffordshire	South Tyneside	Southampton	Southend-on-Sea	Southwark	Spelthorne	St Albans	St. Helens	Stafford	Staffordshire Moorlands	Stevenage	Stirling	Stockport	Stockton-on-Tees	Stoke-on-Trent	Stratford-on-Avon	Stroud	Sunderland	Surrey Heath	Sutton	Swale	Swansea	Swindon	Tameside	Tamworth	Tandridge	Teignbridge	Telford and Wrekin	Tendring	Test Valley	Tewkesbury	Thanet	Three Rivers	Thurrock	Tonbridge and Malling	Torbay	Torfaen	Torridge	Tower Hamlets	Trafford	Tunbridge Wells	Uttlesford	Vale of Glamorgan	Vale of White Horse	Wakefield	Walsall	Waltham Forest	Wandsworth	Warrington	Warwick	Watford	Waverley	Wealden	Wellingborough	Welwyn Hatfield	West Berkshire	West Devon	West Dunbartonshire	West Lancashire	West Lindsey	West Lothian	West Oxfordshire	West Suffolk	Westminster	Wigan	Wiltshire	Winchester	Windsor and Maidenhead	Wirral	Woking	Wokingham	Wolverhampton	Worcester	Worthing	Wrexham	Wychavon	Wycombe	Wyre	Wyre Forest	York
Peak date (mm-dd)	2021-08-26	--	2021-07-08	2021-07-06	2021-07-06	2021-08-26	2021-07-11	--	2021-08-25	2021-08-23	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-08	2021-07-08	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-12	2021-07-07	12-29	2021-07-07	12-27	2021-07-08	12-07	2021-07-07	2021-05-10	2021-07-06	2021-01-01	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-08-16	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-08-18	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-05	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-08-27	2021-07-07	2021-07-30	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-06-20	2021-08-23	2021-07-07	--	2021-07-07	2021-08-11	2021-07-07	--	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-08-02	2021-08-24	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-08-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-08-27	--	2021-07-07	2021-07-27	--	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-08-09	2021-08-27	2021-07-02	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-05	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-01-02	2021-07-07	2021-08-11	2021-07-07	2021-08-09	2021-08-02	2021-07-07	--	2021-06-21	2021-07-08	07-21	2021-07-06	2021-08-09	2021-08-24	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-06-13	2021-07-06	--	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-08-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-09	2021-07-07	2021-07-05	2021-07-06	2021-08-10	2021-06-25	2021-07-08	2021-08-17	2021-08-11	--	2021-08-26	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-06	2021-07-04	2021-07-06	10-04	2021-07-07	2021-08-25	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-08-25	2021-07-07	2021-08-24	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-08-25	2021-07-09	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-05	2021-08-16	2021-08-22	2021-07-08	2021-08-09	2021-07-07	--	--	2021-07-07	--	2021-07-06	2021-07-10	2021-07-07	2021-06-23	2021-08-26	2021-07-08	2021-08-27	2021-08-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-10	2021-08-25	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	12-27	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-01-03	2021-07-03	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-21	--	12-26	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-08-10	2021-07-10	2021-07-05	2021-07-07	12-08	2021-07-08	2021-08-09	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-08-09	2021-08-13	2021-07-07	2021-08-26	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-08-27	--	2021-08-26	2021-07-08	2021-07-06	2021-07-03	2021-07-07	2021-07-30	2021-08-27	2021-07-13	2021-08-26	2021-08-09	2021-07-07	2021-07-03	2021-07-08	2021-07-25	2021-08-26	2021-07-30	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-04	2021-07-06	--	2021-07-08	2021-07-06	2021-07-28	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-08-08	2021-07-07	--	2021-06-22	2021-08-23	2021-07-07	2021-06-22	2021-08-02	2021-07-07	2021-01-01	--	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-08-25	2021-07-05	12-27	2021-07-08	2021-07-06	2021-07-05	2021-07-07	2021-07-04	2021-07-08	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-08-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-06	12-23	2021-08-08	2021-06-28	2021-07-06	2021-07-08	2021-07-08	07-21	2021-07-06	2021-08-11	2021-07-06	2021-08-08	--	2021-07-07	2021-08-02	2021-07-05	2021-07-07	2021-08-09	--	2021-08-13	2021-07-06	2021-08-25	2021-07-21	2021-07-08	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-06-27	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	--	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-05	2021-07-07	2021-08-25	2021-07-05	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-08-25	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-06-22	2021-07-08	2021-08-09	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-08-25	2021-08-10	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	12-06	2021-08-09	2021-07-07	2021-07-05	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-05	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-09	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-13	2021-07-07	--	2021-08-09	--	2021-07-07	2021-07-04	--	2021-08-09	2021-08-10	2021-07-07	2021-07-07	2021-07-08	2021-07-09	2021-08-26	2021-06-29	2021-07-07	2021-08-25	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-07	2021-06-29	2021-07-08	2021-07-07	2021-07-06	2021-07-08	2021-06-30
Peak daily increment	179		51	115	105	94	99		106	195	127	93	63	100	57	93	260	276	49	139	152	144	210	103	379	176	1249	72	157	159	95	61	208	42	484	107	478	103	55	176	68	91	218	621	60	258	94	72	97	74	161	189	158	74	159	69	60	259	115		101	100	227		118	170	64	88	269	243	82	71	69	121	626		142	13		114	45	691	42	607	376	53	101	229	122	140	92	53	86	246	48	193	400	179	47	269		184	189	296	46	131	196	62	122	88	112	65		295	73	85	61	90	28	82	145	105	58	110	124	81	66	55	168		95	67	56	82	274	123	631	95	58	63	113	163	69	85	229	88	84	156	57	152	61	113	143	65	146	54	68	151	98	82			197		84	130	101	71	155	56	44	85	189	84	69	71	247	93	271	311	301	117	707	284	51	213	80	99		727	108	120	41	47	442	94	169	40	71	105	124	72	37	101	117	113	274	127	196	49	41		153	94	116	384	105	161	127	140	177	83	94	256	78	70	705	96	35	203	228	77		126	322	88	264	158	35	255		131	82	56	113	143	343	203		104	83	120	297	57	114	326	58	52	140	67	213	75	69	49	207	81	47	116	70	19	29	253	255	94	83	120	195	65	96	482	24	169	65	277	90		49	72	68	345	83		73	68	531	58	68	77	92	106	75	303	200	152	243	70	131	141	87	77	56		243	339	240	74	70	428	57	145	101	259	151	219	83	60	140	137	116	92	41	87	78	100	105	131	101	59	226	184	59	64	28	79	352	191	157	313	195	111	73	70	84	37	102		69		94	45		67	68	138	380	351	60	94	243	59	101	185	99	63	65	76	117	120	74	138
Days since peak	12		61	63	63	12	58		13	15	62	63	63	62	63	61	61	63	62	63	62	63	62	63	57	62	252	62	254	61	274	62	120	63	249	62	62	62	22	62	62	20	62	62	63	63	62	62	64	62	63	11	62	39	61	62	79	15	62		62	27	62		62	63	36	14	62	62	63	30	62	62	11		62	42		63	62	29	11	67	62	62	62	62	62	64	61	62	63	248	62	27	62	29	36	62		78	61	413	63	29	14	62	62	62	86	63		63	62	62	62	62	30	62	60	62	64	63	28	74	61	21	27		12	62	63	63	65	63	338	62	13	61	62	62	62	13	62	14	62	62	13	60	63	62	62	62	64	22	16	61	29	62			62		63	59	62	76	12	61	11	30	62	59	13	62	62	61	62	254	62	61	62	247	66	61	62	48		255	62	62	62	62	62	28	59	64	62	273	61	29	61	62	29	25	62	12	62	62	11		12	61	63	66	62	39	11	56	12	29	62	66	61	44	12	39	63	62	65	63		61	63	41	62	61	30	62		77	15	62	77	36	62	249		63	62	61	62	61	62	13	64	254	61	63	64	62	65	61	61	62	62	62	62	62	30	62	63	63	258	30	71	63	61	61	413	63	27	63	30		62	36	64	62	29		25	63	13	48	61	63	62	62	61	72	62	62	62	62	62	62	63	62	62		62	63	64	62	13	64	62	62	62	13	62	62	77	61	29	62	63	62	13	28	62	63	62	62	275	29	62	64	61	62	64	62	63	62	60	63	62	61	62	62	62	56	62		29		62	65		29	28	62	62	61	60	12	70	62	13	62	63	62	70	61	62	63	61	69
Last total	15232	13007	5078	9249	13184	7666	14393	11572	4793	24915	13459	15375	13195	18130	5991	29607	42950	33135	7187	23276	14133	13486	16684	20955	41122	30341	150265	11833	27437	18380	7534	9170	41969	7374	42787	11544	74309	15019	9913	39585	9655	16526	28512	57001	9455	35191	10515	12560	12068	15093	27086	17732	25233	10522	22566	10895	14502	35124	12488	15194	11145	13845	26870	3222	20515	18828	8436	13990	35950	36110	9702	9099	7473	13718	46555	5022	17978	624	8106	6410	8768	38913	5143	66961	39086	5060	12194	44612	14433	13397	14328	7085	8500	29968	5288	23022	40629	23031	10716	39217	9222	16382	43852	11761	5507	9671	11607	8313	14033	11625	8513	7925	10770	33330	13930	14280	9587	10966	4582	11896	38098	17051	8247	12676	11462	13438	8949	8385	12481	28048	14448	10986	5629	8819	25486	14008	80390	12050	6775	14032	9124	31592	11759	6447	31996	17336	7589	21187	8966	29572	11241	14254	28939	7456	14403	9402	11110	34829	12051	12090	9260	10844	37239	10823	9827	34029	13427	12795	7376	10933	3695	10588	24024	14247	9874	11239	34435	17926	53760	25372	38811	15737	106883	52547	7849	32457	10565	11599	13361	73636	29046	18266	5615	4829	85221	13637	34467	4609	7001	8357	23210	5364	5616	12087	19378	13254	21781	8921	29824	7083	6090	3170	15852	11126	12668	42025	13529	46124	15448	20582	12450	5758	9862	19360	10860	9445	43495	16011	4802	18386	24739	7428	10846	25625	32228	12324	46898	14418	7356	36474	238	15984	6284	14079	9928	23772	23151	23188	7342	21142	17433	41848	18049	9142	14675	21431	28009	7671	17553	4700	33160	9070	10285	7245	33575	11256	8237	12716	10663	2922	3498	39438	47765	9714	6447	10368	36916	9011	10738	70476	563	24956	20149	25820	10344	8896	7303	10609	11192	28754	4852	7800	12011	7877	36072	9108	7862	10368	13718	10506	12558	21776	25556	20687	34919	10780	13620	25497	13083	9441	9136	6987	35747	27000	31220	9271	8031	38720	8241	23040	17162	25304	20140	30648	9485	8272	8312	18322	13982	9832	6212	15080	9857	22977	12292	11161	8743	3248	40718	28972	9352	7911	10647	9194	44631	36609	34023	36435	27820	13157	11659	9534	12198	7647	12565	11403	2816	10179	13964	7784	16589	7696	10820	22204	47355	34107	8718	13551	38445	9981	14033	35166	9995	8759	15916	9892	16890	12210	8897	20808
Last daily increment	198	276	13	53	56	63	113	106	71	227	34	48	44	105	38	65	117	132	33	66	50	54	32	69	295	92	412	85	56	114	34	32	105	26	152	28	196	50	49	108	33	26	94	122	54	112	37	46	55	38	77	76	105	36	83	78	46	70	53	43	42	130	119	0	138	55	18	71	170	153	39	32	27	55	467	64	63	1	33	34	75	265	13	265	162	17	42	137	104	41	37	36	30	133	18	169	157	165	29	159	94	180	132	153	37	61	119	52	51	47	79	42	150	163	48	129	27	38	14	44	108	56	19	60	47	173	43	52	138	421	29	55	15	44	69	52	740	33	27	55	53	100	46	17	66	75	42	50	58	61	40	103	107	32	65	31	53	87	71	43	32	172	115	82	51	106	54	61	98	63	19	49	84	45	56	60	206	58	159	91	105	60	349	192	17	96	44	46	170	230	112	56	20	14	189	75	93	16	37	15	75	27	34	38	134	110	82	101	107	30	7	27	55	57	46	147	51	99	22	160	132	41	54	62	45	45	499	73	24	54	102	36	92	74	185	47	104	76	48	100	8	57	17	31	82	109	118	87	15	64	60	138	84	44	47	190	47	28	60	31	97	44	14	23	154	58	32	49	37	22	25	137	152	42	54	36	136	44	38	254	13	156	51	89	45	107	41	56	57	50	39	40	42	41	420	38	31	34	48	47	56	95	94	96	78	18	45	75	68	59	43	91	166	96	150	43	31	143	29	56	43	47	57	131	30	32	40	109	56	65	14	52	44	75	52	70	21	24	115	112	46	36	32	40	170	137	101	95	109	77	35	42	54	38	55	32	14	169	53	30	222	55	64	58	152	129	41	64	161	34	46	98	32	30	8	41	58	53	47	60
Last week	1063	1335	97	427	374	511	554	507	518	1223	280	412	289	609	196	482	871	899	238	384	451	322	525	453	1469	548	2716	440	394	701	274	267	685	160	990	290	1383	281	338	686	183	548	722	1401	290	758	293	198	336	250	480	868	643	258	458	400	294	1193	358	1033	192	619	826	266	750	413	299	553	1177	1276	306	288	241	292	3019	394	494	36	461	235	474	1723	247	1880	1145	139	260	935	540	381	252	256	432	966	171	964	1142	961	265	1009	668	1042	896	796	200	383	832	281	353	458	513	253	851	1286	329	697	252	388	155	316	636	304	194	467	352	1095	348	343	733	2534	480	262	225	329	585	375	5146	358	303	278	310	541	329	426	464	487	221	398	321	502	245	588	671	218	365	255	322	609	529	282	408	1049	770	506	309	627	511	269	699	342	212	371	433	288	400	370	1293	346	1300	621	682	398	2486	1208	187	582	326	314	739	1680	754	369	172	147	1429	373	551	169	374	344	484	237	256	345	684	652	504	665	698	198	181	183	751	391	343	857	420	736	573	813	923	302	281	423	344	283	3245	542	168	711	699	235	512	549	944	336	835	462	249	679	32	362	379	254	463	740	949	647	369	366	508	753	469	244	363	1541	1052	183	452	161	624	209	144	185	999	366	196	346	247	121	146	806	952	332	429	416	885	300	297	1637	61	938	402	653	413	646	202	399	346	722	246	268	350	307	2600	303	245	355	297	449	333	559	624	459	604	248	403	536	387	315	273	529	929	671	882	337	387	961	206	451	294	1247	797	881	261	214	310	754	353	350	210	315	278	479	328	492	309	177	600	718	316	226	569	337	1141	979	647	643	581	428	305	286	393	243	338	554	125	907	380	199	1211	383	460	424	994	1459	274	509	948	210	500	821	204	234	377	263	470	400	354	390
Previous peak date	07-21	--	12-27	12-26	12-27	07-21	12-21	12-26	--	12-21	12-21	12-27	12-07	12-21	12-23	12-28	12-23	10-13	12-27	12-23	2021-01-02	2021-01-11	11-02	12-21	10-07	12-22	11-02	12-27	10-13	10-13	--	2021-01-07	10-15	11-13	11-02	12-21	10-24	12-22	12-27	12-27	12-14	12-06	12-28	11-02	12-25	12-21	12-26	12-22	12-30	12-30	10-27	12-07	10-28	12-21	12-27	12-26	12-08	12-06	12-27	12-06	12-21	12-22	12-21	--	11-02	12-22	12-28	12-25	12-22	12-21	2021-01-03	12-21	12-21	12-30	07-21	--	12-26	--	12-28	12-26	12-27	12-21	12-24	11-02	12-27	12-28	12-27	12-27	12-21	12-25	12-21	12-21	12-28	10-27	2021-02-25	10-01	10-14	12-27	12-07	12-26	12-22	07-21	12-27	--	12-24	12-29	07-21	12-24	12-21	11-09	07-21	12-26	--	10-31	12-27	12-30	12-28	12-21	12-26	12-22	12-25	12-21	12-22	2021-01-06	--	07-21	12-23	12-27	12-22	2021-06-21	12-25	12-25	12-25	10-17	10-29	12-26	07-21	12-21	12-28	12-21	12-21	12-27	12-21	2021-01-05	12-22	12-27	12-28	12-21	12-21	12-21	12-28	12-27	12-28	12-21	12-23	12-13	12-27	12-13	12-29	12-22	12-29	2021-06-21	12-28	12-30	12-22	12-26	12-21	2021-01-01	07-21	12-28	--	12-27	12-22	12-28	12-28	12-25	11-01	12-22	10-27	09-29	12-29	12-30	11-02	11-02	12-21	12-27	12-27	11-02	12-22	09-28	12-27	12-22	12-21	12-31	11-02	2021-01-02	12-22	--	2021-01-07	--	12-21	12-21	12-21	12-22	12-21	12-21	12-31	07-21	12-22	12-27	12-06	--	12-07	12-28	12-29	11-02	11-03	12-27	12-06	12-27	07-21	12-08	10-14	10-26	12-26	12-21	07-21	11-01	12-21	12-30	11-04	12-21	12-26	12-27	12-21	2021-01-01	11-02	12-29	11-02	10-22	--	12-27	12-05	12-26	07-21	2021-01-06	11-02	11-02	12-28	11-02	12-29	12-21	12-31	2021-01-05	12-22	07-21	12-06	10-11	12-21	12-27	10-19	12-13	10-11	12-13	10-18	12-30	12-28	10-13	12-25	2021-01-26	2021-01-02	11-02	12-29	10-31	07-21	12-21	12-28	12-29	12-22	11-02	--	12-30	12-25	12-25	12-21	--	12-22	12-21	12-28	12-26	--	2021-01-04	12-22	11-09	07-21	12-21	12-22	12-20	2021-01-03	12-28	12-27	12-22	12-21	12-14	12-28	12-26	12-21	12-25	12-25	10-27	12-22	--	12-28	12-27	11-01	12-21	12-23	12-22	12-27	12-21	12-07	12-02	12-25	10-18	2021-01-02	12-26	12-30	2021-01-04	12-27	12-21	12-26	12-21	12-21	12-22	12-22	12-27	--	--	12-21	12-27	12-22	12-26	12-08	12-21	11-01	12-27	12-27	12-15	12-25	11-02	12-21	12-22	12-21	12-27	12-26	12-21	--	--	11-02	12-07	--	12-22	12-28	12-22	10-16	12-29	12-22	12-22	12-28	12-27	12-22	12-27	12-31	12-28	12-25	12-31	12-21	12-30	12-26	11-02
Previous peak daily increment	605		61	88	97	285	134	82		260	170	110	176	178	78	477	589	189	58	326	128	109	277	233	262	426	1200	75	166	98		58	234	50	355	142	434	228	107	524	155	233	307	1167	107	508	94	186	62	122	160	211	137	99	256	87	148	354	172	202	175	107	303		292	268	52	197	249	283	59	91	71	65	1221		243		37	53	94	288	34	551	288	38	181	598	151	69	189	72	58	164	27	206	248	187	118	322	150	697	536		60	52	370	76	160	106	184	51		206	102	163	146	107	56	146	593	273	97	74		457	90	74	94	266	150	125	54	42	127	82	1697	92	56	180	92	451	119	34	377	218	59	201	57	401	172	103	338	103	106	136	120	476	101	159	56	94	442	57	115	452	143	83	239	134		237	275	148	70	100	283	198	349	153	428	107	1522	469	104	457	71	229	111	480	274	200	90	36	2166	92	419		46		298	37	62	153	186	105	213	296	361	79	62		191	105	63	2512	85	723	190	212	186	23	53	137	105	50	969	105	58	123	106	41	55	277	158	121	1362	90	68	257		125	44	108	227	154	135	347	41	156	174	623	105	81	176	445	286	41	188	39	194	138	65	96	198	80	85	67	174	36	25	417	448	80	147	82	407	65	131	557		209	244	167	97		110	102	69	181		45	86	73	839	94	79	108	80	66	102	115	248	293	451	131	156	222	94	55	112		189	138	197	67	42	206	105	331	189	270	181	172	56	109	46	140	349	90	44	138	123	360	138	51			559	151	90	110	120	84	245	329	449	390	227	260	138	117	160	65	154	95			165	42		67	115	217	319	264	83	148	431	106	138	377	106	115	176	95	173	71	69	573
Low between peaks	0		-3	-2	-7	0	3			5	-11	2	-7	-17	-8	3	-2	9	-1	-30	-13	2	-14	-12	9	3	307	-1	55	-9		-14	17	2	31	-8	31	-4	-5	-39	-11	1	-1	-18	-8	-8	-10	-16	-1	3	3	0	8	2	-17	-6	-64	5	-9		-2	3	-1		-7	-11	-11	-3	-9	-14	-3	-6	0	4	-11		-9			1	2	-30	-1	-13	-19	-5	-8	-4	-11	-5	1	-7	0	53	-3	11	1	-28	-14	-4		-3	-6		-3	-7	-3	-6	-12	-2	-5	2		-5	1	-17	-6	-5	0	-4	-80	-12	1	0		-4	0	0	4		1	-7	-5	-8	-7	2	-7	-13	-8	-2	-8	-25	-21	1	-27	-25	-2	-5	1	-12	-2	-17	5	2	-1	-8	-12	-19	-9	-1			-27		-1	12	-5	3	-2	-7		-5	-5	-5	-3	-3	-12	-3	27	20	2	-5	40	120	1	-18	0	-9		58	7	-22	0	0	27	1	-45		-13		2	-10	-3	-10	6	2	5	-15	0	-3	0		1	-10	1	15	-14	4	2	8	-8	-5	-12	-3	-7	-6	-7	5	-6	-16	5	1		-3	-7	-4	6	-5	1	6		1	1	3	1	5	-74	37		0	-8	1	-1	-51	-13	-2	1	-20	-4	0	3	0	1	-6	0	-2	0	1	-14	-6	-8	2	-1	-4	-4	-20	-45	3	-6	23		-28	4	-3	-10		-3	-4	-12	-23			-5	-4	-7	-11	-5	-1	2	-5	-10	2	-2	-3	-16	-2	-6	-39	-13	-2	1		-4	4	-5	-7	-12	1	-4	-13	-40	3	-9	7	-8	-5	-6	-12	-3	-7	-4	-9	2	-6	-11	-1			5	0	-18	-3	1	-18	16	-9	-22	-4	-6	-4	4	-12	-13	-5	1				1	-4		-1	-12	7	6	-36	-9	-5	-68	0	-11	-19	-2	-6	2	1	0	-3	-6	-48

Confirmed count forecast England (bold red line in graphs) 2021-09-08 to 2021-09-14

Date	Aberdeen City	Aberdeenshire	Adur	Allerdale	Amber Valley	Angus	Antrim and Newtownabbey	Ards and North Down	Argyll and Bute	Armagh City and Banbridge and Craigavon	Arun	Ashfield	Ashford	Aylesbury Vale	Babergh	Barking and Dagenham	Barnet	Barnsley	Barrow-in-Furness	Basildon	Basingstoke and Deane	Bassetlaw	Bath and North East Somerset	Bedford	Belfast	Bexley	Birmingham	Blaby	Blackburn with Darwen	Blackpool	Blaenau Gwent	Bolsover	Bolton	Boston	Bournemouth Christchurch and Poole	Bracknell Forest	Bradford	Braintree	Breckland	Brent	Brentwood	Bridgend	Brighton and Hove	Bristol	Broadland	Bromley	Bromsgrove	Broxbourne	Broxtowe	Burnley	Bury	Caerphilly	Calderdale	Cambridge	Camden	Cannock Chase	Canterbury	Cardiff	Carlisle	Carmarthenshire	Castle Point	Causeway Coast and Glens	Central Bedfordshire	Ceredigion	Charnwood	Chelmsford	Cheltenham	Cherwell	Cheshire East	Cheshire West and Chester	Chesterfield	Chichester	Chiltern	Chorley	City of Edinburgh	Clackmannanshire	Colchester	Comhairle nan Eilean Siar	Conwy	Copeland	Corby	Cornwall and Isles of Scilly	Cotswold	County Durham	Coventry	Craven	Crawley	Croydon	Dacorum	Darlington	Dartford	Daventry	Denbighshire	Derby	Derbyshire Dales	Derry City and Strabane	Doncaster	Dorset	Dover	Dudley	Dumfries and Galloway	Dundee City	Ealing	East Ayrshire	East Cambridgeshire	East Devon	East Dunbartonshire	East Hampshire	East Hertfordshire	East Lindsey	East Lothian	East Northamptonshire	East Renfrewshire	East Riding of Yorkshire	East Staffordshire	East Suffolk	Eastbourne	Eastleigh	Eden	Elmbridge	Enfield	Epping Forest	Epsom and Ewell	Erewash	Exeter	Falkirk	Fareham	Fenland	Fermanagh and Omagh	Fife	Flintshire	Folkestone and Hythe	Forest of Dean	Fylde	Gateshead	Gedling	Glasgow City	Gloucester	Gosport	Gravesham	Great Yarmouth	Greenwich	Guildford	Gwynedd	Hackney	Halton	Hambleton	Hammersmith and Fulham	Harborough	Haringey	Harlow	Harrogate	Harrow	Hart	Hartlepool	Hastings	Havant	Havering	Herefordshire	Hertsmere	High Peak	Highland	Hillingdon	Hinckley and Bosworth	Horsham	Hounslow	Huntingdonshire	Hyndburn	Inverclyde	Ipswich	Isle of Anglesey	Isle of Wight	Islington	Kensington and Chelsea	Kettering	King's Lynn and West Norfolk	Kingston upon Hull	Kingston upon Thames	Kirklees	Knowsley	Lambeth	Lancaster	Leeds	Leicester	Lewes	Lewisham	Lichfield	Lincoln	Lisburn and Castlereagh	Liverpool	Luton	Maidstone	Maldon	Malvern Hills	Manchester	Mansfield	Medway	Melton	Mendip	Merthyr Tydfil	Merton	Mid Devon	Mid Suffolk	Mid Sussex	Mid Ulster	Mid and East Antrim	Middlesbrough	Midlothian	Milton Keynes	Mole Valley	Monmouthshire	Moray	Neath Port Talbot	New Forest	Newark and Sherwood	Newcastle upon Tyne	Newcastle-under-Lyme	Newham	Newport	Newry and Mourne and Down	North Ayrshire	North Devon	North East Derbyshire	North East Lincolnshire	North Hertfordshire	North Kesteven	North Lanarkshire	North Lincolnshire	North Norfolk	North Somerset	North Tyneside	North Warwickshire	North West Leicestershire	Northampton	Northumberland	Norwich	Nottingham	Nuneaton and Bedworth	Oadby and Wigston	Oldham	Orkney Islands	Oxford	Pembrokeshire	Pendle	Perth and Kinross	Peterborough	Plymouth	Portsmouth	Powys	Preston	Reading	Redbridge	Redcar and Cleveland	Redditch	Reigate and Banstead	Renfrewshire	Rhondda Cynon Taf	Ribble Valley	Richmond upon Thames	Richmondshire	Rochdale	Rochford	Rossendale	Rother	Rotherham	Rugby	Runnymede	Rushcliffe	Rushmoor	Rutland	Ryedale	Salford	Sandwell	Scarborough	Scottish Borders	Sedgemoor	Sefton	Selby	Sevenoaks	Sheffield	Shetland Islands	Shropshire	Slough	Solihull	Somerset West and Taunton	South Ayrshire	South Bucks	South Cambridgeshire	South Derbyshire	South Gloucestershire	South Hams	South Holland	South Kesteven	South Lakeland	South Lanarkshire	South Norfolk	South Northamptonshire	South Oxfordshire	South Ribble	South Somerset	South Staffordshire	South Tyneside	Southampton	Southend-on-Sea	Southwark	Spelthorne	St Albans	St. Helens	Stafford	Staffordshire Moorlands	Stevenage	Stirling	Stockport	Stockton-on-Tees	Stoke-on-Trent	Stratford-on-Avon	Stroud	Sunderland	Surrey Heath	Sutton	Swale	Swansea	Swindon	Tameside	Tamworth	Tandridge	Teignbridge	Telford and Wrekin	Tendring	Test Valley	Tewkesbury	Thanet	Three Rivers	Thurrock	Tonbridge and Malling	Torbay	Torfaen	Torridge	Tower Hamlets	Trafford	Tunbridge Wells	Uttlesford	Vale of Glamorgan	Vale of White Horse	Wakefield	Walsall	Waltham Forest	Wandsworth	Warrington	Warwick	Watford	Waverley	Wealden	Wellingborough	Welwyn Hatfield	West Berkshire	West Devon	West Dunbartonshire	West Lancashire	West Lindsey	West Lothian	West Oxfordshire	West Suffolk	Westminster	Wigan	Wiltshire	Winchester	Windsor and Maidenhead	Wirral	Woking	Wokingham	Wolverhampton	Worcester	Worthing	Wrexham	Wychavon	Wycombe	Wyre	Wyre Forest	York
2021-09-07	15232	13007	5078	9249	13184	7666	14393	11572	4793	24915	13459	15375	13195	18130	5991	29607	42950	33135	7187	23276	14133	13486	16684	20955	41122	30341	150265	11833	27437	18380	7534	9170	41969	7374	42787	11544	74309	15019	9913	39585	9655	16526	28512	57001	9455	35191	10515	12560	12068	15093	27086	17732	25233	10522	22566	10895	14502	35124	12488	15194	11145	13845	26870	3222	20515	18828	8436	13990	35950	36110	9702	9099	7473	13718	46555	5022	17978	624	8106	6410	8768	38913	5143	66961	39086	5060	12194	44612	14433	13397	14328	7085	8500	29968	5288	23022	40629	23031	10716	39217	9222	16382	43852	11761	5507	9671	11607	8313	14033	11625	8513	7925	10770	33330	13930	14280	9587	10966	4582	11896	38098	17051	8247	12676	11462	13438	8949	8385	12481	28048	14448	10986	5629	8819	25486	14008	80390	12050	6775	14032	9124	31592	11759	6447	31996	17336	7589	21187	8966	29572	11241	14254	28939	7456	14403	9402	11110	34829	12051	12090	9260	10844	37239	10823	9827	34029	13427	12795	7376	10933	3695	10588	24024	14247	9874	11239	34435	17926	53760	25372	38811	15737	106883	52547	7849	32457	10565	11599	13361	73636	29046	18266	5615	4829	85221	13637	34467	4609	7001	8357	23210	5364	5616	12087	19378	13254	21781	8921	29824	7083	6090	3170	15852	11126	12668	42025	13529	46124	15448	20582	12450	5758	9862	19360	10860	9445	43495	16011	4802	18386	24739	7428	10846	25625	32228	12324	46898	14418	7356	36474	238	15984	6284	14079	9928	23772	23151	23188	7342	21142	17433	41848	18049	9142	14675	21431	28009	7671	17553	4700	33160	9070	10285	7245	33575	11256	8237	12716	10663	2922	3498	39438	47765	9714	6447	10368	36916	9011	10738	70476	563	24956	20149	25820	10344	8896	7303	10609	11192	28754	4852	7800	12011	7877	36072	9108	7862	10368	13718	10506	12558	21776	25556	20687	34919	10780	13620	25497	13083	9441	9136	6987	35747	27000	31220	9271	8031	38720	8241	23040	17162	25304	20140	30648	9485	8272	8312	18322	13982	9832	6212	15080	9857	22977	12292	11161	8743	3248	40718	28972	9352	7911	10647	9194	44631	36609	34023	36435	27820	13157	11659	9534	12198	7647	12565	11403	2816	10179	13964	7784	16589	7696	10820	22204	47355	34107	8718	13551	38445	9981	14033	35166	9995	8759	15916	9892	16890	12210	8897	20808
2021-09-08	15340	13240	5095	9278	13240	7741	14480	11670	4871	25110	13560	15490	13260	18200	6019	29680	43080	33270	7226	23340	14200	13540	16850	21030	41370	30430	150800	11900	27470	18480	7571	9215	42040	7385	43110	11620	74570	15070	9970	39720	9682	16600	28660	57390	9512	35310	10570	12600	12130	15110	27170	17970	25390	10570	22640	10960	14560	35190	12570	15250	11170	13950	26990	3247	20670	18890	8483	14070	36080	36390	9746	9148	7510	13760	46970	5083	18050	630	8180	6443	8787	38910	5179	67330	39210	5084	12240	44760	14510	13450	14370	7123	8565	30080	5315	23190	40800	23240	10750	39340	9340	16520	43980	11880	5539	9880	11890	8393	14090	11700	8646	7965	10900	33520	13990	14380	9649	11030	4607	11950	38190	17100	8275	12750	11540	13620	9006	8440	12590	28470	14490	11020	5673	8862	25580	14070	81680	12100	6819	14080	9170	31680	11810	6488	32080	17420	7625	21250	9021	29660	11280	14340	29040	7495	14460	9484	11170	34920	12130	12130	9360	11020	37360	10920	9880	34160	13530	12830	7462	10960	3711	10650	24070	14300	9940	11310	34630	17980	53950	25470	38900	15810	107300	52770	7881	32550	10620	11650	13480	73820	29150	18350	5638	4854	85470	13790	34550	4635	7055	8379	23280	5409	5653	12140	19490	13360	21860	9044	29930	7114	6122	3195	15970	11190	12730	42150	13620	46210	15490	20720	12620	5758	9910	19430	10910	9493	43720	16090	4829	18500	24840	7461	10940	25750	32330	12380	47040	14490	7392	36540	242	16040	6383	14120	10000	23930	23310	23300	7402	21210	17510	41960	18120	9180	14730	21820	28170	7697	17620	4727	33200	9073	10310	7310	33740	11320	8269	12770	10700	2941	3523	39570	47910	9760	6504	10440	37030	9059	10780	70740	564	25110	20210	25920	10470	9002	7335	10670	11240	28990	4899	7837	12120	7933	36660	9155	7899	10430	13770	10590	12620	21860	25690	20770	35010	10820	13680	25570	13150	9491	9176	7069	35900	27100	31360	9322	8089	38920	8277	23120	17210	25490	20260	30770	9526	8306	8312	18430	14030	9890	6274	15130	9900	23050	12340	11230	8789	3248	40810	29080	9414	7945	10680	9249	44790	36700	34120	36570	27920	13220	11700	9582	12260	7684	12620	11570	2847	10330	14020	7821	16800	7749	10890	22280	47530	34410	8766	13600	38550	10020	14110	35350	10030	8800	15940	9930	16960	12270	8955	20880
2021-09-09	15510	13500	5127	9278	13280	7808	14570	11790	4990	25250	13620	15590	13310	18290	6029	29740	43180	33360	7260	23390	14250	13600	16990	21110	41670	30490	151300	11940	27510	18530	7603	9256	42140	7405	43360	11660	74810	15110	10010	39860	9695	16660	28890	57750	9561	35410	10620	12640	12190	15140	27230	18140	25510	10650	22710	10990	14620	35190	12650	15290	11190	14020	27090	3276	20820	18940	8567	14160	36210	36630	9765	9227	7546	13800	47420	5138	18110	636	8285	6462	8837	39860	5216	67640	39380	5115	12300	44940	14540	13490	14400	7151	8624	30210	5343	23420	40950	23430	10790	39480	9530	16680	44140	11960	5576	10030	12090	8447	14140	11780	8759	8007	11050	33680	14050	14400	9704	11110	4632	12010	38300	17140	8300	12800	11710	13770	9060	8478	12680	28950	14520	11060	5704	8875	25670	14150	82790	12180	6856	14120	9199	31770	11880	6520	32190	17500	7647	21340	9071	29770	11310	14370	29090	7541	14510	9548	11250	35000	12220	12170	9445	11160	37470	11010	9930	34270	13630	12870	7609	11000	3711	10750	24090	14350	9970	11370	34790	18060	54140	25530	39000	15860	107700	52980	7932	32670	10650	11700	13570	74080	29200	18400	5648	4885	85750	13900	34630	4646	7108	8399	23350	5504	5680	12210	19590	13470	21910	9168	30040	7142	6172	3211	16040	11240	12800	42230	13700	46340	15520	20840	12810	5854	9930	19540	10970	9554	44430	16150	4854	18580	24910	7477	11030	25860	32450	12460	47260	14540	7410	36630	242	16130	6462	14150	10070	24070	23560	23470	7460	21260	17580	42020	18160	9201	14800	22160	28290	7713	17710	4752	33290	9095	10330	7369	33870	11380	8308	12830	10730	2953	3552	39700	48060	9800	6538	10610	37160	9092	10800	70980	575	25260	20280	26030	10570	9127	7357	10740	11280	29160	4986	7859	12200	7988	37220	9199	7924	10510	13820	10700	12670	21890	25810	20840	35140	10860	13750	25650	13200	9529	9204	7158	36010	27140	31450	9364	8161	39090	8329	23220	17260	25640	20350	30890	9558	8332	8516	18470	14050	9930	6314	15190	9910	23080	12390	11300	8824	3324	40890	29200	9465	7966	10680	9312	44960	36830	34190	36740	28000	13250	11720	9649	12320	7708	12660	11720	2930	10510	14060	7880	17030	7782	10940	22370	47700	34720	8830	13610	38710	10060	14180	35510	10070	8848	15950	9970	17040	12300	9016	20990
2021-09-10	15660	13750	5151	9278	13330	7877	14660	11890	5073	25410	13670	15650	13350	18370	6047	29810	43290	33460	7297	23440	14310	13660	17100	21180	41940	30570	151800	11990	27550	18600	7636	9298	42220	7434	43600	11710	75020	15160	10060	39970	9713	16720	29080	58020	9606	35510	10680	12670	12250	15170	27300	18280	25620	10710	22780	11030	14670	35200	12730	15340	11200	14110	27190	3304	20970	18990	8636	14250	36330	36820	9794	9291	7582	13840	47750	5196	18170	642	8376	6488	8889	40570	5252	67940	39550	5143	12350	45100	14590	13540	14440	7183	8686	30360	5370	23610	41110	23590	10820	39620	9690	16830	44280	12060	5610	10140	12250	8495	14200	11860	8853	8046	11200	33850	14100	14460	9751	11170	4657	12060	38390	17180	8327	12850	11840	13930	9115	8523	12780	29410	14560	11090	5747	8901	25760	14220	83770	12240	6896	14160	9235	31860	11940	6558	32280	17590	7675	21420	9122	29850	11340	14430	29160	7583	14570	9606	11320	35080	12310	12200	9523	11320	37590	11090	9970	34360	13720	12910	7716	11050	3711	10830	24120	14390	10020	11430	34970	18130	54330	25610	39090	15910	108100	53160	7975	32780	10700	11750	13670	74310	29280	18460	5664	4912	85970	13970	34710	4664	7164	8421	23430	5576	5711	12280	19690	13570	21970	9285	30150	7171	6214	3232	16130	11300	12860	42330	13770	46460	15560	20970	12980	5935	9970	19620	11020	9608	45000	16220	4880	18670	24990	7500	11100	25950	32590	12520	47440	14590	7435	36730	243	16200	6525	14180	10140	24190	23770	23620	7519	21310	17660	42100	18210	9230	14870	22430	28430	7734	17790	4778	33360	9113	10350	7407	34010	11450	8343	12880	10760	2967	3579	39820	48200	9840	6583	10730	37290	9132	10840	71240	585	25410	20340	26130	10650	9243	7383	10800	11320	29310	5052	7887	12260	8041	37660	9243	7955	10580	13870	10800	12720	21950	25920	20920	35260	10900	13820	25720	13260	9572	9238	7244	36140	27210	31550	9409	8228	39230	8375	23300	17320	25810	20460	31010	9594	8361	8663	18550	14080	9980	6355	15250	9940	23120	12430	11370	8864	3381	40970	29310	9520	7993	10680	9371	45110	36970	34270	36900	28090	13290	11750	9706	12380	7738	12700	11850	2988	10680	14110	7928	17250	7823	11000	22440	47840	34960	8886	13640	38830	10100	14250	35650	10110	8887	15970	10010	17100	12350	9073	21090
2021-09-11	15770	13980	5172	9278	13380	7944	14750	11980	5136	25580	13710	15710	13390	18440	6069	29870	43410	33580	7333	23490	14360	13720	17190	21260	42190	30640	152200	12040	27590	18680	7671	9340	42290	7449	43780	11750	75200	15200	10110	40060	9735	16790	29240	58200	9641	35620	10730	12710	12290	15200	27350	18410	25710	10760	22850	11080	14700	35240	12800	15390	11230	14200	27300	3330	21110	19040	8695	14330	36450	36990	9829	9348	7619	13880	48010	5255	18230	648	8460	6515	8940	41140	5288	68190	39700	5168	12400	45250	14650	13590	14480	7217	8748	30470	5396	23790	41240	23720	10860	39760	9830	16960	44380	12160	5642	10220	12350	8540	14250	11930	8929	8085	11340	34020	14140	14530	9786	11240	4681	12110	38460	17230	8353	12920	11940	14090	9169	8570	12880	29850	14600	11120	5769	8934	25840	14280	84540	12300	6936	14200	9274	31940	12000	6597	32370	17670	7706	21490	9174	29910	11370	14490	29240	7623	14620	9637	11390	35160	12390	12240	9578	11470	37700	11180	10020	34440	13790	12940	7802	11090	3715	10900	24150	14430	10070	11470	35140	18190	54510	25690	39180	15960	108400	53320	8012	32880	10750	11790	13780	74510	29360	18500	5682	4937	86140	14030	34790	4685	7208	8445	23490	5635	5743	12330	19790	13680	22030	9396	30250	7200	6252	3255	16240	11360	12920	42440	13830	46560	15600	21090	13090	6007	10000	19700	11070	9658	45450	16300	4900	18770	25080	7527	11160	26020	32700	12580	47600	14650	7464	36810	246	16260	6587	14220	10210	24310	23950	23740	7578	21360	17740	42190	18270	9261	14920	22660	28580	7756	17860	4801	33430	9136	10370	7437	34160	11510	8375	12940	10800	2983	3604	39910	48320	9890	6631	10840	37390	9173	10870	71460	593	25550	20400	26210	10700	9355	7410	10860	11360	29400	5098	7918	12320	8093	38020	9288	7987	10650	13920	10890	12760	22010	26010	20990	35360	10940	13890	25800	13310	9616	9273	7328	36270	27290	31670	9456	8292	39370	8415	23380	17350	25980	20570	31100	9630	8391	8777	18630	14120	10030	6379	15300	9970	23180	12480	11440	8906	3428	41050	29390	9555	8021	10690	9426	45230	37090	34350	37040	28160	13340	11790	9759	12420	7770	12750	11940	3034	10840	14160	7971	17460	7869	11060	22500	47960	35160	8938	13680	38950	10140	14330	35760	10140	8916	15990	10050	17160	12400	9129	21170
2021-09-12	15870	14220	5191	9295	13430	8012	14830	12060	5186	25750	13750	15770	13420	18520	6091	29940	43520	33700	7370	23530	14420	13770	17270	21330	42430	30720	152500	12100	27640	18760	7705	9382	42370	7467	43940	11780	75390	15250	10160	40150	9757	16870	29400	58410	9680	35730	10780	12740	12340	15220	27410	18560	25810	10810	22920	11130	14740	35290	12880	15430	11250	14290	27410	3355	21250	19100	8752	14410	36620	37160	9865	9402	7655	13920	48310	5315	18300	654	8543	6544	8995	41670	5324	68450	39850	5192	12440	45400	14710	13640	14520	7251	8812	30600	5423	23960	41410	23820	10900	39900	9970	17060	44510	12260	5674	10310	12460	8571	14310	11990	8992	8123	11480	34200	14180	14600	9825	11300	4705	12160	38540	17270	8380	12980	12040	14250	9223	8619	12980	30290	14640	11150	5792	8968	25920	14350	85110	12360	6977	14240	9314	32020	12060	6637	32450	17740	7737	21550	9225	29970	11410	14560	29330	7662	14670	9663	11450	35250	12470	12280	9621	11630	37810	11270	10070	34520	13850	12970	7878	11140	3726	10970	24190	14470	10120	11520	35320	18250	54700	25770	39270	16010	108700	53460	8049	32970	10790	11840	13890	74710	29450	18550	5701	4962	86340	14100	34870	4706	7264	8469	23560	5692	5776	12390	19890	13780	22100	9505	30360	7229	6289	3279	16340	11410	12980	42550	13880	46640	15650	21220	13190	6076	10040	19780	11130	9706	45910	16370	4917	18870	25170	7556	11210	26100	32820	12640	47760	14710	7494	36890	248	16330	6621	14250	10270	24400	24130	23870	7637	21400	17810	42280	18330	9293	14980	22890	28730	7778	17930	4824	33500	9158	10390	7454	34310	11570	8407	12990	10830	2999	3629	40020	48440	9930	6681	10930	37490	9216	10910	71660	602	25690	20450	26310	10760	9467	7439	10920	11410	29520	5144	7950	12370	8144	38400	9333	8020	10710	13960	10970	12810	22080	26120	21060	35460	10980	13950	25870	13370	9660	9308	7412	36410	27370	31790	9504	8356	39510	8455	23460	17390	26160	20680	31200	9667	8421	8884	18720	14160	10090	6409	15350	10000	23230	12530	11500	8948	3473	41140	29480	9584	8050	10710	9480	45360	37190	34440	37170	28240	13390	11830	9810	12470	7803	12790	12020	3077	11010	14210	8012	17670	7915	11120	22550	48080	35340	8988	13720	39050	10170	14400	35870	10180	8949	16010	10090	17210	12450	9184	21250
2021-09-13	16020	14450	5209	9320	13480	8080	14920	12140	5263	25930	13810	15850	13470	18620	6115	30010	43640	33830	7407	23610	14490	13820	17390	21390	42670	30800	153000	12160	27720	18850	7740	9425	42500	7497	44160	11840	75620	15290	10210	40260	9781	16940	29550	58640	9724	35830	10830	12770	12400	15270	27510	18730	25940	10860	22990	11190	14780	35360	12950	15480	11270	14380	27530	3380	21400	19160	8805	14490	36840	37380	9904	9452	7693	13960	48700	5377	18370	660	8623	6574	9075	42140	5360	68770	40040	5215	12490	45550	14780	13690	14560	7286	8876	30790	5449	24120	41630	23970	10930	40070	10100	17220	44650	12360	5705	10400	12600	8619	14360	12060	9081	8161	11620	34380	14240	14690	9869	11360	4729	12210	38640	17320	8407	13050	12130	14410	9278	8670	13080	30730	14680	11180	5843	9006	26030	14410	85920	12410	7019	14290	9356	32100	12110	6678	32530	17820	7770	21620	9278	30050	11440	14640	29420	7700	14720	9706	11510	35330	12550	12320	9681	11800	37930	11360	10120	34640	13940	13010	7972	11190	3741	11030	24220	14510	10180	11600	35500	18300	54890	25860	39360	16080	109100	53700	8083	33060	10840	11890	14000	74970	29550	18610	5722	4986	86580	14150	34950	4729	7333	8493	23630	5742	5811	12450	20000	13890	22170	9612	30460	7258	6324	3304	16450	11470	13030	42670	13950	46760	15700	21340	13330	6142	10080	19850	11180	9753	46420	16440	4945	18970	25260	7586	11300	26180	32990	12700	47910	14780	7526	37010	252	16390	6679	14290	10340	24530	24300	23990	7697	21460	17890	42370	18390	9327	15040	23120	28890	7802	18000	4847	33600	9191	10420	7486	34460	11620	8439	13040	10860	3016	3653	40140	48610	9980	6734	11020	37650	9261	10950	71940	610	25830	20500	26410	10830	9578	7468	10980	11460	29650	5190	7984	12430	8196	38830	9378	8055	10770	14010	11050	12860	22160	26210	21140	35550	11020	14020	25960	13430	9706	9345	7496	36550	27450	31920	9553	8418	39690	8492	23540	17430	26330	20790	31370	9705	8453	8975	18820	14200	10140	6451	15400	10040	23300	12570	11560	8991	3513	41220	29590	9637	8081	10740	9534	45560	37360	34530	37300	28330	13450	11860	9859	12540	7837	12840	12120	3114	11170	14260	8050	17880	7964	11180	22620	48260	35610	9036	13760	39200	10210	14480	36010	10210	8991	16040	10130	17290	12500	9239	21320
2021-09-14	16180	14680	5226	9348	13530	8148	15000	12220	5302	26120	13850	15910	13520	18720	6140	30070	43760	33960	7445	23670	14550	13870	17450	21460	42910	30880	153400	12220	27770	18940	7776	9467	42590	7524	44300	11870	75830	15330	10260	40380	9805	17020	29690	58810	9774	35940	10880	12800	12450	15310	27590	18840	26040	10910	23060	11250	14830	35420	13020	15530	11300	14480	27650	3405	21540	19220	8856	14570	37000	37560	9944	9501	7730	14000	49170	5439	18440	665	8702	6605	9137	42580	5396	69040	40200	5238	12530	45690	14860	13750	14590	7322	8941	30920	5475	24280	41790	24140	10970	40220	10220	17380	44780	12470	5735	10470	12710	8674	14410	12120	9161	8199	11760	34570	14290	14770	9905	11420	4754	12270	38740	17360	8434	13110	12220	14570	9333	8721	13180	31170	14730	11230	5871	9046	26110	14470	86590	12470	7061	14330	9399	32180	12160	6720	32610	17900	7804	21680	9331	30120	11470	14710	29510	7737	14780	9742	11570	35420	12630	12360	9710	11970	38050	11440	10160	34740	14000	13060	8059	11250	3757	11100	24260	14560	10240	11660	35690	18360	55080	25950	39450	16140	109400	53890	8116	33150	10890	11930	14110	75200	29650	18670	5743	5010	86790	14230	35030	4753	7379	8518	23700	5790	5846	12500	20100	13990	22250	9720	30570	7287	6359	3329	16560	11530	13090	42790	14010	46860	15750	21470	13470	6206	10120	19920	11230	9799	46940	16520	4969	19070	25360	7617	11390	26260	33150	12750	48050	14840	7559	37110	255	16450	6727	14320	10410	24650	24460	24100	7757	21530	17960	42470	18460	9361	15100	23330	29050	7826	18070	4869	33690	9225	10440	7516	34610	11680	8469	13090	10900	3033	3676	40270	48760	10030	6788	11100	37780	9306	10990	72200	618	25980	20550	26500	10890	9689	7498	11040	11500	29740	5236	8019	12480	8247	39230	9424	8091	10830	14060	11130	12920	22230	26310	21210	35650	11060	14080	26030	13490	9752	9382	7580	36690	27550	32050	9603	8479	39830	8529	23610	17480	26510	20910	31500	9743	8484	9060	18920	14250	10190	6476	15450	10070	23360	12620	11620	9035	3551	41300	29700	9688	8113	10770	9587	45730	37490	34620	37430	28430	13500	11900	9907	12600	7872	12890	12190	3148	11330	14320	8087	18100	8015	11250	22680	48400	35780	9084	13810	39350	10240	14560	36120	10250	9024	16070	10160	17360	12550	9294	21390

Confirmed count average forecast England (bold black line in graphs) 2021-09-08 to 2021-09-14

Date	Aberdeen City	Aberdeenshire	Adur	Allerdale	Amber Valley	Angus	Antrim and Newtownabbey	Ards and North Down	Argyll and Bute	Armagh City and Banbridge and Craigavon	Arun	Ashfield	Ashford	Aylesbury Vale	Babergh	Barking and Dagenham	Barnet	Barnsley	Barrow-in-Furness	Basildon	Basingstoke and Deane	Bassetlaw	Bath and North East Somerset	Bedford	Belfast	Bexley	Birmingham	Blaby	Blackburn with Darwen	Blackpool	Blaenau Gwent	Bolsover	Bolton	Boston	Bournemouth Christchurch and Poole	Bracknell Forest	Bradford	Braintree	Breckland	Brent	Brentwood	Bridgend	Brighton and Hove	Bristol	Broadland	Bromley	Bromsgrove	Broxbourne	Broxtowe	Burnley	Bury	Caerphilly	Calderdale	Cambridge	Camden	Cannock Chase	Canterbury	Cardiff	Carlisle	Carmarthenshire	Castle Point	Causeway Coast and Glens	Central Bedfordshire	Ceredigion	Charnwood	Chelmsford	Cheltenham	Cherwell	Cheshire East	Cheshire West and Chester	Chesterfield	Chichester	Chiltern	Chorley	City of Edinburgh	Clackmannanshire	Colchester	Comhairle nan Eilean Siar	Conwy	Copeland	Corby	Cornwall and Isles of Scilly	Cotswold	County Durham	Coventry	Craven	Crawley	Croydon	Dacorum	Darlington	Dartford	Daventry	Denbighshire	Derby	Derbyshire Dales	Derry City and Strabane	Doncaster	Dorset	Dover	Dudley	Dumfries and Galloway	Dundee City	Ealing	East Ayrshire	East Cambridgeshire	East Devon	East Dunbartonshire	East Hampshire	East Hertfordshire	East Lindsey	East Lothian	East Northamptonshire	East Renfrewshire	East Riding of Yorkshire	East Staffordshire	East Suffolk	Eastbourne	Eastleigh	Eden	Elmbridge	Enfield	Epping Forest	Epsom and Ewell	Erewash	Exeter	Falkirk	Fareham	Fenland	Fermanagh and Omagh	Fife	Flintshire	Folkestone and Hythe	Forest of Dean	Fylde	Gateshead	Gedling	Glasgow City	Gloucester	Gosport	Gravesham	Great Yarmouth	Greenwich	Guildford	Gwynedd	Hackney	Halton	Hambleton	Hammersmith and Fulham	Harborough	Haringey	Harlow	Harrogate	Harrow	Hart	Hartlepool	Hastings	Havant	Havering	Herefordshire	Hertsmere	High Peak	Highland	Hillingdon	Hinckley and Bosworth	Horsham	Hounslow	Huntingdonshire	Hyndburn	Inverclyde	Ipswich	Isle of Anglesey	Isle of Wight	Islington	Kensington and Chelsea	Kettering	King's Lynn and West Norfolk	Kingston upon Hull	Kingston upon Thames	Kirklees	Knowsley	Lambeth	Lancaster	Leeds	Leicester	Lewes	Lewisham	Lichfield	Lincoln	Lisburn and Castlereagh	Liverpool	Luton	Maidstone	Maldon	Malvern Hills	Manchester	Mansfield	Medway	Melton	Mendip	Merthyr Tydfil	Merton	Mid Devon	Mid Suffolk	Mid Sussex	Mid Ulster	Mid and East Antrim	Middlesbrough	Midlothian	Milton Keynes	Mole Valley	Monmouthshire	Moray	Neath Port Talbot	New Forest	Newark and Sherwood	Newcastle upon Tyne	Newcastle-under-Lyme	Newham	Newport	Newry and Mourne and Down	North Ayrshire	North Devon	North East Derbyshire	North East Lincolnshire	North Hertfordshire	North Kesteven	North Lanarkshire	North Lincolnshire	North Norfolk	North Somerset	North Tyneside	North Warwickshire	North West Leicestershire	Northampton	Northumberland	Norwich	Nottingham	Nuneaton and Bedworth	Oadby and Wigston	Oldham	Orkney Islands	Oxford	Pembrokeshire	Pendle	Perth and Kinross	Peterborough	Plymouth	Portsmouth	Powys	Preston	Reading	Redbridge	Redcar and Cleveland	Redditch	Reigate and Banstead	Renfrewshire	Rhondda Cynon Taf	Ribble Valley	Richmond upon Thames	Richmondshire	Rochdale	Rochford	Rossendale	Rother	Rotherham	Rugby	Runnymede	Rushcliffe	Rushmoor	Rutland	Ryedale	Salford	Sandwell	Scarborough	Scottish Borders	Sedgemoor	Sefton	Selby	Sevenoaks	Sheffield	Shetland Islands	Shropshire	Slough	Solihull	Somerset West and Taunton	South Ayrshire	South Bucks	South Cambridgeshire	South Derbyshire	South Gloucestershire	South Hams	South Holland	South Kesteven	South Lakeland	South Lanarkshire	South Norfolk	South Northamptonshire	South Oxfordshire	South Ribble	South Somerset	South Staffordshire	South Tyneside	Southampton	Southend-on-Sea	Southwark	Spelthorne	St Albans	St. Helens	Stafford	Staffordshire Moorlands	Stevenage	Stirling	Stockport	Stockton-on-Tees	Stoke-on-Trent	Stratford-on-Avon	Stroud	Sunderland	Surrey Heath	Sutton	Swale	Swansea	Swindon	Tameside	Tamworth	Tandridge	Teignbridge	Telford and Wrekin	Tendring	Test Valley	Tewkesbury	Thanet	Three Rivers	Thurrock	Tonbridge and Malling	Torbay	Torfaen	Torridge	Tower Hamlets	Trafford	Tunbridge Wells	Uttlesford	Vale of Glamorgan	Vale of White Horse	Wakefield	Walsall	Waltham Forest	Wandsworth	Warrington	Warwick	Watford	Waverley	Wealden	Wellingborough	Welwyn Hatfield	West Berkshire	West Devon	West Dunbartonshire	West Lancashire	West Lindsey	West Lothian	West Oxfordshire	West Suffolk	Westminster	Wigan	Wiltshire	Winchester	Windsor and Maidenhead	Wirral	Woking	Wokingham	Wolverhampton	Worcester	Worthing	Wrexham	Wychavon	Wycombe	Wyre	Wyre Forest	York
2021-09-07	15232	13007	5078	9249	13184	7666	14393	11572	4793	24915	13459	15375	13195	18130	5991	29607	42950	33135	7187	23276	14133	13486	16684	20955	41122	30341	150265	11833	27437	18380	7534	9170	41969	7374	42787	11544	74309	15019	9913	39585	9655	16526	28512	57001	9455	35191	10515	12560	12068	15093	27086	17732	25233	10522	22566	10895	14502	35124	12488	15194	11145	13845	26870	3222	20515	18828	8436	13990	35950	36110	9702	9099	7473	13718	46555	5022	17978	624	8106	6410	8768	38913	5143	66961	39086	5060	12194	44612	14433	13397	14328	7085	8500	29968	5288	23022	40629	23031	10716	39217	9222	16382	43852	11761	5507	9671	11607	8313	14033	11625	8513	7925	10770	33330	13930	14280	9587	10966	4582	11896	38098	17051	8247	12676	11462	13438	8949	8385	12481	28048	14448	10986	5629	8819	25486	14008	80390	12050	6775	14032	9124	31592	11759	6447	31996	17336	7589	21187	8966	29572	11241	14254	28939	7456	14403	9402	11110	34829	12051	12090	9260	10844	37239	10823	9827	34029	13427	12795	7376	10933	3695	10588	24024	14247	9874	11239	34435	17926	53760	25372	38811	15737	106883	52547	7849	32457	10565	11599	13361	73636	29046	18266	5615	4829	85221	13637	34467	4609	7001	8357	23210	5364	5616	12087	19378	13254	21781	8921	29824	7083	6090	3170	15852	11126	12668	42025	13529	46124	15448	20582	12450	5758	9862	19360	10860	9445	43495	16011	4802	18386	24739	7428	10846	25625	32228	12324	46898	14418	7356	36474	238	15984	6284	14079	9928	23772	23151	23188	7342	21142	17433	41848	18049	9142	14675	21431	28009	7671	17553	4700	33160	9070	10285	7245	33575	11256	8237	12716	10663	2922	3498	39438	47765	9714	6447	10368	36916	9011	10738	70476	563	24956	20149	25820	10344	8896	7303	10609	11192	28754	4852	7800	12011	7877	36072	9108	7862	10368	13718	10506	12558	21776	25556	20687	34919	10780	13620	25497	13083	9441	9136	6987	35747	27000	31220	9271	8031	38720	8241	23040	17162	25304	20140	30648	9485	8272	8312	18322	13982	9832	6212	15080	9857	22977	12292	11161	8743	3248	40718	28972	9352	7911	10647	9194	44631	36609	34023	36435	27820	13157	11659	9534	12198	7647	12565	11403	2816	10179	13964	7784	16589	7696	10820	22204	47355	34107	8718	13551	38445	9981	14033	35166	9995	8759	15916	9892	16890	12210	8897	20808
2021-09-08	15410	13240	5095	9310	13240	7740	14490	11670	4888	25110	13520	15450	13250	18230	6021	29690	43090	33280	7226	23350	14200	13540	16780	21030	41390	30420	150700	11900	27500	18480	7576	9215	42080	7395	42960	11600	74540	15060	9970	39700	9683	16590	28620	57250	9507	35310	10570	12600	12120	15130	27170	17870	25350	10560	22650	10960	14550	35320	12540	15330	11180	13960	26990	3251	20640	18880	8481	14080	36160	36330	9744	9148	7507	13770	47060	5095	18050	629	8185	6441	8840	39170	5173	67280	39250	5083	12240	44750	14520	13460	14370	7121	8560	30110	5313	23190	40810	23200	10750	39380	9330	16550	43990	11890	5539	9740	11780	8370	14090	11690	8601	7970	10920	33510	13990	14390	9623	11020	4604	11950	38200	17100	8273	12750	11520	13610	9007	8452	12590	28510	14510	11030	5667	8867	25580	14070	81430	12100	6813	14080	9171	31680	11810	6509	32080	17410	7627	21250	9021	29640	11280	14340	29040	7496	14460	9448	11170	34920	12140	12130	9324	11050	37360	10910	9880	34150	13510	12840	7505	10980	3726	10650	24090	14300	9940	11300	34630	17990	53940	25470	38930	15810	107300	52740	7878	32550	10620	11650	13490	73910	29150	18350	5637	4850	85480	13720	34560	4634	7056	8416	23280	5405	5652	12140	19490	13360	21860	9034	29930	7113	6122	3201	15950	11180	12720	42160	13610	46240	15530	20720	12620	5797	9910	19440	10910	9493	44040	16090	4833	18490	24860	7461	10940	25720	32380	12380	47030	14490	7394	36580	243	16040	6348	14120	10010	23890	23320	23300	7401	21210	17510	41960	18130	9181	14730	21720	28200	7698	17620	4728	33250	9099	10310	7279	33740	11320	8269	12770	10700	2943	3523	39570	47920	9760	6519	10440	37060	9058	10780	70750	575	25110	20210	25920	10430	9007	7338	10670	11250	28880	4893	7841	12080	7926	36510	9159	7899	10420	13770	10580	12620	21860	25660	20770	35020	10810	13680	25590	13150	9493	9177	7085	35910	27100	31360	9320	8082	38890	8282	23120	17210	25530	20250	30800	9523	8304	8353	18430	14040	9890	6252	15130	9900	23060	12350	11230	8785	3280	40810	29080	9412	7941	10740	9247	44840	36760	34120	36540	27920	13220	11700	9582	12270	7686	12620	11490	2839	10340	14030	7820	16810	7749	10900	22270	47520	34350	8767	13630	38600	10020	14110	35310	10040	8794	15970	9930	16960	12270	8954	20880
2021-09-09	15610	13460	5116	9368	13290	7828	14570	11750	5010	25270	13570	15530	13300	18310	6041	29760	43220	33410	7261	23400	14250	13600	16880	21090	41630	30480	151200	11960	27550	18570	7617	9258	42180	7413	43120	11650	74780	15100	10020	39820	9706	16680	28720	57550	9554	35420	10610	12630	12180	15170	27250	18010	25450	10600	22710	11020	14600	35510	12590	15470	11200	14040	27100	3290	20730	18940	8537	14150	36330	36540	9781	9198	7543	13810	47710	5168	18110	636	8274	6471	8905	39500	5211	67580	39420	5109	12290	44910	14580	13520	14410	7154	8631	30250	5338	23360	40970	23370	10790	39520	9480	16730	44150	12010	5568	9820	11980	8421	14140	11760	8716	8008	11080	33670	14040	14470	9666	11090	4625	12000	38290	17160	8295	12820	11580	13810	9067	8513	12690	28980	14590	11070	5705	8909	25670	14130	82520	12150	6857	14120	9207	31750	11860	6594	32170	17480	7660	21320	9071	29720	11310	14420	29110	7539	14510	9502	11230	35010	12220	12170	9392	11270	37480	10970	9930	34260	13610	12880	7668	11030	3760	10720	24150	14340	10000	11370	34790	18050	54130	25550	39050	15860	107700	52940	7914	32650	10660	11690	13580	74180	29220	18410	5655	4876	85730	13800	34650	4655	7110	8479	23350	5455	5682	12200	19580	13460	21930	9155	30040	7140	6164	3231	16070	11240	12780	42270	13690	46340	15620	20840	12800	5844	9950	19510	10960	9540	44790	16160	4861	18590	24960	7488	11010	25820	32500	12440	47200	14550	7422	36670	244	16110	6434	14160	10080	24010	23510	23420	7464	21270	17580	42040	18190	9214	14800	22070	28380	7718	17690	4748	33360	9123	10330	7323	33900	11370	8301	12820	10740	2959	3546	39700	48050	9810	6593	10530	37210	9103	10810	71000	584	25240	20270	26020	10510	9140	7366	10740	11290	29030	4939	7874	12140	7973	37060	9209	7935	10490	13820	10660	12660	21930	25760	20830	35130	10850	13750	25670	13210	9537	9209	7184	36050	27170	31460	9365	8153	39040	8325	23200	17250	25800	20360	30940	9564	8335	8416	18520	14080	9940	6289	15180	9930	23130	12410	11300	8828	3317	40880	29180	9462	7969	10820	9301	45000	36910	34210	36650	28010	13270	11730	9630	12330	7719	12670	11600	2868	10490	14070	7863	17030	7792	10970	22350	47650	34620	8814	13700	38760	10050	14190	35450	10070	8826	16020	9970	17030	12320	9007	20960
2021-09-10	15760	13650	5134	9425	13340	7908	14650	11830	5100	25430	13620	15580	13350	18400	6064	29830	43350	33540	7293	23460	14310	13650	16970	21160	41850	30540	151600	12010	27600	18660	7658	9299	42270	7435	43270	11700	74990	15140	10070	39920	9730	16760	28820	57800	9598	35530	10660	12670	12240	15200	27320	18150	25560	10650	22780	11070	14640	35710	12640	15600	11210	14130	27210	3326	20830	18990	8591	14210	36480	36750	9819	9244	7580	13850	48210	5236	18180	643	8359	6502	8968	39800	5249	67870	39580	5133	12340	45050	14640	13580	14440	7189	8700	30390	5363	23520	41120	23520	10830	39670	9610	16890	44290	12130	5597	9880	12160	8465	14190	11830	8816	8040	11230	33840	14100	14550	9705	11160	4648	12050	38380	17200	8318	12890	11630	13980	9124	8561	12790	29380	14660	11110	5747	8947	25760	14190	83470	12200	6901	14160	9246	31820	11900	6668	32250	17550	7694	21390	9121	29790	11340	14490	29190	7580	14550	9552	11290	35090	12300	12220	9458	11470	37600	11030	9970	34360	13700	12910	7801	11070	3792	10780	24210	14380	10060	11430	34960	18110	54320	25640	39160	15910	108100	53110	7948	32740	10710	11740	13660	74420	29300	18470	5675	4899	85940	13860	34730	4680	7164	8540	23410	5501	5715	12250	19680	13550	22000	9255	30140	7169	6196	3261	16180	11300	12830	42380	13770	46450	15710	20960	12970	5890	9980	19570	11020	9586	45380	16240	4888	18700	25070	7519	11070	25910	32630	12490	47350	14620	7452	36770	246	16170	6509	14190	10150	24110	23690	23540	7525	21330	17660	42130	18250	9248	14860	22360	28540	7739	17760	4768	33430	9147	10350	7353	34050	11430	8331	12870	10780	2977	3568	39820	48160	9860	6660	10610	37350	9149	10850	71260	594	25380	20320	26120	10580	9247	7394	10800	11340	29170	4982	7910	12210	8020	37500	9251	7969	10550	13860	10750	12700	22010	25860	20900	35210	10880	13820	25750	13260	9583	9244	7273	36200	27250	31570	9412	8220	39190	8362	23280	17300	26020	20480	31060	9599	8367	8470	18620	14120	9990	6328	15220	9960	23200	12460	11370	8865	3347	40950	29270	9520	7996	10900	9353	45140	37050	34300	36750	28090	13310	11770	9676	12380	7753	12710	11700	2892	10630	14120	7902	17240	7834	11040	22420	47760	34860	8857	13780	38890	10080	14270	35570	10110	8857	16070	10000	17100	12380	9060	21040
2021-09-11	15890	13850	5150	9483	13380	7985	14730	11900	5181	25590	13670	15620	13390	18480	6087	29890	43440	33670	7321	23510	14370	13700	17050	21220	42070	30600	152000	12070	27650	18750	7698	9336	42350	7451	43410	11750	75200	15170	10120	40020	9755	16840	28920	57980	9638	35640	10690	12700	12290	15230	27380	18280	25650	10680	22840	11130	14680	35890	12680	15710	11230	14220	27320	3363	20910	19040	8642	14270	36610	36930	9860	9287	7617	13880	48610	5303	18250	650	8444	6531	9032	40070	5287	68110	39740	5157	12370	45200	14710	13630	14480	7221	8768	30510	5386	23680	41260	23660	10860	39820	9730	17040	44400	12230	5626	9930	12280	8509	14230	11900	8900	8072	11380	33990	14140	14630	9734	11220	4670	12100	38470	17240	8342	12950	11690	14140	9179	8607	12880	29750	14740	11150	5777	8982	25860	14250	84200	12260	6945	14210	9284	31890	11950	6744	32340	17620	7729	21450	9170	29850	11370	14560	29260	7619	14600	9590	11340	35170	12370	12260	9509	11660	37720	11100	10020	34450	13770	12940	7920	11110	3823	10850	24260	14420	10120	11470	35110	18160	54490	25730	39250	15950	108400	53260	7980	32820	10760	11790	13750	74640	29390	18510	5695	4919	86120	13920	34800	4704	7215	8594	23480	5544	5748	12310	19770	13630	22070	9351	30240	7198	6229	3289	16280	11350	12860	42490	13840	46550	15780	21070	13120	5936	10020	19630	11060	9631	45830	16310	4908	18790	25170	7548	11130	25990	32740	12550	47480	14680	7483	36850	248	16220	6583	14210	10220	24220	23860	23640	7575	21380	17740	42220	18320	9282	14900	22600	28680	7761	17810	4788	33500	9172	10370	7380	34190	11480	8357	12920	10810	2994	3588	39930	48250	9910	6725	10670	37470	9196	10890	71500	604	25510	20370	26210	10640	9359	7423	10860	11390	29300	5021	7941	12260	8068	37850	9293	8007	10620	13910	10820	12740	22080	25950	20960	35290	10920	13880	25830	13320	9627	9279	7361	36340	27330	31670	9461	8281	39330	8391	23360	17340	26240	20600	31170	9634	8399	8523	18720	14160	10050	6356	15260	10000	23250	12500	11430	8902	3373	41010	29340	9563	8023	10970	9400	45240	37190	34380	36840	28170	13360	11810	9721	12430	7787	12760	11780	2914	10770	14160	7940	17420	7880	11090	22480	47860	35080	8896	13850	39010	10100	14340	35660	10140	8886	16130	10030	17160	12430	9111	21110
2021-09-12	16010	14020	5164	9543	13420	8063	14810	11980	5253	25750	13720	15680	13430	18560	6111	29950	43540	33800	7347	23560	14420	13750	17110	21290	42280	30650	152400	12130	27690	18830	7738	9378	42430	7469	43530	11790	75400	15200	10160	40120	9780	16930	29010	58190	9679	35750	10730	12730	12340	15260	27450	18420	25760	10720	22900	11180	14710	36070	12720	15820	11250	14310	27430	3395	20990	19080	8692	14320	36750	37120	9901	9330	7653	13910	49050	5363	18320	656	8528	6562	9095	40330	5320	68350	39900	5181	12410	45340	14780	13680	14520	7251	8831	30650	5410	23830	41400	23780	10900	39960	9830	17170	44520	12330	5656	9990	12440	8543	14280	11970	8985	8100	11500	34150	14190	14710	9767	11270	4693	12160	38560	17290	8366	13010	11740	14310	9234	8656	12980	30120	14810	11180	5806	9012	25940	14300	84880	12310	6990	14250	9324	31950	11990	6815	32420	17680	7764	21510	9219	29910	11400	14640	29330	7658	14650	9626	11390	35250	12440	12300	9544	11830	37840	11170	10050	34540	13850	12970	8045	11150	3855	10910	24320	14460	10170	11530	35260	18220	54670	25820	39330	15980	108700	53420	8012	32900	10810	11830	13830	74850	29470	18560	5716	4943	86310	13990	34880	4726	7270	8648	23550	5586	5782	12360	19860	13720	22140	9452	30350	7227	6263	3314	16400	11410	12900	42610	13900	46630	15880	21190	13280	5982	10060	19690	11110	9675	46370	16390	4922	18890	25250	7578	11190	26070	32860	12600	47610	14730	7514	36940	251	16270	6638	14240	10280	24290	24030	23740	7617	21430	17820	42310	18390	9317	14950	22860	28810	7784	17870	4808	33570	9197	10390	7399	34340	11540	8384	12960	10840	3010	3611	40030	48340	9960	6797	10740	37590	9244	10930	71720	613	25650	20410	26300	10700	9460	7452	10910	11430	29420	5060	7971	12310	8115	38290	9336	8042	10680	13940	10900	12780	22160	26050	21020	35350	10950	13950	25890	13380	9671	9316	7435	36480	27410	31780	9510	8338	39480	8422	23430	17380	26420	20710	31280	9667	8431	8562	18820	14200	10100	6389	15300	10040	23300	12540	11490	8936	3400	41060	29400	9598	8048	11050	9441	45320	37310	34460	36930	28250	13410	11850	9764	12470	7819	12810	11830	2935	10900	14200	7976	17610	7921	11130	22540	47960	35270	8934	13930	39110	10120	14420	35750	10170	8916	16180	10060	17220	12480	9164	21170
2021-09-13	16160	14210	5180	9605	13470	8143	14890	12050	5356	25910	13780	15750	13480	18650	6136	30020	43660	33930	7381	23620	14490	13800	17220	21360	42500	30710	152800	12190	27760	18930	7779	9425	42540	7491	43690	11840	75630	15240	10210	40230	9806	17020	29100	58430	9722	35860	10780	12760	12400	15300	27530	18580	25870	10760	22970	11240	14750	36260	12770	15920	11260	14400	27540	3432	21100	19130	8737	14370	36960	37340	9943	9372	7690	13950	49660	5431	18390	663	8613	6593	9163	40600	5359	68650	40060	5205	12460	45480	14850	13730	14560	7284	8903	30800	5435	23980	41570	23930	10940	40110	9950	17330	44650	12460	5685	10060	12640	8591	14330	12040	9089	8131	11630	34310	14250	14780	9806	11340	4717	12210	38650	17330	8388	13080	11790	14490	9289	8714	13080	30560	14890	11220	5844	9050	26040	14360	85830	12360	7035	14290	9363	32020	12030	6889	32500	17740	7800	21570	9269	29980	11430	14720	29400	7697	14700	9672	11440	35340	12520	12340	9591	11990	37960	11230	10100	34660	13940	13000	8174	11200	3887	10970	24380	14500	10230	11600	35430	18270	54870	25910	39440	16040	109100	53630	8046	32990	10860	11880	13910	75090	29550	18610	5738	4968	86530	14060	34960	4752	7329	8707	23610	5627	5816	12410	19960	13810	22220	9579	30460	7256	6296	3341	16510	11470	12960	42720	13980	46730	15970	21300	13440	6028	10100	19760	11160	9719	47060	16460	4947	18980	25340	7610	11260	26160	33000	12650	47760	14800	7547	37030	254	16330	6708	14270	10360	24400	24200	23840	7678	21490	17900	42400	18460	9353	15010	23170	28950	7807	17930	4829	33660	9222	10410	7432	34500	11590	8413	13010	10880	3029	3637	40150	48470	10010	6869	10810	37720	9292	10970	71990	623	25790	20450	26400	10770	9564	7483	10970	11480	29550	5099	8009	12370	8163	38830	9382	8078	10740	13990	10980	12820	22250	26140	21090	35420	10980	14020	25970	13440	9720	9353	7516	36630	27500	31880	9556	8404	39640	8459	23500	17420	26630	20840	31410	9702	8464	8605	18920	14250	10150	6426	15330	10070	23370	12590	11540	8969	3430	41110	29480	9647	8077	11090	9491	45440	37450	34550	37030	28340	13460	11890	9808	12530	7855	12860	11910	2956	11030	14240	8013	17820	7965	11200	22600	48070	35510	8977	14000	39240	10150	14500	35860	10210	8948	16240	10100	17290	12530	9214	21250
2021-09-14	16330	14430	5197	9667	13520	8232	14970	12130	5462	26080	13830	15820	13520	18750	6161	30090	43770	34070	7413	23680	14550	13850	17320	21420	42730	30760	153300	12260	27800	19020	7819	9472	42640	7514	43850	11890	75850	15280	10270	40340	9832	17110	29200	58690	9769	35970	10830	12790	12450	15340	27610	18730	25990	10800	23030	11300	14800	36460	12820	16050	11280	14490	27660	3468	21200	19180	8790	14430	37130	37550	9986	9413	7727	13990	50310	5507	18460	670	8698	6626	9226	40830	5399	68980	40230	5228	12500	45630	14920	13790	14600	7316	8976	30940	5459	24130	41740	24110	10980	40270	10090	17510	44800	12580	5714	10130	12830	8657	14380	12110	9208	8168	11800	34480	14300	14890	9850	11400	4740	12260	38750	17380	8408	13160	11840	14690	9351	8767	13170	31040	14970	11270	5889	9089	26140	14410	86740	12420	7081	14330	9403	32090	12070	6964	32580	17800	7836	21640	9318	30040	11470	14810	29470	7737	14750	9721	11490	35420	12610	12390	9645	12230	38080	11300	10150	34760	14020	13030	8330	11240	3920	11030	24430	14540	10300	11670	35580	18330	55080	26000	39560	16100	109500	53850	8081	33070	10920	11920	14000	75310	29640	18690	5759	4996	86750	14150	35050	4781	7380	8764	23680	5668	5851	12470	20060	13900	22300	9702	30560	7286	6337	3375	16620	11530	13010	42840	14060	46820	16080	21420	13600	6074	10140	19830	11210	9763	47770	16540	4974	19100	25450	7642	11320	26240	33130	12710	47930	14860	7580	37130	257	16390	6791	14300	10440	24530	24380	23950	7741	21550	17980	42500	18520	9389	15080	23450	29160	7830	17990	4850	33740	9249	10440	7468	34670	11650	8440	13060	10920	3047	3662	40280	48590	10070	6941	10880	37870	9340	11010	72250	632	25930	20500	26500	10840	9693	7514	11030	11540	29670	5139	8047	12440	8212	39340	9429	8117	10800	14040	11070	12870	22330	26250	21150	35500	11020	14090	26040	13500	9768	9390	7617	36780	27600	31990	9610	8473	39790	8501	23580	17460	26850	20960	31550	9741	8497	8647	19030	14290	10210	6468	15370	10110	23430	12640	11600	9011	3466	41160	29570	9704	8107	11170	9542	45580	37590	34640	37130	28440	13500	11930	9852	12600	7892	12910	12010	2976	11190	14290	8049	18050	8008	11270	22670	48180	35750	9021	14080	39390	10180	14580	35980	10240	8979	16300	10140	17360	12580	9270	21320

Data issues

There is an issue with the reported local authority data: the last few (usually three) observations show no change.

The following graph illustrates the issue for two districts:

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Districts_of_England_(2019).svg

Further information

We believe these forecasts fill a useful gap in the short run. They give an indication of what is likely to happen in the next few days, removing some aspect of surprise. Moreover, a noticeable drop in comparison to the extrapolations could be an indication that the implemented policies are having some impact. It is difficult to understand exponential growth. We hope that these forecasts may help to convince viewers to adhere to the policies implemented by their respective governments, and keep all arguments factual and measured.
We use the data repository for the 2019 Novel Coronavirus Visual Dashboard operated by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering. This is updated daily, but we tend to update our forecasts only every other day.
US state data as of 2020-03-28 is courtesy of the New York Times.
We can only provide forecasts of what is measured. If confirmed cases are an underestimate of actual cases, then our forecasts will also be underestimates. No other epidemiological data is used. Data definition and collection differs between countries and may change over time.
We will update the methodology as we learn what is happening in the next few days or weeks. Once the number of cases levels off, there is no need to provide these forecasts anymore.
Countries where the counts are very low or stable have been omitted.
The graphs have dates on the horizontal axis (yyyy-mm-dd) and cumulative counts on the vertical axis. They show
1. bold dark grey line (with circles): observed counts (Johns Hopkins CSSE);
2. many light grey lines (with open circles): forecasts using different model settings and starting up to four periods back;
3. red line (with open circles): single forecasts path using default model settings;
4. black line (with crosses): average of all forecasts, recentered on the last observation;
5. thin green lines: some indication of uncertainty around the red forecasts, but we do not know how reliable that is.
Both the red line forecasts and the black lines are also given in the tables above. These forecasts differ, we are currently inclined to use the average forecasts.
The forecasts are constructed as follows:
1. An overall `trend' is extracted by taking a window of the data at a time. In each window we draw `straight lines' which are selected using an automatic econometric procedure (`machine learning'). All straight lines are collected and averaged, giving the trend.
2. Forecasts are made using the estimated trend, but we note that this must be done carefully, because simply extrapolating the flexible insample trend would lead to wildly fluctuating forecast. We use the `Cardt' method, which has been found to work well in other settings.
3. Residuals from the trend are also forecast, and combined with trend forecasts into an overall forecast.
Scenario forecasts are constructed very differently: smooth versions of the Chinese experience are matched at different lag lengths with the path of each country. This probably works best from the peak, or the slowdown just before (but we include it for the UK nonetheless).
The forecast evaluation shows past forecasts, together with the outcomes (in the grey line with circles).
EU-BS is Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania together.
This paper describes the methodology and gives further references. Also available as Nuffield Economics Discussion Paper 2020-W06. Still preliminary is the documentation of the medium term forecasts.

Recent changes and notes

[2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.
[2021-01-07]Slideshow of forecasts, errors, and actuals 2020-06-30 to 2021-01-02: how England lost the battle.
[2020-10-27]Statistical short-term forecasting of the COVID-19 Pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now published at the Journal of Clinical Immunology and Immunotherapy. open access
[2020-10-11]Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now in press at the International Journal of Forecasting. open access
[2020-10-10]Removed forecasts from the Chinese scenarios, while investigating possibility to use own history from the first wave.
Added information on the previous peak (if present) to the peak tables.
Local forecasts for England: now dropping last four observations.
[2020-07-01] Modified the short-term model to allow for (slowly changing) seasonality. Many countries show clear seasonality after the initial period, likely caused by institutional factors regarding data collection. This seasonality was also getting in the way of peak detection. As a consequence estimates of the peak date may have changed for countries with strong seasonality.
Added forecasts of cumulative confirmed cases for lower tier local authorities of England. The data is available from 2020-07-02 including all tests (pillar one and two). Only authorities with more than 5 cases in the previous week are included.
[2020-06-29] Tables in April included the world, but not the world as we know it (double counting China and the US). So removed the world from those old tables.
Why short-term forecasts can be better than models for predicting how pandemics evolve just appeared at The Conversation.
Thursday 2 July webinar at the FGV EESP - São Paolo School of Economics. This starts at 16:00 UK time (UTC+01:00) and streamed here.

COVID-19 short-term forecasts Confirmed 2021-09-07 lower tier local authorities of England (with more than 5 cases in the previous week).

General information

Forecasts for districts of England, one week ahead from 2021-09-07