COVID-19 short-term forecasts Confirmed 2021-12-31 lower tier local authorities of England (with more than 5 cases in the previous week).


General information

  • Forecasts produced by Jennie Castle, Jurgen Doornik, and David Hendry, researchers at the University of Oxford. These are our forecasts, and should not be considered official forecasts from, or endorsed by, any of: University of Oxford, Oxford Martin School, Nuffield College, or Magdalen College.
  • These forecasts are short term time-series extrapolations of the data. They are not based on epidemiological modelling or simulations. All forecasts are uncertain: their success can only be determined afterwards. Many mitigation strategies are in place, which, if successful, invalidate our forecasts. An explanation of our methods is provided below.
  • A list of notes is below. The most recent note:
    [2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.

Forecasts for districts of England, one week ahead from 2021-12-31

Slideshow of forecasts 2020-06-30 to 2021-01-02: how we lost the battle.

Peak increase in estimated trend of Confirmed in England 2021-12-31

Aberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterComhairle nan Eilean SiarConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
Peak date (mm-dd)2021-12-282021-12-28 -- -- --2021-12-27 --2021-12-272021-12-28 -- -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-28 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-28 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-27 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-252021-12-282021-12-28 --2021-12-28 --2021-12-282021-12-28 -- --2021-12-272021-12-28 -- -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-27 --2021-12-282021-12-27 --2021-12-28 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-25 -- -- --2021-12-282021-12-27 -- -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-272021-12-27 --2021-12-27 -- --2021-12-27 -- -- --2021-12-28 --2021-12-28 -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-27 -- --2021-12-25 -- --2021-12-27 -- -- --2021-12-27 -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-28 -- -- -- -- --2021-12-272021-12-272021-12-15 -- --2021-12-20 --2021-12-27 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-27 --2021-12-27 -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-27 --2021-12-28 --2021-12-222021-12-25 -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-21 -- -- -- --2021-12-28 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-25 -- -- -- --2021-12-272021-12-27 -- -- --2021-12-28 -- --2021-12-27 -- --2021-12-282021-12-28 -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-27 --2021-12-28 --2021-12-28 -- -- --2021-12-27 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-22 --2021-12-28 --2021-12-27 -- -- --2021-12-28 -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-28 -- --2021-12-26 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-28 -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-27 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-27 -- -- -- --2021-12-28 -- -- --2021-12-28 --2021-12-28 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-272021-12-28 -- -- --2021-12-27 -- -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-26 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --2021-11-232021-12-25 -- --2021-12-272021-12-27 -- -- -- --2021-12-20 -- -- -- --2021-12-28 --2021-12-27 --2021-11-302021-12-27 -- --2021-12-27 -- -- -- -- --2021-12-26 -- -- -- -- -- -- --2021-12-28 -- -- -- -- --
Peak daily increment 521 574 152 566 102 1045 414 249 246 718 429 1261 663 348 222 494 214 1425 169 26 1305 178 297 327 364 307 476 302 337 392 227 487 1060 2026 318 318 2253 649 906 340 550 350 195 834 464 1361 1117 1839 327 698 595 274 193 319 637 274 463 1581 42 322 368 287 674 577 298 339 221 134 1179 178 405 923 353 694 106 1024 293 491 1360 319 307 59 292 535 247 427
Days since peak 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 4 6 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 4 3 4 3 6 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 6 4 4 3 4 4 16 11 4 4 4 4 3 9 6 10 3 6 4 4 3 4 3 3 4 3 3 4 9 3 4 3 3 5 3 4 4 3 3 3 4 3 4 5 38 6 4 4 11 3 4 31 4 4 5 3
Last total 30472 30722 10371 18644 24970 15270 29559 27454 10356 46132 27400 26934 25258 37996 13768 48109 78235 57259 15147 42906 31018 24103 35341 37452 73475 54664 225687 22756 37993 30280 15349 16455 62998 12587 79281 23869 109812 29759 20821 66371 17908 31147 55274 98270 21250 68257 20507 21990 23262 21609 44296 38590 42873 21197 43786 21267 26656 76298 20923 33550 20364 27972 57460 8871 38947 38750 19168 29282 75080 70567 20611 19148 18337 25982 84985 9723 38669 1918 18826 14074 16661 84323 12787 108393 68872 9934 24173 80851 31186 22485 26675 16283 18381 52781 11596 38038 68005 56451 19263 67202 19428 27149 75011 23415 13625 21417 21767 19263 30922 21987 16523 16891 19565 62472 24321 34245 17963 26293 8456 29145 65565 29676 16932 23615 21908 28503 19429 16502 25014 58758 29066 19094 12634 15947 42571 26175 127583 23546 15389 24015 17271 58984 26724 19911 59263 31052 14942 40316 18736 54637 20730 30142 50137 18266 21015 16653 22402 60488 27584 22704 18200 23859 62957 23030 23235 59514 31393 19143 13603 24690 10574 22604 46374 27710 20789 22419 55442 35968 86846 39315 73839 27783 172402 80408 16668 62294 21204 20209 28417 114545 47822 34458 11828 9986 131677 23484 59733 9712 18857 14962 44519 12423 14198 28227 34125 25679 32267 16116 57592 15741 14611 9931 32384 26842 24238 65322 25374 73719 32123 38374 23316 14812 20009 33111 24676 20298 75674 31416 11357 36506 46012 13314 20931 46397 60534 24336 73839 27929 13027 54769 1342 29115 18652 20104 19949 42446 48186 42819 18917 32656 32573 67985 29433 17733 32213 37313 54147 14172 39167 8553 52524 18587 16436 13899 59834 22501 16487 25482 19802 6647 8304 64554 71826 18297 14148 20495 62570 17936 23565 115867 1350 53299 32487 45225 22100 17703 14417 26430 21785 55143 12521 15227 25720 15895 64548 20882 17512 24880 24555 24814 22504 33159 49099 39409 66203 21776 31230 43537 26813 18747 18056 15328 67237 43595 53676 21974 18414 59034 18010 45633 29159 51341 40943 52998 17204 18024 19844 36085 26773 23258 15027 25211 19630 42292 25566 22524 20153 9986 69075 56253 21957 17184 27485 22529 74672 58219 59689 73521 49169 27202 21192 22238 25920 15547 24576 26355 7665 18395 24135 16832 34204 17997 25473 42284 77706 81520 22085 29620 67163 20389 31949 55671 18706 18416 28116 20619 34767 22078 17472 37694
Last daily increment 0 0 99 369 205 0 0 0 0 0 189 243 164 274 114 285 562 667 241 361 268 257 300 308 0 388 1327 278 228 234 0 136 527 86 570 276 595 248 214 529 107 0 449 807 261 422 179 155 217 187 287 0 416 99 230 195 204 1 287 0 188 0 428 0 384 334 153 248 566 576 285 142 110 243 0 0 257 0 0 279 144 894 129 1308 492 53 184 575 187 205 157 135 0 470 72 0 802 478 167 455 0 0 573 0 91 223 0 146 274 217 0 125 0 790 138 451 160 227 109 227 461 214 116 249 189 0 202 70 0 0 0 190 128 168 501 277 0 244 151 157 167 394 216 0 428 314 142 249 185 390 182 200 376 145 161 122 195 368 211 161 129 0 530 237 243 414 227 193 0 172 0 136 303 194 165 221 603 238 811 412 504 169 1290 613 158 371 145 156 0 1128 304 217 103 85 776 187 447 134 167 0 327 96 157 240 0 0 383 0 456 139 0 0 0 252 199 650 146 489 0 0 0 187 213 385 159 185 0 371 145 391 636 93 165 293 838 256 480 291 116 336 0 189 0 160 0 184 469 350 0 133 205 380 398 155 210 0 0 128 249 101 358 203 94 137 707 209 148 161 175 54 118 484 413 185 0 208 601 187 137 949 0 376 191 335 267 0 90 165 181 540 117 62 178 164 0 230 127 193 225 266 156 394 408 393 364 186 170 408 220 115 104 0 586 581 300 240 218 656 157 325 206 0 557 411 135 129 213 201 170 219 142 265 123 319 199 202 0 87 460 428 127 151 0 218 868 380 522 467 404 274 152 150 211 114 155 248 81 0 274 201 0 147 193 270 757 798 170 200 894 163 228 325 181 140 0 204 218 154 111 327
Last week 1572 1570 776 2011 1738 679 1968 1887 360 2496 1531 1949 1633 2398 1211 3662 5486 4263 1667 3432 2501 1784 2323 2467 4923 4281 13031 1853 2111 2244 1290 1171 4139 546 4788 2092 5327 2546 1414 5252 1200 2035 3963 6397 1879 5367 1431 1802 1648 1448 2876 2527 3108 1193 2876 1838 1898 4778 1692 2012 1599 1808 4292 758 2749 2912 1235 2283 5789 5664 2218 1176 1194 2086 4649 460 2713 92 1794 1758 1071 5155 899 6933 4704 692 1833 6374 2480 1307 1974 1107 1171 3910 848 3652 5031 3892 1360 4979 1112 1186 5305 1082 834 1290 1187 1251 2583 1446 897 1169 1048 4734 1212 3019 1176 1803 647 1890 4973 2169 1112 1888 1216 1386 1395 944 2287 2767 2118 1329 828 1234 3010 1908 6287 1395 946 1720 1320 4688 1589 1367 3683 2682 1051 2540 1413 3909 1762 1898 3809 1226 1404 923 1497 4735 1984 1719 1496 1386 4769 1741 1696 4036 2260 1231 823 1656 748 1134 3149 1729 1445 1665 3840 2408 5922 3107 4848 1997 11361 4912 1235 4756 1465 1411 1923 9073 2914 2290 974 653 8529 1501 4250 817 1112 1028 3266 685 1052 2140 2053 1369 2344 818 4212 981 787 818 2189 2059 1679 4021 1478 5335 2275 2760 978 881 1749 2569 1706 1519 4021 2435 939 2395 3536 912 1502 2611 4886 1854 4324 2241 815 3852 138 1770 1178 1157 1091 2204 3010 2787 1269 1861 2038 4684 2352 1360 2173 2190 4210 994 2399 552 3753 1655 949 774 4892 1708 1188 1669 1245 419 819 4933 4390 1151 953 1184 5512 1438 1551 8812 105 3913 1711 2930 1480 847 841 1811 1534 3778 772 748 1740 1419 3601 1733 1055 1818 2039 1561 1775 2231 3053 3059 4705 1677 1958 3933 2021 1115 1440 848 5503 3796 3009 1652 1302 3830 1258 3375 1986 3331 3606 4042 1083 1240 1212 2136 1958 1614 934 1996 1323 3375 1913 1167 1501 539 4456 4033 1309 1380 1767 1743 5667 4009 4513 4461 3811 2002 1602 1292 1699 965 1660 1982 411 845 2171 1227 1662 1470 1630 2920 6801 5532 1409 1997 6486 1354 2165 3989 1236 1275 1576 1343 2200 1562 1169 2981
Previous peak date2021-09-082021-09-072021-07-152021-07-142021-10-042021-09-03 -- --2021-09-01 --2021-07-152021-10-11 -- --2021-07-14 --2021-07-162021-07-142021-10-052021-07-152021-07-152021-07-152021-10-19 --2021-07-192021-07-162021-07-15 --2021-06-142021-07-152021-10-16 --2021-07-152021-07-142021-07-152021-07-152021-07-152021-07-15 --2021-07-162021-07-15 --2021-07-152021-07-15 --2021-07-152021-07-152021-07-162021-07-132021-07-152021-07-142021-10-152021-10-112021-08-052021-07-16 --2021-06-282021-10-132021-07-15 --2021-07-15 --2021-07-152021-10-18 --2021-10-182021-10-18 --2021-07-152021-07-152021-07-152021-07-152021-10-192021-07-152021-08-302021-09-012021-07-15 -- --2021-07-15 --2021-08-182021-10-182021-07-142021-07-152021-07-152021-07-162021-07-152021-07-152021-07-142021-07-162021-07-152021-07-14 --2021-10-112021-08-232021-07-15 -- --2021-07-152021-08-242021-06-29 --2021-09-06 --2021-08-172021-08-262021-07-152021-07-14 --2021-08-312021-10-112021-08-302021-07-15 -- --2021-07-15 --2021-07-16 -- --2021-07-152021-07-132021-07-142021-08-182021-09-022021-07-152021-10-132021-08-172021-09-06 --2021-07-152021-07-132021-07-142021-07-072021-07-142021-08-312021-07-152021-07-152021-07-162021-07-152021-07-15 -- --2021-07-15 --2021-07-152021-07-15 --2021-07-172021-07-15 -- --2021-07-152021-07-142021-08-23 --2021-07-152021-07-152021-07-162021-10-132021-09-02 --2021-07-152021-07-15 -- --2021-07-052021-08-312021-10-122021-10-04 --2021-07-15 --2021-09-212021-07-152021-07-15 --2021-10-12 --2021-07-152021-07-162021-07-14 --2021-07-142021-07-162021-07-152021-07-28 --2021-07-06 --2021-07-162021-07-152021-07-152021-06-29 --2021-07-162021-07-132021-10-182021-09-18 --2021-08-17 --2021-07-15 -- --2021-07-142021-09-02 --2021-07-15 --2021-07-122021-09-21 --2021-07-152021-07-122021-07-15 --2021-10-20 --2021-09-032021-08-172021-07-152021-07-15 -- --2021-08-302021-09-27 --2021-10-182021-07-142021-07-142021-07-14 --2021-07-142021-08-032021-07-152021-07-15 --2021-07-15 --2021-06-29 -- --2021-06-29 --2021-07-15 -- -- -- -- --2021-07-15 --2021-07-152021-08-312021-09-202021-06-152021-07-162021-07-142021-07-142021-07-152021-07-072021-07-15 --2021-09-21 --2021-07-152021-07-15 --2021-10-182021-07-15 --2021-07-142021-09-012021-08-17 -- --2021-07-162021-07-15 --2021-07-15 --2021-07-142021-10-152021-08-262021-07-15 --2021-07-142021-07-152021-08-172021-07-15 --2021-10-042021-08-312021-10-182021-07-152021-10-182021-07-152021-07-152021-07-162021-07-062021-07-162021-07-152021-07-152021-07-152021-07-15 --2021-09-212021-07-15 --2021-09-022021-07-152021-07-152021-07-14 --2021-10-172021-07-142021-07-152021-07-152021-07-15 --2021-10-182021-07-152021-07-012021-07-152021-08-182021-07-152021-07-152021-07-142021-10-192021-08-182021-07-162021-07-152021-07-152021-07-152021-10-192021-08-172021-07-152021-10-05 --2021-07-15 --2021-07-152021-07-14 --2021-07-162021-07-142021-07-152021-10-182021-07-162021-07-14 --2021-10-112021-07-152021-10-162021-08-172021-09-022021-07-15 --2021-09-022021-07-14 --2021-07-192021-07-152021-10-172021-10-19 -- -- --2021-10-18 --2021-07-142021-07-15 --2021-07-152021-07-152021-07-142021-07-162021-07-11
Previous peak daily increment 179 224 53 138 123 88 97 144 130 68 260 292 75 163 162 171 299 401 197 1015 124 157 126 217 43 310 123 489 110 183 77 234 621 291 104 78 106 78 165 255 187 72 159 66 414 126 101 227 67 214 203 269 243 95 80 125 135 567 69 161 134 802 109 655 427 60 101 229 122 146 92 55 86 67 212 400 316 137 188 133 139 183 71 128 100 106 157 327 72 24 105 58 110 130 185 72 88 177 421 80 66 89 289 130 941 88 60 63 144 177 229 90 156 152 60 74 162 59 157 89 93 94 203 94 90 75 136 168 64 189 153 71 268 317 301 121 719 56 213 84 119 380 120 41 51 448 181 46 181 72 79 111 303 115 49 31 195 134 384 120 191 164 83 94 253 621 191 318 242 87 102 368 87 264 168 272 140 118 417 333 130 289 267 42 140 67 228 88 77 49 127 116 80 51 267 115 78 136 109 524 185 304 220 118 53 74 414 90 47 92 470 144 70 147 101 131 86 320 211 186 261 70 131 154 79 91 257 394 248 213 446 57 145 125 344 219 84 68 139 160 132 108 150 103 87 105 119 145 134 61 226 285 64 86 370 171 313 195 153 78 76 99 102 207 70 158 90 207 65 140 417 676 149 174 114 66 85 126 128 79 140
Low between peaks 83 79 37 28 128 41 21 35 58 174 21 25 54 157 19 112 28 41 56 26 66 49 36 35 23 80 193 199 36 54 75 36 59 26 30 51 74 66 160 29 32 2 90 48 39 155 19 68 61 56 35 40 31 131 26 49 40 64 29 72 31 94 47 17 37 81 69

Confirmed count forecast England (bold red line in graphs) 2022-01-01 to 2022-01-07

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterComhairle nan Eilean SiarConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-12-31 30472 30722 10371 18644 24970 15270 29559 27454 10356 46132 27400 26934 25258 37996 13768 48109 78235 57259 15147 42906 31018 24103 35341 37452 73475 54664 225687 22756 37993 30280 15349 16455 62998 12587 79281 23869 109812 29759 20821 66371 17908 31147 55274 98270 21250 68257 20507 21990 23262 21609 44296 38590 42873 21197 43786 21267 26656 76298 20923 33550 20364 27972 57460 8871 38947 38750 19168 29282 75080 70567 20611 19148 18337 25982 84985 9723 38669 1918 18826 14074 16661 84323 12787 108393 68872 9934 24173 80851 31186 22485 26675 16283 18381 52781 11596 38038 68005 56451 19263 67202 19428 27149 75011 23415 13625 21417 21767 19263 30922 21987 16523 16891 19565 62472 24321 34245 17963 26293 8456 29145 65565 29676 16932 23615 21908 28503 19429 16502 25014 58758 29066 19094 12634 15947 42571 26175 127583 23546 15389 24015 17271 58984 26724 19911 59263 31052 14942 40316 18736 54637 20730 30142 50137 18266 21015 16653 22402 60488 27584 22704 18200 23859 62957 23030 23235 59514 31393 19143 13603 24690 10574 22604 46374 27710 20789 22419 55442 35968 86846 39315 73839 27783 172402 80408 16668 62294 21204 20209 28417 114545 47822 34458 11828 9986 131677 23484 59733 9712 18857 14962 44519 12423 14198 28227 34125 25679 32267 16116 57592 15741 14611 9931 32384 26842 24238 65322 25374 73719 32123 38374 23316 14812 20009 33111 24676 20298 75674 31416 11357 36506 46012 13314 20931 46397 60534 24336 73839 27929 13027 54769 1342 29115 18652 20104 19949 42446 48186 42819 18917 32656 32573 67985 29433 17733 32213 37313 54147 14172 39167 8553 52524 18587 16436 13899 59834 22501 16487 25482 19802 6647 8304 64554 71826 18297 14148 20495 62570 17936 23565 115867 1350 53299 32487 45225 22100 17703 14417 26430 21785 55143 12521 15227 25720 15895 64548 20882 17512 24880 24555 24814 22504 33159 49099 39409 66203 21776 31230 43537 26813 18747 18056 15328 67237 43595 53676 21974 18414 59034 18010 45633 29159 51341 40943 52998 17204 18024 19844 36085 26773 23258 15027 25211 19630 42292 25566 22524 20153 9986 69075 56253 21957 17184 27485 22529 74672 58219 59689 73521 49169 27202 21192 22238 25920 15547 24576 26355 7665 18395 24135 16832 34204 17997 25473 42284 77706 81520 22085 29620 67163 20389 31949 55671 18706 18416 28116 20619 34767 22078 17472 37694
2022-01-01 30530 30770 10420 19120 25110 15320 29640 27650 10420 46130 27400 27430 25260 38290 13960 48110 78800 58080 15320 43300 31140 24350 35680 37820 73640 54660 227400 23150 38120 30560 15410 16640 63360 12610 79430 24120 110100 29930 20990 67580 17910 31210 55630 99000 21590 68610 20690 22240 23560 21750 44380 38760 43180 21430 44080 21480 26660 76410 21230 33570 20450 28050 58130 8894 39340 39050 19290 29560 76000 70970 20740 19320 18510 26240 85460 9752 38670 1931 19040 14180 16850 84760 12920 109000 69320 9930 24270 81690 31430 22550 26830 16340 18420 53200 11680 38040 68800 56630 19450 67910 19450 27190 75010 23460 13750 21590 21790 19390 30970 22200 16590 17030 19580 63820 24440 34790 18030 26290 8532 29450 65570 29860 17110 23910 22060 28580 19520 16580 25010 58880 29450 19180 12770 16060 43010 26350 128400 23770 15520 24170 17550 59750 26990 20090 59800 31200 15070 40600 18860 55290 20930 30330 50300 18300 21110 16780 22400 61010 27870 22700 18270 23860 63410 23320 23510 59510 31630 19250 13630 24690 10650 22750 46740 28030 21030 22680 56200 36400 87390 39660 74400 27780 173900 80870 16670 63120 21360 20300 28500 116200 48090 34760 11940 10040 132600 23770 60640 9890 19020 14990 45050 12530 14450 28230 34130 25730 32310 16170 58140 15890 14700 9950 32380 26840 24470 65900 25460 73720 32220 38450 23460 14950 20230 33400 24750 20560 75790 31530 11430 36850 46610 13460 21060 46800 61390 24560 74250 28000 13190 54910 1360 29290 18820 20200 20010 42450 48560 42940 18960 32810 32570 68350 29540 17890 32570 37480 54410 14270 39300 8637 53110 18590 16590 13950 60970 22700 16610 25630 19990 6673 8394 64840 72160 18500 14190 20600 63240 18070 23590 117000 1371 53580 32660 45650 22350 17760 14420 26570 21880 55770 12600 15230 25720 16180 64850 21140 17590 25030 24690 25060 22690 33620 49510 39990 66950 21780 31640 44040 26890 18910 18360 15370 68230 44570 53680 22100 18610 59730 18180 46100 29160 51370 41560 53580 17390 18020 20050 36250 26790 23550 15100 25420 19630 42290 25710 22580 20170 10010 69830 57260 22100 17350 27600 22540 75440 58420 60460 74440 49630 27410 21470 22310 25920 15550 24740 26360 7665 18430 24650 16930 34290 18190 25650 43960 77870 82460 22280 29680 68020 20520 32070 56230 18850 18420 28290 20790 34780 22300 17530 38110
2022-01-02 30600 30790 10470 19540 25280 15380 29700 27800 10520 46300 27450 27820 25380 38510 14100 48110 79410 58790 15510 43580 31310 24530 35990 38070 73870 54660 228100 23470 38270 30820 15460 16830 63760 12650 79590 24370 110700 30180 21150 67790 17910 31320 55730 99800 21870 68810 20900 22460 23740 21930 44480 38990 43550 21600 44560 21720 26690 76590 21530 33680 20570 28140 58710 8935 39740 39290 19440 29840 76760 71480 20870 19480 18650 26490 85930 9780 38670 1949 19220 14330 17010 85380 13040 109800 69730 9960 24320 82540 31740 22700 27000 16440 18490 53650 11730 38320 69480 57090 19650 68400 19500 27250 75010 23480 13870 21760 21790 19480 31040 22430 16660 17160 19580 64870 24490 35150 18100 26380 8627 29860 65570 30090 17350 24270 22230 28630 19650 16680 25050 58960 29730 19260 12900 16210 43450 26550 129000 23970 15630 24370 17770 59750 27350 20310 60740 31720 15230 41040 19020 56300 21120 30520 50620 18380 21310 16920 22420 61010 28160 22700 18440 23870 63830 23570 23770 59510 31900 19410 13650 24690 10710 22890 47370 28590 21290 22930 57060 36400 88150 40150 75470 27780 175200 81370 16750 64490 21490 20450 28630 117400 48400 35030 12060 10140 133600 24000 61070 10030 19140 15060 45790 12620 14640 28230 34220 25860 32490 16180 58690 16020 14790 9980 32440 27030 24670 66450 25580 73720 32280 38520 23630 15010 20460 33950 24820 20780 75790 31830 11520 37070 47230 13530 21260 47140 62450 24790 74740 28310 13330 54910 1385 29330 19010 20310 20080 42540 48750 43200 19040 32980 32650 68350 29730 18060 32890 37610 54760 14360 39440 8715 53540 18590 16690 14060 62190 22880 16760 25810 20190 6673 8494 65090 72430 18680 14250 20760 63900 18260 23640 118200 1400 54070 32820 46070 22560 17810 14460 26570 22070 56430 12640 15240 25850 16340 65010 21350 17670 25170 24850 25250 22880 34050 49860 40300 66950 21780 31940 44560 27020 19030 18580 15440 68660 45500 53680 22320 18750 60500 18320 46560 29170 51520 42200 54120 17560 18020 20240 36420 26880 23770 15220 25660 19630 42290 25710 22740 20270 10080 71120 57260 22220 17530 27760 22630 76460 58820 61040 76020 50180 27600 21510 22430 25980 15550 24920 26360 7701 18450 25150 17060 34350 18390 25820 43960 78670 83470 22490 29700 68930 20670 32070 56810 19050 18430 28530 20960 34800 22550 17620 38370
2022-01-03 30690 30830 10570 19990 25510 15510 29760 27940 10610 46500 27590 28220 25520 38880 14300 48190 80300 59580 15760 44120 31600 24740 36320 38470 74040 54660 230200 23860 38530 31090 15500 17040 64430 12730 80020 24800 111300 30660 21380 68410 17930 31410 56210 100800 22270 69470 21210 22760 23990 22170 44810 38990 44030 21850 44970 21950 26820 76820 21900 33750 20760 28190 59330 8959 40170 39750 19630 30150 77740 72310 21120 19690 18880 26740 86420 9822 38910 1966 19430 14540 17200 86190 13170 110900 70440 10030 24520 83580 32180 22920 27240 16620 18560 54320 11820 38670 70230 57740 19860 68770 19540 27290 75140 23510 14000 21970 21820 19680 31290 22690 16730 17340 19610 65840 24640 35750 18230 26580 8734 30230 65570 30410 17560 24600 22420 28720 19830 16790 25250 59060 30180 19430 13030 16400 44010 26800 130400 24180 15760 24650 18040 60130 27660 20560 61490 32250 15450 41420 19280 57150 21420 30770 51190 18560 21480 17050 22520 61200 28440 22730 18590 23930 64310 23890 24110 59510 32270 19610 13680 24690 10790 23060 47880 29030 21550 23210 58070 36510 88900 40690 76310 27800 176900 82030 16890 65620 21750 20650 28710 119000 48700 35430 12230 10260 135100 24300 61720 10220 19280 15090 46440 12720 14880 28280 34280 25920 32700 16210 59210 16190 14880 9990 32480 27290 24940 67080 25810 73860 32350 38580 23810 15100 20680 34600 25000 21080 76030 32070 11660 37340 47980 13700 21480 47500 63360 25130 75470 28570 13480 55220 1407 29500 19250 20470 20140 42840 49040 43590 19120 33210 32910 68350 30010 18320 33310 37760 55040 14490 39760 8824 54160 18640 16870 14200 63250 23120 16970 26080 20420 6678 8616 65820 72740 18870 14300 20930 64530 18460 23760 119600 1425 54560 33050 46510 22790 17930 14520 26620 22360 57090 12700 15320 25950 16520 65320 21620 17830 25430 25030 25450 23180 34540 50370 40780 66950 21780 32330 45010 27230 19210 18850 15500 69480 46560 53800 22640 18920 61170 18570 47100 29350 51660 42830 54830 17810 18030 20440 36680 27080 24060 15360 25940 19680 42480 25930 22920 20340 10160 72160 57280 22440 17790 27900 22820 77690 59090 61980 77310 50680 27910 21730 22560 26180 15640 25190 26490 7749 18560 25720 17240 34460 18580 26160 44100 79560 84460 22730 29900 69790 20880 32170 57480 19260 18560 28830 21140 35030 22820 17760 38830
2022-01-04 30810 30880 10690 20460 25740 15640 29850 28130 10690 46730 27770 28620 25720 39270 14550 48520 81120 60310 16030 44700 31950 24970 36640 38890 74240 54850 231500 24220 38720 31360 15560 17320 65000 12810 80610 25170 112400 31160 21600 69070 18040 31510 56780 101900 22610 70240 21510 23080 24230 22380 45140 39260 44490 22100 45350 22180 27050 77040 22150 33820 20940 28310 59980 8987 40600 40250 19820 30440 78710 73130 21280 19900 19090 26990 86930 9825 39220 1982 19680 14670 17420 86870 13290 111800 71220 10120 24790 84630 32600 23080 27510 16780 18630 55010 11940 38940 71090 58340 20090 69190 19620 27340 75530 23550 14120 22180 21840 19900 31650 22930 16800 17580 19650 67100 24820 36290 18340 26720 8833 30570 65890 30760 17760 24910 22610 28820 20000 16890 25310 59190 30620 19630 13160 16610 44570 27080 131800 24390 15880 24900 18360 60640 27940 20850 62150 32870 15620 41760 19480 57890 21740 31020 51730 18700 21680 17190 22620 61600 28720 22780 18920 23980 64850 24230 24410 59680 32640 19850 13720 24750 10870 23240 48340 29420 21840 23480 59030 36690 89580 41320 77030 27890 178500 82670 17040 66620 21990 20820 28810 120400 49130 35810 12390 10390 136700 24660 62440 10400 19430 15130 47030 12820 15100 28410 34420 26030 32860 16250 59820 16350 14980 10090 32540 27600 25270 67680 26060 74170 32440 38670 23980 15200 20890 35160 25260 21380 76130 32310 11800 37630 48820 13840 21730 47880 64170 25470 76230 28880 13650 55530 1427 29700 19470 20630 20220 43430 49360 43980 19200 33440 33230 68580 30230 18550 33760 37930 55330 14630 39970 8928 54700 18790 17030 14320 64410 23420 17170 26360 20700 6697 8729 66570 72990 19060 14370 21120 65150 18630 23950 121000 1448 54930 33300 46940 23020 18050 14620 26700 22680 57720 12770 15420 26160 16660 65650 21900 17980 25680 25250 25670 23470 34980 50800 41300 67710 21880 32680 45500 27470 19390 19120 15550 70200 47620 53970 22940 19090 61820 18800 47660 29560 51750 43430 55530 18040 18100 20640 36960 27230 24390 15510 26260 19750 42520 26130 23120 20380 10250 73060 57720 22630 18020 28030 23040 78540 59490 63060 78430 51170 28290 21910 22750 26390 15720 25460 26660 7809 18690 26300 17420 34530 18770 26420 44630 80840 85410 22960 30080 70650 21120 32390 58280 19520 18700 29110 21360 35320 23060 17910 39250
2022-01-05 31010 30930 10830 20970 25990 15790 29930 28310 10770 46920 28040 29100 25930 39740 14820 48900 82070 61060 16330 45370 32450 25200 36970 39370 74440 55190 233900 24670 38950 31640 15610 17440 65680 12890 81280 25650 112800 31710 21840 69810 18150 31680 57440 103100 23010 71350 21730 23470 24510 22620 45540 39430 45190 22340 45710 22400 27400 77260 22510 33870 21150 28400 60760 9014 41090 40720 20040 30820 79880 73880 21590 20130 19310 27250 87440 9864 39500 1997 19970 14950 17660 87740 13420 112900 72100 10250 25030 85950 33040 23340 27830 17020 18750 55860 12090 39120 72130 59300 20420 69430 19650 27390 76000 23590 14240 22410 21970 20180 32040 23250 16870 17860 19800 68780 25030 36970 18530 26950 8970 30890 66300 31160 17950 25210 22820 28880 20220 17020 25460 59330 31060 19830 13290 16800 45120 27390 133400 24600 16010 25200 18670 60750 28220 21140 62780 33490 15870 42090 19760 58620 22090 31430 52320 18920 21950 17380 22820 62370 29000 23040 19110 24130 65310 24610 24740 60060 33030 19990 13800 24930 10960 23410 48780 29790 22250 23760 60450 36790 90800 42120 77730 28170 180800 83570 17230 67590 22310 21090 28910 121700 49440 36160 12570 10550 138300 24990 62900 10620 19580 15170 47600 12920 15380 28550 34550 26170 33120 16380 60440 16560 15070 10190 32650 27900 25600 68330 26350 74730 32540 38770 24140 15310 21100 36200 25480 21700 76620 32750 11950 37930 49220 14020 21990 48330 65090 25790 77060 29370 13860 56090 1447 29970 19720 20810 20290 43710 49700 44570 19270 33690 33650 68930 30590 18840 34260 38100 55620 14770 40300 9038 55340 18950 17250 14490 65860 23650 17350 26670 20920 6717 8869 67150 73440 19250 14480 21320 65920 18870 24150 122400 1471 55490 33610 47370 23260 18240 14740 26800 22850 58370 12850 15520 26380 16870 66110 22170 18170 26040 25440 25890 23830 35420 51310 41910 67710 22010 33090 46060 27710 19660 19450 15600 71260 48960 54400 23340 19270 62560 19040 48260 29840 52060 44050 56390 18290 18250 20830 37230 27450 24740 15650 26560 19850 42890 26390 23320 20450 10340 73930 58330 22940 18270 28160 23320 80470 60050 64190 79510 51650 28710 22140 22930 26760 15860 25750 26900 7869 18860 26910 17670 34760 18970 26700 44630 81370 86370 23250 30390 71500 21340 32670 59190 19730 18910 29450 21600 35620 23320 18080 39800
2022-01-06 31110 30990 10980 21420 26210 15870 30030 28430 10850 47100 28300 29540 26120 40080 15020 49090 82890 61730 16610 45890 32770 25440 37310 39730 74640 55460 235500 25030 39190 31910 15670 17610 66320 12970 81890 26030 113500 32170 22040 70190 18230 31830 57800 104300 23350 72140 21940 23790 24710 22870 45810 39770 45740 22550 46060 22620 27610 77540 22860 33970 21300 28520 61370 9041 41510 41130 20250 31130 80800 74570 21850 20320 19480 27510 87950 9881 39740 2012 20050 15210 17850 88650 13550 114100 72720 10330 25280 86900 33450 23590 28100 17200 18840 56450 12190 39490 72970 60110 20670 69800 19710 27440 76190 23640 14360 22620 22010 20370 32290 23500 16950 18100 19820 70210 25170 37450 18700 27180 9077 31200 66530 31470 18130 25510 23040 28930 20450 17150 25470 59470 31250 20020 13430 17000 45720 27630 134100 24820 16140 25460 18910 60790 28490 21310 63360 34060 16060 42400 19990 59300 22380 31660 52900 19080 22190 17560 23000 62820 29280 23150 19270 24180 65760 24900 25040 60260 33400 20210 13810 25070 11040 23580 49190 30130 22560 24020 61650 36820 91750 42650 78370 28350 182500 84280 17420 68500 22600 21300 29000 123100 49810 36550 12710 10690 139700 25250 63460 10790 19730 15210 48150 13020 15600 28700 34700 26240 33420 16420 60910 16710 15170 10240 32770 28180 25870 69060 26520 75100 32640 38870 24310 15430 21320 36880 25660 21960 76670 33100 12100 38250 49980 14170 22250 48840 66100 26090 77720 29730 14010 56500 1466 30200 19900 20980 20370 44150 50060 45070 19340 33910 34000 69080 31050 19060 34670 38280 55900 14910 40510 9165 55890 19070 17430 14650 67070 23840 17550 26960 21170 6743 9020 67670 73770 19440 14550 21530 66510 19060 24300 123600 1493 56020 33850 47810 23500 18300 14840 26920 23070 59010 12930 15620 26570 17030 66330 22340 18310 26290 25610 26120 24060 35900 51810 42300 67710 22140 33420 46540 27920 19940 19710 15650 71900 50220 54640 23610 19460 63360 19240 48780 30110 52250 44670 57130 18490 18320 21030 37550 27660 25030 15800 26870 19920 43010 26570 23530 20540 10410 74740 58600 23160 18480 28290 23560 81910 60510 65060 80520 52140 29040 22270 23090 27030 15960 26030 27110 7936 18900 27440 17860 34820 19160 27000 44630 82290 87330 23470 30520 72360 21580 32860 60050 19920 19060 29630 21800 35850 23580 18260 40190
2022-01-07 31180 31050 11070 21670 26420 15890 30120 28530 10920 47380 28430 29710 26290 40330 15130 49380 83520 62370 16840 46210 33030 25680 37650 40040 74840 55870 236600 25250 39460 32190 15730 17730 66880 13050 82440 26310 114200 32330 22270 70650 18370 31900 58280 105000 23620 72600 22120 23960 24920 23070 46120 39890 46150 22660 46390 22840 27810 77750 23090 34040 21500 28590 61850 9068 41870 41440 20400 31390 81430 75180 22120 20470 19600 27780 88470 9900 40060 2026 20070 15460 17980 89410 13680 115300 73230 10380 25370 87670 33690 23780 28270 17320 18900 56880 12240 40090 73660 60440 20820 70330 19750 27490 76950 23690 14480 22830 22050 20500 32570 23670 17020 18180 19860 70310 25300 37870 18860 27450 9172 31510 67020 31710 18310 25810 23220 29010 20640 17250 25560 59610 31250 20210 13560 17160 46130 27920 134300 25040 16270 25650 19060 61150 28750 21360 63920 34210 16190 42700 20140 59960 22570 31840 53310 19230 22330 17680 23210 63100 29560 23340 19330 24230 66380 25120 25310 60720 33650 20390 13850 25270 11130 23710 49590 30450 22640 24230 61710 37080 92480 43030 78990 28580 183700 84830 17570 69400 22710 21450 29100 124200 50220 36780 12810 10750 140700 25420 63760 10890 19900 15250 48690 13120 15720 28970 34960 26300 33780 16450 61410 16840 15270 10270 32880 28450 26050 69640 26660 75670 32750 38990 24470 15550 21530 36950 25870 22140 76870 33390 12230 38570 50490 14240 22380 49070 66850 26340 78200 30010 14120 56840 1485 30370 19930 21130 20440 44150 50430 45410 19380 34090 34210 69430 31350 19200 34900 38450 56180 15050 40800 9246 56270 19280 17480 14770 67380 24070 17710 27140 21290 6770 9128 68200 74150 19630 14590 21710 67130 19290 24470 124600 1514 56460 34020 48250 23740 18330 14950 27040 23280 59660 13010 15690 26740 17220 66480 22610 18430 26510 25870 26350 24210 36230 52210 42670 68050 22350 33620 46950 28180 19950 19830 15690 72350 50340 54930 23850 19650 63880 19380 49180 30300 52320 45290 57570 18560 18460 21240 37760 27910 25230 15930 27120 20070 43510 26730 23710 20610 10470 75520 58950 23310 18650 28420 23770 82180 60900 65500 81500 52620 29300 22400 23280 27230 16070 26200 27360 8004 18940 27570 18040 34900 19360 27160 44660 83170 88300 23640 30790 73220 21740 33070 60230 20100 19200 29670 22000 36090 23720 18370 40510

Confirmed count average forecast England (bold black line in graphs) 2022-01-01 to 2022-01-07

DateAberdeen CityAberdeenshireAdurAllerdaleAmber ValleyAngusAntrim and NewtownabbeyArds and North DownArgyll and ButeArmagh City and Banbridge and CraigavonArunAshfieldAshfordAylesbury ValeBaberghBarking and DagenhamBarnetBarnsleyBarrow-in-FurnessBasildonBasingstoke and DeaneBassetlawBath and North East SomersetBedfordBelfastBexleyBirminghamBlabyBlackburn with DarwenBlackpoolBlaenau GwentBolsoverBoltonBostonBournemouth Christchurch and PooleBracknell ForestBradfordBraintreeBrecklandBrentBrentwoodBridgendBrighton and HoveBristolBroadlandBromleyBromsgroveBroxbourneBroxtoweBurnleyBuryCaerphillyCalderdaleCambridgeCamdenCannock ChaseCanterburyCardiffCarlisleCarmarthenshireCastle PointCauseway Coast and GlensCentral BedfordshireCeredigionCharnwoodChelmsfordCheltenhamCherwellCheshire EastCheshire West and ChesterChesterfieldChichesterChilternChorleyCity of EdinburghClackmannanshireColchesterComhairle nan Eilean SiarConwyCopelandCorbyCornwall and Isles of ScillyCotswoldCounty DurhamCoventryCravenCrawleyCroydonDacorumDarlingtonDartfordDaventryDenbighshireDerbyDerbyshire DalesDerry City and StrabaneDoncasterDorsetDoverDudleyDumfries and GallowayDundee CityEalingEast AyrshireEast CambridgeshireEast DevonEast DunbartonshireEast HampshireEast HertfordshireEast LindseyEast LothianEast NorthamptonshireEast RenfrewshireEast Riding of YorkshireEast StaffordshireEast SuffolkEastbourneEastleighEdenElmbridgeEnfieldEpping ForestEpsom and EwellErewashExeterFalkirkFarehamFenlandFermanagh and OmaghFifeFlintshireFolkestone and HytheForest of DeanFyldeGatesheadGedlingGlasgow CityGloucesterGosportGraveshamGreat YarmouthGreenwichGuildfordGwyneddHackneyHaltonHambletonHammersmith and FulhamHarboroughHaringeyHarlowHarrogateHarrowHartHartlepoolHastingsHavantHaveringHerefordshireHertsmereHigh PeakHighlandHillingdonHinckley and BosworthHorshamHounslowHuntingdonshireHyndburnInverclydeIpswichIsle of AngleseyIsle of WightIslingtonKensington and ChelseaKetteringKing's Lynn and West NorfolkKingston upon HullKingston upon ThamesKirkleesKnowsleyLambethLancasterLeedsLeicesterLewesLewishamLichfieldLincolnLisburn and CastlereaghLiverpoolLutonMaidstoneMaldonMalvern HillsManchesterMansfieldMedwayMeltonMendipMerthyr TydfilMertonMid DevonMid SuffolkMid SussexMid UlsterMid and East AntrimMiddlesbroughMidlothianMilton KeynesMole ValleyMonmouthshireMorayNeath Port TalbotNew ForestNewark and SherwoodNewcastle upon TyneNewcastle-under-LymeNewhamNewportNewry and Mourne and DownNorth AyrshireNorth DevonNorth East DerbyshireNorth East LincolnshireNorth HertfordshireNorth KestevenNorth LanarkshireNorth LincolnshireNorth NorfolkNorth SomersetNorth TynesideNorth WarwickshireNorth West LeicestershireNorthamptonNorthumberlandNorwichNottinghamNuneaton and BedworthOadby and WigstonOldhamOrkney IslandsOxfordPembrokeshirePendlePerth and KinrossPeterboroughPlymouthPortsmouthPowysPrestonReadingRedbridgeRedcar and ClevelandRedditchReigate and BansteadRenfrewshireRhondda Cynon TafRibble ValleyRichmond upon ThamesRichmondshireRochdaleRochfordRossendaleRotherRotherhamRugbyRunnymedeRushcliffeRushmoorRutlandRyedaleSalfordSandwellScarboroughScottish BordersSedgemoorSeftonSelbySevenoaksSheffieldShetland IslandsShropshireSloughSolihullSomerset West and TauntonSouth AyrshireSouth BucksSouth CambridgeshireSouth DerbyshireSouth GloucestershireSouth HamsSouth HollandSouth KestevenSouth LakelandSouth LanarkshireSouth NorfolkSouth NorthamptonshireSouth OxfordshireSouth RibbleSouth SomersetSouth StaffordshireSouth TynesideSouthamptonSouthend-on-SeaSouthwarkSpelthorneSt AlbansSt. HelensStaffordStaffordshire MoorlandsStevenageStirlingStockportStockton-on-TeesStoke-on-TrentStratford-on-AvonStroudSunderlandSurrey HeathSuttonSwaleSwanseaSwindonTamesideTamworthTandridgeTeignbridgeTelford and WrekinTendringTest ValleyTewkesburyThanetThree RiversThurrockTonbridge and MallingTorbayTorfaenTorridgeTower HamletsTraffordTunbridge WellsUttlesfordVale of GlamorganVale of White HorseWakefieldWalsallWaltham ForestWandsworthWarringtonWarwickWatfordWaverleyWealdenWellingboroughWelwyn HatfieldWest BerkshireWest DevonWest DunbartonshireWest LancashireWest LindseyWest LothianWest OxfordshireWest SuffolkWestminsterWiganWiltshireWinchesterWindsor and MaidenheadWirralWokingWokinghamWolverhamptonWorcesterWorthingWrexhamWychavonWycombeWyreWyre ForestYork
2021-12-31 30472 30722 10371 18644 24970 15270 29559 27454 10356 46132 27400 26934 25258 37996 13768 48109 78235 57259 15147 42906 31018 24103 35341 37452 73475 54664 225687 22756 37993 30280 15349 16455 62998 12587 79281 23869 109812 29759 20821 66371 17908 31147 55274 98270 21250 68257 20507 21990 23262 21609 44296 38590 42873 21197 43786 21267 26656 76298 20923 33550 20364 27972 57460 8871 38947 38750 19168 29282 75080 70567 20611 19148 18337 25982 84985 9723 38669 1918 18826 14074 16661 84323 12787 108393 68872 9934 24173 80851 31186 22485 26675 16283 18381 52781 11596 38038 68005 56451 19263 67202 19428 27149 75011 23415 13625 21417 21767 19263 30922 21987 16523 16891 19565 62472 24321 34245 17963 26293 8456 29145 65565 29676 16932 23615 21908 28503 19429 16502 25014 58758 29066 19094 12634 15947 42571 26175 127583 23546 15389 24015 17271 58984 26724 19911 59263 31052 14942 40316 18736 54637 20730 30142 50137 18266 21015 16653 22402 60488 27584 22704 18200 23859 62957 23030 23235 59514 31393 19143 13603 24690 10574 22604 46374 27710 20789 22419 55442 35968 86846 39315 73839 27783 172402 80408 16668 62294 21204 20209 28417 114545 47822 34458 11828 9986 131677 23484 59733 9712 18857 14962 44519 12423 14198 28227 34125 25679 32267 16116 57592 15741 14611 9931 32384 26842 24238 65322 25374 73719 32123 38374 23316 14812 20009 33111 24676 20298 75674 31416 11357 36506 46012 13314 20931 46397 60534 24336 73839 27929 13027 54769 1342 29115 18652 20104 19949 42446 48186 42819 18917 32656 32573 67985 29433 17733 32213 37313 54147 14172 39167 8553 52524 18587 16436 13899 59834 22501 16487 25482 19802 6647 8304 64554 71826 18297 14148 20495 62570 17936 23565 115867 1350 53299 32487 45225 22100 17703 14417 26430 21785 55143 12521 15227 25720 15895 64548 20882 17512 24880 24555 24814 22504 33159 49099 39409 66203 21776 31230 43537 26813 18747 18056 15328 67237 43595 53676 21974 18414 59034 18010 45633 29159 51341 40943 52998 17204 18024 19844 36085 26773 23258 15027 25211 19630 42292 25566 22524 20153 9986 69075 56253 21957 17184 27485 22529 74672 58219 59689 73521 49169 27202 21192 22238 25920 15547 24576 26355 7665 18395 24135 16832 34204 17997 25473 42284 77706 81520 22085 29620 67163 20389 31949 55671 18706 18416 28116 20619 34767 22078 17472 37694
2022-01-01 30540 30790 10460 19000 25180 15300 29680 27560 10380 46260 27580 27250 25420 38240 13910 48360 78810 57870 15370 43240 31280 24350 35650 37720 73710 54990 227000 23030 38220 30610 15450 16620 63530 12640 79740 24100 110400 30050 20980 67060 18020 31260 55630 99000 21480 68750 20680 22170 23490 21780 44520 38700 43270 21320 44090 21500 26840 76460 21200 33590 20490 28080 58040 8919 39210 39020 19340 29560 75610 71100 20870 19280 18460 26260 85130 9760 38870 1925 18960 14320 16790 85010 12920 109400 69360 10010 24390 81130 31310 22660 26850 16390 18440 53230 11680 38280 68680 56880 19420 67830 19450 27250 75490 23480 13710 21570 21780 19390 31150 22180 16550 17020 19560 63170 24450 34610 18120 26490 8555 29350 65850 29860 17040 23880 22070 28570 19620 16620 25180 58870 29150 19230 12750 16120 43020 26380 127800 23760 15520 24180 17440 59370 26930 19970 59740 31310 15070 40650 18910 55040 20900 30340 50560 18410 21210 16780 22580 60910 27830 22900 18360 23860 63590 23280 23430 59760 31630 19300 13620 24840 10610 22720 46850 27840 20970 22620 55970 36110 87560 39700 74480 28000 173800 81030 16780 62760 21350 20360 28570 115800 48130 34670 11930 10060 132000 23660 60310 9830 19020 15010 44760 12520 14340 28520 34240 25740 32630 16140 58060 15860 14650 9960 32480 27050 24420 65870 25490 74190 32300 38530 23380 14960 20240 33420 24850 20480 75830 31730 11470 36850 46570 13410 21110 46670 61300 24560 74210 28170 13130 55180 1352 29360 18720 20230 20000 42650 48620 43140 18980 32970 32700 68330 29780 17920 32380 37370 54390 14290 39390 8640 53000 18740 16560 13990 60560 22710 16630 25620 19980 6711 8414 65060 72310 18470 14150 20640 63080 18130 23750 117000 1361 53730 32670 45610 22290 17730 14490 26620 21960 55660 12620 15290 25890 16080 64700 21090 17640 25050 24820 25060 22690 33510 49440 39740 66460 21930 31390 44050 27060 18880 18190 15340 68010 44210 53940 22180 18590 59660 18150 46000 29320 51430 41520 53430 17340 18100 20040 36340 26950 23450 15160 25470 19730 42510 25750 22660 20220 10050 69700 56560 22110 17320 27620 22720 75400 58710 60220 74190 49520 27400 21340 22370 26060 15650 24730 26570 7714 18410 24460 16970 34280 18160 25640 42550 78640 82250 22230 29770 68070 20520 32110 56190 18860 18520 28180 20770 34970 22260 17600 38060
2022-01-02 30750 31000 10540 19280 25430 15410 29930 27810 10450 46600 27740 27510 25630 38530 14060 48830 79690 58450 15570 43670 31590 24590 35990 38010 74310 55450 228500 23270 38480 30930 15620 16770 64090 12700 80270 24330 111000 30340 21170 67780 18190 31520 56050 99900 21740 69370 20880 22390 23710 21950 44860 39040 43680 21520 44740 21790 27060 77140 21430 33870 20690 28310 58610 9027 39610 39370 19510 29850 76160 71810 21160 19430 18610 26550 85880 9830 39190 1943 19220 14510 16910 85700 13070 110300 69920 10090 24600 82170 31650 22820 27090 16500 18580 53690 11800 38750 69330 57360 19590 68570 19580 27430 76230 23610 13800 21730 21920 19530 31490 22380 16700 17140 19700 63770 24570 34970 18260 26730 8645 29680 66540 30180 17230 24160 22220 28730 19790 16750 25470 59180 29400 19370 12850 16280 43410 26640 128600 23940 15640 24380 17610 59830 27230 20160 60510 31630 15210 41290 19080 55850 21060 30620 51050 18580 21410 16910 22750 61550 28090 23160 18540 23990 64320 23510 23690 60320 31920 19430 13690 25040 10690 22850 47630 28280 21170 22840 56520 36340 88380 40100 75700 28260 175300 81640 16920 63740 21510 20560 28800 117000 48490 34940 12060 10140 132800 23830 60900 9930 19160 15130 45330 12600 14480 28800 34510 25940 32970 16240 58650 16000 14750 10060 32740 27330 24630 66420 25670 74960 32580 38850 23550 15050 20550 33740 25090 20670 76300 32080 11570 37130 47090 13510 21300 47010 62030 24790 74750 28460 13230 55590 1371 29610 18890 20370 20140 42860 48980 43460 19150 33260 32850 69060 30060 18090 32650 37610 54810 14420 39750 8710 53460 18950 16670 14080 61210 22920 16820 25820 20140 6781 8527 65690 72830 18630 14260 20780 63660 18330 23960 118100 1377 54260 32880 46020 22480 17850 14590 26830 22130 56180 12710 15360 26100 16270 65080 21350 17760 25260 25090 25260 22900 33830 49850 40190 66930 22170 31680 44680 27320 19010 18350 15440 68770 44710 54280 22390 18750 60200 18320 46470 29530 51790 42020 53770 17470 18280 20210 36600 27150 23640 15280 25740 19920 43030 25960 22810 20420 10100 70740 56930 22290 17480 27870 22930 76190 59220 60830 75450 49950 27640 21550 22540 26220 15740 24950 26800 7752 18480 24740 17120 34510 18340 25820 42850 79520 82990 22440 29970 68970 20700 32370 56680 19030 18640 28400 20960 35180 22490 17730 38460
2022-01-03 31090 31300 10650 19590 25680 15520 30250 28080 10540 47000 27960 27790 25870 38930 14260 49500 80730 59110 15810 44300 31990 24850 36340 38420 75100 56070 231000 23540 38820 31240 15780 16960 64780 12790 80980 24740 111800 30800 21400 68800 18390 31920 56710 100900 22090 70200 21140 22720 23990 22180 45380 39340 44150 21750 45400 22060 27330 78320 21680 34230 20980 28630 59350 9134 40060 39890 19700 30210 76920 72900 21500 19630 18850 26870 87060 9930 39690 1961 19540 14740 17070 86490 13210 111300 70710 10190 24900 83340 32130 23030 27410 16680 18770 54320 11930 39340 70000 57940 19780 69370 19740 27660 77110 23800 13920 21920 22080 19740 31970 22590 16900 17300 19970 64390 24760 35540 18440 27040 8736 30030 67420 30580 17440 24450 22390 28960 20000 16880 25820 59500 29800 19580 12970 16460 43910 26960 129800 24130 15760 24660 17810 60610 27540 20440 61360 32050 15390 41880 19300 56700 21370 30920 51740 18780 21600 17040 22970 62360 28380 23450 18790 24150 65100 23770 23990 61010 32320 19620 13780 25300 10770 23010 48340 28690 21380 23110 57110 36780 89250 40600 76880 28560 177000 82370 17120 64790 21750 20790 29100 118500 48970 35350 12240 10250 134100 24080 61650 10050 19310 15250 45980 12700 14670 29140 34780 26130 33300 16400 59310 16170 14870 10190 33050 27670 24900 67000 25940 75870 32880 39240 23800 15160 20880 34100 25400 20930 76890 32440 11730 37450 47680 13660 21510 47400 62810 25130 75520 28760 13360 56180 1408 29920 19150 20530 20300 43200 49380 43870 19420 33630 33130 69920 30380 18290 33020 37940 55340 14590 40280 8789 54010 19220 16840 14210 61910 23220 17040 26090 20340 6851 8654 66660 73500 18800 14400 20940 64560 18570 24210 119600 1393 54880 33140 46510 22690 18070 14730 27120 22400 56770 12810 15470 26370 16510 65630 21670 17930 25590 25420 25480 23180 34160 50350 40730 67810 22440 32070 45280 27670 19170 18580 15550 69750 45260 54730 22620 18930 60750 18560 47070 29850 52260 42540 54500 17650 18500 20380 36910 27470 23890 15410 26030 20170 43680 26340 22980 20630 10160 71720 57540 22500 17720 28120 23190 77100 59740 61620 76580 50680 27960 21870 22780 26460 15880 25270 27100 7797 18590 25060 17290 34840 18580 26150 43410 80640 83830 22690 30340 69980 20930 32750 57240 19230 18850 28740 21150 35580 22750 17910 38970
2022-01-04 31330 31530 10770 19900 25930 15640 30590 28450 10650 47420 28190 28090 26130 39370 14490 50230 81730 59770 16100 44930 32390 25110 36700 38840 75860 56780 233000 23840 39140 31590 15950 17220 65510 12870 81760 25080 112900 31290 21640 69770 18620 32380 57460 102000 22420 71240 21430 23040 24270 22400 45930 39690 44630 21990 45990 22340 27660 79160 21910 34430 21250 28910 60140 9243 40530 40430 19880 30570 77920 73760 21810 19840 19060 27220 88260 10020 40160 1979 19850 14970 17250 87250 13360 112300 71540 10300 25220 84570 32530 23200 27780 16850 19000 55020 12080 40020 70770 58520 20010 70100 19960 27920 78080 24010 14060 22120 22270 19980 32470 22820 17090 17500 20190 65120 24960 36060 18620 27340 8833 30410 68300 30990 17660 24780 22590 29220 20190 17000 26160 59960 30190 19800 13090 16670 44410 27300 131000 24320 15890 24930 18050 61480 27820 20760 62030 32530 15540 42440 19520 57500 21680 31210 52370 18970 21800 17170 23170 63280 28680 23730 19100 24370 65920 24050 24280 61680 32740 19850 13920 25570 10920 23200 49030 29070 21620 23370 57730 37230 90030 41120 78010 28890 178900 83130 17300 65750 21980 20980 29430 119900 49500 35770 12420 10350 135700 24380 62460 10180 19470 15400 46630 12800 14860 29510 35080 26350 33640 16520 60080 16340 15000 10340 33330 28010 25220 67580 26200 76770 33210 39700 24060 15270 21110 34470 25740 21200 77580 32780 11880 37800 48370 13810 21760 47770 63540 25490 76340 29090 13490 56810 1426 30220 19340 20710 20490 43660 49830 44300 19620 34010 33460 70740 30690 18500 33440 38290 55940 14750 40720 8874 54630 19510 16990 14320 62690 23540 17260 26390 20590 6923 8772 67650 74100 18970 14590 21100 65640 18780 24510 121200 1409 55480 33410 47060 22920 18260 14890 27410 22710 57380 12910 15600 26650 16720 66290 21990 18100 25880 25780 25700 23470 34520 50830 41290 68790 22720 32420 45870 28060 19330 18830 15700 70720 45840 55160 22870 19120 61310 18800 47680 30170 52710 43070 55060 17830 18730 20550 37240 27760 24190 15540 26370 20410 44210 26680 23170 20840 10220 72670 58310 22720 17970 28390 23460 77860 60320 62540 77630 51400 28310 22140 23030 26710 16040 25570 27410 7848 18790 25450 17490 35270 18830 26430 44000 81940 84680 22930 30730 71280 21180 33130 57880 19470 19050 28950 21380 36010 22990 18080 39480
2022-01-05 31550 31710 10920 20210 26230 15760 30860 28720 10730 47760 28440 28410 26440 39870 14730 51000 82880 60480 16340 45640 32930 25380 37090 39330 76530 57470 235500 24190 39450 31990 16110 17360 66280 12950 82680 25540 113500 31810 21890 70860 18870 32690 58370 103200 22800 72550 21640 23440 24580 22630 46450 40050 45150 22250 46810 22650 28100 80180 22170 34690 21600 29070 61020 9353 41040 40950 20080 30970 78990 74630 22160 20060 19290 27540 89080 10080 40720 1998 20110 15230 17450 88030 13520 113400 72440 10420 25520 86150 33010 23410 28190 17060 19270 55710 12260 40490 71680 59210 20300 71030 20070 28130 79120 24200 14180 22330 22450 20240 33050 23050 17250 17720 20390 66060 25160 36680 18830 27610 8939 30820 69330 31470 17910 25100 22800 29390 20410 17120 26440 60420 30530 20050 13210 16900 44850 27700 132200 24520 16040 25220 18290 62370 28180 21000 62960 32960 15730 43200 19770 58560 22010 31640 53020 19200 22030 17330 23440 64320 28980 24060 19320 24530 66800 24360 24610 62490 33150 19990 14020 25900 11030 23370 49990 29630 21870 23620 58430 37610 91090 41720 79430 29240 181000 84030 17550 67130 22250 21240 29690 121300 49950 36150 12620 10470 137600 24650 63120 10320 19630 15510 47440 12890 15090 29870 35380 26540 33990 16660 60820 16550 15130 10500 33620 28360 25540 68130 26510 77920 33490 39980 24260 15390 21440 34970 26090 21480 78250 33190 12040 38170 48800 13950 22010 48190 64300 25840 77220 29450 13660 57490 1442 30570 19520 20900 20620 43950 50260 44820 19840 34370 33850 71750 31020 18720 33890 38580 56390 14920 41320 8956 55320 19840 17170 14460 63580 23770 17480 26700 20780 7002 8896 68530 74870 19150 14720 21280 66270 19030 24830 122600 1425 56150 33710 47480 23150 18440 15090 27710 22920 57970 13020 15740 26930 16980 66750 22340 18280 26310 26100 25930 23780 34870 51410 41960 69520 23060 32890 46570 28450 19490 19120 15820 71820 46490 55630 23150 19300 61930 19050 48390 30510 53160 43600 55810 18010 19000 20740 37540 28140 24510 15680 26690 20660 44920 27090 23360 21010 10290 73910 59180 22990 18240 28660 23810 78920 61020 63500 78920 52030 28710 22500 23260 27050 16190 25910 27770 7900 18940 25870 17690 35560 19080 26710 44460 82680 85620 23260 31190 71970 21430 33630 58660 19640 19310 29150 21620 36470 23220 18290 40070
2022-01-06 31800 31920 11050 20540 26510 15890 31170 29060 10820 48120 28670 28760 26700 40280 14930 51770 83970 61060 16600 46260 33350 25630 37460 39730 77270 58410 237500 24450 39780 32290 16290 17510 66820 13040 83440 25930 114200 32140 22140 71870 19150 32990 59100 104400 23140 73770 21820 23840 24870 22840 46990 40500 45640 22520 47640 22970 28440 80930 22420 35010 21850 29350 61770 9466 41500 41510 20280 31300 80110 75520 22510 20260 19500 27840 89970 10140 41250 2016 20390 15500 17620 88820 13670 114500 73220 10530 25820 87640 33560 23620 28520 17230 19420 56320 12410 40960 72510 59860 20530 71680 20210 28300 80030 24350 14310 22530 22660 20460 33620 23260 17380 17930 20590 66850 25310 37190 19010 27940 9032 31240 70410 31880 18150 25390 22990 29610 20640 17240 26680 60850 30840 20270 13330 17050 45320 28070 133600 24730 16180 25490 18480 63310 28510 21190 63680 33350 15910 43800 19980 59580 22340 31940 53740 19400 22280 17470 23660 65330 29250 24380 19510 24690 67640 24630 24930 63350 33520 20150 14130 26230 11140 23520 50650 30180 22130 23870 59170 38120 92130 42200 81010 29600 182700 84840 17770 68430 22500 21480 29970 122900 50370 36580 12770 10590 139200 24880 63860 10450 19800 15650 48210 12990 15320 30230 35640 26720 34350 16790 61470 16740 15220 10630 33940 28670 25840 68730 26720 79150 33810 40370 24410 15500 21760 35360 26470 21710 79050 33500 12180 38510 49310 14110 22240 48650 65070 26160 77980 29820 13800 58090 1455 30900 19710 21070 20790 44350 50650 45260 19990 34740 34170 72700 31400 18910 34360 38920 57000 15110 41920 9043 55840 20150 17350 14590 64360 24020 17720 26990 20990 7079 9040 69420 75450 19330 14890 21450 67010 19250 25120 124000 1441 56700 33990 47940 23370 18580 15260 28020 23150 58530 13130 15850 27230 17190 67440 22650 18440 26630 26390 26170 24040 35200 51950 42590 70660 23410 33330 47200 28700 19670 19370 15970 72680 47180 56060 23390 19470 62500 19310 49110 30860 53700 44150 56580 18150 19300 20920 37880 28470 24780 15820 26990 20930 45630 27440 23540 21240 10340 74880 59910 23240 18500 28940 24100 79980 61540 64380 80080 52590 29060 22820 23510 27300 16340 26260 28090 7951 19080 26200 17860 35930 19310 27000 45110 83740 86510 23520 31560 73010 21680 34080 59200 19790 19540 29400 21840 36860 23490 18470 40570
2022-01-07 32060 32180 11160 20800 26790 15990 31420 29320 10920 48560 28850 29000 26940 40630 15110 52430 84870 61710 16810 46760 33700 25900 37820 40090 78040 59170 239500 24700 40080 32670 16460 17650 67410 13120 84170 26230 114900 32390 22380 72930 19380 33210 59820 105400 23470 74450 22030 24110 25200 23060 47500 40890 46110 22690 48180 23280 28730 81720 22640 35310 22130 29600 62390 9581 41930 42010 20460 31610 80830 76330 22870 20430 19680 28150 91170 10210 41750 2034 20680 15760 17760 89590 13820 115600 73920 10620 26050 88840 33930 23810 28830 17360 19550 56850 12540 41530 73160 60330 20730 72540 20380 28510 81160 24500 14430 22730 22850 20640 34130 23470 17570 18070 20850 67380 25480 37680 19190 28260 9128 31580 71400 32250 18350 25690 23170 29810 20840 17360 27000 61230 31110 20480 13450 17200 45750 28440 134500 24940 16300 25740 18650 64210 28780 21390 64600 33700 16050 44280 20160 60370 22610 32220 54340 19600 22470 17610 23870 66140 29520 24700 19670 24870 68470 24870 25210 64150 33870 20300 14260 26520 11240 23670 51260 30480 22320 24090 59620 38570 93020 42590 81910 29950 184500 85500 17960 69390 22680 21690 30220 124500 50780 36940 12910 10670 140900 25080 64550 10550 19960 15790 48920 13090 15480 30590 35940 26920 34730 16920 62120 16910 15350 10750 34260 28990 26080 69330 26900 80090 34130 40730 24630 15600 22080 35650 26780 21910 79690 33850 12320 38840 49810 14230 22430 49000 65760 26460 78630 30130 13920 58670 1466 31220 19900 21230 20940 44560 51080 45650 20130 35010 34430 73660 31720 19100 34700 39240 57610 15280 42400 9120 56310 20470 17470 14710 64960 24290 17910 27240 21160 7154 9169 70280 76180 19510 15010 21600 67760 19490 25350 125200 1458 57300 34220 48400 23600 18710 15410 28320 23380 59140 13240 15950 27470 17430 68030 23010 18590 26920 26730 26390 24310 35520 52440 43150 71890 23750 33690 47850 29010 19810 19580 16090 73640 47590 56500 23620 19660 63010 19540 49670 31130 54140 44710 57240 18270 19550 21090 38160 28760 25020 15950 27280 21210 46400 27790 23690 21480 10400 75700 60770 23450 18720 29190 24350 80740 62090 65120 80960 53180 29360 23090 23770 27560 16470 26520 28400 8000 19160 26430 18040 36210 19530 27210 45770 84640 87340 23750 31970 73980 21900 34530 59580 19980 19720 29580 22060 37220 23720 18620 41070

Data issues

    There is an issue with the reported local authority data: the last few (usually three) observations show no change. To handle this, we remove the last two observations. This then reflect the reporting delay of the data, but also implies that we cannot precisely distinguish between a count of zero cases and a delayed count.
    The forecasts from 2020-10-11 use a four day delay (so ignoring the last four days of reported cases), to reflect delays in reporting data in many areas. Otherwise we use a two day delay.

    The following graph illustrates the issue for two districts:

Further information

  • We believe these forecasts fill a useful gap in the short run. They give an indication of what is likely to happen in the next few days, removing some aspect of surprise. Moreover, a noticeable drop in comparison to the extrapolations could be an indication that the implemented policies are having some impact. It is difficult to understand exponential growth. We hope that these forecasts may help to convince viewers to adhere to the policies implemented by their respective governments, and keep all arguments factual and measured.
  • We use the data repository for the 2019 Novel Coronavirus Visual Dashboard operated by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering. This is updated daily, but we tend to update our forecasts only every other day.
    US state data as of 2020-03-28 is courtesy of the New York Times.
  • We can only provide forecasts of what is measured. If confirmed cases are an underestimate of actual cases, then our forecasts will also be underestimates. No other epidemiological data is used. Data definition and collection differs between countries and may change over time.
  • We will update the methodology as we learn what is happening in the next few days or weeks. Once the number of cases levels off, there is no need to provide these forecasts anymore.
  • Countries where the counts are very low or stable have been omitted.
  • The graphs have dates on the horizontal axis (yyyy-mm-dd) and cumulative counts on the vertical axis. They show
    1. bold dark grey line (with circles): observed counts (Johns Hopkins CSSE);
    2. many light grey lines (with open circles): forecasts using different model settings and starting up to four periods back;
    3. red line (with open circles): single forecasts path using default model settings;
    4. black line (with crosses): average of all forecasts, recentered on the last observation;
    5. thin green lines: some indication of uncertainty around the red forecasts, but we do not know how reliable that is.
    Both the red line forecasts and the black lines are also given in the tables above. These forecasts differ, we are currently inclined to use the average forecasts.
  • The forecasts are constructed as follows:
    1. An overall `trend' is extracted by taking a window of the data at a time. In each window we draw `straight lines' which are selected using an automatic econometric procedure (`machine learning'). All straight lines are collected and averaged, giving the trend.
    2. Forecasts are made using the estimated trend, but we note that this must be done carefully, because simply extrapolating the flexible insample trend would lead to wildly fluctuating forecast. We use the `Cardt' method, which has been found to work well in other settings.
    3. Residuals from the trend are also forecast, and combined with trend forecasts into an overall forecast.
  • Scenario forecasts are constructed very differently: smooth versions of the Chinese experience are matched at different lag lengths with the path of each country. This probably works best from the peak, or the slowdown just before (but we include it for the UK nonetheless).
  • The forecast evaluation shows past forecasts, together with the outcomes (in the grey line with circles).
  • EU-BS is Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania together.
  • This paper describes the methodology and gives further references. Also available as Nuffield Economics Discussion Paper 2020-W06. Still preliminary is the documentation of the medium term forecasts.

Recent changes and notes

[2021-04-29]The `legacy' download for areas of England is stuck at April 26, so we switched to the newer downloads. The results now include Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The map, however, only shows England.
[2021-01-07]Slideshow of forecasts, errors, and actuals 2020-06-30 to 2021-01-02: how England lost the battle.
[2020-10-27]Statistical short-term forecasting of the COVID-19 Pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now published at the Journal of Clinical Immunology and Immunotherapy. open access
[2020-10-11]Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic (Jurgen Doornik, Jennie Castle, and David Hendry) is now in press at the International Journal of Forecasting. open access
[2020-10-10]Removed forecasts from the Chinese scenarios, while investigating possibility to use own history from the first wave.
Added information on the previous peak (if present) to the peak tables.
Local forecasts for England: now dropping last four observations.
[2020-07-01] Modified the short-term model to allow for (slowly changing) seasonality. Many countries show clear seasonality after the initial period, likely caused by institutional factors regarding data collection. This seasonality was also getting in the way of peak detection. As a consequence estimates of the peak date may have changed for countries with strong seasonality.
Added forecasts of cumulative confirmed cases for lower tier local authorities of England. The data is available from 2020-07-02 including all tests (pillar one and two). Only authorities with more than 5 cases in the previous week are included.
[2020-06-29] Tables in April included the world, but not the world as we know it (double counting China and the US). So removed the world from those old tables.
Why short-term forecasts can be better than models for predicting how pandemics evolve just appeared at The Conversation.
Thursday 2 July webinar at the FGV EESP - São Paolo School of Economics. This starts at 16:00 UK time (UTC+01:00) and streamed here.